Chinese (¤¤¤å)

 2007 Proactive Structural Asian/China/US/European  QFII Strategic Investment Banking/Capital Markets Research and Decisions  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) Workshops
 
    email    osawhh@sina.com   for in-house workshops res ervation China  joycezhang001@yahoo.com.cn

Two master hands controlling last 20 years Greater China, US, Asian, European Gobal economy, daily capital markets asset prices, bubbles early warning/ forecasts tracking records  
(covered thousands lectures to 24 global central bank governors,Basel II risks
  management, investment, supply chain conferences in 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983    

By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global  renowed leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

Global  Capital Markets Asset Prices, Bubbles Impact Simulation, Strategic Decisions Analysis Workshops  help central banks stay ahead in fighting inflation, asset bubblesmillions banking, finance, fund managers investors
OSA  capitalize opportunities in global asset allocation, portfolio selection in crisis, avoided trillion dollar
 
Chinese(¤¤¤å)             Basel II  credit, market, operational risks achieve sustainable profit growth in  financial crisis. 
www.osawh.com  
About OSA  Products & Services   Nobel Prize dream   20 yrs tracking results  workshops

OSA Global Strategic Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive decision tools  

Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
.

 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.
 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft landing Apr. 2005
 He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
 
 
  Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring , photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
and again
 to Euro-events Singapore  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops warning  US, global analysts over optimistic economic recovery, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high, soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, China stocks bull market is over, entering bear market consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1300-1400, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % , low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound.   US trade deficit soared to 48 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence, business spending peaking out, facing  squeeze in  summer 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 110,000, economic growth, stock prices peaking out in the third quarter, facing consolidation. US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 5.1% in May, with consumer spending up 1%, consumer confidence above 100, more rate hikes are required to cool off the economy. 
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing consolidation.

He lectures Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares,  up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in commodities prices reaching 19 year peak, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets, 
  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1750- 2050 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5300- 6000, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1300- 1450, Shenzhen 3100- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain
Predictive Global Strategic Decision Analysis in Central banks Monetary policy, interest rate impact on global capital market asset prices, forecasts , Investment, Basel II Risks Control, a

Rate hikes Impact on Global 20 industrial sectors demand, prices, profit squeeze simulation/forecast, strategic investment, supply chain logistics lectures/workshops tours

 Supply Chain Logistics Solution  for 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products demand, prices market forces mechanism forecast global capital markets asset prices simulation, asset allocation supporting  millions CEO, CFO, fund , supply chain logistics, risks  managers, Senior Executives on the job Training Workshops Programs stay ahead of the emerging economic, market trend, capitalize on opportunities, avoided trillion dollar global market loss, save billion dollar supply chain costs
Millions global  government, central banks, IMF, BIS, top banking, finance,  corporate executives applied our predictive Strategic Simulation: for daily business decision tools to stay ahead , capitalize on  the fast changing uncertain future:
visited  
www.osawh.com   benefited by OSA global strategic investment, supply chain  since July 1998  (Partial lists)

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Global central banks, government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong Monetary authority,  IMF, World Bank, UN, OCED, US  Dept of energy, NASA ,FDA, HUD, GAO, NSF, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, Taipei, cities , Academy of Science, Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsch Bank, BNP, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach, Morgan Stanly, State Street, Fidelity, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Chase, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential, ManuLife, State Farm, Cathy Life ,CNA, J Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business Week.
Corporate :  McKinsey,  Ernest Young, Bearingpoint, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia,  Taiwan Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Nokia, Sony, Motorola, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Chevron-Texaco, Aramco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORCL, Boeing, GM, Benz, Toyota, Honda, Samsung, Ford), Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly,  Genentech, Pfizer,  Weth)  
Academic/Education: Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley, NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD, UPensilvania,  Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London)   and city, state family education( K12)  from 78 countries

Goal and Mission

Thousands structural, dynamic cause and effect market forces simulators tracking , forecast months ahead  the emerging market price movement trrend in last 20 years monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact  on global economy and daily capital market asset prices , crisis, bubble early warning, supporting millions global government, banking, finance, enterprises  CEO, CFO, executives daily strategic  investment, supply chain and  Basel II risk control decision analysis on reform, change management,  capitalize on  fast changing  markets , achieve sustainable profit, market share growth

¡@

by  Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer  Two master hands controlling global economy, daily capital markets asset prices, bubbles  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA
     The expert, scholar in Global Strategic Investment, Risks Control, Supply Chain Logistics Solution
Millions US, South American, Asian, European government, central banks, banking, finance, state, medium enterprises, multinationals CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, supply chain logistics executives joined thousands global strategic OSA public and In-House executives workshops since 1984 and 30 million China, Taiwan, US  15 cities, TV, radio  30 million  investors benefits by OSA early warning and capitalize on trillion dollar  investment opportunities in 1987 global stock crash, 1990 energy crisis, 1992 European currency crisis, 1994- 96 China run away inflation, soft landing, Asian Financial crisis, Russian currency and LTCM crisis, 2000 high bubble burst, and current recovery, US, China overheating and global asset bubbles, avoided trillion dollar market loss.
 
These executives bring their daily problems to the workshops take home strategic solution avoid trillion dollar market loss, saved billions dollar supply chain costs ready to implement.
 He pioneered two master hands controlling global economy, daily global capital market 20 industrial sectors 5000 products  asset prices and develop, implemented thousands information knowledge based strategic investment, supply chain Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) dynamic decision simulators since 1984; tracking, forecast 1- 3 month ahead accurately last 20 years global market economic forces,  asset prices mechanism by structural, dynamics  simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on global  macro economic boom and bust, daily capital market  interest rate, currency, commodity, energy, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, asset prices, provide root causes, onset, spread, recovery and early warning for global financial, energy, currency, asset bubble burst, corporate scandals, associated Basel II operational, credit, market risks control, early warning, trillion market loss, NPL loan ,provide the only reliable , independent decision policy and equities  research , asset allocation, investment banking decision  tools for global executives daily decisions analysis.
He conducted teaching, research at National Taiwan, Tsinghwa, University, Tunghai university trained 1000 industrial economic, global strategic management, process simulation, control senior, graduate students tracking 100 countries macro/finance/industrial economics and lecturing China Tsinghua, Peking, Fudan, Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities  Hua-zhon Science & Tech on economic management, Chemical , Financial engineering, EMBA/CFA 
He received his MS from Polytech Inst. of New York in Chemical Engineering, Optimal game simulation, control, Ph.D from Univ. of Oklahoma, in Chemical Engineering, Operations Research,
with Ph.D theses : Apply APPLO moon landing tracking, guidance, control, pattern recognition technology fighting unknown and uncertainty to  Nonlinear Adaptive Kalman Filtering, stochastic control, with application to chemical reactors and macroeconomic, prices stability  control.
He has over 30 years development, implementation of global strategic investment, supply chain management for US Bechtel, Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum Stauffer Chemicals, Fluor, Kaiser,  Bailey network control US head quarters corporate finance, strategic information management , R & D department. and extended to Taiwan, China , Asian government, thousands banking finance, state, medium, small enterprises reform, investment, production, supply chain logistics change management, 300,000 importer/ exporters 100 countries currency, competitive pricing.
He patented " Improve Process by OSA ", in US Hydrocarbon Processing and develop, implemented  32 global strategic investment, supply chain systems,  published on advanced control and information management handbook 1991- 2003 circulated to US, Western, Eastern Europe, Russia, North South American, Asian Pacific 82 countries  and wrote thousands articles on US, Taiwan, China government, banking, economics, finance, industrials, trade journals, daily newspapers (100 million copies). www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html


Book
Dr. Warren Huang's  China/US credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, bubbles, Basel II market, credit, opertional, interest rate, business cycles risks  hedging 2004 second half  global  central banks monetary policy impact and  investment strategy workshops
  and  20 industrial sectors, oil, commodities, housing, 5000 products demand, prices bubble forecasts ( Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Asian tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while minimize credit, markets, operational risks.osawhh@citiz.net

==Global Asset Allocation, Portfolio selection  Strategic Wealth Management, Value Investing /workshops   ======

OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will offer full day Structural Strategic Wealth Management, value investing and Risks Hedging ,   He will speak on
Global strategic wealth management , asset allocation, and risk  early warning, hedging , introducing thousands strategic investment simulators predicted 3 month ahead  on global financial crisis, asset, wealth bubble burst, avoided trillion dollar market, wealth loss for 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US, European investors, VIP traders, money managers since 1985
 
Dr. Warren Huang lectured  San Francisco Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities Silicon Valley investors workshop on China/US rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center, predicted, recommended  accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their bottom, enjoyed 20  % profit, overheated in June again.

======Dr. Warren Huang  North American China-US  TV radio interview, investment seminar Lecture =====

Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850, recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction, downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks plunged 12 % May 17, overheated in June again.
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss ¡§Market Trend and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US¡¨ and CEOs from five growing public companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.

Date:
May 8, 2004 (Saturday)        Time: 9:30-3:10pm  Venue: Crown Plaza Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch
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workshop highlights ( select the subject of your interests )

A  Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/ Global Economic Recovery : GDP,  Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI:   China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore  US,  Western / E. Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact  on China/global Capital Markets, Fund return , risks:
 China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore    US,  EMU EURO / Eastern Europe,  Russi Japan,  Korea   
. Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income fund  forecasts risk s early warning
.
 China state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing strategy
¡PStrategic Corporate Governance, supervision, financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning

¡PBanking, finance reform, IPO,  Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation, supervision Basel II risk early warning
. Causes, onset,  recovery, early warning of China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets

  currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance and syndicated loan, securitization
¡P Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets listing pricing 
¡P Equity fund capital markets:  Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng , Blue chips, Red chips, H share, Taiwan  Japan, US, Russia,  global  indices futures,  derivatives  prices mechanism,  Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency market  futures, derivatives prices , forecasts,
risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO, stock prices performances. IT  post bubble recovery,  housing, auto, steel  bubbles demand, prices, earning, stocks, mutual fund performance
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives  prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging  risks.

¡P Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B  listed stocks  corporate earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical, fiber/textile corporate early, stocks prices, mutual fund performance, investment strategy.

 China mutual fund  and global  mutual fund performance , investment and distribution strategy

 China /US /Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock prices, investment strategy
¡P Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed Asset Securitization prices, loan demand,  defaults risks simulation
¡PChina/US equities and properties housing bubble  wealth effect investment strategy simulation and risks management 
.China /US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index  mutual  fund performance, asset allocation risk management
China and US monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset  Allocation strategy:
US  China Hong Kong  Taiwan   Singapore, Malaysia, Japan   Korea,  Thailand,  India  Eastern Europe/Russia  EURO
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Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO  board members, financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset,  fund managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.


Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang¡¦s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing of global strategic asset allocation, portfolio selection, value investing to capitalize on trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar Basel II market loss, maximize risk adjusted return, sustainable profits..

Language:  Mandarin or English

 Reserve your  in-house workshops (June)  
osawhh@citiz.net   ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )

 Government reform,
strategic monetary, economic, fiscal WTO policy impact on macro economic, capital market asset prices stability

 Central banking monetary policy, interest rate impact simulation workshops   
G
oal:
monetary policy for sustainable growth and capital market asset prices stability ( not just consumer prices inflation)

Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictive  ( 1- 3 month ahead) strategic monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO  policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for 40 countries tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 25 years global  financial, currency, energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis feed-forward control to prevention overshooting, delay action , uneven economic development resulted asset bubbles overheating and trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your current policy, interest rate impact on economic growth and prices stability OSA  

Operations Management and Performance Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented strategic and execution OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your own policy impact OSA, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors conferences 1998-2003 and www.osawh.com website visited by million global central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives


Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal  Policy, WTO, interest rate Impact Simulation on:
Why  have uneven economic development in regional, industries, How to use industrial finance simulation to avoid it
Macro economics :GDP, inflation, consumer, business spending, unemployment

Financial Economics/ capital  market prices: interest rates, currency, stock indices
Industrial assets demand /prices:  Housing, oil/ commodity prices, 20 industrial sectors, 5000  products prices.
Trade Economics: export/import/trade surplus/deficit, currency prices mechanism, competitive pricing market shares.
Optimal predictive, feed-forward monetary policy control  for sustainable growth and prices stability
Who should attend: central banks chairman, regional governors, macro/financial/industrial/trade economic research, executives and banking, securities, insurance regulation executives, banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, economic policy planner, SOE, medium enterprises CEO, CFO, board members, auditing committee. 
Reservation Form: wh3928@yahoo.com/ osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of your date
Location: Your office

 Welcome  to the World of Asset Prices Models Forecast for Global  Economic, Financial, Banking Crisis, Bubble Burst Recovery, Strategic Base II Market, Credit, Operational, interest rate, business cycles, liquidity Risks ,  Early -Warning , Control, Profit Optimization

Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer of two master hands thousands structural dynamic quantitative models simulators tracking, forecasts controlling global macro economy, business cycles and daily  capital market interest rates, currency, asset prices Dr. Warren Huang has develop, implemented thousands structural, dynamic causes and effect, response simulators tracking, simulate, forecast, accurately predicted  months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global economic, business cycles,  the root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of last 20 years global macroeconomic control, daily capital market asset prices,  asset allocation, interest rates, business cycles, liquidity, market, credit, operational risk control, avoided trillion dollar market loss, offered thousands investment strategy and risk management for thousands US, Taiwan, China, Asian central banks, banking, securities, SOE, SME companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, trade, risks managers and 30 million China, Taiwan, US 15 cities  TV, radio banking, finance, executives, investors tracking daily stocks , currency, bond commodities prices , investment strategy, risks control,  invited to speak to ECB, FRB, UK, China Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Asian 24 global central banks governors, IMF, BIS  financial risks management, econometric, wealth management conferences to speak on "Asset Prices Simulation, forecasts, early warning  for last 20 years Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery,  economic, business cycles, interest, currency , liquidity , Market, Credit, Operational Risk Management for financial markets speculation bubble   since 1998, published 20 English articles on US Oils & Gas Journals and US Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced control and information systems handbook 1991-2003 , for 1600 multinationals from  78 countries, tracking ,simulate, forecast market forces demand, prices mechanism, market, credit, operational risks for oil, petrochemicals, upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products : www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html , and thousands Chinese articles for China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, investment, economic, finance, trade journals supporting  15 cities, TV, radio station banking, finance, fund managers, investors  global asset allocation,  risks and profit control optimization
He predicted again  2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A  blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%,  US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble  corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst  thereafter,  second quarter bubble  CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to 3.8 % force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate  after  May and  summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT shares facing 30- 50 % correction and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund  facing correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1850- 2050 , Taiwan index  5360-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, . Shanghai A 1450- 1550, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,  China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and  stocks gave up all this year gain.

OSA- Asset Bubble Burst- Risks  Tracking monetary policy, equities, housing wealth effect impact on global capital market asset prices simulation, asset bubble early warning 
Basel II Operational risks OSA : cost, , profit, quality, market shares, risks performance oriented risks
strategic, execution OSA teams, develop, implement risks information knowledge based, structural, dynamic causes, response simulators tracking, monitoring, predictive integrated operational, credit, markets risks and financial accounting auditing for entire portfolio, transaction risks and profit control. A. OSA-Country Risks: Country inflation/Deflation economic and business cycle, capital flow, currency, systemic credit, nonperformance loan, banking crisis and  default risks simulation and control
B. Basel II-Credit Risk OSA:  Integrating macro-economic imbalance,  currency, commodity, interest rate, stocks bond, derivative market trading, policy, operational risks into consumer and business  loan , credit  liquidity default  risks simulation, control,
F.Basel II  Market Risk OSA; Monetary, economic, fiscal Policy, WTO, external shocks impact on global money, bond, currency, stocks,  energy, commodity futures, derivatives markets price risks simulation, control
G. Basel II  Commodity: Risk OSA    Policy, currency, oil prices, supply/demand impact  on Energy,   Feed grain, food, metals, fibers futures and derivative prices resulted trading loss simulation.
 Basel II  Currency: Risk OSA   Interest rate spread, trade impact on  daily global currency , and it's derivatives prices dynamic , the onset of currency crisis risks simulation and control
 B. Basel II-  Interest Rate Risk OSA : Monetary, economic,  fiscal WTO, Policy, currency, inflation, commodity price shocks impact  on short , long term interest rate, treasury  and corporate bond spread  and it's derivatives prices risks simulation , control
G. OSA-Merger RIsk: Policy, external shocks, technology innovation impact on pre/post merger/acquisition cost/benefit, profit margin, stock prices performance risks simulation, control.:

Chinese      20 industrial sectors Industrial Finance systems OSA
  Global Strategic Investment and Supply Chain Logistics 20 industrial sectors OSA Workshops Tour
Maximize Asia/Greater China Oils/Petrochemcial  Upstream/ Downstream Profits in China Macro-economic control , US rate hike, soaring oil prices and  WTO Competitio

        
                           
              
 by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, OSA Global Strategic Management, Industrial Finance OSA
                Apr. 2001, Trader Hotel, Singapore, Supply Chain Strategy by IBC Asia             
                               Nov. 29-30, 2001, Kerry Center, Beijin by IBC Asia
                             Jan 21-22, 2002, Howard Plaza Hotel , Taipei, OSA
                   Nov. 5, 2003, Singapore, by Euroevents Asian Finance, Capital Markets  
                   Nov. 25, 2003, Shanghai , by Euroevents China Finance, Capital Markets 
             May 8, 15, 2004 Silicon Valley, US North American Investors Global Finance Forum 
                          Beijin, Shanghai/ Taipei, Hong Kong in-house workshops
                                     by reservation  wh3928@yahoo.com                                   

Preparing for  the soaring feedstock cost, profits squeeze  in US/China credit tightening

 Global central banks, economist, financial  and oil/petrochemicals markets analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning on Singapore,  Nov. 5, Shanghai  Four Seasons Hotel Euro-events conferences Nov 25, and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University, Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on Monetary Policy impact on Asian/China economic outlook, capital market asset prices to  Asian/China Finance, Capital Market Conferences, Nov. 2003, and  workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004, www.osawh.com    website underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand drive oil , commodities, metals asset prices bubbles to 23 year high and soaring inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes , suffered trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets , profit squeeze, stock prices plunged 30 % for oil, petrochemicals downstream and missed  trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments.  www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html

Dr. Huang's pioneering 32 global strategic investment, supply chain  published  20 articles ( 2million copies )  on US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing, information and advanced control handbook 1991-2003, applied by 1600 multinational oils, petrochemicals from 78 countries , tracking monetary policy impact on US, China, global economy and oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices forecasts on www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .
He offered thousands executives workshops for  millions global CEO, CFO ,money managers, oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream 1600 multinational  suppliers, customers, competitors CEO, CFO, corporate supply chain, investment , plant managers, senior executive bring their current/ future investment/ supply chain /plant operations problems  take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement since 1980.

Workshop Goal
:  OSA forecasts  maximize corporate/plant operating profit, minimize supply chain logistics cost in fighting global slowdown, due to China/US rate hike, soaring feedstock costs, WTO competitions with expanded global market shares without staff cut in restructuring, reengineering, process improvement
Workshops Mission: Setup corporate/plant cost, quality, market shares, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement  global  20 industrial sectors market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)  strategic investment, supply chain forecasts month ahead, of the emerging trend, crisis  for profit/bottom line strategy for producers, suppliers, customers, competitors , capitalize on market crisis, downturn and avoided trillion dollar markets loss,  supply chain costs, maximize sustainable profit and  cost/ performance,  global market shares.
Workshops Highlights:
Credit tightening, rate hike impact on China, US /Asian economy, consumer housing, auto  sectors demand outlook.
*How growth engine China credit tightening impact on Japan, Asian recovery.
* Global currency markets  and RMB market forces prices revaluation mechanism  and it's impact on US and Asia
* How much US rate hikes impact on Asian/global competitions in  Japan, Asian, Europe recovery .
* US/China demand and OPEC  oil production  impact on Asian/China/US oil, gas, gas oil, gasoline, heating oil futures, options derivatives prices mechanism, hedging strategy and end users raw materials, feedstock demand, prices, strategic competitive sourcing.
* Global  end users, housing, auto, IT , appliance suppliers, producers,   customers, competitors supply, demand, feedstock supply chain costs,  competitive products pricing  bottom line profits strategy, stock prices forecasts. 
* US/China investment, strategic sourcing,  supply chain logistics strategy for sustainable profit , market shares growth
* China/global end users, housing, auto, IT , appliance  supply demand outlook, forecast.
* Maximize end users, housing, auto, IT , appliances  manufacturing productivity
* US/China credit tightening impact on China inland and global ocean freight costs, logistics de-bottleneck


Workshop Program Schedule : Choose your products series:

A. Oil, gas, gasoline, fuel oil, gas oil, Naphtha
B. Olefin/Polyolefin, PVC
C. Benzene/ Styrene and derivatives

D. Fiber feedstock and Polyester, Nylon, Acrylic Fibers


E. End users industries demand, asset prices , profit margin, stock prices Simulation/Forecast
   Investment, Supply Chain Logistics:

 Housing,  auto,  appliances, Information Technology

9:00 am- 10:30am :
Macro-economic outlook in China/ Asia /US: facing slowdown due to China macro-economic control, US rate hikes
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China macroeconomic control, US rate hike, soaring oil, feedstock prices impact on China, US, Japan, Asian consumers, business demand. ( presented to Asian/China finance and capital market asset prices conferences)
Global slowdown and WTO Impact on global financial and  oils upstream/downstream 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products :Markets Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, supply chain forecasts for profit/bottom line strategy for producers, suppliers, customers, competitor demand, spot , futures prices, risk hedging , profit margin, stocks  prices, merger/acquisition performance strategy simulation, forecasts
Investment Risks OSA :Information knowledge based expert systems: covering 3 economic cycles data since 1980
Simulation of Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on global economic recession, recovery, daily Asian, US, European financial, commodity, oils upstream & downstream demand, spot , futures prices simulation, forecasts with:
Simulation of the root causes, onset, recovery of US   recession, application.

Afternoon Session: 2:00-4:00 PM Demand, prices , Strategic Investment, supply chain  OSA maximize  end users profits
Strategic Minimize China/Taiwan/ Asian  Upstream & Downstream Supply Chain costs Strategic OSA
China/US /Asian slowdown and soaring raw material costs impact on demand, prices, profit margin and investment, supply chain strategy for:

Housing , construction materials : PVC
Auto and spare parts  PS, ABS, SBR
Fibers : Nylon, Polyesters, Acrylic fibers, textiles, garments
Information Technology: chips, PC, cellular phone
Household Appliances: 

Operations Improvement Maximize Profits in Fighting  soaring feedstock costs
4:00pm-5:00pm: Decision Supported cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performance oriented Strategic, Execution OSA teams maximize restructuring, reengineering productivity and profits through strategic simulation, supply chain cost reduction:
A: Billion dollar cost reduction in Strategic  Competitive Sourcing  Supply chain (procurement, inventory)
B: Process Improvement OSA: Maximize process plant operating profits
 
Day two Unit 3: Global Competitive Pricing and Market Shares OSA
9:00- 10:30 am
For domestics China markets and Global Import/export currency, pricing strategy
A. Setup Strategic R &D, production- inventory- marketing-sales (retail, gasoline station) center Customers Relation OSA in major cities directed by Dr. Huang and supported by OSA simulators integrating R&D for process and products improvement meeting market needs.
B. Global refining products markets and downstream competitive pricing and market share strategy:
OSA competitive pricing for Taiwan and China nationwide gasoline, fuel oil station, downstream olefin, aromatics end users retail chain sales, performance improvement in daily competition against major global competitors
10:30-11:00 AM Coffee break
11:00-12:00 PM
e. CRM Strategy Customer relation: downstream fiber, plastics   markets competitive pricing and market share strategy and downstream end user auto, PC, IT, appliances , housing construction products, fibers information and strategic simulation, forecasts, to maximize customer profits to avoid credit default in receivables)
12:30-2:00 pm Lunch
Day Two Unit Four 2:00 PM - 5:00 PM Globalization and Integration Strategy for Investment Profit Margin improvement 2:00PM-3:00 PM :
Integrating daily corporate decisions into process plant  operations decision analysis and global markets supporting internet e-Commerce, e-Biz, Supply Chain software
3:00-3:30 PM Coffee break
3:30-4:00 PM
Human Resources OSA : Goal, mission, performance oriented On the job strategic decision analysis training : Corporate/plant operations review, setup corporate/ plant cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performances oriented OSA strategic decision supported Strategic and Executive OSA teams:
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planning, Production, Marketing, IT, plant general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program
4:00-5:00 PM Discussion and Conclusion
Workshop place :  your   office
Date :  by reservation

About your expert speaker : Dr. Warren Huang
Global leader, pioneer in oil/petrochemcials industray strategic investment , supply chain OSA fighting last 25 years  soaring feedstock cost, falling product prices in US/China credit tightening resulted slowdwon

Pioneer of OSA forecasts , Dr. Warren Huang has over 30 years investment, supply chain, production, procurement strategy for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Taiwan/s Chinese Petroleum, China's SINOPEC, CNOOC, and   China Petrochemicals oil, gas, refining products, olefin/polyolefin, fiber feedstock
 and polyester, Nylon, Acrylic fibers Indonesia Pertamina, Singapore Petroleum , Exxon, BP, Shell, ChevronTexaco, Petronas, Petroleum Authority  of Thailand, Austrian Oil, and OPEC Petroleum Ministers conferences.
He wrote over 20 articles on US Oils & Gas Journals, Hydrocarbon Processing circulating millions copies  to 78 countries since 1979 - 2003,  on  global oil, gas, petrochemicals demand, pricing supply chain strategy  simulation forecast integrating into process plant unit design, operations improvement optimization, and control, investment banking  ( reactor yield, recovery improvement, energy and waste minimization, de-bottleneck ).
 
His www.osawh.com  website visited daily by millions global central banks, IMF, World bank, OPEC and 1600 major Oils, multinationals companies, 2 million copies right to 78 countries consuming  multinationals since 1998  ( Exxon, BP, Shell,  Chevron, Aramco) from  78 countries for supply chain, investment, production planning.
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20 industrial sectors strategic investment/supply chain lecture/workshops tours

Two master hands controlling last 20 years Greater China, US, Asian, European Gobal economy, 20 sectors daily capital markets asset prices, bubbles early warning/ forecasts tracking records  
(covered thousands lectures to 24 global central bank governors,Basel II risks
  management, investment, supply chain conferences in 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983    80 )

By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global  renowed leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

Financial Accounting Systems OSA Maximize Sarbanes-Oxley Performance, Transparency
                                         by  Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA
Goal:
Strategic Corporate Governance Maximize Corporate Profit and board members, investors performance and financial accounting transparency.
 
Mission:

Applying our 30 year experiences in predictive  ( 1- 3 month ahead) strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on corporate profit/loss financial statements, board members, investors  for US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries; tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20  years global  financial, currency, energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis resulted corporate accounting scandals to prevent market analyst, corporate executives speculation on inflated profits and hiding loss resulted stock price bubble resulted trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
i
mplement, recommend on your financial accounting systems simulation and early warning supporting Sabarnes- Oxley Act audit, compensation committee, oversight board, government securities, banking, insurance regulation tracking possible fraud.

Operations Management and Performance Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented strategic and execution corporate governance OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize corporate profits, board members, investors performance, transparency,  tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate governance conferences 1998-2003  and  www.osawh.com website visited by million global central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives


Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal  Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on asset prices, bubble, cost and accounting system profit/loss simulation , tracking on and off  balance sheet entities.
Corporate sales, earning OSA,
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, IPO performance  OSA
Structural finance derivatives prices OSA
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution OSA teams maximize corporate profits, supporting Sarbanes-Oxley Act , securities, banking, insurance regulation audit, compensation committee, board members, investors performances, transparency.
Case studies: tracking the root causes, onset, recovery of global corporate accounting scandals
 US  Enron,  WCOM,  TYCO, Global Crossing
China Guanxia,  numerous  high tech reform ST stocks
Taiwan Fertilizer, China Development Banks, Banks, Construction industries.
Who should attend: Accounting oversight board, banking, securities corporate CEO, CFO, board, audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants,  investment bankers.. 
Reservation Form: wh3928@yahoo.com/ osawhh@citiz.net  one month ahead of your date
Location: Your office
 

 Monetary, economic, fiscal policy ( US,  China rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on industrial sectors demand, asset prices, bubbles,  investment, supply chain costs, profits, stock prices  

 Monetary policy impact on US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products, demand prices, bubbles, investment, supply chain costs, profit strategic management workshops ( select your country )

                                       by  Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA

Goal:

Strategic Housing investment, supply chain cost reduction maximize operating profits, investment return and minimize bubble burst resulted trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan defaults
 
Mission:

Applying our 30 year experiences in predictives  ( 1- 3 month ahead) strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on  US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks corporate profits, stock prices investment, supply chain logistics cost performance.  
Tracking ;  forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20  years global housing bubble burst  resulted trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan asset  and asset securitization risks 
implement, recommend on your housing, finance, construction material investment, supply chain logistics cost reduction strategy  
Operations Management and Performance Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented strategic and execution housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize corporate profits at minimum risks
Tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate governance conferences 1998-2003  and  www.osawh.com thousands lectures to China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio station investors, hundreds banking, securities, real estate CEO, CFO, executives , wrote thousands articles on government, economics , banking industrial finance daily newpapers, journals tracking listed housing, mortgage banks, construction materials companies investment, supply chain cost, profits, investment strategy,  website visited by million global central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives


Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal  Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks asset prices, bubble, cost and  profit/loss simulation , investment strategy
housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan  demand, prices OSA  
Housing construction materials cost /prices, supply chain costs  simulation
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, Strategic Asset management, Asset/Mortgage backed  securitization prices risks
Case studies:
The root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of properties NPL asset OSA
US mortgage companies Fannie Mai, Freddie Mac
China, Taiwan, Hong Kong listed
housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution OSA teams maximize corporate profits, minimize investment, bubble burst risks early warning and support  banking, insurance regulation audit, compensation committee, board members, investors performances, transparency.
Who should attend:Housing and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks banking, securities, investment bankers corporate CEO, CFO, supply chain logistics managers , securities, insurance, banking regulation commission, board, audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants. 
Reservation Form: wh3928@yahoo.com/ osawhh@citiz.net  one month ahead of your date
Location: Your office