2007
Proactive Structural
Asian/China/US/European QFII Strategic Investment Banking/Capital Markets
Research and Decisions
Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) Workshops
email
osawhh@sina.com for in-house workshops res ervation
China joycezhang001@yahoo.com.cn
Two master hands controlling last 20 years Greater China,
US, Asian, European Gobal economy, daily capital markets asset prices, bubbles
early warning/ forecasts tracking records
(covered thousands lectures to 24 global central bank governors,Basel II risks
By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global renowed leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management
Global Capital
Markets Asset Prices, Bubbles Impact Simulation, Strategic
Decisions Analysis Workshops
help central banks stay ahead in fighting inflation,
asset bubbles, millions
banking, finance, fund managers investors
OSA
capitalize
opportunities in global asset allocation, portfolio selection in crisis, avoided
trillion dollar
Chinese(¤¤¤å)
Basel II credit, market, operational risks
achieve sustainable profit growth in financial crisis.
www.osawh.com About OSA Products
& Services
Nobel Prize dream
20 yrs tracking results
workshops
OSA Global Strategic
Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive decision tools
Predicted
3 months ahead last
20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing,
2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
.
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this
website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft
landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation.
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this
website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft
landing Apr. 2005
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo,
Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts ignoring
, photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
and again
to Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning US, global analysts over optimistic economic recovery, job
creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high, soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over
120 %), coal, energy shortage, China stocks bull market is over, entering bear
market consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1300-1400, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % , low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound. US trade deficit soared to 48
billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May 2004,
profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence, business spending peaking
out, facing squeeze in summer 2004, Job creation peaking out at
March 370,000, May 230,000, June 110,000, economic growth, stock prices
peaking out in the third quarter, facing consolidation. US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 5.1% in May, with consumer spending up 1%, consumer
confidence above 100, more rate hikes are required to cool off the economy.
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing
consolidation.
He lectures Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month ahead, investment
opportunities in China
petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR ,
Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning
for asset bubbles in commodities prices reaching 19 year peak, will drive
China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will
lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise
bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay
above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,
US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to
2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US
economic recovery and job creation, new jobs
can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over and inflation outlook
may lead to rate hike after May lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose
380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble
repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July
facing and correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1750- 2050 , Taiwan index post
election bubble burst from 7200 to 5300- 6000, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening
continue. Shanghai A 1300- 1450, Shenzhen 3100- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen
105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks follow US stocks rebound in the third quarter 2004
will gave up all this year gain
Predictive
Global Strategic Decision
Analysis in Central banks Monetary policy, interest rate impact on
global
capital market asset prices, forecasts ,
Investment,
Basel II Risks Control,
a
Supply
Chain Logistics Solution for 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products demand,
prices market forces mechanism forecast
global capital markets asset prices
simulation, asset allocation supporting millions CEO, CFO, fund ,
supply chain logistics, risks managers, Senior
Executives on the job Training Workshops Programs stay ahead of the emerging
economic, market trend, capitalize on opportunities, avoided trillion dollar
global market loss, save billion dollar supply chain costs
Millions global
government, central banks, IMF, BIS, top banking, finance, corporate executives
applied our predictive
Strategic Simulation: for daily business decision tools to stay ahead ,
capitalize on
the fast changing uncertain future:
visited
www.osawh.com
benefited by OSA global strategic investment, supply chain since July 1998
(Partial lists)
==========================================================================================
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong
Monetary authority, IMF, World Bank, UN, OCED, US Dept of energy, NASA
,FDA, HUD, GAO, NSF, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, Taipei, cities , Academy of
Science, Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsch Bank, BNP, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach,
Morgan Stanly, State Street,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Chase, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential, ManuLife,
State Farm, Cathy Life ,CNA, J
Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business
Week.
Corporate :
McKinsey, Ernest Young, Bearingpoint, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Nokia,
Sony, Motorola, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Chevron-Texaco, Aramco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORCL, Boeing, GM,
Benz, Toyota, Honda, Samsung, Ford),
Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly, Genentech, Pfizer, Weth)
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
UPensilvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London)
and city, state family education( K12) from 78 countries
Goal and Mission
Thousands structural, dynamic cause and effect market forces simulators tracking , forecast months ahead the emerging market price movement trrend in last 20 years monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global economy and daily capital market asset prices , crisis, bubble early warning, supporting millions global government, banking, finance, enterprises CEO, CFO, executives daily strategic investment, supply chain and Basel II risk control decision analysis on reform, change management, capitalize on fast changing markets , achieve sustainable profit, market share growth
¡@
by
Dr.
Warren Huang, Pioneer Two master hands controlling global economy, daily
capital markets asset prices, bubbles Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)
The expert, scholar in Global Strategic Investment, Risks Control, Supply Chain Logistics Solution
Millions US, South American, Asian,
European government, central banks, banking, finance, state, medium enterprises,
multinationals CEO, CFO,
investment bankers, money managers, supply chain
logistics executives joined thousands global strategic OSA
public and In-House executives workshops since 1984 and 30 million China,
Taiwan, US 15 cities, TV, radio 30 million investors benefits
by
OSA early warning and capitalize on trillion dollar
investment opportunities in 1987 global stock crash, 1990 energy crisis, 1992
European currency crisis, 1994- 96 China run away inflation, soft landing, Asian
Financial crisis, Russian currency and LTCM crisis, 2000 high bubble
burst, and current recovery, US, China overheating and global asset bubbles,
avoided trillion dollar market loss.
These executives bring their
daily problems to the workshops take home strategic solution avoid trillion
dollar market loss, saved billions dollar supply chain costs ready to implement.
He pioneered two master hands controlling global economy, daily global capital
market 20 industrial sectors 5000
products asset prices and develop, implemented thousands information knowledge based
strategic investment, supply chain Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)
dynamic decision simulators since 1984; tracking, forecast 1- 3 month ahead
accurately last 20 years global market economic forces, asset prices mechanism by
structural, dynamics simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on global
macro economic boom and bust, daily capital market interest rate,
currency, commodity, energy,
20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, asset prices, provide root
causes, onset, spread, recovery and early warning for global financial, energy,
currency, asset bubble burst, corporate scandals, associated Basel II
operational, credit, market risks control, early warning, trillion market loss, NPL loan
,provide the only reliable , independent decision policy and equities research
, asset allocation, investment banking decision tools for global executives daily decisions
analysis.
He conducted teaching, research at National Taiwan, Tsinghwa, University,
Tunghai university trained 1000 industrial economic, global strategic
management, process simulation, control senior, graduate students tracking 100
countries macro/finance/industrial economics and lecturing China Tsinghua,
Peking, Fudan, Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities Hua-zhon Science
& Tech on economic management, Chemical , Financial engineering, EMBA/CFA
He received his MS from Polytech Inst. of New York in Chemical Engineering,
Optimal game simulation, control, Ph.D from Univ. of Oklahoma, in Chemical
Engineering, Operations Research,
with Ph.D theses : Apply APPLO moon landing tracking, guidance, control, pattern
recognition technology fighting unknown and uncertainty to Nonlinear Adaptive Kalman Filtering, stochastic control,
with application to chemical reactors and macroeconomic, prices stability control.
He has over 30 years development, implementation of global strategic investment,
supply chain management for US Bechtel, Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum
Stauffer Chemicals, Fluor, Kaiser, Bailey network control US head quarters corporate finance,
strategic information management , R & D department. and extended to Taiwan, China , Asian government,
thousands banking finance, state, medium, small enterprises reform, investment,
production, supply chain logistics change management, 300,000 importer/
exporters 100 countries currency, competitive pricing.
He patented " Improve Process by OSA ", in US Hydrocarbon Processing
and develop, implemented 32 global strategic investment, supply chain
systems, published on advanced control and information management handbook
1991- 2003 circulated to US, Western, Eastern Europe, Russia, North South
American, Asian Pacific 82 countries and wrote thousands articles on US,
Taiwan, China government, banking, economics, finance, industrials, trade
journals, daily newspapers (100 million copies).
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html
Book
Dr. Warren Huang's China/US
credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices,
bubbles, Basel II market, credit, opertional, interest rate, business cycles risks
hedging 2004 second half global central banks monetary policy impact
and investment strategy workshops
and
20 industrial sectors, oil,
commodities, housing, 5000 products demand, prices bubble forecasts
( Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin,
Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Asian tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while
minimize credit, markets, operational risks.osawhh@citiz.net
==Global
Asset Allocation, Portfolio selection Strategic Wealth Management, Value
Investing /workshops ======
OSA pioneer Dr.
Warren Huang will offer full day Structural Strategic Wealth Management, value
investing and
Risks Hedging ,
He will speak on
Global strategic
wealth management , asset allocation, and risk early warning, hedging , introducing thousands
strategic investment simulators predicted 3 month ahead on global
financial crisis, asset, wealth bubble burst, avoided trillion dollar market,
wealth loss for 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US, European investors, VIP
traders, money managers since
1985
Dr. Warren Huang lectured
San Francisco
Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities
Silicon Valley investors
workshop on
China/US rate hike,
soaring oil prices impact on
2004 second half
global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal
daily news center,
predicted, recommended accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and
US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq
did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their
bottom, enjoyed 20 % profit, overheated in June again.
======Dr. Warren Huang North American China-US TV radio
interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station
to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech
corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk
management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850,
recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction,
downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks
plunged 12 % May 17, overheated in June again.
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco
Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment
Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss ¡§Market Trend
and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US¡¨ and CEOs from five growing public
companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)
Time: 9:30-3:10pm Venue: Crown Plaza
Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation
in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch
\
===========================================================================
workshop highlights ( select the subject of your interests )
A Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/
Global Economic Recovery : GDP, Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI: China
Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore US, Western / E. Europe, Russia Japan,
Korea
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact on China/global
Capital Markets, Fund return , risks:
China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore
US,
EMU EURO /
Eastern Europe, Russia
Japan, Korea
.
Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income
fund forecasts risk s early warning
. China
state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing
strategy
¡PStrategic Corporate Governance, supervision,
financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning
¡PBanking, finance reform, IPO, Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation,
supervision Basel II risk early warning
. Causes, onset, recovery, early warning of
China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance
and syndicated loan, securitization
¡P Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and
foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets
listing pricing
¡P Equity fund capital markets: Shanghai,
Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng
, Blue chips, Red chips, H share,
Taiwan Japan, US, Russia, global indices futures,
derivatives prices mechanism, Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency
market futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO,
stock prices performances.
IT post bubble recovery, housing, auto, steel bubbles demand, prices,
earning, stocks, mutual fund performance
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives
prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging risks.
¡P Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B listed stocks corporate
earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical,
fiber/textile corporate early, stocks prices, mutual fund performance,
investment strategy.
China
mutual fund and global mutual fund performance , investment and distribution
strategy
China /US
/Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock prices,
investment strategy
¡P
Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed
Asset Securitization prices, loan demand, defaults risks simulation
¡PChina/US
equities and properties housing bubble wealth effect investment
strategy simulation and risks management
.China
/US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index mutual fund performance, asset
allocation risk management
China and US monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian
economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset Allocation strategy:
US China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore, Malaysia, Japan Korea, Thailand,
India Eastern Europe/Russia EURO
==============================================================================================
Who should
attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO board members,
financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset, fund managers,
banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities,
currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang¡¦s round trip San
Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing of global strategic asset
allocation, portfolio selection, value investing to capitalize on trillion
dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted
trillion dollar Basel II market loss, maximize risk adjusted return, sustainable
profits..
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops (June)
osawhh@citiz.net ( Chinese) or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
Government reform, strategic
monetary, economic, fiscal WTO policy impact on macro economic, capital market asset prices
stability
Central banking monetary policy,
interest rate impact
simulation workshops
Goal:
monetary policy for sustainable growth and capital market asset prices
stability ( not just consumer prices inflation)
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictive ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for 40
countries tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread,
recovery , early warning of last 25 years global financial, currency,
energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis feed-forward control to prevention
overshooting, delay action , uneven economic development resulted asset bubbles
overheating and trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your current policy, interest rate impact on economic growth and prices
stability OSA
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your
own policy impact OSA, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com website
visited by million global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic,
Fiscal Policy, WTO, interest rate Impact Simulation on:
Why have uneven economic development in regional, industries, How to use
industrial finance simulation to avoid it
Macro economics :GDP, inflation, consumer, business spending, unemployment
Financial Economics/ capital market prices: interest rates, currency, stock indices
Industrial assets demand /prices: Housing, oil/ commodity prices, 20
industrial sectors, 5000 products prices.
Trade Economics: export/import/trade surplus/deficit, currency prices mechanism, competitive
pricing market shares.
Optimal predictive, feed-forward monetary policy control for sustainable growth and prices
stability
Who should attend:
central banks chairman, regional governors, macro/financial/industrial/trade
economic research, executives and banking, securities, insurance regulation
executives, banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, economic
policy planner, SOE, medium enterprises CEO, CFO, board members, auditing
committee.
Reservation Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of your
date
Location:
Your office
Welcome to the World of Asset Prices Models Forecast for Global Economic, Financial, Banking Crisis, Bubble Burst Recovery, Strategic Base II Market, Credit, Operational, interest rate, business cycles, liquidity Risks , Early -Warning , Control, Profit Optimization
Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer of two master
hands thousands structural dynamic quantitative models simulators tracking,
forecasts controlling global macro economy,
business cycles and daily capital market interest rates, currency, asset
prices Dr. Warren Huang
has develop, implemented thousands structural, dynamic causes and effect,
response simulators tracking, simulate, forecast, accurately predicted
months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global economic,
business cycles, the root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of last
20 years global macroeconomic control, daily capital market asset prices,
asset allocation, interest rates, business cycles, liquidity, market, credit,
operational risk control, avoided trillion dollar market loss, offered thousands
investment strategy and risk management for thousands US, Taiwan, China, Asian
central banks, banking, securities, SOE, SME companies CEO, CFO, fund managers,
trade, risks managers and 30 million China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio
banking, finance, executives, investors tracking daily stocks , currency, bond
commodities prices , investment strategy, risks control, invited to speak
to ECB, FRB, UK, China Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Asian 24 global central banks governors, IMF, BIS financial risks
management,
econometric, wealth management conferences to speak on "Asset Prices Simulation,
forecasts, early warning for last 20 years Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery,
economic, business cycles, interest, currency , liquidity , Market, Credit,
Operational Risk Management for financial markets speculation bubble since 1998, published 20 English articles on US Oils & Gas Journals and US Hydrocarbon
Processing Advanced control and information systems handbook 1991-2003 , for
1600 multinationals from 78 countries, tracking ,simulate, forecast market forces demand,
prices mechanism, market, credit, operational risks for oil, petrochemicals,
upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products :
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html ,
and thousands Chinese articles for China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers,
investment, economic, finance, trade journals supporting 15 cities, TV,
radio station banking, finance, fund managers, investors global asset
allocation, risks and profit control optimization
He predicted again 2003
Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2 with
excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers,
identify month ahead, investment
opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A blue chip
petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China
mutual shares up 80 %and
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. 2003 early warning
for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices
doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives
gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China
Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25,
2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half
despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%, US entering second leg economic
recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter
first leg boom bubble corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated
consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser
manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence
reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new
job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue
into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst thereafter, second quarter bubble CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to
3.8 %
force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate after
May and summer , overoptimistic over US
economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT shares facing
30- 50 % correction and
blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund
facing correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1850- 2050 , Taiwan index
5360-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, .
Shanghai A 1450- 1550, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,
China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and stocks gave up all this year gain.
OSA- Asset Bubble Burst- Risks Tracking
monetary policy, equities, housing wealth effect impact on global capital market
asset prices simulation, asset bubble early warning
Basel II Operational risks OSA
: cost, , profit, quality, market shares, risks performance oriented risks
strategic, execution OSA teams, develop, implement risks information knowledge
based, structural, dynamic causes, response simulators tracking, monitoring,
predictive integrated
operational, credit, markets risks and financial accounting auditing for entire
portfolio, transaction risks
and profit control.
A. OSA-Country Risks: Country inflation/Deflation economic and
business cycle, capital flow, currency, systemic credit, nonperformance loan, banking
crisis and default risks simulation and control
B. Basel II-Credit Risk
OSA: Integrating macro-economic
imbalance, currency, commodity, interest rate, stocks bond, derivative market
trading, policy, operational risks into consumer and business
loan , credit liquidity default risks simulation, control,
F.Basel II
Market Risk OSA;
Monetary, economic, fiscal Policy, WTO, external shocks impact on global
money, bond, currency, stocks, energy,
commodity futures, derivatives markets price risks simulation, control
G.
Basel II
Commodity: Risk OSA Policy, currency, oil
prices, supply/demand impact on Energy, Feed grain, food,
metals, fibers
futures and derivative prices resulted trading loss simulation.
Basel II
Currency:
Risk OSA Interest rate spread, trade impact on
daily global currency , and it's derivatives prices dynamic ,
the onset of currency crisis
risks simulation and control
B.
Basel II-
Interest
Rate Risk OSA :
Monetary, economic, fiscal WTO, Policy, currency, inflation, commodity
price shocks impact on short , long term interest rate, treasury and corporate
bond spread and it's derivatives prices risks simulation , control
G. OSA-Merger RIsk: Policy, external shocks, technology
innovation impact on pre/post merger/acquisition cost/benefit, profit margin, stock prices
performance risks simulation, control.:
Chinese
20 industrial sectors Industrial Finance systems OSA
Global Strategic Investment and Supply Chain Logistics
20 industrial sectors
OSA Workshops
Tour
Maximize Asia/Greater China
Oils/Petrochemcial Upstream/ Downstream Profits in China Macro-economic
control , US rate hike, soaring oil prices and WTO Competition
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, OSA
Global Strategic Management, Industrial Finance OSA
Apr.
2001, Trader Hotel, Singapore, Supply Chain Strategy by IBC Asia
Nov. 29-30, 2001,
Kerry Center, Beijin by IBC Asia
Jan 21-22, 2002, Howard Plaza Hotel , Taipei, OSA
Nov. 5, 2003, Singapore, by
Euroevents Asian Finance, Capital Markets
Nov. 25, 2003, Shanghai , by Euroevents China Finance, Capital Markets
May 8,
15, 2004 Silicon Valley, US North American Investors Global Finance Forum
Beijin, Shanghai/ Taipei, Hong Kong in-house
workshops
by reservation wh3928@yahoo.com
Preparing for the soaring feedstock cost, profits squeeze in US/China credit tightening
Global
central banks, economist, financial and oil/petrochemicals markets analysts
ignoring Dr. Warren Huang
warning on Singapore, Nov. 5, Shanghai Four Seasons Hotel Euro-events
conferences Nov 25, and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University,
Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on
Asian/China economic outlook, capital market asset prices to Asian/China
Finance, Capital Market Conferences, Nov. 2003,
and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004,
www.osawh.com
website underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive
rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand drive
oil , commodities, metals asset prices bubbles to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes , suffered trillion dollar loss
in bond and stock markets , profit squeeze, stock prices plunged 30 % for oil,
petrochemicals downstream and missed trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures
investments.
www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html
Dr. Huang's pioneering 32 global strategic investment, supply chain
published 20 articles ( 2million copies ) on US Oil & Gas Journal,
Hydrocarbon Processing, information and advanced control handbook 1991-2003,
applied by 1600 multinational oils, petrochemicals from 78 countries ,
tracking monetary policy impact on US, China, global economy and oil,
petrochemicals upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors 5000
products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices forecasts on
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .
He offered thousands executives workshops for millions global CEO, CFO ,money managers, oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream
1600 multinational suppliers, customers, competitors CEO, CFO, corporate
supply chain, investment , plant managers, senior executive bring their
current/ future investment/ supply chain /plant operations problems
take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement since 1980.
Workshop Goal
: OSA forecasts maximize corporate/plant operating profit, minimize supply chain
logistics cost in
fighting global slowdown, due to China/US rate hike, soaring feedstock costs, WTO competitions with expanded global market shares without
staff cut in restructuring, reengineering, process improvement
Workshops Mission:
Setup corporate/plant cost, quality, market shares, goal, mission, performance
oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement global
20 industrial sectors
market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, supply chain forecasts
month ahead, of the emerging trend, crisis
for profit/bottom line strategy for producers, suppliers, customers, competitors
, capitalize on market crisis, downturn and avoided trillion dollar markets
loss, supply chain costs, maximize sustainable profit and cost/
performance, global
market shares.
Workshops
Highlights:
Credit tightening, rate hike
impact on China, US /Asian economy, consumer housing, auto sectors demand outlook.
*How growth engine China credit tightening impact on Japan, Asian recovery.
* Global currency markets and RMB market forces prices revaluation mechanism
and it's impact on US and Asia
* How much US rate hikes impact on Asian/global competitions in Japan,
Asian, Europe recovery .
* US/China demand and OPEC oil production impact on Asian/China/US
oil, gas, gas oil, gasoline, heating oil futures, options derivatives prices
mechanism, hedging strategy and end users raw materials, feedstock demand, prices, strategic competitive sourcing.
* Global end users, housing, auto, IT , appliance suppliers, producers, customers,
competitors supply, demand, feedstock supply chain costs, competitive
products pricing bottom line profits strategy, stock
prices forecasts.
* US/China investment, strategic sourcing, supply chain logistics strategy
for sustainable profit , market shares growth
* China/global end users, housing, auto, IT , appliance supply demand outlook, forecast.
* Maximize end users, housing, auto, IT , appliances manufacturing
productivity
* US/China credit tightening impact on China inland and global ocean freight
costs, logistics de-bottleneck
Workshop Program Schedule : Choose your products series:
A. Oil, gas, gasoline, fuel
oil, gas oil, Naphtha
B. Olefin/Polyolefin, PVC
C. Benzene/ Styrene and derivatives
D. Fiber feedstock and Polyester, Nylon, Acrylic Fibers
E.
End users industries demand, asset
prices
, profit margin, stock prices Simulation/Forecast
Investment, Supply Chain Logistics:
Housing, auto, appliances,
Information Technology
9:00 am- 10:30am :
Macro-economic outlook in China/ Asia /US: facing slowdown due to China
macro-economic control, US rate hikes
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China macroeconomic control, US
rate hike, soaring oil, feedstock prices impact on China, US, Japan, Asian consumers, business demand. ( presented to Asian/China finance
and capital market asset prices conferences)
Global slowdown and WTO Impact on global financial and oils upstream/downstream
20 industrial sectors, 5000 products :Markets Operations Simulation Analysis
(OSA) strategic investment, supply chain forecasts for profit/bottom line
strategy for producers, suppliers, customers, competitor demand, spot , futures
prices, risk hedging , profit margin, stocks prices, merger/acquisition
performance strategy simulation, forecasts
Investment Risks OSA :Information knowledge based expert systems: covering 3 economic
cycles data since 1980
Simulation of Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on global economic recession,
recovery, daily Asian, US, European financial, commodity, oils upstream & downstream
demand, spot , futures prices simulation, forecasts with:
Simulation of the root causes, onset, recovery of US recession, application.
Afternoon Session: 2:00-4:00 PM Demand, prices , Strategic Investment, supply
chain OSA maximize end users profits
Strategic Minimize China/Taiwan/ Asian Upstream & Downstream Supply Chain costs
Strategic OSA
China/US /Asian slowdown and soaring raw material costs impact on demand,
prices, profit margin and investment, supply chain strategy for:
Housing , construction materials : PVC
Auto and spare parts PS, ABS, SBR
Fibers : Nylon, Polyesters, Acrylic fibers, textiles, garments
Information Technology: chips, PC, cellular phone
Household Appliances:
Operations Improvement Maximize Profits in Fighting soaring feedstock
costs
4:00pm-5:00pm: Decision Supported cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission,
performance oriented Strategic, Execution OSA teams maximize restructuring, reengineering
productivity and profits through strategic simulation, supply chain cost reduction:
A: Billion dollar cost reduction in Strategic Competitive Sourcing Supply chain (procurement, inventory)
B: Process Improvement OSA: Maximize process plant operating profits
Day two Unit 3: Global Competitive Pricing and Market Shares OSA
9:00- 10:30 am
For domestics China markets and Global Import/export currency, pricing strategy
A. Setup Strategic R &D, production- inventory- marketing-sales (retail, gasoline
station) center Customers Relation OSA in major cities directed by Dr. Huang and supported
by OSA simulators integrating R&D for process and products improvement meeting market
needs.
B. Global refining products markets and downstream competitive pricing and market share
strategy:
OSA competitive pricing for Taiwan and China nationwide gasoline, fuel oil station,
downstream olefin, aromatics end users retail chain sales, performance improvement in daily
competition against major global competitors
10:30-11:00 AM Coffee break
11:00-12:00 PM
e. CRM Strategy Customer relation: downstream fiber, plastics markets competitive pricing and market share strategy and downstream end user auto, PC,
IT, appliances , housing construction products, fibers information and strategic
simulation, forecasts, to maximize customer profits to avoid credit default in
receivables)
12:30-2:00 pm Lunch
Day Two Unit Four 2:00 PM - 5:00 PM Globalization and Integration Strategy for Investment
Profit Margin improvement 2:00PM-3:00 PM :
Integrating daily corporate decisions into process plant operations decision analysis and
global markets supporting internet e-Commerce, e-Biz, Supply Chain software
3:00-3:30 PM Coffee break
3:30-4:00 PM
Human Resources OSA : Goal, mission, performance oriented On the job strategic
decision analysis training : Corporate/plant operations review, setup corporate/
plant cost,
quality, market shares as goal, mission, performances oriented OSA strategic decision
supported Strategic and Executive OSA teams:
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planning,
Production, Marketing, IT, plant general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior
corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly
review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program
4:00-5:00 PM Discussion and Conclusion
Workshop place : your office
Date : by reservation
About your expert speaker : Dr.
Warren Huang
Global leader, pioneer in oil/petrochemcials industray strategic investment ,
supply chain OSA fighting last 25 years soaring feedstock cost, falling
product prices in US/China credit tightening resulted slowdwon
Pioneer of OSA forecasts , Dr. Warren Huang has over 30
years investment, supply chain, production, procurement strategy for US Mobil,
AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum,
Taiwan/s Chinese Petroleum, China's SINOPEC, CNOOC, and China
Petrochemicals oil, gas, refining products, olefin/polyolefin, fiber feedstock
and polyester, Nylon, Acrylic fibers Indonesia Pertamina, Singapore Petroleum ,
Exxon, BP, Shell, ChevronTexaco, Petronas, Petroleum Authority of
Thailand, Austrian Oil, and
OPEC Petroleum Ministers conferences.
He wrote over 20 articles on US Oils & Gas Journals, Hydrocarbon Processing
circulating millions copies to 78 countries since 1979 - 2003, on global oil, gas, petrochemicals demand, pricing
supply chain strategy simulation forecast integrating into process plant
unit design, operations improvement optimization, and control, investment
banking ( reactor yield,
recovery improvement, energy and waste minimization, de-bottleneck ).
His www.osawh.com website visited daily by
millions global central banks, IMF, World bank, OPEC and
1600 major
Oils, multinationals companies, 2 million copies right to 78 countries consuming multinationals
since 1998
( Exxon, BP, Shell, Chevron, Aramco) from 78 countries for supply chain,
investment, production planning.
¡@
20 industrial sectors strategic investment/supply chain lecture/workshops tours
Two master hands controlling last 20 years Greater China,
US, Asian, European Gobal economy, 20 sectors daily capital markets asset prices, bubbles
early warning/ forecasts tracking records
(covered thousands lectures to 24 global central bank governors,Basel II risks
By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global renowed leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management
Financial Accounting Systems OSA Maximize Sarbanes-Oxley Performance, Transparency
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA
Goal:
Strategic Corporate Governance Maximize Corporate Profit and board members,
investors performance and financial accounting transparency.
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictive ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on
corporate profit/loss financial statements, board members, investors for
US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries; tracking, forecasts accurately
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20 years
global financial, currency, energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis
resulted corporate accounting scandals to prevent market analyst, corporate
executives speculation on inflated profits and hiding loss resulted stock price
bubble resulted trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your financial accounting systems
simulation and early warning supporting Sabarnes- Oxley Act audit, compensation
committee, oversight board, government securities, banking, insurance regulation
tracking possible fraud.
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution corporate governance OSA teams in the workshops to
develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize corporate profits, board
members, investors performance, transparency, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate
governance conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com
website visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal
Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal
policy impact on asset prices, bubble, cost and accounting system profit/loss
simulation , tracking on and off balance sheet entities.
Corporate sales, earning OSA,
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, IPO performance OSA
Structural finance derivatives prices OSA
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution
OSA teams maximize corporate profits, supporting Sarbanes-Oxley Act ,
securities, banking, insurance regulation audit, compensation committee, board
members, investors performances, transparency.
Case studies: tracking the root causes, onset, recovery of global corporate
accounting scandals
US Enron, WCOM, TYCO, Global Crossing
China Guanxia, numerous high tech reform ST stocks
Taiwan Fertilizer, China Development Banks, Banks, Construction industries.
Who should attend:
Accounting oversight board, banking, securities corporate CEO, CFO, board,
audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants, investment bankers..
Reservation
Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of
your date
Location:
Your office
Monetary, economic,
fiscal policy ( US, China rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on industrial sectors demand, asset prices, bubbles,
investment, supply chain costs, profits, stock prices
Monetary policy impact on US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products, demand prices, bubbles, investment, supply chain costs, profit strategic management workshops ( select your country )
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA
Goal:
Strategic Housing investment, supply chain cost reduction maximize operating
profits, investment return and minimize bubble burst resulted trillion dollar
market loss, NPL loan defaults
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictives ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on
US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries housing and construction
materials industry , mortgage loan banks corporate profits, stock prices
investment, supply chain logistics cost performance.
Tracking ; forecasts accurately
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20 years
global housing bubble burst
resulted trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan asset and asset
securitization risks
implement, recommend on your housing, finance,
construction material investment, supply chain logistics cost reduction strategy
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution housing and construction materials
industry , mortgage loan banks OSA teams
in the workshops to develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize
corporate profits at minimum risks
Tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate
governance conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com
thousands lectures to China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio station investors,
hundreds banking, securities, real estate CEO, CFO, executives , wrote thousands
articles on government, economics , banking industrial finance daily newpapers,
journals tracking listed housing, mortgage banks, construction materials
companies investment, supply chain cost, profits, investment strategy,
website visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal
Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal
policy impact on housing and construction
materials industry , mortgage loan banks
asset prices, bubble, cost
and profit/loss simulation , investment strategy
housing and construction materials industry ,
mortgage loan demand, prices OSA
Housing construction materials cost /prices, supply chain costs simulation
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, Strategic Asset management, Asset/Mortgage backed
securitization prices risks
Case studies:
The root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of properties NPL asset OSA
US mortgage companies Fannie Mai, Freddie Mac
China, Taiwan, Hong Kong listed housing and
construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution
OSA teams maximize corporate profits, minimize investment, bubble burst risks
early warning and support banking, insurance regulation audit,
compensation committee, board members, investors performances, transparency.
Who should attend:Housing
and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks
banking, securities, investment bankers corporate CEO, CFO, supply chain
logistics managers , securities, insurance, banking regulation commission,
board, audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants.
Reservation
Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of
your date
Location:
Your office