中國分析師
Global Strategic Management   CFA Proactive investment, risk management: OSA two master hands controlling global macro   economy , capital
 OSA  market prices for QFII/QDII managers, decision analysis training   workshops achieve sustainable profit growth  in financial crisis 
 www.osawh.com  New Generation CFA Integrating Global Macroeconomics into Proactive , Finance, Capital Markets Strategic Decisions Training Workshop  
      Goal, Mission, Performance oriented OSA Proactive Investment Risks Management

Corporate Finance ,Portfolio Management ,and Analysis of Equity Investment /Financial  Statements Analysis /Ethics and Quantitative Methods//Macro and Micro-Economics/Fixed  Income , Derivatives and Alternative Investment

Proactive structural simulators integrating into and upgrade global CFA strategic Fixed  Income , Derivatives and Alternative Investment  decision analysis to  maximize risks adjusted return through
      OSA Proactive Global Strategic Investing
         Fixed  Income , Derivatives and Alternative Investment

　

 Rate hike, Oil prices Impact on Asian/China/US /Global Economy, financial, stocks market QFII/QDII Optimal Asset Allocation, Portfolio Selection
 Strategic Wealth Management   Basel II Market, Credit, Operational, interest rate, derivatives, alternatives investment risks hedging ,corporate scandals  early warning

 Dr. Warren Huang  30 years   Breakthrough innovation in Proactive Structural Dynamic Global Economic Policy  Systems Simulation:  hedging
Monetary macroeconomic policy  Financial Economics  Industrial Economy  Regional Economy  Investment banking, Capital Markets Asset Prices, Global Trade Economics 
Breakthrough Innovation in Global Capital Market Equities Market Research  Prices Valuation Models
 Dr. Warren Huang predicted  to Asian Business Forum's Beijin workshop to  ExxonMobil, ARAMCO , Merril Lynch, HSBC, VP, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 100 multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin Feb and  Nov. 2005, that Green and Bernanke underestimate wealth effect resulted asset bubbles impact on oil prices and  inflation and  oil prices will be soar to 69 in summer 2005, metal prices to new high in January 2006 and oil prices will hit 80 in summer 2006,  US, CPI to 4.3 % in summer   will raise  rates throughout  summer 2006.,  Fed fund rate will go to 5.5 %  , China raised lending rate Apr. 28 to 5.85 %   gasoline futures will  to 265, stocks,, bond facing correction  give up all2005- 2006 gain ahead. Dow Jones, 10000- 11200, Nasdaq 2000- 2220, S&P 1150-1290

Thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary  causes and effects model simulators  tracking , forecasts accurately  months ahead last 20 years global crisis, bull/bear markets
special one time offer contact wh3928@yahoo.com )
First time  shown on this website the most reliable  global central banks monetary policy, daily  open market operations impact on stock indices, currency , wealth management OSA simulation charts (last update Oct. 2002)
OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy impact on last 20 years daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have
E.  US and EURO trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on EURO exchange rate
F. US and  Japan trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on  YEN  exchange rate

The only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset  ( interest rate, currency, commodity, equities, stocks, bond futures, derivatives ) prices market forces mechanism, avoided trillion dollar market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost due to current probabilistic models based , speculation over daily economic, business news, technical charting market momentum based capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to  24 US, European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth  management , futures, derivatives prices forecasts conferences and on this website www.osawh.com  tracking daily results , visited by million global government, central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives universities  since 1998.
  China/Asia economy, capital market asset prices simulation, bubbles early warning, risk control  

By  Dr. Warren Huang, Global leader and pioneer in Global capital markets asset prices simulation, asset allocation, portfolio management OSA      wh3928@yahoo.com    USA
Don't Miss This Opportunities  
Breakthrough Innovation in Global central bank monetary policy, macroeconomic control,  economy, finance, capital market asset prices simulation, forecasts by thousands Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation month ahead of last 20
years  emerging global finance, capital  stock, oil, gas, commodities futures market  bull/bear trend US, China rate hike, asset bubble impact on Global Oil, Gas, and downstream Demand, Futures Prices, Derivatives , corporate profit margin, stock prices and associated asset bubble burst risks with 2005  forecasts, Join Dr. Warren Huang's Beijin  pre-conference workshop or his post conference in-house workshop, get  first hand information and OSA  proactive models simulation methodology and forecasts, will  use www.osawh.com and www.osawh.com/riskm.html, and oil, gas price forecast : www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html  and www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html  materials as lectures contents  *( presented to 24 global central banks, financial risk management conferences and visited by millions global banks, banking, finance, 1600 multinationals oil, gas CEO, executives from 78 countries and lectures China, Taiwan, US 15 cities ( Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Taipei, San Francisco ) 30 million TV, radio investors, fund managers, hundreds banking, securities, insurance companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, risks, supply chain procurement, marketing managers since 1985, published thousands Chinese articles 100 million copies on China, Taiwan, US newspapers, investment, economic, finance journals.
Goal and Mission

OSA inviting you to our Global/ China/ Asian Economy and Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation, Bubbles Early warning, Asset allocation, portfolio Investment strategy, Basel II Risk management  in-house executives  workshops, supporting China/ Asian/global QFII/QDII  optimal global asset allocation, portfolio management strategy  banking, finance, enterprises reform :

 What  is the impact of global oil, commodities price bubbles, China/US rate hike on China/Asian/US /global export, economy, capital markets asset prices, asset allocation value  investment strategy?
These workshops will bring you millions global/China  executives  feedback  from thousands of our past workshops , forecasts the what, why  of how , when of  market forces controlling last 20 years global/China  economy, capital market asset prices  by Dr. Huang’s pioneering two master hands.
Over 60 ASEAN, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan QFII, multinationals( Citicorp, UBS, BNP,  ABN, Deutsch Bank, DBS, Bank of Singapore, Motorola, Acer, Texaco, AIG, Ernest Young, Bearingpoint ) companies VP, executives contact for these workshops since Nov. 5, 2003 

Global Capital Markets Asset Prices, Bubbles Simulation, Early Warning OSA 2005 strategic investment/ Basel II risk management lecture/workshops tours 
 (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million , banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983,
Taipei Dec. 4-6 ,  2004 80 email   osawhh@citiz.net , wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation

 Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

 Global Economy and Financial Markets Asset Prices Mechanism   Simulation /Forecasts through
  Dr. Huang's when you have two OSA master hands you are in good hands predicted on Euroevents Singapore, Shanghai, Beijin Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets Conference Nov. 2003 that soaring oil commodities, metal prices hit 23 year high early 2004 push US, China inflation to 5 % resulted rate hike after Sept  2004, Global high tech stocks make 30- 50 % correction, Nasdaq testing 1750., Dow test 9750,
OSA for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, mutual  fund  optimal asset allocation equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,  risk hedging  tracking/forecasts month ahead  the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of last 20 years China/Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts lecture to 24 China, Taiwan, Asian, US, ECB central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on  www.osawh.com  website  since 1998  .  Over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops tracking his last 20 years results  predicted to China 15 cities TV, radio investors and hundreds banking, securities companies CEO,CFO, fund managers in China 1994-96 macroeconomic control, softlanding and to 20 global central banks governor conference, 1999-2000 on  2000 IT bubble burst plunge 70- 90 % and  mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund plunged 50- 70 %  July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks bull markets  rally  March 2003 Dow Jones  from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, India, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 %  2003 March rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference Oct. 2002  to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002
He predicted again  2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A  blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 23 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%

US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation , underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March and Aug.  2004  US trade deficit soared to 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US , with business  spending up 15 %, consumer confidence above 106 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing inventory built up,  already dropping, oil, soared to 56  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, soaring import and trade deficit drag dollar lower,  more rate hikes are on its way, with 10 yr bond yield up to 4.9 % in summer to cool off the economy. ( despite Jan wholesale price only up 0.2%
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.   He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap  Dow will be traded 9550- 10700, Nasdaq  1650- 2100 , S&P 1000- 1190, Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.25- 1.313 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain  China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks  ( including IPO )facing  30-50 % bear market  correction consolidation   

Dr. Huang global strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours  (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
Book Dr. Warren Huang's  China/US credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk  hedging 2004 second half  global investment strategy workshops (  June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin, Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while minimize credit, markets, operational risks    osawhh@sina.com

Dr. Warren Huang lectured  San Francisco Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities Silicon Valley investors workshop on China/US rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center, predicted, recommended  accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their bottom, enjoyed 10 % profit in two days.  

======Dr. Warren Huang  North American China-US  TV radio interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850, recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction, downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks plunged 12 % May 17
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss “Market Trend and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US” and CEOs from five growing public companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)        Time: 9:30-3:10pm  Venue: Crown Plaza Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch  Registration and Information: Please visit www.GCFF.net 

==China stocks, bond, commodity, metals, mutual fund investment strategy, bubbles warning workshops== , reserve  osawhh@citiz.net  
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Proactive simulation forecast for 2006 global macro -economy, finance, capital market asset prices bubbles , early warning and strategic  Hedging Risks in-house workshop ( select the countries,  subject of your interests )

A  Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/ Global Economic Recovery : GDP,  Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI:   China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore  US,  Western / E. Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact  on China/global Capital Markets, Fund return , risks:
 China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore    US,  EMU EURO / Eastern Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
. Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income fund  forecasts risk s early warning
. China state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing strategy
·Strategic Corporate Governance, supervision, financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning
·Banking, finance reform, IPO,  Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation, supervision Basel II risk early warning
. Causes, onset,  recovery, early warning of China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
  currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets listing pricing 
· Equity fund capital markets:  Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng , Blue chips, Red chips, H share, Taiwan  Japan, US, Russia,  global  indices futures, Index fund  , ETF  , derivatives  prices mechanism,  Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , major  global currency market  futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO, stock prices performances

. IT  post bubble recovery,  housing, auto, steel  bubbles demand, prices, earning, stocks, mutual fund performance
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives  prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging  risks.
· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B  listed stocks  corporate earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical, fiber/textile corporate early, stocks prices, mutual fund performance, investment strategy.
 China mutual fund  and global  mutual fund performance , investment and distribution strategy.

 China /US /Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock prices, investment strategy
· Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed Asset Securitization prices,  defaults risks simulation
·China/US equities and properties housing bubble  wealth effect investment strategy simulation and risks management 
.China /US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index  mutual  fund performance, asset allocation risk management
China and US , Global monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset  Allocation strategy:
US  China Hong Kong  Taiwan   Singapore, Malaysia, Japan   Korea,  Thailand,  India  Eastern Europe/Russia  EURO
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Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO  board members, financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset,  fund managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.

Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar loss.

Language:  Mandarin or English

 Reserve your  in-house workshops  osawhh@citiz.net   ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )

5- day Global Oil, Gold, Currency Futures, Option Prices Simulation Forecast Workshop
30 years helping 78 countries multinationals oils and downstream fighting soaring oil, feedstock cost, maximizing sustainable profits and market shares.

Dr. Warren Huang  has 30 years pioneering  Wall Street research  for US major oils,  Taiwan, China government, banking, securities, insurance, properties companies, state , medium enterprises global investment ,supply chain strategy, tracking monetary , economic, fiscal ,WTO policy impact on last 20 years global economy, financial, energy crisis and  daily capital markets asset prices, spend half time wrote thousands articles on daily newspaper, investor journal in Taiwan tracking Taiwan, US, global stock markets listed stocks since 1985 (index from 650 to 12800) and  300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters 100 countries currency export quote strategy OSA, spend half time in China, accurately predicted China  1994 macroeconomic control and 1996 soft-landing and  current credit tightening and  root causes, onset, recovery Asian and global financial, currency, energy crisis and current high tech bubble burst  recovery.
He has been invited to speak to 24 global central banks governors ( China Peoples Bank, US, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks) and financial risk management, Shanghai world economic forum  conferences; offered thousand executives investment strategy workshops to million China, Taiwan, Hong Kong government, banking, securities, insurance, properties cos CEO, CFO, money managers and daily, weekly market commentary for  China, Taiwan 15 cities ( Shanghai, Bejiin, Shenzhen, Taipei, San Francisco Silicon Valley) 30 million  TV, radio  financial executives, VIP  investors since 1994
He has been keynote speaker, offered full day workshops for IBC Asia, Asian Business Forum and EURO-EVENTS conferences in Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, China SINOPEC and World Economic Forum in Beijin, Shanghai,

Dr. Huang’s 20 years global tracking record:, always predicted 3-6 month ahead global financial , global stock indices, currency, energy, commodity futures and housing ,asset bubble burst crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
China experience :He offered thousands lectures  to  30 million China nationwide 13 cities TV, radio 30 million investors, VIP trader, asset managers and nationwide national securities news papers and thousands workshops for hundreds nationwide banking, securities, insurance, properties CEO, manager, daily securities news accurately predicted China macro-economic control, credit tightening , Shanghai A traded between 600-800 during 1994-96 and first rate cut, soft landing, March 1996, and warning on Asian, Hong Kong financial crisis. 1997-1998. He accurately predicted on his website and Shanghai workshop March 2003 China A share rebound to 1650 and again in May warned Steel, auto, housing market overheating led to China Peoples Bank credit tightening, raise deposit ratio 1 % in Sept.2003 and 0.5 % again in Apr 2004
Tracking resulted witness by million global government , central banks, banking, finance, insurance,  corporate executives, academics visited our www.osawh.com  website  for the  strategic wealth management , asset allocation, risk management
Goal and Mission, performance oriented  workshops tailored to your need,
Choose your own country/industry/subjects  for  each 2 hour session