Gedlobal Strategic Management OSA forecasts, mission control ,
proactive structural dynamic simulators helps thousands
multinationals, investment banker maximize merger/acquisition, IPO performance,
Basel II market, credit, interest rate risks adjusted return
OSA
achieve sustainable profit control and early warning for financial
crisis, bubble bursts
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& Services
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Proactive Structural Asset Pricing
for
Global Strategic
Investment Banking Investing and Risks Early Warning Operations
Simulations Analysis (OSA) Expert Systems:
Integrating Proactive Central Banks Monetary, Economics, Fiscal Policy,
Macroeconomic control into 20 industrial sectors microeconomics supply
demand, capital markets currency, interest rate, equities, bond, commodities,
housing asset prices mechanism, for global dynamic asset allocation, ETF,
strategic wealth management and Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery, Risks Early
Warning Impact on pre/post Merger/acquisition, IPO performance, Simulation
avoided trillion dollar NPL mortgage loan, CDO and hedge fund loss.
Global macro economy OSA Global Capital Market
Research
He lectured to 30 millions US, China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio HNW investors,
investment banks, banking, finance, enterprises CEO, executives joined Dr.
Warren Huang following
Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of global strategic investment banking OSA warned
top global investment bank senior VP, CDO hedge fund managers on Peking
University International Financial Risk management conference,
Beijin , June 2007 and on Wall Street Journal Market beat ,August 23, 2007 that
US and global investment banking facing billions dollars loss US mortgage credit
crisis due to housing bubble burst, through summer 2008, Share prices will
tumble 30- 50 % from their peak
Global Proactive Structural
Strategic Investment Banking, Capital Markets Research Decision
Analysis workshops
Breakthrough innovation in Proactive Structural Dynamic
Global
Monetary ,Economic
Policy Impact on Macro economic , Capital Markets Asset Pricing
integration and Risks Dynamic Simulation:
Monetary
macroeconomic policy
Financial
Economics Industrial
Economy
Regional Economy
Investment
banking,
Capital Markets Asset Prices,
Global Trade Economics
Breakthrough Innovation
in Global Capital Market Equities Market Prices Valuation Models
Lesson from Bear Stearn Fallout Dr. Warren Huang Wall Street Jo urnal Market
Beat Blog Mar. 17, 2007
The only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision
simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic,
financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset ( interest
rate, currency, commodity, equities, stocks, bond futures, derivatives, firm,
project valuation ) prices market forces mechanism, avoided trillion
dollar market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost due to current
probabilistic models based , speculation over daily economic, business
news, technical charting, statistical , probability based, market momentum based
capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to 24 US,
European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and
wealth management , futures, derivatives prices forecasts conferences and
on this website
www.osawh.com tracking daily results ,
visited by million global government, central banks, banking, finance, corporate
executives universities since 1998.
Predicted 3 months ahead
last 20 years global
currency, 1980, 1990, 2000 energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China
macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession
and rate cut, current rate hikes...
Dr.
Warren Huang key note speech and workshop for China oil, gas, LNG, LPG
conference Feb 24-25, 2005, China Oil Market conference, Nov. 18, 2005
Beijin and Strategic China fund and Wealth Mnagement on China fund and wealth
management conference Oct. 9, 2007 Pudong Shangri-La hotel
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on natural gas, LNG, LPG
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global
/ China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy
risks management workshop
including
the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy
crisis, supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation,
de-bottlenecking reserve by
osawhh@citiz.net
Dr. Warren Huang CV accurately predicted
Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII investment banking, capital markets executives, and
May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley biotech, Nano technology investors,
radio station
, and
www.osawh.com
website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer
demand pushing US Oil prices soared above 50, metals prices reaching
23 year high drive 5000 downstream products prices
Proactive Structural Asset pricing for China/global IPO
underwriting and market pricing performance
China 3 billion investment in US Blackstone Group
(BX): despite BX enjoyed US recent real estate, communication, retail
boom, its performance has been peaking out . IPO soared from 28 to 36, it will
be testing below 30 to 23 due to US facing inflationary slowdown
dragging BX major real estate ( subprime and falling housing demand and prices)
and weakening retail investments, sharp competitions in its communications
group, and peaking out in energy commodity performance),
China investments still subject to currency exchange loss due to RMB
appreciation
He warned banking
finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction benefit and
diversification , ignored industrial performance impact on post merger
integration on risk management decision making resulted Citigroup, UBS
billion dollar loss in Russian, LTCM crisis and year 2000 JP Morgan merge
Chase resulted billions dollar lose on structural finance and current Goldman
Sach merge New century billion dollar and HSBC billion dollar loss on
Washington Mutual sub-prime loan and Citigroup 5.9 billion writeoff on mortgage
loan loss
and UBS 3.9 billion loan loss
Barclays 91 billion acquisition of ABN bank , will repeating Goldman Sach, HSBC
trouble on future mortgage bad loan.
Monetary Policy Impact on Global Capital Markets Prices, Investment Strategy
Monetary policy impact on global stock market indices cash and futures
= F ( consumer demand , interest rates, currency ) trading loses risks
simulation:
mortgage housing prices = F( money supply growth, interest rates, stock index
gain)
soaring US rate resulted mortgage price slump resulted NPL
IPO, pre/post M/A demand, prices = F ( properties, stock indices , industrial
sectors demand , interest rates)
investment banking cos ( Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sach ) stock prices
performances = F (investors sentiment, properties, equities price bubbles,
mortgage rate %)Proactive
Structural Asset Pricing for strategic merger/acquisition pre and post
merger integration performance analysis and investment strategy
HP merge Compaq to become no.2 in computer does not help HP profit margin,( HP
printer division enjoyed 8 % profit margin contributed 3.8 billion profit in
2004, while Compaq corporate computing and PC only has 1.0 % profit margin and
facing increasing competition from IBM, HP, Apple in PC and sever markets, rely
on job cuts for cost reduction Despite already saved 3.5 billion )
without OSA value added simulators to upgrade HPQ software, service, HPQ margin
will be dragged by Compaq, stock prices doubled to 25 are overpriced, facing
hard time ahead in second half 2004, stock prices will be down 50 % to 16-21
China's PC king Lenovo bought US IBM 10 billion billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.)
Oracle enjoyed 23 % profit margin bought Peoples Soft ( 3.4% margin ) in
customer relationships, financial, human resources data management will be drag
by PeopleSoft, and facing competition from SAP and other market players
Oracle stock prices will give up all its recent gain, testing 10- 12
Sprint 35 billion dollar merger Nextel will facing sharp price war in wireless
competition, Nextel margin will be grad by Sprint. stock prices at 24 are over
valued.
Johnson & Johnson 35 billion merger Guidant, 2 billion dollar sales , 400
million earning in heart stent, pace maker,
diversify into therapeutic area. However Guidant is over priced at
72, Johnson may have some room to growth.
Global
IPO will facing 30-50 % correction any attempt using IPO.
recnet merger/acquisition to speculate election, yearend market
rally will be followed bubble burst ( soaring oil, raw
material cost, in global economic slowdown due to credit tightening) sell off
bear trap
, avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion
dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: Despite China Peoples
Bank raised deposit ratio to 10 % and cutting capital investment in steel,
cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control
with Jan money supply growth at 16.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales
up10 %, asset prices, inflation up to 3 % ( commodities prices
15 % and oil prices up 20 %). However Aug. producer, consumer price still
up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth
effect, FDI drive Aug national housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28
%for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up 13.2, China
GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 30.4 %
repeat 1994, Shanghai , Hanzhou, Guanzhou area housing price up 38 % call
the need for structural interest rate hike to cool off the consumer
and housing demand.
soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy
shortage, stocks prices recent rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating
over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately
predicted by Dr. Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear market
technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing
1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most
testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will
lead future rebound 20 %.
, This supply side tightening are
insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating, must follow
US rate hike in Sept. implement structural rate hikes to cut
off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto and
retails demand . to cool off soaring housing and metals prices, any
postpone of rate rate hike will further delay soft landing into
second half . 2005, He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan
securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin
China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996,
Shanghai A will be traded between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He
recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new
Millennium
Global central banks,
economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts, CEO ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank
governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank
governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister,
ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors ,
Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
US macroeconomic, inflation control tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003
Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist
annual meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and
thousands workshops
warning US, global analysts over optimistic over the business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic
recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation, underestimated on the
impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar
housing, equities
wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of
2004. US trade deficit soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing
credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity
growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) ,
business spending, peaking out, facing squeeze in second half
2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000, May 230,000, June 80,000,
July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second
quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation. US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share
will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50 % and trillion
dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000 and trillion
dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in Aug., with business spending up 10 %,
consumer confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive
inventory built up, oil, soared to 50 and metals to new high, will
drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its
way to cool off the economy, bond yield will return to 4.0- 4.6 %
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.
He lectured Nov. 2003
lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles
month ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax
rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation
outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market
plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble
repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue
chips banking shares will peaking out in July facing and correction 2004,
Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and
blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to
school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM
test 80. Global IPO will facing
30-50 % correction as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using
IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap
Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq 1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post
election bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 13200, Nikkei
10000- 11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen
3000- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks
follow US stocks rebound in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all
this year gain
China and US
economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks ( including IPO
)facing 30-50 % bear market correction consolidation
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management
Finance group mega merger Citigroup of Traveler caught in Russia crisis, stock plunged
from 75 to 29 presented by this author on JP Morgan sponsored post EURO banking and
finance integration and risk management strategy Nov. 26, 1998, Rome Italy
He warned banking finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction benefit and
diversification , ignored industrial performance impact on post merger integration on risk management decision
making resulted Citigroup, UBS billion dollar loss in Russian, LTCM crisis
and year 2000 JP Morgan merge Chase resulted bilions dollar lose on structural
finance and current Goldman Sach merge New century billion dollar and HSBC
billion dollar loss on Washington Mutual subprime loan
Barclays 91 billion acquisition of ABN bank , will repeating Goldman Sach, HSBC
troubleon future mortgage bad loan.
Monetary Policy Impact on Global Capital Markets Prices, Investment Strategy
Monetary policy impact on global stock market indices cash and futures trading loses risks
simulation:
mortgage housing prices = F( money supply growth, interest rates, stock index
gain)
soaring US rate resulted mortgage price slump resulted NPL
China and Asian housing industry will follow US slump in the future
Stock Index/Bond cash and future price = F (M2 money supply growth, interest rate, dollar
exchange rate)
This relationship simulated last 20 years 40 daily international stock market stock
indices, including normal and major crisis (under stress discontinuous data) with average
error below 1.5 %. It predicted 1987 crash as FED raise fund rate 0.75 %: recent Nasdaq
plunge form 5100 to 3000 as Fed 6 interest rate hike and 1995 Baring betting on the wrong
side of Nikkei Index. And 1990 Nikkei crash from 38000 as Bank of Japan tightening the
money supply growth from 13 % to 5 %
Global Asset Prices Simulation and Portfolio Investment Strategy(Two master hands
controlling global stock prices)
This author have been successfully applying two master hands accurately tracking
simulating, forecasts monetary policy impact on global daily gGlobal stocks index
(right master hands controlling investor sentiments )and corporate earning ,hot stocks ,
IPO, ADR shares prices (left master hands controlling corporate stock performance) during
the last 20 years in the boom and bust, burst cycle, These two master hands provide
forward looking instantaneous dynamics simulation forecast, instead of?speculate on the
past economic and corporate earning data?( 3 month behind) resulted overbought and
oversold caused trillions dollars market loss
Over 30 million China, Taiwan government, banking, finance, corporate CEO, fund managers,
analyst, traders, investors have been benefited by this author lecture on two master hands
controlling global stocks prices to China's 12 cities , Taiwan TV, radio daily, weekly
commentary , and workshops since 1987
Global Stock Index Simulation :The right master hand simulate last 20 years monetary
policy impact on daily stock index
This right master hand pinpoint the risks of overheated investor sentiments (monetary
policy tell you do not chase index when they are too hot, when every fundamental and
technical analysts recommending bull market continue,, investors chasing ( the author
warned on July 20 1998 Dow approaching 9500, is overheated for 20 % correction, Next day
Greenspan warning on inflation and rate hike, drag Dow to 7500 and Jan 2000, Dr. Huang
warned on www.sina.com and www.osawh.com that Nasdaq overheated for correction to
2000 ,
It plunge from 5100 to 2000 later
Global corporate earning, profit margin simulation (Left master hands)
Corporate margin/earning = F( Sales, Costs) = F (raw material, financial, labor costs,
sale prices)=F (monetary policy, currency)
US refinery opera ting profit margin is very much depend on the crude oil cost, refining
products gasoline, heating oil prices . the relation is shown on Chart the margin varies
from 3 % 9 %
Global Corporate Stock Prices Simulation :
The left master hand simulate last 20 years monetary policy impact on daily industrial
supply, demand, prices, profit margin: raw material, financial, labor costs, sales and
unit prices, corporate earning, profit margin
global stock prices = F (Global stock index, corporate profit margin/earning)
The left master hand will tell you how monetary policy impact on the industrial sectors
supply demand, prices corporate earning, profit margin stock prices? decline is over, when
everybody is selling ready for turnaround
Therefore combing right master hands( investors sentiment) and the left master(corporate
performance) will accurately predicted last 20 years global stock prices (hot stocks, ADR,
IPO)
Hi-tech IPO stock prices simulation = F( Nasdaq index, corporate or industry group
earning)
These two master hand controlling IPO prices as well
For Internet stock index are related to US Fed money supply growth, interest rate and
investor sentiment (Nasdaq index), as for individual internet IPO stock prices, they are
related to the internet stock and Nasdaq index (investor sentiment in internet) and
corporate revenue and earning outlook(depend on industry trend and regional economy.
Global ADR shares prices = F( Home country investor sentiment, listed country investor
sentiment, stock earning, margin) = F ( home country stock index, US Nasdaq index,
corporate earning)
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Global Banking, Financial Crisis Simulation,
Forecasts, Risk Early Warning
presented by OSA
pioneer Dr. Warren Huang to 20 Asian, US, EURO, ASEAN central banks governors, financial
management conferences 1999- 2001
S.OSA- Asset Bubble Burst- Simulation
of Greenspan Aug 27 , 1999, March 20, 2001 speech on focus on stock markets asset
bubble burst in Global Stock prices impact on house, business spending, housing
properties prices,, GDP and central banks Monetary Policy
A. OSA-Country Risks: Country inflation/Deflation economic and
business cycle, capital flow, currency, systemic credit, nonperformance loan, banking
crisis and default risks simulation and control
B. OSA-Credit Risk: Macro-economic
imbalance, currency, commodity, interest rate, stocks bond, derivative market
trading, policy, operation , liquidity default risks simulation, control,
C. OSA-Commodity: Policy, currency, oil
prices, supply/demand impact on Energy, Feed grain, food,metals, fibers
futures and derivative prices resulted trading loss simulation.
D. OSA-Currency: Interest rate spread, trade impact on
daily global currency , and it's derivatives prices dynamicsthe onset of currency crisis
risks simulation and control
E. OSA-Interest Rate: Policy, currency, inflation, commodity
price shocks impact on short , long term interest rate, treasury and corporate
bond spread and it's derivatives prices risks simulation , control
F. OSA- Market Risk; Policy, external shocks impact on global
money, currency, stocks, derivatives markets price risks simulation, control
G. OSA-Merger RIsk: Policy, external shocks, technology
innovation impact on pre/post merger/acquisition cost/benefit, profit margin, stock prices
performance risks simulation, control.:
Big is not beautiful, it is risky: presented by Dr. Huang on JP Morgan sponsored post
EURO banking and finance integration and risk management strategy Nov. 26, 1998, Rome
Italy
He warned banking finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction nbenefit and
diversification , ignored post merger integration improvement on risk management decision
making resulted Citigroup, UBS billion dollar loss in RUssian, and LTCM crisis.
Dr Huang accurately predicted
Chase Manhatten 36 billion dollar merge JP Morgan failed to supportDow
above 11200 it will be another one day rally, finance, JMP will give all it's
gain to 150, Chase plunge to 45 drag Dow down to test 10200 soon as
Chase- JPM merger will not help boost the stock market trading volume, while facing
addition market slump related crisis as both companies already experienced) 12/9/200)
Goldman Sach(GS)merger Spear Leed, stock market maker for 7 billion will not help GS near
term perfo rmance due to IPO slowdown and falling stock prices and trading volume. GS
shares will test 120 .(11/9/2000 HWP as predicted by Dr. Huang will
testing 100. dispite HWP merge Pricewaterhouse for 17 billion are too expensive,
will not help ne ar term HWP profit margin. HWP will be testing 100 (11/9/2000)
UBS offered 11.6 billion to merge Donaldson
Lufkin
( the merger is too expensive and risky for UBS which just recoverd billion dollars loese
in 1998 RUssian and LTCM crisis , will face markets slump risk in year end. UBS share will
be down in the range 110 ans 150
Globa banking and finance stocks are overpriced through speculated on waves of
global finance mega mergers in Duetsch bank- Banker Trust, and other mergers can not
improve it's near term peroformance in global slowdown in loaan demand, slumping stock
prices and even exposed to biger nonperformance loan default risks. These stocks prices
will give all it's gain in the earning decline news month ahead
H.OSA-Procurement:
Monetary policy, macroeconomic,
currency, oil price shock impact on global oil, petrochemicals, plastics, fibers,
commodities, semiconductor raw material prices strategic procurement management
I.OSA-Real Estate Risk:
Monetary policy, commodities
prices shock, stock markets wealth effect, inflation, capital flow impact on
residential, office properties prices and rent, nonperfromance loan risk
simualtion, control ,
K. OSA Eonomic,Business Cycle Risk:: Monetary policy,
external shock impact on inflation, GNP, unemployment, wages, consumer confidence,
auto, housing, appliance, electronic demand, export, purchasing managers index etc.
L. Profit Margin and accounting malpractice risks: Simulation of monetary, economic,
fiscal policy impact supply, demand, prices,profit margin, provide pre-warning of ENRON,
TYCO, Global Crossing accounting malpractices.
click here for
ASEAN, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, US
Banking, Finance Industry Risks Regulation, Supervision Real Options
Risk simulation, Control and reform, restructuring, reengineering workshops program,
schedules
Click for Dr. Warren
Huang speeches, research papers on OSA Methodology and Applications 1980- 2002
He has been invited to
speak to top 20 global financial crisis and risk management conferences since 1999
Click here for Dr.
Warren Huang's recent paper on "Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial,
BankingCrisis presented to Washington DC, Macao int'l central bank governors conference,
Taipei's Pacificfinance, and economic conference, Barcelona, Spain, European
Finance Conference during Apr- June 1999
Click
for Daily Global Interest rate, currency exchange simulation/Forecasts
Monetary Policy Impact on Current US
slowdown, Asian, Russia, Brazil Inflation/Deflation, Financial Crisis, Recovery
Impact on Global Interest Rate , Currency Rates Simulation :
ASEAN China/HK/Taiwan, Japan, Korea
Russia South American
US
and Canada European Union
UK and others
Click for
Daily Global stock markets prices simulation/Forecasts : Monetary
Policy Impact on US, Asian, Russia, Brazil Inflation/Deflation, Financial Crisis Recovery
Corporate earning Stock markets Simulation :
ASEAN Crisis Asian Crisis
Russia Crisis South American Crisis
US
and Canada European Union
UK and others
Click for A.
Central bankers monetary, government policy impact on global financial crisis,
risks simulation
Click for B. Global Financial Markets, interest,
currency rate, bond, Prices Simulation Forecast.
Click for
B. Global Commodities, financial derivatives, stock prices Risks
Simulation, Forecasts.
Click for C. Financial Institution Credit Risks
simulation ( bad loan )
Click For D. Corporate operating environment Risks Simulation
(rising raw material prices, slumping
products prices, new products competition), corporate operating margin Simulation
Click for
E. Emerging Financial Market Risks Simulations
F. Call/Put options and financial derivatives prices simulations and hedging risks
minimization
Click for Global Financial Crisis Impact on Commodity futures, Financial
Derivatives, Hedging Fund Risks
Simulation : and minimization :Find out how to use this website for IBM stock
prices and put/call simulation recommendation to make sizable profits in the
volatile risky markets
Click here for
Hedging Fund Risk Management seminars for global bankers, financial
institution, fund managers
Click for Global
Financial Crisis Impact on Post merger/acquisition Performance Simulation :
Information Tech.
Biotech Oils , Pechemicals,
Auto, Finance
==========================================================================
Click here for
Corporate
risks management annual memberships available for global central bankers, financial institutions,hedging fund
managers, investment banking Corporate CEO, CFO, financial, procurement, marketing
manager,traders, investors, investment and risk management decision supports and
senior, entry level staff on the job training.
¡@
over optimistic ,hedging on the wrong side of interest rates, currency,equities, housing prices,will lead to trillion dollar
market loss, credit crisis, repeating 1998 LTCM crisis, rate cuts can not stop the housing price slump , and recession.
There will be more Bear Stearn style hedge fund failure in US and global financial market, betting on the wrong side of investments.
details can be found www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htmand www.osawh.com/fund.htm and www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Comment by Warren Huang - March 17, 2008 at 5:52 am