Gedlobal Strategic Management  OSA  forecasts, mission control , proactive structural dynamic simulators helps thousands  multinationals, investment banker maximize merger/acquisition, IPO performance, Basel II market, credit, interest rate risks adjusted return
OSA             achieve  sustainable  profit control and early warning for financial crisis, bubble bursts 
 
www.osawh.com  
About OSA   Products & Services   Nobel Prize dream    VIP/Corporate membership 

Proactive Structural Asset Pricing for
Global  Strategic  Investment  Banking Investing and Risks Early Warning Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA) Expert Systems: 

Integrating Proactive Central Banks Monetary, Economics, Fiscal  Policy, Macroeconomic control into 20 industrial sectors microeconomics supply demand, capital markets currency, interest rate, equities, bond, commodities, housing asset prices mechanism, for global dynamic asset allocation, ETF, strategic wealth management and Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery, Risks Early Warning Impact on pre/post Merger/acquisition, IPO performance, Simulation  avoided trillion dollar NPL  mortgage loan, CDO and hedge fund loss.
Global macro economy OSA   Global Capital Market Research
 
He lectured to 30 millions US, China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio HNW investors, investment banks, banking, finance, enterprises CEO, executives joined Dr. Warren Huang following
Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of global strategic investment banking OSA warned  top global investment bank senior VP,  CDO hedge fund managers on Peking University International  Financial Risk  management conference, Beijin , June 2007 and on Wall Street Journal Market beat ,August 23, 2007 that   US and global investment banking facing billions dollars loss US mortgage credit crisis due to housing bubble burst, through summer 2008, Share prices will tumble 30- 50 % from their peak

Global  Proactive Structural Strategic  Investment  Banking, Capital Markets Research Decision Analysis workshops
Breakthrough innovation in Proactive Structural Dynamic Global
Monetary ,Economic Policy Impact on Macro economic , Capital Markets  Asset Pricing integration and  Risks Dynamic Simulation:
Monetary macroeconomic policy  Financial Economics  Industrial Economy  Regional Economy  Investment banking, Capital Markets Asset Prices, Global Trade Economics
 
Breakthrough Innovation in Global Capital Market Equities Market Prices Valuation Models
Lesson from Bear Stearn Fallout Dr. Warren Huang Wall Street Jo urnal Market Beat Blog Mar. 17, 2007

I warned top global CDO, MBS, hedging fund managing directors, June 2007 Peking University International Financial Risk Management Conference and this blog last Sept that probability  based (MonteCarlo)CAPM asset valuation ignoring market fundamental price mechanism and risk management,
over optimistic ,hedging on the wrong side of interest rates, currency,equities, housing prices,will lead to trillion dollar
market loss, credit crisis, repeating 1998 LTCM crisis, rate cuts can not stop the housing price slump , and recession.
There will be more Bear Stearn style hedge fund failure in US and global financial market, betting on the wrong side of investments.
details can be found www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htmand www.osawh.com/fund.htm and www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Comment by
Warren Huang - March 17, 2008 at 5:52 am

The only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset  ( interest rate, currency, commodity, equities, stocks, bond futures, derivatives, firm, project valuation  ) prices market forces mechanism, avoided trillion dollar market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost due to current probabilistic models based ,  speculation over daily economic, business news, technical charting, statistical , probability based, market momentum based capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to  24 US, European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth  management , futures, derivatives prices forecasts conferences and on this website www.osawh.com  tracking daily results , visited by million global government, central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives universities  since 1998.  
  Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency, 1980, 1990, 2000 energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
 
Dr. Warren Huang key note speech  and workshop for China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005,  China Oil Market conference, Nov. 18, 2005 Beijin and Strategic China fund and Wealth Mnagement on China fund and wealth management conference Oct. 9, 2007 Pudong Shangri-La hotel
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on natural gas, LNG, LPG  demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management workshop

 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis, supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking  reserve by osawhh@citiz.net
Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003  Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII investment banking, capital markets executives, and  May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley  biotech, Nano technology investors, radio station , and  www.osawh.com website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer demand pushing US Oil prices  soared above 50, metals  prices reaching 23 year high drive 5000 downstream products prices
Proactive Structural Asset pricing for China/global IPO underwriting and market pricing performance

China 3 billion investment in US Blackstone Group (BX):  despite BX enjoyed US recent real estate, communication, retail  boom, its performance has been peaking out . IPO soared from 28 to 36, it will be testing below 30 to 23 due to   US facing inflationary slowdown dragging BX major real estate ( subprime and falling housing demand and prices) and weakening retail investments, sharp competitions in its communications group, and peaking out in energy commodity performance),
China investments still subject to currency exchange loss due to RMB appreciation

He warned banking finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction benefit and diversification , ignored industrial performance impact on post merger integration  on risk management decision making resulted Citigroup, UBS billion dollar loss in Russian,  LTCM crisis and year 2000 JP Morgan merge Chase resulted billions dollar lose on structural finance and current Goldman Sach merge New century billion dollar and HSBC  billion dollar loss on Washington Mutual sub-prime loan and Citigroup 5.9 billion writeoff on mortgage loan loss
and UBS 3.9 billion loan loss
Barclays 91 billion acquisition of ABN bank , will repeating Goldman Sach, HSBC trouble on future mortgage bad loan.
Monetary Policy Impact on Global Capital Markets Prices, Investment Strategy
Monetary policy impact on global stock market indices cash and futures
= F ( consumer demand , interest rates, currency )  trading loses risks simulation:
mortgage housing prices = F( money supply growth, interest rates, stock index gain)
soaring US rate resulted mortgage price slump resulted NPL
IPO, pre/post M/A demand, prices = F ( properties, stock indices , industrial sectors demand , interest rates)
investment banking cos ( Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sach ) stock prices performances = F (investors sentiment, properties, equities price bubbles, mortgage rate %)
Proactive Structural Asset Pricing for strategic  merger/acquisition pre and post merger integration performance analysis and investment strategy  
HP merge Compaq to become no.2 in computer does not help HP profit margin,( HP printer division enjoyed 8 % profit margin contributed 3.8 billion profit in 2004, while Compaq corporate computing and PC only has 1.0 % profit margin and facing increasing competition from IBM, HP, Apple in PC and sever markets, rely on job cuts for cost reduction Despite already saved 3.5 billion ) without OSA value added simulators to upgrade HPQ software, service, HPQ margin will be dragged by Compaq, stock prices doubled to 25 are overpriced, facing hard time ahead in second half 2004, stock prices will be down 50 % to 16-21
China's PC king Lenovo bought US IBM   10 billion billion sales Think Pad PC   for 1.75 billion, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global market shares, upgrade its technical and management  skill, while IBM will improve its China
marketing potential for other divisional  products ( Main frame, server, and corporate computing.)
Oracle enjoyed 23 % profit margin bought Peoples Soft ( 3.4% margin ) in customer relationships, financial, human resources data management will be drag  by PeopleSoft, and facing competition from SAP and other market players
Oracle stock prices will give up all its recent  gain, testing 10- 12
Sprint 35 billion dollar merger Nextel will facing sharp price war in wireless competition, Nextel margin will be grad by Sprint. stock prices at 24 are over valued.
Johnson & Johnson 35 billion merger Guidant, 2 billion dollar sales , 400 million earning in heart stent, pace maker,
diversify into therapeutic area.  However Guidant is over priced  at 72,  Johnson may have some room to growth.
 Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction   any attempt using IPO. recnet merger/acquisition  to speculate election, yearend  market rally will be followed   bubble burst  ( soaring oil, raw material cost, in global economic slowdown due to credit tightening) sell off bear trap , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: Despite  China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio  to 10 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to  some progress macroeconomic control with  Jan money supply growth at 16.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up10 %, asset prices, inflation  up to 3 %  (  commodities prices 15 %  and oil prices up 20 %). However Aug. producer, consumer price still up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national  housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up 13.2, China    GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 30.4  % repeat 1994,  Shanghai , Hanzhou, Guanzhou area housing price up 38 % call the need for structural  interest rate hike  to cool off the consumer and housing demand.
 soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage,  stocks prices recent rebound from 1250  to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr. Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear market technical rebound ( within 20 %  and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound 20  %. , This supply side tightening are insufficient to cool  the uneven economic overheating, must  follow US rate hike in Sept.  implement  structural  rate hikes to cut off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto and retails  demand . to cool off soaring housing and metals prices, any postpone of rate rate hike  will further delay  soft landing into second half . 2005,   He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo,  Kuotai  securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts, CEO  ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts

US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March, May  and extending into the rest of  2004.  US trade deficit soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at  3.2 % in Aug., with business  spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up,  oil, soared to 50 and metals to  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its way to cool off the economy, bond yield will return to 4.0- 4.6 %
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.  
He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap  Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq  1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 13200, Nikkei 10000- 11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain  China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks  ( including IPO )facing  30-50 % bear market  correction consolidation     

Global Rate Hikes Impact , Housing, Equities Prices, Bubble Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investments, Basel II risk control  workshops

  Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

Rate hikes Impact on Global  Oils, 20 industrial sectors demand, prices, profit squeeze simulation/forecast, strategic investment, supply chain logistics lectures/workshops tours 

  Finance group mega merger Citigroup of Traveler caught in Russia crisis, stock plunged from 75 to 29 presented by this author on JP Morgan sponsored post EURO banking and finance integration and risk management strategy Nov. 26, 1998, Rome Italy

He warned banking finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction benefit and diversification , ignored industrial performance impact on post merger integration  on risk management decision making resulted Citigroup, UBS billion dollar loss in Russian,  LTCM crisis and year 2000 JP Morgan merge Chase resulted bilions dollar lose on structural finance and current Goldman Sach merge New century billion dollar and HSBC  billion dollar loss on Washington Mutual subprime loan
Barclays 91 billion acquisition of ABN bank , will repeating Goldman Sach, HSBC troubleon future mortgage bad loan.

Monetary Policy Impact on Global Capital Markets Prices, Investment Strategy
Monetary policy impact on global stock market indices cash and futures trading loses risks simulation:
mortgage housing prices = F( money supply growth, interest rates, stock index gain)
soaring US rate resulted mortgage price slump resulted NPL
China and Asian housing industry will follow US slump in the future
Stock Index/Bond cash and future price = F (M2 money supply growth, interest rate, dollar exchange rate)
This relationship simulated last 20 years 40 daily international stock market stock indices, including normal and major crisis (under stress discontinuous data) with average error below 1.5 %. It predicted 1987 crash as FED raise fund rate 0.75 %: recent Nasdaq plunge form 5100 to 3000 as Fed 6 interest rate hike and 1995 Baring betting on the wrong side of Nikkei Index. And 1990 Nikkei crash from 38000 as Bank of Japan tightening the money supply growth from 13 % to 5 %
Global Asset Prices Simulation and Portfolio Investment Strategy (Two master hands controlling global stock prices)
This author have been successfully applying two master hands accurately tracking simulating, forecasts monetary policy impact on global daily
 gGlobal stocks index (right master hands controlling investor sentiments )and corporate earning ,hot stocks , IPO, ADR shares prices (left master hands controlling corporate stock performance) during the last 20 years in the boom and bust, burst cycle, These two master hands provide forward looking instantaneous dynamics simulation forecast, instead of?speculate on the past economic and corporate earning data?( 3 month behind) resulted overbought and oversold caused trillions dollars market loss
Over 30 million China, Taiwan government, banking, finance, corporate CEO, fund managers, analyst, traders, investors have been benefited by this author lecture on two master hands controlling global stocks prices to China's 12 cities , Taiwan TV, radio daily, weekly commentary , and workshops since 1987
Global Stock Index Simulation :The right master hand simulate last 20 years monetary policy impact on daily stock index

This right master hand pinpoint the risks of overheated investor sentiments (monetary policy tell you do not chase index when they are too hot, when every fundamental and technical analysts recommending bull market continue,, investors chasing ( the author warned on July 20 1998 Dow approaching 9500, is overheated for 20 % correction, Next day Greenspan warning on inflation and rate hike, drag Dow to 7500 and Jan 2000, Dr. Huang warned on www.sina.com and www.osawh.com that Nasdaq overheated for correction to 2000 , It plunge from 5100 to 2000 later

Global corporate earning, profit margin simulation (Left master hands)
Corporate margin/earning = F( Sales, Costs) = F (raw material, financial, labor costs, sale prices)=F (monetary policy, currency)
US refinery opera ting profit margin is very much depend on the crude oil cost, refining products gasoline, heating oil prices . the relation is shown on Chart the margin varies from 3 % 9 %

Global Corporate Stock Prices Simulation :
The left master hand simulate last 20 years monetary policy impact on daily industrial supply, demand, prices, profit margin: raw material, financial, labor costs, sales and unit prices, corporate earning, profit margin

global stock prices = F (Global stock index, corporate profit margin/earning)

The left master hand will tell you how monetary policy impact on the industrial sectors supply demand, prices corporate earning, profit margin stock prices? decline is over, when everybody is selling ready for turnaround
Therefore combing right master hands( investors sentiment) and the left master(corporate performance) will accurately predicted last 20 years global stock prices (hot stocks, ADR, IPO)

Hi-tech IPO stock prices simulation = F( Nasdaq index, corporate or industry group earning)

These two master hand controlling IPO prices as well
For Internet stock index are related to US Fed money supply growth, interest rate and investor sentiment (Nasdaq index), as for individual internet IPO stock prices, they are related to the internet stock and Nasdaq index (investor sentiment in internet) and corporate revenue and earning outlook(depend on industry trend and regional economy.

Global ADR shares prices = F( Home country investor sentiment, listed country investor sentiment, stock earning, margin) = F ( home country stock index, US Nasdaq index, corporate earning)
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Global Banking, Financial Crisis Simulation, Forecasts, Risk Early Warning
presented by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang to 20 Asian, US, EURO, ASEAN central banks governors, financial management conferences 1999- 2001
S.OSA- Asset Bubble Burst-
Simulation of  Greenspan Aug 27 , 1999, March 20, 2001 speech on focus on stock markets asset bubble burst in Global Stock prices impact on house, business spending,  housing properties prices,, GDP and  central banks Monetary Policy
A. OSA-Country Risks: Country inflation/Deflation economic and business cycle, capital flow, currency, systemic credit, nonperformance loan, banking crisis and  default risks simulation and control
B. OSA-Credit Risk:     Macro-economic imbalance,  currency, commodity, interest rate, stocks bond, derivative market trading, policy, operation , liquidity default  risks simulation, control,
C. OSA-Commodity:    Policy, currency, oil prices, supply/demand impact  on Energy,   Feed grain, food,metals, fibers futures and derivative prices resulted trading loss simulation.
D. OSA-Currency:   Interest rate spread, trade impact on  daily global currency , and it's derivatives prices dynamicsthe onset of currency crisis risks simulation and control
E. OSA-Interest Rate: Policy, currency, inflation, commodity price shocks impact  on short , long term interest rate, treasury  and corporate bond spread  and it's derivatives prices risks simulation , control
F. OSA- Market Risk; Policy, external shocks impact on global money, currency, stocks, derivatives markets price risks simulation, control
G. OSA-Merger RIsk: Policy, external shocks, technology innovation impact on pre/post merger/acquisition cost/benefit, profit margin, stock prices performance risks simulation, control.:
Big is not beautiful, it is risky: presented by Dr. Huang on JP Morgan sponsored post EURO banking and finance integration and risk management strategy Nov. 26, 1998, Rome Italy
He warned banking finance industry mega merger emphasized on staff reduction nbenefit and diversification , ignored post merger integration improvement on risk management decision making resulted Citigroup, UBS billion dollar loss in RUssian, and LTCM crisis.

Dr Huang  accurately predicted   Chase Manhatten 36 billion dollar merge  JP Morgan failed  to supportDow above 11200   it will be another one day rally, finance, JMP will give all it's gain  to 150, Chase plunge to 45 drag Dow  down to  test 10200 soon as Chase- JPM merger will not help boost the stock market trading volume, while facing addition market slump related crisis as both companies already experienced) 12/9/200)
Goldman Sach(GS)merger Spear Leed, stock market maker for 7 billion will not help GS near term perfo rmance due to IPO slowdown and falling stock prices and trading volume. GS shares will  test 120 .(11/9/2000  HWP as predicted by Dr. Huang will  testing 100.  dispite HWP merge Pricewaterhouse for 17 billion are too expensive, will not help ne ar term HWP profit margin.  HWP will be testing 100 (11/9/2000)

UBS offered 11.6 billion to merge Donaldson  Lufkin
( the merger is too expensive and risky for UBS which just recoverd billion dollars loese in 1998 RUssian and LTCM crisis , will face markets slump risk in year end. UBS share will be down in the range 110 ans 150
Globa banking and finance stocks are overpriced through  speculated on waves of global finance mega mergers in Duetsch bank- Banker Trust, and other mergers can not improve it's near term peroformance in global slowdown in loaan demand, slumping stock prices and even exposed to biger nonperformance loan default risks. These stocks prices will give all it's gain in the  earning decline news month ahead
H.OSA-Procurement: Monetary policy, macroeconomic, currency, oil price shock impact on global oil,  petrochemicals, plastics, fibers, commodities,  semiconductor raw material prices strategic procurement management
I.OSA-Real Estate Risk: Monetary policy, commodities prices shock, stock markets wealth effect, inflation, capital flow  impact  on residential, office properties prices  and rent, nonperfromance  loan risk simualtion, control ,
K. OSA Eonomic,Business Cycle Risk::  Monetary policy, external shock impact on inflation, GNP, unemployment, wages,  consumer confidence,  auto, housing, appliance, electronic demand, export, purchasing managers index etc.
L. Profit Margin and accounting malpractice risks: Simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact supply, demand, prices,profit margin, provide pre-warning of ENRON, TYCO, Global Crossing accounting malpractices.

click here for  ASEAN, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, US  Banking, Finance Industry Risks Regulation, Supervision  Real  Options  Risk simulation, Control and reform, restructuring, reengineering workshops program, schedules
Click for Dr. Warren Huang  speeches, research papers on OSA Methodology and Applications 1980- 2002

He  has been invited to speak to top 20 global financial crisis and risk management conferences since 1999
Click here for Dr. Warren Huang's recent  paper on "Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial, BankingCrisis presented to Washington DC, Macao int'l central bank governors conference,   Taipei's Pacificfinance, and economic conference, Barcelona, Spain, European Finance Conference during Apr- June 1999

 Click for Daily Global Interest rate, currency exchange simulation/Forecasts     Monetary Policy Impact on Current US slowdown, Asian, Russia, Brazil  Inflation/Deflation, Financial Crisis, Recovery Impact  on  Global  Interest Rate , Currency Rates Simulation :
          ASEAN   China/HK/Taiwan, Japan, Korea       Russia    South American
                  US    and Canada            European Union       UK and others

Click for   Daily Global stock markets prices simulation/Forecasts :  Monetary Policy Impact on US, Asian, Russia, Brazil  Inflation/Deflation, Financial Crisis Recovery    Corporate earning Stock markets Simulation :
        ASEAN Crisis     Asian Crisis        Russia Crisis      South American Crisis  
                US   and Canada      European Union        UK and others
 
Click for A. Central bankers monetary, government   policy impact on global financial crisis,  risks simulation
Click for B. Global Financial Markets,  interest, currency  rate, bond, Prices Simulation Forecast.
Click for B. Global Commodities, financial derivatives, stock prices Risks Simulation, Forecasts.
Click for C. Financial Institution Credit  Risks simulation  ( bad loan )
Click  For D. Corporate operating environment Risks Simulation (rising raw material prices, slumping
products prices, new  products competition), corporate operating margin Simulation
Click for E. Emerging Financial Market Risks Simulations
F. Call/Put options and financial derivatives prices simulations and hedging risks minimization
Click for   Global Financial Crisis Impact on Commodity futures, Financial Derivatives, Hedging Fund Risks
Simulation : and minimization  :Find out how to use this website for  IBM stock prices and put/call simulation recommendation to make  sizable profits in the volatile risky markets 

Click  here for Hedging Fund Risk Management seminars for  global  bankers, financial institution, fund managers
Click for Global Financial Crisis Impact on Post merger/acquisition Performance Simulation :
Information Tech.         Biotech           Oils , Pechemicals,         Auto,     Finance

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Corporate risks management annual  memberships available  for global central bankers, financial institutions,hedging fund managers, investment banking Corporate CEO, CFO, financial, procurement, marketing manager,traders, investors, investment and risk management  decision supports and senior, entry level staff on the job training. 

Contact :    wh3928@yahoo.com   San Francisco, USA)
                    Copyright 2007  www.osawh.com/ Dr. Warren Huang

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