Singapore Proactive Dynamic  Monetary Policy, Inflation ,Asset Prices Bubbles Operations Simulation Analysis and its  Impact on Economy, Capital  Markets Asset Prices, Wealth effect, Risks 
Singapore  Asian Financial Crisis, Economic Recession, Recovery Risk Management OSA

Structural, dynamic Predictive Global Central Banks Monetary Policy for Sustainable Growth and Asset Prices Stability Guidance and Control:  Policy Impact Simulation  beat daily capital, money, insurance, property market Workshops
Monetary,  Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO  impact on Global  Economic, Business cycles, Asset, Wealth , Prices  bubbles burst, oil, energy , Currency crisis, recession FEED FORWARD ( predicted 3-6 month ahead) SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND ASSET PRICES STABILITY CONTROL Financial Markets Return, Asset Allocation, Strategic Risks OSA (RIGHT  HAND )  
Structural, Dynamics simulation of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on last 20 years global macro economic, business cycles, capital market asset prices, bubbles , financial crisis, boom and busts achieving growth and prices stability control predicted 1- 3 month ahead,  Global/ Asian financial crisis since 1980 and 2000 high tech bubble burst and 2001-2003 global market crash and recovery :
 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 %,  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferences , and this website that
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring , photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
and again  to Euro-events Singapore  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops warning  US, global analysts over optimistic economic recovery, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high, soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, China stocks bull market is over, entering bear market consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1300-1400, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % , low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound.   US trade deficit soared to 48 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence, business spending peaking out, facing  squeeze in  summer 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 110,000, economic growth, stock prices peaking out in the third quarter, facing consolidation. US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 5.1% in May, with consumer spending up 1%, consumer confidence above 100, more rate hikes are required to cool off the economy. 
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing consolidation.
He lectures Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares,  up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in commodities prices reaching 19 year peak, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets, in  the week ahead. US CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic .  US CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May lead to serious housing bubble repeat 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 10200- 10900, Nasdaq  1950- 2150 , Taiwan index  6000- 7000, Henseng 12500- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1600- 1790, Shenzhen 3700- 4250, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 102- 110, US, Asian and European stocks gave up all this year gain and follow US stocks  rebound to new high in the second quarter 2004

Global Capital Markets Asset Prices, Bubbles Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investment/ Basel II risk management lecture/workshops tours 
 (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million , banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983,     by  your expert 80 )

 Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

Global central banks underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high and inflation. facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May 2004 predicted , warned by Thousands   causes and effect structural, dynamic proven predictive OSA simulators beat  daily money, capital, insurance, property markets ( published thousands articles, 30 million copies ( over 10 million readers ) for reliable tracking, forecasts 3 month ahead of last 20 years  central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global/China economy, daily capital market asset prices, bubble early warning, tailor to QFII/QDII  investment needs.
 Dr. Huang accurately  predicted  last 20 years daily US interest rate, commodities, gold, oil prices daily capital market prices 4 month ahead and again at  Shanghai University of Finance, Economics, Oct. 25,  Euro-event  Singapore, Nov. 5,  2003 Asian Finance, capital market conference on  Monetary policy impact on Asian and China  economic outlook, asset prices, warned  that any free float of RMB will  lead to China currency crisis and US runaway inflation and  repeat past global financial crisis, bubble burst. Only Dr. Huang's two master hands ( interest rate and trade, economic policy ) market forces price mechanism guide through RMB gradual appreciation is the best approach, regardless peg to the dollar or a basket of currency. and 
 Dr. Huang's two OSA master hands you are in good hands  for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, mutual  fund  optimal asset allocation equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,  risk hedging  tracking/forecasts month ahead  the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website  since 1998 ,  over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops since 1985 predicted 2000- 2003  global IT stocks and mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund plunged 50- 70 %  July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks rebound March 2003 Dow Jones rebound from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 % rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002 again in 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  , 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers , identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening, US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble  corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 300,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst  thereafter following rate hike, second quarter bubble  CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % force Greenspan raise interest rate  in May and  summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook  serious housing bubble will lead to rate hike, despite high unemployment in the election year and global IT and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1900- 2090 , Taiwan index  6000- 7000, Henseng 12500- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1600- 1750, Shenzhen 3500- 4100, Euro : 1.18- 1.29 , Yen 105- 112, US, Asian and European stocks gave up all this year gain.
 

 ASEAN countries will follow US rate hike, facing slowdown by yearend

 USA    Australia  Asian  Canada  China   Hong Kong   Taiwan    Thailand   Japan  S. Korea   Singapore  Malaysia  Phillipines  Indonesia   Viet-Nan   India  UK/EURO  Russia/E. Europe    Mexico   Argentina  Brazil
 
 Dr. Huang global strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours  (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
=========== North American China investment seminar===========================
 He will be the keynote speaker for Global Chinese Finance Forum investment seminar, May 8, 2004, San Francisco to speak on Strategic OSA maximize North American investors investment return in China-US business ventures.
US and global markets   global capital markets investment strategic simulation tailored to your need . please email wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
=============
  2004 Singapore OSA:
 Monetary Policy on  inflation, GNP and economic indicators  for sustainable  growth and asset price stability)
 OSA simulation  macro-economics:
Inflation rate = F (Money supply growth rate %, Oil prices, Commodity index, Dollar exchange rate)
GNP = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, Export Growth Rate)
Property prices = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
NAPM = F( Consumer spending growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
Business, consumer spending = F( Overnite interest rate, money supply growth,   exchange rate)
Stock indices = F( Dow Jones index), Interest rate,  exchange rate
Singapore is still recovering from SARS , despite export  is benefited by  Asian recovery and US, EURO demand rebound in IT products (67 % of export) boosted it's  economic recovery,  suffered 4 %  GDP  and 6 % in industrial production contraction in the second quarter. Strait Time index rebound to 1550  from 1250 earlier 2003 following US Nasdaq plunged  ( Dr Huang accurately predicted in early 2000 that it will follow  US Nasdaq plunge 65 % resulted IT bubble burst,  and product demand, prices plunge 50- 70 % resulted Singapore export plunge 20 % resulted shrinking  trade surplus lead second quarter 2001 GDP plunged 6. 8% which put pressure on Singapore dollar  traded -1.80-1.9
US 2003 second half recovery pulling Singapore export, economy and manufacturing out of recession.
 
Private investment index: benefited by strong export, Strait Times stock index, this index soared 10 %money supply growth from 3 to 8.5 %  leading to rebound in properties prices in 2000. However, it plunge more than 50 % in 2002 due to US  recession, money supply growth plunge back to 2 % It rebound in early 2002 and falling again with US slowdown
Private consumption  index:  benefited by strong export,  doubled Strait time   stock index, this index soared 20 %money supply growth from 3 to 8.5 %  leading to rebound in  demand for computer, auto durable goods, retail sales and   crude oils, import It gave up all it's gain due to US slowdown, money supply growth plunge back to 4 % It rebound in early 2002 and falling again with US slowdown early this year hurt by SARS
manufacturing  production index : down  6 % still hurt by SARS, and China competition in electronics (down 17 % in the second quarter) benefited by drug industries ( Merck) will recover in the final quarter Benefited by US recovery, may getting out of recession in the second half  2003
Export : Benefited by strong US and Asian recovery demand, commodities prices  20 %    export growth at up 25 % from 4 % in 2000,However, US slowdown lead to  export slowdown, and   IT prices rebound  will lead  production and export picking up slowly in the second half 2003
Import : up due to rising oil, raw material import prices   in  computer, auto durable goods, retail sales and  , crude oils, import,
Trade Surplus : Up to  1.  billion  due to  oil prices declining import and export boost .
Singapore Dollar Currency :  steady at 1.65 due to rebound of  trade surplus  and US dollar weakness   will be traded between  1.65- 1.69
Strait Time Index : recovered to 1900 is overheated  will follow Nasdaq retreat and Soaring oil prices , will  be traded between 1750- 1900
Agricultural , Food prices: will  down 10 % due to falling oil commodities prices   will be stabilize .
Inflation still under control:  deflation 0.5 %
Interest rate:  0.87 %
GDP growth rate %:  hurt by SARS, supported by export,  Strait Time index  rebound  cut consumer spending third quarter  GDP  up 15 % from second quarter, but only up 1 % from year ago.  will return to growth   4 % in the final quarter and 2004  
:Most active stocks OSA Forecasts
  Singapore strait times index
  will be traded  1750-1900 will be drag down by Nasdaq correction and banking, finance stocks are over priced will follow US banking finance stocks 10 % correction due to soaring bad loan in stock market slump in the weeks ahead:
DBS bank 14- 18
 OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang return from  Asia, lectured on Monetary policy impact on global capital markets asset prices, bubble early warning, risk management  to Euro-events  Asian finance, capital markets conference Nov. 5, 2003, China, finance, capital market conference, Nov. 25, 2003, Shanghai, Nov. 27, Beijin, 2003  will offer keynote speech and half day workshop for Wealth Management Conference: March. 23-35, 2004, Grand Hyatt, Singapore. He will speak on Global strategic wealth management , asset allocation, and risk hedging , introducing thousands strategic investment simulators predicted 3 month ahead  on global financial crisis, asset, wealth bubble burst, avoided trillion dollar market, wealth loss for 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US, European investors since 1985
He will offer in-house strategic wealth management workshops for Beijin, Shanghai, Hong, Kong, Taipei, Singapore QFII, QDII, VIP investors, traders , banking, insurance CEO, executives during Feb- March
reserve by osawhh@citiz.net  /wh3928@yahoo.com  
==== Shanghai/Beijin Euro-events   Conference/in-house workshops Announcement ===========
 ==  China Finance, Capital Market Summit  Conference/in-house workshops ====
 You are welcome to join Dr. Huang lecture to Shanghai lectures to  Euro-Events  China Finance and Capital Market  SUMMIT conference and booth at  Ball room,  500, Weihai Rd. , Four Seasons Hotel,  Nov. 25 and  Beijin  Nov.  27 to 400  China  government regulation, banking, finance ,  QFII, corporate CEO, CFO, executives on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on China economy and capital market asset prices, bubble, simulation, risk management  He will demonstrate his successful experience in predicting 1994-96 macroeconomic control soft-landing (offered thousand nationwide TV, radio daily tracking lecturing and 100 banking, finance companies risk management) and current China Peoples Bank credit tightening
 www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
Other Asian countries  by reservation  osawhh@citiz.net   or  wh3928@yahoo.com Dr. Warren Huang speak to Shanghai Finance and Economic University China Finance for sustainable growth Shanghai Oct. 25  and Dec. 20 to Peking University China economic research center sponsored China economic society annual meeting at Fudan University  on Strategic China  Banking, Finance, Enterprises Reform  introducing OSA simulation models. on-China capital market asset prices simulation, bubble early warning Monetary , economic, fiscal policy , foreign investments impact on China  capital market  industrial sectors market  forces in market economy,  demand, prices mechanism, profit margin, investment return and risk management 
He will offer Shanghai  full day in house CEO/CFO financial managers  China capital market , banking, finance, reform and capital market asset prices  mechanism  SUMMIT workshops   Nov. 28-Dec 18
===  Singapore Asia Finance, Capital Market Summit  Conference/in-house workshops ====
 Dr. Huang will speak to Singapore Euro-Events Asian Finance and Capital Market  SUMMIT conference Nov.5  three  hundred Asian government regulation, , banking, finance , corporate CEO, CFO, executives on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on Asian ( China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan )economy and capital market asset prices, bubble, simulation, risk management  http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt

Other Asian countries by reservation  osawhh@citiz.net   or  wh3928@yahoo.com Dr. Warren Huang will speak to Shanghai Finance and Economic University China Finance for sustainable growth Shanghai Oct. 25 on China capital market asset prices simulation, bubble early warning Monetary , economic, fiscal policy , foreign investments impact on China  capital market  industrial sectors market  forces in market economy,  demand, prices mechanism, profit margin, investment return and risk management 
He will offer Shanghai  full day in house CEO/CFO financial managers  China capital market Banking, Real Estate, Construction materials  auto asset prices, bubble simulation workshops
  first time  shown on this website the  most reliable  global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts ( last update Oct. 2002), go to in-house workshops for recent update)wh3928@yahoo.com Sept. , 2003  Edition

Trillion dollar Nonperformance   assets Management, workshops, 
OSA maximize nonperformance  debt, equities, property asset   performance, value recovery, pre- warning for future NPL workshops   tracking  the causes, onset, recovery, prevent  of  assets bubble burst reserve your in-house workshops email wh3928@yahoo.com

 Dr. Huang return from Asia, lectured to Asian Business Forum's   in Kuala Lumpur Sept. 30, 2002  spoke to European, Asian central banks, stock exchanges, banking, securities executives on global nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties  asset prices , credit risk simulation, investment strategy and  Asset Backed Securitization workshops: predicting the unpredictable futures to  minimize bad loan ,shares buy back  procurement ,
 Goal: Dynamic tracking simulation the root causes, onset, recovery  of  ASEAN currency crisis,  Asian financial crisis and US new economy bubble burst, EURO economic slowdown  impact on  Singapore macro GNP, inflation, export,  interest rates, currency,  stocks, commodity, electronics, products, properties prices impact on consumer and business spending, to predict, forecast overpriced asset prices resulted consumers spending imbalance and business profit slump due to central banks raising interest rates to cool off the economy, leading to bubble burst and abrupt change in consumer and business confidence caused stock prices plunges with average error below 1.5 %, correlation constant above 0.95.

>Monetary Policy on global stock prices,: Global stock prices and monetary policy impact on consumer and business spending. Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on housing properties prices and rent Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on GDP macro-economics performance. Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on procurement manager index Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on consumer and business confidence Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on saving rate. Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on corporate supply  chain costs,  profit margin Global monetary policy, external shocks( commodities, oils prices, currency and credit default) impact on burst, burst, abrupt change of consumer, business confidence (Asian crisis, LTCM, US Nasdaq plunge, South American crisis))

Dr. Warren Huang accurately predicted 1997 Thailand and ASEAN currency crisis and 1998 summer on  www.osawh.com and Rome Nov.  1998  speech  that the falling oil, commodity prices and strong dollar will lead to  US  cut interest rates , to allowed  Asian countries cut interest rate to pre crisis level, stock rebound strongly lead to increased Thailand and  Asian export growth, consumer demand, and recovery. 
Dr. Huang also accurately predicted on 1999 May Macao  China Peoples Bank governor sponsored Asian central bank governors conference that US Fed will raise fund rate in June  1999 due to soaring stocks, properties, oil prices, which will take US stocks and Asian stock prices into minimum 15 % correction, and some internet stock with 50 -90 % corrections, Dow Jones will test 9,100, Nasdaq test  1700, Henseng test 12000, Nikkei test 12,000, Bangkok index down to 260, Taiwan index down to 4500 with  asset  bubble  simulation models on Macao's central bank governors conference, Taipei's Pacific Basin finance conference and Washington DC NASD conferences. during April and May 1999. and 2001 Asian Pacific Finance conference in Bangkok, July 24, and keynote speech on  Supply chain strategy conference/ workshop in Singapore,Apr 26-27
 Singapore  ADR shares prices OSA,  asset bubble earning warning,

Name Symbols outlook.  early warning trading range
DBS Group holding DBSDY  slow Singapore recovery   30-40
Chartered Semiconductor CHRT  PRICE CUTTING, COMPETITION   9-12

SIngapore Land troubled by home prices will be in S 2- 3.2
Singapore airline hurting by slowdown and fare cutting will be traded between S10- 13
These deterministic, dynamic simulation of last 20 years global asset prices, and economy boom and bust of the asset bubble vicious cycle of excessive monetary policy, low interest rate induced sustained long term bull markets stocks prices gain caused consumer and business spending in real estate properties pushed soaring housing prices and rent. And deficit spending (negative saving) in stock markets, pushed the stock s even higher, until abrupt reverse of consumer and investor confidence --the bubble burst- plunge of stocks and properties prices as it happened in US, Japan, Taiwan in 1980, 1987, 1990, energy crisis, EURO 1992 currency crisis, 1994 China runaway inflation, 1995 Mexico crisis, 1997-98 ASEAN, Japan, Korea, Russia, Brazil currency crisis, all caused by overpriced stock prices due to excess monetary policy and high GDP growth
USA        China      Thailand       Taiwan      Japan      Hong Kong     Korea        Singapore    Indonesia     Canada  Mexico