www.osawh.com  OSA Global Strategic Investment, Supply Chain Logistics, Basel II  Risks Management  Early Warning Decision Analysis Capitalize on the fast changing global economy, daily capital market asset prices , avoided trillion dollars markets investment loss, NPL loan.   Corporate / Individual VIP Memberships
   公司及個人會員
國際金融風險模擬控制企業重組再造會員  
Don't Miss This Workshop Opportunities in China/global coal,  energy ,petrochemicals, freight, power industry demand, prices, investment risks forecast

Dr. Warren Huang, has offered thousand of seminars/workshops, invited to speak to  US, ECB, UK, China Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Japan, Asian  central banks governors, IMF, BIS, financial management, government strategy global e-investing, e-risk management conferences, in US, Europe, Asian Pacific  in 1998-2005 and 100 international Chemicals Engineering ,Information management,  OPEC ministers  conferences, offer thousands on the job training workshops, written thousands of OSA investment strategy and risk management reports( appeared on hundreds of  China economics, financial times, Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan securities news daily newspapers and Taiwan central daily, economic, commercial times, industrial economics daily newspaper,  weekly investment, trade journal, global economics, government, economic, finance, stock exchanges, Bank of Communications industrial finance, petrochemical industry journals. His 32 global strategic management real options operations simulation analysis systems have been recommended by US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Processing 1991-2003 advanced control, information management  Total Quality Management handbooks ( www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html  , more than 1600 multinational managers from Exxon, BPAMOCO, Du Pont, IBM, Shell, BP) from 75 countries contacted for applications), and conducted university teaching and research  in helping 300,000  Taiwan importer/ exports memberships association100 countries currency, trade strategy,  Lectured to China 15 cities TV, radio 32 millions global  banking, financial, fund , trade, procurement, marketing managers, investors and trained   thousands of financial, economic students  applying it to real time  track, simulate the global central bankers monetary policy impact on  daily money, currency, stock, bond, commodities and financial futures, options prices, portfolio management, IPO, mergers/ acquisition  strategy, taking advantage of investment opportunities in  last 20 years  global  financial crisis, while minimize the risks through the following corporate / VIP annual memberships:

Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency, 1980, 1990, 2000 energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003  Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio station , and  www.osawh.com website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer demand pushing US Oil prices  soared above 50, metals  prices reaching 23 year high drive 5000 downstream products prices and inflation up, will follow economic recovery in the second half of  2004 and not transitory .  weak dollar due  to soaring trade deficit, ( 55.3 billion  for June, 50 for July ) will drive  inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in May till the end of 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June, Aug  , Sept 0.25 % rate hikes China credit tightening, will follow US rate hike in 2004, global economy facing inflationary slowdown ( second half US GDP below 3 %) and followed by stagflation next year with  stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30- 50 % correction Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google will  plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate election, yearend  market rebound will be followed by post election bubble burst  ( soaring oil, raw material cost, in global economic slowdown due to credit tighteninh) sell off bear trap , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: Despite  China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to  some progress macroeconomic control with Aug money supply growth at 14.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales down 10 %, asset prices, inflation retreat from May ( benefited by  commodities prices down 15 % ). However Aug. producer, consumer price still up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national  housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up 13.2, China  first half GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 30.4  % repeat 1994, call the need for interest rate hike in Oct. to cool off the consumer and housing demand.  soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage,  stocks prices recent rebound from 1250  to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr. Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear market technical rebound ( within 20 %  and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound 20  %. , This supply side tightening are insufficient to cool  the uneven economic overheating, must  follow US rate hike in Sept.  implement  structural  rate hikes to cut off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto and retails  demand . to cool off soaring housing and metals prices, any postpone of rate rate hike  will further delay  soft landing into second half . 2005,   He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo,  Kuotai  securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts, CEO  ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March, May  and extending into the rest of  2004.  US trade deficit soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at  3.2 % in Aug., with business  spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up,  oil, soared to 50 and metals to  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its way to cool off the economy, bond yield will return to 4.0- 4.6 %
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.   He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap  Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq  1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 13200, Nikkei 10000- 11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain  China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks  ( including IPO )facing  30-50 % bear market  correction consolidation   
These tailored  made corporate memberships services ( only for corporate internal use) include:
A. Conduct brainstorming  operations review, Identify the problem, scope, collect  past operating history
B. Problem causes, onset, early warning systems OSA: Developing OSA  global investing, supply chain, marketing ,Basel II risk simulation ,control early warning decision analysis models and OSA analysis
C. Organize goal , mission, performance   oriented  strategic, execution OSA teams  tracking, improving the performance, meeting the goal  for achieving sustainable profit and market share growth
D.  4 free executive on the job training  workshops for entry level and senior executive supported by training simulators  tracking full year operations
E. One full year  weekly free email investing, supply chain prices simulation, forecasts , investment and cost reduction risk management consulting
This membership is designed for supporting : 
1. Global central bankers ,financial institution banking, financial crisis simulation,  corporate governance  Basel II
business cycle, interest rate, currency, market, credit, operational risks supervision, regulation, nonperformance) accounting  mal-practices early warning, prevention , avoided trillion dollar markets loss, NPL.
2. Global (China, Taiwan, US, Hong Kong) securities, investment , investment banking, mutual fund  global capital markets  asset prices simulation, asset allocation, portfolio selection, investment risk management
3. Global Money Markets interest rates, bond  markets investment, risks hedging.
4. Global Currency Markets, exchange rates investment, risks hedging.
5.Oil,  Commodity , metals futures, supply chain , logistics  cost reduction strategy
6. Stock Index futures. Financial derivatives, hedging, (options, warrants)
8. Investment banking maximize global merger/acquisition pre and post acquisition performance, investment strategy
9. Information technology, internet e-commerce, e-business, IPO pricing, Venture Capital   investment e-risk management strategy 
10. Global government, state , medium, small enterprises reform, restructuring, reengineering, BPR process improvement, cost reduction, market shares change management
11. Global Real estate, insurance properties prices simulation, investment risk management
12. Global import/export competitive pricing, market share strategy
13. Simulation of causes, onset, recovery, pre-warning of  global financial, currency crisis, Nonperformance assets
14. Global Housing, Real Estate, Building material Prices, bubble burst simulation, investment strategy, risks control
15. Global biotech/drug/chemical product/process R & D , IPO, marketing innovation center
For each of the corporate membership you selected, :OSA will develop information knowledge base, strategic simulation forecasts, investment strategy 
A. Weekly email services for  the following weeks decision support on monetary policy and global financial markets crisis,  investment strategy simulations, risk control  
B; OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will  Setup your goal, mission, performance oriented OSA teams
for you, provide on the job  decision analysis training of your top and entry level staff.
C. OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will offer two  free  OSA strategic workshops
For each VIP investors, only weekly email forecast for the items selected are provided only for personal use
 Global central banks, economist, financial market analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning on Singapore, Shanghai Euroevents lecture on Asian/China Finance, Capital Market Conferences, Nov. 2003,  and www.osawh.com website underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high and inflation. facing credit tightening, rate hikes , suffered trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments, predicted , warned by
 Global Economy and Financial Markets Asset Prices Mechanism   Simulation /Forecasts through
  Dr. Huang two OSA master hands you are in good hands accurately predicted on Euroevents Singapore, Shanghai, Beijin Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets Conference Nov. 2003 that US and China underestimated excessive  US rate, tax cuts, dollar plunged 30 % and soaring China consumer demand, FDI  will push oil commodities, metal prices hit 23 year high early 2004 push US, China inflation to 3. % US 10 year bond yield up 1.2 % to 4.8 % resulted 380 billion dollar loss and series  rate hike after May 2004, Global high tech stocks make 30- 50 % correction, Nasdaq testing 1850., Dow test 9750,
 OSA for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, mutual  fund  optimal asset allocation equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,  risk hedging  tracking/forecasts month ahead  the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website  since 1998  .  Over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops tracking his last 20 years results  predicted China 1994-96 macroeconomic control, softlanding and to 20 global central banks governor conference, 1999-2000 on  2000 IT bubble burst plunge 70- 90 % and  mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund plunged 50- 70 %  July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks bull markets  rally  March 2003 Dow Jones  from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, India, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 %  2003 March rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference Oct. 2002  to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002
 He predicted again  2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A  blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%,  US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble  corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst  thereafter,  second quarter bubble  CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to 5.3 % force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate  after  summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT shares facing 30- 50 % correction, oil and metal prices will making new high and inflation in final quarter of 2004 and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund  facing correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1750- 2050 , Taiwan index  5160-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, . Shanghai A 1250- 1550, Shenzhen 3000- 3600, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,  China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and  stocks gave up all this year gain.
 Dr. Huang global strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours  (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
 Book Dr. Warren Huang's  China/US credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk  hedging 2004 second half  global investment strategy workshops (  June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin, Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while minimize credit, markets, operational risks.osawhh@citiz.net
 References
 
For membership applications, indicating corporate/VIP and item and country, market  selected for each membership
 please contact:  wh3928@yahoo.com/  osawhh@citiz.net  :   whuang3928@aol.com        網站:: www.osawh.com

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