Proactive Structural Strategic Energy Finance Enterprises Risks Management Workshop:
China / Global Coal, Oil, Gas, LNG, LPG, Freight, Power Demand, Prices Market Forces
Mechanism Simulation, Strategic Enterprises Financing Risks Management and Global Financial, Energy Crisis Stability
Simulation, Early Warning System
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, OSA global strategic risk management
Strategic Basel II Risks OSA early warning maximize risks
adjusted return
workshop
Goal and Mission :
Tracking, simulate, early warning systems for China coal, oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG, freight, power industry project financing country policy impact,
energy financing operational, markets, credits risks, avoid trillion market loss, saving billion dollar supply chain , energy costs and energy process
and policy de-bottlenecking.
Workshop highlights:
A. Country Risks:
1. US, China central banks macroeconomic control, monetary policy rate hikes impact on inflation, GDP, interest rate, RMB currency market forces prices mechanism and 2005 forecasts.
China economic plan, economic, energy policy reform, macro-economic impact on Natural gas, LNG, LPG downstream
demand, supply market forces prices mechanism and future demand forecast.
B. Currency Risks: China and global monetary policy, macroeconomic control impact on global interest rates, import,
export trade balance impact on RMB and global currencies market forces prices mechanism forecast and risks.
C. Credit Risks: China and foreign players ( coal, oil, gas, freight , upstream/downstream power plant, exploration, production ) market prices
impact on sales, cash flow, profit, stock prices associated credit default risk simulation early warning
D. Operational Risks : Project financing risks among all phases of natural coal, gas, LNG, LPG ,freight, power industry from planning, construction,
exploration, production and, downstream power plant, heating supply chain logistics asset management, safety,
accident risks simulation
E. Market Risks: Global equities, bond, commodity market prices forecasts: Rate hike impact on daily stock indices
prices mechanism simulation, forecasts China listed A, B ,US ADR , Hong Kong blue chips, red chips, H shares profit margin, stock prices
simulation forecast,US, Asian, European), coal, oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG, ocean, land freight, electricity demand, prices market forces
spot, futures, derivatives prices mechanism, forecast, structured finance risk mitigation swap strategy, project risks, return forecasts..
F. Corporate Governance Risks : Tracking, simulation for upstream/downstream projects cost and financial accounting, scandals early
warning maximize transparency and risks adjusted profit
G. Merger/acquisition/IPO listing Risks: Valuation, pre/post merger performance, risks, return simulation, forecasts.
H. Energy Trade Finance Risks: Energy import, export financing markets competitive pricing , credit default risks.
I. Strategic Basel II risk management early warning systems supporting 3 pillars( capital requirement, regulation,
supervision , maximize transparency in corporate governance of Basel II risk management
Who should attend:
China economic planning, monetary policy, energy policy makers, government strategic petroleum reserve, China /
foreign coal, oil, gas, LNG, LPG , petrochemicals, freight, upstream/downstream construction project , power plant utility CEO, CFO, planning, investment,
supply chain, energy traders, marketing managers , security, retail banking, investment banking, insurance regulation commission executives
China QDII and QFII foreign investment , commercial bank CFO, investment loan, fund and risks managers, oil,
natural gas, LNG, LPG companies CEO, CFO, senior executives, traders
Cost : Lecturer round trip air fare, lecture fee
Benefits: avoided risks due to billion dollar market loss and save billion dollar SCM costs
Reservation: in-house by reservation
2004/ Feb 24-25, 2005 Beijin for Asian Business Forum and others by
reservation osawhh@sina.com wh3928@yahoo.com .
for
Basel II Capital Requirement, Risk Management conference sponsored by Asian
Strategy Leadership Institute, Singapore, Apr. 25-26 for China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, Japan, Korea, ASEAN countries banking, finance senior risks,
planning management, fund managers ( Dr. Huang offered thousands lectures to
China, Taiwan, US TV, radio station 30 million investors, hundreds risk
management workshops for hundreds banking, finance CEO, CFO , fund managers.
or reserve his full day in-house workshop email
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com
in- house workshop Apr. 20- 23, or Apr. 28-30 at your office
( he just offered on Feb 23 , Beijing to 70 China, Asian, US, European oil,
gas, banking executives accurately:
Speaker Dr. Warren
Huang accurately predicted on his Beijing Feb 23-25 workshop, keynote
speeches, lectures that oil price will rise to 55 in March. and challenging
60 in spring, 69 in summer 2005 and predicted again Nov. 18, 2005 in Beijin
to Phillips petroleum, CEO, and VP of ExxonMobil, Aramco that oil prices
will challenge 80 in summer, 2006, US raise rates through 2006, 10 YR bond
to 5.6 %
driving US China inflation and interest rate , bond yield up,
stocks plunge. soaring US trade deficit drag dollar and Oil price did
soared to 55.2 on March 3, 58 on March 15, 69 in summer
China Shanghai A retreat from
1320 to 1039, US Dow ones plunge from 10980 to 10259, Nasdaq from 2100 to
1970, 10 yr bond yield soared from 4 % to 4.6 %..
He also
predicted on his
www.osawh.com website and to Asian
Business Forum's China Oil Market financing conference to multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin Nov. 2005
that oil prices will soar to 69, metal prices to new high in January, 2006
US will raise rates till summer 2006. Oil prices did challenges 69
twice in January and metals prices making new high follows by
commodities prices. Gas and electricity cost up 40 % will drive CPI
higher in the month ahead. current rate hikes will continue into the summer,
US dollar and stocks, bond all overvalued, facing correction.
Goldman Sach after Dr. Huang prediction in April 5, speculation to 105 is based
on feeling, without market forces simulation Greenspan trying use
market forces to cool down the prices to 56 is just co-incident.
based on Dr. Huang 30 year oil market market forces simulation tracing
accurately daily prices movement since 1980, 1990 energy crisis, Greenspan
only right about rising price cut demand, but forgot the prime demand
market forces from 49 trillion wealth effect out of housing, equities
bubbles and weak dollar continue driving energy demand from construction
metal, cement plastics 20 industrial sectors 5000 products etc beside just
gasoline, heating oils.
Soaring Feb consumer spending, manufacturing demand definitely push oil
price above 60, despite sufficient crude oil inventory, ( can easily
consumed in the coming peak gasoline demand season ahead
Highlights:
* Structural dynamic simulation forecast of monetary,
economic policy impact on daily global finance, capital markets asset prices
Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) avoided trillion dollar markets
non-performance loan.
* Basel II Markets, Credit, Operational, interest rate,
currency risks OSA forecast, risks early warning systems
* Corporate cost and financial accounting systems OSA tracking, governance
scandal early warning, maximize
transparency and performance.
*Cost,
Profit, Risks, Market Shares as goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic (board members, senior executive , risk manager, auditing team)
and execution ( junior executives, risk staff ) OSA teams tracking daily
corporate performance and risks, maximize risk adjusted return
*
Global/Asian equities, bond, oil, metals, commodity futures, derivatives
prices, assets and mortgage backed securitization asset prices simulation,
forecast, structural finance risks hedging OSA. minimize Basel II market
risks.
* Risks OSA forecast
, early
warning,
tracking,
forecasts
daily Basel II three pillars risk management requirement, minimize capital
adequacy requirement in daily risks monitoring, reporting, measurement.
cost: Dr. Huang San Francisco rt air fare, local hotel, lecture fee.
in Global China energy policy, macro-economy, finance, capital markets asset prices mechanism China listed A, B ,
US ADR , Hong Kong blue chips, red chips, H shares profit margin, stock prices simulation forecast, simulation, forecast/ risk management workshop capitalize the emerging China energy
market trend and opportunities (Bring your problems to the workshop, take home trillion/billion dollar
solutions ready to implement).
OSA will offer memberships services and strategic investment, supply chain workshops for China/global multinational
banking, finance, oil, gas companies executives. Thousands proactive, structural dynamic strategic simulators providing
US/China energy policy, macro-economic control impact on daily oil, gas, LNG, LPG, petrochemical feedstock,
downstream plastics, fibers import, export, domestics contract, cash prices, transportation, power rate market forces mechanism,
and associated China listed A, US ADR, Hong Kong blue chips, red chips, H shares profit margin, stock prices simulation forecast risk management workshop (Bring your problems to the workshop, take home trillion/billion dollar
solutions ready to implement) reserve by osawhh@sina.com.cn , wh3928@yahoo.com
-
US Fed overoptimistic over 2005 growth 3-75-4.00
and low inflation at 1.5--1.75 which are contradictory, ignoring
excessive business , consumer demand resulted soaring oil to 50- 55 in March
and 55- 60 in
summer, commodity prices making new high, and service inflation , will push
core inflation to 2.5- 2.75, and series rate hikes drive 10 year bond yield
to 5.0 %, 30 year mortgage rate to 6.5% in summer, lead to GDP slowdown to 3.00 %.
Despite China January inflation slowdown to 1.9 %, It still facing over
heated housing, auto and fixed business investment and consumer
demand, pushing up oil, commodity, metal prices to new high and inflation to
3.0 % .
China macroeconomic control continue well into this year, restraining power
rate hike to 0.01 RMB only to industrial
users, while kept fertilizer and consumer rate unchanged to keep inflation
under control. while coal prices already up 50 % 2004, will follow oil
prices up another 10 % this year.
Natural gas, LNG, LPG prices will all follow crude oil prices up minimum 10
% this year
Dr. Warren Huang, pioneered two master hands controlling global economy, finance, capital markets assets (
oil, gas, upstream/downstream 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products demand, prices forecasts through thousands
proactive structural dynamic decision simulators forecast, capitalize month ahead of last 20 years emerging
China/global energy policy, capital markets asset demand, prices trend, first published on US Oil & Gas Journal March,
1983,, invited to speak to American Institute of Chemical Engineers Diamond
Jubilee Meeting, Washington DC Hilton
Ball Room 1983 and World Congress. Chemical Eng. Tokyo 1986, ASEAN Oil
Petroleum Ministers Conference, Singapore,
1989, China State Department, SINOPEC president sponsored INTERPEC CHINA ,
Beijing, 1991, Global Oil Productivity,
Quality Conference, Houston, 1993 , China Peoples Bank Governor Dai
Sponsored Asian central bank policy conference,
Macao , 1999, Euro-events Asian/ China Finance, Capital Market conference,
Nov. Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Nov,
2003, China Economist annual meeting Shanghai ,Dec. 2003 wrote 20 English
articles on US Oil & Gas Journal ,
Hydrocarbon Processing circulated million copies to 78 countries multinational oil companies. and thousands
Chinese articles 100 million copies on Taiwan, China, US daily newspapers, securities news, economics, finance,
investment journals since 1985.
Breakthrough Innovation in proactive-reactive global central bank monetary
policy, macroeconomic control, impact on market economy, finance, capital
market asset prices market forces mechanism simulation, forecasts by thousands Proactive Structural Dynamic
Simulation month ahead of last 20
years emerging global finance, capital stock, oil, gas, commodities
futures market
bull/bear trend US, China rate hike, asset bubble impact on Global Oil, Gas,
coal, and downstream power Demand, Futures Prices, Derivatives ,
freight, corporate profit
margin, stock prices and associated asset bubble burst baking finance
reform, M/A, retail, investment banking investment Basel II risks management with 2005 forecasts, Join Dr. Warren Huang's Beijin
pre-conference workshop or his post conference in-house workshop, get
first hand information and OSA proactive models simulation methodology
and forecasts, will use
www.osawh.com and
www.osawh.com/riskm.html, and oil, gas price
forecast :
www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html and
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html
materials as
lectures contents *( presented to 24 global central banks, financial risk management conferences and visited by
millions global central banks, investment and retail banking, finance, 1600 multinationals oil, gas CEO,
executives from 78 countries and lectures China, Taiwan, US 15 cities (
Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Taipei, Sna Francisco ) 30 million TV,
radio investors, fund managers, hundreds banking, securities, insurance
companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, risks, supply chain procurement, marketing
managers since 1985, published thousands Chinese articles 100 million copies on
China, Taiwan, US newspapers, investment, economic, finance journals.
by Dr. Warren Huang , Pioneer OSA Global Strategic
Management
He will be the keynote speaker and workshop lecturer for Asian Business Forum
China Oil, Gas, LNG, LPG industry conference, Beijin, Feb 24-25, 2005
A. China Economic , energy policy reform impact on
coal, oil, gas demand, prices and gas, power industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/
China macroeconomic control impact on coal, oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG, freight,
power demand, futures
prices market forces mechanism
China listed A, US ADR,
Hong Kong blue chips, red chips, H shares profit margin,
stock prices
and investments risk adjusted return
C .Global / China coal, oil, gas, LNG ,
freight, power industry projects financing
operation, markets, credit, policy risks management workshop
This strategic energy finance risk management workshop will provide you the what, why, how and timing and
forecasts month ahead of the emerging energy market demand, prices market forces, mechanism trend and the causes, various energy
demand, prices, policy risks, onset, spread, recovery of Global / China energy crisis, current asset prices bubbles,
energy shortage, supply chain logistics bottleneck in oil, natural gas, and de-bottleneck through proactive energy policy,
monetary policy and manufacturing process and utility energy conservation and associated LNG, LPG project risks
management by Dr. Huang’s offering his 35 years energy financing project managers for US, Taiwan, China
multinational, state, government oil, engineering companies energy oil, gas investment,
exploration, production, refinery, petrochemical process plant , coal liquefaction, gasification, nuclear power plant
R&D, commercialization, construction, design, operations, supply chain logistics strategy, China/global oil,
natural gas, LNG, LPG projects planning, construction, exploration, production, investment, supply chain logistics,
marketing strategic risk management.
He develop, implemented thousands proactive strategic structural dynamic simulators tracking, forecast last 20 years
global economy, capital markets asset (oil, gas, LPG) prices financial, currency, energy crisis simulation, bubble bursts,
forecasts, early warning for US, Taiwan, China , ASEAN, Asian, European central banks, banking, finance, multinational
oil, gas upstream/downstream power plant project planning, construction, exploration, production, investment, supply
chain financing and financing, Basel II operational, credit, markets risks simulation, control and early warning,
de-bottlenecking avoided trillion dollar markets NPL loan , saving supply chain costs.
He wrote 20 articles on US Houston Oil & Gas Journal , Hydrocarbon Processing and advanced control, information
management handbook 1991-2003, circulating 2 million copies to 1600 multinational oil gas companies managers
from 78 countries contacted for application. He wrote thousands articles with 100 million copies on Taiwan, US,
China government daily newspapers, banking, finance, oil, gas industry, trade ,investment journals and offered
thousands lecture to China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio economics, finance program 30 million investors and
strategic financing consulting to Taiwan 300,000 import/export members companies oil, gas and downstream 5000
products import and domestic market competitive pricing and export to China and 100 countries currency and pricing strategy,
thousands workshops to millions global government, banking, finance, multinational oils, gas companies and
OPEC petroleum ministers conferences CEO, executives on global/China economy, capital markets asset prices
simulation, forecasts, investment strategy, project financing risk management .