osawh  OSA Proactive Structural Dynamic Global Strategic Innovation in Investment, Supply Chain Recession Management Identify Emerging Trend month ahead of Recession and Maximize Risks Adjusted Return
Pioneer Dr. Warren Huang 30 years proactive structural global recession fighting strategy, saved trillions dollar market loss, and generating trillion dollars profit for 80 countries, 30 million global government, banking, finance, enterprises executives, investors.

Goal: Maximize Risks Adjusted Return in Global Recession
Mission: Develop, implement Proactive, structural, dynamic strategic monetary  policy impact on the causes , on set, recovery, early warning of  global recession

A. Tracking, simulation of central banks monetary, economic, fiscal stimulus , rate cuts, cash injection impact on major recession indicators, forecast, identify the recession progress.
B  Tracking, simulation, forecast monetary, economic, fiscal stimulus , rate cuts, cash injection impact on interest rates, bond yield, currency, , commodities, housing, equities asset, emerging prices bull/bear market trend.
C  Strategic Investment : Optimal long-short hedging strategy in multi-class asset allocation, fund management
D. Strategic Supply -Demand Chain Management; Maximize inventory ,and product pricing  profit in soaring energy, commodity prices, Minimize raw materials procurement and inventory cost by hedging and profiting from the short term pricing trend.
E. Strategic Competitive Pricing maximize market Shares.
F. Integrated predictive dynamic process optimization control simulator achieve Energy, Resource conservation, waste minimization , maximize profit operation

Applications: Rigorous structural, deterministic dynamics internal risks expert systems for global banking, finance, corporate and government Operations Simulation Analysis have been developed, implemented for Global Government, Banking, Financial, Corporate reform, reengineering and daily risks simulation and control decisions in e-commerce, e-business online applications Maximize Virtual Enterprises Capital, raw material, energy, human Resources Profits Planning

A. Government, Central Banks: Tracking daily US, Asian Pacific, European, South American government, central banks fiscal, monetary policy, growth and price stability control, unemployment, investor, consumer confidence, speding, asset bubble,   tracking capital flow, business cycle, and financial systems and markets risks
B. Banking and Finance: Tracking monetary policy impact on daily financial systems risks through markets prices simulation, supporting banking, finance industry regulation, supervision in daily credit, markets, liquidity risks control, corporate analysis in daily capital investment risks,
C. Corporate Profit Margin : Tracking monetary policy impact on daily procurement, inventory, production, products innovation, marketing, sales, profit margin risks strategy, and TQM cost reduction, productivity improvements.

Strategy: Thousands structural deterministic dynamics models have been developed out of last 20 years daily US, Asian, European Wall Street Journal, IMF data, NPRA, daily global central banks and banking and financial industries operating information, decision analysis, global corporate management staff's operating expertise, global players market forces psychology as the knowledge base, applying the latest finance, neoclassic monetary economics, artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, neural net, based expert systems These systems simulate global central banks monetary policy impact on daily global economy (prices and growth stability), capital flow(FDI), financial markets interest rates, currency, interest rates, currency exchange rates, bond, commodities, financial derivatives, commodities, crude oil, feedstock prices, corporate profit margin, stock prices, defaults risks with average error below 1.5%. :

* Real options analysis for global country macro economic inflation/deflation risks, credit, interest rates, capital flow and financial markets currency exchange rates, profit margin , stocks, financial derivatives prices resulted default risks simulation and control.
* Real options analysis for global commodities, crude oil, raw material prices, inventory forecasts and procurement strategy
* Real options analysis for economic, supply, demand, product innovation impact on products prices, inventory forecasts, marketing and sales strategy.
* Central banks, Government, Corporate finance, marketing, and procurement managers, fund managers real options risks analysis and control on the job training

Operations Management Implementation: Dr .Warren Huang will direct Global Strategic Recession Management Operations Simulation Analysis Strategic and Execution teams for government, corporate, finance, banking reform, restructuring operations review, goal setting, implement real options risk control, global strategic management program for cost reduction and productivity improvement..

Economics: Trillion dollar US dollars mortgage, credit, financial crisis risks , trillions dollar market loss can be avoided, trillion dollar profit gain in trillion dollar recession hedging since Sept 2007 warning US 2008 recession on Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog  and  billion dollars cost reduction, with improved global market shares without staff reduction, hardware investment in one year OSA program

Commercial Applications: Three Hundreds workshops and hundreds TV, Radio lectures offered to trained  30 million Taiwan, China, Asian, US government, banking , finance, corporate managers, fund managers, investors  in corporate strategic cost reduction, risk management

References:-
Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士)accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market correction, oil above 110, despite Fed rate cuts He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 3000- 4000 till summer 2008

Dr. Warren Huang  risk management panelist   and full day masterclass workshop lecturer for  Terrapinn China Fund World  2008
  conference, Shanghai  Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6 offer Proactive structural China/global asset pricing, 2008 credit
 tightening  recession impact on BRIC,Optimal  1x0/x0  long-short hedging, asset allocation strategy 

by Dr. Warren Huang "Improve Process by OSA", Feb 1980, " OSA for global marketing, sales, petrochemicals demand, prices, trade simulation", AIChE Diamond Jubilee , Oct. 1983, World Congress, Tokyo,1986, " Monetary Policy Impact on global financial crisis, US ,EURO capital markets performance, Rome Nov 1998, Nashville, Mar. 1999, European Finance Conference, Barcelona, Spain, June 3, 1999, "Monetary Policy Impact on global financial, banking crisis" ,Washington DC Area Finance conf. Apr 29,1999 Int'l central banks governor conference , Macao, May 15 1999," Monetary Policy Impact on global financial crisis, Asian Pacific capital markets and derivatives prices", Taipei, May 29, 1999, "Business and Government Operations Simulation based Risks Management", Hilton, Washington DC, June 30, 1999, Published on Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Control, Information Management Handbook, Sept. 1999, Houston, AIChE annual meeting, Dallas Nov. 7, 1999 to speak on Goal, mission, performance oriented, OSA models predictive supported OSA teams

Licensor: OSA Int'l Operations Analysis, San Francisco, Calif .
Services: Workshops, On the Job Training, Memberships
Who should attend: Government economics, trade, procurement, central banks policy making executive, banking, finance institution portfolio and risk management CEO, fund manager, corporate CEO, financial, procurement, marketing managers

Contact: wh3928@yhoo.com  / osawhh@sina.com

                                                        Copy 2008 www.osawh.com /Dr.Warren Huang