Proactive Profit Based Management  vs. Value Based Management

What is Proactive Profit Based Management (PPBM) ?, How it works in creating, managing, measuring profit , value ?
Proactive Profit Based Management is the management approach by proactive ( predictive) structural dynamic decision simulators, tracking, forecast accurately capital market asset prices value,, maximize corporate and customers profit, share holder risk adjusted profit return.
How PPBM proactive structural dynamic decision simulators , measuring, tracking, forecast month ahead accurately last 20 years global market economy market forces impact on capital market asset  price mechanism create and managing  up to 1000 % profits in investment, supply chain logistics, marketing  strategic Profit Based Management for US/ China / Taiwan/ Asian  20  Sectors  5000 products achieve sustainable profit , market shares growth  in last 20 years.
Why Proactive Profit Based Management ( PPBM ),what is wrong with Value Based Management ?
Current value based management  based on statistical unreliable CAPM ( capital market asset prices models )dedicated to market to increase products, service value and sale revenue without proactive decision simulators by following , chasing the markets, fail to predict and capitalized the emerging market trend, resulted price cutting, shrinking profits , trillion dollar financial crisis NPL market loss and billion dollar supply chain costs.

US/ Global Monetary, economic, fiscal  Policy and Oil Prices Impact on 20 Industrial Sectors demand, prices, Corporate Profit Margin Performance rating, Risks Operations Simulation Analysis and Investment Strategy

Trillion dollar Industrial Sectors debt, Nonperformance   assets Management, workshops,  
OSA maximize nonperformance  debt, equities, property asset   performance, value recovery, pre- warning for future NPL workshops   tracking  the causes, onset, recovery, prevent  of  assets bubble burst reserve your in-house workshops email wh3928@yahoo.com
Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes... .
 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.
 He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
and again  to Euro-events Singapore  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops warning  US, global analysts over optimistic economic recovery, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March, soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, China stocks bull market is over, entering bear market consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1300-1400, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % , low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound.   US trade deficit soared to 48 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence, business spending peaking out, facing  squeeze in  summer 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 110,000, stock prices peaking out in the third quarter, facing consolidation. US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 5.1% in May, with consumer spending up 1%, consumer confidence above 100, more rate hikes are required to cool off the economy. 
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing consolidation.
He lectures Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1750- 2050 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5300- 6000, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1300- 1450, Shenzhen 3100- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain     
US  2003- 2004 repeat 1998- 2000 asset bubbles OSA : ( right master hands OSA)
Dr. Huang predicted Nov. 2003 to 1000 global fund managers in Singapore, Shanghai Euroevents conferences that US and China facing rate hike after May 2004:
US 13 rate cuts to 1 % and second tax cuts led to money supply growth  of 9 % productivity and GDP growth 8.4 %, third quarter, consumer spending up 7.9 %  business spending up 18 %, retails sales growth 7.6 % Dec 2003 ,east, west coasts  housing prices soared 66 % since 2001, plunging dollar  and excessive consumer demand  led to oil, commodity reaching 23 year high  oil, cotton, copper, platinum ,soybean prices doubled,  despite CPI up only 1.2 %( exclude energy and food) , ISM index soared from 39 to 66, consumer confidence soared to 103 ,  corporate profit soared 76 % in the final quarter 2003, investor bullish index higher than 1987 crash, Nasdaq soared 80 %, Dow up 26 % in 2003.  but jobless rate stay at 5.6 %,  with 24 millions loss jobs, 117000 job cuts in Jan,2004, despite 112,000 new job added, All the early  warning sign of asset bubbles facing burst,  UK, Australia, ECB, Korea and China all raised rate or tightening credit to deflate the bubbles. US  Fed is determined to create jobs, create 2.4 million jobs to delay action on rate hike , March 370,000 and April 288,000 , May 233,000 new job creation 0.7 % whole sales rise due to soaring oil, commodity prices (reaching 20 year high) forced Fed to raise interest rate  in and deflate the asset bubbles as its did in the previous bubble bursts 1998-2000
Optimizing value chain  profit in fighting last 20 years global/ US/China credit tightening, soaring feedstock cost
for oil, petrochemicals and downstream end users 20 industrial sectors :housing, construction material, auto, appliances, IT, metals 5000 products market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism OSA/ forecast, supporting last 20 years investment, supply chain logistics strategy (workshops)
Published 14 paper series 1979- 1983 on US Oil & Gas Journal , Hydrocarbon Processing  and 20 English articles, US patents, millions copies published by US Hydrocarbon Processing, advanced control-information system handbook 1991-2003  www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html   circulation to 80 countries 1600 multinationals , lectured to American Institute of Chemical Eng. Diamond Jubilee Meeting, Washington DC, World Congress, Chemicals Eng. Montreal, Tokyo, Frankfurt, Paris, Prague 46 countries capitals Chemical Eng, OPEC ministers conferences published thousands Chinese articles o daily newspapers, economic, finance, industrial economic  newspapers , 300,000 import/exporters 100 countries currencies, export pricing  in Taiwan, China.
Manufacturing Process  Operations Improvement and Power plant  integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /Logistics  Operations Improvement for cost/quality performances: de-bottleneck, waste/energy minimization, maximize top grade products yields, minimize off grade loss, power blackout early warning.
 Complete in-depth strategic OSA for your suppliers,  manufacturing process, your customers, end-users and your competitors,  Oil, gas, refining   Olefin/polyolefins  styrene, derivatives  fibers/  plastics   pulp/paper  IT upstream/ downstream  Power Plant Optimization housing, auto, appliance
US 1998- 2000 asset bubble burst OSA:
US Fed 3 interest rate cut in  1998 winter boosted money supply from 7 % to 10.5 %, pushed Dow Jones index from 7200 to to 11300, Nasdaq from 1600 to 3400 , GNP to 6.2 %  at 1.6 & low inflation due to falling commodity and oil  prices.   However,  1999 winter excessive money supply for Y2K resulted  US all time high stock prices and soaring Asian stock prices and demand boosted consumer and business spending pushed   oil prices more than  tripled caused US inflation up 3.6 % (exceeding the target 2 %) ,industrial sector sales, profits growths, industrial sector sales, profits growth at 35 % and  27 % for  first quarter 2000, consumer spending increased 8.3 % lead to  27 % ,industrial sector sales, profits growth up 22 % and serious labor shortage lead to Greenspan 6 interest rate hike, to cool down the wealth effect  on the US asset bubble bursting resulted consumer spending decline from 8 % to -1.8 % in 911, 2001, business spending from 20 % to- 16 %   resulted and sales, earning growth decline 56 % in third , final quarter 2001,  
US Fed 11 rate cut and trillion dollar tax cuts boosted consumer spending to 6 % in final quarter 2001 and 3.5 % in first quarter 2002,pushed demand up and, prices. Oil prices soared from 16 to 28 in the first quarter 2002, and stabilized at 25-28 in the second quarter, despite consumers spending drifted down to 1. 9 %, GDP only 1.1 %
US Fed  Monetary Policy on US Dow Jones, Nasdaq S&P stock index, bond yield:
US soaring Stocks, Housing prices, low unemployment, fueling consumer and business   demand, and  Dr. Huang this website warning that early 2000 , US Dow Jones index will test 9600, Nasdaq will plunged from 5100 to  test 2800-3000 support, with high flier IPO, internet, IC, Biotech stocks crash plunge more than 50-95 %, US economic growth will be slowdown to 2 % in the third quarter2000. He also predicted  July 2001 on this site that Dow, were overpriced  will retreat to  9000 ,Nasdaq wil crash, plunged to retest 1200-1300    when corporate earning decline 55 %, Dr. Huang's OSA simulation accurately predicted  to 24 global central bank governors, financial risks management conference since 1999 and in Aug. 2000  that US  will facing recession threat due to 6 rate hike since 1999 and wages increase 4.5 % drag  consumer consumer confidence to plunge to 92,  NAPM  plunged to 41 in to recession and wholesale prices, unemployment rate up to 4.5 %, GDP down to 1 % 
Dr. Huang warned in  March that   Dow speculating on further rate cut , technical rebound to 11000 are overpriced in 2002, correction to  below retest 8200 , old economics stocks, finance, oil, retails stocks ready for 30-50 % correction, prices compression is imminent As Nasdaq entering final stage   corrections and consolidation in   1200- 1350
30 yr. bond yield will   be traded 5.2-5.6 %, Junk bond yield up to 14 % to 60 % ( Argintina )
US stock prices interest rate  impact on consumer and business spending.
The soaring stock prices further fueling properties prices, labor cost and consumer, to 8.3 % , business spending up 25 % new high, US inflation  already over3.6 % in 2000.