OSAWH.COM
Maximize old and new
economy upstream/downstream profit
Through integrated Strategic investment/ERP/SCM/CRM,
avoided trillion dollar financial markets loss, saved billion dollar SCM costs with
improved market shares, without job cut in osa year OSA program
What is OSA :? demand side New
Monetary Economy Impact simulation
Information knowledge based expert systems by dynamics simulation of past history, daily
online data base market analysis central banks monetary policy, WTO trade , economic
policy impact on daily global financial markets interest rate, currency, commodities, old
and new information , biotech corporate earning, stocks, bond prices) investment, credits
risks,corporate merger, IPO, ADR, procurement, inventory, marketing, sales,supply chain
TQM cost reduction strategy in corporate reform, Improvements on the job training
e-Busiiness? to business and government strategy?management OSA (Operations Simulation
Analysis).
Why OSA for Old, New Economy: Global
Investment Banking/Financial Markets Risks Simulation
What's wrong with the existing online data base ?
Even with the online financial and procurement data base, global financial market
analysts, corporate decision makers investors are still following the crowd,
chasing the markets peaks, missing the markets bottom resulted trillion dollars
markets loses, in recent hi-tech, internet bursts, billion dollars merger acquisition,IPO
loses and crude oil commodities procurement costs.
OSA avoided trillion dollars financial markets crisis, risks by
reliable models predicting one month ahead
While a single OSA Simulation Chart(sample :Dow Jones Simulation) tells you 20 years story
about How two master hands controlling daily global financial market prices through
simulating global central banks monetary policy, external(oil prices,
currency) shocks impact on financial markets interest rate, currency, stocks, bond,
commodity, and it's derivatives prices merger/ acquisition, IPO turbulence resulted
huge investment, trading loss (LTCM , currency, credit crunch crisis resulted stock
market plunge and banking, country default, corporate credit default, nonperformance
loan)risks and investment, procurement, marketing, trade opportunties one month ahead,
What's OSA tracking records,
Acomplishments
===============================================================================
Over 30 million government, banking, finance,money managers, hi-tech , import/exporters,
corporate CEO,CFO, executives, investors, ACADEMICS benefited by Dr. Warren Huang' s
global financial markets, government, hi-tech , WTO trade operations risks
simulation and control. Lectures on Taiwan, China's15 cities TV, radio programs
and on the job training for 1000 US, European, Aisna global multinational
companies investment, procurement, production, sales, supply chain TQM cost
reduction workshops, during the last 25 years.
These systems accurately predicted buy biotech, IT share
as Nasdaq around 3000 in May . These share more than doubled in the week of June 18.
rally He warned on June 22 that Nasdaq can not break 4100, biotech bubble will
burst CRA will plunge below (it did today) 100, and IT ,internet stocks overheated, ORCL
will plunge from 87 to 78, IBM, Yahoo, HWP will retreat to 100. He also predicetd
and last 20 years major global economic cycles bubbles, financial and energy
crisis: 1980 and 1990 energy crisis. Japan, Taiwan's 1990 stock peak and bubble burst
crash, 1990 energy crisis, Gulf war, global inflation boom and bust, entering recesion,
stock crash. China 1994 runaway inflation, stock crashed from 1600 to 333 and 1996
softlanding entering., bull market, stock index soared to 1800( Dr Huang spending half
time in China. lecturing to 25 million Chinese TV, radio audiences, workshops during
1994-98) He also predicted Asean, Asian currency crisis, Russia, Brazil financial
crisis, LTCM in 1997-1998. He has been invited to speak to 18 int'l central central banks
governors policy conference, financial management, global strategic management conferences
in US, Asian, Europe in 1999 alone and accurately predicted on sina.com USA and osawh.com
last Dec and Jan 28 this year that excessive money supply for Y2K lead to overheated US
and global stock markets, hitech asset bubble it will follow US markets into 10-20 %
correction. US Dow Jones will be down from 11700 to 9600, Nasdaq test it's 2800-3200
support , while China stock made new high due to public spending, soaring export, Shanghai
index will be up from 1300 to 1800 early this year.
He warned on this website and sina.com USA that high flier internet and biotech stock
bubble will burst, plunge 50 - 75 %. early this year. It could saved 2.3 trillion dollar
in US Apr. 14 crash and trillions dollars loses in globalfinancial markets
He also conducted teaching, research for Taiwan's National Taiwan, Tsinghwa, Tunghai,
Fenchia universities trainined oveer1000 Economics, strategic management, chemical
engineering, biochemical engineers, information management, control graduates, conoffered
lectures to over 10,000 China's Tsinghua, Fudan, Zechian, Dalian,East China, Hua-Zhong ,
Chungqing , Shenzhen unversities faculties, and students for OSA applicaion in
graduate Click Click for research workshops, outsourcing
training services,
OSA pioneer Dr Warren Huang's TWO Master Hands to 100 int'l government,
central banks policy, banking, finance , risk management, restructuring conferences and 18
in 1999 global financial , commodity future risk management conferences and in 10 analysis
report? for sina.com USA investment forum Nov.-1999- Jan. 2000 accurately
predicted Fed rate hike , Nasdaq plunge to 3000,
Two master hands controling daily Global Stock , commodity markets prices ( appeared
on sina.com USA}:
Dr Huang hosting these application Nov. 16, 1999- Jan 2000 for sina.USA
investment forum, and this website recommended IBM, Apple, MSFT, AOL, Biogen, Amgen, Lily,
Intel Yahoo and warned China ADR will be down to test 10 and Hong
Kong GEM stocks test one dollar and internet, biotech stocks will be down 50
-90 % as Nasdaq plunge tp 3000 due to speculation to extreme overpriced and poor
earning ) Taiwan Index follow Nasdaq plunge 20 % from 10200 to 8100 , Henseng Index
from 18500 to 13300 in the folowing daily applications
Special anouncement: OSA will tracking closely US Fed policy impact on US , China, Taiwan,
Hong Kong old (finance,? Banking, finance, retail, property)) and New econmy(IT, Biotech
top global info tech 100 and top Silicon? Valley 100), proveide indepth analysi in
corporate earning, stocks, IPO, GEM, TiGER?performance, investment strategy, risks
They do not have decision tools to act ahead of the crisis, instead they follow the crowd, chasing the market peaks, resulted trillion dollar loses in financial markets and capital investment, billion dollar in oil, raw material costs, and poor production quality and production efficiency
How to Improve Old
Economy Profitibility:
Thousnads financial, investment, procurment, marketing, production strategic decision
expert systems have been implemented through goal, mission, performance oriented OSA
strategic, executive teams
(detail can be found on the page below:)to maximize investment profits, while minimize
their costs, risks
Why New Economy Bubble Burst ?
Dr. Huang predicted early this year on
sina.com and this website that the new economy global internet, IT and biotech bubble will
burst, stock prices will plunge 50 - -90 %: because these companies (IPO starups) lived in
their dream worlds get easy money speculate on the financial markets. The management lack
of management experience in cost control, technology, markets, management innovation,.
every body( even college kids) follwoing the crowd set up website to grab and compete the
conumer markets,( B2C), invested million dollars in marketing, and manpower for free
service, suffered widening loss.. Now they rush into B2B, providing data base for
old economy corporate porcurement, sales without sufficient corporate procurment and
marketing strategy knowhow, direct compete with the traditional management. GM, Ford,
Chrysler decided join venture to detup procurement information website, big corproate like
IBM, Compaq, Dell all have their own, took away internet industry B2B business.
The internet hardwares competition, price cutting is getting worse, all due
to lack of strategic managment and cost control all suffered shrinking profit
How to Improve New Economy
Profitibility:
Thousnads financial, investment, procurment, marketing, production strategic decision
expert systems have been implemented through goal, mission, performance oriented OSA
strategic, executive teams
(detail can be found on the page below:)to maximize investment profits, while minimize
their costs, risks
Which the current old and new economy B2B data base must be upgrade to meet daily
corporate decision needs. Only these decision supported B2B can dominant the future high
margin markets with improved market shares
Change Managment/ Process Imptovement through OSA supported Knowlege Management
Real time e- Business
, corporate, banking, finance industries strategic Information Knowledge
Management and Decision Analysis Systems for Real Options OSA
Int'l Operations Analyisis www.osawh.com Email : whuang@osawh.com
Over 30 million global government,
banking, finance industry, corporate executive, investors benefited by these 32 Real
Options Operations Simulations Analysis systems based Global Strategic Information
Knowledge Management Systems tailored to your problems and need,
supporting technology and management innovation for Information technology,
Biotech, internet applications to improve corporate dilay procurement, inventory,
production, marketing, sales integrated supply chain productivity, cost reduction in last
30 years These systems have
been recommended by Hydrocarbon Processing(US Houston)'s Advanced Control and information
management strategy, process design, operations optimizations Handbook,1991,
1993,1995,1996, 1997, 1999. Over 1000 major cos from 65 US,
European, Asian Pacific, South Ameri can countries including EXXON, Dupont, BP,
Shell, BASF, Aramco, Sino pec, IBM etc. ) thousands corporate
managers contacted 32 OSA based corporate pre and post merger/acquistions
restructuring, reengineering performances analysis and strategy applications
Last year Sept issue
special :
Integrated supply chain cost reduction TQM Change Management
Supply Chain Process Plant operations Improvement Productivity management,
Global refinery,
hydrocracking, reform, cost reduction
Olefin/plasics/fibers cost reduction
Integrated SUPPLY CHAIN integrated plant information
systems,
Utilities,
energy conservation
These real time enterprise, government,
banking, finance industries strategic decision analysis systems in risks
control, improving productivity, markets shares in the internet age
digital economy, e-Commerce, E-Business, E-Learning and supply chain performance
applications
Goal, mission, performance oriented, decision supported Information Knowledge Management
government, corporate restructuring, reengineering OSA(Operations Simulations
analysis )strategic and execution teams driected by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang,
maximize IT Knowledge Management productivity for billion dollar Raw Material,
energy costs reduction , with improved quality, productivity, marketshares,
investment return performences in one year OSA program without staff reduction.
1.Global multinationals corporate/plant restructuring, reengineering,
operations improvement
Cost, quality, market share goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic, execution OSA teams , directed, managed by Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of OSA, to
develope, implements OSA information knowledge based corporate/plant operations daily
integrated marketing, procurement, inventory, production-sales e-business integrated supply chain operations strategic
decisions simulators and on the job training achieved billions dollars saving
without staff reduction, hardware investment with significantly improved global market
shares in one year OSA program
2. Global Economy, Financial Markets Risks Operations Simulation and Control
Supporting global central banks,
banking, finance industry, corporate finance to maximize investment return at
minimum risks( country, credit, market trading loses, nonperformance loan, default)
supervision, regulat- ion and control through tracking daily global central bankers
monetary policy and it's impact on economic growth, inflation/deflation, interest,
exchange rate, commodities, raw materials, products demand, prices, corporate earning and
stocks, real estate prices, pre and post merg er/acquisitions performance analysis,
call/put options, warrant prices, IPO prices simulation in normal and global
financial market crisis
3. Global process plant information integration and supply chain
e-business decision supports
For production debottleneck, improved quality at reduced raw
material, energy unit consumption and procurement, inventory costs through cost,
quality, market share goal, mission, performance oriented OSA teams develope, implements
OSA knowledge based process units operation decisions simulators supported knowledge based
model feedforward optimum computer control operations saving millions dollars without
staff reduction, hardware investment with significantly improved global market shares in
one year OSA program
4. Decision simulators supported Educations, Resaerch
and Out Sourceing on the job Training centers :
Goal & Mission, Performance
oriented information knowledge based OSA teams applications to university teaching
and research, IT and corporate/plant executives on the job training, which
implemented for training of thousands of senior, graduate economics, management,
chemical Eng. and biochem\ students in top Taiwan and China
universities, and 20 millions global IT,corporate/plant financial executives, investors
These 32 information knowledge based global corporate/plant OSA strategic management
decisions simulatons systems supported new IT organization have replaced the
inefficient conventional hierachial IT by goal and mission, performance oriented cross-functional pizza pie OSA
strategic, execution teams. It helped
global refinery, petrochemicals and chemicals, fibers, biotech and financial market daily
reengineering, restructuring and operations improv ement(change management) information
business with easily measured billions doll ars cost reductions return through improved
global investment, procurement, produc tion decisions. It make IT executives the corporate
thinktank in corporate restructuring and reengineering applications. These knowledge based
goal and mission, perform ance oriented OSA teams will provide virtual, dynamic IT
acrossing the corporate and countries bounderies supporting the virtual corporation
maximize utilization of global, capital, energy, raw material, information and knowledge
resourcess
These knowledge based decision simulators integrating fundamental theory into
information knowledge based,(data hsitory, employee expertises) through artificial
intelligence's fuzzy logic, neural net human mind reasoning, pattern recognitions in chaos
theory based expert systems decision and perform OSA( Operations Simula tion Analysis).
All simulation prediction must satisfy error below 1.5 %,
Corporate decision support
systems:
Global Strategic Planning OSA decision supports
OSA supported Global Olefin/Polyolefin/PVC Corporate/plant integration CIM Strategy
Global Financial Markets Simulation and Risk Management OSA
OSA supported IT, and CIM for Global corporate/plant TQM
applications
Plant Operations Management for cost reduction
Global Marketing Sales OSA supported Strategy
Global Feedstock & Energy Procurement OSA supported
Strategy
Integrated supply chain strategic management support: integrating Order-entry,
procurement, inventory, production TQM and marketing, sales systems strategy
for maximize prodcutivity , billion dollar cost reduction and improved quality, market
shares in -.Business
Global Feedstock Inventory OSA supported Strategy
Global Products Inventory OSA supported Strategy
OSA Knowlege based Corporate/Plant decision simulators based distributed e-learning
on the job Training centers for distributed OSA simulators based senior and entry
level seed OSA members training
OSA decision supported Global Refinery corporate/plant process CIM operations
strategy
OSA decision supported Styrene/PS/ABS corporate/plant process CIM operations
strategy
OSA supported EG/PTA Polyestercorporate/plant integration CIM Strategy
Caprolactum/nylon fibres Corporate process operations strategy corporate/plant
CIM
Global plant operations,
technical innovation, TQM cost reduction, debottleneck improvement
OSA decision
supported FCC/ROC/HOC Operations Strategy
OSA supported Olefin Cracking Furnace yield improvement
Olefin/polyolefin OSA supported operations strategy
Fractionation OSA Expert Systems for Debottleneck
OSA decision supported Refinery CIM for Global oils
OSA decision supported Refinery Reactors Operations yield improvement
OSA decision supported Process Reactor Operations Yield Improvement, ,
OSA decision supported Process Unit Operations Expert Systems
OSA decision supported Plant safety operations management
Plant information integration and OSA decision support
OSA Decision Supported Energy Conservation
Plant utilities information integration, decisions support
Catalytic Reforming Operations Management
OSA Decision Supported Waste Minimization,
OSA decision supported Research & Developement management
OSA Supported Hydrocracking Operations Strategy
Click here
for OSA decision supported Information Technology methods in Global Strategic
Management Click here for OSA Applications and partial
lists of Dr Huang's publications
Click here for corporate restructuring, reengineering
applications
Click here for integrated OSA decision supported
Corporate/palnt TQM workshops