osawh  Proactive Strategic Merger/Acquisition OSA  www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/index.html
welcome to the world of Proactive Structural Global Strategic Pre/Post Merger/Acquisition Innovation OSA (Operations Analysis Simulation )
Maximize Value Creation and  Integration Performance      (Chnese) (中文) 
Global Strategic Management    OSA  forecasts, mission control  provide the what, why, how, when of maximize
    OSA    multinationals , SOE  M/A performance ,achieve sustainable profit growth without job cuts 
    www.osawh.com   About OSA   Products & Services   Nobel Prize dream    Methodology

Wall Street Journal  Jan 9. 2008 Market Beat Blog on M/A

Wall Street Journal Sept. 27, 2007 Market Beat Blog on M/A
Most merger pay 50 % higher cost at the peak of stock market bull market , paid PE 50 % or more higher( asset price bubble burst), current MA activities peaking out at Dow Jones made 14000 all time high and 2000 IT bubble burst paying 400 dollar a share on a poor earning companies, many companies merge hundreds companies used for accounting scandal and China M/A peaking out at current bubble peak index challenge 5000 and Hang Seng index peaking above 24000   found that merge company with higher profit margin
performance better. most post merger integration emphasize on job cuts, fail to improve performance, while products upgrade, innovation improved profit margin always perform better equities return details can be found on www.osawh.com/prod05.htm

Comment by Warren Huang - September 27, 2007 at 3:07 =================================================================================================
Do not miss our two day Strategic M/A executive workshop to share with Dr. Warren Huang 30 years global multinational merger/acquisition  experiences find out the What ,Why, and How, When to Save 50 %  pre-merger costs maximize post merger integration profit without job cuts
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Goal, mission, performance oriented OSA decision simulators supported cross functional OSA pre/post merger integration performance OSA teams, provide the what, why, how and when of global strategic M/A , tracking, early warning for board directors  financial accounting scandals on speculating on asset bubbles and  integrating into core IT, financial, business , process/products/marketing R&D for technical, management innovation, manufacturing, Human resources business process develop, implement global multinationals, mega-mergers,  state owned, medium, small enterprises, banking and finance strategic M/A OSA cut Pre M/A cost by 50 % and Maximize  Post Mergers/ Acquisitions Integration performance investment return   achieved billion dollar saving with expanded market shares and sustainable profit in financial crisis without job cuts.
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What's wrong with current M/A business models?
Current M/A business, reform  models are oversimplified  to overemphasize the job cuts benefits in post merger acquisition integration and revenue generation, fail to restructure and reengineering, integrating into core business units to improve post integration profit margin through improved management concept, procedure and quality of decision in investment, supply chain cost  reduction and  profit, market shares improvement.
without OSA tracking cost and financial accounting balance sheet scandal early warning, there is no way prevent corporate scandals
It also paying 50 % higher  M/A cost in poor timing, They should not be done in economic and stock markets boom 
According Business Week p 60 Oct 14, 2002 report by David Henry  indicate 61 % merger destroyed shareholder wealth (stocks plunged 50- 90 %) All M/A announcement in 2000 bubble burst plunged 50 %- 90 % including JP Morgan, Citigroup and top multinationals.
Mega Mergers maniac chasing the equities wealth bubble, as Citicorp merge travelers in 1998, JP Morgan 51 billion merger with Chase , AOL 60 billion merger with Warner in 2000, at the peak of equities bubbles facing IT bubble burst , investment banking activities peaking out following IT bubble burst plunge 90 %all emphasize post merger job cuts, market shares, wasted billion dollar merge venture startup bubble without sales revenue or profit failed to address to risk management in pre/ post merger integration, resulted loss after M/A, fail to integrating into core business process units
US repeating 2000 again, with  JP Morgan bought Bank One while banking profit due to refinancing, mortgage  peaking out facing housing bubble, Comcast 54 billion bid for Disney, Cingular 41 billion bid for ATT wireless at the peak of market sentiment, will having trouble in post merger integration, This time, the investors are smarter . do not follow M/A to chase the market.
OSA Goal, mission, performance oriented M/A  strategic, execution OSA teams integrating technology into business process models : published by US Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Control, infoamtion handbook 1991-2003, applied to 1600 multinationals from 78 countries www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html
A. Find good timing for M/A, do not  choose at the economic recovery and market, sentiment reaching peak ( Dow at 7500, Nasdaq at 1200 was much better time for M/A, cut merger costs by 50 % to avoid overpaid resulted  heavy debt and stock dilution and enjoy much better profit return in Bank one and Disney M/A
all can be achieved by OSA global capital markets asset prices simulation, bubbles , scandals early warning
B. Avoided over estimate of cost saving due to job cuts, destroy human resources process .
C. Avoided  excessive job cuts  resulted lose of customers, talents in post merger integration
D. Avoid over-optimistic over Pre/post merger performance resulted stock prices speculation, accounting scandal   and  stock prices plunge over disappointment resulted trillion dollar market investment loss.
E. Goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution, multifunctional OSA team Integrate strategic investment, supply chain cost reduction business, finance, human resources decision analysis and risk management into M/A save billion dollar investment loss and supply chain costs without job cuts

Dec. 14, 2004 rev.

US merger/acquisition pre and post merger integration performance analysis and investment strategy  
HP merge Compaq to become no.2 in computer does not help HP profit margin,( HP printer division enjoyed 8 % profit margin contributed 3.8 billion profit in 2004, while Compaq corporate computing and PC only has 1.0 % profit margin and facing increasing competition from IBM, HP, Apple in PC and sever markets, rely on job cuts for cost reduction Despite already saved 3.5 billion ) without OSA value added simulators to upgrade HPQ software, service, HPQ margin will be dragged by Compaq, stock prices doubled to 25 are overpriced, facing hard time ahead in second half 2004, stock prices will be down 50 % to 16-21
China's PC king Lenovo bought US IBM   10 billion billion sales Think Pad PC   for 1.75 billion, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global market shares, upgrade its technical and management  skill, while IBM will improve its China
marketing potential for other divisional  products ( Main frame, server, and corporate computing.)
Oracle enjoyed 23 % profit margin bought Peoples Soft ( 3.4% margin ) in customer relationships, financial, human resources data management will be drag  by PeopleSoft, and facing competition from SAP and other market players
Oracle stock prices will give up all its recent  gain, testing 10- 12
Sprint 35 billion dollar merger Nextel will facing sharp price war in wireless competition, Nextel margin will be grad by Sprint. stock prices at 24 are over valued. 2001 and 2002 US and China , Global Stock Market Crash OSA :Strategic decision failure on  Bubble burst corporate Infectious Greed in global Reform and merger/acquisition, Scandals, plunging dollar cutting into investors, consumer confidences, billions dollars loss in global merger/acquisition cost and profits.
What is wrong with  Wall Street and global financial markets?, merger/acquisition mistakes and scandal by :chasing, speculation resulted bubbles
Why markets crash 30 %-50 % ? Where is the bottom ? WHen to invest ? What Wall Street need ?
Citicorp, JP Morgan, Chase, UBS,  GE, Exxon, Mobil, HP, Compaq stock prices and profit plunge 50 %. , merger can not improve their profit, even by heavy job cuts, restructuring, due to recession impact. JP Morgan, Goldman Sach, Merrill Lynch suffering huge trading loss and investment banking business, Mckinsey all made big job cuts in investment banking staff.
China Guanxia, numerous  high tech stock Reform stocks scandals plunged 90 % all due to speculation over M/A IPO, MBO without improve corporate profit through investment, supply chain cost reduction.
Global financial  market analysts, investment bankers, money managers still using technical charting, speculating on 3 month old, economic, business data, news, following the analysts recommendation , speculation,  for merger acquisition in , biotech and   dotcom  new and old economic  bubbles, inflated  earning, stocks prices and corporate scandals.
Wall Street and corporate CFO does not know how to make rational  investment, supply chain costs reduction decisions after 30 years, e-finance make it even worse( following the crowd, chasing the markets) The current markets crash is different from all the past ones. . it rely on smart daily decisions analysis.
What Wall Street and corporate finance Needs: Merger/Acquisition does not solve the problem, It reply on Reliable daily financial /commodity market decision tools for investment banking pre/post merger investment , supply chain cost reduction strategy
 Dr. Warren Huang have development  Over ten  thousands  of  artificial intelligence, neural net, fuzzy logic, chaos algorithms based simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global global interest rates, currency rates,  commodity, industrial  raw materials,  financial futures, options prices,  products, management innovations impact on industrials demand, prices, corporate pre mergers and post merger  integration performance, profitability and stock prices  Operations Simulations Analysis  expert  systems, implemented for US, Asian Pacific,  European multinational M/A strategy

 Internet/  Information Technology        Biotech and Chemicals         Oils, and Petrochemicals                 Auto cyclical industries          Banking/ Finance merger Risk Management
Cost, quality, market shares as Goal mission, performance oriented strategic, execution  M/A OSA (Operations Simulation, Analysis )team, maximize pre and post merger/acquisition integration performance, investment return and minimize risks  
Global auto industries facing overcapacity, sharp competition, price war and peaking out demand due to central banks credit tightening, merger only cut some in job cuts.
Global airlines are facing soaring fuel, labor costs, and fare competition , declining traffic demand. mergers can not change near term performance, while only increases more competition in US and European flights: US merger US airways and proposed AMR, Delta, NWA, EURO mergers. All these airline are facing operating loses. only UAL, Delta  survive, All their stock prices are testing their year lows between 25- 55. not recommend for near term investments
investment banking, restructuring, reengineering applications during the last 30 years (These systems have been recommend by US Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Control and Information Management, Productivity and Quality, Process Design & Optimization Handbook during 1991- 2003,   over 1600 major companies from 65  US, European, Asian Pacific, South American countries including EXXON, Dupont, BP, Shell, BASF, Aramco, Sinopec, IBM, Merck, Roche, Rhone-Poulenc etc.   thousands  corporate managers contacted 32 OSA based corporate  pre and post merger/acquisitions  restructuring, reengineering performances analysis )and strategy, tracking, simulate daily  US Fed and global central bankers monetary policy, interest rates, currency, Asian financial crisis  and it's impact on global commodity, industrial raw materials,  financial futures, options prices, corporate profitability, stock prices and pre and post merger/ acquisition restructuring, reengineer ring and performances improvements simulation, investment, risk  management for helping  20 millions global  corporate CEO,  finance, import/ export,  currency, equities trading, procurement, marketing  managers, investors to take advantage of investment opportunities in last 20 years  financial crisis through the information, biotech, financial market training centers setup,  in OSA goal mission, performance oriented OSA teams directed by Dr. Warren Huang 
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US  weekly Fed and European, Asian central bankers  money supply,  fund rate, Asian Financial Crisis, Yen exchange  rate impact on daily Benz  and Chrysler pre and post mergers performance OSA 9806  
Pre mergers OSA:   Asian turmoil and strong dollar caused the global auto industry overcapacity. Both Benz and Chrysler enjoyed  the top performance with 1500 per car profit. The Benz's luxury car will be complemented by Chrysler's mini-van and low price passenger cars. Both auto makers are currently benefited by the strong demand from economic expansion in US and Europe, but hurt by strong dollar and competition from Japan.                                                                                                          
Post   mergers OSA: Cross-continent mergers with different cultural background and management concept requires Dr. Warren Huang over 30 years experiences in implementing quality, cost, market shares  goal, mission, performance oriented cross functional pizza chart OSA strategic and execution OSA teams for US, Asian Pacific multinationals provide unified management  concept, procedures and decision methods supporting new corporate's restructuring, reengineering efforts in new car models and   new markets (Asian Pacific) strategy                                                        
Stock Investment strategy: Chrysler int'l sales slump 24 % due to Asian, Russia, South America crisis, stock will be traded between  20  and 40 

Dr. Huang will apply his 30 years experiences to  review following key industries investment banking, merger/acquisitions
Finance and Properties      Internet/  Information Technology               Biotech and Chemicals                                                Oils, and Petrochemicals                 Auto cyclical industries      

  Detailed analysis, stock investment research reports, simulation chart of the above and other Asian and European corporate merger/acquisition  simulation results  are available by the order form below.     
 Key Benefits:     These  pre and post merger/acquisition OSA decision tools and OSA teams   management will provide billions dollars cost saving and with improved market share and profits and  help the global corporate CEO financial, procurement, marketing  on the job decisions analysis training  in global procurement, investment, marketing strategy,  to maximize  profit at minimum loss.

Also help investors  in global strategic  M/A investing.     

                            1999 osawh.com/黃華南博士版權所有 Copyright 1999 osawh.com/Dr.Warren Huang                        

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