Global
Central banking Optimal monetary policy Trilemma Solution:
Proactive Structural Economics Systems GDP and , Inflation, Currency,
Equities, Housing Prices Bubble impact
simulation Integration strategic workshops
Thousands proactive, structural
dynamic Operations Simulations Analysis Identification years, month
ahead of the causes, onset,
recovery, early warning of last 20 years global energy, financial,
currency, housing, stock market prices bubbles burst, economic recession
cycles
Last
30 years global financial , currency, oil, energy, equities, housing
prices bubble boom and bust cycles, financial crisis
simulation indicating that high GDP, Capital Markets and Housing Markets Growth,
free float/peg currency ( QDII/QFII money manager speculation 10 year or 80 years bull market are impossible) are not, should and can not be sustainable
, can not last more than 5 years and it is inflationary, will repeating eventual Japanese, Asian financial crisis,
stock market crash and housing bubbles burst in 5 years(, with up to 10 year
long recession with or without central bank macro-economical control,
even inflation stay below 3 %.
Only these integrated proactive structural
economic systems can achieve GDP, capital markets growth, currency, asset price
stability
by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
wh3928@yahoo.com
Goal ::
Proactive
structural monetary policy for sustainable growth and inflation, exchange rates,
financial market asset prices stability without asset price bubbles
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in proactive year, month ahead
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for 40
countries tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread,
recovery , early warning of last 25 years global financial, currency,
energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis feed-forward control to prevention
overshooting, delay action , uneven economic development resulted asset bubbles
overheating and trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your current policy impact on growth and prices
stability OSA
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Predictive Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your
own policy impact OSA, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com website
visited by million global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives, academics researchers
Scopes: Monetary, Economic,
Fiscal Policy Impact Simulation on:
Why we have uneven economic development in regional, industries, How to use
industrial finance simulation to avoid it
Macro economics proactive structural simulation :GDP, inflation, consumer, business spending, unemployment
Financial Economics/
financial market prices: interest rates, currency, stock indices
Identification of asset prices bubbles, bubble growth, how to deflate in early
stage, natural bubble burst/foced bubble burst, post bubble burst recovery,
early warning for
Industrial asset demand /prices: Housing, oil/ commodity prices, 20
industrial sector demand, products prices, bubble early warning.
Trade Economics: export/import/trade surplus/deficit, currency, competitive
pricing market shares.
Optimal monetary policy control for sustainable growth and capital market
asset prices, currency CPI prices
stability
Proactive structural macro
economic inflation, interest rates OSA forecast 3 years, month ahead, US/China
contractionary/ expansionary monetary policy in GDP/ inflation targeting, control tracking.
predicted 2003 that US housing bubble burst 2006 and 2007 sub-prime default drag
US dollar and stock market for correction,
Recent Dow Jones plunged 400 points
as Yen plunged fro 123 to 118 and sub prime worry,
oil price soared to 77
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic
proprietary Capital Market Asset Prices Models (CAPM) simulators
first time shown on this website
the most reliable optimal
monetary policy trilemma solution, integrating money supply,
interest rate, inflation , currency into capital market asset prices bubbles (
global stock indices) OSA simulation charts
1.Global Finance, Capital Markets Asset Prices Modeling (CAPM)
Simulation/Forecasts months ahead of emerging market trend
A. Pricing forecasts for securities, futures, derivatives
OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on last 20 years daily
Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar Yen exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
Hong Kong money supply growth, inter-bank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
Who should attend:
central banks chairman, regional governors, macro/financial/ industrial/trade
economic research, executives and banking, securities, insurance regulation
executives, banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, economic
policy planner, SOE, medium enterprises CEO, CFO, board members, auditing
committee.
Reservation Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com one month ahead of your
date
Location:
Your office
The need for improved Monetary Policy impact and Financial Markets prices
simulation and credit default risks simulation Decisions Consumer price index inflation under estimate the damages from soaring stocks and
properties , asset prices bubble and labor cost due to excessive rate, tax cuts
and excessive money supply resulted housing and auto industry bubbles(
despite consumer inflation rate was falling to 2 % for Japan 1990 and US
2001 bubble bursts led both central banks raise the money supply growth and cut
interest rates led asset bubble burst, led to export
decline and nonperformance loan due to poor financial market risk management decision
making. These unreliable equilibrium approach probabilistic VAR model based normal stable
continuous data, speculation caused billion dollars loses by LTCM, global credit crunch
Real Time Dynamic simulation of
Global central banks Monetary Policy Impact on daily money, currency, stocks,
bond, commodity, financial futures and derivatives markets prices including the causes,
onset, spread, recovery of Asian, Russia, South America Financial Crisis and LTCM
hedging fund failure and current US asset prices bubble impact on the new
economy growth and financial systems stability
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has offered thousands seminars, workshops, TV, radio lectures
for? 30? million China, Taiwan, ASEAN, Asian, US government, central banks, banking,
finance, corporate CEO, senior executive, fund managers, analysts, investors, daily
growth,? price stability risks control policy, government, financial industry, Corporate
reform, reengineering,? default risks supervision, regulation, prevention, global
portfolio risks management, supply chain cost reduction on the job training ,
decision support for internet e-commerce, e-business applications
Global Financial Crisis, Risks
Management real option credit default risks simulation, control)..
Simulation of Monetary Policy Impact on Global Economic Growth, Asset Price
Stability