========= 30 years OSA Global Achievements, Applications ==================

Dr. Warren Huang's  Nobel prize dream: He  pioneered  two master hands  controlling global economic cycle, daily capital, money, insurance, currency, energy, commodities, properties asset prices, bubble , financial , currency crisis early warning accurately predicted  last 20 years global central banks rate hike, cut, money market operations, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on economy and financial  markets (interest rate, currency, commodity, financial futures derivatives, industrial demand, debt, equities, properties asset  prices, corporate revenue, profit, ABS, fund performance rating, credit defaults  risks( Basel II ) for global financial, banking  crisis, risks  simulation, control, early  warning  , capitalized trillion dollar profits during crisis and avoided trillion dollar NPL loss,.

 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003  Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio station , and  www.osawh.com website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer demand pushing US Oil prices  soared above 50, metals  prices reaching 23 year high, will follow economic recovery and not transitory .  weak dollar due  to soaring trade deficit, ( 55.3 billion  for June, 50 for July ) will drive  inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June, Aug  , Sept 0.25 % rate hikes China credit tightening, will follow US rate hike in summer 2004, global economy facing inflationary slowdown and followed by stagflation next year with  stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30- 50 % correction Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google will  plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: Despite  China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to  some progress macroeconomic control with Aug money supply growth at 14.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales down 10 %, asset prices, inflation retreat from May ( benefited by  commodities prices down 15 % ). However Aug. producer, consumer price still up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national  housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up 13.2, China  first half GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 30.4  % repeat 1994, call the need for interest rate hike in Oct. to cool off the consumer and housing demand.  soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage,  stocks prices recent rebound from 1250  to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr. Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear market technical rebound ( within 20 %  and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound 20- 40 %. , This supply side tightening are insufficient to cool  the uneven economic overheating, must  follow US rate hike in Sept.  implement  structural  rate hikes to cut off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto and retails  demand . any postpone of rate rate hike will further delay  soft landing into second half . 2005,   He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo,  Kuotai  securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March, May  and extending into the rest of  2004.  US trade deficit soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at  3.2 % in Aug., with business  spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up,  oil, soared to 50 and metals to  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its way to cool off the economy. (
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.   He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap  Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq  1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain  China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks  ( including IPO )facing  30-50 % bear market  correction consolidation  

20 years successful global investment, strategic risks early warning, hedging management tracking record:
Dr. Warren Huang lectured  San Francisco Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities Silicon Valley investors workshop on China/US rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center, predicted, recommended  accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their bottom, enjoyed 20  % profit, overheated in June again.

======Dr. Warren Huang  North American China-US  TV radio interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850, recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction, downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks plunged 12 % May 17, overheated in June again.
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss “Market Trend and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US” and CEOs from five growing public companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)        Time: 9:30-3:10pm  Venue: Crown Plaza Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch  

If you have Dr. Huang's two OSA master hands you are in good hands  for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, mutual  fund  optimal asset allocation equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,  risk hedging  tracking/forecasts month ahead  the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website  since 1998   over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops tracking his last 20 years results  predicted China 1994-96 macroeconomic control, soft landing and  2000- 2003  global IT stocks and mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund plunged 50- 70 %  July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this website and warned Asian Business Forum Asset Backed Securitization conferences Oct. 2002 that global stocks overheated , US and global bond and securitization issues overprices, will suffer huge loss with stock prices give up all its gain Dow retest 7500 in March 2003, and  predicted US and global stocks rebound March 2003 Dow Jones rebound from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 % rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002 again in 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%,  US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble  corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 300,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst  thereafter following rate hike, second quarter bubble  CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % force Greenspan raise interest rate  after  May and  summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook  serious housing bubble will lead to rate hike, despite high unemployment in the election year and global IT and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1900- 2090 , Taiwan index  6000- 7000, Henseng 11500- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1500- 1750, Shenzhen 3500- 4100, Euro : 1.18- 1.29 , Yen 105- 112,  China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and  stocks gave up all this year gain.Two Master hands thousands structural dynamic simulators provide structural strategic wealth management and risk hedging, early warning; identify last 20 years bubbles, crisis month ahead, make trillion dollar hedging profit, while avoided trillion dollar markets wealth loss due to current market analysts, wealth managers following the crowd, chasing the markets.
The right master hand pinpoint the risks of overheated investor sentiments in the listed( US )and home country( monetary policy tell you when to hedge ( when every hedging fund is chasing the hot markets and  afraid to hedge the put is selling for a nickel) :do not chase hot ADR  and IPO  stocks when they  are too hot, when every analyst recommending, investors chasing (Dr. Huang warned  NOV.1999 on www.sina.com   and on this website in 8 paper series that  China ADR shares are too hot, speculating WTO,   CPIH soared from 1 to 80 , it dropped to 15 in three days. Nasdaq index soared to 5100, Taiwan OTC stock soared to 10000, in March 2000,  bubble will burst  down 50 -90 % and identify the opportunities when the credit tightening impact is over( usually 3-6 month after last interest rate cut, economy, spending is cooloff, corporate earning decline is over, stocks prices plunge, fully deflated, compressed.  when every analyst, investor think it's the end of the world

The left master hand will tell you month ahead, how monetary policy impact on global 20 industrial sectors 5000 supply demand, prices, and corporate stock earning, stock prices  decline is over, when everybody is selling ready for turn around  
He predicted  US June 1999 rate hike and 2000 IT  bubble and equity wealth effect  burst at
ECB, JP Morgan conference on Post EURO Banking, Finance Integration Strategy, Rome, Nov. 26, 1998
Washington area banking, finance conference, Apr. 1999, Washington DC,
European Financial Management conference, Barcelona, Spain, June 29-30, 1999
China central bank governor sponsored global central banks policy for sustainable growth, stability ,Macao, May, 1999, Taiwan central banks governor, sponsored Pacific Basin economic and finance, Taipei, May, 1999
He predicted first US first rate cut and recession and global stock follow Dow Jones plunge 40 %, Nasdaq plunged 70 % on warning to China Peoples Banks Beijin executives and this website  May, 2001 and predicted again to May , 2002 to Peking University's Global Finance conference  and Asian Business Forum,  Sept 2002 Kuala, Lumpur ABS conference ASEAN central banks, banking finance executive that US and global stock rebound and economy recovery after retest new low first quarter 2003 
Witnessed by million global government central banks ( China Peoples Bank, FRB, ECB, IMF, World Bank , IFC )banking, securities,  top investment bankers (Citicorp, Goldman Sach, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Nomura, UBS, Deutch Bank, Barclay Global), multinational executives visited this website since 1998 

=====OSA tracking results   www.osawh.com website and daily global visitors===
 Millions prominent executives visited our website   tracking daily results  from global central banks, government agency, banking, finance, insurance since 1998 
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Global central banks, government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, IMF, World Bank, BIS,  UN, OCED,US  Dept of energy, NASA , Center of Disease Control, State and cities government, Taiwan Ministry of Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Taipei, Kaoshiung cities , Academy of Science, Information Technology research Institute)
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Merrial Lynch, Goldman Sach, Deutch  Bank, BNP Paribas, State Street, Fidelity, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Mizuho, Nomura, Prudential, ManuLife, HSBC, Cathy Life ,CNA, J Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business Week
Corporate :
McKinsey,  Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, Compaq, NEC, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia,  Taiwan Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Motorola, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco, Dupont, Dow, Millions global central banks, government, banking, finance, enterprises, CEO, CFO,  executives visited and supported www.osawh.com website since July 1998  (Partial lists)
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley, NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD, UPensilvania,  Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London)   and city, state family education( K12)  from 70 countries 
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China miracle experience :

He offered thousands lectures  to  30 million China nationwide 13 cities TV, radio lectures, and public/ in-house workshops  CEO, CFO, VIP trader, asset managers and nationwide national securities news papers and thousands workshops for hundreds nationwide banking, securities, insurance, properties CEO, manager, daily securities news accurately predicted China macro-economic control, credit tightening during 1994-96, Shanghai A traded between 600-800 .

He send fax newsletter to US Wall Street Journal editor recommended China B shares July 8, 1994, the Journal recommended China B share July 20, He also send to China Wanguo, Guotai securities companies Wuhan branch
CEO predicted Shanghai A will rebound from 333 to 800 in Aug 1994, It did following B share strong rebound. 

He was invited by Wuhan Wanguo, Guotai securities and construction bank CEO, commodities firm to offer
in-house workshop to Wuhan are CEO, money, trade managers, 500  VIP investors predicted  to nationwide banking, securities, insurance, properties CEO, manager,  Wuhan daily securities news and Beijin Financial Times China macro-economic control, credit tightening during 1994-96, Shanghai A traded between 600-800 .

He recommended Shanghai Petrochemicals at one dollar to nationwide securities news, securities co workshops investors Jan 1995,  soared to 8 in July

He predicted March 1995 in nationwide lectures, in-house workshops  that Shanghai A will rebound from 570 to test 800 and back to 600 in May. Shanghai A did soared from 590 to 900, and plunged back to 600 during May 18- 21, 1995, with Shanghai and 15 cities bank, securities managers sold all the stocks above 850, made billion profit, avoided billion dollar loss, while stock market technical analysts recommended chasing the confirmed bull market rally after Shanghai A break 760

He  forecasts to nationwide TV radio program, banking, securities in-house workshops in  Jan 1996 first rate cut, soft landing, China A share entering bull market Shanghai soared from 560 to 1800 starting  March 1996,  recommended Shenzhen development bank, Changhon at 6 soared to 65, He was invited by Shanghai stock exchange and Eastern radio on Dec 16, 1996 to explain to millions nationwide investors the implementation of 10 % stock prices limit will not have any impact on bull market, Shanghai index will rebound from 1300 to make 1800 new high in the following year.

He accurately warned Asian, Hong Kong financial crisis. 1997-1998 in his China nationwide TV radio lectures, brokerage investors in-house workshops that Hong Kong speculate on return to China, stocks, properties prices overheated will facing bubble burst in Asian crisis

He accurately predicted on his website and Shanghai workshop March 2003 China A share rebound to 1650 and again in May warned Steel, auto, housing market overheating led to China Peoples Bank repeat 1994 macroeconomic control, credit tightening, raise deposit ratio 1 % in Sept.

Taiwan experience: He offered  lectures  to  4 million China  TV 4 million investors, VIP trader, asset managers  wrote thousands articles  in million copies for economic, commercial times, industrial economics daily  news papers , investment, trade , economic journals and stock markets for Taiwan stock exchange and offered hundred in-house workshops for hundreds banking, securities, insurance, properties , corporate CEO, CFO, accurately   covering  Taiwan central bank monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on economic boom and bust, daily  equities, properties wealth effect  bubble burst, recovery:  stock index from 650 to 12900  during 1986 to 1990 and crashed to 2400 in 1990 rebound to 10,000, in 2000 crashed to 3400 in 2001  and warned in Jan 2002 Taiwan stock index follow Nasdaq rebound to 6500 overheated, should follow Nasdaq retest 4000
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has over 30 years  experiences in the development, implementation of 32 information knowledge based  global strategic investment, supply chain logistics management expert  systems simulators support  China, Taiwan and global government, banking, finance, enterprises reform, wealth, asset management, investment strategy and risk management  financial engineering applications to think tank and board members , executives  daily corporate structural finance for global debt, equities, properties, oil, 20  industrials sectors, 5000 products  asset pricing, credit, market, operations profit margin, stock prices, risk simulation, 
OSA Strategic Simulation Methodology
He implemented integrated  global strategic  investment  supply chain logistics cost reduction value chain profit optimization  decision analysis for US headquarters  Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals corporate finance, Bechtel, Fluor, Kaiser engineers Bailey Network Controls, refinery, petrochemical, Information technology upstream/ downstream, industries and  mineral, food, drug , power plant design, equipment cost estimation, plant construction ERP, process operations improvement simulation, control for Bechtel, Fluor, Stauffer Chemicals, Kaiser, Consulting to  China, Taiwan , ASEAN, Asian, South America, European  government, corporate restructuring, upgrade through management, technical innovation , banking, finance, oil & IT upstream, downstream  industries   importer/exporters strategy   These systems  have been  published  by US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Processing 1991-2003 MIS , advanced control  hand- book  www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .to upgrade 80 countries 1400 multinationals,( Exxon, BP, IBM, Shell, SINOPEC) SOE, medium, small enterprises data base to strategic decision analysis , maximize old, new economy profits,   invited to speak to 45 countries 100 Chemical Eng .Process simulation, Optimal control, MIS, productivity conferences.

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