www.osawh.com   
Proactive  commodities, financial , currency equities futures and derivatives (put/call options, warrants ) prices market forces prices mechanism simulation, Hedging Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)/ Forecasts and Basel II  risk management:

Global Markets Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)/ Forecasts and Basel II  risks early warning  management: of Monetary , economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global oil/gas/gasoline, heating oil,  commodities, interest rate, exchange rate and stock index, equities futures, warrants , put/call options prices market forces prices mechanism OSA forecasts,  leading the market  3- 6 months , stay ahead, capitalize the trillion dollar investment  opportunities in futures, options  emerging market price movement trend in last 20 years global financial, currency, energy crisis, bubble burst provide reliable predictive Basel II risk control  early warning for futures and derivatives trading  for real time commodity, stock index futures, derivatives quote data from  Chicago Board of Trade  www.cboe.com

Global central banks, economist, financial and oil, petrochemicals, housing markets analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning to Singapore, Shanghai Euro-events lectures  Asian/China Finance, Capital Market Conferences, Nov. 2003,  and www.osawh.com website underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes , profit squeeze, suffered  30-50 %  plunge in stock prices, trillion dollar loss in bond markets and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures and stock  futures, options investments, predicted , warned by 

Global Economy and Financial Markets Asset Prices Mechanism, Basel II risks causes models  Simulation /Forecasts
 Dr. Warren Huang warning  on this website US and Taiwan, Hong Kong investors  Jan 2000, that US high tech bubble burst  high flier Yahoo, JDSU soared to 300  and all other dotcoms over 100 will  plunge 90 %,Nasdaq will plunge from 5100 to 1800,  drag Asian EURO high tech  plunge 70 %Dow Jones will  drag Nikkei, Henseng plunge below 9000.
based on  OSA  two master hands controlling global stock indices, stocks, commodity   futures , warrants, options prices mechanism simulation forecasts
Dr. Huang warned global financial market overoptimistic over US recovery, again July 2001 in Beijin that US will enter recession  ,  ENRON, WCOM, TYCO, GLBX, IBM earning plunge, Dow will drag Nikkei, Henseng below 9000, and  Nov. 2001 in Beijin's China oil upstream/downstream 2001  and Jan 21-22 in taipei again that Dow old economy stocks IBM, MMM, PG, overheated, will plunge below 60-80 and semiconductors stocks   IT and biotech stocks overheat retest 911 low gave up all it's gain , sell al these stocks and by put  recommended strategic petroleum reserve procurement buy oil below 18, gasoline, heating below 53, an d buy 2002 may futures and call options, made 100 time profit while invest in  China CNOOC, Taiwan, petrochemical stocks up 80 % to 300 %
NYMEX Oil  price = F (US M2 money supply growth,  NY gasoline, future, Heating oil future prices
Gas  future price = F(  US consumer spending, Heating oil prices, US dollar)
details  can be found on global currency OSA forecasts
OIl, gas, gasoline, heating oil   put/call/ option, warrants   prices Black-Schole  equation = F( Striking prices, days to expiration,  current/future commodity , stocks  prices),
Gold futures prices, mining stocks, options, warrants  mutual fund performances OSA

While Gold future prices = F (oil prices, US inflation, Dollar exchange rate)

All others commodity, metal future prices OSA

While their call/put options have been used extensively by the financial industry for hedging in risk management have been simulated:

Call/Put options/warrant prices = F(striking price of the call/put, Days to expiration, current and future oil, commodities, interest rate, exchange rate and stock index prices)

This formula is simpler than the Nobel wining Black-School formula, it provide future commodities interest rate, exchange rate and stock index , prices simulation , forecasts and does not require volatility data. It has been developed, implemented successfully since 1987 stock market crash 

The combination of oil, commodity, financial futures  and  put/call  simulation and on this website daily real time tracking has brought  100 times profit on both the put and call option again since  in 2000 2001 oil, commodity  stock markets crash and recovery :and predicted Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Asian/China finance, capital markets conferences
Singapore, Shanghai, OIl, commodity prices will make new high, bond prices plunge in March 2004, make trillion dollars profits in futures, options investments
Global oil, refining products, natural gas, and downstream stocks futures, warrants, options prices simulation, risk hedging workshops

This website use IBM stock price formula to forecast to drop from 132 to 80 early     this year and most recent forecasts MMM to plunge from 130 to 106    and use the put formula recommended to buy  put, 
Dr. Huang recommended to Beijijn  and Taipei oil, downstream industries, financial executives Nov 2001 and Jan 21-22 on Global oil, refining products, natural gas, and downstream prices simulation, risk hedging workshops to buy May 2002 Wtex, Gasoliine, natural gas call options NYmex  WTEX oil as Wtex plunged below 20, and gasoline ast it pluinged below 50. It did in Jan 2002, as crude oil price soared to 27.5 in Apr 2002, and gasoline soared to 82, these options , warrants investment up 50 times.

email  wh3928@yahoo.com   for half day Global oil, refining products, natural gas, and downstream, futures, warrants, options  prices simulation, risk hedging workshops reservations