Chinese (中文)
Praoctive Structural
Strategic Trillion Dollars Equities, Bond,
Commodities,Currency Futures MultiStrategy Recession Hedging
Integrating Fundamentals Pricing Mechanism Analysis into Quantitative Financial, Simulation
Models predicted years, month
ahead of the emerging market trend of global developed, emerging economy,
housing, commodities, equities, bond asset prices bubbles boom and bust
cycles, Interest rate, inflation,
currency , oil, financial, housing mortgage default, IT sectors, indexing component
stocks , ETF maximize hedge fund risk adjusted return, prices simulation,
asset allocation ,asset bubbles burst systemic risks
early warning strategy , avoided trillion dollar market loss.
Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士)accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market correction, oil above 110, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge funddespite Fed rate cuts He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 3000- 4000 till summer 2008, stamp tax for stock trading cut to 1 % provide initial support to 3000 level.
(
presented to China Peoples Bank, 24 global
central banks governors, China oil markets, strategic wealth management ,
risk management confernces , workshop since 1999)
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation of last 20
years Integrating
Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models for
US, BRIC
Energy, Currency,Banking, Finance Mortgage Defaults Crisis,
Macro-economic inflation, unemplyment targeting, Monetary
interest rate policy Impact on global oil, banking mortgage
rate, IT and housing demand, pricing, Equities Prices Bubbles,,
Mortgage Loan Credit Rating, Prepayment, Defaults, Recovery Modeling, Bond
Spread in Assets Securitization, Risks Hedging
Hong Kong, Beijin, Shanghai, Taipei in-house
workshops
by reservation at your convenient time at yuor office wh3928@yahoo.com
conducted by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Strategic Management
OSA
Preparing for Macroeconomic control, rate cuts, global commodities, housing, equities price bubbles burst, Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default Crisis Early Warning
Select your country, we will provide 5 -day monetary
policy impact on US, European and Asian /US/BRIC , emerging
markets macroeconomic
control, inflation, interest rates, currency, oil, IT, finance,
commodities industries, stocks market , regional housing prices bubbles,
securitization CDO assets credits simulation, and what , why, how and timing
years, month ahead of the emerging bull, bear market trend maximize 1xx/xx
equities optimal long/short strategy maximize risks adjusted return performance,
mortgage default
crisis recession impact analysis for your fund historical
data
Find out breakthrough innovation in
Integrating
Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation
Models by
proactive structural dynamic, deterministic artificial
intelligence, neural net based expert systems macro, financial, industrial
pricing econometrics integration, simulation and extension to Engle's
Exponential GARCH dynamic times series estimation
co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of
US/BRIC , optimal long/short
, ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx housing, equities, currency, commodities price bubbles,
tracking the causes, onset, recovery, early warning of US/ BRIC, global central banks
monetary interest rate policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation,
un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global housing, equities ,
currencies, oil, commodities prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major
cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices ,
associated
prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment, default, recovery
modeling, ABS, CRE, RMBS, CDO bond spread, hedging
fund strategy.
Global central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan
and commercial, investment banking , hedging fund managers, markets quantitative
analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning on Asset Prices
Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept.
2002 to Malaysia
central banks Asset Based Securitization conference,
Singapore, Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events Asian
/US/China Finance, Capital Market conferences and China
economist annual meeting, Fudan University, Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic outlook, capital market
housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles and
workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004,
and Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market Investment Strategy
conference, June 2007
Peking University Financial Risk Management conference lecture, www.osawh.com
and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat
blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned statistical quantitative and fundamental analysts
underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate,
tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive oil ,
commodities, metals housing prices bubbles burst to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing
credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, drag into economic
recession and global bear market correction, banking, financaaial, housing, IT
and high fliers sectors stock price facing 30- 60 % correction suffered trillion
dollar loss in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch
and loan default, ABS, RMBS, CDO asset credit and performance downgrade, hedge
fund failure 2004-2007. www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Workshops Goal
: OSA forecasts years, month ahead of emerging bull/bear
market trend maximize risks adjusted return in US/ European, Asian,
BRIC emerging markets housing markets and ABS investments , default
risks early warning fighting housing market recession, credit crunch,
optimal long short strategy, avoided global banking , housing, equities,
commodities, markets trillion dollars asset downgrade, value loss in
economic recession due to quantitative and fundamental analysts, betting on the
wrong side of investments..
Workshops Mission: Setup goal,
mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop,
implement proactive, structural global central banks monetary
policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing market economy market
forces demand, prices mechanism and loan and ABS assets, credit rating,
prepayment, default, recovery modeling Operations Simulation Analysis
(OSA) strategic investment, forecasts month ahead, of the
emerging bear and bull market trend credit default, recession trend,
crisis impact on global currency, commodities, equities, bond, industrial
sectors, stock prices performances for optimal long-short, ultra short strategy
and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar housing and
global equities allocation investment and markets default
loss.
Workshops Highlights: Integrating
Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models :The what , why, how and timing of root causes, onset,
recovery, early warning of equities, housing, oil, commodities bubble burst,
mortgage default crisis, tracking Goldman Sach GBRIX, GBRAX, GBRCX,
StateStreet BRIC 40 ,GXC, Optimal long-Short Strategy for 1xx/xx ETF fund
, Ultra short financial, real estate, Bank of New York BEE, Dow Jones BRIC 50
index country , industrial sectors performances, bubble bursts risks and
regulation AB for ABS RMBS, CDO pooled asset credit rating and performance,
default, global assets allocations, with 2008
forecast.
5 day
1xx/xx equities fund long-short strategy asset allocation and portfolio
selections over 40 countries workshop
5 Day China
Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default Crisis Early
Warning workshops
5 Day
US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day
BRIC Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day BRIC
Macroeconomic, Housing , ETF equities bubble control and Default Crisis
Early Warning
Day One: US/ Asian, BRIC Macroeconomic
control, Country Risks, boom and bust cycle OSA, 2008 Forecasts and Macro-
Currency Hedging
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset
prices bubble , inflation control
and RMB currency appreciation
OSA
* Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and
EGARCH Granger co-integrations of US/Asian BRIC central bank macroeconomic control
removing excessive liquidity due to Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 indices
futures,India, Russia, Brazil stock indices ,
stocks, housing bubble wealth gain tracking money supply, interest
rate, currency and housing industry control impact on housing, stock
prices bubbles, fixed investment, inflation , un-employment rate and inflation
rate
* Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices, currency, fixed
investment impact on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates Futures hedging
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma:Currency appreciation Sovereign Wealth Fund,(SWF)
Equities, Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Hedging Asset Pricing Mechanism
Simulation and Multi -Asset Class Allocation, risks and DFI inflow,
excessive liquidity, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xx
* Interest rate
and trade balance impact on daily currency and Yen, EURO, Pound
exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in currency carry traded asset
price speculation.20 industrial sectors demand, prices and stocks investment
asset allocation performances, risks in SWF investment , Currency appreciation
and DFI inflow, excessive liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact
on daily currency, and Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency
carry trade DFI in asset price speculation.
* Interest rate, credit
tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage default
and mortgage
default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession
Day two:
Housing Industry Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage
loan, CRE, RMBS, default OSA, optimal equities long/short , ultra, housing
financial short and distressed strategy
for 1xx/xx
Morning:
BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand
and prices
*BRIC central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control impact on
removing excessive asset market liquidity and cool off the overheated
economy and inflation
*BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact
on China regional housing supply, demand and prices.
Afternoon:
BRIC
housing bubble burst, loan default , stock market crash, economic recession
early warning
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets
price bubble, fixed investment impact on
BRIC coastal area housing
sales, and prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal,
corporate, ABS, RMBS, loan credit rating, securitization asset
performance, prepayment, sub-prime and high end mortgage loan
default and induced stock market crash and economic recession early
warning OSA
Day three: Excessive liquidity, housing
prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and Burst, Market Crash
OSA
Morning:
US/Asian,BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and
prices, banking, finance, construction industry performance and optimal
long/short strategy, ultra short for 1xx/xx
*US, Asian, BRIC Central
Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on removing
excessive asset market liquidity and banking, finance stock price
performance
* US, Asian, BRIC housing industry price control policy and
impact on housing loan, construction industry demand and
prices.
Afternoon:
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy,
stock markets price bubble, fixed investment impact on BRIC coastal area
housing, prices ,US, Asian stock indices, Shanghai stock index, Russia Traded
Stock index, Brazil, India stock indices future, price OSA forecast
^
Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate loan credit rating,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end mortgage loan default and banking real
estate stock performance early warning OSA
Day four:
Housing demand impact on global oil commodities, futures hedging upstream/downstream demand,
profit, stock prices OSA, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xx Equities,
Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Asset Pricing Mechanism Simulation and
Multi -Asset Class Allocation, risk
Morning:
US,BRIC
monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand,
stock prices, OSA
*US, BRIC Asian Central Bank Monetary Policy
macroeconomic , housing industry control impact on housing, construction
material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand , prices .
* BRIC
housing industry price control policy and impact on oil, energy downstream
demand, prices.
Afternoon:
*Asian BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment
impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock price
^
BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment impact on housing demand and
energy, downstream companies profit , stock price OSA
Day five :
Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk integration,
crisis early warning OSA
morning:
US, Asian BRIC country
macro-econometric inflation, currency systemic risk.
* BRIC Central Banks
monetary policy, housing industry price control impact on GDP, inflation and
price bubbles
* BRIC monetary policy interest rate, trade impact on
currency price mechanism, hot money speculation .
Afternoon:
BRIC IT
industries demand, price performance, equities, housing price bubbles burst
associated market risks, and loan default crisis
* BRIC , optimal
long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx, housing and IT industries equities
price bubbles bursts and housing, equities, futures market price risks early
warning
*BRIC twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking,
asset management loan credit default risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit
derivatives, hedging, betting on the wrong direction resulted trillion
dollar loss.
Who Should Attend : Central banks policy
research, commercial, investment banking, real estate mortgage, Goldman Sach,
State Street, Dow Jones BRIC ETF fund managers, optimal long/short , ultra
short strategy for 1xx/xx Oil, banking, finance, commodities, IT industries
analysts, hedge fund manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO,
securitization , 1xx/xx ETF money managers, insurance managers, mutual fund ,
SWF fund managers, government regulation strategic (top management) , execution
(managers )
Workshop Costs/ Benefits lecture fee plus Dr.
Warren Huang round trip air fares from San Francisco for full day workshop
with unlimited attendees
Workshop recommendation tracking the emerging
bear/bull market trend, will make billion dollar profit by optimal long short
strategy save billion dollars in betting on the wrong direction of investment
and default risks, loss, capitalize opportunities in economic slowdown,
recession and asset prices bubbles burst
Reserve by email
wh3928@yahoo.com indicating your
favorite time, your office address, and lists of executives names,
title