Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar Recession Strategic Hedging Optimization, Asset Pricing mechanism predicted bull/bear trend for equities,bond ,commodities, futures multistrategy, macro ,arbitrage, long-short hedging strategy, risks early warning

Chinese (中文)
Proactive Structural Strategic Trillion Dollars China/Global ( US, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Asian, EURO) Equities, Bond, Commodities,Oil, Metals, Currency Futures , Derivatives Multiclass Asset Pricing for Optimal Long-Short Strategy Trillion Dollar Recession Hedging Workshops
Minimize Supply Chain feedstock, fuel cost , and Trillion dollar MBS, CDO, ABS, CDS equities,commodity investment loss and trillion dollar profit gain in market downturn and future rebound in economic recovery in asset bubble burst.

Integrating Macro-financial, industrial Fundamentals Pricing Mechanism Analysis into Quantitative Financial market trading Simulation Models predicted years, month ahead of the emerging market trend of global ( US, China, Taiwan,Asian, EURO ) ,developed, emerging economy, housing, commodities, equities, bond multiclass asset prices bubbles boom and bust cycles, Interest rate, inflation, currency , oil, financial, housing mortgage default, IT sectors, indexing component stocks , ETF maximize alternatives investment hedge fund risk adjusted return, prices simulation, asset allocation ,asset bubbles burst systemic risks early warning strategy , avoided trillion dollar market loss, while capitalize the emerging market recovery trend.

Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士)accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 and Mar 5, 2008 masterclass workshop China fund world 2008, Pudong, China warning to Goldman Sach managing directors JPM, UBS, Schroeders, JPM and 150 China QDII/QFII fund managers that US housing price slump continue into summer 2009 drag economy into 1980 style double dip inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market 50-70 % , Dow Jones test 7000, NASDAQ testing 1250, S&P test 700 with banking, finance, housing share price plunge 70-90 %, dollar making to new low, oil price and gas , commodity prices soared to 147, and follow stocks bubble burst plunge 50- 70 %, Bear Stearn, Lehman, Merrill hundreds billion dollar MBS and emerging market, alternatives investment hedge fund loss despite Fed rate cuts, bail out . He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 1700- 2000 till 2009. These proactive structural simulators quantify the uncertain, unknown future through tracking last 30 year China/US/Taiwan ,global monetary, economic fiscal, bailout, tax cuts, stimulus, infrastructure policy impact on macro economy, daily financial, 20 industrial economic sectors demand, asset and derivatives price mechanism in housing, credit, financial crisis, recession. It avoided trillion dollar loss and while profiting trillion dollar recession hedge. It will continue provide investors profiting from recession recovery in 2009, beyond while hedge against risks in uncertainty future.

Preparing for Global macroeconomic control, rate cuts, global commodities, housing, equities price bubbles burst, Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default credit, financial, Crisis Recession Early Warning and Tracking recovery opportunties, progress in rate cuts, bail out, tax cuts and domestic infrastructural stimulus programs

Comment to Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog July 24 2008 11:26AM

Recent banking, finance, housing share aggressive bull rebound (gained 30- 50 %) reacting to short covering and bull speculation on SEC restriction naked short
resulted excessive overbought in these sectors.we are just half way to housing price slump and stock market bear correction which will be extended to 2009 despite government action
and passing housing bill as I warned on Wall Street Journal Real Time Economics and Market beat blog since last Sept that rate cuts and economic stimulus can not stop sub-prime crisis spread to prime and general credit crisis and housing prices slump ( 30- 50 % regional price correction, trillion dollar loss) continue into summer 2008, we drag economy into 1980 style inflationary recession in 2009 and US, global stock markets bear market 50 % correction with banking, finance, housing shares down 50-70 % and spreading into all sectors .
Therefore, all long positions call must be covered by short position to avoid bear trap details can be found www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/opthedge.htm www.osawh.com/Fedcrisab.htm www.osawh.com/OSAmarkettoday.htm

Comment by Warren Huang -Wall Street Journal Market Beat July,1 2:30 pm Stock bear market rally

I warned on this blog last Sept that housing prce slump drag economic into recession, US and global stock , bond markets bear correction continue into summer 2008, I also warned that plunging dollar push il commodity prices , inflation to new high, US and global economy will facing inflationary recession, we will see oil test 145 by July 4 th and Dow Jones tst 10000 support, Nasdaq test 2000 this summer as global stocks, bond entering bear market, with few days bear market rally, and drags the market lower each time banking, finance, housing share slump will spreading into retail, high tech ( Nasdaq already down 20 %), and all other sectors
details on www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/opthedge.htm p> Comment by Warren Huang -Wall Street Journal Market Beat June 24, 2:30 pm about market speculation

Based on my 30 years proactive structural tracking of daily global industrial and commodities asset pricing and speculation behaviors,
it indicating the speculators are using fundamentals mechanism to speculating daily pricing.
As I predicted on this blog last Sept that Fed rate cuts can not stop housing price slump , sub-prime crisis spread into credit crisis, banking, housing stocks will plunge 50- 70 %.
and I predicted too that Fed rate cuts drag dollar lower, and stimulus package will driving consumer higher led to record oil, commodities price ( more than doubled.
Therefore oil price speculator using demand side price mechanism, despite Saudi raise production, Banking speculators using housing price slump, credit crisis led widening write down drag stock price for new low.
details on www.osawh.com/Globaloiln.htm www.osawh.com/Fedcrisab.htm www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/opthedge.htm

Comment by Warren Huang -Wall Street Journal Market Beat February 8, 2008 at 2:21 pm
Adding big high tech to Russel 1000does not necessarily help its performance especially in economic downturn, with housing slump and plunging consumer sentiment continue into summer. As I warned on this blog last Sept. that banking, finance will face 70 % correction, and consumer IT stock will be facing 50 % correction.
Recent rebound in consumer stocks reacting to economic stimulus generated low priced ( shrinking profit margin )sales.will soon be over.
It will be another bear market rally ( 3 day)to speculate on new Russel.
details on www.osawh.com/opthedge.htm www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/OSAmarkettoday.htm
Comment by Warren Huang - June 5, 2008 at 2:21 pm

Comment by Warren Huang -Wall Street Journal Market Beat February 8, 2008 at 12:20 pm

This is the market for those who applying proactive structural dynamic tracking of global macro-economy and daily financial market prices: the what , why exactly the markets is going on, the market forces price mechanism and how to identify and take advantage of the emerging bear/bull market trend supported optimal asset allocation and long-short strategy. As most global ETF fund losing money including emerging market BRIC. Index fund.
Only the Ultra short financial, housing and gold fund gain more than 20 % Trillion dollar recession hedge by me
As I warned last June , 2007 Peking University, Beijing International Financial Engineering Risk Management Conference and on this blog last Sept before Fed rate cuts that rate cuts, can not stop US housing price slump continue into 2008 summer, drag US into recession, US and global stocks into bear market correction, with banking, finance, shares down 50-70 %, housing shares down 70- 90 % IT, oil, retail and high fliers GOOG, AAPL, PTR shares down 30 50 % % and China housing , VanKe, China Merchant, fliers, PetroChina share plunged 30- 50 % bianking shares plunged 30 % Any Hedge fund follow my advice could make trillion dollar in 2007.
details can be found on my one day full day workshop Mar.6, Pudong, Shanghai, China world fund 2008
www.osawh.com/fund2008.htm and www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm< Select your country, we will provide 5 -day monetary policy impact on US, European and Asian /US/BRIC , emerging markets macroeconomic control, inflation, interest rates, currency, oil, IT, finance, commodities industries, stocks market , regional housing prices bubbles, securitization CDO assets credits simulation, and what , why, how and timing years, month ahead of the emerging bull, bear market trend maximize 1xx/xx equities optimal long/short strategy maximize risks adjusted return performance, mortgage default crisis recession impact analysis for your fund historical data

Find out breakthrough innovation in Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models by proactive structural dynamic, deterministic artificial intelligence, neural net based expert systems macro, financial, industrial pricing econometrics integration, simulation and extension to Engle's Exponential GARCH dynamic times series estimation co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of US/BRIC , optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx housing, equities, currency, commodities price bubbles, tracking the causes, onset, recovery, early warning of US/ BRIC, global central banks monetary interest rate policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation, un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global housing, equities , currencies, oil, commodities prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices , associated prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment, default, recovery modeling, ABS, CRE, RMBS, CDO bond spread, hedging fund strategy.

Global central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan and commercial, investment banking , hedging fund managers, markets quantitative analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning on Asset Prices Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept. 2002 to Malaysia central banks Asset Based Securitization conference, Singapore, Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events Asian /US/China Finance, Capital Market conferences and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University, Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic outlook, capital market housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004, and Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market Investment Strategy conference, June 2007 Peking University Financial Risk Management conference lecture, www.osawh.com and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned statistical quantitative and fundamental analysts underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive oil , commodities, metals housing prices bubbles burst to 23 year high and soaring inflation, excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, drag into economic recession and global bear market correction, banking, financaaial, housing, IT and high fliers sectors stock price facing 30- 60 % correction suffered trillion dollar loss in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch and loan default, ABS, RMBS, CDO asset credit and performance downgrade, hedge fund failure 2004-2007. www.osawh.com/ABS.html

Workshops Goal : OSA forecasts years, month ahead of emerging bull/bear market trend maximize risks adjusted return in US/ European, Asian, BRIC emerging markets housing markets and ABS investments , default risks early warning fighting housing market recession, credit crunch, optimal long short strategy, avoided global banking , housing, equities, commodities, markets trillion dollars asset downgrade, value loss in economic recession due to quantitative and fundamental analysts, betting on the wrong side of investments..
Workshops Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement proactive, structural global central banks monetary policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism and loan and ABS assets, credit rating, prepayment, default, recovery modeling Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment,   forecasts month ahead, of the emerging bear and bull market trend credit default, recession trend, crisis impact on global currency, commodities, equities, bond, industrial sectors, stock prices performances for optimal long-short, ultra short strategy and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar housing and global equities allocation investment and markets default loss.

Workshops Highlights: Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models :The what , why, how and timing of root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of equities, housing, oil, commodities bubble burst, mortgage default crisis, tracking Goldman Sach GBRIX, GBRAX, GBRCX, StateStreet BRIC 40 ,GXC, Optimal long-Short Strategy for 1xx/xx ETF fund , Ultra short financial, real estate, Bank of New York BEE, Dow Jones BRIC 50 index country , industrial sectors performances, bubble bursts risks and regulation AB for ABS RMBS, CDO pooled asset credit rating and performance, default, global assets allocations, with 2008 forecast.

5 day 1xx/xx equities fund long-short strategy asset allocation and portfolio selections over 40 countries workshop
5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default Crisis Early Warning workshops
5 Day US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day BRIC Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day BRIC Macroeconomic, Housing , ETF equities bubble control and Default Crisis Early Warning

Day One: US/ Asian, BRIC Macroeconomic control, Country Risks, boom and bust cycle OSA, 2008 Forecasts and Macro- Currency Hedging
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset prices bubble , inflation control
and RMB currency appreciation OSA

* Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and EGARCH Granger co-integrations of US/Asian BRIC central bank macroeconomic control removing excessive liquidity due to Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 indices futures,India, Russia, Brazil stock indices , stocks, housing bubble wealth gain tracking money supply, interest rate, currency and housing industry control impact on housing, stock prices bubbles, fixed investment, inflation , un-employment rate and inflation rate
* Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices, currency, fixed investment impact on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates Futures hedging
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma:Currency appreciation Sovereign Wealth Fund,(SWF) Equities, Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Hedging Asset Pricing Mechanism Simulation and Multi -Asset Class Allocation, risks and DFI inflow, excessive liquidity, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xx
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily currency and Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in currency carry traded asset price speculation.20 industrial sectors demand, prices and stocks investment asset allocation performances, risks in SWF investment , Currency appreciation and DFI inflow, excessive liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily currency, and Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in asset price speculation.
* Interest rate, credit tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage default
and mortgage default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession

Day two: Housing Industry Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage loan, CRE, RMBS, default OSA, optimal equities long/short , ultra, housing financial short and distressed strategy for 1xx/xx
Morning:
BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices
*BRIC central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and cool off the overheated economy and inflation
*BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on China regional housing supply, demand and prices.
Afternoon:
BRIC housing bubble burst, loan default , stock market crash, economic recession early warning
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed investment impact on
BRIC coastal area housing sales, and prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate, ABS, RMBS, loan credit rating, securitization asset performance, prepayment, sub-prime and high end mortgage loan default and induced stock market crash and economic recession early warning OSA

Day three: Excessive liquidity, housing prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and Burst, Market Crash OSA
Morning:
US/Asian,BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices, banking, finance, construction industry performance and optimal long/short strategy, ultra short for 1xx/xx
*US, Asian, BRIC Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and banking, finance stock price performance
* US, Asian, BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on housing loan, construction industry demand and prices.
Afternoon:
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed investment impact on BRIC coastal area housing, prices ,US, Asian stock indices, Shanghai stock index, Russia Traded Stock index, Brazil, India stock indices future, price OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate loan credit rating, prepayment, sub-prime and high end mortgage loan default and banking real estate stock performance early warning OSA
Day four: Housing demand impact on global oil commodities, futures hedging upstream/downstream demand, profit, stock prices OSA, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xx Equities, Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Asset Pricing Mechanism Simulation and Multi -Asset Class Allocation, risk
Morning:
US,BRIC monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand, stock prices, OSA
*US, BRIC Asian Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic , housing industry control impact on housing, construction material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand , prices .
* BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on oil, energy downstream demand, prices.
Afternoon:
*Asian BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock price
^ BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment impact on housing demand and energy, downstream companies profit , stock price OSA
Day five : Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk integration, crisis early warning OSA
morning:
US, Asian BRIC country macro-econometric inflation, currency systemic risk.
* BRIC Central Banks monetary policy, housing industry price control impact on GDP, inflation and price bubbles
* BRIC monetary policy interest rate, trade impact on currency price mechanism, hot money speculation .
Afternoon:
BRIC IT industries demand, price performance, equities, housing price bubbles burst associated market risks, and loan default crisis
* BRIC , optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx, housing and IT industries equities price bubbles bursts and housing, equities, futures market price risks early warning
*BRIC twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking, asset management loan credit default risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit derivatives, hedging, betting on the wrong direction resulted trillion dollar loss.

Who Should Attend : Central banks policy research, commercial, investment banking, real estate mortgage, Goldman Sach, State Street, Dow Jones BRIC ETF fund managers, optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx Oil, banking, finance, commodities, IT industries analysts, hedge fund manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO, securitization , 1xx/xx ETF money managers, insurance managers, mutual fund , SWF fund managers, government regulation strategic (top management) , execution (managers )

Workshop Costs/ Benefits lecture fee plus Dr. Warren Huang round trip air fares from San Francisco for full day workshop with unlimited attendees
Workshop recommendation tracking the emerging bear/bull market trend, will make billion dollar profit by optimal long short strategy save billion dollars in betting on the wrong direction of investment and default risks, loss, capitalize opportunities in economic slowdown, recession and asset prices bubbles burst
Reserve by email wh3928@yahoo.com indicating your favorite time, your office address, and lists of executives names, title