Global Strategic Management    OSA  models forecast, mission control ,  provide early warning , prevention for
OSA 中文)   daily operational, credit, market risks  for banking, finance, SOE, SME executives avoided trillion
dollar market loss, achieve sustainable profit control  in financial crisis 

Integrated Operational  Risks Monitoring, Predictive Control,
Profit Optimization for Basel II 3 Pillars Risks Control Workshop

by Dr.  Warren Huang, 30 years pioneering work of process systems risks/profit OSA  integrations optimization .
 applied to 78 countries , millions banking, finance, multinationals executives  loss prevention, profit  optimization, decision analysis, visited www.osawh.com and  www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html

A three day executive training workshop for commercial/investment banks,
securities, asset management firms, corporate treasuries and financial regulators

Goal:

Early warning, preventive, predictive risks, fraud,  corporate governance scandals control.
Integrate risks (operational, credit, markets, scandal, fraud ) into into core business units
Integrated systems optimization to minimize risks and Basel II capitals, while maximize corporate sustainable profit , market growth.., structural, dynamic causes, response simulators tracking, supervise, monitoring, predictive integrated operational, credit, markets risks and minimize risk associated capital requirement,  financial accounting auditing for entire portfolio, transaction risks and profit control full transparency, support Basel II three pillars of risks management

Mission:

Early warning, prevent, minimize, avoided trillion market  loss and Basel II  risk capital requirement due to   global government, central banks, macro economic, monetary policy, oil price, currency impact on daily financial markets interest rate, currency, commodity, stocks, bond prices turbulence resulted credit  loss (default, nonperformance loan), operations, liquidity risks, capitalize on the  trillion dollar investment opportunities during the crisis  integrating and minimize Basel II  market  and credit risks loss, capital requirement  
Monitoring, tracking, Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) of daily operations  performance and associated credit, markets, operational risks, scandals, fraud.

Performance Tracking:
Goal, mission, performance oriented  operational, markets Risks  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic, execution teams, develop, implement thousands of neural net expert systems based structural bottom up operational, markets, credits Risks Dynamics Simulation Deterministic Models tracking last 20 years global central banks monetary policy and oil price, currency shocks impact on economic , business cycles, daily global  capital markets asset prices,
and portfolio, transaction, credit, markets, operational risks

Workshop highlights:

#Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of process systems simulation, integrations optimization will direct and  setup cost, quality, risks, return, profit, market shares performance oriented strategic( board members, CEO, CFO, VP) and execution ( divisional managers, supervisors) core business and operational, credit, market  risks  business process OSA teams to

# Implementing moon-landing guidance, control, refinery, nuclear power plant operations loss prevention, online quality control Operation Simulation Analysis ( OSA) technology  to tracking banking, finance risks control.

#Collect and develop, model based data reconciliation for  operations, credit, market risks historical  risks systems , corporate governance, fraud management information knowledge data base.

#Develop, implement cause and effect response model OSA  simulators identify, tracking, analyze the root causes , onset, recovery of each  operations, credit defaults, market loss  and associated Basel II capital requirements,

#OSA operational, credit, market risks systems  simulation, integration, early warning and optimal predictive risk control, to minimize or avoid risks loss and Basel II capitals requirement.

#Integrate risks (operational, credit, markets, scandal, fraud ) into into core business units , perform integrated systems optimization to minimize risks and Basel II capitals, while maximize corporate sustainable profit , market growth..

#Scandals and Fraud OSA,  tracking, simulate the whole process, progress ( the root causes, onset, recovery of  scandals, fraud, early warning and predictive control prevention.
Corporate financial accounting tracking, simulation, bubbles , early  warning supporting Sarbanes, Oxley corporate scandals in Enron, Guanxia and numerous others.
#Credits Risks Simulation, default early  warning : tracking, simulate early warning of
consumer, business loan , credit defaults, credit limits, avoided Baring default on Nikkei derivatives trading
# OSA for fighting, tracking , quantify the unknown, uncertainty futures through artificial intelligence, pattern recognition of investors and human behavior and economic market forces simulation

#Strategic knowledge based risks /profit change management implementation:
On the job training for all senior ( strategic) and junior ( execution OSA teams to implement , upgrade management concept, procedure, decisions analysis

About your expert speaker:

OSA pioneer of two master hands controlling global macro economy and daily  capital market asset prices Dr. Warren Huang has develop, implemented thousands structural, dynamic causes and effect, response simulators tracking, simulate, forecast, accurately predicted  months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on the root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of last 20 years global macroeconomic control, daily capital market asset prices,  asset allocation, market, credit, operational risk control, avoided trillion dollar market loss, invited to speak to 24 (China Peoples Bank, US, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks) and financial, credit, markets, operational  risk management, Shanghai world economic forum  conferences; global central banks governors, IMF, BIS  financial risks management, econometric, wealth management conferences to speak on "Simulation, early warning of last 20 years Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery,  Market, Credit, Operational Risk Management for financial markets speculation bubble   since 1998, offered thousand executives investment strategy, risk management workshops to million US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Asian, European government, banking, securities, insurance, properties cos CEO, CFO, money managers and daily, weekly China/global financial markets commentary for  China, Taiwan , US 15 cities (published 20 English articles on US Oils & Gas Journals and US Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced control and information systems handbook 1991-2003 , for 1600 multinational from  78 countries, tracking ,simulate, forecast market forces demand, prices mechanism, market, credit, operational risks for oil, petrochemicals, upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products : www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html , and thousands Chinese articles for China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, investment, economic, finance, trade journals supporting  15 cities, TV, radio station 30 million  banking, finance, fund managers, investors  global asset allocation,  risks and profit control optimization
A Single Simulation Chart tells you 20 years story about the causes, effect, response of operations risks, disaster, financial crisis resulted loss and early warning for predictive operational, credit, market risks control, minimize Basel II capital requirement, while maximize sustainable profit through simulation of global central banks monetary policy, external (oil prices, currency) shocks impact on financial markets interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity, and it's derivatives prices turbulence resulted huge trading loss (Baring, LTCM ,and corporate scandals of ENRON, WCOM) currency crisis resulted stock market plunge and banking, country default, corporate credit default, nonperformance loan) risks and forecasts one month ahead, have been presented to 50 int'l government, central banks policy, banking, finance , risk management, restructuring conferences
These structural, deterministic, forward-looking dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) of monetary policy, multiple shocks impact on global macro, financial, trade, industrial economics tracking accurately US, European, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South America, Mexico energy, currency, financial and banking crisis, country default credit risks, one month ahead since 1980 with average error below 1.5 %, correlation constants above 0.95 ( all without statistics probability inputs in existing VaR models )
 Dr. Warren Huang  has 30 years pioneering  Wall Street research ( develop, two master hands, thousands structural, dynamic global economy, financial markets Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)  out of  last 20 years daily US, Asian, European Wall Street Journals, Business Week, London Financial Times, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong economics, financial times newspapers market news, economist, market analyst, investment bankers analysis, investors psychology information knowledge base for US major oils,  Taiwan, China government, banking, securities, insurance, properties companies, state , medium enterprises global investment ,supply chain  and market risks control strategy.

He has been keynote speaker, offered full day workshops for IBC European Hedging fund management conference , London,  IBC Asia, Asian Business Forum and EURO-EVENTS conferences in Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Beijin, Shanghai, North American investment seminar, and securities, asset management companies in   San Francisco applying his two master hands  simulators tracking monetary , economic, WTO policy impact on last 20 years and current   global economy daily capital markets asset prices, 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters 100 countries currency export prices quote, commodity, raw materials import strategy OSA, accurately predicted root causes, onset, recovery of   1987 global stocks crash, 1980, 90, 2000 and current  energy crisis, 1992 European currency crisis, China 1989, 1994 macroeconomic control and 1996 soft-landing , 1997-98 Asian Financial, Russia currency crisis, 2000 US, global IT bubble burst, recession , recovery and  current China credit tightening

Dr. Huang’s 20 years global tracking record:, always predicted 3-6 month ahead last 20 years global financial, currency crisis , stock indices, currency, energy, commodity futures and asset bubble burst crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan. Minimize Basel II loss, risk capital requirement
Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO  board members, CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset,  fund managers, banking, securities underwriting, trading managers, insurance Basel II risk managers,auditors, regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, traders, investors.

Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion dollar market risks investment opportunities, while minimize market, credit, operational risks associated Basel II capital requirement avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar loss in global banking, financial crisis, asset bubble bursts. Maximize sustainable profit, market shares during global crisis.

Language:  Mandarin or English

 Reserve your   in-house workshops   osawhh@citiz.net     ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )
Services: Workshops , On the Job Training program : OSA Strategic, execution teams
All supported by simulation charts for training simulators.

Welcome  to the World of Asset Prices Models Forecast for Global  Economic, Financial, Banking Crisis, Bubble Burst Recovery, Strategic Base II Market, Credit, Operational, interest rate, business cycles, liquidity Risks ,  Early -Warning , Control, Profit Optimization
  Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop

Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock costs
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum
 www.abf-asia.com/project/1733cc_PTIT.pdf   China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop
 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by osawhh@citiz.net  :
 
His two OSA master hands predicted on Euroevents Singapore, Shanghai, Beijin Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets Conference Nov. 2003  predicted again  2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A  blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%,  US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble  corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst  thereafter,  second quarter bubble  CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to 3.8 % force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate  after  May and  summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT shares facing 30- 50 % correction and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund  facing correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1850- 2050 , Taiwan index  5360-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, . Shanghai A 1500- 1650, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,  China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and  stocks gave up all this year gain.
 
Website : www.osawh.com email: osawhh@citiz.net / whuang3928@aol.com
Contact : Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer Fax 1-510-524-4484 (USA)

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