Global Predictive
Strategic Olefin/polyolefin
Investment, Billion dollar cost reduction Value chain optimization
Workshops
OSA
chain
costs, capitalize opportunities in crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss
achieve sustainable profit
www.osawh.com
About OSA Products
& Services
Nobel Prize dream
20 yrs tracking results
Chinese(??)
Global Strategic Olefin-Polyolefin downstream Investment and Billion dollar Supply Chain Logistics
Cost Reduction
OSA Workshops
Maximize
US/Asia/Greater
China Olefin &
Downstream Value Chain Profits in fighting
Credit Financial Crisis, Recession
by Dr. Warren Huang,
Oil and Downstream Proactive futures, derivatives pricing Pioneer, OSA
Global Strategic Management
Tracking record
By Dr. Warren Huang, Founder, CEO, OSA, Location:
China oil
market strategy, Asian Business Forum, Beijin, Feb, Nov. 2005, predicted to
Phillips Petroleum, CEO, Mobil,, ARAMCO VP oil price soared to 80 2006,
2007 summer., and to
China World Fund Summit, Terrrapinn, Pudong , Mar. 8, 2009
predicted Oil , olefin, polyolefin price doubled to 145,July , 2008, due to Fed rate cuts, and
tax rebate, US dollar depreciation. and to Feb 24, 2009, Hong Kong, private equities fund,
financing, merger acquisition summit and March 8, 2009 Pudong Forex, China oil,
commodities derivatives pricing, hedging, that oil price summit rebound from 35 to 70 in
summer peak driving (May- July) and peaking
out to 55-65 July, refining
product , olefin-polyolefin downstream products facing loss due to weak demand and falling prices recession,
despite tax rebate China/US stimulus.
.Traders
Hotel, Singapore, Apr. 2001 for Exxon, Texaco, Shell, BP, Petronas, PAT SVP.
in-house workshops
Beijin Kerry Center Hotel, Nov. 25-26, 2001 for Exxon-Mobil , Australia Oil, Guandong
gas, China national oil, Dev. bank of Singapore SVP , Samsung Petrochemicals
Jan 22, 2002, Taipei Howard Plaza Hotel for Chinese Petroleum investment,
planning managers
Kuala Lumpur, Sept 30-Oct. 1, 2002 for ASEAN central banks, banking, securities
traders, managers
Euro-events Singapore Nov. 5, Shanghai, Nov. 25, Beijing 27, 2003 for 1000 Asian,
China, Taiwan, Hong Kong QFII, traders, managers accurately predicted oil prices
soared to 37 in April, 2003, gasoline prices making new high and
Beijin, Shanghai/ Taipei, Hong Kong in-house
workshops
by reservation wh3928@yahoo.com
Preparing for the fast changingoil, olefin-polyolefin downstream feedstock costs , falling product demand and prices and shrinking profits and widening loss in US/China credit, financial cirsis, recession
By two master hands controlling global asset prices mechanism
pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
(黃華南博士)
Pioneer, proactive
structural dynamic global inflation, macro economy, daily financial markets
interest rates, currency, stock, bond, derivatives, housing, commodities, oil
asset pricing and risks valuation markets
fundamentals price mechanism, accurately warned
on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007
and Mar
5, 2008 masterclass workshop China fund world 2008, Pudong,
China to Goldman Sach managing directors JPM, UBS and 150
China QDII/QFII fund managers
that US Fed aggressive rate
cuts drag dollar to 1.53-1.65 EURO, 95- 108 Yen, economic stimulus boost
consumer spending on gasoline and jet fuel summer, demand, driving gasoline ,
heating oil to 415, oil price to 121-145, commodity price
double, will peak out as US
dollar rebound follow Fed ending rate cuts cycle , can not
stop
sub-prime crisis spreading, regional housing price slump 30-50
% and credit crisis, crunch crisis continue through 2009 drag economy into
2009 double dip deep recession resulted trillion housing and stock market
loss and US, global stock indices bear market 50 - 70 %
correction , Dow Jones
test 6500-7000- NASDAQ PLUNGE
testing 1250- 1500 and high fliers (GOOG,
PTR, AAPL) , IT, retail stocks facing correction,
with banking, finance, housing share price plunge 70- 90 %, dollar making to new
low 90 Yen, commodity prices doubled, and bubble burst plunge
50 % in recession widening bond
, CDS spread and failure in MBS/CDO,
Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge fund
and government steps rescue Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac bail out, despite
Fed rate cuts
. He also warned top global QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference
that China overheated
housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity,
Banking housing, stock markets follow US
housing price slump 30- 50 %, US - 6.1 GDP contraction, and -10 to - 20 %
contraction for Asian countries deep recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing
1700 rebound to 3200 in 2009
overheated in the first half due to 568 billion economic
stimulus, increased money supply from 15 % to 25 %, fixed investment
from 22 to 30 %., oil price rebound from 33 to 72 July 2009, and
plunge to 55, due to soaring jobless rate and falling housing price resulted
deep recession after July ,continue through 2009.
US stock market 30 % V- shape rebound from March 2009 low, leading to
global stock price bubble appears again ( with Taiwan, China , Hong
Kong, most serious)
speculating recession recovery due to overoptimistic over economic
recovery by China/US stimulus package, are facing bubble burst
in summer 2009 correction due to disappointing L- shape
slow recession recovery
Dr. Huang's pioneering 32 global strategic investment, supply chain,
published 20 articles ( 2million copies ) on US Oil & Gas Journal,
Hydrocarbon Processing, information and advanced control handbook 1991-2003,
applied by 1600 multinational oils, petrochemicals styrenic, fibers companies from 78 countries ,
tracking monetary policy impact on 1980, 1990, 2000, energy crisis, currency
crisis , keynote speaker for Singapore OPEC petroleum ministers conference and
China SINOPEC president sponsored INTERPEC CHINA , US Houston International
Refinery Productivity/Quality conferences on global oil, petrochemicals, fiber,
plastics upstream/downstream integration and profit optimization strategy
applied to Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters companies 100 countries currencies,
5000, electronics, textiles, garment, appliances, consumers products daily
export pricing strategy and lecturing 30 million China 15 cities TV, radio banking, finance,
investors tracking forecast China 1994- 96 macro-economic control,
soft landing and global economic outlook and oil,
petrochemicals upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors 5000
products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices forecasts 1991- 2005 on
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .
He offered thousands executives workshops for millions global CEO, CFO
,money managers, oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream 1600
multinational producers, suppliers, customers, competitors CEO, CFO,
corporate supply chain, investment , plant managers, senior executive bring
their current/ future investment/ supply chain /plant operations problems
take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement since 1980
Global
central banks, economist, financial and oil/petrochemicals markets analysts
ignoring Dr. Warren Huang
warning on Singapore, Nov. 5, Shanghai Four Seasons Hotel Euro-events
conferences Nov 25, and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University,
Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on
Asian/China economic outlook, capital market asset prices to 1000 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Market Conferences executives, Nov. 2003,
and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004,
www.osawh.com
website underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive
rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand drive
oil , commodities, metals asset prices bubbles to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes , suffered trillion dollar loss
in bond and stock markets , profit squeeze, stock prices plunged 30 % for oil,
petrochemicals downstream and missed trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures
investments.
www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html
Dr. Huang's pioneering 32 global strategic investment, supply chain,
published 20 articles ( 2million copies ) on US Oil & Gas Journal,
Hydrocarbon Processing, information and advanced control handbook 1991-2003,
applied by 1600 multinational oils, petrochemicals styrenics, fibers companies from 78 countries ,
tracking monetary policy impact on 1980, 1990, 2000, energy crisis, currency
crisis , keynote speaker for Singapore OPEC petroleum ministers conference and
China SINOPEC president sponsored INTERPEC CHINA , US Houston International
Refinery Productivity/Quality conferences on global oil, petrochemicals, fiber,
plastics upstream/downstream integration and profit optimization strategy
applied to Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters companies 100 countries currencies,
5000, electronics, textiles, garment, appliances, consumers products daily
export pricing strategy and lecturing 30 million China 15 cities TV, radio banking, finance,
investors tracking forecast China 1994- 96 macro-economic control,
soft landing and global economic outlook and oil,
petrochemicals upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors 5000
products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices forecasts 1991- 2003 on
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .
He offered thousands executives workshops for millions global CEO, CFO ,money managers, oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream
1600 multinational producers, suppliers, customers, competitors CEO, CFO, corporate
supply chain, investment , plant managers, senior executive bring their
current/ future investment/ supply chain /plant operations problems
take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement since 1980.
Workshop Goal
:
OSA forecasts maximize corporate/plant operating profit, minimize supply
chain logistics cost in fighting global financial crisis, recession, and
recession recovery due to economic stimulus
Workshops Mission:
Setup corporate/plant cost, quality, market shares, goal, mission, performance
oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement global
markets economy market forces demand, prices Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, sourcing, supply chain
, CRM forecasts month ahead, of the emerging for profit/bottom
line strategy for producers, suppliers, customers, competitors , maximize
sustainable profit and capitalize on market crisis, downturn and avoided
trillion dollar markets loss, supply chain costs, maximize sustainable profit and
cost/ performance, global
market shares.
Workshops
Highlights: for 2- full day
Olefin /Poly-olefins workshops ( 9:00 AM -5:00 PM)
*Economic
stimulus, rate cuts, bail out
impact on China, US /Asian economy, consumer oil, downstream o housing, auto demand outlook.
*How growth engine China stimulus impact on Japan, Asian recession
recovery
* How much US/China stimulus impact on Asian/global competitions in
global recession
* US/China olefin-polyolefin demand and OPEC oil production increase impact on Asian/China, global oil,
naphtha, gas oil, heating oil, olefins feedstock demand, futures, derivatives prices
mechanism, hedging , strategic competitive sourcing.
* Global oil, poly-olefins, PVC suppliers, producers, downstream customers,
competitors supply, demand, feedstock supply chain costs, competitive
products pricing bottom line profits strategy, stock
prices outlook forecasts.
* US/China investment, strategic sourcing, supply chain logistics strategy
for sustainable profit , market shares growth
* China/global olefins & poly-olefins supply demand outlook, forecast.
* Maximize olefins products yield for full range heavy oil, gas oil, naphtha,
LPG cracking ( Dr. Huang US patents)
* US/China credit tightening impact on China inland and global ocean freight
costs, logistics de-bottleneck
Workshop Program Schedule : Choose your other products series:
A. Oil, gas, gasoline, fuel
oil, gas oil, Naphtha
B. Olefin/Polyolefin, PVC
C. Benzene/ Styrene and derivatives
D. Fiber feedstock and Polyester, Nylon, Acrylic Fibers
E. End users industries demand, asset
prices
, profit margin, stock prices
Housing, auto, appliances, Information Technology
All workshop will include free OSA operations review and strategic
implementation by:
Human Resources OSA : Goal, mission, performance oriented On the job strategic
decision analysis training : Corporate/plant operations review, setup corporate/
plant cost,
quality, market shares as goal, mission, performances oriented OSA strategic decision
supported Strategic and Executive OSA teams:
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planning,
Production, Marketing, IT, plant general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior
corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly
review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program
4:00-5:00 PM Discussion and Conclusion
Who Should Attend : All strategic,
execution OSA team members:
Upstream and downstream corporate CEO, CFO, MD, CIO, CKO, VP, regional business,
commercial directors and managers In planning,
production, procurement, inventory, marketing, retail chain and gasoline station, plant
managers, information and control, R&D, senior corporate, investment
fund managers
Workshop Costs/ Benefits
:
for in-house workshop unlimited attendants with minimum 8 person
at your corporate office .
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment loss and supply chain
costs, with improved market shares, without hardware investment, staff cuts.
Workshop place
:
your office
Date : by reservation
wh3928@yahoo.com
About your expert speaker : Dr.
Warren Huang
Global leader, pioneer in oil/petrochemcials industray strategic investment ,
supply chain OSA fighting last 25 years soaring feedstock cost, falling
product prices in US/China crisis, recession
Pioneer of OSA forecasts , Dr. Warren Huang has over 30
years investment, supply chain, production, procurement strategy for US Mobil,
AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum,
Taiwan/s Chinese Petroleum, China's SINOPEC, CNOOC, and China
Petrochemicals oil, gas, refining products, olefin/polyolefin, fiber feedstock
and polyester, Nylon, Acrylic fibers Indonesia Pertamina, Singapore Petroleum ,
Exxon, BP, Shell, ChevronTexaco, Petronas, Petroleum Authority of
Thailand, Austrian Oil, and
OPEC Petroleum Ministers conferences.
He wrote over 20 articles on US Oils & Gas Journals, Hydrocarbon Processing
circulating millions copies to 78 countries since 1979 - 2003, on global oil, gas, petrochemicals demand, pricing
supply chain strategy simulation forecast integrating into process plant
unit design, operations improvement optimization, and control, investment
banking ( reactor yield,
recovery improvement, energy and waste minimization, de-bottleneck ).
His www.osawh.com website visited daily by
millions global central banks, IMF, World bank, OPEC and
1600 major
Oils, multinationals companies, 2 million copies right to 78 countries consuming multinationals
since 1998
( Exxon, BP, Shell, Chevron, Aramco) from 78 countries for supply chain,
investment, production planning.
Dr.
Huang global oil/petrochemicals strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
Dr. Huang's pioneering two OSA
master hands
tracking forecast accurately since 1980 :
global
central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market
oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream and 20 industrial sectors, 5000
end-users products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, wealth management,
risk hedging
tracking/forecasts month ahead
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset
bubble bursts.
He has been
invited to give keynote speech on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact
on last 20 years global economic outlook and 20 industrial sectors capital
markets asset prices, risk management tracking to
45 US, ECB, China Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Japan, Asian central bank governors,
OPEC petroleum ministers, China SINOPEC presidents sponsored China International
petrochemicals chemicals and Large Chemicals plant conferences in Antwerp,
Belgium, wealth
management, financial market risk management and 100 International Chemicals
Engineering conferences and thousands workshops for
millions global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website
since 1998 , over 30 million China,
Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European
executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops since 1985
and again in 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
recommended China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A
oils, petrochemicals shares almost doubled
and
warned China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai
warned over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, US
dollar 30 % depreciation, soaring US, China March 2004 consumer, business demand
due to excessive tax, rate cut
will drive oil prices over 40 and commodities prices reaching 23 year peak
will drive US CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % in the summer ,
overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook
serious housing bubble will lead to rate hike, petrochemicals will facing
soaring feedstock cost, profit squeeze, and global IT and
blue chips banking shares
facing all facing 30- 50 % correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1900- 2090 , Taiwan index
5000- 6000, Henseng 10500- 13500, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue.
Shanghai A 1500-1600-, Shenzhen 3500- 3700 Euro : 1.18- 1.29 , Yen 105- 112,
US, Asian and European economy will facing slowdown in late 2004, stocks gave up all this year gain
North American
investment seminar= Global Finance Forum =======
He was interviewed by Silicon Valley Finance radio/TV station and keynote speaker for Global Chinese Finance Forum investment
seminar, May 8, 2004, and Huaxin securities, Silicon Valley, San Francisco to speak on
Oil prices, US, China credit tightening impact on China/US investment: Strategic
OSA maximize North American investors investment return
OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis), have offered thousands strategic
investment, supply chain workshops successfully helping millions Asian and
global oil/petrochemicals upstream/downstream industries executives capitalizing
and avoided trillion dollar market loss in fighting last 30 years global
energy crisis,
recessions (1980, 1990, 2000)through integrating global market economy, financial, commodity market OSA into
corporate/refinery OSA; Dr. Huang accurately warned Jan 2000
on this website,
www.sina.com and our workshops
that US and global IT upstream/downstream bubble burst, facing excessive inventory , price
cutting resulted 50-90 % stock prices plunge and warned in our Singapore
Supply Chain Apr. 2001, Beijin China upstream/downstream WTO conferences, Nov
2001 and Taipei workshops to Exxon, BP, Shell, Texaco, Petronas, DBS SVP,
executives and Jan 21-22,2002 to Chinese Petroleum investment, planning,
SCM managers
that global IT over
optimistic over US recovery, facing excessive inventory, price cutting. but
recommended oils upstream/downstream oversold will follow oil prices rebound 50- 100 % in
March 2002, 2003, 2004 recommended buy 2002, 2003, 2004 May oil/gas, refining call option
and accumulate oils and feedstock inventory, invest in oils up/downstream stocks enjoyed
100 times return to 50-100 % profits
. find more by visiting our webpages
www.osawh.com : Millions
regular visitors:
Find out in our strategic decision analysis workshop how global financial,
oil upstream & downstream markets OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) pioneer
Dr. Warren Huang offered thousand workshops on his 30 year's investment,
supply chain strategy experience with US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bechtel, Fluor, Bailey network control, China SINOPEC, Taiwan Chinese Petroleum
naphtha cracking, China
Petrochemicals, USIFE, polyolefin, Grand Pacific styrene, Hualon, Daming fibers,
and energy consultant to US,
Taiwan , Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore Petrochemical Industry Association member companies on
, investment, supply chain, production, marketing, sales strategic management
consulting experiences, conducted thousands executive workshops for hundreds
Taiwan medium, small enterprises CEO, VP, managers and 200,000 Taipei
importer/exporters members companies weekly 100 countries currency, 3000
products export prices quote, procurement import strategy, helping 30 million
global government, banking, financial, oils upstream & downstream, corporate
executives and TV, radio economic, financial markets daily, weekly program
audiences capitalize the opportunities in last 20 years global recession,
financial, energy crisis, avoid trillion dollar investment loss and saved
billion dollar supply chain costs with improved global market shares, published
thousand articles predicted the oils upstream & downstream prices one month
ahead on China and Taiwan Commercial Times, Economics , Industrial Economics
daily newspapers, Taiwan Petrochemical Industry, Bank of Communications
industrial finance , government, economic, finance journal, investment journals
and China economics, financial times daily newspapers, Shanghai, Beijing,
Shenzhen, Wuhan securities news .
He directed 100 refinery, petrochemical, polymer, biotech
process design, simulation, optimization, control, venture
capital risks operations research at Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai univesities,
lectured China's Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan, Zechiang, Jiaotung, Dalian, Hua-zhon
Science& Tech Universities, trained thousands senior graduate students,
Reserve by email wh3928@yahoo.com/ whuang3928@aol.com or fax: 1-510-524-4484
References:
1 Huang,W."Integrated Refinery/Olefin plant Management Information & Strategic
Management System-/Refinery Optimization and Control " ,presented to SEPT
10,1991,Beijing,China, 1992 Antwerp, Belgium,1993, Houston, 1995, Beijing., July,1997,
Shanghai, China
2. Huang,W, OSA Int'l Operations Analysis, Hydrocarbon Processing Information management,
Advanced Control TQM Handbook, 1991,1993,1995,1996,1997,1999
3. Huang, W." Goal, mission, performance oriented OSA teams supported predictive
control', presented to AIChE, ann ual meeting, Nov. 6, 1999, Dallas, Texas
4. Huang, W." Goal, mission, performance oriented OSA teams on the job training', presented to AIChE
( American Institute of Chemical Engineering, annual meeting, Nov. 6, 1999, Dallas, Texas
Commercial Applications: Over 30 refinery, olefin, polyolefin, ethylbenzene, styrene,
caprolactum plants, nylon, polyester fibers mills applied , 120 TQM cost reduction
workshops offered to corporate, plant managers, technical, operating, DCS staff.
References:-All by Dr. Warren Huang "Improve Process by OSA", "Improve
Naphtha Cracker Operations", Feb, May 1980, "Optimize Styrene Units,", Apr.
1983, HP, " OSA maximize ethylbenzene, styrene unit productivity, flexibility,
"Jan, Mar, 1983 OGJ and 12 paper series in Hydrocarbon Processing, OGJ 1979 -1983,'
Control of Cracking Furnace", US patents, 1981,1982 "Goal, Mission Performance
oriented Design/Operations Simulations Analysis predictive control Maximized
Refinery-Olefin, fiber mills Productivity, Flexibility", AIChE 1983 Diamond Jubilee,
1990, 1999 annual meeting ,Dallas, World Congress II, II, IV, Canada, Tokyo,
Germany,1983,1986,1991,"Refinery Optimal Control" Singapore, Beijin, Antwerp,
Dallas,1989, 1992,1995, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2003
Licensor: OSA Int'l Operations Analysis, San Francisco, Calif