Strategic Basel II Market Risks Monitoring,
Control, Profit Optimization
_____________________________________________
Basel II Market Risks
(
Proactive structural dynamic simulation of VaR (maximum loss in all transaction
history) Market Risks Control workshop)
OSA Global/China capital markets asset prices simulation,
crisis, bubbles early warning, risks control workshops
Thousands structural, dynamic, deterministic
causes, effect response simulators provide global financial markets Operations Simulation Analysis
/Forecasts of global market economy market major forces( monetary, economic,
fiscal, WTO policy) impact on global debt,
currency, equities, commodity, energy , futures, derivatives prices mechanism
Strategic China Energy
trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum
China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@sina.com A Single Simu
lation Chart tells you 20
years story about global central banks monetary policy, external (oil prices, currency)
shocks impact on financial markets interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity, and
it's derivatives prices turbulence resulted huge trading loss (LTCM and currency crisis
resulted stock market plunge and banking, country default, corporate credit default,
nonperformance loan)risks and forecasts one month ahead, have been presented to 50 int'l government,
central banks policy, banking, finance , risk management, restructuring conferences
These structural, deterministic, forward-looking dynamic Operations Simulation
Analysis (OSA) of monetary policy, multiple shocks impact on global macro, financial,
trade, industrial economics tracking accurately US, European, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South
America, Mexico energy, currency, financial and banking crisis, country default credit
risks, one month ahead since 1980 with average error below 1.5 %, correlation constants
above 0.95 ( all without statistics probability inputs in existing VaR models
)
Goal
:
Early warning, prevent, minimize, avoided trillion market loss and Basel
risk capital requirement due to global government, central banks, macro economic,
monetary policy, oil price, currency impact on daily financial markets interest rate,
currency, commodity, stocks, bond prices turbulence resulted credit
loss (default, nonperformance loan), operations, liquidity risks, capitalize on
the trillion dollar investment opportunities during the crisis
integrating and minimize Basel II
market and credit risks loss, capital requirement
Mission: Tracking
, simulating the causes, onset, spread, and prevention of financial money, currency,
stock, bond, commodity, financial derivatives markets risks in each industry, corporate
products line, portfolio, support, control banking, finance, corporate daily markets
trading operations risks, provide dynamic, forward looking market prices simulation,
support banking, finance industry minimize Basel II risks loss capital requirement supervision, regulation.
Human Resources on the job
Decision Analysis training : Performance Tracking:
Goal, mission, performance oriented markets Risks Real Options Operations
Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic, execution teams, develop, implement thousands of
neural net expert systems based structural bottom up markets Risks Dynamics Simulation
Deterministic Models tracking last 20 years global central banks monetary policy and oil
price, currency shocks impact on daily global
capital market asset prices provide daily decision support for CFO avoided
trillion dollar market loss and risks capitals.
A Monetary, Economic Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Global Economic
Recovery : GDP, inflation, Trade, unemployment, FDI: China Hong Kong
Taiwan Singapore US, Western / Eastern Europe, Russia Japan, Korea
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact on China Capital
Markets, Fund return and
Proactive structural dynamic simulation of VaR (maximum loss in all transaction
history)
risks:
China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore
US,
EMU EURO /
Eastern Europe, Russia
Japan, Korea
.
Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income
fund forecasts risk s early warning
. Multinationals,
China state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing
strategy
·Strategic Corporate Governance, supervision,
financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning
·Banking, finance reform, IPO, Securities, Banking, Insurance market Basel II
risk control, supervision early warning
. Causes, onset, recovery, early warning of
Global/China financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance
and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic China QFII/DFII, for domestic and
foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets
listing pricing
· Equity fund capital markets: Shanghai,
Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng
, Blue chips, Red chips, H share,
Taiwan Japan, US, Russia, global indices futures,
derivatives prices mechanism, Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency
market futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
. IT, Biotech bubble recovery, housing, auto, steel
bubbles demand, prices, earning, stocks, fund performances.
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives
prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging risks.
· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B listed stocks, bond
corporate earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China oils, petrochemical, fiber/textile
corporate earning, stocks prices, mutual fund performance, investment strategy.
China
mutual fund and global mutual fund performance , investment and asset
allocation, risk control strategy
.
China and US Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock
prices, investment strategy
·
Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed
Asset Securitization prices, defaults risks ,early warning
simulation
·China/US
equities and properties wealth effect simulation and bubbles
early warning, risks control
.China
/US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index mutual fund performance, asset
allocation risk management
China and US monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian
economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset Allocation strategy:
US China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore, Malaysia, Japan Korea, Thailand,
India Eastern Europe/Russia EURO
Money Markets: Short term, long term interest rate, bonds prices
and spreads simulation
Currency Market: Interest rate spread, trade deficit impact on global currency
simulation
Daily
global interest rates, currency futures simulation
Commodity futures: Demand, Supply,
currency impact on energy, feed grains, food, metals cotton, lumber futures prices
simulations
Daily global commodity futures,
derivatives simulation
Corporate earning and stocks, bond prices: corporate costs, prices, inventory and
merger/acquisition profit margins , IPO and stock prices simulation
Daily global stock index futures,
corporate earning, stocks and IPO prices simulation
Commodity and financial
derivatives prices hedging Simulation : Monetary policy impact on interest rate,
currency, stocks, bond, commodity prices integrated into Balck-Schole formulas for
call/putt option hedging risks control.
Developed, implemented, supported by OSA
pioneer Dr. Warren Huang out of his 30 year global strategic investment risks
management , supply chain simulation, control experience for US multinational headquarters
corporate finance (Mobil, AMOCO,
Phillips Petroleum, Rhone Poulenc, Bailey network control), Bechtel and Taiwan, China,
ASEAN government, state and private enterprises corporate, banking finance industry
risks management consulting, on the job training for 20 million CEO, CFO, fund, procurement, trade managers
in fighting and capitalize on last 20 years crisis, helping global
banking, finance executives minimize market risks capital requirement,
capitalize trillion investment opportunities during the crisis and maximize
sustainable profit
Services: Workshops , On the Job Training program :
OSA Strategic, execution teams implement the market risks control supported by training simulators.
Website : www.osawh.com email:
osawhh@citiz.net / whuang3928@aol.com/
wh3928@yahoo.com
Contact : Dr. Warren Huang, OSA
pioneer,
2006 osawh.com/黃華南博士版權所有
Copyright 2006 osawh.com/Dr.Warren Huang