OSA Global Investing Strategic Interest Rate Risks Management
OSA--Proactive Structural Interest Rates, Bond Yield Modeling, Forecasts, Risks Simulation-Global Country, Banking, Finance, Corporate interest rate, bond spread risks Simulation, Early Warning Control
A Single Simulation Chart tells you
20 years story about global monetary policy, inflation, external shocks( capital flow,
speculative attack, oil prices ) impact on country short term( open market
inter-bank rate), long term interest rate,
bond yield, inflation linked protected bond spread, swaps risks in normal, financial, banking crisis (1980, 1987, 1990, 1992, 1997-98
financial crisis and 2000 bubble burst, recovery ),under stress one month ahead. Have
applied, trained 20 million global government,
banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, financial, fund, 100,000 import/exporter managers and
presented to 50 int'l government, central banks policy, banking, finance, risk management
conferences
These structural, deterministic, forward-looking real options
interest rate, currency risks
dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) of monetary policy,inflation, multiple shocks impact on
global macro, financial, trade, industrial economics, tracking accurately US, European,
ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South America, Mexico , Brazil, Argentina, currency and banking crisis with average error
Below 1.5 %, correlation constants above 0.95 ( without statistics probability inputs as
required in existing VaR models )
Goal
:Quantify the uncertainties in interest rates modeling, pricing, forecasts, early warning, prevent, minimize
global government, central banks, macro economic inflation, monetary policy, oil price, global players capital flow, speculation shocks impact on daily short term open market inter-bank rates , long term interest rate, inflation -linked bond prices, government, corporate, junk bond spread risksMission:
Tracking , simulating the causes, onset, spread, and prevention of macroeconomic inflation, GDP monetary policy imbalance ,capital flow speculation impact on interest rates futures, derivatives, swaps, spread , financial credit derivatives markets risks hedging in each country, and banking industry profit margin, default, banking crisis . Support, control banking, finance, corporate daily interest rate, bond markets and inflation linked bond trading, risks swap hedging, nonperformance loan default swap risks, provide dynamic, forward looking interest rate simulation, avoided speculation on the news, following the crowd, chasing the markets , betting on the wrong side resulted trillion dollar market loss for banking, finance industry capital requirement supervision, regulation, risk control.
Performance Tracking :
Goal, mission, performance oriented interest rate risks Real Options Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic, execution teams, develop, implement
thousands of neural net expert systems based structural interest rate, bond Risks Dynamics Simulation Deterministic Models tracking last 20 years global central banks monetary policy and oil price, inflation, capital flow speculative attacks shocks impact on daily global interest rates movement.Money Markets:
Daily open market inter-bank rate, long term interest rate, bonds prices
and yield spreads simulation
Interest rate, bond derivatives prices hedging
simulation : Monetary policy impact on interest rates, bond simulation integrated into
Black-Schole formulas for call/putt option simulation supported hedging risk control.
Daily global
interest rates, bond yields simulation
References : Dr. Warren Huang speech to
25 int'l central banks governors, risk management , banking, finance,
academics conferences since 1999
Developed, implemented, supported by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang out of his 30 year global strategic procurement, financial markets investment risks management simulation, control experience for US multinational headquarters (Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Rhone Poulenc, Bailey network control), Bechtel and Taiwan, China, ASEAN, Asian governments, trade, state and private enterprises corporate, banking finance industry consulting, on the job training for 20 million CEO, CFO, fund, procurement, trade managers in coping last 20 years financial, banking crisis
Services: Workshops , On the Job Training program : OSA Currency
Strategic, execution teams.
All supported by simulation charts for training simulators.
Website :
www.osawh.com email:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@siona.com
Contact : Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer, Tel
1-510-524-0283 Fax 1-510-524-4484 (USA)
2006 osawh.com/黃華南博士版權所有 Copyright 2006 osawh.com/Dr.Warren Huang