OSA Global Investing Strategic Interest Rates Risks Management

OSA-- Interest Rate Modeling, Forecasts, Risks Simulation- 
Structural Dynamic, Deterministic Simulation of Central Banks Monetary Policy , inflation , commodity prices Impact on interest rates, futures, derivatives prices swap for inflation linked bond

Global Country, Banking, Finance, Corporate interest rate, bond spread risks Simulation, Early Warning Control

A Single Simulation Chart tells you 20 years story about global monetary policy, inflation, external shocks( capital flow, speculative attack, oil prices ) impact on country short term( open market inter-bank rate), long term interest rate, bond yield, inflation linked protected bond spread, swaps risks in normal, financial, banking crisis (1980, 1987, 1990, 1992, 1997-98 financial crisis and 2000 bubble burst, recovery ),under stress one month ahead. Have applied, trained 20 million global government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, financial, fund, 100,000 import/exporter managers and presented to 50 int'l government, central banks policy, banking, finance, risk management conferences
These structural, deterministic, forward-looking real options interest rate, currency risks dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) of monetary policy,inflation, multiple shocks impact on global macro, financial, trade, industrial economics, tracking accurately US, European, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South America, Mexico , Brazil, Argentina, currency and banking crisis with average error Below 1.5 %, correlation constants above 0.95 ( without statistics probability inputs as required in existing VaR models )

Goal :

Quantify the uncertainties in interest rates modeling, pricing, forecasts, early warning, prevent, minimize global government, central banks, macro economic inflation, monetary policy, oil price, global players capital flow, speculation shocks impact on daily short term open market inter-bank rates , long term interest rate, inflation -linked bond prices, government, corporate, junk bond spread risks

Mission:

Tracking , simulating the causes, onset, spread, and prevention of macroeconomic inflation, GDP  monetary policy imbalance ,capital flow speculation impact on interest rates futures, derivatives, swaps, spread , financial credit  derivatives markets risks hedging in each country, and banking industry profit margin, default, banking crisis . Support, control banking, finance, corporate daily interest rate, bond markets and inflation linked bond trading, risks swap hedging, nonperformance loan  default swap risks, provide dynamic, forward looking interest rate simulation, avoided  speculation on the news, following the crowd, chasing the markets , betting on the wrong side resulted trillion dollar market loss for banking, finance industry capital requirement supervision, regulation, risk control.

Performance Tracking :

Goal, mission, performance oriented interest rate  risks Real Options Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic, execution teams, develop, implement thousands of neural net expert systems based structural  interest rate, bond Risks Dynamics Simulation Deterministic Models tracking last 20 years global central banks monetary policy and oil price, inflation, capital flow speculative attacks shocks impact on daily global interest rates movement.

Money Markets: Daily open market inter-bank rate,  long term interest rate, bonds prices and yield spreads simulation
Interest rate, bond derivatives prices hedging simulation : Monetary policy impact on interest rates, bond simulation integrated into Black-Schole formulas for call/putt option simulation supported hedging risk control.
Daily global interest rates, bond yields simulation
References : Dr. Warren Huang speech to 18 int'l banking, finance, business, government, academice conferences in 1999

Developed, implemented, supported by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang out of his 30 year global strategic procurement, financial markets investment risks management simulation, control experience for US multinational headquarters (Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Rhone Poulenc, Bailey network control), Bechtel and Taiwan, China, ASEAN, Asian governments, trade, state and private enterprises corporate, banking finance industry consulting, on the job training for 20 million CEO, CFO, fund, procurement, trade managers in coping last 20 years financial, banking crisis

Services: Workshops , On the Job Training program : OSA Currency Strategic, execution teams.
All supported by simulation charts for training simulators.

Website : www.osawh.com email: whuang@osawh.com / whuang3928@aol.com
Contact : Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer, Tel 1-510-524-0283 Fax 1-510-524-4484 (USA)

                            1999 osawh.com/黃華南博士版權所有 Copyright 1999 osawh.com/Dr.Warren Huang

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