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Dr. Warren Huang Wall Street Journal Street daily Economy, Energy, Market OSA Blog : www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/blog1 

Do not miss this proactive structural price mechanism based strategic financial modeling and risks valuation, simulation for  investment , trillion dollar recession hedging strategy workshops series by OSA  proactive solution pioneer  Dr.Warren Huang
Millions of global /China top fund managers and investment management teams bring their management/s operating problems into our strategic fund allocation and  wealth management workshops. take home billion dollar proactive structural solution, avoided trillion dollar housing, stock market loss due betting on the wrong side of interest rates and bull/bear market trend, ready to implement 
Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士)accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market correction, oil above 110, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge funddespite Fed rate cuts He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 3000- 4000 till summer 2008

US Stocks plunge in correction to housing market slump, ECB  hold interest rate cut, Dollar gain strength  Oil prices  , inflation worry continue

Comment by Warren Huang on Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog - May 7, 2008 at  7:37 pm

Stock market plunged 206, finally give up its recent gain on banking, finance, IT shares despite mounting write down and loss in mortgage loan default.
It is not because of oil price soared to record level ( It is used to it , even gain on oil shares performances.)
Bullish speculators speculate the worst of credit crisis is over, in led to over 30 -50 % gain in these share, will loss most of its gain in a bear trap, as housing price slump will continue, soaring oil, commodities price, foreclosure, job cut drag consumer confidence to deep recession level. Betting on the interest rate and banking, finance, housing market rebound will repeat last summer trillion dollar loss, facing double dip inflationary recession in Feds ending rate cuts cycle.10 year bond yield will repeat last summer break 4 %
It is premature to speculate ECB will cuts rate before summer at current oil, commodities prices and inflation level.
So dollar has limited speculation room as rising oil price, inflation. But Fed is not to switch to rate hike cycle before housing price slump ends.
details on www.osawh.coom/Fedcrisab.html www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/riskm.html 

Dr. Warren Huang  was  risk management panelist   and full day masterclass workshop lecturer for  Terrapinn China Fund World  2008  conference, Shanghai  Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6 offer Proactive structural China/global asset pricing, 2008 credit  tightening  recession impact on BRIC,Optimal  1x0/x0  long-short hedging, asset allocation strategy 
for in-house workshop reservation :  wh3928@yahoo.com/ osawhh@sina.com
Dr. Huang  speaking to Tianjin Nankai University Global corporate governance on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy, macroeconomic,  housing industry , excessive liquidity control impact on Shanghai Shenzhen 300 index future price bubble and housing bubble  forecast for China corporate governance scandals Nov. 3, 2007
He will also offer the following workshops to the banking, finance, real estate industries.
 5 Day 2008 China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning
 5 Day 2008  US  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning
 5 Day  2008 UK  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Cri3928sis Early Warning
Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog comment by Dr. Warren Huang Sept. 19, 2007
 Fed is pleasing every one in the Wall Street and global capital and housing markets by offering surprise half point cut, even Greenspan in 2001 dare not to do it when the oil price was only 19 dollar and gold price below 400.
Dow Jones shot up 350 points heading for record 14000 again , certainly will boost the housing prices ( July housing price already up 5 %),and It cut mortgage rate and lending cost by half point. bail out the sub-prime rate reset cost, will temporarily cut mortgage default rate ( according to my housing prices and default rate model)
but it will led to dollar plunge to new low 1.40 , it will hit 1.50 sometime next year,
Oil price already celebrating the rate cut, by shooting to 82.4 all time high and heading for 85-90, gold already 735, soybean at 945, wheat to 870., eventually will spread into core inflation.
As Fed job only focus on inflation ( core inflation rate exclude energy and food price) and unemployment
it ignore housing, stocks, commodities asset prices bubbles.
But sooner or later, the current stocks prices will not be sustainable, start to plunge, it will drag the housing prices, and led to
more default, the burst of next housing bubble, can not be solved by any rate cuts
Greenspan was much luckier than Benanke, he could go ahead with full steam rate cut, but we will be facing inflationary recession ahead
detail can be found on www.osawh.com/riskm.html Comment by Warren Huang - September 18, 2007 at 5:55 pm
Dr. Huang predicted on Wall Street energy, economic, market beat blog July oil price soared to 80, Dow Jones plunged to12600 and global stocks plunged 20 %
 Dr. Huang accurately predicted on this web page since June 2007  and lecture to Peking University , China int'l financial engineering risk management conference  that US and global housing bubbles bubble burst, billions dollar loan mortgage and hedging fund  default betting on the wrong side of interest rates resulted  global stock indices are extremely overpriced,
will follow US Dow Jones, NASDAQ for 10- 20 % correction due to soaring oil, metal prices, inflation and continue rate hikes
 into 2007 slowdown, housing bubbles  sub-prime and jumbo mortgage credit crunch, default risks will give up all 2006 gain
 in current correction, US money supply growth already doubled to 6.2 % from last year 3.5%, due to housing, stock market
wealth gain, recent US  Fed  0.5 % discount rate cut and ECB pumped 400 billion dollar into the banking systems will further
 inflate the stocks, housing, oil, commodities asset bubble and highly inflationary and continue into second stage correction with US dollar plunge( give up all 2006 gain)  US/China 2007 Housing, Equities Price Bubbles Overheating, inflation, Currency Trilemma OSA:
5 -Day Workshop : Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold, Metals and Housing, Equities Bubbles
 impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,  Derivatives  Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation,  Forecast, ETF 
Risks Hedging , Investment Strategy
5 Day CEO , CFO, traders, fund managers in-house Workshop
What is  Global Strategic  OSA for government, banking, finance, business performance and  its achievements
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang CV , extend his  Ph.D Thesis Moon landing guidance and control methodology"
Nonlinear Adaptive Kalman Filtering and Stochastic control of 4 variable differential equations reactor system"
to integrating Proactive Structural Dynamic macro economic control into industrial sectors microeconomic
supply, demand price mechanism and  daily  capital markets asset prices for government, banking, finance,
 business  strategic decisions Operations  Simulation Analysis (OSA) , supported by  goal , mission, performance
tracking, optimization, achieving optimal monetary policy, growth, prices stability and sustainable profit,
market share growth
It helps 80 countries government ,banking, finance business fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown  futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into daily capital market prices,
 business performance, capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year opportunities and crisis , change
personal life, change business and world decision making  making personal, corporate dreams come true 
Dr. Warren Huang CV   Dr. Warren Huang English publications, speeches
  Education reform innovation, Proactive decision analysis changes life, organization and change the world
Global Energy Strategy New generation MBA /CPA/ CFA  Life Education  year round rose garden
 Proactive Structural Dynamic Asset Price  Basel II Risks Management  Credit risks market risks Operational risks


 2008  US/China Housing, Equities Price Bubbles Overheating OSA:  Interest rate, Dollar, Oil, Gold, Metals and Downstream Stocks Futures, Option Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation,  Forecast, Risks Hedging 5 Day in-house Workshop   
 2008  Proactive Structural Asian/China/US/European  QFII Strategic Investment Banking/Capital Markets Research and Decisions  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) Workshops
He  warned  Dec 13, 2006 on Taiwan University Int'l Finance conference, Taipei to Asian Merrill Lynch, Deutch Bank,  AIG managing directors, Cathy Life VP and editor, Journal of finance, int'l scholars that  US/China housing,  equities bubbles resulted record, oil, metal prices, rate hikes and stock markets correction 2007,due to inflationary slowdown
 30 million US, China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio  institutional, HNW  investors,  and managers, government, banking, finance, multinational CEO, VP, executives benefited by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's proactive asset prices simulation since 1986

Millions executives , institutional, HNW investors from 60 countries bring their management/personal
investment problem to our strategic workshops, take home billion dollars proactive strategic solution ready
to implement , telling you the what , why , how and timing of fighting this year unknown, uncertain markets
and capitalize the emerging markets trend opportunities, risks  
 Dr. Warren Huang      Partial lists of  English Workshops Papers
Dr. Warren Huang has been keynote speakers for top 100 global central banks governors, financial crisis and risk management , conferences and session chairman and master class workshops leaders in Asian
Finance, Capital markets, Oil upstream/downstream strategy  in 1998-2006, He offered thousands lectures, commentary for China 15 cities, Taipei, San Francisco, TV, radio 30 million institutional, HNW investors
on China/Global strategic fund, wealth management, asset allocation since 1994. 

Warren Huang  latest update for www.osawh.com / www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com     web pages on proactive structural for    global banking, finance, enterprises strategic investment, supply chain demand chain applications visited by 4 million global executives since 1998                        contact;  wh3928@yahoo.com   / osawhh@sina.com
2007 年中美宏觀產業調控對利率匯率股指能源金屬期貨金融房產上市公司股價
及衍生工具價格預測投資避險策略五日研討會 舊金山台北上海  五月
World renowned global proactive strategic investment, supply chain. risks management decision Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA ) pioneer, Dr. Warren Huang achieved impossible mission in  integrating  moon landing guidance control problem solving into in two masters hands controlling unknown,  uncertain future in global macro-economy, daily financial market  prices, business performances, maximize risks  adjusted return"
 
 CEO/CFO Proactive Strategic Decisions Workshop              

  endless success stories of creative innovative breakthrough problem solving by 
 global vision, expertise in multinationals  proactive strategic management
　

　

　

Text Box: www.osawh.com

OSA  Operations Simulations Analysis      

Dr. Huang extend his PhD. Thesis   moon landing guidance control, problem solving fighting the unknown, uncertain futures in proactive structural global strategic investment banking, supply  chain, risk management and process operations optimal control during his 30 years development, implementation thousands proactive global asset( equities, housing, bond, commodities)  prices mechanism decision simulators for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum China, Taiwan government, hundreds state  enterprises, banking, finance, capital markets reform, change management and thousands CEO/executives  strategic change management  training workshops.  He predicted months, years ahead of last 20 years Asian, US, European financial, energy equities, housing prices bubbles burst crisis, through tracking central banks monetary, fiscal, economic policy impact on macro-economic control, daily interest rate, currency, stock indices, ( right master hands)  and 20 industrial sectors market demand, commodities futures, derivatives  prices  ( left master ) . Patented in US Oil & Gas Journal, 1980-83, advanced control and information handbook, 1991-2005  
 Thousands articles published to 80 countries, invited to speak to 50 countries central bank governors, financial investment, risks management and chemical engineering, information management conferences. with  4 millions global executives visited his www.osawh.com website since 1998 .
He warned months ahead on numerous conference,  his website and  thousands of published articles about 1990, 2000, 2003 global asset bubbles
 prices overheating and thousands interview, lectures for China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio fund managers, investors tracking 1994 in China,  on
 China runaway inflation, macro economic  control and 2000  in US on  IT bubbles burst and 2003 in Singapore, Shanghai,  San Francisco,  on China,
US housing bubble overheating resulted 17 rate hikes, China A  shares bear markets and 2006 bull markets overheating.
He predicted to hundreds multinational oil, banking, finance CEO in Beijing  China Natural gas, ( Feb 2005) Oil market (Nov. 2005) conferences 2005 that oil prices soared from  56 to 78, record  metals prices in 2006 and again Dec, 2006  to Taipei financial executives that oil prices soared from 50 to 65 2007,  US facing inflationary slowdown drag global housing, stock markets  correction 2007.
He taught thousand Taiwan, Tsinghwa, Tunghai university students industrial economics, global strategic management, chemical engineering
 process design, control tracking 100 countries macro-economic, interest, currency, and process optimization. 
 He also lectured Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan, Zhejiang, Shanghai Finance and Economics, Huazhong Science, Tech universities  economic
 management, financial engineering, capital markets reform innovation
  His goal, mission, performance oriented online adaptive education has trained numerous new generation  China/Tawain / US CPA/CFA/CFA for
undergraduates and senior executives, integrating proactive  global strategic financial decision analysis into financial, cost, derivatives accounting,
investment banking,  global economy, business, equities, derivatives  research
4 million global government, banking, finance, enterprises executives, academic visitors