Hydrocarbon   Processing   by US  Houston  Gulf Publishing

 Published  by  Advanced Control and Information Management Systems Handbook 1991- 2005  Hydrocarbon Processing, Houston, Texas, USA
 by OSA pioneer Proactive structural asset pricing mechanism,  Dr. Warren Huang Pioneeringg    Proactive Innovative Recession Crisis,  Fighting Strategy
Causes and Impact of Global Housing, commodities, oil prices bubble burst, credit, financial crisis, recession impact on multinationals oil, gas, petrochemicals upstream/downstream proactive strategic investment, financing, supply demand /Value chain, process units  optimization Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) Control
Proactive Structural Dynamic Asset Prices Bubble Burst Crisis, Recession Tracking, Forecast last 30 years Capital Market  Asset Pricing, competitive marketing pricing mechanism, corporate governance, market, credit  risks early warning , applied to 80 countries 2000 multinational investment, supply chain, US, China, Taiwan, Asian 30, 15 cities  million TV, radio, investors, asset managers, thousands global investment banking, banking financing, commodities, forex  CEO, traders, 30,000 Taiwan importer, exporters 100 countries, export forex, product pricing, and commodities, raw materials supply chain strategy
Integrated Global Strategic Knowledge Economy, Global capital , commodities market investment,  Import/ Export Trade, Business Process/ Process Technology , Structural Commodity Finance  Supply Chain into Value Chain Operations Simulation Optimization Analysis Maximize risk adjusted return in crisis, recession.

Thousands proactive strategic decision analysis models capitalize on  last 20 years macro financial economic, housing, equities, commodity asset  boom, bust, recession,  emerging daily global  oil,  gas, LNG, energy, and  downstream markets  emerging bull/bear trend months ahead.  Supporting central banks, banking, finance, commodity market trader,  import/export  Structural Commodity  Trade Finance Supply and value chain optimization for, corporate CEO, CFO, board members, auditing, management teams, share holders investment corporate and plant technical managers daily optimal corporate investment, supply demand chain /plant operations decision analysis , creating 1000 % profits, maximize corporate performance ,  transparency, corporate scandals, crisis, risks early warning for building millions loyal, satisfied  government, banking, finance, enterprises, personal customers surround your  Strategic Change Management and Strategic outsourcing for sustainable profit and market share growth

 VIP/Corporate membership Proactive Recession Strategy     
Do not miss these proactive, structural oil, gas LNG, synthetic fuels , downstream products  and metals, commodity pricing, strategic long-short, investment,  supply chain , risk management  workshops

(demand side prices forecasts) OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang   accurately predicted May 20, June 29 , 2008 that  tax rebate weak dollar led to  Oil price will challenge 145 on  July 4,profit taking to 125-145 before Labor day and facing bubble burst 50-70  % correction to 70 in Oct. and bubble burst, to 40 Dec. 2008, and tax rebate again drive oil price  rebound to 70 in summer 2009.  avoided months ahead of  global mortgage, credit financial crisis, asset price bubble burst resulted trillion dollar housing, equities wealth loss and billions dollar supply chain costs
Dr. Huang was the keynote speaker for EUROMONEYs China derivatives market conference March 24-25, Shanghai 2009 to speak on 2009 China/US economic/Capital market, oil, commodity market  outlook and Challenges, opportunities in China/global onshore, offshore derivative markets

 Do not miss Dr. Warren Huang lectures, panelist speakers in Feb, March 2009 on 2009 China/US economic, financial  market outlook Trillion Dollar Recession Hedge, supply chain cost reduction  Optimal long-short ,ultra short strategy
Phase I  monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices  Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks   impact on  Recession and
Phase II Global recession impact on banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors demand, prices slump and operating loss
for
Asian private equities, leverage finance acquisition summit  , Feb 16- 17, Hong, Kong  by Euromoney
China Forex, Energy, Metal Derivatives, Summit Credit, Financial Crisis, Recession Risks  Derivatives Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009      by   EUROMONEY 
            Trillion Dollar Recession Risks Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009   program           China   
China/US 2009 Housing, Financial Crisis Impact on  Recession,, and   Economic Stimulus Impact on  Economy , Capital Markets , commodity, raw material s prices and derivatives prices  Forecast by
By Dr. Warren Huang 
Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar Recession Hedging, supply chain cost reduction,Multiclass Asset, Derivatives Allocation Strategy    
               by Dr. Warren Huang  website: www.osawh.com   Hyatt Regency, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar24- 25, 2009
and
Global/China multiclass (Oil, commodity, Equities, Bond, Housing Asset pricing and allocation    by
World Renown Proactive Structural Asset Pricing pioneer  Dr. Warren Huang
 Post- Conference Master Class Strategic Multi-class Asset Allocation Workshop, Terrapinn                  Chinese
   Proactive Structural Multiclass Asset Prices Mechanism and  China/Global  Fund World,  Asset Allocation  2008,- 2009
                  by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA Global Strategic Management      Proactive Recession Strategy       Shangri-La Hotel, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar 4- 6, 2008
Full Day  Daily NYMEX, Chicago, China oil  , gas, fuel, energy and commodity    market price forecast , long - short strategy , ETF asset allocation workshop
 Full Day Proactive Strategic Real Time Oil Downstream commodity market price forecasts and Supply chain cost reduction workshops


Dr./Prof.  Warren Huang   黃華南  博士Founder OSA Global Strategic Management, San Francisco, Pioneer, Proactive Structural China/Global Trade Finance Strategy will  offering  Global real time oil, commodity market pricing forecast and Structural Commodity Trade Finance Masterclass workshop,

Worshop Goal:  structured to provide the latest proactive  strategic decision tool for global import/export commodity, raw materials trade, capital  on the emerging energy, metal, feed grain commodity pricing and risks management maximize value chain profit at minimum risks
Workshop Mission: •Provide  proactive structural China/global  trade and commodity, finance price mechanism, analyze, forecast, capitalize on the emerging commodities ( oil, energy,  metals, feed grain price, risks trend   achieve sustainable profit , while minimize risks• Provide the What, Why, How and timing of your China/global strategic commodity trade financing to minimize supply chain costs, maximize value chain profits website  www.osawh.com   email   osawhh@sina.com  /     wh3928@yahoo.com

 Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士) Pioneer, proactive structural dynamic global inflation, macro economy, daily financial markets interest rates, currency, stock, bond, derivatives, housing, commodities, oil asset pricing and risks valuation markets fundamentals price mechanism, accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market correction, dollar to new low and oil above 110, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge fund despite Fed rate cuts He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, US, global stock market bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing  2700-3000- till summer 2008  

 He has over 30 years pioneering  development, implement of global integrated strategic investment, supply chain  logistics recession , crisis, risks, business Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA) and optimization  ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980 over 80 countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel, Fluor , Kaiser Engineers, Bailey Network Control headquarters corporate finance, information management  in refinery, petrochemical, power plant, steel, copper, coal, cement  project investment, construction, process plant units design, OSA , energy conservation, waste minimization, preventive maintenance, crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US depart of energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information technology,  state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals, China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic  planning for  10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade, trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency, 5000 products export pricing quote.  offered hundreds China, Hong Kong, Taiwan  capital markets daily  investment strategy and risk management workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities companies CEO,, CFO, money managers  executives,  tracking China Peoples Bank monetary, economic policy WTO impact on macro economic control, daily capital market  prices Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B shares: 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, investment strategy  Asian, global governments , banking, finance,  hundreds state, medium, small enterprises reform, change management.  He also offered hundred workshops for Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok CEO, CFO, investment, supply chain executives .
Helping hundreds global oil , 20 industrial sectors upstream/downstream multinationals, SOE , private enterprises  CEO, board members, management teams , supporting strategic outsourcing in fighting soaring global oils, raw material  costs and downstream 20 industrial sectors profit squeeze , corporate scandals, crisis, risks early warning in China/US credit tightening, profit- based Competitive Pricing Optimization Strategy Maximize Competitive Edge and Value Chain Profits , Market Shares, Minimize Basel II Market, Credit, Operational Risks 
Dr. Huang, energy forecast specialist accurately predicted Feb 22, 2005 in Beijing Asian Business Forum 70 global banking, finance, oil companies , QFII CEO, executives  that excessive demand from US , China housing, construction, auto  industry, heavy travels facing inflationary slowdown and rate hikes  continue into  summer 2006   as oil prices soared from 45  to 79 
 financial executives that oil prices soared from 50 to 75 2007, global housing, stock markets facing  correction 2007.

2009  Recession Investment Strategy: Global Interest rate, Dollar, Oil, Gold, Metals and Downstream Stocks Futures, Option Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation,  Forecast, Risks Hedging 5 Day in-house Workshop
2008- 09 年中美宏觀產業調控對利率匯率股指能源金屬期貨上市公司股價 及衍生工具價格預測投資避險策略研討會
Comment to  Wall Street Journal Market Beat , Yahoo Finance Blog Aug 8, 2008  2008 11:26AM ; oil below 100 means trouble

My demand side oil price forecast predicted last 20 years global economic, consumer, business demand impact on oil price.
It predicted US peak summer demand and rebate check pushed oil price to 147 July 4 th, and warned that after labor day, run out of rebate check and aftrer off peak Sept- Oct weak demand period, oil price will be plunge to 100- 120, any US economic recession in the final quarter will drag oil price below 100, all sectors will be faing falling demand and price, profits, bad to economy and stock market.
details on www.osawh.com/Globaloiln.htm  www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html www.osawh.com/fund2008.htm

Comment by Warren Huang - Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog July 16, 2008 at 12:39 pm

I have warned on the blog since last Sept that based on my 30 year research that soaring oil, commodities prices will pass 20- 70 % of its cost through 20 industrial 5000 downstream products as raw materials and energy cost, these take 3 to 6 month to spread into core inflation. finally, core inflation soared from 2.1 % to 2.6 % in
June, with CPI at 9.2, CPI at 5 %, will continue push core inflation above 3 % in the month ahead, even oil, commodities price drops.
detail on www.osawh.com/Fedcrisab.htm www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.htm   www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html

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 Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Recession value chain optimization and  Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  energy trade finance  solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock  supply chain and financial value chain optimization costs
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum  China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, import/export  prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments financial value chain optimization and  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop
 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by osawhh@sina.com
  Operations Simulation Analysis( OSA)  pioneer, Prof./Dr. Warren Huang 's beautiful world of Nobel Prize dream in Global Strategic Economics, Business Process,  Technology systems simulation, profit optimization OSA  Solution; Strategic, investment,  profit creation in value based Marketing, Competitive Pricing Supply chain  Logistics workshops ,  provide forecast global market forces, demand, prices changes 3- 6 month ahead, challenging the uncertainties and unpredictable global markets forces changes supporting  technical, management innovation for daily  global government, economic, banking, finance, enterprises  strategic reform,  investment, manufacturing supply chain logistics cost reduction, operations improvement change management , maximize  capital, raw material, energy, human resources productivity, risks adjusted investment return avoided trillion dollar market and wealth , Basel II credit, market, operational risks  loss, saving billion dollar supply chain costs  due to current chasing the market. All achieved through thousands  structural, dynamics, information knowledge based globalization, integration market economy market forces strategic  Operations Simulations Analysis  (OSA) applying  Apollo Moon landing guidance , mission control, tracking  , simulating monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global macro- economy, daily capital market interest rate, currency, money, debt, equities, properties market asset prices, bubble early warning , 20 old and new economy industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices for strategic venture capital risks, value investing,  wealth effect, WTO trade economy and competitive import/export pricing straegy, bubble mechanism, crisis, risk   optimal process control   all develop, implemented by goal, mission performance oriented cross functional strategic, execution OSA teams , directed by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang over 30 years develop, implementation of OSA Tracking results: markets.  
by Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer, Global strategic investment, supply chain  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)

 Website : www.osawh.com     , San Francisco, USA    email; Wh3928@yahoo.com/   osawhh@sina.com

Do not miss these full  day workshops series  in Shanghai , Beijing, Hong Kong, Taipei  to  share with you Dr. Huang’ 35 years development, implementation of integrated China/global supply chain logistics information knowledge base and  thousands structural dynamic simulators tracking forecasts month ahead China Peoples Bank, global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on last 20 years  US, Taiwan, China, Asian, European 72 countries  20 industrial sectors 5000 commodities, feedstock, oil/petrochemicals, fibers, plastics, rubber, downstream end users auto, IT, housing construction materials, pulp, paper, consumer products demand, supply demand chain logistics costs, value chain profits, capital markets asset prices , supporting thousands strategic executives workshops, helping millions US, Taiwan, China, Asian, European government, banking, finance, multinationals, SOE, SME, Taiwan 300,000 import/export member companies 100 export market currencies, pricing strategy and investment, supply chain logistics strategy for China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio 30 million banking, finance, enterprises CEO, CFO, money, asset managers, supply chain logistics, marketing executives, investors,  IBC Asia Strategic supply chain conference/ workshop for Exxon, BP, Shell, Texaco Chevron, Petronas, Petroleum Authorities/Petrochemicals of Thailand senior executives offered  Strategic China upstream/downstream supply demand chain optimization for post WTO profit improvement full day workshops in Singapore, Beijing, Taipei for China Exxon-Mobil, Samsung, SOE, Chinese Petroleum,  Development Bank of Singapore senior executives accurate predicted and capitalize China 1994-96 macroeconomic control soft-landing, 2000 IT bubble bursts and current recovery, He accurately predicted warned to 2000 China/global QFII/QDII, supply chain logistics senior executives on  China oil price doubled from 16 to 38, commodity prices soared to 19 year high, recommended beef up strategic oil/feedstock reserve when oil/commodity prices at bottom for inventory profit and supply security and risk management in  China credit tightening, soaring feedstock prices, energy  shortages, logistics bottleneck www.osawh.com/chinaerp.htm  

 Millions regular visitors visited www.osawh.com  since 1998
Global central banks, government agency (FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department,IMF, BIS,World Bank, UN, OCED, Dept of energy, NSF, FDA,  IT)   Banking, finance, insurance:( JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsch Bank,  Merrial Lynch, Goldman Sach, Morgan Stanley, UBSWarburg, Smith Barney, State Street, Bank of America, Wells Fargo , Bank One, HSNC, Prudential, ManuLife, CNA , State Farm, Lehman, Sinopac, Yuanta, Cathy , Huanan commercial bank, Chiaotungbank, agricultural bank.
Corporate  ( IBM, HP, CSCO, Intel, XOM, BP,  Shell, Dupont, Dow, Aramco, ChevronTexaco, Formosa Plastics, GM, Toyota, Benz,  Ford, Boeing), Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Genetech, Pfizer, Celera, Weth)
Academic( Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UP, Columbia, Chicago, Cambridge, London)  from 78 countries  copyright   Dr. Warren Huang   1991-2003      email  wh3928@yahoo.comwh3928@yahoo.com ============================================================ ===========================
Click here for What, Why and How of  OSA decision supported Information Technology methods in Global Strategic Management
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 Adaptive Enterprises Strategic Economy Recession, Business Process Technology Integration Global Investment, value based Marketing, Supply Demand Chain Logistics Optimization OSA Maximize Value Chain Profits 
(Oil/ gas,  plastics, fibers, rubbers and IT upstream/downstream 20 industrial sectors)

Applications. Thousands rigorous proactive structural, dynamics models tracking, simulate integrated macro, economic boom, bust, recession, financial, industrial, trade economy WTO and corporate/manufacturing strategic business process value chain ( Investment, ERP, SCM, Retails, logistics ) integrating into major market  players (competitors), suppliers (SRM), and downstream end users (CRM) value chain( from end-users to upstream suppliers) competitive marketing, pricing game simulation to maximize oils/gas upstream/downstream enterprises profits. OSA global strategic solution provide all management levels on the job training to optimize enterprises reform, privatization  performance, BPR, investment, venture capital risk , global strategic alliance supply chain logistics, strategic sourcing/outsourcing,TQM cost reduction change management,   1000 %  profit creation for building prediction, logical analysis strategic decision forecasts in  smart chips ( gene chips, multifunctional chips set , programmable controllers, microprocessor control ), smart PC ( strategic decision simulators ) and intelligent corporate computing ( structural dynamic proactive strategic investment, supply chain, risk management ) through produ

Strategy. Integrated Global economic boom, bust, recession, import/ export energy finance value chain ,   Business Process Information knowledge base development.
These systems have been developed from last 25 year’s daily China/Taiwan US daily economic newspapers, U.S, Asian, and European Wall Street Journal, Business Week Economist,  IMF, e-commerce data base; daily global 20 industrial sectors crude oil, refining products, olefin/ polyolefin, rubbers, fibers, textiles ender users auto, IT, housing construction material demand, prices, warehouse, inland/global distribution centers, logistics costs,  inventory, production( Platt/market newsletter and custom data), monetary, fiscal policy, corporate/ plant design, operating history ( normal, emergency operation profit margin, stocks prices ); corporate/ plant operators' expertise, market psychology, full value chain ( from order entry to customers, end users sales, distribution data history).
Economy,  economic boom, bust, recession,  Business Process Systems OSA models and Optimization  development, :Applying latest monetary economics, kinetic theories, fuzzy logic, neural network, chaos theory based expert systems.  Thousands models simulate global central banks’ monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on economy, daily financial markets, Basel II credit, market, operational risks loss, feedstock, oils, refining products olefin/poly-olefins, fibers, rubbers and end-users demand, prices, full range feedstock compositions, operating load, severity change impact on process reactors yields, microprocessor control, programmable chips logic control and processing QC for various licensor design, full range feed composition changes, profit margin, stock prices; Features include:
* Investment Risk OSA: for global  interest rates, currency exchange rates, privatization investment banking  IPO, pre/post merger/acquisition performance, profit margin, stocks , financial derivatives prices ,corporate scandals, global financial crisis, investment,  Basel II credit, market, operational risks  loss early warning avoided  trillion dollar market loss, create up to 1000 % risk adjusted return for banking, finance, corporate, customers investment
*Supply Chain cost OSA: for global feedstock , fuels cash, futures, prices, risks hedging (SRM), strategic suppliers competitive sourcing, e-procurement , feedstock quality control warehousing, intermediate storage inventory tracking billion dollar cost reduction ,optimized manufacturing production efficiency, outsourcing strategic OEM/ODM alliances
*Logistics /value based strategic Marketing, competitive pricing , retail sales distribution, inventory, CRM OSA maximze profits, market shares: tracking for global oil downstream  plastics, fibers, rubbers, end users consumer products domestics, export competitive marketing,  pricing, customer value creation, retails  logistics inventory, distribution cost reduction and de-bottle-neck strategy, strategic alliances application
Human Resource OSA: Goal, mission, performance oriented board members corporate/plant managers, on the job decisions training. performance, compensation review, supporting auditing committee for scandal early warning
*Products, service, market innovation by :Improve Process OSA: customer value creation:: raise process reactors yields 1 to 5 % maximize recovery , save energy 20-40 %; cuts wastes de-bottleneck 30- to 50 % over design improved quality and A grade for full range feed composition quality, severity, loads changes, raise revenue, customer value up to1000 % in customer risk adjusted return for banking, finance, and IT hardware, software corporate customers
*Asset Management: OSA : equipment, parts preventive maintenance safety risk tracking control
Economy, Business Process Integration Optimization Operations Management Implementation: Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer, will direct the reform, reengineering, cost reduction operations review, goal mission, performance oriented multidisciplinary strategic and execution OSA teams (SBU) to develop, implement , provide the what, why, how, when of the strategic change management,  streamline people, culture, operational, management differences achieve integrating investment, risk management into supply chain logistics systems ( 3PL/4PL) cost effectiveness.

Economics: millions-billion dollar cost/ investment risks reduction value chain profit optimization create up to 1000 % increase in customer risk adjusted return, market shares for banking, finance, and IT hardware, software  customers

Commercial Applications: 50 global multinationals, state, medium, small enterprises in  oil/petrochemicals/ polymers/fibers supply chain logistics,  value chain applied, hundreds global CEO, senior executives profit management workshops Thousands lectures to 30 million TV investors, hundred banks CEO, CFO; 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters currency, pricing strategy

References:-All by Dr. Warren Huang: "Improve Process by OSA", 12 paper series in Hydrocarbon Processing, OGJ, 1979-1983, "DSA/OSA Maximized Olefin/fibers Productivity, Flexibility", AIChE 1983 , Diamond Jubilee, 1990, 1999, Dallas, World Congress II, II, IV, Canada, Tokyo, Germany, 1983,1986,1991,” Global strategic solution for oil/petrochemicals ” Singapore , Beijin, Antwerp, Dallas conferences 1989, 1992,1995, 1999
," Global financial crisis, asset prices simulation, corporate scandal early warning  risk management", presented to 24 global central banks governor conference , DC, Rome, Barcelona, London, China Macao, Taipei, Bangkok, Peking University,  Beijing,  Shanghai Jiaotung  Univ. May1998- Oct. 2003;  Supply chain strategy maximize oil, chemical profits conference./workshops, Singapore, Apr –2001;China upstream/downstream 2001, Monetary, economic policy , WTO impact on China investment return, risks; profit management workshop ,Nov 2001, Beijin ,Taipei, Jan  2002; keynote speaker for Euro-events Asian Finance and Capital Markets Conference Nov. 5, 2003 Singapore and China Finance and Capital market conference, Shanghai, 25, Nov., 2003, Beijin, Nov. 27, 2003 on Monetary Policy Impact on  Asian/China Capital Markets Asset Prices, Wealth  Bubble Simulation early warning for strategic QFII/QDII investment and wealth management  
keynote speaker for Frontier in Knowledge China pricing strategy to speak on WTO China competitive pricing strategy for sustainable profits, Sept 17, 2004, Pudong, Shanghai, China
Licensor: OSA Int'l Operations Analysis, San Francisco, California
In-House CEO, CFO, executives full day workshops

Strategic economic boom, bust, recession,  Supply Demand Chain Logistics Integration,Optimization

(Oils/petrochemicals upstream/downstream)

Applications. Thousands structural dynamic models simulate global market competitors, supplier, (SRM), downstream end users (CRM) economic boom, bust, recession,  strategic supply-demand chain daily decisions Operations Simulation  Analysis (OSA) ; forecasts supply demand chain, inventory, feedstock products spot, contract prices, retails chain logistics ( from downstream 5000 end-users to upstream suppliers ) minimize enterprises wide costs,  while maximize global market shares and on the job training to optimize state , medium/small enterprises reform, privatization, business process reengineering, investment, supply chain , TQM cost  reduction, competitive pricing, retails chain logistics change management; integrated into process controls
. 
Strategy.  Information  knowledge  base development.
 This systems have been developed from  last 25 year’s daily U.S., Asian, and European Wall Street Journals, Business Week; Economist, IMF, NPRA  data;  daily global crude oil, refining products, petrochemicals, rubbers, fibers import/export, spot, contract prices, inventory, production ( Platt//Tecnon market newsletter and custom data), retails chain sales, monetary, fiscal policy, corporate/plant operating history ( normal, recovery, emergency, operation ); e-commerce data base;  corporate/ plant operators' expertise,  market forces psychology.
OSA models development,  :Applying latest monetary economic ,fuzzy  logic,  neural network, chaos theory based expert systems, this systems integrate supply, demand into prices  market  forces forecasts by simulate global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on economy, daily financial markets, feedstock, oils, refining products, petrochemical feedstock, plastics, fibers, rubbers and end-users sales, inventory, prices, full range feedstock compositions, operating load, severity change impact on process reactors yields and processing properties.  Features include:
*Supply chain  OSA: for global crude oils, feedstock cash, futures, prices, risks hedging, procurement, inventory cost reduction strategy
*Strategic value based Marketing and competitive pricing strategy sales, CRM OSA maximize profit, market shares: for global plastics, fibers, rubber trade, competitive marketing, wining pricing, retails chain logistics strategy
Human Resource OSA: Goal, mission, performance oriented supply retail chain procurement, marketing managers, on the job training.
*Improve Process OSA: raise process reactors yields 1 to 5 % maximize  recovery , save energy 20-35 %; cuts wastes and off-spec loss de-bottleneck 30- to 50 % over design for full range feed, severity, loads changes, improved downstream processing quality spec.
Operations Management Implementation: Dr. Warren Huang, OSA will direct  the reengineering, cost reduction operations review, goal mission, performance oriented multidisciplinary strategic supply demand chain strategic integration and execution OSA teams (SBU)
Economics: billion dollar cost saving, with improved market shares.

Commercial Applications: 60 global supply demand chain  applied, hundreds global CEO, SCM managers cost reduction workshops
Thousands TV lectures to 30 million investors, hundred banks CEO, CFO; 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters currency, pricing strategy
References:-All by Dr. Warren Huang "Improve Process by OSA", “ oil and gas, petrochemicals prices simulation, 12 paper series in Hydrocarbon Processing, OGJ, 1979-1983,” OSA for global marketing, sales strategy” to AIChE Diamond Jubilee meeting, Washington DC, 1983 ,”economic impact on petrochemicals demand, trade and prices”to World Cong. III, Tokyo, 1986,” Goal mission performance oriented Chem Eng  education, training, Tokyo, 1986, AIChE, Dallas, 1999”OSA global  integrated strategic solution for oil/ petrochemicals”,” Singapore , Beijin, Antwerp, Dallas conferences 1989, 1992,1995, 1999" Global financial crisis, asset prices, bubble simulation, corporate scandals early warning  risk  management “, to 24 global central banks governor conference , DC, Rome, Barcelona, London, China Macao, Taipei, Bangkok 1998-2001;Peking University, May, 2002, Shanghai Jiaotung Univ. May , 2003; Supply chain strategy maximize oil, chemical profits conference./ workshops, Singapore, Apr -2001,China upstream/downstream profit management workshop, Nov 2001, Beijin , Taipei, Jan 2002 OSA  supply chain logistics cost reduction , Jiaotung  Univ,. Beijing Oct., 2003 Thousands articles for  300,000 Taiwan importer/export members  weekly trade, Taiwan Petrochemical Industry Association Journals.

Licensor:  OSA  Int'l Operations Analysis,  San Francisco, California.
 In-House integrated supply demand business Process Optimization strategy workshops
  
Oils Refinery Recession, Investment, ERP-supply chain ,market shares Business Process Optimization  Strategy

Applications: Rigorous hydrocracking/ hydrotreating reactors optimal operations knowledge model-based expert systems have been developed, implemented for full range European, US, Arabian, Asian crude oil compositions in integrated refinery hydrocracking model based predictive control, optimization, corporate reform, restructuring , reengineering , supply chain TQM cost reductions This system will provide simulation of global central banks monetary policy impact on global crude oils, residue oil, gas oil prices; procurement, inventory supply chain strategy; refining, olefins products competitive pricing and hydrocracking reactor yields; regenerators catalyst activity tracking improvement; de-bottlenecking for full range feedstock compositions, operating load, severity changes, corporate managers, technical, operating staff on the job training simulators. It also  tracking forecasts   supply chain , financial misreporting in corporate scandals, Basel II credit, market, operational risks  loss prevention avoided trillion dollar Risks/ loss, saved billion dollar supply chain costs  in global financial energy, recession crisis

Strategy: Economic, Business Process Systems Information knowledge base development:
This system has been developed out of last 20 years daily US, Asian, European Wall Street Journal, IMF data, NPRA, daily inter- net data on global crude oils, gas oils, olefin, refining products prices data, corporate/plant entire financial, supply chain operating history (full range feeds and loads, operating severity); extensive literature and patent search for hydrocracking reactors catalytic and kinetics mechanism, design and operators, technical staff's operating expertise, market forces psychology as the knowledge base.
Economic, Business Process Systems OSA models development : Applying the latest economic, kinetics theory, artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, neural net, chaos theory based expert systems. These systems simulate global central banks monetary policy impact on daily global economy, financial markets asset prices, oils, refining products, olefin prices, full range crude oil, heavy oils compositions; operating load, severity change impact on reactors yields for various licensors design with average error below 1.5%. features include:
*Invest Risk OSA: for global credit, interest rates, currency exchange rates, profit margin , stocks, financial derivatives prices, Basel II credit, market, operational risks  simulation and control avoid trillion dollar market loss..
* Supply Chain OSA: for global crude oil, gas, fuel oils and feedstock price forecasts and billion dollar cost reduction  procurement, inventory strategy

*Strategic value based Marketing and competitive pricing strategy sales, CRM OSA maximize profit, market shares:
*Human Resources OSA: Corporate CEO, CFO, senior  and junior finance, marketing, procurement, process managers analysis on the job training
*Improve Process OSA: Full range severity, gas oil, heavy oils, hydrocracking, hydrotreating HDS reactors yields improvement
Integrated Procurement-Inventory, production-Marketing, sales supply chain e-commerce cost reduction system
Internal Auditinig OSA team :  It also  tracking corporate accounting, supply chain , financial misreporting in corporate scandals Basel II credit, market, operational risks  loss prevention
Operations Management Implementation: The author will conduct FCC/ROC system restructuring operations review, goal setting, implement supply chain e-business cost reduction OSA teams program.

  Olefins ERP-Supply Chain Strategy

Process/product, service, markets innovation by *Improve Process OSA: Olefin/polyolefin reactors yield improvement,; debottle-necking for full range gas, liquid olefin feeds, operating severity, loads changes , process, product, market innovation adapting toe changing competitive markets
* Process Startup, emergency shutdown, troubleshooting, waste minimization energy conservation, preventive maintenance.
Internal Auditing OSA team :  It also  tracking corporate accounting,   supply chain , financial misreporting in corporate scandals prevention
Operations Management Implementation: The OSA consultant (the author) will conduct restructuring, reengineering, cost reduction operations review, setup goal mission, performance oriented cross-functional OSA teams to develop, implement the program.
Economics: Up to billion dollar cost reduction with improved quality,market shares without staff reduction, hardware investment.
Commercial Applications: Three olefin/polyolefin applied, 45 TQM cost reduction workshops offered to global managers

Caprolactam/nylon

Applications: Rigorous process plant DSA (Design Simulation Analysis) and OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) model-based expert systems have been implemented for global cycloxanone- Caprolactam/nylon integrated corporate/plant daily global strategic plant operations strategic support to daily strategic business (SBU) and top executive committees in restructuring, reengineering millions supply chain, TQM cost reductions. . They provide global economic forecasts, and it's impact on global fuel oil, cyclohexane feedstock prices, procurement, inventory supply chain costs reduction and process reactors yields improvement; de-bottlenecking; waste and energy minimization and profit control Corporate/plant managers technical, operating staff are provided on the job training simulators for TQM cost reductions

  Fractionation OSA Optimal Control
Applications: Integrated rigorous, knowledge-based fractionation system DSA ( Design Simulation Analysis )and OSA (Operation Simulation Analysis) have been developed and implemented to maximize products recovery, quality control, process de-bottleneck , waste minimization, energy conservation and on/offline optimal, control. These systems are integrated into rigorous, kinetic models front end reactors systems simulation base applied for emergency shut down, startup simulation for safety and loss prevention, main- tenance application and plant-wide cost reductions

B. Fractionations systems OSA models development:
Combining rigorous steady simulation with OSA fuzzy logic, neural net and chaos algorithm supported expert system knowledge-based multivariate dynamic predictive simulation and integrated into front end OSA full range reactors systems OSA to achieve maximum products recovery and operating flexibility cover the full range:

PET/Polyester fibers Operations Simulation, Optimal Control
Applications: Integrated PET(polyethylene terephthalate) or poly- ester fiber process plant DSA ( Design Simulation Analysis )and OSA (Operation Simulation Analysis) includes rigorous , kinetic models, knowledge-based esterification , polymerization reactors conversion/yields models , downstream fractionation EG recovery system/polyester fiber /PET processing and recycle OSA for contin- uous and batch process CIM, DCS applications to maximize daily conversion and production and recovery while minimize energy , off-spec wastes for polymer processing properties and recycle improve- ments and de-bottlenecking

Applications: Rigorous corporate/process plant DSA (Design Simulation Analysis) and OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) model-based expert systems have been implemented for global EG/PTA/Polyester/PET integrated corporate/plant daily global strategic management and plant operations support to daily strate- gic , top executive committees in restructuring, reengineering billion dollar supply chain, TQM cost reductions. They provide global economic forecasts, it's impact on global fuel oil, feedstock prices, procurement, and EG/PTA/Polyster/PET products Marketing, sales, competitive pricing strategy, investment risks management; process reactors yields improvement; de-bottlenecking; waste and energy minimization and profit control, corporate/plant managers technical, operating staff on the job training simulators

Applications: Corporate ERP/plant knowledge based integrated management information systems have been developed, and implemented for global refinery, olefin, polyolefins, ethylbenzene, styrene/PS, EG/PTA/polyester fibers, caprolactum,/nylon fibers

Applications: Rigorous, kinetic, information knowledge, expert systems model-based refinery, olefin, polyolefins, styrene, caprolactum, polyester, nylon fiber mills process reactors and downstream recovery units design and operations simulation improve daily plant operating decisions and predictive control for advanced process control (APC) applications

Styrene/PS/ABS ERP-Supply Chain
Applications: Rigorous corporate and process plant OSA (Opera- tion Simulation Analysis) model-based expert systems have been implemented for global ethylbenzene, styrene, PS/ABS corporate restructuring, process improvement, billion dollar TQM cost reduc- tion change management . They provide integrated corporate/ plant- ERP strategic procurement, inventory supply chain cost reduction and process plant operations improvement through model-based predictive control; tracking global central banks monetary policy impact on global financial crisis, investment risks; fuel oils, ethylene, benzene, ethylbenzene, feedstock procurement , inventory, supply chain costs, risks hedging; styrene, polystyrene, ABS products competitive pricing, marketing and sales and customer relations management, technical services strategy; process de-bottleneck. OSA decisions analysis training simulators based corporate managers, technical, operating staff on-the-job training

Styrene Operations Simulation, Optimal Control
Applications: Integrated styrene process plant DSA ( Design Simulation Analysis )and OSA (Operation Simulation Analysis) includes rigorous , kinetic models, knowledge-based ethylbenzene, styrene reactors models and rigorous models based downstream compressor, fractionation recovery system OSA to maximize daily ethylbenzene, styrene reactor yields and recovery while minimize energy , off-spec wastes for process improvements, in debottle- necking and styrene plant DCS., CIM applications.

Applications: Rigorous integrated process plant-utility DSA(Design Simulation Analysis) and OSA( Operations Simulation Analysis) systems have been developed and implemented for refinery, olefin, styrene, caprolactum, nylon, polyester fibers, pulp and paper mills process plant daily energy conservation operations management, plant operations control strategic support to daily plant cost reductions application. They provide reduced unit energy consumption and cost reduction through improved utilities and process energy conservation operations and de-bottlenecking, utilities, operating staff on the job training simulators, DCS control for supply chain TQM cost reduction

Utility (boilers, heaters, turbine compressors, steam lines) and process energy users ( reactors, heat exchangers, pumps) design and full operating history and maintenance data, and heating, oil, gas, electricity costs and unit consumption data, operators expertise as utility information knowledge base.
Energy usage audit, conservation OSA model development
Process plant-wide and offsite utility energy usage audits
These artificial intelligence experts based integrated systems rigorous models have been developed out of the entire operating history .

  Refinery ERP-Supply Chain

Applications: Rigorous corporate and process plant OSA (Opera- tion Simulation Analysis)information knowledge, model-based expert systems have been implemented for global refinery/ refining products/olefin/aromatics corporate restructuring, process improve- ment,; billion dollar TQM cost reduction change management .
They provide integrated corporate/ refinery- ERP strategic procure- ment, inventory supply chain cost reduction decision analysis and process plant operations improvement through model-based pre- dictive control; investment risks, crude oils, feedstock procurement , inventory, supply chain costs, risks hedging, gasoline, heating oil, naphtha, gas oils, LPG, olefin, aromatics products competitive pricing, marketing and sales and customer relations management, technical services strategy; process de-bottleneck. OSA decisions analysis training simulators based corporate managers, technical, operating staff on-the-job training