Chinese (中文)
Global macroeconomics,
currency, equities, housing, commodites prices simulations and markets rIsks, mortgage
crisis early warning workshops
(
presented to
China Peoples Bank, 24 global central banks governors, risk management
confernces and thousands workshops since 1999 tracking forecast last 20
years global financial, banking crisis)
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation
of last 20 years China/US/UK, Asian
Mortgage Defaults Crisis,
Macro-economic inflation, unemplyment targeting, monetary interest rate
policy Impact on mortgage rate, housing sales, pricing,
equities, commodities prices bubbles, mortgage
loan credit, prepayment, defaults, recovery modeling, CRE, RMBS, ABS, CDO asset
credit rating and valuation performance, bond spread ,
risks hedging strategy
US, UK/ Beijin, Shanghai/ Taipei, in-house workshops
by reservation at your convenient time at yuor office
wh3928@yahoo.com
conducted by
Dr. Warren Huang Pioneer, Global Strategic Management OSA
Preparing for Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default in US/China/UK Housing Bubble Crisis Early Warning
Challenges and Investment opportunities,
risks in 2008 China/US housing prices bubbles
burst impact on
inflationary slowdown, stocks, fund, commodities markets outlook
Dr. Warren Huang will be the full day master
class workshop lecturer for Terrapinn Fund World China 2008
conference, Shanghai Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6 offer Proactive
structural China/global asset pricing,
2008 credit tightening, recession impact on BRIC,Optimal 1x0/x0
long-short hedging, asset allocation
strategy 2008
Select your country, we will provide
5 -day monetary policy impact on macroeconomic control, inflation,
interest rates, currency, commodities, stocks market , regional housing
prices bubbles, securitization assets credits, performance, mortgage default crisis analysis for your
loan history
Find out breakthrough innovation in proactive structural artificial
intelligence, neural net based expert systems macro, financial, industrial
pricing econometrics integration, simulation and
extension to Engle's Exponential GARCH dynamic times series estimation
co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of US/UK/China
housing, equities, currency, commodities price bubbles, tracking the causes,
onset, recovery, early warning of US/China, global central banks monetary interest rate
policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation, un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global
housing, equities
, currencies, commodities prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major
cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices ,
associated prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment, default,
recovery modeling, ABS, CRE, RMBS, CDO bond spread, hedging fund strategy.
Global
central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan and commercial, investment
banking , hedging fund managers, markets analysts
ignoring Dr. Warren Huang
warning on Asset Prices Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept.
2002 to Malaysia central banks Asset Based Securitization conference, Singapore, Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events
Asian /US/China Finance, Capital Market
conferences and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University,
Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic
outlook, capital market housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles
and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004, and
Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market conference,
June 2007 Peking University
Financial Risk Management conference lecture,
www.osawh.com
and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat
blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned
underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive
rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive
oil , commodities, metals housing prices bubbles to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, suffered trillion dollar loss
in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch and loan default, ABS,
RMBS, CDO asset credit and performance downgrade, hedge fund failure 2004-2007.
www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Workshops Goal : OSA forecasts
maximize risks adjusted return in US/China/UK housing markets and ABS investments , default
risks early warning fighting housing market recession, credit
crunch, avoided global banking , housing, equities, commodities, markets
trillion dollars asset downgrade, value loss
in economic recession.
Workshops Mission:
Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams,
develop, implement proactive, structural global central banks
monetary policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing
market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism and loan and ABS assets,
credit rating, prepayment, default, recovery modeling Operations
Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, forecasts
month ahead, of the emerging credit default, recession trend,
crisis impact on global currency, commodities, equities, bond prices
investment strategy and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar
housing and global equities allocation investment and markets default
loss.
Workshops
Highlights: The what , why, how and
timing of root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of equities, housing,
commodities bubble burst, mortgage default crisis,
tracking regulation AB for ABS RMBS, CDO pooled asset credit rating and performance, default, global assets allocations,
with 2008 forecast.
5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day UK Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
Day One: China Macroeconomic control, Country Risks, boom and bust cycle OSA, Forecasts
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset prices
bubble , inflation control
and RMB currency appreciation OSA
* Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and EGARCH Granger co-integrations
of China Peoples Bank macroeconomic control ( 5 rate hikes, raise bank
deposit ratio 7 time ) removing excessive liquidity due to stocks, housing bubble
wealth gain tracking money supply, interest rate, RMB and housing industry
control impact on housing, stock prices bubbles, fixed investment,
inflation rate, un-employment rate and inflation rate
* Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices, RMB , fixed investment impact
on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Currency appreciation and DFI inflow, excessive
liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily China RMB, and
Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in asset price
speculation.
* Interest rate, credit tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage
default
and mortgage default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession
Day two: Housing Industry Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage
loan, CRE, RMBS, default OSA
Morning:
China monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices
*China Peoples Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control ( raise rate 5 time,
bank deposit ratio 7 times)
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and cool off the
overheated economy and inflation
* China housing industry price control policy and impact on China regional housing
supply, demand and prices.
Afternoon:
China housing bubble burst, loan default , stock market crash, economic
recession early warning
* China RMB appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed
investment impact on
China coastal area ( Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing )housing sales, and
prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural China housing personal, corporate, ABS, RMBS, loan credit rating,
securitization asset performance,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and induced stock market crash and economic
recession early warning OSA
Day three: Excessive liquidity, housing prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and
Burst, Market Crash OSA
Morning:
China monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices, banking, finance,
construction industry performance
*China Peoples Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control ( raise rate 5 time,
bank deposit ratio 7 times)
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and banking, finance
stock price performance
* China housing industry price control policy and impact on China housing
loan, construction industry demand and prices.
Afternoon:
* China RMB appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed
investment impact on
China coastal area (Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing )housing, prices Shanghai,
Shenzhen A and SHZH 300, Hong Kong Henseng index, Blue and red chips, SOE index stock indices future, price OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural China housing personal, corporate loan credit rating,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and banking real estate stock performance early warning OSA
Day four: Housing demand impact on oil commodities upstream/downstream demand,
profit, stock prices OSA
Morning:
China monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand,
stock prices, OSA
*China Peoples Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic , housing industry control
impact on housing, construction
material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand , prices .
* China housing industry price control policy and impact on China oil, energy
downstream demand, prices.
Afternoon:
* China monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock
price
^ China monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and energy, downstream companies
profit , stock price OSA
Day five : Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk
integration, crisis early warning OSA
morning:
China country macro-econometric inflation, currency systemic risk.
* China Peoples Banks monetary policy, housing industry price control impact on
GDP, inflation and price bubbles
* China monetary policy interest rate, trade impact on RMB currency price
mechanism, hot money speculation .
Afternoon:
China equities, housing price bubbles burst associated market risks, and loan
default crisis
* China housing and equities price bubbles bursts and housing, equities, futures market
price risks early warning
* China twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking, asset
management loan credit default
risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit derivatives, hedging, betting on the wrong direction
resulted trillion dollar loss.
Who Should Attend : Central
banks policy research, commercial, investment banking, real estate mortgage, hedge fund
manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO, securitization
managers, insurance managers, mutual fund , SWF fund managers, government
regulation strategic (top management) , execution (managers )
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 3000 plus Dr. Warren Huang round trip air
fares from San Francisco for full day workshop with unlimited attendees
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment and default
risks, loss
Reserve by email wh3928@yahoo.com
indicating your favorite time, your office address, and lists of
executives names, title