Global hot stockse prices simulation, forecasts, emerging bull/bear market trend and risks by two master hands controlling global macroeconomy, capital markets OSA

homepage OSA     When you have Dr. Huang's two OSA master hands you are in good hands for global macro economic control and US/global hot stock prices
you are in good hands in stay ahead of global markets opportunities and risks
  Proactive US / global economic systems, stocks, Structural Dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis, Real Time Stock Prices Mechanism Forecast, Tracking global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO policy impact on macro economic inflation, daily interest rate, currency, commodities futures prices, 20 industrial sectors supply demand impact on corporate profit earning, stock prices,   performances, stay years, months ahead of the emerging bull, bear market trend
OSA Dr Warren Huang accurately predicted on June 2007 International financial engineering risk management conference, Beijing to top global investment management, CDO director, and August on Waall Street Journal Market Beat Real Time Economics Blogs warning US housing bubble burst, and recession resulted mortgage loan default loan loss resulted banking, finance and IT shares facing bubble burst for 30- 50 % bear market correction, continue through summer 2008, despite Fed rate cuts, and Stock markets entering bear recession by the end of 2007
Drr. Warren Huang predicted to Asian Business Forum's Beijin workshop to ExxonMobil, ARAMCO , Merril Lynch, HSBC, VP, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 100 multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin Feb and Nov. 2005, that oil prices will soar to 69 ,in summer 2005, metal prices to new high in January 2006 and oil prices will hit 80 in summer 2006, recommended oil, energy, metals futures, stock, ETF doubled due to soaring US, China inflation will raise rates throughout summer 2006., Fed fund rate will go to 5.5 % , China raised lending rate Apr. 28 to 5.85 %   gasoline futures will to 265, metals , commodity continue making new high , drive CPI to 4.3 % in March and higher in the month ahead. US Fed fund rate 10 yr. bond yield will go to 5.5 %, stocks, bond facing correction give up all 2006 gain ahead.
He predicted to Asian Money manager and QFII executive Nov. 2005 Beijing that China A share rebound from 1000 into bull markets Jan 2006
home US/ Global Hot stocks (Daily most active issues) prices forecasts risks tracking
go to www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/UShotstock.html
A. Top US Old Economy, Dow stocks Dow Jones blue chip old economy stocks:
(Updated weekly by Dr. Huang workshop lecture )
stock Name :                        earning/ margin ,                     near term trading range
AA ( Alcoa)                     rising aluminum prices, soaring costs  38- 45
AIG                                  mounting risks uncertainties                55 -69
IBM                                competition , pricing pressure               90- 112
AXP                                soaring demand , risks                            57- 63
BA                                 rising demand, costs                               95- 105
MMM                            slowdown in profit growth                       78- 89
MS                            mortgage loan     loss                                45- 67
C                            mortgage loan     loss                                     27- 40
MRK                      lack new drug lead to growth slowdown        45- 50
JPM Chase            mortgage loan     loss                                     27- 40
HPQ                            slowdown in profit margin                         35- 46
Wal-Mart                    competition, discount                                  45-50
Home Depot(HD)   peaking out in consumer demand                   36- 43
GE                              slowdown in sales profit growth               34- 39
PG                            steady growth, facing slowdown                55- 63
Pfizer            lack new drug lead to growth slowdown               23-26
GM                           price cutting                                                 25- 35
XOM ExxonMobil soaring   profit                                                75 -80
MER                       mortgage loan     loss                                    47- 56
JNJ                         steady growth                                                55- 64
KO                           steady growth                                               45- 55
MCD                         steady growth                                              45-50

B. Top US New economy, Nasdaq IT and Biotech shares
(Updated weekly by Dr. Huang workshop lecture )
stock Name :     earning/ margin ,                                             near term trading range

GOOG                  overvalued, economic slowdown, competition 550- 700
CSCO                        slow recovery                                                 25- 35
INTC                          high growth potential                                      23-27
AMAT                         slowdown growth potential                          18-22
MSFT                 antirust   slowdown in sales profit growth            27- 32
SUNW(Sun Micro slow recovery                                                     3- 5
Yahoo                      moderate recovery                                          20-29
ORCL                ,      sharp competition                                           16-20
AAPL(Apple)         Slowdown in profit growth                                120- 165
DELL                    Slowdown in PC sales                                        25-31
SIRI                   competition                                                            5- 8
SYMC                 competition                                                          16-19
QCOM           Profit squeeze                                                               38-46

OSA ( Operations Simulation Analysis ) is required for investment analysis by Dr. Huang weekly in-house institutional executives investment workshops lectures in person, any copy circulate around are out of dated ( he has copy right on its contents, should not be used for any commercial use without approval.
What is wrong with Wall Street and global financial market?,
Why markets crash 30 % ? Where is the bottom ? What Wall Street need ?
How to predict the unpredicted global financial markets?
Two master hands controlling global capital market, asset prices, bubble bursts risks
US and Global Monetary Policy Impact on Daily Global Macroeconomic, Industrial sectors supply, demand, Hot (most active) stocks prices forecasts and Risks Operations Simulation Analysis
     by Dr Warren Huang                 (Right and left master hands)

========Dr. Warren Huang San Francisco nexusdirect.net securities workshop on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center== reserve : 510-818- 9668

Dr. Warren Huang CV accurately predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture 2 and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio station , and www.osawh.com website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer demand pushing US Oil prices soared above 50, metals prices reaching 23 year high, will follow economic recovery and not transitory . weak dollar due to soaring trade deficit, ( 55.3 billion for June, 50 for July ) will drive inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in May 2004 job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second quarter 2004 Fed June, Aug , Sept 0.25 % rate hikes China credit tightening, will follow US rate hike in summer 2004, global economy facing inflationary slowdown and followed by stagflation next year with stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30- 50 % correction Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as Google will plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: Despite China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control with Aug money supply growth at 14.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales down 10 %, asset prices, inflation retreat from May ( benefited by commodities prices down 15 % ). However Aug. producer, consumer price still up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up 13.2, China first half GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 30.4 % repeat 1994, call the need for interest rate hike in Oct. to cool off the consumer and housing demand. soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices recent rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr. Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound 20- 40 %. , This supply side tightening are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating, must follow US rate hike in Sept. implement structural rate hikes to cut off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto and retails demand . any postpone of rate rate hike will further delay soft landing into second half . 2005, He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble bursts
US macroeconomic, inflation control tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com website and thousands workshops warning US, global analysts over optimistic over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of 2004. US trade deficit soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending, peaking out, facing squeeze in second half 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000, May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50 % and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000 and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in Aug., with business spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up, oil, soared to 50 and metals to new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its way to cool off the economy. (
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.   He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture 2 and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq 1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks follow US stocks rebound in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks ( including IPO )facing 30-50 % bear market correction consolidation

US 2003- 2004 repeat 1998- 2000 asset bubbles OSA : ( right master hands OSA)
US 13 rate cuts to 1 % and second tax cuts led to money supply growth of 9 % productivity and GDP growth 8.4 %, third quarter, consumer spending up 7.9 % business spending up 18 %, retails sales growth 7.6 % Dec 2003 ,east, west coasts housing prices soared 66 % since 2001, plunging dollar and excessive consumer demand led to oil, commodity reaching 19 year high 9 oil, cotton, copper, platinum ,soybean prices doubled, despite CPI up only 1.2 %( exclude energy and food) , ISM index soared from 39 to 66, consumer confidence soared to 103 , corporate profit soared 76 % in the final quarter 2003, investor bullish index higher than 1987 crash, Nasdaq soared 80 %, Dow up 26 % in 2003. but jobless rate stay at 5.6 %, with 24 millions loss jobs, 117000 job cuts in Jan,2004, despite 112,000 new job added, Feb only created 21,000 jobs. oils, commodity prices soared to 20 year high, continue into the summer spending demand fueled by 24 % more tax cuts income. All the early warning sign of asset bubbles facing burst, UK, Australia, ECB, Korea and China all raised rate or tightening credit to deflate the bubbles. US Fed is determined to create jobs, create 2.4 million jobs to delay action on rate hike )

Global Rate Hikes Impact , Asset Prices, Bubble Simulation, Early Warning OSA 2004 yearend strategic investment/supply chain, Basel II risk control workshop

Shanghai Sept. 17-19, Taipei Sept 21- 23, Singapore Sept 25-27, Kuala Lumpur Sept 29-30 , email osawhh@citiz.net for in-house workshops reservation

(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives investors since 1983 by 80 )

Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset prices, crisis, bubble early warni

Million global central banks, top banks, investment bankers, banking, securities , oils, petrochemicals multinational CEO, CFO, fund , trading managers from 78 countries visited www.osawh.com for strategic investment, supply chain decision analysis.

These deterministic, dynamic simulation of last 20 years global asset prices, and economy boom and bust of the asset bubble vicious cycle of excessive monetary policy, low interest rate induced sustained long term bull markets stocks prices gain caused consumer and business spending in real estate properties pushed soaring housing prices and rent. And deficit spending (negative saving) in stock markets, pushed the stock s even higher, until abrupt reverse of consumer and investor confidence --the bubble burst- plunge of stocks and properties prices as it happened in US, Japan, Taiwan in 1980, 1987, 1990, energy crisis, EURO 1992 currency crisis, 1994 China runaway inflation, 1995 Mexico crisis, 1997-98 ASEAN, Japan, Korea, Russia, Brazil currency crisis, all caused by overpriced stock prices due to excess monetary policy and high GDP growth

Website : www.osawh.com email: osawhh@citiz.net / wh3928@yahoo.com

Services: weekly global capital market asset prices, bubble early warning simulation, asset allocation , risk management update workshops , CEO/CFO fund managers On the Job Training program : OSA Strategic, execution teams All supported by OSA simulation for training simulators.

兩支如來佛掌在中國股市傳奇神話:

黃黃華南博士於1994-98 年間以一半時間在中國對十五城市電台電視台三千萬投資者及中國財政部全國百餘家銀行卷商房地產負責人副總基金承銷自營經理舉辦千餘次兩支如來佛掌掌握國際金融及滬深股市投資良機與風險巡迴演講 研討會精確預測中國人行宏觀調控軟著陸對滬深股市二十種產業五千種產品市場需求價格機制上市公司新股發行併購營利股價模擬及掌握中國金融危機熊市中之良機與投資風險
九四年七月底對美國華爾街推鑑中國A, B股將強力反彈及以傳真稿對武漢萬國國泰總經理預測八月初上指將由333倍增至800以上果真八月上指反彈上800,
十月底應武證報及武漢萬國國泰總經理交易自營大戶股民演講精確預測94- 96年間上指在 600-800盤整九五年初在武證報及中央人民廣播電台全國各地股民推鑑一元買進上海石化八月倍增至八元
次年初對武證報及各地券商電台電視台三千萬股民預測四月降息軟著陸進入牛市牛市上指由600起飛達1800推鑑深發展長虹陸家嘴漲五至十倍及
1996年12月16日應上海證券交易所及東方電台之邀對全國股民演講解釋採用10 %上下限不會影響牛市上指可由1200反彈回1700創新高, 次年達1800
1999年對中國人行行長在澳門央行行長大會及台灣央行太平洋財經大會演講警告美台高科技股過熱資產泡沫破滅將跌五至九成那斯達跌八成向1200探底台指向3400探底但推鑑中國股市進入牛市上指可由1100回1900完全應驗
2003年三月對上海東華大學管理學院研討會及五月對成都中國住宅主編精確預測中國貨幣供應房地產汽車信貸成長偏高過熱面臨緊縮股價回檔三至五成,上指在1400-1600盤整並應二十國家(中美歐亞)央行行長大會發表

一右手前瞻預測貨幣財經入世政策對宏觀調控通膨及資產價格泡沫預警操作模擬分析

股名	符號	前景預警	近期股價
中國移動	CHL	信貸緊縮殺價競爭	11- 15
聯通	CHU	信貸緊縮殺價競爭	6- 8
中國電信	CHA	信貸緊縮殺價競爭	25- 35
中石化	SNP	信貸緊縮殺價競爭油價成本上揚	33- 42
中國石油	PTR	信貸緊縮殺價競爭油價成本上揚	38- 58
中國海外石油	CEO	信貸緊縮殺價競爭油價成本上揚爺油價走軟	40- 56
中壽.	LFC	信貸緊縮殺價競爭公司治理信用風險 t	18- 26
中鋁	ACH	信貸緊縮殺價競爭油價成本上揚	47- 65
陸家嘴	SLUJY	信貸緊縮殺價競爭	3- 4.5
廣深鐵路	GSH