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美元進入弱勢盤整油價重回百元金價回 800- 950
前瞻國際金融及商品期貨及衍生工具市場價格機制操作模擬分析及 2009
年中美港台房產金融能源泡沫調控利率匯率股指期貨油價能源金屬期貨股價預測投資避險多空策略研討會
預約
osawhh@sina.com
wh3928@yahoo.com
為歐洲衍生工具網推鑑並擔任編緝
www.derivativesportal.org of Eurex and IMC
美國國際金融投資經營策略操作模擬分析創辦人黃華南博士簡歷近照(Dr.
Warren Huang
US / China Macro, Financial, Industrial Economic Impact on
Financial and Commodity Futures, IPO, M/A and Derivatives Prices Proactive Simulation
2007 Daily Global Interest Rates, Bond, Currency, Stock Indices and Gold,
Metals, Oils, Futures Prices and Housing, Finance , Energy Stocks , ETF Fund Performance Corporate Scandals early
warning
by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang ,pioneer
OSA Global Strategic
Management
不要錯過享譽七十國家國際金融投資經營策略操作模擬分析創辦人黃華南博士五天密集式國際金融及商品期貨衍生工具市場價格機制模擬及2009預測投資避險策略研討會
油价在九十月油品需求淡季又逢美元强势因美国第二季经济成闸高达3.3%
通膨高达5.7 %有加息之虑.日本归盟适入衰退入90-
110熊市探底金价在油价滑落美元强势中向700- 800探底篵底
但美元强势第三季出口衰退GDP 跌至1
%又已近尾声在近日雷曼倒闭股市暴跌金融危檆中适入弱势眕整兑日元在102-
106兑归元1.4- 1.45
第四季入冬燃料油需求油价回升至百元以上回升通膨金价再回800- 950
國際金融股市兩支如來佛掌精確
事先預測二十年國際匯率股指金融期貨油價穀物黃金貴重期貨及衍生工具價格追縱成果
Dr. Warren Huang
(黃華南博士)去年6月以近十五年來宏觀調控對
國際金融危機及每日大盤影響建立之前瞻結構性資產價格機制精確對大會中外資金融高及主管及八月在搜弧,及華爾街市場脈動博客及十二月在新浪博客 ,http://blog.sina.com.cn/osachina及今年三月在浦東舉辦中國基金大會對百餘位QFII/QDII投行負責人及基金經理警告美國房價持續滑落,帶動美國進入全面性房貸信用金融危機及經濟不景氣,美股帶動國際股市進入熊市探底持續至2009,金融房產及高科技石油石化高價股首當其沖暴跌五成以上掌握兆億空頭市場對沖避險良機,中國通膨高達8.7
%,迫使人行緊縮6度息,16度提高準備率至17.5
,%,中國房地產與股市泡沫面臨跌三至七成, 探底築底,亦隨美國金融危機惡化,道瓊回檔11000,四川震災損失,油品價上漲將提升通膨壓力及企業營運成本,大盤
在權重股中石油中石化強力支撐在強力反彈向
2550-3000反復築底前7月PPI仍高達10%
警告美國降息及救市減稅美元滑落使油價創145元金價破千元,無法防止房價滑落,信貸金融危機美國進入景氣衰退,帶動國際股市進入熊市盤整,金融房產股暴跌五至七成高價高科技股暴跌四成
今年七月再度警告美國金融危機惡化雷曼投行兩房面臨倒閉,中國房地產面臨泡沫破滅,三大利空未盡帶動滬指向
1800
探底破底
黃博士之前瞻結構性資產價格機制精確對北京,上海,深圳,台北,舊金山等十五大城市電台電視台及三千萬金融基金經理股民預測九四年上指由1500跌至333又於八月暴漲至 850後至九六年初在600-
800 間盤整(在上証深証報及電視台發表今年初在本人新浪博客及 http://www.osawh.com/chhm.html
網站預測近年來走勢
黃博士於2008年3月6日再度應邀在上海浦東香格里拉飯店對中國基金及財富管理大會舉辦一日以前瞻經營策略掌握中國資金緊縮美國房產泡沫破滅下中國及國際基金及財富管理2008年之契機與風險研討會警告大會百餘位投行房產負責人基金經理美國房地產泡沫破滅持續到今夏帶動金融銀行房產股跌五至七成國際股市進入熊市盤整
黃博士獨創諾貝爾獎之夢兩隻如來佛掌掌握金融商品期貨市場實時價格模擬分析投資良機及風險預警系列(發表於北美新浪網1999年12月及2000-2006年
對二十國家央行行長及金融風險衍生工具對沖避險策略大會中美新港台証券及期貨交易所証監會証管辦及七十國家數百家銀行証券期貨保險公司跨國公司總裁投資採購營銷
風險管理副總舉辦研討會)
應邀對北京大學金融研究中心之國際金融公司治理大會及數學研究所復旦大學中國經濟年會上海財大金融工程及期貨衍生工具創新大會及中南財大金融保險學院主講佳賓
又於2006年十月應杭州金融工程投資風險論壇與歐元之父諾貝爾得主孟代耳等專家同時被邀為主講嘉賓及大會技術委員
黃華南博士於2005年11月對北京石油投資大會(每人美金1600元)菲律浦石油總裁愛克森與阿拉伯石油公司匯豐美林副總演講精確預2006年元月油價破69七月破80中美房地產泡沫惡化入夏持續加息緊縮
黃博士2006年12月中旬再度來台北及上海,對台灣大學金融研究所舉辦國際金融產品交易價格及公司治理大會以前瞻資產利率股指匯率期貨及商品期貨及權證價格價格模擬掌握公司治理醜聞預警發表演講
不要錯過並對跨國石油公司QFII/QDII
商業銀行券商期貨公司主講2007年利率股指匯率期貨及商品期貨及權證價格預測及多空策略
預約 中國 張小姐
culture.04@163.com 或 wh3928@yahoo.com
日程 內容
一 中美央行宏觀及房產股市泡沫調控貨幣政策通膨利率債券期貨衍生工具價格前瞻模擬預測投資避險策略
二 利率經貿對每日外匯市場主要貨幣匯率影響投資避險策略
三 宏觀與房地產及金融股市泡沫調控對中美港台股價指數期貨(選二)權証(任選一國家)上市公司營運股價價格ETF投資避險策略
四 宏觀與產業調控對中美油價能源,黃金,金屬,商品期貨及衍生工具價格ETF
投資避險策略
五 前瞻資產價格掌握金融房產能源IPO,ADR,並購公司治理財務及衍生工具報表不實銀行金融危機醜聞週期防范
黃博士將以以三十年擔任美國美孚標準及菲律浦石油
貝泰凱撒工程公司煉油石化鋼鐵銀銅鈾礦投資採購探勘產銷設計操作控制經驗建立華爾街信息知識庫獨創於三個月前掌握優化前瞻預測
近二十年國際貨幣財經政策國際金融及每日商品期貨衍生工具市場實時價格機制模擬
追縱預測提供資產泡沫金融危機預警對宏觀調控及貨幣,證券期貨,保險,房地產市場價格機制模擬預測建立數萬種結構性技術與管理創新動態模擬精確掌握近二十年國際金融匯率能源危機及景氣週期中每日股匯房市國際金融及商品期貨衍生工具市場價格機制模擬期貨衍生工具價格
2003年11月黃博士在新加波上海亞洲金融及資本市場大會演講,圖片1,
2,
3) lecture演講內容
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
又於 十一月二十五日上海四季飯店大舞廳二十七日在北京對Euro-events
舉辦之中國金融及資本市場大會六百位QFII/QDII主管以優化前瞻預測貨幣財經政策提供資產泡沫金融危機預警對中國宏觀經濟貨幣,資本,保險,房地產
尤價大宗期貨金屬及外匯市場價格機制操作模擬財富管理QFII, QDII
投資策略及風險管理作專題演講,www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003/
(圖片1
, 2 )
及十二月二十日對北京復旦大學舉辦上海中國經濟年會金融組四百位中外學者專
家警告反映各國央行過度減息減稅造成美元大幅貶值低估房地產汽車及建材供不應求原油金屬期豁創二十年新高對通膨影響資金緊縮
及加息不足抑制物價上揚中國滬深及在海外上市公司汽車鋼鐵金屬金融房地產業過熱2006延續滬指進入熊市在千點反彈
黃博士擔任台灣政府經濟部及經建會顧問主持十大建設石化能源鋼鐵效益評估及產業升級,節約能源,技術管理創新,資訊電腦,外貿協會及
三十萬進出口商開發百餘國家外銷市場外匯出口報價,大宗穀物金屬工業原料原油採購策略數百家國營及應新加波之阿拉伯產油國部長大會及中國國務院化工部中石化總經理之邀在北京中國國際石化經營策略大會擔任主講嘉賓
曾在美國石油及天然氣雜誌及國際石化雜誌發表石油石化產品價格機際制模擬預測及發會揮製程效益節約能源十餘篇發行兩百萬份於七十國家並擔任台灣之中央,經濟,產經日報工商時報先探投資情報,立法院財政經濟委員會今日財經,財政經濟月刊環球經濟,交通銀行產業金融新經濟石化工業貿易週刊各刊物技術與管理創新產業升級,能源,資訊,投資論壇產業金融外匯期貨黃金專欄主筆及專欄作家及中國經濟日報金融時報中証上証深証及武証報美國舊金山世界日報發表千餘篇文章於中美台灣地區政府金融財經投資管理報章雜誌讀者千萬餘人,發行高達
一億份並於1994-98
年間在中國及台北
及美國舊金山對 十五城市電台電視台三千萬
基金經理投資者(
pdf)
及
中國財政部全國百餘家銀行卷商房地產負責人副總基金承銷自營經理舉辦千餘次研討會精確預測中國人行宏觀調控軟著陸對滬深股市二十種產業五千種產品市場需求價格機制上市公司新股發行併購營利股價模擬及投資風險精確預測
上指在
600-800盤整
及牛市起飛達1800及年1999年對中國人行行長在澳門央行行長大會及台灣央行太平洋財經大會演講警告美台高科技股過熱將跌五至九成那斯達跌八成向1200探底台指向3400探底又在網站精確預測進入景氣衰退,2001年七月在北京人行警告滬指將由2100跌破1500台指破3500,道瓊日經恆指跌破九千及2004
年5月對美國矽谷財經電台警告下半年
油價金屬價創新高通掊膨惡化各國加息經濟成長減緩盈利衰退股市進入熊市回檔盤整及金融風險管理大會專題演講.
黃博士獨創三十年歐美亞太製造業及發電廠流程設備設計操作改進創新優化控制模擬分析節能減耗,突破操作瓶頸增產品質改良刊出於美國石油天然氣石化雜誌二十篇石油石化塑膠化纖及相關房地產汽車信息等二十種產業國際投資採購產銷策略發表於美國高級自動化及信息管理手冊1991-2005 www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html有1600
國家跨國公司主管接洽應用
及中國及台灣地區舉辦千餘次國企中小企業
負責人高級主管培訓
黃華南博士兩支如來佛掌掌握國際金融股市投資良機與風險四十五國家中國巡迴演講
Goal and Mission:,
Provide you the what, why, how and when of
OSA simulators tracking simulate, forecasts accurately month ahead the global
macro, financial , industrial economics and its impact on the market forces
demand, prices mechanism , identify the emerging
market trend of last 20 years daily global oil, gold, currency futures, option
prices mechanism capitalize trillion dollar investment opportunities.
Highlights:
Day 1: OSA simulation forecast methodology : The what, why, how and timing
of investing.
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
interest rates, trade balance, sentiment impact on global oil, energy, gold, metals,
currency futures, derivatives prices market forces demand, prices movement mechanism
simulation forecast.
Day 2: Global major currencies markets forces demand, prices movement
mechanism operations simulation analysis forecasts:
Two master hands controlling global currencies:
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
interest rates, and import, export trade, trade balance impact on the
causes, onset, recovery of last 20 years global
currency crisis and daily currency futures prices ( major currencies, RMB
Day 3. OSA global crude oil, heating oil, gasoline, natural gas futures,
petrochemicals option
prices simulation forecasts
Global supply, demand simulation forecast, consumer, business demand,
inflation, currency impact on last 20 years oil, energy ( crude oil, gasoline,
gas oil, naphtha, natural gas, petrochemical feedstock, futures prices
Day 4. Global gold, metals futures, option prices OSA forecasts.
Global inflation, oil prices, currency impact on last 20 years daily gold and metals
demand and ( silver, platinum, copper, aluminum) futures,
options prices market forces mechanism forecasts
Day 5: Global energy, gold, metals, currency mutual fund asset allocation, investment strategy,
risk management.
==============================================================================================
Who
should attend:
Government strategic petroleum, commodity reserve procurement , central bank senior
executives, domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME
companies. board members, supply chain procurement
managers, financial institution CEO,
CFO, managing directors, asset, fund
managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers,
equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, oil, gold, metal, currency trading managers, traders,
investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco
Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on central
banks monetary policy financial market integration, macroeconomic policy impact
on 2005 daily global oil, currency, gold, metal futures, options prices, to
capitalize
trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided current speculating on
economic, business news, technical charting, chasing the markets
resulted trillion dollar loss, saving billion dollar supply chain, strategic
reserve procurement costs
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops osawhh@163.com
( Chinese)
or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
=================== Tracking, Forecasts Track
Record===============================================
China joining WTO, with 55 billion dollar FDI , US excessive rates , tax cut,
resulted consumer spending and money supply growth soared 8 %, dollar plunged 50 % vs EURO, cold winter lead to oil inventory at 29 year low, pushed gasoline
and heating oil prices over 140 c/gal ,and continue into 2004 summer and winter, Despite Greenspan
3 rate hikes, oil price soared to 503 gold prices
soared to 426, metals prices spared to 23 year high, CRB soared to 285, US
hurricane
and Russian Yukos interrupted oil production on top of global demand, oil
and gold prices will stay firm into the winter peak demand as US facing more rate hike
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, daily capital markets asset prices, wrote thousands articles on Taiwan,
US, China daily newspapers, investment journals, circulated 100 million copies to
78 countries, since 1990, offered thousands investment workshops lectures to US,
China, Taiwan, 15 cities TV, radio 30 million institutional, VIP investors
tracking the daily results, capitalize on trillion dollar investment
opportunities.
He accurately predicted at Singapore Euro-event Asian Finance, capital
market conference, Nov.5.
2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII executives on
Monetary policy impact on Asian and China economic outlook, asset prices
and US Silicon Valley finance TV radio and North American investors May 8, May
15, 2004 that US series rate hikes in summer 2004,
US dollar stabilize ,oil prices traded 45-55, gold price
traded 380- 439,
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered
two master hands through thousands OSA simulators controlling last 20
years global economy, daily oils, gold, metal, commodity, interest,
currency, financial futures, derivatives.
He made his successful initial impact on Taiwan's Citicorp, UBS, ABN, Canadian
banks, Taiwan domestics, government gold procurement agency's gold, currency,
oil investment strategy workshops sponsored by Global Economic Journal, Dec. 16,
1985.
presented by Dr. Warren Huang to CBOE commodity futures
conference Hong Kong 2001
OPEC Petroleum ministers conference, Sept. 1989, Singapore
Oil/Gas/ Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit management
workshop, Kerry Center Hotel, Beijin, Nov. 29-30, 2001
Oil/Gas/Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China/Taiwan Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit
management workshop, for Chinese Petroleum, Howard Plaza Hotel, Beijin, Jan 21-22,
2002
m
, email osawhh@citiz.net for in-house workshops reservation
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives investors since 1983 by 80 )
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
The above commodities, interest
rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations have been extended easily to the
futures simulation and forecast by replacing the current independent variables
value by the future value. While their call/put options have been used
extensively by the banking, financial industry and multinationals corporate
finance managers for hedging in risks, 100 trillion dollars has been exposed to leveraged hedging
fund which using existing models requirement betting on probability and betting . While
the following model( self learning Black-Schole formula) predicted the precise
relationship eliminating dangerous betting
Call/Put options prices = F( striking price of the call/put, warrant ,Days to expiration,
current and future commodities, interest rate, exchange rate and stock index, prices
simulation )
This formula is simpler and more reliable than Black-Schole formula, it integrating future
commodities interest rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations from above forecasts
into the option prices calculation and does not require volatility data. Avoided betting
on the wrong side of interest rate, currency, stock prices resulted LTCM loses
provided by Black and Schole formula. It has been developed, implemented successfully
since 1987 stock market
2004 Copyright Dr. Warren Huang 2002 www.osawh.com / 黃華南博士版權所有