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Dr. Warren Huang
5- Day Proactive Structural US/China Monetary, Economic Stimulus, Fiscal
Bail out , exit strategy Policy, Euro Debt Crisis Impact on 2010 Housing, Equities,
Oil, Gold, Metal, Currency, Commodities Price Bubbles Burst Mechanism , Credit, Financial,
Crisis, Recession Recession OSA Workshop: Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold, Metals
and Housing, Equities Bubbles impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,
Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation, Forecast, Risks Hedging
, Investment Strategy
reserve
wh3928@yahoo.com
5 Day CEO , CFO, traders, fund managers in-house Workshop
US / China Macro, Financial, Industrial Economic Impact Integration Simulation
On 2009 Daily Global
Interest rate, Gold,
Metals, Oils, Currency , Housing, Finance industry and downstream stocks Futures Prices and
Mutual Fund Asset
Allocation Strategy and Performance
by OSA Dr. Warren Huang ,pioneer OSA Global Strategic Management
Demand side
prices forecasts) OSA
pioneer
Dr
Warren Huang predicted May 2008 Proactive Structural Dynamic
Demand Side future, cash Gold, METALS, Oil Price Simulation
predicted early this year
rebound from 54 to 60- 65 in May 30- July 4 due to US tax rebate,
weak dollar, in
2009 US and China
strategic reserve purchase for economic stimulus plan
increased holiday travel
season gasoline, fuel oil demand in manufacturing as ISM PMI
index rebound from 33 to 42 ( China from 36 to 53),
gold price will follow oil price challenge 990- 1000, copper challenge
250, aluminum challenge 0.79,
natural
gas challenge 5- 6
this summer . Dollar
brief rebound due to US housing sale rebound result mortgage interest rate and
10 yr bond yield up 10 % , after July 4 th Global
commodities, metal,(
copper, zinc, aluminum
),
oil, suffering
from global deep recession, plunging
consumer, business demand, facing bubble burst with price plunging
30- 50 % correction, oil price will go back to 50, gold price testing 800-
900, copper back to 190- 210 . and rebound again in the
final quarter by weak dollar and US/China economic stimulus
job creation plan
Global stock indices will follow US Dow Jones, NASDAQ , SP500 for
summer correction in W shape reflecting disappointment over progress
of US and global stimulus impact on recession recovery starting
June.
(
By two master hands controlling global asset prices mechanism
pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
(黃華南博士)
Pioneer, proactive
structural dynamic global inflation, macro economy, daily financial markets
interest rates, currency, stock, bond, derivatives, housing,
commodities, oil asset pricing and risks valuation markets
fundamentals price mechanism, accurately warned
on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007
and Mar
5, 2008 masterclass workshop China fund world 2008, Pudong,
China to Goldman Sach managing directors JPM, UBS and 150
China QDII/QFII fund managers
that US Fed aggressive rate
cuts drag dollar to 1.53-1.65 EURO, 95- 108 Yen, economic stimulus boost
consumer spending on gasoline and jet fuel summer, demand, driving gasoline ,
heating oil to 415, oil price to 121-145, commodity price
double, will peak out as US
dollar rebound follow Fed ending rate cuts cycle , can not
stop
sub-prime crisis spreading, regional housing price slump 30-50
% and credit crisis, crunch crisis continue through 2009 drag economy into
2009 leading to 1980 style double dip deep recession resulted trillion housing and stock market
loss and US, global stock indices bear market 50 - 70 %
correction , Dow Jones
test 6500-7000- NASDAQ PLUNGE
testing 1250- 1500 and high fliers (GOOG,
PTR, AAPL) , IT, retail stocks facing correction,
with banking, finance, housing share price plunge 70- 90 %, dollar making to new
low 90 Yen, commodity prices doubled, and bubble burst plunge
50 %- 70 % in recession widening bond
, CDS spread and failure in MBS/CDO,
Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge fund
and government steps rescue Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac bail out, despite
Fed rate cuts
. He also warned top global QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference
that China overheated
housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity,
Banking housing, stock markets follow US
housing price slump 30- 50 %, US - 6.1 GDP contraction, and -10 to - 20 %
contraction for Asian countries deep recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing
1700 rebound to 2800 in 2009
overheated in the first half due to 568 billion ecnomic stimulus,
increased money supply from 15 % to 25 %, fixed investment from 22 to 30 %.
US stock market 30 % V- shape rebound from March 2009 low, leading to
global stock price bubble appears again ( with Taiwan, China , Hong
Kong, most serious)
speculating recession recovery due to overoptimistic over economic
recovery by China/US stimulus package, are facing bubble burst
in summer 2009 correction due to disappointing L- shape
slow recession recovery
Do
not miss Dr.
Warren Huang lectures, panelist speakers in
Feb, March 2009 on 2009 China/US economic,
financial market outlook
Trillion Dollar Recession Hedge, supply
chain cost reduction Optimal
long-short ,ultra short strategy
and his other in-house strategy investment,
supply chain workshops
Phase I monetary, economic, fiscal policy
impact on Global Housing, Equities,
Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices
Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on
Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage,
Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks
impact on Recession and
Phase II Global recession impact on banking,
credit, financial crisis and industrial
sectors demand, prices slump and operating
loss
for
Asian
private equities,
leverage finance acquisition summit , Feb
16- 17, Hong, Kong by Euromoney
China
Forex, Energy, Metal Derivatives, Summit Credit, Financial
Crisis, Recession Risks Derivatives
Hedging 2009
Conference, Pudong, China,
March, 2009
by EUROMONEY
Trillion Dollar Recession Risks Hedging
2009
Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009
program China
China/US 2009 Housing,
Financial Crisis Impact
on Recession,,
and Economic Stimulus Impact on
Economy ,
Capital Markets , commodity, raw
material s prices and
derivatives prices Forecast by
By
Dr. Warren Huang
Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar
Recession Hedging, supply chain cost
reduction,Multiclass Asset,
Derivatives Allocation Strategy
by Dr.
Warren Huang website:
www.osawh.com
Hyatt
Regency,
Pudong, Shanghai, Mar24- 25, 2009
and
Global/China
multiclass (Oil,
commodity, Equities, Bond, Housing Asset
pricing and allocation
by
World Renown Proactive
Structural Asset Pricing pioneer Dr. Warren
Huang
Post-
Conference Master Class
Strategic Multi-class Asset Allocation
Workshop, Terrapinn
Chinese
Proactive
Structural Multiclass Asset Prices Mechanism
and China/Global
Fund World,
Asset Allocation
2008,- 2009
by
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA Global
Strategic Management
Proactive Recession
Strategy
Shangri-La Hotel, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar 4-
6, 2008
Full Day Daily NYMEX,
Chicago, China oil , gas, fuel, energy and commodity market price forecast , long
- short strategy , ETF asset allocation workshop
Full
Day Proactive Strategic
Real Time Oil Downstream commodity market price forecasts and Supply chain cost reduction
workshops
China
/Global proactive structural currency forecast and
strategic trading workshop
Dr.
Warren Huang cv
warned
Goldman Sach, JPM, UBS 150 fund managers, senior
executive on China fund world 2008, Shanghai, China Mar.5
and that Fed 325 point rate cuts, stimulus package will drag dollar
lower, oil to 130, record commodities price and housing price slump
continue into summer inflationary recession, bear market correction
and warned to Merrill Lynch, Deutch Bank, AIG managing
directors,, Cathy Life VP and Journal of finance, int'l scholars
on National Taiwan University international finance conference Dec.
13, 2006 that US China housing, equities bubbles overheating,
lead to 2007 global slowdown, stock markets making 10- 20 % correction
and recommended to Phillips Petroleum CEO, Merrill Lynch, HSBC，Mobil,
Exxon, Aramco VP Nov 2005
China OIl, Natural Gas Markets Investment, Financing Strategy
Conferences Feb, Nov, 2005 in Beijing
to invest 2006 Jan and July oil, energy
futures and metals call option, he predicted oil prices go to 69 in
Jan and 78
and gold , metal prices soared to new
high
in
summer 2006,
2007 and gasoline, heating oil, metal derivatives
investments up more than 1000 %
details can be found on
www.osawh.com/Globaloiln.htm and
www.osawh.com/goldf.htm
www.osawh.com/commody.html
www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm
5- Day Proactive Structural US/China
Monetary, Economic Stimulus, Fiscal Bail out Policy Impact on 2009 Housing, Equities,
Oil, Commodities Price Bubbles Burst Mechanism , Credit, Financial,
Crisis, Recession Recession OSA: Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold, Metals
and Housing, Equities Bubbles impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,
Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation, Forecast, Risks Hedging
, Investment Strategy
by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
Goal and Mission:,
Provide you the what, why, how and investment timing of
OSA simulators tracking simulate, forecasts accurately month ahead the US, China
monetary, economic stimulus, fiscal bail out policy impact on
macro, financial , industrial economics and its impact on the oil, metal,
currency, gold, metals, bond yield, stock indices market forces
demand, prices mechanism , identify the emerging
market trend of last 20 years daily interest rate, bond yield, global oil, gold, currency,
stock indices, futures, option
prices and housing bubble mechanism capitalize trillion dollar investment
and billion dollar supply chain cost reduction opportunities. risks.
Highlights:
Day 1: OSA Proactive
Structural Dynamic Macro , financial, industrial Economic and, Debt,
Liquidity Asset Price Bubble Mechanism Simulation forecast methodology : China/US central banks Macroeconomic control,
economic stimulus, GDP, currency
inflation, interest rates , bond yield forecast: The what, why, how and timing
of investing.
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic stimulus, fiscal policy, recession ,WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
interest rates, import/export, sentiment impact on global oil, energy, gold, metals,
currency, interest rates, bond futures, derivatives prices market forces demand, prices movement mechanism
simulation forecast.
Day 2: Proactive structural Euro
Debt crisis, impact on global major currencies markets forces demand, prices movement
mechanism operations simulation analysis forecasts:
Two master hands controlling daily global currencies price movements: Euro Debt
, Liquidity, Asset Price Bubble Crisis Simulation.
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic stimulus, recession recovery, fiscal bail
out policy, WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
bond yield, mortgage rate, and import, export trade, trade balance impact on the
causes, onset, recovery of last 20 years global
currency crisis and daily currency futures prices ( major currencies, RMB,
daily trading, long short hedging strategy
Day 3. Proactive structural OSA global/China
recession recovery , stimulus impact on crude oil, coal, electricity, gold, metals, cotton, sugar, soybean, corn commodity futures,
options prices, petrochemicals demand, side prices mechanism, global ETF fund ,portfolio
management, multiclass fund asset allocation performance corporate profit margin stock option
prices simulation forecasts
Global supply, demand simulation forecast, seasonal consumer, business demand,
inflation, currency impact on last 20 years oil, energy ( crude oil, gasoline,
gas oil, naphtha, natural gas, petrochemical feedstock, futures prices,
profit margin, stock price options prices risk hedging.
Day 4.Stimulus, bail out, macro/industrial control impact on China/global stock indices futures,
warrants, options prices and ETF index ( BRIC ) fund performance simulation forecasts, asset
allocation risks hedging strategy
Day 5: Proactive structural monetary , economic stimulus , fiscal bail out ,
interest rate, unemployment impact on national, regional housing bubble burst simulation, banking, finance,
housing pricing , mortgage default, credit crisis mechanism, banking, finance,
housing stocks long-short strategy and tracking on listed stock financial accounting, derivatives
account, internal auditing, corporate scandals cycle tracking, early warning
===================================================================================
Who
should attend:
Government strategic petroleum, commodity reserve procurement , central bank senior
executives, domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME
companies. board members, supply chain procurement
managers, financial institution CEO,
CFO, managing directors, asset, money, debt,
equity multiclass fund
managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers,
equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, oil, gold, metal, currency, bond trading managers, traders,
investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco
Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on central
banks monetary policy financial market integration, macroeconomic policy impact
on 2005 daily global oil, currency, gold, metal futures, options prices, to
capitalize
trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided current speculating on
economic, business news, technical charting, chasing the markets
resulted trillion dollar loss, saving billion dollar supply chain, strategic
reserve procurement costs
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops
osawhh@sina.com ( Chinese)
or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
Dr. Warren Huang was invited by Zhejiang Financial Engineering and Risk
Management conference , Oct. 15-16 in Hanzhou together with Nobel Prize winner
,Father of EURO Prof. Mondel as keynote speaker to speak on China capital market
reform Operations Simulation Analysis
Do not miss this 5 day intensive 2008 oil, gold, metals, currency,
stock indices ,commodity futures, option
prices mechanism simulation, investment strategy workshops by Dr. Warren Huang providing the what, why, how and timing of his two OSA master hands
thousands structural, dynamic
simulators
tracking , forecasts month ahead last 20 years global central banks
monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on macro-economic control ,
financial market asset prices stability and capital
stocks, stock indices, bond, oil, metals, commodity future, derivatives market
prices market forces prices mechanism, investors sentiment simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, wealth management,
risk hedging ,developed,
implemented out of his
30 years strategic investment, supply chain , marketing experiences with US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips
Petroleum, Bechtel, Kaiser, Taiwan government, and state owned Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
and hundred medium, small companies , 300,000 import/export members ,China
Ministry of Finance nationwide banking, finance CEO/executives risk management
training. Ministry of petrochemical industry SINOPEC , CNOOC,
PetroChina and Asian, European, OPEC ministers conferences , oil, petrochemicals, metal exploration,
refining,
production, investment, marketing, supply chain and consulting to Taiwan's
300,000 import/export members 100 countries currencies, export, import pricing
strategy,
lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth
management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this
website since 1998 ,
offered thousands lectures, workshops to China, US, Taiwan 15 cities 30 million
TV, radio
VIP and institutional investors
Asian, US ,
ASEAN, European banking, finance, investment, supply chain, oil, gold,
currencies traders, investors,
1600 multinational oils managers from 78 countries ( Exxon, BP, Shell, Texaco
Chevron, Du Pont,
Aramco,
Sinopec, CNOOC, PetroChina, Pertamina, Chinese Petroleum, Singapore Petroleum,
Petronas, Thailand Petroleum,, Mitsubishi Petrochemicals, Korean Oil, Yukong,
India oil) since 1985
Dr. Huang wrote thousands articles as economic, finance, industrial finance,
petrochemical industry, global trade , energy, waste management columnists circulated 100 million copies
for China, US, Taiwan daily newspapers, investment, trade journal and 15 English
articles since 1980 for US Houston based Oils & Gas Journals, Hydrocarbon
Processing Advanced Control, Information Systems Handbook 1991-2005 with 2
million copies to 78 countries
4
Million Global government, banking, finance, private, institutional investors,
investment bankers, corporate CEO, CFO , executive visited Dr. Huang's
www.osawh.com
website tracking, forecast daily results since 1998
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong
Monetary authority, IMF, World Bank, UN, IFC, BIS, OCED, US Dept of energy,
NSF, NASA
,FDA, HUD, GAO, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, SINICA, Taipei, Kaoshiung cities , Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Chase, Citigroup, Salomon Smith Barney UBS,
UBSwarburg, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach,
Deutsch Bank, Commerzbank, BNP, DBS, HSBC, Cathylife, Huanan,
Chiaotung, Eusunbank bank, Yuanta, State Street, Wachiova,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential,
AIG, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J
Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business
Week.
Corporate :
McKinsey, Deloitte, Accenture, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, Toshiba, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Motorola,
Bell global, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco,
ChevronTexaco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Petronas, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORACLE, Boeing, GM,
Benz, Honda, Samsung, Ford),
Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly, Roche, Genentech, Human Genome Science, Weth) , Walmart, JC Penny, Proc.
Gamble
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
U Pensilvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London) from 70 countries
Strategic China/Global
Energy Investment, trade Financing conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
You missed billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum to 70 Banking (
HSBC, Singapore Development bank, Merrill Lynch VP Phillips Petroleum CEO
China domestic oil, gas CEO on China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin he predicted
and QFII, oil, executives that US facing inflationary slowdown and rate hikes continue into
final quarter
as oil prices soared from 45
to 69 , Dow Jones, 10000-
10900, Nasdaq 2000-
2250, S&P 1150-1250
He predicted again in Beijing Nov 18 to Asian Business
Forum China Oil Markets
conference to Exxon Mobil, ARAMCO, VP
, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 30 oil companies CEO, executives that
increasing oils , downstream demand
driving oil prices to 64 around Christmas and 79 in 2006, 2007 summer , metals prices to new high. plunging US dollar, stock, bond.
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG
2006 prices forecasts ,Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@sina.com/
:wh3928@yahoo.com
=================== Tracking, Forecasts Track
Record===============================================
China joining WTO, with 55 billion dollar FDI , US excessive rates , tax cut,
resulted consumer spending and money supply growth soared 7.6 %, dollar
facing correction pushed gasoline
and heating oil prices over 180 c/gal ,and continue into 2006 summer and winter,
Despite Greenspan 13 rate hikes, oil price soared to 65 gold prices
soared to 546, metals prices spared to 23 year high, CRB soared to 335, US facing more rate hike
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, daily capital markets asset prices, wrote thousands articles on Taiwan,
US, China daily newspapers, investment journals, circulated 100 million copies to
78 countries, since 1990, offered thousands investment workshops lectures to US,
China, Taiwan, 15 cities TV, radio 30 million institutional, VIP investors
tracking the daily results, capitalize on trillion dollar investment
opportunities.
He accurately predicted at Singapore Euro-event Asian Finance, capital
market conference, Nov.5.
2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2 and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII executives on
Monetary policy impact on Asian and China economic outlook, asset prices
and US Silicon Valley finance TV radio and North American investors May 8, May
15, 2004 that US series rate hikes in summer 2004,
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered
two master hands through thousands OSA simulators controlling last 20
years global economy, daily oils, gold, metal, commodity, interest,
currency, financial futures, derivatives.
He made his successful initial impact on Taiwan's Citicorp, UBS, ABN, Canadian
banks, Taiwan domestics, government gold procurement agency's gold, currency,
oil investment strategy workshops sponsored by Global Economic Journal, Dec. 16,
1985.
presented by Dr. Warren Huang to CBOE commodity futures
conference Hong Kong 2001
OPEC Petroleum ministers conference, Sept. 1989, Singapore
Oil/Gas/ Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit management
workshop, Kerry Center Hotel, Beijin, Nov. 29-30, 2001
Oil/Gas/Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China/Taiwan Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit
management workshop, for Chinese Petroleum, Howard Plaza Hotel, Beijin, Jan 21-22,
2002
China Natural gas, LNG market conference, Feb 2005, Beijing, Asian
Business FOrum
China Oil market conference, Nov. 2005, Beijing, Asian Business FOrum
China fund world, conference to 150 global QFII/QDII CEO, fund managers,
Terrapinn, Pudong, Shanghai March 5, 2008
, email osawhh@sina.com for in-house workshops reservation
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives investors since 1983 by 80 )
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
The above commodities, interest
rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations have been extended easily to the
futures simulation and forecast by replacing the current independent variables
value by the future value. While their call/put options have been used
extensively by the banking, financial industry and multinationals corporate
finance managers for hedging in risks, 100 trillion dollars has been exposed to leveraged hedging
fund which using existing models requirement betting on probability and betting . While
the following model( self learning Black-Schole formula) predicted the precise
relationship eliminating dangerous betting
Call/Put options prices = F( striking price of the call/put, warrant ,Days to expiration,
current and future commodities, interest rate, exchange rate and stock index, prices
simulation )
This formula is simpler and more reliable than Black-Schole formula, it integrating future
commodities interest rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations from above forecasts
into the option prices calculation and does not require volatility data. Avoided betting
on the wrong side of interest rate, currency, stock prices resulted LTCM loses
provided by Black and Schole formula. It has been developed, implemented successfully
since 1987 stock market
2004 Copyright Dr. Warren Huangwww.osawh.com / 黃華南博士版權所有
