Home
中文
US/China 2008 Housing, Equities Price Bubbles
Overheating OSA: Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold, Metals
and Housing, Equities Bubbles impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,
Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation, Forecast, ETF Risks Hedging
, Investment Strategy
reserve by wh3928@yahoo.com
5 Day CEO , CFO, traders, fund managers in-house Workshop
US / China Macro, Financial, Industrial Economic Impact Integration Simulation
On 2007 Daily Global
Interest rate, Gold,
Metals, Oils, Currency , Housing, Finance industry and downstream stocks Futures Prices and
Mutual Fund Asset
Allocation Strategy and Performance
by OSA Dr. Warren Huang ,pioneer OSA Global Strategic Management
Do not miss this proactive strategic investment , trillion dollar
hedging strategy workshops series by
OSA proactive solution pioneer Dr.Warren Huang
Millions of global /China top fund managers and investment management teams bring their management/s operating problems into our strategic fund allocation and
wealth management workshops. take home billion dollar proactive structural solution, avoided trillion dollar housing, stock market loss due betting on the
wrong side of interest rates and bull/bear market trend, ready to implement
Dr. Warren Huang
(
Dr. Warren Huang will be risk management panelist and full day master class workshop lecturer for Terrapinn China Fund World 2008 conference, Shanghai Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6 offer Proactive structural China/global asset pricing, 2008 credit
tightening recession impact on BRIC,Optimal 1x0/x0 long-short hedging, asset allocation strategyChina
/Global proactive structural currency forecast and
strategic trading workshop
Dr.
Warren Huang cv
warned Asian Merrill Lynch, Deutch Bank, AIG managing
directors,, Cathy Life VP and Journal of finance, int'l scholars
on NationalTaiwan University international finance conference Dec.
13, 2006 that US China housing, equities bubbles overheating,
lead to 2007 global slowdown, stock markets making 10- 20 % correction
and
recommended to Phillips Petroleum CEO, Merrill Lynch, HSBC,Mobil,
Exxon, Aramco VP Nov 2005
China OIl, Natural Gas Markets Investment, Financing Strategy
Conferences Feb, Nov, 2005 in Beijing
to invest 2006 Jan and July oil, energy
futures and metals call option, he predicted oil prices go to 69 in
Jan and 78
and gold , metal prices soared to new
high
in
summer 2006,
2007 and gasoline, heating oil, metal derivatives
investments up more than 1000 %
Dr. Huang
been able tracking and forecast, last 20 years daily gold and crude oil futures
prices,relating it to dollar Yen exchange rate, US inflation, consumer, business, gasoline
, heating oil demand, wrote hundreds articles
He
also
indicated on WSJ energy blog July that oil price peaking out 80 summer 2007, and
traded
60- 80 through 2008.
Recent dollar plunge to 114 Yen, second quarter GDP soared to 4 % and July
durable goods, consumer spending reboud all lead to summer gasoline demand and
winter heating oil demand
and drive up near inflation
provide boost to soaring gold and crude oil rebound.
details can be found on
www.osawh.com/Globaloil.htm
and www.osawh.com/goldf.htm
Current Oil
price repeating 2006,
will be rebound from 55 to 69 in Jan.
and
April 2007, as
OPEC production
cuts,
winter heating oil
and spring gasoline demand pick up and weakening
dollar drive oil prices higher
Do not miss again on
book his 2007 US/China macroeconomic control, currency, commodities, bond,
stocks futures, derivatives investment strategy workshops
Goal and Mission:,
Provide you the what, why, how and when of
OSA simulators tracking simulate, forecasts accurately month ahead the US, China
credit tightening, rate hikes impact on
macro, financial , industrial economics and its impact on the market forces
demand, prices mechanism , identify the emerging
market trend of last 20 years daily interest rate, bond yield, global oil, gold, currency futures, option
prices mechanism capitalize trillion dollar investment opportunities.
Highlights:
Day 1: OSA simulation forecast methodology : China/US central banks Macroeconomic control,
inflation, interest rates , bond yield forecast: The what, why, how and timing
of investing.
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
interest rates, trade balance, sentiment impact on global oil, energy, gold, metals,
currency, interest rates, bond futures, derivatives prices market forces demand, prices movement mechanism
simulation forecast.
Day 2: Global major currencies markets forces demand, prices movement
mechanism operations simulation analysis forecasts:
Two master hands controlling global currencies:
Tracking, simulate monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on China, US ,
Asian, European, economy, consumer, business, investors demand, inflation,
interest rates, and import, export trade, trade balance impact on the
causes, onset, recovery of last 20 years global
currency crisis and daily currency futures prices ( major currencies, RMB
Day 3. OSA global/China crude oil, heating oil, gasoline, natural gas ,
coal, electricity, gold, metals, cotton, sugar commodity futures,
options prices, petrochemicals demand, prices, corporate profit margin stock option
prices simulation forecasts
Global supply, demand simulation forecast, consumer, business demand,
inflation, currency impact on last 20 years oil, energy ( crude oil, gasoline,
gas oil, naphtha, natural gas, petrochemical feedstock, futures prices,
profit margin, stock price options prices risk hedging.
Day 4. Macro/industrial control impact on China/global stock indices futures,
warrants, options prices and ETF fund performance simulation forecasts, asset
allocation risks hedging strategy
Day 5: Proactive tracking on listed stock financial accounting, derivatives
account, internal auditing, corporate scandals cycle tracking, early warning
===================================================================================
Who
should attend:
Government strategic petroleum, commodity reserve procurement , central bank senior
executives, domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME
companies. board members, supply chain procurement
managers, financial institution CEO,
CFO, managing directors, asset, money, debt,
equity fund
managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers,
equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, oil, gold, metal, currency, bond trading managers, traders,
investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco
Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on central
banks monetary policy financial market integration, macroeconomic policy impact
on 2005 daily global oil, currency, gold, metal futures, options prices, to
capitalize
trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided current speculating on
economic, business news, technical charting, chasing the markets
resulted trillion dollar loss, saving billion dollar supply chain, strategic
reserve procurement costs
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops
osawhh@sina.com ( Chinese)
or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
Dr. Warren Huang was invited by Zhejiang Financial Engineering and Risk
Management conference , Oct. 15-16 in Hanzhou together with Nobel Prize winner
,Father of EURO Prof. Mondel as keynote speaker to speak on China capital market
reform Operations Simulation Analysis
Do not miss this 5 day intensive 2007 oil, gold, metals, currency,
stock indices commodity futures, option
prices mechanism simulation, investment strategy workshops by
Dr. Warren Huang providing the what, why, how and timing of his two OSA master hands
thousands structural, dynamic
simulators
tracking , forecasts month ahead last 20 years global central banks
monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on macro-economic control ,
financial market asset prices stability and capital
stocks, stock indices, bond, oil, metals, commodity future, derivatives market
prices market forces prices mechanism, investors sentiment simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, wealth management,
risk hedging ,developed,
implemented out of his
30 years strategic investment, supply chain , marketing experiences with US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips
Petroleum, Bechtel, Kaiser, Taiwan government, and state owned Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
and hundred medium, small companies , 300,000 import/export members ,China
Ministry of Finance nationwide banking, finance CEO/executives risk management
training. Ministry of petrochemical industry SINOPEC , CNOOC,
PetroChina and Asian, European, OPEC ministers conferences , oil, petrochemicals, metal exploration,
refining,
production, investment, marketing, supply chain and consulting to Taiwan's
300,000 import/export members 100 countries currencies, export, import pricing
strategy,
lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth
management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this
website since 1998 ,
offered thousands lectures, workshops to China, US, Taiwan 15 cities 30 million
TV, radio
VIP and institutional investors
Asian, US ,
ASEAN, European banking, finance, investment, supply chain, oil, gold,
currencies traders, investors,
1600 multinational oils managers from 78 countries ( Exxon, BP, Shell, Texaco
Chevron, Du Pont,
Aramco,
Sinopec, CNOOC, PetroChina, Pertamina, Chinese Petroleum, Singapore Petroleum,
Petronas, Thailand Petroleum,, Mitsubishi Petrochemicals, Korean Oil, Yukong,
India oil) since 1985
Dr. Huang wrote thousands articles as economic, finance, industrial finance,
petrochemical industry, global trade , energy, waste management columnists circulated 100 million copies
for China, US, Taiwan daily newspapers, investment, trade journal and 15 English
articles since 1980 for US Houston based Oils & Gas Journals, Hydrocarbon
Processing Advanced Control, Information Systems Handbook 1991-2005 with 2
million copies to 78 countries
4
Million Global government, banking, finance, private, institutional investors,
investment bankers, corporate CEO, CFO , executive visited Dr. Huang's
www.osawh.com
website tracking, forecast daily results since 1998
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong
Monetary authority, IMF, World Bank, UN, IFC, BIS, OCED, US Dept of energy,
NSF, NASA
,FDA, HUD, GAO, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, SINICA, Taipei, Kaoshiung cities , Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Chase, Citigroup, Salomon Smith Barney UBS,
UBSwarburg, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach,
Deutsch Bank, Commerzbank, BNP, DBS, HSBC, Cathylife, Huanan,
Chiaotung, Eusunbank bank, Yuanta, State Street, Wachiova,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential,
AIG, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J
Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business
Week.
Corporate :
McKinsey, Deloitte, Accenture, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, Toshiba, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Motorola,
Bell global, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco,
ChevronTexaco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Petronas, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORACLE, Boeing, GM,
Benz, Honda, Samsung, Ford),
Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly, Roche, Genentech, Human Genome Science, Weth) , Walmart, JC Penny, Proc.
Gamble
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
U Pensilvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London) and city,
state family education( K12) from 70 countries
Strategic China/Global
Energy Investment, trade Financing conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
You missed billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum to 70 Banking (
HSBC, Singapore Development bank, Merrill Lynch VP Phillips Petroleum CEO
China domestic oil, gas CEO on China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin he predicted
and QFII, oil, executives that US facing inflationary slowdown and rate hikes continue into
final quarter
as oil prices soared from 45
to 69 , Dow Jones, 10000-
10900, Nasdaq 2000-
2250, S&P 1150-1250
He predicted again in Beijing Nov 18 to Asian Business
Forum China Oil Markets
conference to Exxon Mobil, ARAMCO, VP
, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 30
oil companies CEO, executives that
increasing oils , downstream demand
driving oil prices to 64 around Christmas and 69 in
January , metals prices to new high. plunging US dollar, stock, bond.
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG
2006 prices forecasts ,Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@sina.com/ :wh3928@yahoo.com
=================== Tracking, Forecasts Track
Record===============================================
China joining WTO, with 55 billion dollar FDI , US excessive rates , tax cut,
resulted consumer spending and money supply growth soared 7.6 %, dollar
facing correction pushed gasoline
and heating oil prices over 180 c/gal ,and continue into 2006 summer and winter,
Despite Greenspan 13 rate hikes, oil price soared to 65 gold prices
soared to 546, metals prices spared to 23 year high, CRB soared to 335, US facing more rate hike
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, daily capital markets asset prices, wrote thousands articles on Taiwan,
US, China daily newspapers, investment journals, circulated 100 million copies to
78 countries, since 1990, offered thousands investment workshops lectures to US,
China, Taiwan, 15 cities TV, radio 30 million institutional, VIP investors
tracking the daily results, capitalize on trillion dollar investment
opportunities.
He accurately predicted at Singapore Euro-event Asian Finance, capital
market conference, Nov.5.
2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
2003 over 2000 QFII/QDII executives on
Monetary policy impact on Asian and China economic outlook, asset prices
and US Silicon Valley finance TV radio and North American investors May 8, May
15, 2004 that US series rate hikes in summer 2004,
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered
two master hands through thousands OSA simulators controlling last 20
years global economy, daily oils, gold, metal, commodity, interest,
currency, financial futures, derivatives.
He made his successful initial impact on Taiwan's Citicorp, UBS, ABN, Canadian
banks, Taiwan domestics, government gold procurement agency's gold, currency,
oil investment strategy workshops sponsored by Global Economic Journal, Dec. 16,
1985.
presented by Dr. Warren Huang to CBOE commodity futures
conference Hong Kong 2001
OPEC Petroleum ministers conference, Sept. 1989, Singapore
Oil/Gas/ Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit management
workshop, Kerry Center Hotel, Beijin, Nov. 29-30, 2001
Oil/Gas/Chemical Supply Chain strategy workshop Apr. 26-27, 2001
China/Taiwan Oils, Upstream/Downstream conference, Recession Post WTO Profit
management workshop, for Chinese Petroleum, Howard Plaza Hotel, Beijin, Jan 21-22,
2002
, email osawhh@sina.com for in-house workshops reservation
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives investors since 1983 by 80 )
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
The above commodities, interest
rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations have been extended easily to the
futures simulation and forecast by replacing the current independent variables
value by the future value. While their call/put options have been used
extensively by the banking, financial industry and multinationals corporate
finance managers for hedging in risks, 100 trillion dollars has been exposed to leveraged hedging
fund which using existing models requirement betting on probability and betting . While
the following model( self learning Black-Schole formula) predicted the precise
relationship eliminating dangerous betting
Call/Put options prices = F( striking price of the call/put, warrant ,Days to expiration,
current and future commodities, interest rate, exchange rate and stock index, prices
simulation )
This formula is simpler and more reliable than Black-Schole formula, it integrating future
commodities interest rate, exchange rate and stock index simulations from above forecasts
into the option prices calculation and does not require volatility data. Avoided betting
on the wrong side of interest rate, currency, stock prices resulted LTCM loses
provided by Black and Schole formula. It has been developed, implemented successfully
since 1987 stock market
2004 Copyright Dr. Warren Huangwww.osawh.com / 黃華南博士版權所有