Global crisis, impact simulation and risk management workshops
Global Investment and Supply Chain Cost Reduction Strategy  Workshops  Series in    2003

Bring your problem to the workshops, take home strategy ready to implement to avoid trillion dollar financial market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost reduction, challenges, opportuntines in post WTO China markets and  Global recession recovery in wrokshops in your area

Website :  www.osawh.com
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Dr. Huang  return from Asia, lectured to Asian Business Forum's? European, Asian central banks, stock exchanges, banking, securities executives on global nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties asset prices , credit risk simulation, investment strategy and  Asset Backed Securitization workshops: predicting the unpredictable futures to minimize bad loan ,shares buy back  procurement , investment costs and credit defaults risks due to corporate scandal and global economic, cycle, financial crisis integration, interaction  impact on interest, currency,industrial demand, prices, ?the causes, onset, history , recovery of? of?nonperformance? asset bubble bursts, default maximize? investment return,? auction? resell , syndicated loan? value recovery, workshops by? thousands proprietary OSA simulation charts supporting daily financial engineering, structural? finance application to Global Capital Markets Asset Management, Credit defaults risks control on this website
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OSA maximize nonperformance Asset cost performance, recovery strategy workshop

in-house workshop program, tailor to your business need pick the country of your choice from
    US, Japan, China, Korean, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia asset prices simulation,    securitization strategic risk management lectures, workshop in Asia.
Workshop will provide Free OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) tracking the root causes, onset, maximize the recovery of your trillion dollar  industrial, commercial, consumer nonperformance (NPL)debt, equities, properties assets and pre-warning, prevention of new bad loan all develop, out of your historical data

                by Dr. Warren Huang, Founder,pioneer of OSA, Int'l Operations AnalysisGoal:

Dr. Huang  just return from Asia, lectured to Asian Business Forum's  European, Asian central banks, stock exchanges, banking, securities executives on global nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties  asset prices , credit risk simulation, investment strategy and Asset Backed Securitization workshops: predicting the unpredictable futures to minimize bad loan ,shares buy back procurement , investment costs and credit defaults risks due to corporate scandal and global economic, cycle,

Goal

Maximize cost performance, price, value recovery of your past and current? industrial debt, consumer?assets and investment return of equities, properties NPL asset while minimize investment, procurement costs and defaults risks. Prevention of new bad loan in asset bubble bursts, financial market crash
Mission:
A. Goal, mission performance oriented strategic, execution OSA teams, develop, implement structural dynamic deterministic decision simulation analysis supported nonperformance asset management, developed out of extensive historic information knowledge base, tracking, forecast one to three months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on your? macro-economy, financial market interest rate, currency, commodity, industrial demand prices,? profit? margin , debt, equities, properties asset bubble burst properties, credit? card demand, defauls and securitization prices, credit risks, the causes, onset, recovery, prevention of your past and current debt, equities, properties NPL assets.? These expert systems will provide good timing, competitive auction pricing to minimize procurement, supply chain costs, market loss, default risks and maximize profit banking operations , value recovery
It will also provide pre-warning for asset bubble bursts, accounting scandals (ENRON, WCOM, GLBX, China Guanxia)?delayed? credit down grade misled investors resulted trillion dollar market loss.
B. Reform, restructure, change management of debt, loan, equities, properties asset plant process equipment performance OSA? to? improve ? plant efficiency and profitability? achieving? higher resell or merger value, securitization IPO, investment return
Find out in this two day in-house workshop, how global financial markets and upstream & downstream industries OSA? pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has been invited by? 24 US, China, Taiwan, Jpan, APEC, ECB central bank governors policy and financial risk management, OPEC petroleum ministers conferences? to speak on the subject and offered thousands? workshop in his 32 knowledge based global strategic management systems supporting 32 year's experience in maximize global, cost performance of industrial, commercial , consumer loan and equities, properties assets? management, avoided trillion dollar nonperformance loan due to asset, properties bubble burst, financial market crash, saved billion dollar for industrial manufacturing supply chain costs

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First day dedicated to the latest development, strategy of global NPL asset management by OSA simulation forecast of global asset(Debt, equities, properties) prices simulation, reform , restructuring , change management to maximize asset cost performance,   second day concentrated on your country/ companies  debt, equities, properties asset prices simulation, risk management applications
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Workshop Program Schedule ( will  be conducted in Chinese or English )
9:00 am- 10:00am : Introduction:
Strategic Nonperformance loan decisions analysis OSA maximize cost performance at minimum risks, and pre-warning for future loan loss
10:00 AM-10:30 am coffee break/discussion
10:30am-12 30 am
Nonperformance Loan? OSA: Operations Simulation Analysis Methodology for asset prices, performance, recovery, securitization simulation.
A. Past and current aset loan performance, crdit risks auditing, development, implementation of information knowledge history asset performance? data base.
B. Development, implementation of industrial,? commercial, consumer ? nonperformance debt, equities, properties prices and recovery OSA decisions:
Tracking, simulating the root causes, onset, recovery of US, Asian, industrial, commercial , consumer debt, equities,? properties nonperformance :asset prices, bubble burst simulation by monetary , economic, fiscal policy impact on global economy, daily interest rate,? business, consumer credit card, properties, auto demand, delinquency, currency, commodity, financial futures, derivatives,? industrial demand, prices, sales, profit margin, credit risk rating, properties, corporate stocks prices on Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B, Hong Hong Kong, Taiwan, US, Japan, Korea stocks exchanges and asset bubble bursts? scandals pre-warning.
12:30pm-- 2:00pm Lunch
Afternoon Session: Strategic asset management: Reform, restructuring , change management maximize NPL assets coet performance.
2:00pm-3:00pm:
OSA Decision supported cost, quality, return, risk? as goal, mission, performance oriented Strategic, Execution OSA teams maximize restructuring, reengineering , change management productivity and profits and value recovery for industrial debt assets? through strategic simulation : process improve- ment, maximize cost performance through OSA guided capital investment, supply chain cost reduc- tion: Minimize operating cost, energy, waste minimization, maximize product yield, debottleneck, quality improvement, profit margin,? market shares and equities investment? return.
3:00pm-3:30 pm Coffee break/discussion
3:30pm-4:30 pm
OSA Maximize asset pre and post Merger/acquisition performance ,stock listing? IPO?stocks prices on Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B, Hong Hong Kong, Taiwan, US, Japan, Korea stocks exchanges investment return and r default swap? risk? transfer hedging
4:30-5:00 pm? review,? discussion
Day two morning Unit 3:
Maximize your country/companies industrial, commercial debt, equities, properties asset ?? performance OSA
9:00 am-? 12;00 am
Goal, mission, performance oriented OSA? teams? for your country/company industrial debt asset prices , maximize profit and? value recovery simulation,? forecast? for? industrial debt asset prices simulation,? forecast , reform, restructuring, change management , cost reduction, profit improvement
tracking, simulation monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on your macro-economy, oil, petroch- emical, plastics, fibers, textile upstream/downstream, information technology? upstream/downstream, pulp, paper,food, drug? demand, prices, profit margin, listed ? Shanghai , Shenzhen A, B/ Hong Kong / Taiwan, OTC/? Tokyo/ /Korea? stock prices, and WTO? global markets and Global Import/export currency, pricing strategy
Afternoon:?
12:30-2:00 pm:? lunch
2:00-3:00 pm
Pre/post merger/acquisition performance, and stock listing, IPO , securitization, equities prices Shanghai , Shenzhen A, B/ Hong Kong / Taiwan, OTC/? Tokyo/ /Korea? stock prices US ADR shares
Mortgage backed securitization prices, return simulation, maximize investment return OSA for?? industrial, commercial (auto, home loan, credit card , receivables), nonperformance loans.
3:00-3:30? pm : coffee/discussion
3:30-5:00 pm:
China regional, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, US? properties , refinancing demand, asset prices, credit card demand, delinquency, defaults ? simulation and competitive biding, auction pricing maximize value recovery and securitization
Asset bubble bursts ,banking, financial crisis simulation, accounting misreport pre-warning, credit, market, operations risk simulation for preventing future nonperformance loan. , credit derivatives for default swap? risk? transfer hedging.
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planing, Production, Marketing, IT, plant? general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program

Workshop place: Your  office
Training simulators: please send your data 2 weeks before your planned date , so that we can develop simulators , out of your own historical assets data for demonstration,
Date : Dec. 5-15  Reserve by email  whuang3928@aol.com
Who Should Attend : All strategic, execution OSA team members:
Central banks, banking, securities, asset management companies CEO, CFO, VP, industrial, commercial debt, equities, properties asset,? managers, industrial debt companies corporate/plant managers, executives, equities, properties companies CEO, CFO, fund, properties managers.
Dr. Huangcontinue workshop series for  IBC Asia supply chain strategy Singapore, Apr. 2001 www..ibcasia.com.sg/supplymgtoilgas.htm
, IBC Asia China 2001 oil upstream/downstream post WTO profit management strategy workshop in Beijin , Nov 29-30-2001 and Jan 21-22, 2002? in Taipei, and Asset backed asset securitization conference by Asian Business Forum, Sept 30, 2002 )? ? and thousands? Dr. Huang 2 hour investment , risk management  workshops for China, Taiwan , US, ASEAN? banking, securities, properties CEO, managers)
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in asset value loss and supply chain costs, maximize cost performance and value recovery

Your expert lecturer Dr. Warren Huang CV
Global strategic management and financial market OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) pioneer, Prof./Dr. Warren Huang has 32 years experience in the development, implementation of 32 information knowledge based global strategic investment, supply chain management expert systems( recommend- Ed by US Gulf Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing information management, advanced control system handbook 1991- 2001, have 1400 multinational companies managers form 78 countries like Exxon, BP, Shell, IBM contacted for application)? supporting think tank and board members corporate reform, reengineering, change management, structural finance , financial engineering, financial risk manage- met decision analysis for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum , Bailey Network Controls ,refinery petrochemical, information technology upstream/ downstream industries and mining, mineral, cement, coal, food, drug , power plant investment, design, equipment cost estimation, plant construction, operations improvement simulation, optimal control cost reduction for Bechtel, Fluor, Stauffer Chemicals, Kaiser.
He found OSA in US and Taipei in 1980, providing global strategic consulting in investment, supply chain cost reduction application to Taiwan? ministry of economic affairs energy conservation and state owned Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemical, China Steel, Aluminum companies, reform, de-bottle- neck, cost reduction and privatization, IPO , ADR listing? Hualon fibers, textiles, wool, Paolon pulp and paper, USI Fareast plastics, and Grand Pacific Styrene/ABS and 300? medium, small companies and offered numerous reform, change management, profit improvement? for China SINOPEC nationwide refineries, Shanghai Fudan, East China , Zechiang, Dalian , Tsinghua university executives training workshops and Shenzhen 100 listed companies CEO, executives on the job training workshops
He pioneered two master hands controlling global economy and financial markets prices, tracking last 30 years monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economy and daily interest rates, banking industrial business, consumer credit card? proprietary, refinancing,  auto loan demand, defaults, currency, commodity, and China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Korea , US? properties, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Korea,? listed companies industrial demand, products prices, corporate earning, stock, IPO,, foreign ADR and bond prices. These results has been presented to 24 China, Taiwan, US, Japan, UK, APEC, ECB central bank governors policy council and financial management conference since 1998, He has lectured to China Peoples Central radio nationwide audience and daily, weekly analysis for 15 cities (Beijin, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Taipei ) TV and radio station 30 million executives, investors ,offered thousands investment strategy and risk management workshops to China Ministry of Finance nationwide 100 Banking, finance, securities companies CEO, CFO, fund managers and Shanghai, Wuhan, Gunazhou , Hanzhou Shenzhen, Harbin , Taipei, Singapore ,Malaysia, Thailand, Japan? central banks, stock exchanges,  banking, securities, properties companies CEO, CFO, fund manager, traders, security commission executives tracking last 20  years daily global government, banking, finance, government, banking, finance, business investment strategy and risk management, avoided trillion dollar market loss ,in last 20 years global financial crisis, recessions, since 1994. He accurately warned on www.osawh.com  and www.sina.com    that US and global high tech facing bubble burst for 50-90 % correction in Jan 2000  and again in July 2001 for Beijn China Peoples Bank and Jan 2002 on website that global blue chip banking, retails stocks, mutual fund  overheated for 30-50 % correction. Millions global central banks, government, industries , banking, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Merrial Lynch, UBS,Goldman Sach, McKinsey visited? the website for daily financial market strategy.
He spoke to 100 global chemical engineering,? petroleum ministers , reform, restructuring conferences since 1980. and applied? to Taiwan Bank of Communications, banking and securities and state, small and medium enterprises minimize capital and financial markets investment risks, maximize investment return , saved billion dollars in supply chain procurement costs since 1980.
He also offered hundreds on the job training workshops for US, China ,Taiwan, European, Japan, Korea, ASEAN, South America government, SOE and medium? size enterprises on ? supply chain cost reduction, privatization, reform, reengineering, merger/ acquisition consulting; strategic investment, SCM/ ERP/ CRM process improvement, cost reduction maximize product yield, debottleneck , improved product quality and expanded global market shares. decision simulation in maximize oils and IT upstream/ downstream profits through Strategic OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis ) :
He also consulting to Taiwan 200,000 importer/exporters member companies CEO, traders? on 100 countries daily currency and export prcing quote strategy, commodities raw material import strategy
He received his MS, Ph.D in Chemical Engineering   Operations Research from Polytechnic Institute of New York with  Ph.D thesis on Nonliear Kalman Filtering, stochastic control extends tracking of moon landing to chemicals reactors and macroeconomic simulation, control.
He patented OSA, received US patents, published thousands articles in US, Taiwan ? central , economic, commercial times , financial economic daily news papers, weekly investment, trade journals, government, and banking economics and finance magazines and China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Wuhan securities, commnercial, economic daily newpapers?
He conduted teaching and graduate research in? Taiwan, Tsinghwa, Tonghai University in Taiwan in industrial economics, global strategic management, operations research, process design, operations simulation, control, trained 1000 senior, graduate students tracking 100 countries economy, currency, design, operations? industrial prices and investment return simulation? for 100 refinery,petrochemcial, fibder, plastics,rubber, food, drug, biotech process. resultes presented to 45? int'l chemical engineering, biotech conferences.
He also lecutred China's Tsinghua, Peking, Fudan, Dalian, Zechiang, East CHina, Hwa-Chun universities on Chemical Eng process simulation, control, computer science, control, economic managmeent, MIS.

Global Financial, Energy, Disaster Crisis, Recession, Recovery  Simulation, Risks Control Strategic OSA(Operations Simulation Analysis)
                        Two Day In- House Workshops Series <
  By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of OSA, leader in Global Crisis Simulation, risk management

Bring your current/future financnial, debt, energy , disater  crisis, investment/procurement/ operations problems to the workshop
Take home trillion/billion dollar crisis, risk management  solutions ready to implement
Fighting the uncertainty in US 911 resulted global recession and all other global financial crisis

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In-House workshop : 2 Full Day at your office (minimum 8 person)(include your CEO, CFO,VP, managers) to set up goal, mission, performances oriented strategic, execution OSA teams
                   Workshop   Reservation  Form
Workshop titles________________________________    ______________________________________
Name:________________________ Job Title__________________________
Company Name____________________________ location__________________________
Planned wokshop date_________________________________________
Tel/Fax _______________________ email:__________________________

Please reply to Dr. Warren Huang email: whuang3928@aol.com

Global Investment and Supply Chain Cost Reduction Strategy Workshops
2001 workshops offered:
Lecturer OSA pioneer, Dr. Warren Huang presented keynote speech and offer full day workshopon O
offered  lecture on  2002 workshop schedule:
Greater China Investing and Profit Improvement in FIghting recession and post WTO
Two day  4 units workshop for Taiwan's Chinese Petroleum and downstream at Howard Plaza Hotel on China/Taiwan upstream, downstream strategy  Jan 21,22, 2002, others by reservation
?Unit 1:Oil, refining products commodity, Financial futures, IPO, ADR stock prices simulation
?Unit 2: Downstream prices and?Supply Chain procurement, inventory, production?cost reduction
?Unit 3: Gasoline station, Retail Chain global markets competitive pricing, market share strategy
?Unit 4: Coporate/plant executive globalization ERP integration, decision analysis ?on the job training
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US ,Taiwan, China oils/gas/petrochemicals upstream/ downstream old economy investment strategy supply chain cost reduction. workshop
US, Taiwan/China Information Technology upstream/downstream cost reduction. investment strategy workshop
Cross Strait Investment, Merger, Strategic Alliance, Supply Chain cost reduction strategy   workshop   
How to avoid supply chain, merger, accounting malpractice resulted trillion market loss              
Global trade, importer/export supply chain cost reduction strategy workshop
Dr. Huang accurately predicted last 20 years global commodity, industrial raw material, products demand, prices for 30 million, US, China, Taiwan, investors, government, corporate procurement, importer/exporters,  executives. He will tracking, forecasts   the latest global recession, recovery impact on US, greater China oils, energy upstream, downstream demand, prices to achieve billion dollar supply chain costs cuts while maximize inventory, profits

Dr. Warren Huang has been invited by IBC Asia and Xinhua financial network again to offer full day workshop on Global Capital Markets and China Indexing Operations Simulation Analsysis and Risks Management on it's Capital Markets and China Indexing conference in Shanghai,  Beijin, June 6-7
He will offer 2-day four units US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong Information Technology , old economy 2002, future Taiwan's  lising IPO in China markets and ADR in US   perfrmances, stock indices futures simulation, forecasts and investment risk management workshop series in Taipei, Howard Plaza Hotel? March 18-19 ,2002,
Two day Corporate Governance Shanghai , Shenzhen A, B Index simulation forecasts and China and Taiwan Companies  listed company sectors performance, IPO and stocks prices,  pre-warning for accounting malpracticeinvestment strategy, risk management 
 US,  Taipei, Shanghai/Beijing  in-house workshops , by reservation
Post WTO, Recession impact on US, greater China import/exporter trade strategy w

Provide lecturer Dr. Warren Huang consulting experience for 300,000 Taipei importer/ exporters weeklky 100 countries currency, export prices quote for 5000 products and commodity, raw material prices and importer strategy and China raw material, industrail, consumer products importer, domestic, export prices simulation

Bring your problem to the workshops, take home strategy ready to implement to avoid trillion dollar financial market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost reduction, challenges, opportuntines in post WTO China markets and  Global recession recovery in wrokshops in your area? For reservation:? wh3928@yahoo.com /whuang3928@aol.com?
Website :  www.osawh.com

Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on Global Economy, Business Cycle
Global Capital Markets  Asset Prices, Investment Fund performance and China Indexing
Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) and Risks Management workshop
Beijing/Shanghai, Taipei,/Hong Kong by  reservation
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Investing OSA

Real time e-Financial data base only lead to global financial markets following the crowd, ignoring monetary, economic policy impact on economic, business bubble bursts resulted trillion dollar loss. Foreign capital will flood China markets and associated global financial market turbulence, crisis and risks as China join WTO.

This workshop will introduce the lecturer pioneering work of dynamic simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on daily global capital markets and indices prices Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) . It accurately predicted one month ahead the US, Asian, European stock indices, US, Taiwan, Hong Kong corporate earning and stocks and mutual fund performance, provide pre-warning to  accounting malpractice and specualtion resulted trillion dollar market loss   in the root causes, onset, recovery of global economic, business burst, financial crisis since 1980, with extensive tracking performance of China 1000 listed stocks, mutual fund performance and stocks prices( from IPO to restructuring, merger) providing regular commentary for 15 cities 30 million TV, radio audiences and risk management workshop for hundreds nationwide securities, banking companies CEO, fund managers, traders since 1994
Workshop Goal : Maximize investment return at minimum risks, avoided trillion dollar global financail markets loss
Workshop Highlights:
Morning session
Global Capital Markets and China Indexing Operations Simulation Analysis Methodology:
1.Simulation of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global economic, business cycles:
The root cause, onset, recovery of US and global recession
2. Two master hands controlling the global capital markets and indices:
Right maser hand: Simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on stock indices
Left master :Simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy and WTO impact on industrial sector demand, prices, corporate (state, small, medium) earning, profit margin, stock prices (IPO, ADR, merger/acquisition performances)
Afternoon session:
Global Capital Markets and China Indexing Investment Risk Management:
1.Foreign participation in domestic stock markets IPO prices return and risks
2.China and Asia stock indices futures prices simulation, return, risks
3.Fundamentals of Indexing, index fund , risks and return of mutual fund in China
4.China Asset Prices simulation, allocation, return and risk management
5.Global government and corporate bond yield simulation and risk management
5a. Corporate governance, transparency, regulation, supervision, accounting malpractices specualation bubble prewarning
6.Foreign companies IPO listing performance, risks
7.State enterprises reform, merger/acquisition performance, IPO, ADR prices
8.Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B banking, properties, high tech, ST corporate earning, stock prices
9.Hong Kong blue chips banking, properties, red chips, H shares
10. US banking, finance, oils upstream, downstream, global Infotech 100, biotech corporate performance stock prices simulation, risk management
11.Taiwan and OTC banking, finance, oils upstream, downstream, banking, electronics, biotech corporate performance stock prices simulation, risk management
Select one of 8, 9,10, 11 for your regional workshops
Lecturer Qualification
Dr. Warren Huang, founder of OSA, received his Ph.D in Chemical Engineering and Operations Research from Polytechnic of New York and University of Oklahoma.
He pioneer global investment banking and strategic management expert systems and 32 years application for US multinational, Taiwan, China, ASEAN state, small, medium reform, privatization restructuring, reengineering, banking, finance asset prices simulation, risk management, import/export strategy for Taiwan 100,000 importer/exporter member companies
He lectured to China and global central banks governors, risk management conferences, thousands lectures to hundreds China nationwide securities, banking CEO, fund manager and 30 million 15 cities TV, Radio economic program audience
Who Should Attend:Government security commission, stock exchange officials, investment banking, securities companies CEO,CFO, fund managers, corporate CFO, VP investment, marketing.
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 450 per person for 2-day 4 units(fees include two lunches, refreshments and Dr. Huang’s complete set of lectures notes at Beijing conference workshop)or USD 150 per unit
or for in-house workshop unlimited attendants with minimum 8 person at USD 450 at your corporate office .
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment loss and supply chain costs, with improved market shares, without hardware investment, staff cuts.
Workshop time at Howard hotel, Taipei or your office
Reserve by email whuang3928@aol.com or fax: 1-510-524-4484

Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on Global Economy, Business Cycle
Information Technology Investment, Cost Reduction
Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) and Risks Management

by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Investing OSA
Beijing/Shanghai, Taipei,/Hong Kong by  reservation

Millions global CEO, corporate managers, plant managers, senior executive bring their current/future investment/procurement/plant operations problems, cost reduction strategy to the workshop
Take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement

All the existing high speed severs, PC, internet e-Biz strategy e- finance, investment, supply chain real time data base software and process computer control lead to following the crowd decision resulted trillion dollar financial markets loss and billion dollar supply chain cost in global recession and post WTO competition
Find out in this two day in-house workshop how global financial, upstream & downstream markets OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) pioneer Dr. Warren Huang offered thousand workshops in his 30 year's experience in application of information technology to help US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bechtel, Fluor, Bailey network control, China SINOPEC, Taiwan Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals, USIFE, Grand Pacific, Hualon, Daming, Paolon in last 30 years global recession through maximize investment, supply chain, production, marketing, sales strategic management consulting experiences, conducted thousands executive workshops for hundreds Taiwan medium, small enterprises CEO, VP, managers and 100,000 Taipei importer/exporters members companies weekly 100 countries currency, 3000 products export prices quote, procurement import strategy, helping 30 million global government, banking, financial, oils and information technology upstream & downstream, corporate executives and TV, radio economic, financial markets daily, weekly program audiences capitalize the opportunities in last 20 years global recession, financial, energy crisis, avoid trillion dollar investment loss and saved billion dollar supply chain costs with improved global market shares, published thousand articles predicted the oils upstream & downstream prices one month ahead on China and Taiwan Commercial Times, Economics daily newspapers ,Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen securities news and helping global refining and downstream process plant maximize operating profits for full range feed compositions, operating load severity changes since 1980, recommendation by US Hydrocarbon Processing’s Advanced Control, Information Systems handbook 1991 through 2001 OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis), have been successfully helping last 30 years global recessions through integrating global financial, commodity market OSA into corporate/manufacturing plant OSA In daily global financial, commodity markets corporate investment, supply chain decision analysis:
In corporate decisions: It is how good you know about the market forces impact on current and future demand and price movement , making wise decisions, avoiding chasing the overheated markets and over-investment resulted excessive inventory and capitalize on market slump in each crisis.
In manufacturing process operations decisions: It is how much you know the demand and prices, to cut your supply chain cost and competitive pricing for market shares improvement to maximize your operating profits in global recession
Workshop Goal : Maximize IT upstream, downstream corporate/ plant operating profit, minimize supply chain cost in global recession and post WTO competitions with expanded global market shares without staff cut in restructuring, reengineering, process improvement
Workshops Mission: Setup corporate/ plant cost, quality, market shares, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement OSA program
Workshop Program Schedule ( can be conducted in Chinese or English )
9:00 am- 10:00am : Introduction: Global recession and WTO Impact on global financial and commodity, chips, PC price simulation, forecasts
Investment Risks OSA :Information knowledge based expert systems: covering 3 economic/business cycles data since 1980
Simulation of Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on global economic recession, recovery, high tech bubble burst, daily Asian, US, European financial, commodity, IT upstream & downstream demand, spot , futures prices simulation, forecasts with:Simulation of the root causes, onset, recovery of US high tech bubble burst and 911 recession, application.
10:00 AM-10:30 am coffee break
10:30am-11:15 am?
Post WTO impact on China, Taiwan, Global Infotech 100, Silicon Valley -100 IT upstream & downstream prices and prices strategy
Supply Chain Cost reduction OSA : IC, chips billion dollar supply chain (procurement, inventory)cost, risks hedging
11:15am-12:15 pm: Cross Strait China IT Upstream, Downstream projects investment returns and risk analysis
C. Global recession and post WTO impact on Taiwan/China, Global Infotech 100, Silicon Valley -100 IT upstream, downstream profitability, IPO, ADR stock prices and cross strait China investment return, profit margin, IPO prices, risks
12:30pm-- 2:00pm Lunch
Afternoon Session: Minimize China/Taiwan Global Infotech 100, Silicon Valley -100 IT Upstream & Downstream Supply Chain costs and maximize ERP value chain profits Strategic OSA
in Corporate Restructuring, Reengineering, Change Management , Supply Chain cost reduction, Process Improvement Refinery Operations Improvement Maximize Profits in Fighting Recession
2:00pm-3:00pm: Decision Supported cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performance oriented Strategic, Execution OSA teams maximize restructuring, reengineering productivity and profits through strategic simulation, supply chain cost reduction:
A: Billion dollar cost reduction in Supply chain (procurement, inventory)
B: SCM/DCS/Process Improvement OSA: Maximize process plant operating profits
Maximize profit at minimum supply chain costs with improved online quality control and market shares puter control
3:00pm-3:30 pm Coffee break/discussion
3:30pm-4:30 pm review and discussion

Day two Unit 3:  Post WTO   Global Competitive Pricing and Market Shares Strategy OSA

by     Dr. Warren Huang, consulting to 100,000 Taiwan exporter/exporterdaily global currency, export quoates, and commodity import procurement strategy

9:00- 10:30 am
For China and global markets and Global Import/export currency, pricing strategy
A. Setup Strategic products R &D, production- inventory- marketing-sales retail center Customers Relation OSA in major cities directed by Dr. Huang and supported by OSA simulators integrating R&D for process and products improvement meeting market needs.
B. Global IT upstream, downstream competitive pricing and market share strategy:
OSA competitive pricing for Taiwan and China, global retail chain sales, performance improvement in daily competition
10:30-11:00 AM Coffee break
11:00-12:00 PM
e. CRM Strategy Customer relation: downstream PC, network, wireless competitive pricing and market share strategy and information and strategic simulation, forecasts, to maximize customer profits to avoid credit default in receivables)
12:30-2:00 pm Lunch
Day Two Unit Four 2:00 PM - 5:00 PM Globalization and Integration Strategy for Investment Profit Margin improvement 2:00PM-3:00 PM :
Integrating daily corporate decisions into plant operations decision analysis and global markets supporting internet e-Commerce, e-Biz, Supply Chain software
3:00-3:30 PM Coffee break
3:30-4:00 PM
Human Resources OSA : Goal, mission, performance oriented On the job strategic decision analysis training : Corporate/refinery operations review, setup corporate/refinery cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performances oriented OSA strategic decision supported Strategic and Executive OSA teams:
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planing, Production, Marketing, IT, Refinery general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program
4:00-5:00 PM Discussion and Conclusion
Workshop place: Taipei/, your office
Date : Jan 24-25, 2002
Date : Jan 21-22, 2002
Who Should Attend : All strategic, execution OSA team members:
Upstream and downstream corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, CKO, VP and managers In planning, production, procurement, inventory, marketing, retail chain managers, plant managers, information and control, R&D, senior corporate, plant staff
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 450 per person for 2-day 4 units(fees include two lunches, refreshments and Dr. Huang’s complete set of lectures notes at Beijing conference workshop)or USD 150 per unit or for in-house workshop unlimited attendants with minimum 8 person at USD 450 at your corporate office .
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment loss and supply chain costs, with improved market shares, without hardware investment, staff cuts.
Reserve by email whuang3928@aol.com or fax: 1-510-524-4484 ???

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home   Chinese

Do not miss this post WTO China Strategic  Decsion Analysis Workshops series

China Investment, Merger/Acquisition, Supply Chain, Global Trade Strategy in Fighting WTO competition Workshops Series

Strategic Investment, ERP/SCM/CRM Maximize China Operations Profits

Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, Founder, Strategic Operations SImulation Analysis
OSA International Operations Analysis            website : www.osawh.com . USA,
Organized by Beijing Wisebee Management Consulting

Schedules:
1.   May 30-31, 2002 in Beijin           2.  June 3,4  in Shanghai, June 6-7 in Guanzhou
Reserve by email   whuang3928@aol.com/  wh3928@yahoo.com

The existing  data based global  e-Biz  investment, ERP/SCM/CRM, global trade strategy systems are having trouble fighting global recession and post WTO China and global   competition due to existing data base fail to help global executive forward looking , instead of follow the online data chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar market loss and billion dollar SCM costs., that's why their stock prices plunged 90 %
Do not miss this two day China markets investment, M/A, SCM, global trade strategic simulation
workshop to help you avoid  trillion dollar financial market/bad loan  loss, saving   billion dollar SCM COST in fighting WTO competition

Day one : Overview
Morning
1. Review of current China macro economy  investment/M/A, SCM, industrial sectors, demand, import/export prices. corporate profitability
2. Post WTO impact simulation    analysis
3. Setup cost, quality , market share goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution
  OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) teams for strategic China markets operations
4. Global  and cross strait old economy and IT industry upstream/downstream   investment return and risk  in WTO competition
Sectors demand, prices, profitability OSA/forecasts
merger/acquisition, strategic alliance performance improvement
Afernoon
5. China A, B stocks sectors demand, preperties, asset prices, profitability, foreign listing IPO, pre/post merger performance, stock prices  simulation forecasts savinig trillion dollar market loss and bad loan risk management
6. Economic impact on  China properties, construction materials, old economy demand, prices and banking bad loan   risk management
7. Banking, finance, corporate reform, profits improvement change management
A. Maximize ERP value Chaini profits
B  Strategic supply chain strategy saving billion dollar SCM costs
C. Global trade strategy maximize   domestic and global market shares
8 Goal, mission, performance oriented decision analysis supported top , senior and entry level
executives on the job training, performance review maximize human resources performance

Day  Two : Strategic Simulation developement, implementation
Morning:
1.Monetary, economic, economic, fiscal policy, oil prices, WTO  impact on global, China macro economy, industrial sectors demand, prices, corporate profits, stock , properties prices, bad loan
2.China A, B stocks and IPO, pre/post merger performance, stock prices, risks simulation
Afternoon:
3. China IT and old economic upstream/downstream oils and raw material, products demand, global  import/ export, domestic prices simulation and competitive pricing for procurement, inventory  SCM cost reduction, profit ,market shares improvment
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Goal, Mission. Performance oriented Strategic China investment, SCM, global trade centers in Beijin,Shanghai, Guanzhou for Banking, Finance, IT, Oils and old economy Upstream/Dwonstream
Dr. Warren Huang will   direct the following goal; mission, performance oriented training center for CEO, CFO, VP , managers, senior and entry level staff in your major China markets/production site (Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou) reporting directly to your top corporate strategic OSA teams weekly to avoid trillion dollar market loss, save billion SCM costs.
A. Center for Global Financial Markets, Asset Prices Simulation, Investment Strategy, Risk Management
B.Integrated R&D,  supply chain cost simulation forecast, Market Shares Promotion Center.
C. Global currency, export prices, oil,  commodity future, import, domestic prices simulation, Markets share strategy center
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Who should attend:
Government central banks, risks supervision, regulation, economic planning, trade, energy policy, procurement executives
Banking, finance , securities, asset management co CEO, CFO, fund, money, investment Bankiing underwriting, loan managers, traders
Old and New economy upstream/downstream State/medium enterprises CEO, CFO, CIO, planning, production, procurement, marketing, sales chain and  plant managers and senior staff
Global importer/exporters CEO, procurement, marketing managers

About your lecturer:
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has over  30 year investment, M/A, supply chain, global trade , ERP financial, energy crisis, risk management experience for helping IT upgrade global government,  multinational corporate(Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum Taiwan and China major oils, olefin, styrene , polyers, nylon fiberand downstream pulp and paper, cement, appliances, IT industries medium, small enterprises and banking, finance, securities industry reform, reengineering, profit improvement change management 
Dr. Huang has offered thousands strategic simulation maximize IT performances workshops    for US, China, Taiwan, ASEAN, Asian Pacific, European CEO, CFO, CIO and investment, planning, marketing, sales ,production, IT VP, executives on the job training for VALUE CHAIN PROFIT IMPROVEMENT.
He lectured regularly for China,  Taiwan 15 cities (Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou, SHenzhen, Taipei) 30 million TV, radio audiences, executives on greater China investment, risk management, M/A, SCM  strategy and hundreds China nationwide banking, securities companies CEO, fund, money, trade managers on China A, B and US stocks investment strategy and risk management and  daily consulting to 200,000 Taiwan importer/exporters cmpanies CEO, executives on 100 countries currency, 5000 commodities, raw material, products import, export quote, pricing  strategy 

He has been invited to speak to 24 China, Taiwan, US, EURO, Asian central bank governors, financial management conferences on financial crsis simulation, risk management since 1998 and over 100 global chemical engineering, petroleum ministers, corporate reform, change management conferences since 1980
He conducted teaching, research, trained over 1000 senior/gradute chemical engineering/biotech, economics, strategic management  for Taiwan's Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai university and  lecture at China's Tsinghua , Fudan, Zechiang , Beijing universities on process design, control ,economics managemetn, MIS/DSS, asset prices simulation, risk management
He has been invited by IBC Asia to offer keynote speech on Cross Strait oils,olefin downstream investment risk, ERP strategy and full day workshop on strategic simulation maximize Chinas oils, olefin, styrene ERP , SCM profit in fighting global recession and post WTO composition in Beijin
Kerry hotel, Nov. 29-30 2001,  http://www.ibcasia.com.sg/ChinaUpStream/ChinaUpstreamIntro.htm  
and  workshop for strategic simulation cut billion dollar oil, oilefin, styrene supply chain cost for Exxon, BP, Chevron, Texaco, Shell Asian executives, European ,US ERP executives on Apr- 26-27, 2002  in Singapore  www..ibcasia.com.sg/supplymgtoilgas.htm  
visit   www.osawh.com and www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html for 32 strategic simulation based ERP/SCM e-Biz systems recommended by US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Processing 1991-2001 annual Advanced Control, Information systems handbook  Over 1400 major cos from 65  US, European, Asian Pacific, South Ameri can countries including EXXON, Dupont, BP, Shell, BASF, Aramco, Sinopec, IBM etc. ) thousands corporate managers contacted for   corporate pre/ post merger/acquistions  restructuring, reengineering performances analysis  and profit  improvement applications
Dr. Huang has offered hundred in-house workshops to setup 15 member strategic, execution OSA teams. You can reserve your in-house workshops with minimum 8 person registered 
Reserve by email whuang3928@aol.com

home   Chinese

Do not miss this post WTO Global Trade Strategy Workshops
Have been offered to hundreds Taiwan 200,000 importers/exporter association , government trade council members       visit website www.osawh.com

China Global Trade, Competitive Pricing, Market Shares Strategy
Simulation Forecasts of Global  economic recovery and Greater China Industrial Sectors  import/export demand, prices , market share strategy

Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, Founder, Strategic Operations SImulation Analysis
OSA International Operations Analysis            website : www.osawh.com  
Schedules:
To be planned in Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou, Hong Kong, Taipei and your in-House workshops
Reserve by email   whuang3928@aol.com/  wh3928@yahoo.com

The existing  data based global  e-Biz  investment, import/export online exchange market place ERP/SCM/CRM,  systems are having trouble fighting global recession and post WTO China and global  competition due to existing data base fail to help global executives forward looking , instead of follow the online data chasing the currency, import/export markets prices  resulted trillion dollar market loss and billion dollar import procurement SCM costs. shrinking domestic/export market shares.  that's why their stock prices plunged 90 %
Do not miss this two day China markets global trade competitive pricing strategic simulation
workshop, will tell you everything you always wanted to know about how accurately simulate, forecast last 25 years economic, bsuiness, product cycles, oil prices impact on global currency and your industrial demand, import/export competitive prices for avoid   trillion dollar market loss, bilion dollar cost reduction and market shares improvment.

to help you avoid  trillion dollar financial market/bad loan  loss, saving   billion dollar SCM COST in fighting WTO competition

Day one :  Monetary, economic, fiscal policy, oil prices impact on global economic cycles, industrial sectors import/export demand, prices, profitability:
Morning :
1. Review of current greater  China(CHina, Hong Kong, Taiwan) macro economy , SCM costs, industrial sectors, demand, import/export demand, prices. market shares
2. Post WTO impact simulation  analysis: domestic/global   trade tarrif reduction, dumping, protection
3. Setup cost, quality, market share goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution
 Global import/export trade  OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) teams for strategic China markets operations
Afternoon: Global and  Cross Strait China import/export demand, competitive pricing, market shares strategy
Iimport, domestics markets outlook, Market shares strategy
industrial demand, commodity, oil, raw material, consumer product demand, prices
Chiina markets         Hong Kong          Taiwan
global export markets currencies,  industrial sectors demand, markets share strategy
US / Canada/Mexico    South America
Asian Pacific Japan     Korea   Hong Kong  Taiwan, ASEAN  Australia,  cross strait old economy and IT UK/EURO           Russian/E. European
Goal, mission, performance oriented decision analysis supported top , senior and entry level
WTO trade executives on the job training, performance review 

Day  Two : WTO Strategic Simulation of  import/export demand, competitive pricing, market shares 
Morning:
1.Monetary, economic,  fiscal policy, oil prices, WTO tarrif  impact on global, China macro economy, currency simulation/forecasts
Afternoon:
Monetary, economic,  fiscal policy, oil prices, WTO tarrif  impact on global, greater China IT and old economic upstream/downstream oils and raw material, products demand,   import and domestic prices prices simulation and competitive pricing for procurement, inventory  SCM cost reduction, Monetary, economic,  fiscal policy, oil prices, WTO tarrif  impact on global, greater China IT and old economic upstream/downstream products demand,  export prices simulation and competitive pricing for  inventory  SCM cost reduction, profit , market shares strategy
************************************************************************************************************************************
Goal, Mission. Performance oriented Strategic China, SCM, global trade market share training  centers in Beijin,Shanghai, Guanzhou for global trade , IT, Oils and old economy Upstream/Dwonstream marketing executives
Dr. Warren Huang will   direct the following goal; mission, performance oriented  global trade training center for CEO, CFO, VP , managers, senior and entry level staff in your major China markets/production site (Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou) reporting directly to your top corporate strategic OSA teams weekly to avoid trillion dollar market loss, save billion SCM costs with improved domestic and global market shares
Global currency, export prices, oil,  commodity future, import, domestic prices simulation, Markets share strategy center
****************************************************************************************************************************************

Who should attend:
Government  WTO  trade, energy policy, procurement executives
Banking, finance CEO, CFO, fund, money, currency trade manager
Old and New economy upstream/downstream State/medium enterprises CEO, CFO, CIO, planning, production, procurement, marketing, sales chain  and senior staff
Global importer/exporters CEO, procurement, marketing managers

About your lecturer:
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has over  30 year investment, M/A, supply chain, global trade , ERP financial, energy crisis, risk management experience for helping IT upgrade global government,  multinational corporate(Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum Taiwan and China major oils, olefin, styrene , polyers, nylon fiberand downstream pulp and paper, cement, appliances, IT industries medium, small enterprises and banking, finance, securities industry reform, reengineering, profit improvement change management 
Dr. Huang has offered thousands strategic simulation maximize IT performances workshops    for US, China, Taiwan, ASEAN, Asian Pacific, European CEO, CFO, CIO and investment, planning, marketing, sales ,production, IT VP, executives on the job training for VALUE CHAIN PROFIT IMPROVEMENT.
He lectured regularly for China,  Taiwan 15 cities (Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou, SHenzhen, Taipei) 30 million TV, radio audiences, executives on greater China investment, risk management, M/A, SCM  strategy and hundreds China nationwide banking, securities companies CEO, fund, money, trade managers on China A, B and US stocks investment strategy and risk management and  daily consulting to 200,000 Taiwan importer/exporters cmpanies CEO, executives on 100 countries currency, 5000 commodities, raw material, products import, export quote, pricing  strategy 

He has been invited to speak to 24 China, Taiwan, US, EURO, Asian central bank governors, financial management conferences on financial crsis simulation, risk management since 1998 and over 100 global chemical engineering, petroleum ministers, corporate reform, change management conferences since 1980
He conducted teaching, research, trained over 1000 senior/gradute chemical engineering/biotech, economics, strategic management  for Taiwan's Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai university and  lecture at China's Tsinghua , Fudan, Zechiang , Beijing universities on process design, control ,economics managemetn, MIS/DSS, asset prices simulation, risk management
He has been invited by IBC Asia to offer keynote speech on Cross Strait oils,olefin downstream investment risk, ERP strategy and full day workshop on strategic simulation maximize Chinas oils, olefin, styrene ERP , SCM profit in fighting global recession and post WTO cometition in Beijin
Kerry hotel, Nov. 29-30 2001,  http://www.ibcasia.com.sg/ChinaUpStream/ChinaUpstreamIntro.htm  
and  workshop for strategic simulation cut billion dollar oil, oilefin, styrene supply chain cost for Exxon, BP, Chevron, Texaco, Shell Asian executives, European ,US ERP executives on Apr- 26-27, 2002  in Singapore  www..ibcasia.com.sg/supplymgtoilgas.htm  
visit   www.osawh.com and www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html for 32 strategic simulation based ERP/SCM e-Biz systems recommended by US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Processing 1991-2001 annual Advanced Control, Information systems handbook  Over 1400 major cos from 65  US, European, Asian Pacific, South American countries including EXXON, Dupont, BP, Shell, BASF, Aramco, Sinopec, IBM etc. ) thousands corporate managers contacted for   corporate pre/ post merger/acquistions  restructuring, reengineering performances analysis  and profit  improvement applications
Dr. Huang has offered hundred in-house workshops to setup 15 member strategic, execution trade OSA teams. You can reserve your in-house workshops with minimum 8 person registered 
Reserve by email whuang3928@aol.com

Maximize Taiwan/China Oils Upstream, Downstream Profits in Global Recession and Post WTO Competition

Profitability Management : Investment and Supply Chain Cost Reduction Strategy

Apr. 26-27, 2001, SIngapore, Traders Hotel
Nov. 29-30, 2001, Kerry Center Hotel, Beijing,
Jan 21-22, 2002, Howard Plaza Hotel , Taipei
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Investing OSA International Operations Analysis

Millions global CEO, corporate managers, plant managers, senior executive bring their current/future investment/procurement/plant operations problems, cost reduction strategy to the workshop
Take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement
All the existing e-Biz strategy e- finance, investment, supply chain real time data base software and process computer control fail to cope with the fast changing world in global recession and post WTO competition
OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis), have been successfully helping last 30 years global recessions through integrating global financial, commodity market OSA into corporate/refinery OSA
In daily global financial, commodity markets corporate investment, supply chain decision analysis:, it is not how fast you make decision by following the crowd on internet data base soft
resulted trillion dollar loss and billion dollars supply chain costs
In corporate decisions: It is how good you know about the market forces impact on current and future demand and price movement , making wise decisions, avoiding chasing the overheated markets and over-investment resulted excessive inventory and capitalize on market slump in each crisis.
In plant operations decisions: It is how much you know your process?reactors yields, quality?recovery, raw materials, energy consumption, pollution, accidents design and operations responding to full range change in crude oils, feedstock composition, operating loads, operating conditions , to maximize your operating profits in global recession
Find out in our two day Taipei strategic decision analysis workshop how global financial, oil upstream & downstream markets OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) pioneer Dr. Warren Huang offered thousand workshops including this years supply chain strategy in Singapore and China upstream, downstream 2001 post WTO strategy in Beijing and speak to hundreds China, Taiwan and global central banks governors, risk management, chemical engineering conference, in his 30 year's experience with US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bechtel, Fluor, Bailey network control, China SINOPEC, Taiwan Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals, USIFE, Grand Pacific, Hualon, Daming, Paolon, investment, supply chain, production, marketing, sales strategic management consulting experiences, conducted thousands executive workshops for hundreds Taiwan medium, small enterprises CEO, VP, managers and 100,000 Taipei importer/exporters members companies weekly 100 countries currency, 3000 products export prices quote, procurement import strategy, helping 30 million global government, banking, financial, oils upstream & downstream, corporate executives and TV, radio economic, financial markets daily, weekly program audiences capitalize the opportunities in last 20 years global recession, financial, energy crisis, avoid trillion dollar investment loss and saved billion dollar supply chain costs with improved global market shares, published thousand articles predicted the oils upstream & downstream prices one month ahead on China and Taiwan Commercial Times, Economics daily newspapers ,Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen securities news and helping global refining and downstream process plant maximize operating profits for full range feed compositions, operating load severity changes since 1980, recommendation by SU Hydrocarbon Processing’s Advanced Control, Information Systems handbook 1991 through 2001
Workshop Goal : Maximize corporate/refinery operating profit, minimize supply chain cost in global recession and post WTO competitions with expanded global market shares without staff cut in restructuring, reengineering, process improvement
Workshops Mission: Setup corporate/refinery cost, quality, market shares, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement OSA program
Workshop Program Schedule :
9:00 am- 10:00am : Introduction: Global recession and WTO Impact on global financial and commodity price simulation, forecasts
Investment Risks OSA :Information knowledge based expert systems: covering 3 economic cycles data since 1980
Simulation of Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on global economic recession, recovery, daily Asian, US, European financial, commodity, oils upstream & downstream demand, spot , futures prices simulation, forecasts with:
Simulation of the root causes, onset, recovery of US 911 recession, application.
10:00 AM-10:30 am coffee break
10:30am-11:15 am Maximize ERP value chain profits for WTO Impact Simulation and Supply Chain cost reduction
Post WTO impact on China, Taiwan oils upstream & downstream prices and prices strategy
B.Supply Chain Cost reduction OSA :Oils and gas, refining products upstream billion dollar supply chain (procurement, inventory)cost, risks hedging
11:15am-12:15 pm: Cross Strait China Upstream, Downstream?investment returns, ?risk analysis
C. Global recession and post WTO impact on Taiwan/China upstream, downstream profitability, IPO, ADR stock prices and cross strait China investment return, profit margin, IPO prices, investment strategy
12:30pm-- 2:00pm Lunch
Afternoon Session: Minimize China/Taiwan Upstream & Downstream Supply Chain costs Strategic OSA in Corporate Restructuring, Reengineering, Change Management , Supply Chain cost reduction, Process Improvement Refinery Operations Improvement Maximize Profits in Fighting Recession
2:00pm-3:00pm: Decision Supported cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performance oriented Strategic, Execution OSA teams maximize restructuring, reengineering productivity and profits through strategic simulation, supply chain cost reduction:
A: Billion dollar cost reduction in Supply chain (procurement, inventory)
B: Process Improvement OSA: Maximize process plant operating profits
Maximize profit refinery FCC/HOC/Reforming/HDS and downstream Naphtha crackers, styrene, fiber intermediates process plant operations improvement simulation, cost reduction( all based on full operating history, normal and upset, explosion data) :
Rigorous, kinetic information knowledge based expert systems applied for corporate/ refinery/ and downstream process simulation: maximize refinery and downstream process reactors yield and recovery, trouble shooting and minimize energy, waste pollution for full range crude oil, feedstock composition operations, de-bottleneck, improvement, computer control
3:00pm-3:30 pm Coffee break/discussion
3:30pm-4:00 pm
C. Operations hazard, explosion and equipment preventive maintenance operations simulations analysis for hazardous, explosion prevention and production efficiency improvement
4:00-5:00 pm review and discussion
Day two Unit 3: Global Competitive Pricing and Market Shares OSA
9:00- 10:30 am
For domestics markets against FPC, and China markets and Global Import/export currency, pricing strategy
A. Setup Strategic R &D, production- inventory- marketing-sales (retail, gasoline station) center Customers Relation OSA in major cities directed by Dr. Huang and supported by OSA simulators integrating R&D for process and products improvement meeting market needs.
B. Global refining products markets and downstream competitive pricing and market share strategy:
OSA competitive pricing for Taiwan and China nationwide gasoline, fuel oil station, downstream olefin, aromatics retail chain sales, performance improvement in daily competition against FPC and Chinese and other global competitors
10:30-11:00 AM Coffee break
11:00-12:00 PM
e. CRM Strategy Customer relation: downstream olefins, aromatics products, fiber, plastics markets competitive pricing and market share strategy and downstream end user auto, PC, IT, appliances , housing construction products, fibers information and strategic simulation, forecasts, to maximize customer profits to avoid credit default in receivables)
12:30-2:00 pm Lunch
Day Two Unit Four 2:00 PM - 5:00 PM Globalization and Integration Strategy for Investment Profit Margin improvement 2:00PM-3:00 PM :
Integrating daily corporate decisions into refinery operations decision analysis and global markets supporting internet e-Commerce, e-Biz, Supply Chain software
3:00-3:30 PM Coffee break
3:30-4:00 PM
Human Resources OSA : Goal, mission, performance oriented On the job strategic decision analysis training : Corporate/refinery operations review, setup corporate/refinery cost, quality, market shares as goal, mission, performances oriented OSA strategic decision supported Strategic and Executive OSA teams:
Strategic OSA team members: Corporate CEO, VP in Finance, Procurement, Planing, Production, Marketing, IT, Refinery general managers meets monthly
Executive OSA teams members: Corporate divisional managers, plant managers, senior corporate and technical staff meets weekly
Joint meeting, monthly, presided by chair, CEO, Dr. Warren Huang, OSA manager will jointly review the program progress, provide decision support assistance in one year program
4:00-5:00 PM Discussion and Conclusion
Workshop place : Howard Hotel/ your Singapore office
Date : Jan 21-22, 2002
Who Should Attend : All strategic, execution OSA team members:
Upstream and downstream corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, CKO, VP and managers In planning, production, procurement, inventory, marketing, retail chain and gasoline station, plant managers, information and control, R&D, senior corporate, refinery staff
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 450 per person for two day workshop, USD 200 for one unit (fees include two lunches, refreshments and Dr. Huang’s complete set of lectures notes at Beijing conference workshop) or for in-house workshop unlimited attendants with minimum 8 person at USD 200/USD 450 at your corporate office .
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment loss and supply chain costs, with improved market shares, without hardware investment, staff cuts. Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 450 person for 6 persons, will offer 4 more executives free at Howard plaza hotel or for unlimited attendants at your corporate office> Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in investment loss and supply chain costs, with improved market shares, without hardware investment, staff cuts.
Reserve by email whuang3928@aol.com or fax: 1-510-524-4484 Strategy  Workshops

OtOther Global Financial Crisis, Risk Management series Other Global Financial Markets Prices, Crisis, Risks , Simulation and Management Series          Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of OSA

Despite internet online banking, online   stocks, currency trading ,e-commerce, e-Biz strategy supported  market exchange placr provide instant banking and financial, economic data and financial, real estate  market   analysis based on 3 to 6 months old economic, business, earning data, resulted over optimistic upgrade leading to investors chasing the stocks , real estate housing to ridiculous bubble in every global  bull markets, ignoring rate hike resulted consumer and business spending slowdown,  inventory built up , price plunge , corporate earning decline. The analysts dump the stock after the 3 month old bad earning announcement , resulted bubble burst, stocks plunge 90 %   trillion dollars loses in global financial markets and trillion dollars credit, bad loan, defaults risks.
However, all these loses can avoided by the Lecturer, Pioneer of Global  Financial Markets Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA) Dr. Warren Huang's   30 years monetary policy, wealth effect  impact simulation, tracking, predicting 3 months ahead major change in demand, prices, earning, stocks prices in  1981,1991,2001 recessions resulted trillion dollars market loses. Results have been speak to 30 million TV, radio audiences, 20 central banks governors, financial management, government strategy conference and thousands banking, finance executive workshops

Dr Huang will demonstrate these simulation charts how monetary policy impact on old and new economy demand, prices, .corporate earning, stocks prices  3 month ahead. to avoid trillion dollar loss risks and take advantage the investment opportunities.

Session 1 Monetary Policy , Wealth effect impact on  Global Real Estate Supply, Demand, Housing Prices   e-Investing Strategy Workshop

For Government economic policy, central bankers, Banking , financial, real estate  institution, securities industry investment banking, trading, financial analysts, banking loan, investing ,risk supervision, corporate investment, procurement, finance executives, investors

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of central banks monetary policy, wealth effect, external  oil prices shocks impact on the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of 1981,1991,2001 global (US, China, JApan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore)real estate bubble boom, and bust,   recession, Housing and stocks prices plunge, investing strategy Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize ahead  the markets loses and investment opportunities
Mission: Applications of Two master hands predicting, controlling global stock index, currency and housing supply, demand, prices
Scope:
A: Identify and simulation of the root causes, onset, spread   of  global economic, real estate bubble boom and bust,   recession,  financial crisis and recovery , risks elements:
1. Simulation of US, and ASEAN, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy, wealth effect ,capital flow( excessive or tight money supply), oil price Impact  on  country risks in 1981, 1991, 2001, Inflation, deflation economics, business boom and bust, trade, current accent deficit  and impact on money, currency, stocks index,consumer, business spending, real estate, prices,   NAPM index, old economy demand, prices corporate  earning, stocks, bond   markets prices
2. Simulation of  Monetary policy and wealth effect impact on oil, commodities , real estate prices  resulted nonperformance loan, default, banking, finance corporate earning, stock prices simulation, investing strategy
 
Time :reserve whuang3928@aol.com one month ahead,   place : your corporate office
Cost/Benefits  Dr. Huang's round trip airfare, hotel accommodation, plus lecture fee , save billions dollar in investment strategy
 

Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Markets Prices, e-Investing Strategy and Risk Management  Workshops
                                             Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of OSA

Despite internet online banking, online trading ,e-commerce, e-Biz strategy supported  market exchange provide instant banking and financial, economic data and financial market   analysis based on 3 to 6 months old economic, business, earning data, resulted over optimistic upgrade leading to investors chasing the stocks to ridiculous bubble in every global  bull markets, ignoring rate hike resulted consumer and business slowdown,  inventory built up , price plunge , corporate earning decline. The analysts dump the stock after the 3 month old bad earning announcement , resulted bubble burst, stocks plunge 90 %  resulted trillion dollars loses in global financial markets and trillion dollars credit, bad loan, defaults risks.
However, all these loses can avoided by the Lecturer, Pioneer of OSA Dr. Warren Huang's   30 years monetary policy impact simulation, tracking, predicting 3 months ahead major change in demand, prices, earning, stocks prices in  1981,1991,2001 recessions resulted trillion dollars market loses. Results have been speak to 30 million TV, radio audiences, 20 central banks governors, financial management, government strategy conference and thousands banking, finance executive workshops

Dr Huang will demonstrate these simulation charts how monetary policy impact on old and new economics demand, prices,
corporate earning, stocks prices  3 month ahead. to avoid trillion dollar risks and take advantage the investment opportunities.

Session 1 Monetary Policy , Oil prices Impact on  Global Old and New economy, Industrial Sectors Demand, Prices, Corporate Earning, Stock Prices, e-Investing Strategy Workshop

For Government economic policy, central bankers, Banking , financial institution, securities industry investment banking, trading, financial analysts, banking loan, investing ,risk supervision, corporate investment, procurement, finance executives, investors

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of central banks monetary policy, external  oil prices shocks impact on the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of 1981,1991,2001 global recession, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, Brazil, US, Europe  currency, debt market  crisis impact on  traditional and IT, biotech industry demand, prices, corporate earning, stocks prices , investing strategy Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize ahead  the markets loses and investment opportunities
Mission: Applications of Two master hands predicting, controlling global stock index, currency and old manufacturing, financial industries and IT, Biotech  demand, corporate  earning, IPO, ADR, merger/acquisition performances,  stock prices

Scope:
A: Identify and simulation of the root causes, onset, spread   of  global economic recession,  financial crisis and  risks elements:
1. Simulation of US, EURO and ASEAN, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy, capital flow( excessive or tight money supply), oil price Impact  on  country risks in 1981, 1991, 2001, Inflation, deflation economics, business boom and bust, trade, current accent deficit  and impact on money, currency, stocks index,   NAPM index, old economy demand, prices corporate  earning, stocks, bond   markets prices
2. Simulation of  Monetary policy and wealth effect impact on oil, commodities , real estate prices  resulted nonperformance loan, default, banking, finance corporate earning, stock prices simulation, investing strategy
3. Pre and Post Merger/Acquisition performance, stock prices, investment strategy
4. Global ADR, high tech (IT, Biotech )IPO sales, earning and stocks prices simulation forecasts, Investing strategy  
Time :reserve whuang3928@aol.com one month ahead,   place : your corporate office
Cost/Benefits  Dr. Huang's round trip airfare, hotel accommodation, plus lecture fee , save billions dollar in investment strategy and TQM cost reduction ideas
 
Session 2 Monetary Policy , Oil prices Impact on  Global Country, Corporate Credit, Markets Risks and Risk Management  Strategy Workshop
For Government economic policy, central bankers, Banking , financial institution, securities industry   Regulation Supervision, trading, and corporate procurement, finance executives

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of central banks monetary policy, external  oil prices shocks impact on the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of 1981,1991,2001 global recession, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, Brazil, US, Europe  currency, debt market  crisis impact on  traditional and IT, biotech industry demand, prices, corporate earning, stocks prices plunge resulted bad loan , credit defaults risk management Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis, oil prices, old and new economy slowdown   impact on financial  risks in central banks monetary policy risks, financial markets risks, credit default  risks, management risks and risk control saving trillion dollar credit risks
Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented daily country, financial markets and corporate   credit risks Operations Simulation Analysis strategic, and execution teams, integrating central banks monetary policy, into banking financial Prudential Regulation, transparency, Basal capital requirement in daily consumer and business loan credit risk control operations

Scope:
A: Identify and simulation of the root causes, onset, spread   of econmic  financial crisis and  risks elements:
1. Simulation of  US, EURO and ASEAN, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy, capital flow( excessive or tight money supply), oil price Impact  on  country ,currency , macro economic risks in  Inflation, deflation economics, business boom and bust, trade, current accent deficit  and impact on money, currency,   NAPM, old and new economy corporate earning ,stocks, bond , real estate  markets prices
2. Simulation of Global Financial Markets and real estate properties prices risks: Caused by central bankers monetary risks lead to interest rates, currency, stocks,bond, commodities, energy, financial futures, derivatives  prices swings risks in financial markets prices risks (LTCM )  and properties  prices overheating resulted nonperformance loan, default
3.Corporate and Banking Default Risks: Combination of 1,2, impact on corporate and banking interest rate, T-Bond -Junk bond spread : soaring raw materials prices, slumping products pricing, resulted corporate operating loss,  mounting debt, bankruptcy and stock prices
4. Credit RIsks Simulation:
A. OSA-Country Risks: Country inflation/Deflation economic and business cycle, capital flow, currency, systemic credit, nonperformance loan, banking crisis and  default risks simulation and control
B. OSA-Credit Risk:     Macro-economic imbalance,  currency, commodity, interest rate, stocks bond,
derivative market trading, policy, operation , liquidity risks simulation, control,
C. OSA-Commodity:    Policy, currency, oil prices, supply/demand impact  on Energy,   Feed grain, food,
metals, fibers futures and derivative prices resulted trading loss simulation.
D. OSA-Currency:   Interest rate spread, trade impact on  daily global currency , and it's derivatives prices dynamicsthe onset of currency crisis risks simulation and control
E. OSA-Interest Rate: Policy, currency, inflation, commodity price shocks impact  on short , long term interest
rate, treasury  and corporate bond spread  and it's derivatives prices risks simulation , control
F. OSA- Market Risk; Policy, external shocks impact on global money, currency, stocks, derivatives markets
price risks simulation, control
G. OSA-Merger RIsk: Policy, external shocks, technology innovation impact on pre/post merger/acquisition
cost/benefit, profit margin, stock prices performance risks simulation, control.:
Big is not beautiful, it is risky: 
H.OSA-Procurement: Monetary policy, macroeconomic, currency, oil price shock impact on global oil,  petroch-
emicals, plastics, fibers, commodities,  semiconductor raw material prices strategic procurement management
I.OSA-Real Estate Risk: Monetary policy, commodities prices shock, stock markets wealth effect, inflation, capital flow  impact  on residential, office properties prices  and rent, nonperfromance  loan risk simualtion, control ,
K. OSA Eonomic,Business Cycle Risk::  Monetary policy, external shock impact on inflation, GNP, unemployment, wages,  consumer confidence,  auto, housing, appliance, electronic demand, export, purchasing managers index etc.
5. Post crisis recovery: Softlanding and take off: US, EURO interest rate hike and rate cuts impact on global slowdown andUS, Asian financial markets, stocks prices, investment strategy and risk management
B. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented   risks  strategic, and execution OSA   teams,
   Integrating central banks policy into banking, finance daily risk regulation, supervision, supported by structural internal risk simulation and control dynamic models
Time :reserve whuang3928@aol.com one month ahead,   place : your corporate office
Cost/Benefits  Dr. Huang's round trip airfare, hotel accommodation, plus lecture fee , save billions dollar in investment strategy and TQM ideas

TQM in Banking/Finance (Capital/Human) Resources Workshops series
Monetary Policy Impact on Asian and Global  Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery,   Risks  Operations Simulations Control Workshops

  For Government economic policy, central bankers, Banking , financial institution, securities industry   Regulation Supervision, trading, and corporate procurement, finance executives

by  Dr. Warren Huang, OSA Global Investing----Int'l Operations Analysis

Session A  TQM in Banking/Finance Capital and Human resources:

Goal:  Develop, implement global banking/financial markets Operations Simulation Analysis(OSA)decision analysis for maximize investment return  and merger/acquisition , underwriting performance at minimum loan loss, capital markets loss by our :Investment banking expert systems
These Structural Dynamic based simulators tracking, simulation of central banks monetary policy, external  oil prices shocks impact on the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of  ASEAN, Asian, Russia, Brazil US< Europe  currency, debt market  crisis Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis, oil prices, old and new economy slowdown   impact on financial  risks in central banks monetary policy risks, financial markets risks, credit risks, management risks and risk control saving trillion dollar credit risks
Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented daily country, financial markets   credit risks Operations Simulation Analysis strategic, and execution teams, integrating central banks monetary policy, into banking financial Prudential Regulation, transparency, Basal capital requirement in daily global  credit risk control operations,provide on the job decision analysis  training for senior and junior   managers  

Scope:
A: Review of past corporate/divisional operations in capital, human resources utilization
B. Goal setting in divisional capital/human resources (profit/loss), market shares goal
C. Investment Banking Expert Systems applications in
Tracking simulate credit, money, currency, stock, bond,commodity , derivatives   markets investment , merger/acquisition. IPO  management risks
D. Organization of cross- functional goal, mission, performance oriented  strategic, execution TQM  resources utilization's teams for maximize profit operation and risk management on the job training
Who should attend: OSA teams members: CEO, CFO, senior executive, AVP, managers
Time :reserve whuang3928@aol.com one month ahead,   place : your corporate office
Cost/Benefits  Dr. Huang's round trip airfare, hotel accommodation, plus lecture fee , save billions dollar in investment strategy and TQM ideas
Session 1 Monetary Policy , Oil prices Impact on the root causes, onset, spread and recovery of Asian, Global Financial ,Banking Crisis,  Risks   Simulations Control Workshop

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of central banks monetary policy, external  oil prices shocks impact on the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of  ASEAN, Asian, Russia, Brazil US< Europe  currency, debt market  crisis Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis, oil prices, old and new economy slowdown   impact on financial  risks in central banks monetary policy risks, financial markets risks, credit risks, management risks and risk control saving trillion dollar credit risks
Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented daily country, financial markets   credit risks Operations Simulation Analysis strategic, and execution teams, integrating central banks monetary policy, into banking financial Prudential Regulation, transparency, Basal capital requirement in daily credit risk control operations

Scope:
A: Identify and simulation of the root causes, onset, spread   of  financial crisis and  risks elements:
1. Simulation of Global and ASEAN, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy, capital flow( excessive or tight money supply), oil price Impact  on  country risks in  Inflation, deflation economics, business boom and bust, trade, current accent deficit  and impact on money, currency, corporate stocks, bond   markets prices
2. Simulation of Global Financial Markets and real estate properties prices risks: Caused by central bankers monetary risks lead to interest rates, currency, stocks,bond, commodities, energy, financial futures prices swings risks in financial markets prices risks (LTCM )  and properties  prices overheating resulted nonperformance loan, default
3.Corporate and Banking Default Risks: Combination of 1,2, impact on corporate and banking interest rate, T-Bond -Junk bond spread : soaring raw materials prices, slumping products pricing, resulted corporate operating loss,  mounting debt, bankruptcy and stock prices
4. Credit risks: caused by combination of 1,2,3 (bad bank loan to hedging, stock, bond   funds, real estate, corporate defaul
5. Post crisis recovery: Softlanding and take off: US, EURO interest rate hike impact on global slowdown and Asian financial markets, stocks prices, investment strategy and risk management
B. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented   risks  strategic, and execution OSA   teams,
   Integrating central banks policy into banking, finance daily risk regualtion, supervision, supported by structural internal risk simulation And control dynamic models

Session 2. US  Monetary Policy Impact on the Asian/Global Currency Crisis Recovery and Central Banks  Policy for sustainable growth  Workshop

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of US Fed Monetary Policy impact on US economy, consumer demand, inflation, interest rate, trade deficit, dollar exchange rate, stocks, commodity and derivatives prices, and it's impact on global central banks monetary policy and   trade, economic growth , interest rate, exchange rates, in  economic recovery , prevent overheated economy resulted widening  trade deficit, currency crisis
Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented daily country, financial markets risks Operations Simulation Analysis strategic, and execution teams, integrating central banks monetary policy, into banking financial Prudential Regulation, transparency, Basal capital requirement to achieve sustainable growth and financial markets stability during US interest rate hikes
Scope:
A: Tracking US Fed monetary policy impact on US economic and business indicators, inflation, interest rates, dollar exchanges, stock  markets wealth effect impact on properties prices and consumer demand :
B. Tracking, simulating of US Fed monetary policy impact on  ASEAN, Asian central banks policy and it's  impact on Asian economic and business indicators, inflation, interest rates, trade surplus(deficit,  currency exchanges, stock  markets wealth effect impact on properties prices and consumer demand :
C. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented   risks  strategic, execution OSA  teams for sustainable growth
   Integrating central banks policy into banking, finance daily risk regulation, supervision, supported by structural internal risk simulation and growth, stability control dynamic models

Session 2.  Banking, Finance and Corporate Reform, Reengineering, Operations Improvement   Workshop

Goal :Structural Dynamics tracking, simulation of US Fed Monetary Policy impact on US economy, consumer, Business demand, inflation, interest rate, trade deficit, dollar exchange rate, stocks, commodity and derivatives prices, and it's impact on global central banks monetary policy and   trade, economic growth , interest rate, exchange rates, during economic recovery
Mission: Setup goal, mission, performance oriented daily country, financial markets risks Operations Simulation Analysis strategic, and execution teams, integrating central banks monetary policy, into banking financial Prudential Regulation, transparency, Basal capital requirement to achieve sustainable growth and financial markets stability during US interest rate hikes
Scope:
A: Tracking US Fed monetary policy impact on US economic and business indicators, inflation, interest rates, dollar exchanges, stock  markets wealth effect impact on properties prices and consumer demand :
B. Tracking, simulating of US Fed monetary policy impact on  ASEAN, Asian central banks policy and it's  impact on Asian economic and business indicators, inflation, interest rates, dollar exchanges, stock  markets wealth effect impact on properties prices and consumer demand :
C. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented   risks  strategic, execution OSA  teams for sustainable growth
   Integrating central banks policy into banking, finance daily risk regulation, supervision, supported by structural internal risk simulation and growth, stability control dynamic models

Session 2. Financial derivatives prices simulation and Hedging Risk Management Strategy for Taiwan, Hong Kong, and China Application (choose one application
Goal : Demonstrate global financial crisis Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis impact on financial risks in central banks monetary policy risks, financial markets risks, credit risks, management risks and risk management in hedging, financial derivative prices simulation, it's applications to minimize the risks while maximize the investment opportunities during the financial crisis, developed, implemented by your own goal, mission, performances oriented risks strategic, executive Operations Simulations Analysis teams tracking daily market, credit, central banker policy, corporate management risks, maximize investment return and supporting your daily loan and   trading risks  regulation, supervision.

A: Identify and simulation of the financial crisis and  risks elements:

1. Global and Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy( excessive or tight money supply) Risks resulted Inflation, recession and impact on money, currency, stock markets prices
2. Global Financial Markets Prices Risks: Caused by central bankers monetary risks lead to interest rates, currency,bond, commodities, energy, financial futures prices swings risks in financial markets prices risks( Long Term Capital case )
3. Credit risks: caused by combination of 1 and 2 (bad bank loan to hedging, stock funds, )
4. Management Risks: Combination of 1,2,3 impact on corporate operating environment : soaring raw materials prices, slumping products pricing, resulted operating loss and mounting debt, bankruptcy and stock prices

B. Risks Hedging Management:
Call/put options, financial derivatives prices simulation :OSA improved Black-Schole options calculation

1. Commodities, Financial Futures and Options prices simulation, Hedging Strategy

2. LTC Hedging Fund Operations Simulation and Improvement

3. Goal, mission, performance oriented market, credit, central bankers policy and corporate management risk systems simulation, management strategic and executions team, tracking minimize daily operating risks and maximize investment performance For US, Asian Pacific and European financial Industry executive on the job training

Session 2 Global Financial Crisis impact on Taiwan central bank monetary policy and stock market prices, credit risks regulation, supervision management:

Goal : Demonstrate global financial crisis Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis impact on Taiwan financial risks in central banks monetary policy risks, financial markets risks, credit risks, management risks and risk management in hedging, financial derivative prices simulation, it's applications to minimize the risks while maximize the investment opportunities during the financial crisis, developed, implemented by your own goal, mission, performances oriented risks strategic, executive Operations Simulations Analysis teams tracking daily market, credit, central banker policy, corporate management risks, maximize investment return.
A: Asian, Russia, Brazil financial crisis and recovery  impact on Taiwan stock markets risk simulation: Identify and simulation of the financial crisis and Risks elements:

1. Global US slowdown and Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy( excessive or tight money supply) Risks resulted Inflation, recession and impact on money, currency, stock markets prices
2.Taiwan banking, construction sectors nonperformance loan and performance, stock prices operations simulation, and risk management
3.Global Taiwan IC, computers, electronics industries demand, products innovation impact on Taiwan corporate performance, stock prices.
4.Global petrochemical  and other manufacturing industries industries demand, products prices impact on Taiwan corporate performance, stock prices simulation, risk management.
5. Hong Kong, China US, EURO economic outlook and  Taiwan  trade performance , stock prices simulation
6. Taiwan country risks : Real Options dynamic risk simulation  interest rate, currency, financial markets, political risks simulation and impact on credit risk simulation. control
7. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution risk OSA teams

Session 3 Global Financial Crisis,Recession, recovery, WTO impact on China and Hong Kong monetary policy and stock market prices, credit risks regulation, supervision management:

Goal : Demonstrate global financial crisis Operations Simulations Analysis method(OSA ) to identify, monitor, manage and minimize the impact of global financial crisis impact on Hong Kong and China financial risks in central banks monetary policy deflation/inflation  risks, financial markets risks, credit risks, management risks and risk management in hedging, financial derivative prices simulation, it's applications to minimize the risks while maximize the investment opportunities during the financial crisis, developed, implemented by your own goal, mission, performances oriented risks strategic, executive Operations Simulations Analysis teams tracking daily market, credit, central banker policy, corporate management risks, maximize investment return.
A: Asian, Russia, Brazil financial crisis and US slowdown impact on Hong Kong, China export, GNP, stock markets risk simulation: Identify and simulation of the financial crisis and Risks elements:

1. Global and Taiwan, Hong Kong, China central bankers monetary policy( excessive or tight money supply) Risks resulted Inflation, recession  ,impact on money, currency, Henseng blue, red chips, Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B stock markets prices

2.Hong Kong, China banking, Housing,construction sectors nonperformance loan and performance, blue and red chips stock prices operations simulation, and risk management

3.Global Taiwan, China IC, computers, electronics industries demand, products innovation impact on Hong Kong, China Hitch corporate performance, stock prices.

4.Global petrochemical, textile , high tech and other manufacturing industries demand, products prices impact on China, Hong Kong corporate performance, stock prices simulation, risk management.
5. Post crisis recovery: Softlanding and take off: US, EURO interest rate hike, soaring oil prices, WTO impact on global slowdown and Asian financial markets, stocks prices, investment strategy and risk management, US, Taiwan  Hong Kong, China economic outlook and China trade performance , stock prices simulation
6. Taiwan country risks : Real Options dynamic risk simulation of interest rate, currency, financial markets, political risks simulation and impact on credit risk simulation. control
7. Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution risk OSA teams

Session 4 Asian Financial Crisis, Recession  Impact on Global Commodities Futures, Industrial Raw Materials, Financial derivatives investment and Hedging Risk Management Strategy

Goal : Demonstrate OSA integrated improved Black-Schole stock index, currency, interest rate, commodities stock index and stocks call/put options, warrants prices simulation and to train financial industry Theoretician, practitioner investment and hedging risk management strategy to avoid trillion dollar loses in Long Term Capital's betting on the wrong side of interest rates, while maximize return

A. OSA neural net approach to global macro economics and financial money, currency markets interaction simulation

B Tracking Asian, Russia, European, US central bankers monetary policy, impact on global interest rate, currency, energy, metal, feedgrain commodities, financial futures prices simulation and hedging risk management
C. OSA integrated improved Nobel winning Black-Schole stock index, currency, interest rate, stock call/put options, warrants prices simulation and investment and hedging risk management strategy

D. Tracking results, case studies (recommended by osawh.com website

Who should attend: Global central bankers,  corporate CEO, CFO, financial analysis, institutions, bankers, fund managers, stock/bond/ financial/ commodities and derivatives trader, academic teaching/researchers

Workshop site: your office, Date: reservation email  whuang3928@aol.com
fax 1-510-524-4484 one month ahead
Workshop Costs: Roundtrip airfare, from San Francisco, hotel accommodation per session, for unlimited attendants.

Lecturer Qualification
Dr. Warren Huang, the OSA pioneer and program manager, supported by his 32 years development and implementation of 32 Global Corporate/plant and financial markets Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA, an decision analysis applied extensively US aerospace industries using artificial intelligence pattern recognition, filtering, control for the Apollo moon landing tracking, mission control) for on the job training. , Dr. Huang received his MS, Ph.D in Chemical Engineering, operations research from Polytechnic Institute of NY, University of Oklahoma, has extensive government, banking, finance, state   medium, small enterprises refinery, petrochemical, biotech corporate restructuring, reengineering , capital investment and risk management and process tracking, simulation improvement  experiences with Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, US headquarters, and Taiwan government, 100,000 importer/exporter member, Chinese Petroleum, CPDC, Hualon, USI, Taiwan securities analysis association ,China, US financial markets simulation and risk management consulting. He also conducted teaching, research at National Taiwan, Tsinghwa, Tunghai university, trained over 1000 Chemical engineering, biochemical, economics, management senior in tracking 100 IMF countries central bankers monetary policy impact on global money, currency, stock, commodities markets prices and corporate restructuring, reengineering, He started Wall Street research in real time simulation of global financial markets and hedging risk management in 1972, implemented thousands models tracking global financial crisis with average error below 1.5 %, He has written 1000 articles, newsletters, invited by 28 countries 50 int'l central banks governors, financial risk management, supply chain, petroleum ministers conference tracking the results also offered 1000 workshops to hundreds China nationwide banking, securities companies CEO, fund managers risk management training and daily, weekly commentary for  TV, radio programs to 15 cities  30 million Taiwan, China TV, radio economic, financial markets banking, finance executives, fund managers, investors and  US , Asian Pacific and  EURO  CEO, CFO, fund manager, traders, investors and technical staff , on the job training

Partial lists of recent global lectures on
Real Time Simulation of Global Financial,  Crisis, Recession Impact on Global Financial Markets Prices"

#Warren Huang OSA Global Investing San Francisco Email: whuang@osawh.com

This paper reports important extensions made for analyzing OSA (Operations Simulations Analysis) of Global Financial Markets Crisis, Risk Assessment, and Portfolio Management systems. These extensions have been made through the use of artificial intelligence, neural nets, fuzzy logic, and chaos genetic algorithms in state-space form with real-time dynamic tracking. Simulations of the impact US, Asia, Russia, South America and EURO central bankers monetary policy on inflation, GNP, money-market interest rates, currency, stocks, bond, commodities, futures, and financial derivatives prices in normal and under the stress crisis over the last 20 years. These simulations have an average error below 1.5 %, correlation constants above 0.95, These experts systems will provide real-time tracking, impact analysis of the global financial crisis on global central bankers monetary policy impact on the root causes, onset, spread and prevention of , financial markets crisis and associated credit risks management, and suggest possibilities for saving trillions dollars.

Provide real time tracking , simulating of the root causes and onset, spread and the prevention of Asian, Russia, South American, US bubble burst and Recession, financial crisis and it's related credit, market trading loses, bad loan, and hedging fund betting on the wrong side caused markets trading loses and liquidity risks, , provide real-time impact analysis of the global financial crisis and IMF rescue plan pregress and impact analysis.. .

These simulators have been used for university teaching and for training of 1000 economics graduates in numerous research programs in tracking 100 IMF countries central bankers monetary policy impact on macro, financial trade, industrial economics analysis

Expert systems tracking US Fed, EURO, Japan central bankers monetary impact on daily interest rate, exchange rate, Dow Jones and EURO, Nikkei stock index commodities futures ,Corporate profit margin, stock prices, option, derivative prices, with average error below 1.5 %. Predicted Dow Jones, EURO stock futures making new highs due to lower interest rates, and expanded money supply, Nikkei weak rebound due to global slowdown. . 80 trillion OTC derivatives market betting on the wrong side, resulted LTCM failure

Emerging Markets Asian Markets:

Tracking daily Asian central banker monetary policy impact on economics and financial markets before, during and current currency, stock markets rebound more than 50 % since interest rate cut to pre-crisis level following US interest rates cuts.

Russia and Brazil, Mexico Financial Crisis Simulation:

Tracking Russian, Brazil, Mexico central bankers monetary policy impact on floating the currency, raising the interest rates to stabilize the currency and the volatile stock markets responding to the changing interest, exchange rates .

Current options, derivative prices and risk models require unreliable probability assessments and caused billions dollars loses due to betting on the wrong side of interest rates and prices for currency, stocks, bonds lead to global super-banks billions dollars loses. Our options/warrants price models are directly integrated into the central banks monetary impact on the underlying interest rates , currency , bond, stock prices, avoided the risks due to betting on the wrong side of investment caused trillion dollars loses and it is simpler and more reliable than the Black-Schole formula.

China Financial Markets and Economy Development Application: The senior and the junior author Ji spending half time in China during 1994 - 1998 implementing these relationships tracking China Peoples banks monetary policy impact on inflation and GNP and interest rate, RMB currency and stock markets prices It accurately tracking and predicted daily China economy and financial markets activities, how the current Prime minister Zhu Rongji successfully managed China's monetary policy led China avoided possible 1994   RMB currency crisis and 1998 Asian financial crisis by successfully controlled the inflation and financial industry regulation, to bring it down from 35 % and 100 % currency depreciation to current -1 % inflation and maintaining 7.8 % GNP growth and Shanghai stock index traded between 600 and 800 through three stages credit tightening to cut the domestic demand and reduced the import duty by 30 % to reduce the importing inflation, achieved perfect soft-landing. And also predicted 1996 interest rate cuts leading to bull markets, the Shanghai A index tripled from 520 to 1650 . The tracking of Hong Kong Henseng Index peaking at 16500 in 97 and plunge to 6200 in 98, China¡¦s macro ,financial trade economic impact on 700 listed corporate industries trends, profit margins and stock prices results have been invited to speak to nationwide TV radio program, government securities, Shanghai Stock Exchange on investment strategy and risk management to 20 million financial and banking industries CEO, Fund manager, investors

Interest rates:US Fed Fund, 30 Yr T-Bond, EURO, ECB overnite bank interest rate, Brazil, Mexico inter-bank interest rate
Currency : Yen, EURO, NT$ Thailand Bhat, Brazil Real
Stock Index Futures: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Taiwan, Shanghai, Shenzhen , Henseng, Brazil, Singapore Russia Stock index
Corporate profit Margin, stock prices:Taiwan, Hong Kong, China A, B IPO, ADR, US Banking, Global IT -100 and Oil industry profit margin, Citicorp, IBM stock prices
Commodity Futures: W. Tex crude oil, Natural gas, heating oil, gasoline,   feedgrains  future prices
Option/Derivatives prices Call options prices for W Tex crude oil, Yen exchange rate, call and put for IBM  tel: 1-510-524-0283 Fax: 1-510-524-4484 Email whuang3928@aol.comwhuang3928@aol.com  

References

Presentation to Year 1998- 2001 conferences:

1. Huang, W, "Cross Strait China Investment Returns and Risks" presented to China Upstream, Downstream 2001 conference, IBC Asia, Nov. 29, 2001 Beijing, China
1. Huang, W, " Global Strategic Simulation maximize China upstream, Downstream profits in global recession, post WTO competition"Offered full day workshop for   China Upstream, Downstream 2001 conference, IBC Asia, Nov. 29, 2001 Beijing, China

1. Huang, W, " Strategic Simulation Saves billion dollars in Integrated  Supply chain and TQM for oil and gas, chemical profits  for IBC Asia, Supply chain conference for maximize oil, gas profit conference, and offered full day workshop , Apr. 26, 27, 2001 Singapore
Huang, W, "Monetary Policy Impact on Asian Financial Crisis, Recoveryand    e-Investing strategy  Risk Management",  presented to APEC Finance conference, Bangkok, Thailand July 26-27 , 2001
1. Huang, W, "Monetary Policy Impact  on US recession and POsst WTO impact on China A, B Stock prices,  e-Investing strategy and Risk Management",   presented to China Peoples Bank Financial Markets, stocks market  senior staff, Beijin, July 29-30, 2001
1. Huang, W, "Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Market Prices e-Investing strategy and Risk Management",  presented to Global Finance conference, Los Angeles, Ca. Apr. 4-7 , 2001
1. Huang, W, "Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Market Prices and Risk Management", to be presented to Midwest Finance 50 anniversary meeting, Cleveland, Ohio, March 30, 2001
1. Huang, W, "Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Market Prices and Risk Management", to be presented to Academy of Finance meeting Chicago, March 7, 2001

1. Huang, W, Ji, X. M Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery and Risk Management", presented to Int'l Central Bank Governors Conference on Policy to Sustainable Growth, May 14-15, 1999, Macao, Organized by China Peoples Bank governor Dai and Monetary Authority of Macao, Hong Kong, central governors governors from Japan, England, Thailand, Philippines , IMF
2. Huang, W, Government and Business Operations Simulations based Global Risk Management presented to Government and Business Strategy conference in Capital Hilton, Washington DC, June 30, 1999 ,with combined Global financial Crisis panel discussions(including IMF, World Bank, Oxford Economics and S &P DRI, Goldman Sachs, Agricultural economics research directors
3. Huang, W, Ji, X. M Real Time simulation of global financial crisis, Recovery impact on post EURO capital markets price and risk management , presented to European Finance Conference, Barcelona, Spain, June 4, 1999 http://www.fma.org/barcelprog.htm#13
4. David Walker( Georgetown University), Huang, W, and IMF director, Brazil Insurance Research Director Panel Discussion on emerging markets economy and crisis http://www.fma.org/barcelspecial.htm#15
5. Huang, W." Simulation of Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Crisis, US financial Markets and Risk Management", presented to Washington DC area Finance Conference, Apr. 30, 1999, Fairfax, Va.
6. Huang, W, Ji X., M. " Real Time simulation of global financial crisis impact on Pacific Basin capital, Derivatives markets prices ,risk management ", presented to 7 Th Pacific Basin Finance Economic Conference, Taipei, Taiwan, May 28-29, 1999 , presided by Taiwan  , central bank governor Peng, finance minister Chiu
7. Huang, W, Ji, X. M " Simulation of global financial crisis impact on Multinational Corporate Finance Performance"
presented to Multinational Finance Conference, Toronto, Canada July 7,1999
8. Huang, W,." Real Time simulation of global financial crisis impact on EURO Capital Markets Risks Management"
presented to UK Royal Statistics Society Risk Management Conference , Warwick, UK, July 14, 1999
9. Huang, W, Ji, X. M Real Time simulation of global financial crisis impact on South American financial markets and Risk Management" presented to Conference on new idea, Mexico City, Mexico, Aug, 14-18
10. www.osawh.com daily tracking Simulation of ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South America Financial crisis, recovery impact on global deflation, credit crunch impact on Global Financial Markets, Import/Export, risks simulation and investment strategy
11. Huang, W, Ji, X. M.,"Real Time simulation of Asian, Russia Financial Crisis Impact on Post EURO financial markets" presented to finance , banking conference on post EURO finance, banking strategy, Nov.-27, 1998, Rome
12. Huang, W. Asian Financial Crisis Impact on Financial Derivatives Prices Simulation , Accepted by QFM98, Computational Methods in Financial Derivatives Conference, Dec. 16, 1998, Sydney, Australia,
12. Huang, W.. Financial crisis impact on global Financial Markets prices performance presented to EC2, Econometrics Forecasting Conference Dec.19, 1998, Stockholm, Sweden, www.hhs.se/stat/workshops/ec2/
1980-1999 Corporate Reform, manufacturing industries reengineering, management, technology innovation
1. Huang, W. OSA 32 global strategic management systems recommended by US Houston Gulf Publishing Advanced control, information handbook, 1991,1993,1995,1996,1997,1999, 2001and invited to speak to AIChE annual meeting, Dallas, Nov. 1999
1 Huang, W. "Operations Simulation Maximize Refinery, Olefin Plant Productivity, Flexibility", Oct. 2, 1991, Oct. 6, 1995 Antwerp, Belgium, Large Chemical Plant conf.
3. X M Ji, Huang, W. "Operations Simulation Supported Reengineering Maximize Corporate Productivity and Flexibility", to World Economic Management Conf. July 20 , 1997,Shanghai, China.
5.Huang, W. "Global Financial Markets Simulation and Risk Management", presented to Applied Economic Modeling and Simulation Conferences In Nice France, 1984, Sorrento, Italy, 1986, Torr, Conn. US, 1987, Pomona,
Ca. 1988, Shenzhen, China, 1989, Dalian, China, 1990, Wuhan, China, 1994, Hanchow, China, 1996, Shanghai, 1997
6.Huang,W."Improve process by OSA", Hydrocarbon Processing, May 1980
7.Huang,W.,"OSA for Int'l Petrochemical Marketing and Sales", Presented to American Institute of Chemical Engineers Diamond Jubilee Meeting in Washington DC,Oct. 30,1983.