Global Chinese Finance Forum Investment Seminar,
May 8, 2004, Milpitas, California by North American Investors Emerging
Market Trend, investment strategy, risks : Two master hands controlling China ADR
, US IT, Biotech Stocks
US, China
rate hikes impact on macro economy, China, US stock market performance,
investment strategy, Risk management
by Dr. Warren
Huang, pioneer, OSA Global Strategic Management and two master hands controlling
global economy, capital market Prices
Tracking
results witness by 2 millions global government finance, education, central banks,
banking, finance, insurance, multinational, SOE corporate executives, academics visited
our
www.osawh.com
website since 1998 for global strategic
investment management
Goal
and Mission, performance oriented workshops tailored to your need,
OSA challenges unknown, uncertainties future: Two maser hands controlling global
economy, daily financial market prices
This author spend 30
years applying APPLO moon landing tracking, guidance control to global economic
growth and price stability control, by develop, thousands structural dynamic
cause and effect response simulators out last 30 years daily Wall Street
Journals, Financial Times, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong daily newspapers economics,
markets information, market analysts, investors psychology information knowledge
base.
Surprisingly, global financial market analysts kept making the same mistakes 30
years ago by speculating business, economic news and technical charting,
together with probabilistic VaR, Monte Carlo simulation, lead to
chasing the markets, following the crowd resulted trillion dollar loss in
financial crisis ,
asset bubble bursts
every couple of years.
The author dump the
Monte Carlo, time series, technical charting approach 20 years ago, applying
moon landing tracking structural, dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis,
building thousands causes and effect simulators, accurately tracking the
global market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism.
These simulators.
He pioneered two OSA master hands
controlling global
central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market
interest rate, currency, commodity, energy, metals, futures , derivatives prices,
20 industrial sectors, 5000 products demand, prices market forces simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, mutual fund optimal asset allocation
equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management,
wealth management,
risk hedging.
Dr. Warren
Huang predicted to Asian Business Forum's multinational oil, banking CEO,
executives in Beijin Nov. 2005 that oil prices will soar to 69, metal
prices to new high in January, US will raise rates throughout
summer 2006. Oil prices did challenges 69 twice in
January and metals prices making new high follows by commodities prices. Gas
and electricity cost up 40 % will be soared to 82 in summer, gasoline
futures to 265, metals , commodity continue making new high ,
drive CPI to 4.3 % in March and
higher in the month ahead. US Fed fund rate 10 yr. bond
yield will go to 5.5 %, stocks, bond facing correction ahead.
2 millions
US, South American, Asian, European government, central banks, banking, finance,
state, medium enterprises, multinationals CEO, CFO,
investment bankers, money managers, supply
chain logistics executives joined global strategic OSA
public and In-House executives workshops since 1984. benefits by
OSA early warning and capitalize on tracking/forecasts
month ahead the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of
1987 global stock crash, 1990 energy crisis, 1992 European currency crisis,
1994- 96 China run away inflation, soft landing, Asian Financial crisis, Russian
currency and LTCM crisis, 2000 high bubble burst, global, and current
recovery, China overheating and global asset bubbles.
I
lectured to 24 global central bank governors, wealth
management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website
since 1998 , over 30 million China,
Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European
executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops since 1985
and 8 paper series on www.sina.com USA
and on www.osawh.com website in Dec,. 1999
early warning 2000 IT and China IPO, ADR shares bubble burst and 2001- 2003 global IT stocks and mutual fund bubble burst and US
global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks
mutual fund plunged 50- 70 % , China high tech, reform stocks overheat
bubble burst drag Shanghai A from 2200 to 1500 July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank
financial executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks
rebound March 2003 Dow Jones rebound from 7300 to 10,000,
Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging
market Taiwan, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 % rebound
on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference to 50 central
bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002 again in 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003, Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
, 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
,
identify month ahead, investment
opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China blue chip
petrochemicals, SNP, telecom- munication Unicom, metals A shares
and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. 2003 early warning
for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices
doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives
gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China
Peoples banks further credit tightening, US entering second leg economic
recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter
first leg boom bubble, corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated
consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser
manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence
reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 300,000 new
job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue
into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst thereafter following
rate hike, second quarter bubble CPI
to 3.2 %, core inflation to 2.7 % force Greenspan raise interest rate in
the summer , overoptimistic over US
economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook serious housing bubble
will lead to rate hike, despite high unemployment in the election year and global IT and
blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund
facing and correction 2005,
Dow will be traded 9750- 11000, Nasdaq 1850- 2050 , Taiwan index 5200-
6100, Henseng 11500- 14000, Nikkei 11000- 12000, China credit tightening
continue. Shanghai A 1500-1650-, Shenzhen 3500- 4100, Euro : 1.29-1.35 , Yen 100- 105,
US, Asian and European stocks gave up all this year gain
Dr. Warren Huang lectured
San Francisco
Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities
Silicon Valley investors
workshop on
China/US rate hike,
soaring oil prices impact on
2004 second half
global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal
daily news center,
predicted, recommended accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and
US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq
did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their
bottom, enjoyed 20 % profit. However, China is still suffered y
overheating, facing interest rate hike, profit squeeze, stock prices subject to
30- 50 % correction.
book your workshops email
osawhh@citiz.net for recent update
======Dr. Warren Huang North American China-US TV radio
interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station
to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech
corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk
management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850,
recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction,
downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks
plunged 12 % May 17. these shares rebound 20 % after his recommendation.
book your workshops email
osawhh@citiz.net for recent update
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco
Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment
Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss “Market Trend
and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US” and CEOs from five growing public
companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)
Time: 9:30-3:10pm Venue: Crown Plaza
Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation
in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch
Structural, Dynamics simulation of monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on
last 20 years China and 40 countries macro economic, business cycles, capital market asset
prices, bubbles , financial crisis, boom and busts achieving growth and prices
stability control predicted 1- 3 month ahead, Global financial crisis
since 1980 and
2000 high tech bubble burst and 2001-2003 global market
crash and recovery and China macro economic control, daily interest rate,
interest rate, currency, commodity, energy, metals, futures , derivatives prices,
20 industrial sectors, 5000 products demand, prices market forces simulation, forecasts
for
RMB,
China A, B stocks, Hong Kong H share, red chips, US ADR shares
since 1990
This author stay half time in China offered thousands
lectures accurately predicted China Peoples Banks monetary policy impact on
1994-96 macro-economic control-soft landing on tracking China daily stock markets
listed companies performance to
China 15 cities 30 million investors, national newspapers and hundreds banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, money managers during 1994-1998 in
China and again predicted China excessive money supply, housing and asset bubbles facing
tightening Mar. 2003
Shanghai workshops and Nov 2003 Euro-event China finance,
capital markets Shanghai, Beijin conference lectures to 1000 global investment
bankers, fund managers and Peking/Fudan University 3000 China economists annual
meeting, Shanghai Dec, 21, 2003
Thousands causes and effect structural, dynamic proven
predictive OSA
simulators beat daily money, capital, insurance, property markets ( published thousands articles, 30 million copies ( over 10 million
readers ) for reliable tracking, forecasts 3 month ahead of last 20 years
central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global/China economy,
daily capital market asset prices, bubble early warning, tailor to QFII/QDII
investment needs.
A. China RMB OSA forecasts :
These
simulators
accurately
predicted last 20 years daily US interest rate, commodities, gold, oil
prices daily capital market prices 4 month ahead and again at
Shanghai University of Finance, Economics, Oct. 25, Euro-event Singapore, Nov. 5,
2003 Asian Finance, capital market
conference on Monetary
policy impact on Asian and China economic outlook, asset prices, applying
his two master hands ( interest rate and trade) currency market forces price
mechanism, wrote 600 articles on trade journal, helping Taiwan central bank and
200,000 importer/exporters daily/weekly NT/ 100 currencies ( US and cross
rates) from NT fixed at 40 to float to 25- 40, covering Yen from 250 to 80
during 1985- 1995 and Asian financial crisis. He warned
that any free float of RMB will lead to China currency crisis and US
runaway inflation import consumer goods will up 50 % to double) and repeat past global financial crisis, bubble burst.
Only Dr. Huang's two master hands ( interest rate and
trade, economic policy ) market forces price mechanism guide through RMB
gradual appreciation widening trading band is the best approach, regardless peg to the dollar or a
basket of currency.
Greenspan agree with the
author recently too that China RMB immediate float will resulting global crisis
Dr. Huang also recommended the best approach for RMB
is through cutting China-US trade surplus ( as China already spending 15 billion
buying US auto, airplane, cotton, semiconductors, wheat , will start to show on
China trade, cutting US trade deficit in the month ahead, and
as China cut 3 % export rebate) and China first quarter export growth back
to 33 %, import growth 43 %, with 8.5 billion trade deficit take pressure off RMB,
B. China inflation, GDP interest rates, government, corporate bond prices 2004
forecasts
OSA China 2006 macroeconomic forecast:
Soaring oil prices, housing and stock prices (wealth effect, domestic
demand, booming export in the first quarter 2006 pushed China money supply
over 18 % GDP growth 10.2 %, inflation up 3.9 % in March 2006, daily
interbank at 1.60 is too low, must be back to 3 % in tightening the credit
to cool off the demand
As China raised rate by 0.27 to 5.85 % Apr. 28, supported by auto, housing,
metal, coke industry economic control two master hands, inter-bank rate rebound
to 2.2 %
This author predicted to 600 investors early March 2003 that
despite, SARS, China auto,
properties markets overheated bubble burst stocks , blue chip stocks Unicom,
SINOPEC petrochemical share together with auto, steel, metal share will rebound 30-
50 % , led Shanghai A rebound from 1450 to 1650, and give up its gain
in third quarter 2003 due to China Peoples bank credit tightening to cut
consumer loan demand, money supply from 24 to 18 %, Shanghai A will test 1300-, Shenzhen A retest 2850-3050, with technical
rebound by big cap blue china low prices shares Unicom, Sinopec (SNP), Shanghai auto,
Pudong develop bank, Vanke shares.
Monetary Policy on inflation, GNP and economic indicators for sustainable growth and
asset price stability)
OSA simulation
macro-economics/Capital Market
Inflation rate = F (Money supply growth rate %, Oil prices, Commodity index, Dollar exchange rate)
GNP = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, Export Growth Rate)
Property prices = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
NAPM = F( Consumer spending growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
Business, consumer spending = F( Overnite interest rate, money supply
growth, exchange rate)
Stock indices = F( money
supply growth, Dow index), inflation, interest rate,
exchange rate )
Wealth Effect = F(
money supply, consumer, business spending, interest rate, currency, stock index,
housing prices)
China macro-economic control, financial market prices OSA , Early Warning
2003-2006
Monetary Policy :
OSA China 2006 macroeconomic forecast:
Soaring oil prices, housing and stock prices (wealth effect, domestic
demand, booming export in the first quarter 2006 pushed China money supply
over 18 % GDP growth 10.2 %, inflation up 3.9 % in March 2006, daily
interbank at 1.60 is too low, must be back to 3 % in tightening the credit
to cool off the demand
As China raised rate by 0.27 to 5.85 % Apr. 28, supported by auto, housing,
metal, coke industry economic control two master hands, inter-bank rate rebound
to 2.2 %
Open Market
Operations Simulation excessive money
supply from 15 to 23 % leading to properties prices up 60 %-100 %
since 1999, and auto demand up 67 %, steel and cotton prices doubled, asset
bubble and raise the reserve ratio from 6 to 7 %, intended to cut M2 supply
growth from 23 % to 17 % target. ( it was down to 19.4 % in March . 2004. daily interbank rate up from 2 %
to 3.9 % in early Nov 2003 and and easing off in Dec. to 2.2 %. raised business loan
upper rate floating limit .China Peoples Bank 4 th quarter 2003 GDP
soared to 10.7 % Jan - March This author accurately warned Dec. 21, 2003 in on
China economist meeting at Fudan University and March 2004 on
www.osawh.com
that China money supply was excessive as inter bank rate still at 2.2
%, it will up to 3 % in the month ahead, Feb money supply growth still at
19.4 %
was excessive led to
monetary policy meeting discuss taking effective measure to restructure loan
structure, avoid excessive loan into excessive investment to low quality
overlapped industries , steel investment up 174 %, cement up 134 %, total
fixed investment up 43 %, soaring oil, commodity, metal prices reaching
19 high due to US rate and tax cut, dollar depreciation and China excessive
demand led to first quarter inflation up 3.5 % GDP up 9.4 % forced China Peoples
Bank to raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % again Apr. 25,, interbank rate rebound to
2.8 % as predicted
While encourage banking industry to increase their loan to medium, small
enterprises and boost rural area consumer demand, creating jobs
Monetary policy: second phase credit tightening: Dr. Huang
lectured on Monetary policy impact on global capital markets
asset prices, bubble early warning, risk management to Euro-events
Asian finance, capital markets conference Nov. 5, 2003, China, finance, capital
market conference, Nov. 25, 2003, Shanghai, Nov. 27, Beijin, 2003 accurately
predicted soaring oil, commodity, metal prices will reaching 19 year new high,
in the summer 2004 will push US inflation rate deflate above 3.0 %, CPI
above 2.7 % will raise interest rate after May, 2004, China will continue credit
tightening, as confirmed by China People's bank raised reserve ratio Apr. to cut the money supply
growth target from 2003's 18 % ( actual Feb 2004 at 19.4 % ) to 17 %
this year and
Greenspan
indicated the need for rate hike
China ADR shares industrial outlook OSA, asset bubble earning warning,
China and global ADR /IPO shares prices = ( China money supply , investor
sentiment, Shanghai index,
China stock corporate earning outlook, US consumer, investor sentiment, Dow
Jones index)
This author accurately predicted Dow Jones and Nasdaq index facing correction
due to inflation, rate hike fear, China slowdown, price cutting and earning
peaking out in the second half.
Both China and US investor sentiment will improve after current brief correction
and ready for 20 % rebound flooded by favorable third quarter economic and
earning news. and give up its gain in the final quarter.
==========================Special
Announcement==============================
Due to Dr. Huang's busy US, Asian workshops
demand for US/China credit tightening, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second
half US/Asian market investment strategy, Dr. Huang stop updating all his
website starting today May 10, 2004). join
Dr. Huang's full day workshop provide the
latest forecasts, investment opportunities, risks early warning for 2004 global economy, capital markets prices, Global
Currencies, ADR shares , mutual fund asset management investment opportunities,
earning warning
for Global central banks monetary
policy makers, financial, capital markets, CEO, executives, investors book your
strategic workshops
email
osawhh@citiz.net ,
wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
All this website recommendation are for investors reference, Dr. has copy right
on it contents, should not be used for any commercial use without approval
| Name | Symbols | outlook. early warning | trading range |
| China Mobil HK | CHL | credit tightening, price cutting, competition | 24- 30 |
| China Unicom | CHU | credit tightening, price cutting, competition | 7- 10 |
| China Telecom | CHA | credit tightening, price cutting, competition | 29- 35 |
| China PetroChem Corp | SNP | soaring oil, rising costs, credit tightening in auto, housing | 45- 59 |
| PetroChina | PTR | soaring oil, rising costs, sensitive to oil price bubble | 90- 110 |
| CNOOC | CEO | soaring oil, rising costs, sensitive to oil price bubble | 60-82 |
| China Life Ins. | LFC | credit tightening, rising delinquency, default | 50-65 |
| Alumina Corp China | ACH | credit tightening, energy shortage, soaring cost | 45- 65 |
| Shangha Luijiazui | SLUJY | credit tightening, default, peaking out in demand | 3- 5 |
| GuanshenRailway | GSH | soaring cost , competition from bus | 15- 20 |
| Shanghai Petrochemical | SHI | soaring oil, rising costs, credit tightening in auto, housing | 45-57 |
| Jiangxi copper | JIXAY | soaring copper price, rising oil cost | 30- 40 |
| China EasternAir | CEA | soaring fuel cost, price cutting | 14- 19 |
| Netease | NTES | competition | 15- 22 |
| Pingan insurance | PNGAY | soaring risks due to credit tightening | 50- 58 |
Daily China government, corporate bond yield, commodity, metal, grain
futures, mutual fund performance/forecasts
China IPO shares soared 150 % with average P/E ration
over 56- 75 follow Shanghai index as investors sentiment reaching new high
repeating 2001 bubble burst risks
Daily Shanghai and
Shenzhen A, B shares investment strategy, early warning
Hong Kong Blue Chip and China red chips, H-
Share prices OSA,
asset bubble earning warning,
details can be found on www.osawh.com
China A/B / ADR
/ H/IPO shares
www.osawh.com/chinastoc.html
US IT/ biotech merger, IPO shares
www.osawh.com/ipo.html
China bond, commodity future, mutual fund
www.osawh.com/chinast01.html
Taiwan stock index, most actives, mutual fund
www.osawh.com/taistoc1.html
Hong Kong Henseng index, blue, red chip, H share
www.osawh.com/hkstoc2.html
US and global markets global capital markets investment
strategic simulation tailored to your need . please email
wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
Reserve our Monetary policy impact on China housing and banking stock
performance, risk management workshops email
osawhh@citiz.net,
wh3928@yahoo.com
Central banking monetary policy impact
simulation workshops
Goal:
monetary policy for sustainable growth and financial market asset prices
stability ( not just consumer prices inflation)
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictive ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for 40
countries tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread,
recovery , early warning of last 25 years global financial, currency,
energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis feed-forward control to prevention
overshooting, delay action , uneven economic development resulted asset bubbles
overheating and trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your current policy impact on growth and prices
stability OSA
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your
own policy impact OSA, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com website
visited by million global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic,
Fiscal Policy Impact Simulation on:
Why we have uneven economic development in regional, industries, How to use
industrial finance simulation to avoid it
Macro economics :GDP, inflation, consumer, business spending, unemployment
Financial Economics/
financial market prices: interest rates, currency, stock indices
Industrial asset demand /prices: Housing, oil/ commodity prices, 20
industrial sector products prices.
Trade Economics: export/import/trade surplus/deficit, currency, competitive
pricing market shares.
Optimal monetary policy control for sustainable growth and prices
stability
Who should attend:
central banks chairman, regional governors, macro/financial/industrial/trade
economic research, executives and banking, securities, insurance regulation
executives, banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, economic
policy planner, SOE, medium enterprises CEO, CFO, board members, auditing
committee.
Reservation Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of your
date
Location:
Your office
Second half
2004 China/US economic, financial market outlook, emerging trend:
Global/Asia QFII/QDII Optimal Asset Allocation, Portfolio Selection Strategic
Value Investing OSA 2-day Workshops
Global/
China economy, capital market asset prices simulation, bubbles early warning,
risk management
By
Dr. Warren Huang, Global leader and pioneer in Global capital markets asset
prices simulation, asset allocation, portfolio management OSA
wh3928@yahoo.com USA
Goal and
Mission
OSA inviting you to our Global/ China Economy and Capital Market Asset Prices
Simulation, Bubbles Early warning, Asset allocation, portfolio Investment
strategy, Risk management in-house executives workshops, supporting China/
global QFII/QDII optimal global asset allocation, portfolio management
strategy banking, finance, enterprises reform :
What is the future of US, Asian, China, Eastern, Western European, Russia
economic recovery, risks, return in post WTO China capital markets, What is the
impact of global asset price bubbles and China credit tightening on Asian
/global export, economy, capital markets asset prices, asset allocation value
investment strategy
These workshops will bring you millions global/China executives feedback from
thousands of our past workshops , forecasts the what, why of how market forces
controlling last 20 years global/China economy, capital market asset prices by
Dr. Huang’s pioneering two master hands.
Over 60 ASEAN, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan QFII, multinationals( Citicorp, UBS, BNP,
ABN, Deutsch Bank, DBS, Bank of Singapore, Motorola, Acer, Texaco, AIG, Ernest
Young, Bearingpoint ) companies VP, executives contact for these workshops since
Nov. 5, 2003
When you have Dr.
Huang's two
OSA master hands you are in good hands
for
global central banks macro-economic control ,
prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, mutual fund optimal asset allocation euqities,
bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,
risk hedging
tracking/forecasts month ahead the root causes,
onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts
over
30 million China,
Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European
executives, investors on TV, radio programs and
thousands workshops since 1985. He
lecture to 24 global central bank
governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global central banks, banking, finance,
corporate CEO, executives on this website since 1998 ,predicted
2000- 2003 global IT stocks and mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking,
old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund
plunged 50- 70 % July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this
website and
predicted US and global stocks rebound March 2003 Dow
Jones rebound from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound
from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, Russia index almost double and
index
mutual fund up 80 % rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset
Securitization conference to 50 central
bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002
again in 2003 to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt ,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2 , 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
,
identify month ahead, investment opportunities in
China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China
blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value
investing China mutual fund shares up 80 %and
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai
, Dec.
2003 early warning for asset bubbles
in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak,
( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive
China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening, US CPI to
2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % force Greenspan raise interest rate in May and
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation
outlook serious housing bubble will lead to rate hike, despite high
unemployment in the election year and global IT and blue chips banking
shares and its mutual fund facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750-
10500, Nasdaq 1800- 2090 , Taiwan index 5600-6500, Henseng 10500- 14000,
Nikkei 11000- 12500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1500-1650-,
Shenzhen 3500- 4100, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 105- 112, US, Asian and European
stocks gave up all this year gain.
===========================================================================
workshop highlights
A Monetary, Economic Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Global Economic
Recovery : GDP, Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI: China Hong Kong
Taiwan Singapore US, Western / Eastern Europe, Russia Japan, Korea
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact on China Capital
Markets, Fund return and risks:
China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore
US,
EMU EURO /
Eastern Europe, Russia
Japan, Korea
.
Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income
fund forecasts risk s early warning
. China
state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing
strategy
·Strategic Corporate Governance, supervision,
financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning
·Banking, finance reform, IPO, Securities, Banking, Insurance market
regulation, supervision early warning
. Causes, onset, recovery, early warning of
China financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance
and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic China QFII/DFII, for domestic and
foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets
listing pricing
· Equity fund capital markets: Shanghai,
Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng
, Blue chips, Red chips, H share,
Taiwan Japan, US, Russia, global indices futures,
derivatives prices mechanism, Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency
market futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
. IT post bubble recovery, housing, auto, steel
bubbles demand, prices, earning, stocks, mutual fund performance
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives
prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging risks.
· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B listed stocks corporate
earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China oils, petrochemical, fiber/textile
corporate early, stocks prices, mutual fund performance, investment strategy.
China
mutual fund and global mutual fund performance , investment and distribution
strategy
.
China and US
Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock prices,
investment strategy
·
Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed
Asset Securitization prices, defaults risks simulation
·China/US
equities and properties wealth effect investment strategy simulation
and risks management
.China
/US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index mutual fund performance, asset
allocation risk management
China and US monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian
economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset Allocation strategy:
US China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore, Malaysia, Japan Korea, Thailand,
India Eastern Europe/Russia EURO
==============================================================================================
Who should
attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO board members,
financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset, fund managers,
banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities,
currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San
Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion
dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted
trillion dollar loss.
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops (June)
osawhh@citiz.net ( Chinese) or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
Dr.
Warren Huang has 30 years pioneering Wall Street research for US major oils,
Taiwan, China government, banking, securities, insurance, properties companies,
state , medium enterprises global investment ,supply chain strategy tracking
monetary , economic, WTO policy impact on last 20 years and current global
economy daily capital markets asset prices, 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters
100 countries currency export quote strategy OSA, accurately predicted China
1989, 1994 macroeconomic control and 1996 soft-landing and current credit
tightening and root causes, onset, recovery Asian and global financial,
currency, energy crisis and current high tech bubble burst recovery.
He has been invited to speak to 24 global central banks governors ( China
Peoples Bank, US, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks) and financial risk
management, Shanghai world economic forum conferences; offered thousand
executives investment strategy workshops to million China, Taiwan, Hong Kong
government, banking, securities, insurance, properties cos CEO, CFO, money
managers and daily, weekly market commentary for China, Taiwan 15 cities (
Shanghai, Bejiin, Shenzhen, Taipei) 30 million TV, radio financial executives,
VIP investors since 1994
He has been keynote speaker, offered full day workshops for IBC Asia, Asian
Business Forum and EURO-EVENTS conferences in Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Beijin,
Shanghai,
Dr. Huang’s 20 years global tracking record:,
always predicted 3-6 month ahead global financial ,
global stock indices,
currency, energy,
commodity futures and asset bubble burst
crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
Choose your own
subjects for each half day session