Innovation in Financial Engineering, Financial Econometrics
Structural Finance Theory, Tools, 
Proactive Structural, Dynamic Asset Futures and Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation  Maximize Risks Adjusted Return   
 
        Warren Huang  OSA Global Strategic Management,  San Francisco, Cal, USA
website:  www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com    email:   wh3928@yahoo.com,   osawhh@sina.com

Abstract: This author 20 years innovation in  proactive global financial engineering asset futures, derivatives prices theory and  strategic financial risk management decision analysis, banking, finance, SOE, multinationals, SME reform, derivatives accounting tracking, forecasts for corporate scandal early warning,  teaching and research experiences .
He pioneered two master hands controlling global macroeconomics, finance, daily capital market asset prices futures, derivatives prices , through thousands proactive, structural, dynamic ( through Artificial Intelligence, Neural net
based  multivariate regression expert systems out of OSA  pioneer Dr. Warren Huang 35 years global financial markets  information knowledge based expert systems  and extended to Proactive Structural VAR (vector multivariate auto regression ) GARCH  with GARCH- Granger co-integration  causes ,effect,  tracking  in financial econometrics ), simulation of global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on last 20 years inflation, interest, rates, currency, commodity, oil , stock, bond  futures,  integrating into Black-Schole derivatives prices equation, properties  prices, demand market forces mechanism for global financial, currency, asset bubble burst early warning. avoided batting on the wrong side of investment resulted trillion dollar loss and financial crisis..
These innovative simulators providing innovations in financial  engineering  asset prices theory, decision tools, and applications , predicted years, months ahead of the emerging market trend for  US, China, Taiwan, global central banks reliable proactive-reactive macroeconomic control and banking, finance Basel II market, credit, operational risks in China A, B and Hong Kong blue, red chips, H China ADR, China Casdaq, Taiwan, US listed stocks and  bond, futures, derivatives, housing  markets prices value investing and risks hedging strategy ,innovations in structural finance products,  assets securitization prices  rational investment tools, avoided  markets speculation  on the business, economic news and technical charting , following the crowd ,  using current statistical, probabilistic capita market prices models (CAPM) chasing the market news, betting on the wrong side of decisions resulted trillion dollar market nonperformance loan loss.
These paper will describe innovation in model based data mining developing over 10 years global capital markets information knowledge base and proactive, structural China, Taiwan, US, global capital  stock futures, derivatives  market forces mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) and investment strategy, risk hedging applications in structural financial products in asset securitizations
The author has offered thousands lectures, workshops to China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio investors, CEO, CFO, hedging fund managers and China, US, Taiwan, Asian, European central banks governors, asset securitization, financial risk hedging , early warning management conferences, tracking daily results since 1990.

Keyword:  Proactive, Structural Asset prices Derivatives Dynamic simulation, 
Innovation in Structural finance products:  China/global,  interest rate, currency, stocks, bond,  commodity futures,  derivatives, 20 industrial sectors 5000 assets, housing demand, nonperformance debt, equities, properties prices recovery and securitization market forces mechanism,  strategic hedging risk management

 friendly link to www.derivativesportal.org    of Eurex and IMC
Integrate last 20 years daily global macro, financial, industries, trade economics dynamic simulation into futures, derivatives market forces prices mechanism, forecast accurately month ahead major emerging price movement trend

OSA global strategic management , pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's  two master hands thousands structural dynamic
simulation/ forecasts month ahead, controlling monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on last 20 years China/ global economy, interest rates, currency, commodity, stock indices, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices, futures, derivatives, prices, crisis, market, credit, operational risks , crisis, early warning / strategic structural hedging fund,  emerging market investment strategy and risk management  (OSA) /forecasts  provide the what, why, how and timing of risks hedging, stay ahead of the emerging macro economy, capital market asset prices  futures, options market prices movement trend, capitalize, maximize risks adjusted   return   in global crisis , avoided current major market players following the crowd, speculating on the business, economic news and probabilistic models based risk estimation resulted trillion dollar betting on the wrong side derivatives market loss. 
Thousands articles published to 78 countries , invited to speak to US, China, Taiwan, Asian, ECB, UK
24 central banks governors, financial risks hedging management, wealth management conferences, offered thousands lectures  and  investment workshops to China, US, Taiwan Asian 15 cities TV, radio 30 million  fund managers, individual, institutional investors tracking the results since 1985, Million global central banks, banking, finance, derivatives key market players executives visited his website www.osawh.com
OSA Global Strategic Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive decision tools--

Hundred thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model simulators
first time 
 
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index futures
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index  futures
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index  futures
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index
 futures have been developed, implemented supporting the following  goal, mission, performance oriented  outsourcing strategic centers corporate/ memberships/ workshops   tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises  board members, think tank and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency,energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
 
 Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop

Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock costs
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum
 
www.abf-asia.com/project/1733cc_PTIT.pdf   China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop

 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis, supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by osawhh@citiz.net
 :
Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003  Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio station , and  www.osawh.com website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed summer  rate hikes, China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, global stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30- 50 % correction , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.   

Dr. Warren Huang will be the opening keynote speaker for Frontier in Knowledge's China WTO pricing strategy conference Sept. 16-17 in Pudong, Shanghai to speak on WTO, China, US credit tightening impact on China banking, finance, insurance, oil, gas, petrochemicals, housing, auto , high tech industries  products , derivatives  prices  ,value based competitive pricing, revenue, profit optimization  stock prices, investment strategy, Basel II risks management  he will offer post conference in-house workshops to banking, finance, fund managers, supply chain managers, risk managers  in Shanghai  Sept. 17-19,  Taipei  Sept 21- 25, Singapore Sept -29- 30, Kuala Lumpur Oct. 3- 5 , email   osawhh@citiz.net  for in-house workshops reservation, to help banking, securities, mutual fund managers stay ahead of the emerging market price trend, create up to 1000 % customer profit and new account opening, as he did during 1994-96 China macro-economic control for 30 million China investors, fund managers.
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2 day workshop highlights 
Day one

Integrate last 20 years daily global macro, financial, industries, trade economics dynamic simulation into futures, derivatives ( Black-Schole formula) market forces prices mechanism, forecast accurately month ahead major emerging price movement trend  avoided current major market players following the crowd, speculating on the business, economic news and probabilistic models based risk estimation resulted trillion dollar market loss

China/global derivatives financial accounting law.
2005 Global economy,  inflation, interest rate, capital markets outlook  rate hike, oil prices impact OSA
A  Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/ Global Economic Recovery : GDP,  Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI:   China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore  US, Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact  on China/global stock indices derivatives prices ,
 China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore    US,  Europe,  Russia  Japan,    
. Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income derivatives prices forecasts risk hedging
.
 China state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock, derivatives pricing, hedging  strategy
·Corporate Governance, supervision, financial systems monitoring , stock  derivatives prices forecasts, off balance sheet derivatives accounting tracking  hedging
 
·Banking, finance reform, IPO,  Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation, supervision Basel II  risk early warning
  currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets listing pricing 
· Equity fund capital markets:  Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng , Blue chips, Red chips, H share, Taiwan  Japan, US, Russia,  global  indices futures,  derivatives  prices mechanism,  Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency market  futures, derivatives prices , forecasts,
risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO, stock, derivatives prices, risks  

Day Two  equities prices, futures, derivatives OSA /Forecasts, Basel II risks control


IT  post bubble recovery,  housing, auto, steel  bubbles demand, prices, earning, stock
s derivatives prices, hedge fund 
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives  prices, earning, stocks, derivatives  prices forecasts, hedging  risks.

· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B  listed stocks  corporate earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical, early, stocks prices, mutual and hedge fund performance, investment strategy.

 China mutual fund  and global  mutual fund performance , investment and distribution strategy

 China /US /Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock p
rices, investment strategy
· Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed Asset Securitization, synthetic CDO credit  derivatives  prices,  defaults risks simulation
·China/US equities and properties housing bubble  wealth effect investment strategy simulation and risks management 
.China /US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index  mutual  fund performance, asset allocation risk management
. Causes, onset,  recovery, early warning of China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
 China/US capital markets asset prices simulation, Basel II credit, markets, operational, interest rates risks simulation
early warning, predictive  control
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Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO  board members, financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset,  hedge fund managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.

Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar loss.

Language:  Mandarin or English

 Reserve your  in-house workshops    osawhh@sina.com  ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )

 References:

Global Rate Hikes Impact on Financial Engineering : Asset Prices, Bubble Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investment/supply chain, Basel II risk control  workshops
 Shanghai  May 22- June 2, Taipei  July 8, 12, 2005 ,     email  
osawhh@sina.com   for in-house workshops reservation

covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983  by  80 )

 Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset prices, crisis, bubble early warning

Rate hikes Impact on Global 20 industrial sectors demand, pricing strategy, profit squeeze simulation/forecast, strategic investment, supply chain logistics lectures/workshops tours 

Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset prices, crisis, bubble early warning

     /黃華南博士版權所有  100 million copies Copyright 2006 over 72 countries www.osawh.com /Dr.Warren Huang

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