Innovation in Financial Engineering, Financial
Econometrics
Structural
Finance Theory, Tools,
Proactive Structural, Dynamic Asset Futures and Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation
Maximize Risks Adjusted Return
Warren Huang OSA Global Strategic
Management, San Francisco, Cal, USA
website: www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com
email: wh3928@yahoo.com,
osawhh@sina.com
Abstract: This author 20 years innovation in proactive global financial engineering asset
futures, derivatives prices
theory and strategic financial risk management decision analysis, banking,
finance, SOE, multinationals, SME reform, derivatives accounting tracking,
forecasts for corporate scandal early warning, teaching and research experiences .
He pioneered two master hands controlling global macroeconomics, finance, daily
capital market asset prices futures, derivatives prices , through thousands
proactive, structural, dynamic ( through Artificial Intelligence, Neural net
based
multivariate regression expert systems out of OSA
pioneer Dr. Warren Huang 35
years global financial markets information knowledge based expert systems
and extended to
Proactive Structural VAR (vector multivariate auto regression ) GARCH with
GARCH- Granger co-integration causes
,effect, tracking in financial econometrics ), simulation of global central banks monetary,
economic, fiscal policy impact on last 20 years inflation, interest, rates,
currency, commodity, oil , stock, bond futures, integrating into
Black-Schole derivatives prices equation, properties
prices, demand market forces mechanism for global financial, currency, asset
bubble burst early warning. avoided batting on the wrong side of investment
resulted trillion dollar loss and financial crisis..
These innovative simulators providing innovations in financial engineering
asset prices theory, decision tools, and applications , predicted years, months
ahead
of the emerging market trend for US, China, Taiwan, global central banks
reliable proactive-reactive macroeconomic control and banking, finance Basel II
market, credit, operational risks in China A, B and Hong Kong blue, red chips, H
China ADR, China Casdaq, Taiwan, US listed stocks and bond, futures,
derivatives, housing markets prices value investing and risks hedging strategy
,innovations in structural finance products, assets securitization prices
rational investment tools, avoided markets speculation on the business,
economic news and technical charting , following the crowd , using current
statistical, probabilistic capita market prices models (CAPM) chasing the market
news, betting on the wrong side of decisions resulted trillion dollar market
nonperformance loan loss.
These paper will describe innovation in model based data mining developing over
10 years global capital markets information knowledge base and proactive,
structural China, Taiwan, US, global capital stock futures, derivatives market
forces mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) and investment strategy,
risk hedging applications in structural financial products in asset
securitizations
The author has offered thousands lectures, workshops to China, Taiwan, US 15
cities TV, radio investors, CEO, CFO, hedging fund managers and China, US,
Taiwan, Asian, European central banks governors, asset securitization, financial
risk hedging , early warning management conferences, tracking daily results
since 1990.
Keyword: Proactive, Structural Asset prices Derivatives Dynamic simulation,
Innovation in Structural finance products: China/global, interest rate,
currency, stocks, bond, commodity futures, derivatives, 20 industrial sectors
5000 assets, housing demand, nonperformance debt, equities, properties prices
recovery and securitization market forces mechanism, strategic hedging risk
management
friendly link to
www.derivativesportal.org of Eurex and IMC
Integrate last 20 years daily global macro, financial, industries, trade
economics dynamic simulation into futures, derivatives market forces prices
mechanism, forecast accurately month ahead major emerging price movement trend
OSA global strategic management , pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's two master
hands thousands structural dynamic
simulation/
forecasts month ahead, controlling monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy
impact on last 20 years China/ global economy, interest rates, currency,
commodity, stock indices, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices,
profit margin, stock prices, futures, derivatives, prices, crisis,
market, credit, operational risks , crisis, early warning / strategic structural
hedging fund, emerging market investment strategy and risk management (OSA)
/forecasts
provide the what, why, how and timing of risks hedging, stay ahead of the
emerging macro economy, capital market asset prices futures, options market prices movement trend, capitalize, maximize risks
adjusted return in global crisis
, avoided current major market players following the crowd, speculating
on the business, economic news and probabilistic models based risk estimation
resulted trillion dollar betting on the wrong side derivatives market loss.
Thousands articles published to 78 countries , invited to speak to US, China,
Taiwan, Asian, ECB, UK 24 central
banks governors, financial risks hedging management, wealth management
conferences, offered thousands lectures and investment workshops to
China, US, Taiwan Asian 15 cities TV, radio 30 million fund managers,
individual, institutional investors tracking the results since 1985, Million
global central banks, banking, finance, derivatives key market players executives visited his website
www.osawh.com
OSA Global Strategic
Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive decision tools--
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
futures
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
futures
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
futures
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index
futures
have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
Predicted 3 months ahead
last 20 years global currency,energy , financial crisis ,
1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT
bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
Strategic China Energy
trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum
www.abf-asia.com/project/1733cc_PTIT.pdf
China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis, supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@citiz.net :
Dr.
Warren Huang CV accurately predicted
Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003
Asian/China finance, capital Markets
conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio
station ,
and www.osawh.com website that US Oil,
commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in
May 2004 job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed summer rate hikes, China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, global stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30-
50 % correction , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
Dr. Warren Huang will be the opening
keynote speaker for Frontier in Knowledge's China WTO pricing strategy
conference Sept. 16-17 in Pudong, Shanghai to speak on WTO, China, US credit
tightening impact on China banking, finance, insurance, oil, gas,
petrochemicals, housing, auto , high tech industries products ,
derivatives prices ,value
based competitive pricing, revenue, profit optimization stock prices,
investment strategy,
Basel II risks management he will offer
post conference in-house workshops to banking, finance, fund managers, supply
chain managers, risk managers in Shanghai Sept. 17-19, Taipei Sept 21- 25,
Singapore Sept -29- 30, Kuala Lumpur Oct. 3- 5 , email
osawhh@citiz.net
for in-house workshops reservation, to help banking, securities, mutual fund
managers stay ahead of the emerging market price trend, create up to 1000 %
customer profit and new account opening, as he did during 1994-96 China
macro-economic control for 30 million China investors, fund managers.
=================================================
2 day workshop highlights
Day one
Integrate last 20 years daily
global macro, financial, industries, trade economics dynamic simulation into
futures, derivatives ( Black-Schole formula) market forces prices mechanism, forecast accurately month
ahead major emerging price movement trend
avoided current major market players
following the crowd, speculating on the business, economic news and
probabilistic models based risk estimation resulted trillion dollar market loss
China/global derivatives financial accounting law.
2005 Global economy, inflation, interest rate, capital markets outlook
rate hike, oil prices impact OSA
A Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/
Global Economic Recovery : GDP, Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI: China
Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore US, Europe, Russia Japan,
Korea
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact on China/global
stock indices derivatives prices ,
China Hong Kong Taiwan Singapore
US,
Europe, Russia Japan,
.
Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income
derivatives prices forecasts risk hedging
. China
state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock, derivatives pricing,
hedging strategy
·Corporate Governance, supervision,
financial systems monitoring , stock derivatives prices forecasts, off
balance sheet derivatives accounting tracking hedging
·Banking, finance reform, IPO, Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation,
supervision Basel II risk early warning
currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance
and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and
foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets
listing pricing
· Equity fund capital markets: Shanghai,
Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng
, Blue chips, Red chips, H share,
Taiwan Japan, US, Russia, global indices futures,
derivatives prices mechanism, Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , global currency
market futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO,
stock, derivatives prices, risks
Day Two equities prices, futures, derivatives OSA /Forecasts, Basel II
risks control
IT post bubble recovery, housing, auto, steel bubbles demand, prices,
earning, stocks derivatives prices, hedge fund
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives
prices, earning, stocks, derivatives prices forecasts, hedging risks.
· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B listed stocks corporate
earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical, early,
stocks prices, mutual and hedge fund performance, investment strategy.
China
mutual fund and global mutual fund performance , investment and distribution
strategy
China /US /Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance,
stock prices,
investment strategy
·
Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed
Asset Securitization, synthetic CDO credit derivatives prices, defaults risks simulation
·China/US
equities and properties housing bubble wealth effect investment
strategy simulation and risks management
.China
/US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index mutual fund performance, asset
allocation risk management
. Causes, onset, recovery, early warning of
China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
China/US capital markets asset prices simulation, Basel II credit,
markets, operational, interest rates risks simulation
early warning, predictive control
==============================================================================================
Who should
attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO board members,
financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset, hedge fund managers,
banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities,
currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.
Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San
Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion
dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted
trillion dollar loss.
Language: Mandarin or English
Reserve your in-house workshops
osawhh@sina.com ( Chinese) or
wh3928@yahoo.com ( English )
References:
Global Rate Hikes Impact on Financial Engineering : Asset Prices, Bubble
Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investment/supply chain, Basel II risk
control workshops
Shanghai May 22- June 2, Taipei
July 8, 12, 2005 , email
osawhh@sina.com
for in-house workshops reservation
covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives investors since 1983 by 80 )
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic
Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic
Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
/黃華南博士版權所有 100 million copies Copyright 2006 over 72 countries www.osawh.com /Dr.Warren Huang
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