Proactive structural banking, housing mortgage loan defaults crisis simulation forecast years, month ahead
It helps 80 countries government ,banking, finance business fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown  futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into daily capital market prices, business performance, ( Bloomberg, Reuters, SINA, Yahoo Finance capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year opportunities and crisis , change personal life, change business and world decision making  
Abstract: This author 20 years innovation in  proactive global financial engineering asset futures, derivatives prices theory and  strategic financial risk management decision analysis, banking, finance, SOE, multinationals, SME reform, derivatives accounting tracking, forecasts for corporate scandal early warning,  teaching and research experiences .
He pioneered two master hands controlling global macroeconomics, finance, daily capital market asset prices futures, derivatives prices , through thousands proactive, structural, dynamic simulation of global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on last 20 years inflation, interest, rates, currency, commodity, oil , stock, bond  futures,  integrating into Black-Schole derivatives prices equation, properties  prices, demand market forces mechanism for global financial, currency, asset bubble burst early warning. avoided batting on the wrong side of investment resulted trillion dollar loss and financial crisis..
These innovative simulators providing innovations in financial  engineering  asset prices theory, decision tools, and applications , predicted years, months ahead
of the emerging market trend for  US, China, Taiwan, global central banks reliable proactive-reactive macroeconomic control and banking, finance Basel II market, credit, operational risks in China A, B and Hong Kong blue, red chips, H China ADR, China Casdaq, Taiwan, US listed stocks and  bond, futures, derivatives, housing  markets prices value investing and risks hedging strategy ,innovations in structural finance products,  assets securitization prices  rational investment tools, avoided  markets speculation  on the business, economic news and technical charting , following the crowd ,  using current statistical, probabilistic capita market prices models (CAPM) chasing the market news, betting on the wrong side of decisions resulted trillion dollar market nonperformance loan loss.
These paper will describe innovation in model based data mining developing over 10 years global capital markets information knowledge base ( Bloomberg, Reuters, SINA, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street Journals) and proactive, structural China, Taiwan, US, global capital  stock futures, derivatives  market forces mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) and investment strategy, risk hedging applications in structural financial products in asset securitizations
The author has offered thousands lectures, workshops to China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio investors, CEO, CFO, hedging fund managers and China, US, Taiwan, Asian, European central banks governors, asset securitization, financial risk hedging , early warning management conferences, tracking daily results since 1990.
Keyword:  Proactive, Structural Asset prices Derivatives Dynamic Simulation, 
Innovation in Structural finance products:  China/global,  interest rate, currency, stocks, bond,  commodity futures,  derivatives, 20 industrial sectors 5000 assets, housing demand, nonperformance debt, equities, properties prices recovery and securitization market forces mechanism,  strategic hedging risk management
 friendly link to www.derivativesportal.org    of Eurex and IMC
Integrate last 20 years daily global macro, financial, industries, trade economics dynamic simulation into futures, derivatives market forces prices mechanism, forecast accurately month ahead major emerging price movement trend

　

Dr. Warren Huang accurately warned US heading for recession summer 2008 , oil go to 100, US, global stocks
give up all their gain since 2006  despite rate cuts on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept. 19, 2007

Fed is pleasing every one in the Wall Street and global capital and housing markets by offering surprise half
point cut, even Greenspan in 2001 dare not to do it when the oil price was only 19 dollar and gold price below 400.
Dow Jones shot up 350 points heading for record 14000 again , certainly will boost the housing prices ( July housing price
 already up 5 %),and It cut mortgage rate and lending cost by half point. bail out the sub-prime rate reset cost, will temporarily cut mortgage default rate ( according to my housing prices and default rate model)but it will led to dollar plunge to new low 1.40 , it will hit 1.50 sometime next year,Oil price already celebrating the rate cut, by shooting to 82.4 all time high and heading for 85-100, gold already 735, shooting for 850  soybean heading for 1100  wheat to 870., eventually will spread into core inflation.As Fed job only focus on inflation ( core inflation rate exclude energy and food price) and unemployment it ignore housing, stocks, commodities asset prices bubbles.
But sooner or later, the current stocks prices will not be sustainable, start to plunge, it will drag the housing prices, and led to more default, the burst of next housing bubble,  drag economic into recession till 2008 summer ,can not be solved by any rate cuts Greenspan was much luckier than Benanke, he could go ahead with full steam rate cut, but we will be facing inflationary recession ahead
detail can be found on www.osawh.com/riskm.html Comment by Warren Huang - September 18, 2007 at 5:55 pm

OSA global strategic management , pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's  two master hands thousands structural dynamic simulation/ forecasts month ahead, controlling monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on last 20 years China/ global economy, interest rates, currency, commodity, stock indices, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices, futures, derivatives, prices, crisis, market, credit, operational risks , crisis, early warning / strategic structural hedging fund,  emerging market investment strategy and risk management  (OSA) /forecasts  provide the what, why, how and timing of risks hedging, stay ahead of the emerging macro economy, capital market asset prices  futures, options market prices movement trend, capitalize, maximize risks adjusted   return   in global crisis , avoided current major market players following the crowd, speculating on the business, economic news and probabilistic models based risk estimation resulted trillion dollar betting on the wrong side derivatives market loss. 
Thousands articles published to 78 countries , invited to speak to US, China, Taiwan, Asian, ECB, UK 24 central banks governors, financial risks hedging management, wealth management conferences, offered thousands lectures  and  investment workshops to China, US, Taiwan Asian 15 cities TV, radio 30 million  fund managers, individual, institutional investors tracking the results since 1985, Million global central banks, banking, finance, derivatives key market players executives visited his website www.osawh.com
OSA Global Strategic Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive decision tools--

Hundred thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model simulators first time 
 CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index futures
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index  futures
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index  futures
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index  futures have been developed, implemented supporting the following  goal, mission, performance oriented  outsourcing strategic centers corporate/ memberships/ workshops   tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises  board members, think tank and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency,energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
  Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop

Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock costs
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum
 www.abf-asia.com/project/1733cc_PTIT.pdf   China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop
 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis, supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by osawhh@citiz.net  :
Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euro-events conferencesSingapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003  Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio station , and  www.osawh.com website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 %, bond market slump in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed summer  rate hikes, China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, global stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30- 50 % correction , avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.