Applications: Rigorous FCC/ROC riser reactors/regenerators optimal operations real options analysis model-based expert systems have been developed, implemented for full range European, US, Arabian, Asian crude oil compositions in integ- rated FCC/ROC control, optimization, corporate restructuring , reengineering , TQM cost reductions real options risks control analysis applications. This system will provide simulation of global central banks monetary policy impact on global crude oils, residue oil, gas oil prices simulation, procurement strategy, refining, olefins products competitive pricing and FCC/ROC reactor yields, regenerators catalyst activity carbon content tracking improvement, de-bottlenecking for full range feedstock compositions, operating loads, severity changes, corporate managers, technical, operating staff on the job training simulators

Strategy: This system has been developed out of last 12 years daily US, Asian, European Wall Street Journal, IMF data, NPRA, daily global crude oils, olefin, refining products prices data, corporate/plant entire operating history (full range feeds and loads, operating severity); extensive literature and patent search for FCC/HOC/DCC reactors catalytic and kinetics mechanism, design and operators, technical staff's operating expertise, market forces psychology as the knowledge base, applying the latest economic, kinetics theory, artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, neural net, chaos theory based expert systems These systems simulate global central banks monetary policy impact on daily global economy, financial markets, oils, refining products, petro- chemicals prices and full range crude oil compositions, operating load, severity change impact on refinery reactors yields for various licensors design with average error below 1.5%. features include:

* Real options analysis for global credit, interest rates, currency exchange rates, profit margin , stocks, financial derivatives risks simulation and control.

* Real options analysis for global crude oil, gas, fuel oils and feedstock price forecasts and procurement strategy

* Real options analysis for global , refining products, olefin competitive pricing, forecasts, marketing and sales strategy

* Corporate finance, marketing, and procurement managers Real Options analysis on the job training

* Full range severity, gas oil, heavy oils, oil fluid catalytic and deep cracking for octane upgrading, riser reactors yields and regenerator catalyst activity, carbon contents improvements.,

Operations Management Implementation: OSA program manager Dr. Warren Huang will conduct FCC/ROC system restructuring operations review, goal setting, implement cost reduction OSA teams program.

Economics: Up to Billion US dollars saving without staff reduction, hardware investment in one year OSA program

Commercial Applications: Several global refinery applied, 50 TQM cost reduction workshops offered to refinery managers

References:-All by Dr. Warren Huang "Improve Process by OSA", " Improve Naphtha Crackers Operations", and 12 paper series on HP, . OGJ 1979-1983, "Goal, Mission Performance oriented Design/Operations Simulations Analysis predictive control Maximized Refinery-Olefin Productivity, Flexibility", AIChE 1983 Diamond Jubilee, 1990, Orlando 1999 Dallas, AIChE annual meeting, World Congress II, II, IV, Canada, Tokyo, Germany, 1983, 1986, 1991, Singapore, Beijing, Antwerp, 1989, 1992,1995, 1999," Monetary Policy Impact on global financial crisis, commodities, financial derivatives, stock prices", Washington DC, Taipei, Bangkok, London, Rome, Barcelona Apr-Oct, 1999

Licensor:OSA Int'l Operations Analysis, San Francisco, Calif .