homepage OSA
Global Central Banks Optimal Monetary Policy Trilemma (
Inflation asset bubble, Capital Market, Currency)
solution full day Strategic Workshop
by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
Optimal Proactive, Structural
US Fed /China/Global Monetary Policy, achieving sustainable GDP and Capital Market Growth,
and price stability without Inflation,
Asset Prices bubble OSA( Operations Simulation Analysis ) Performance Guidance and
Control:
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation of US Fed Optimal Monetary
,Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on
Inflation, unemployment, GDP, Assets (Stocks, Bond,
Housing, Commodity) Prices Bubbles Identification, inflation, deflation, burst,
recovery, early warning , performance guidance and Control in achieving
optimal growth and price stability
中文 (Chinese)
The What, Why, How and
timing in
central banking Optimal Predictive Monetary Policy: Integrated Macro economic Control,
imbalance, Systemic Risks, Impact on 20 industrial sectors demand, supply,
prices and Capital
markets Asset Prices market forces mechanism and Stress Testing Early
Warning System achieve Sustainable Growth and Prices Stability
Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of proactive monetary policy presented to China
Peoples bank governor sponsored Asian central bank governors, US Fed Chicago,
Ohio governor, ECB, UK, Taiwan 24 global central bank governors policy and
risks management conferences
OSA founder Dr. Warren Huang
CV
Picture of Dr. Warren Huang speaking,
pioneering
experiences in development, implementation of innovative financial engineering theory of two
master hands controlling global macro economic control, growth, prices stability
and daily financial capital market assets ( stocks, bond, housing, commodities)
prices: Thousand proactive structural dynamic simulation forecasts month,
years ahead of macroeconomic control, monetary economic, fiscal, WTO policy
impact on last 20 years China/global GDP, employment, inflation and daily
capital markets interest rates, currency, bond, commodity, industrial sectors
demand, prices, stock prices market forces mechanism forecast supporting US,
China, Taiwan, Asian government, banking, finance, multinational, state and
medium, small enterprises reform, venture capital investment banking, tracking
the causes, onset, recovery, early warning for global financial, currency,
asset bubbles burst crisis, Basel II credit, market., operations risks
management early warning. with correlation constant over 0.95,
average error below 1.5 %,
He has been invited to speak to US Washington area finance conference on global
financial, banking crisis, ECB post Euro integration, China, Asian 24 global
central bank governors, financial risks
management, oil, financial futures, derivatives conferences.
Dr. Huang
predicted Nov 2005, Beijin China Oil Market conference to
Phillips Petroleum CEO, Aramco, Exxon Mobil, HSBC VP,and this website that
soaring US, business, consumer demand will push oil, metal prices to new
high and credit tightening rate hikes extend
into summer, 2006 Fed fund rate to 5.5 %, global economy facing inflationary slowdown, stocks, bond
market follow US for 20 % correction
repeating
2004 , give up 2005-2006 gain ,oil prices will be soared
to new high ( oil to 80, gold rebound to 550-750) in July peak summer demand season
with soaring inflation and weakening dollar despite recent setback in
concern about economic slowdown
He predicted to Dec 13, 2006 National Taiwan University International Finance
conference, QFII CEO, Journal of Finance editor, academics that oil prices will
rebound from 54 to 69 in summer 2007, inflation will be up to 3.0 % , 10
yr bond yield to 5.2 %,
Fed start raise rate to above 5.5 % this summer, lead to inflationary slowdown,
and US and global stock market correction
US/global neutral interest rate / inflation targeting
will all fail to achieve sustainable growth and prices stability due to
current US/global monetary policy, macroeconomic control policy still based on
30 year old US Friedman monetary economics theory using feedback control, based
on lagging distorted core inflation( exclude food and energy) , GDP,
employment data to set fund
rate, interest rates fail to predict its its impact on currency, stock, commodities,
housing, asset market prices and its impact on CPI and core inflation".
resulted excessive money supply growth , consumer, business demand, 53
trillion equities and housing wealth effect speculation overheating ahead of
asset bubble and in CPI inflation. leading to doing too little, too late in
fighting soaring oil prices and its downstream 5000 products asset prices
bubbles and inflation, after 16 measured rate hikes.
Innovative proactive
FRB monetary policy, rate hikes impact
Economy/Capital Markets Asset
Prices, Bubble Simulation, early
warning and sustainable profit, market shares growth strategy.
Global
Central banking Optimal monetary policy Trilemma Solution:
Proactive Structural Economics Systems and Capital Markets impact
simulation workshops
Goal ::
Proactive
monetary policy for sustainable growth and inflation, exchange rates,
financial market asset prices stability without asset price bubbles
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in proactive year, month ahead
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for 40
countries tracking, forecasts accurately the root causes, onset, spread,
recovery , early warning of last 25 years global financial, currency,
energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis feed-forward control to prevention
overshooting, delay action , uneven economic development resulted asset bubbles
overheating and trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your current policy impact on growth and prices
stability OSA
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Predictive Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution OSA teams in the workshops to develop, implement your
own policy impact OSA, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com website
visited by million global
central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives, academics researchers
Scopes: Monetary, Economic,
Fiscal Policy Impact Simulation on:
Why we have uneven economic development in regional, industries, How to use
industrial finance simulation to avoid it
Macro economics :GDP, inflation, consumer, business spending, unemployment
Financial Economics/
financial market prices: interest rates, currency, stock indices
Industrial asset demand /prices: Housing, oil/ commodity prices, 20
industrial sector demand, products prices, bubble early warning.
Trade Economics: export/import/trade surplus/deficit, currency, competitive
pricing market shares.
Optimal monetary policy control for sustainable growth and prices
stability
Who should attend:
central banks chairman, regional governors, macro/financial/ industrial/trade
economic research, executives and banking, securities, insurance regulation
executives, banking,
securities companies CEO, CFO, investment bankers, money managers, economic
policy planner, SOE, medium enterprises CEO, CFO, board members, auditing
committee.
Reservation Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com one month ahead of your
date
Location:
Your office
Proactive
US Fed monetary policy strategy
for innovative rate hikes impact
on
economy/capital Markets Asset
Prices, Bubble Simulation,
early warning and sustainable profit, market shares growth strategy.
Dr. Warren Huang
predicted
to Asian Business Forum's
Beijin workshop to
ExxonMobil, ARAMCO , Merril Lynch, HSBC, VP, Phillips Petroleum CEO,
100 multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin
Feb and Nov. 2005, that
Green and Bernanke under estimate wealth effect resulted asst bubbles impact on
oil prices and inflation and oil prices
will be soar to 69
in summer 2005, metal prices to new high in January
2006 and oil prices will hit 80 in summer 2006,
US, CPI to 4.3 % in summer will raise rates
throughout summer 2006., Fed fund rate
will go to 5.5 % , China raised
lending rate Apr. 28 to 5.85 % gasoline
futures will to 265, stocks,, bond facing
correction
give up all2005- 2006 gain
ahead. Dow Jones, 10000- 11200, Nasdaq 2000- 2220,
S&P 1150-1290
Greenspan agree with Dr. Warren Huang that RMB revaluation and US raise
import tarrif by 27 % will not help manufacturing cut trade deficit and jobs.
OSA China 2007 macroeconomic forecast:
Soaring oil prices, housing and stock prices (wealth effect, domestic
demand, booming export in the first quarter 2007 pushed China money supply
over 17 % GDP growth 11.7 %, inflation up 3.4 % interbank
rate 1.60 is too low, must be back to 3 % in tightening the credit
to cool off the
business demand
As China raised rate several times and raise deposit ratio from 7.5 to 11
% supported by housing industry economic control two master hands,
still fail to contain the housing and stock market bubbles (up 30 %).
due to excessive capital generated by housing, equities wealth
Dr. Huang, energy forecast
specialist
accurately predicted Feb 22
, Nov 2005
in Beijin Asian
Business Forum 70 global banking, finance, oil companies , QFII CEO,( Merril
Lynch , HSBC VP, Phillips Petroleum CEO and QFII, oil, executives that US facing inflationary slowdown and rate hikes continue into
summer, 2006
as oil prices soared from 45
to 69 , Dow Jones, 10000-
11350, Nasdaq 2000-
2350, S&P 1150-1350
He predicted again in Beijing Nov 18 to Asian Business
Forum China Oil Markets conference to Exxon Mobil, ARAMCO, VP
, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 30 oil companies CEO, executives
that increasing oils , downstream demand driving oil prices to 64 around
Christmas and 69 in January , metals prices to new high. plunging US dollar,
stock, bond. and to 78 in summer 2006. 2007
While Dr. Warren Huang's 35 years development, implementation of thousands proactive
structural dynamic global monetary, macroeconomic, asset prices simulators have
been able to tracking, simulate forecast months, years ahead of last 25 years
misguided policy resulted 1980, 1990, 2000, 2005 soaring oil prices, energy
energy crisis , stock, commodity, housing asset bubbles, run away inflation, 2000 asset bubble and European, Asian,
Russia, S. America currency crisis, results have been presented to 21 US, EURO,
China, Asian central banks monetary policy for sustainable growth and prices
stability and global financial crisis risk management conferences and his
websire www.osawh.com (visited by 82
countries central banks, banking, finance, enterprises, universities since 1998.
While Dr. Warren Huang's 35 years development, implementation of thousands proactive
structural dynamic global monetary, macroeconomic, asset prices simulators have
been able to tracking, simulate forecast months, years ahead of last 25 years
misguided policy resulted 1980, 1990, 2000, 2005 soaring oil prices, energy
energy crisis , stock, commodity, housing asset bubbles, run away inflation, 2000 asset bubble and European, Asian,
Russia, S. America currency crisis, results have been presented to 21 US, EURO,
China, Asian central banks monetary policy for sustainable growth and prices
stability and global financial crisis risk management conferences and his
websire www.osawh.com (visited by 82
countries central banks, banking, finance, enterprises, universities since 1998.
He predicted in 2003 that
US facing housing and construction materials asset bubble deflation/burst again with 4 % inflation, due to excessive
rates tax cuts, rate cuts, money supply growth resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, stock market and housing markets speculation
resulted bubble and 50 trillion dollar wealth effect , despite Greenspan 13 rate
hikes and overoptimistic on inflationary and oil prices outlook using lagging,
distorted " core inflation " following same mistakes in the last 20
years boom and bust.
GDP growth can no longer sustainable in current overheated bubble. Fed
maintaining inflation is contained and oil prices will drop in the past 13 rate
hikes, encouraging housing and stock market wealth effect resulted speculation.
Housing mortgage bond yield are below 6 %, too low to cut demand and asset
bubble. pushing oils and construction materials, metal to new high in winter
heating oil demand peak due to cold weather demand and soaring US trade deficit
to 68.9 billion, drag US dollar predicted by Dr. Dr. Huang Nov 18, 2005 in
Beijijn China Oil Market Conference to ExxonMobil, ARAMCO, Phillips
Petroleum CEO, VP
eaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Management
reserve by
osawhh@citiz.net
wh3928@yahoo.com
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
Global Central Bankers Role and Challenges:
Global central banks play key roles in providing prudent monetary policy
to provide sustainable economic growth and asset price stability, healthy financial markets
trading operations.
Global financial markets are financing the economic growth, banking industry is directly
or indirectly linked to the financial markets operations,
Missing links in global central
banks monetary policy decisions: Fail to Predict monetary policy impact on
global capital market asset prices, resulted asset bubble burst, financial
crisis
Due to lacks of reliable predictive proactive monetary, economic, fiscal, policy, WTO
impact on global economics ( macro, financial, industrial, trade )systems,
business process and technology simulation, forecasts, and integration,
global central banks monetary policy reactive decisions are based decisions using one to
3 month old economic, business data, fail to predict the plunging dollar, excess
rate, tax cuts resulted run away oil, commodity prices and inflation and credit
tightening, cool off the inflation ahead
These integrated global economics, business process, technology systems
simulation , optimal control
Simulation/forecast of the Causes, Onset , Spread and Recovery , Early Warning of Global Financial
Currency, Energy Crisis, Asset Bubbles Bursts runaway
inflation.
achieve growth and prices stability control
Tracking a, forecasts global macro, financial, industrial, trade economics
systems and it's impact on global banking, finance, corporate business process (
investment, marketing, supply chain, job creation) all Crisis since 1980, 1990 energy crisis, 1987 stock crash, 1992 European, ,
1995 Mexico, 1994-96 China runaway inflation, soft landing, 1997- 98 Asian, Russia, Brazil currency crisis
and 2000 US high tech bubble burst and current asset bubble burst have been caused by
excessive money supply due to excessive tax, rate cuts resulted wealth effect,
consumer and corporate, government spending (debt)( use stocks as
collateral ) leading to skyrocketing properties, stocks, prices and labor costs, mounting trade and current account deficit, led to currency plunge
by global players currency speculative attacks, shocks in oils, commodities high
tech stock prices and financial markets plunge in trillions dollars stocks loss resulted nonperformance
loan (margin call and collaterate ) OTC financial derivatives excessive leverage LTCM
billions dollar loses due to poor monetary policy, financial markets investment,
credit risk decisions
Structural, Dynamics
simulation of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economic, business cycles,
inflation, asset prices, bubbles predicted 1- 3 month ahead :achieving growth and prices
stability control
Dr. Huang two master hands accurately predicted
one to three months ahead
the causes, onset, of global high tech bubble burst, spread, recovery of
2000- 2003
Monetary Policy for Sustainable Growth and prices stability predictive control : OSA global Asset
Price Bubble Burst Simulation
Bottomup deterministic, dynamic tracking simulation models of last 1980,
1987, 1990, 1997, 2001
US, Japan, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Korea, ASEAN, Russia, South America, European stocks,
properties prices wealth effect impact on consumer and business spending, macro economics GDP
performances , to predict, forecast overpriced asset, stocks prices resulted wealth effect
on consumers spending imbalance and rate hike, tight money to curb the inflation
impact on consumer spending, business profit slump, leading to bubble burst and abrupt
change in consumer and business confidence caused stock prices plunges with average error
below 1.5 %, correlation constant above 0.95. These deterministic, dynamic simulation of
last 20 years global asset prices, and economy boom and bust of the asset bubble vicious
cycle of excessive monetary policy, low interest rate induced sustained long term bull
markets stocks prices gain caused consumer and business spending in real estate properties
pushed soaring housing prices and rent. And deficit spending (negative saving) in stock
markets, pushed the stock s even higher, until abrupt reverse of consumer and investor
confidence --the bubble burst- plunge of stocks (recent internet and biotech) and
properties prices as it happened in US, Japan, Taiwan in 1980, 1987, 1990, energy crisis,
EURO 1992 currency crisis, 1994 China runaway inflation, 1995 Mexico crisis, 1997-98
ASEAN, Japan, Korea, Russia, Brazil currency crisis, 2000 high tech bubble burst
and current housing bubble all caused by overpriced stock prices
due to excess monetary policy and high GDP growth
1. Monetary Policy, oil prices impact on inflation, 20 old and new economy sectors
demand, prices corporate earning and global stock prices, housing properties
prices bubble bursts,:
2. Global stock prices and monetary policy impact on wealth effect consumer and business spending.
3. Global stock prices, wealth effect , monetary policy impact on housing properties
prices, rent
4. Global stock prices, wealth effect ,monetary policy impact on GDP macro-economics
performance.
5. Global stock prices, monetary policy impact on procurement manager index
6. Global stock prices, wealth effect , monetary policy impact on FDI capital flow ,
import/export trade economics
William FRB/US and FRB/Global model provide on Monetary policy impact on US and global
macro economy and financial markets However, the following OSA approach rigorous equations
have been tracking successfully 100 IMF members countries central banker monetary policy
impact on the macro-economy :
Inflation rate is closely related to consumer spending, money supply growth,
commodity, oil prices, currency exchange rate which is no longer reflect the
asset bubble prices overheat and burst in Japan 1990 and US in 2002 warned by
Dr. Huang in global central banks governors conference.
GNP is related to monetary policy, consumer spending and export growth
Property prices and wealth effect are related to monetary policy and stock
prices gain
NAPM ( National Purchaser Managers Index are related to consumer spending,
monetary policy policy and stock prices gain
Business, consumer spending are sensitive to monetary policy, capital market
asset prices gain,
and currency
Stock indices = F( money supply
growth,, Interest rate,
exchange rate)
OSA for current Global
economy: Dr. Huang warned on Asian Business Forum Asset Backed Securitization
that US , China , ASEAN, Korea Australia, UK housing, auto overheated facing bubble burst. risks Oct. 2002.and
again Nov. 2003
Singapore, Shanghai on Asian, China Capital market conference.
Wealth Effect = F( money supply, consumer, business spending, interest rate,
currency, stock index, housing prices)
Global economy facing uneven development due to excessive money supply growth (US
follow Japan misguided 1990
misguided by the supply side economy, money supply growth equals to GDP and
inflation, rates , tax cuts,
fiscal stimulus
( both at low inflation rate )resulted overheated housing, auto demand and soaring housing,
commodities prices in US, China,
Korea, Australia, Canada, UK, Spain, while the rest of the manufacturing still
facing deflation pressure, US housing loan plunged to one year low as mortgage
rate rebound 1 %Freddie Mac scandal in the housing bubble and
China housing, banking, auto stocks plunged 30-50 % due to
China Peoples banks concerned on excessive loan demand (23 % increase ) led
to China Peoples Bank raised capital reserve ratio from 6 % to 7 %, Shanghai A
will be retest 1300-1450, Shenzhen A 2950- 3250,
US rate hike in June Dow retest 9750, Nasdaq test 1780
European Economic and Monetary Integration Operations Simulation Analysis
(OSA) :UK/EURO
Russia/E. Europe
Global Economic and Monetary Policy Interaction,
integration OSA
USA
Asian
China
Hong Kong Taiwan
Thailand
Japan S.
Korea Singapore
Malaysia
Phillipines
Indonesia
Viet-Nan
India
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
Daily global currency simulation , forecasts
The need for improved Monetary Policy impact and Financial Markets prices
simulation and credit default risks simulation Decisions Consumer price index inflation under estimate the damages from soaring stocks and
properties , asset prices bubble and labor cost due to excessive rate, tax cuts
and excessive money supply resulted housing and auto industry bubbles(
despite consumer inflation rate was falling to 2 % for Japan 1990 and US
2001 bubble bursts led both central banks raise the money supply growth and cut
interest rates led asset bubble burst, led to export
decline and nonperformance loan due to poor financial market risk management decision
making. These unreliable equilibrium approach probabilistic VAR model based normal stable
continuous data, speculation caused billion dollars loses by LTCM, global credit crunch
Real Time Dynamic simulation of
Global central banks Monetary Policy Impact on daily money, currency, stocks,
bond, commodity, financial futures and derivatives markets prices including the causes,
onset, spread, recovery of Asian, Russia, South America Financial Crisis and LTCM
hedging fund failure and current US asset prices bubble impact on the new
economy growth and financial systems stability
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang has offered thousands seminars, workshops, TV, radio lectures
for? 30? million China, Taiwan, ASEAN, Asian, US government, central banks, banking,
finance, corporate CEO, senior executive, fund managers, analysts, investors, daily
growth,? price stability risks control policy, government, financial industry, Corporate
reform, reengineering,? default risks supervision, regulation, prevention, global
portfolio risks management, supply chain cost reduction on the job training ,
decision support for internet e-commerce, e-business applications
Global Financial Crisis, Risks
Management real option credit default risks simulation, control)..
Simulation of Monetary Policy Impact on Global Economic Growth, Asset Price
Stability
with over 30 years experiences supporting millions global government, banking, finance, enterprises CEO, CFO, executives daily strategic decision analysis on reform, change management cope with fast changing markets competitions
Government reform, strategic monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact macro economic, financial market prices Predictives asset bubbles stability control
executives in-house /open workshopsutyour l by
Dr. Warren
Huang, Pioneer OSA
Your Expert Workshop Leader:
Dr. Warren Huang, world renowned
global strategic management predictive and feedback
profit control expert, has over 30
years development, implementation of thousand
rigorous structural, dynamics causes response models, supporting
32 integrated global strategic investment, supply chain , marketing, competitive
pricing process systems simulation and profit control published 20 English
articles ( 2 million copies )on US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing,
information management and advanced control handbook 1991-2003,
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html
applied by 1600 multinational oils, petrochemicals from 78 countries provide
integrated global economic, capital market asset prices and management process
systems simulation for strategic investment, supply chain, marketing,
competitive pricing, customer relationships business process,
technology systems integration and executives decision analysis training
Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips
Petroleum, Bechtel, Bailey network control, Stauffer Chemicals, Fluor and
consulting to China, Taiwan, government, state oil, petrochemicals, hundreds
medium, small enterprises.
He pioneered two master hands controlling global economics and capital market
asset ( oil, metal, commodity futures, derivatives) prices, 20 industrial
sectors 5000 products demand, pricing, profit and stocks prices and wrote
thousands Chinese articles (over 100 million copies) on China ( economics,
financial times, Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan securities news) Taiwan
(economics, commercial times, industrial economics), US (World Journal ) daily newspapers,
economic, finance, investment, marketing, trade journals, He has been keynote speaker for 100 global central banks ( FRB, ECB, China Peoples Bank, Asian central banks ) governors policy and financial
risks management, strategic wealth management, supply chain,
marketing , sales CRM, competitive pricing, chemical engineering, OPEC ministers
conferences from 46 countries .
He offered thousands
strategic investment, wealth management, Basel II risk management, supply chain, marketing,
sales CRM executives workshops for
US, China, Taiwan, Asian 15 cities TV, radio 30 million banking, finance
executives, investors, and hundreds global banking, finance companies
CEO, CFO, money managers, oil, petrochemicals upstream/downstream 1600
multinational suppliers, customers, competitors CEO, CFO, corporate supply
chain, investment , plant managers, senior executive bring their problems
to the workshops, take home trillion/billion dollar solutions ready to implement
since 1980 , tracking forecast month ahead monetary , economic, fiscal,
WTO policy impact on last 20 years US, China, global economic, financial,
currency crisis and daily capital markets asset prices, demand, competitive pricing strategy, profit margin, stock prices
, maximize
investment banking, commercial banking, securities , mutual fund asset
allocation, portfolio selection performance ,retail branches business, consumer
customer value and satisfaction, Basel II risks adjusted investment return and market
shares achieve up to 1000 % increase in revenue, profit during financial crisis.
Millions global central banks( FRB, ECB, China Peoples Bank) banking ( Citicorp,
JP Morgan, HSBC) securities ( Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sach),
multinationals ( IBM, Exxon, BP) CEO, CFO, executives visited his website
www.osawh.com for daily decision
analysis since 1998.
He directed hundreds multinationals cross-functional cost, profit, quality,
market shares, risks as goal, mission,
performance oriented strategic and execution OSA for hundreds China
nationwide investment banking, securities, retail banking branches and Taiwan
investment banking, securities companies branches CEO, CFO, fund managers,
investors, customers strategic value added marketing, sales
promotion competitive pricing maximizing US multinational oil,
Taiwan,
China state oils, petrochemicals, nationwide gasoline stations, engineering, high tech
20 industrial sectors 5000 consumer products companies
retail chains sales , profit, customer value, market shares supported by his
30 million US, China, Taiwan, Asian government,
hundreds banking, securities retail branches investors, customers base through his teams develop, implement thousands proactive, predictive and
reactive
R & D product, value added pricing , marketing innovation, customer value creation, cost reduction,
competitors strategic cost, pricing, customer demand, behavior decision analysis
structural dynamic strategic OSA simulators for products full life
cycle domestic, export, import marketing, pricing strategy , TQM cost
reduction, Basel II market, credit, operational risks management in
integrated supply demand, chain, market shares,
profit optimization, control.
He received his Ph.D in Chemical Engineering, Operations Research from
Polytechnic Institute of New York, was professor of Chemical Engineering,
operations research, industrial economics, process design, simulation, control
at Taiwan , Tsinghwa, Tunghai university in Taiwan and lecturing China Peking,
Tsinghua, Fudan, Zechian, Jiaotung, Dalian, Huazhon science, Tech university on
economic management, information management, control, financial engineering
Banking, Finance, Corporate
Governance Reform, Scandals Early Warning
Financial Accounting Systems OSA Maximize Perfromance, Transparency
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA
Goal:
Strategic Corporate Governance Maximize Corporate Profit and board members,
investors performance and financial accounting transparency.
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictives ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on
corporate profit/loss financial statements, board members, investors for
US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries; tracking, forecasts accurately
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20 years
global financial, currency, energy, recession, asset bubble burst crisis
resulted corporate accounting scandals to prevent market analyst, corporate
executives speculation on inflated profits and hiding loss resulted stock price
bubble resulted trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
implement, recommend on your financial accounting systems
simulation and early warning supporting Sabarnes- Oxley Act audit, compensation
committee, oversight board, government securities, banking, insurance regulation
tracking possible fraud.
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution corporate governance OSA teams in the workshops to
develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize corporate profits, board
members, investors performance, transparency, tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate
governance conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com
website visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal
Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal
policy impact on asset prices, bubble, cost and accounting system profit/loss
simulation , tracking on and off balance sheet entities.
Corporate sales, earning OSA,
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, IPO performance OSA
Structural finance derivatives prices OSA
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution
OSA teams maximize corporate profits, supporting Sarbanes-Oxley Act ,
securities, banking, insurance regulation audit, compensation committee, board
members, investors performances, transparency.
Case studies: tracking the root causes, onset, recovery of global corporate
accounting scandals
US Enron, WCOM, TYCO, Global Crossing
China Guanxia, numerous high tech reform ST stocks
Taiwan Fertilizer, China Development Banks, Banks, Construction industries.
Who should attend:
Accounting oversight board, banking, securities corporate CEO, CFO, board,
audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants, investment bankers..
Reservation
Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of
your date
Location:
Your office
Monetary, economic,
fiscal policy impact on industrial sectors demand, asset prices, bubbles,
investment, supply chain costs, profits, stock prices
Series One : Monetary
policy impact on US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong housing demand, prices, bubbles,
investment, supply chain costs, profit strategic management workshops ( select
your country )
by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA
Goal:
Strategic Housing investment, supply chain cost reduction maximize operating
profits, investment return and minimize bubble burst resulted trillion dollar
market loss, NPL loan defaults
Mission:
Applying our 30 year experiences in predictives ( 1- 3 month ahead)
strategic monetary policy impact Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) on
US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Asian countries housing and construction
materials industry , mortgage loan banks corporate profits, stock prices
investment, supply chain logistics cost performance.
Tracking ; forecasts accurately
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery , early warning of last 20 years
global housing bubble burst
resulted trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan asset and asset
securitization risks
implement, recommend on your housing, finance,
construction material investment, supply chain logistics cost reduction strategy
Operations Management and Performance
Guidance, Control
Lecturer: Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of
monetary policy impact OSA will direct your goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic and execution housing and construction materials
industry , mortgage loan banks OSA teams
in the workshops to develop, implement your own strategic solution maximize
corporate profits at minimum risks
Tracking results have been presented to 24 US, China,
Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks governors , corporate
governance conferences
1998-2003 and www.osawh.com
thousands lectures to China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio station investors,
hundreds banking, securities, real estate CEO, CFO, executives , wrote thousands
articles on government, economics , banking industrial finance daily newpapers,
journals tracking listed housing, mortgage banks, construction materials
companies investment, supply chain cost, profits, investment strategy,
website visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives
Scopes: Monetary, Economic, Fiscal
Policy Impact Simulation on:
Monetary, economic, fiscal
policy impact on housing and construction
materials industry , mortgage loan banks asset prices, bubble, cost
and profit/loss simulation , investment strategy
housing and construction materials industry ,
mortgage loan demand, prices OSA
Housing construction materials cost /prices, supply chain costs simulation
Pre/post Merger/acquisition OSA
Corporate reform, Strategic Asset management, Asset/Mortgage backed
securitization prices risks
Case studies:
The root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of properties NPL asset OSA
US mortgage companies Fannie Mai, Freddie Mac
China, Taiwan, Hong Kong listed housing and
construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks
Goal, Mission, Performance oriented corporate governance strategic, execution
OSA teams maximize corporate profits, minimize investment, bubble burst risks
early warning and support banking, insurance regulation audit,
compensation committee, board members, investors performances, transparency.
Who should attend: Housing
and construction materials industry , mortgage loan banks
banking, securities, investment bankers corporate CEO, CFO, supply chain
logistics managers , securities, insurance, banking regulation commission,
board, audit, compensation committee, investors , accountants.
Reservation
Form:
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@citiz.net one month ahead of
your date
Location:
Your office
These deterministic artificial intelligence neural net expert systems based dynamics
simulation models tracking accurately last 20 years US, European, and Asian, ASEAN, South
America central banks monetary policy impact on economic growth, inflation and daily
stable and crisis under stress activities in financial markets interest rates, currency
exchange rate, commodities, financial derivatives, bond, corporate profit margins, stock
prices. These systems tracking, predicted the root causes, onset, spread of 1992 European
currency crisis, 1994 China runaway inflation and 1996 soft-landing and how China avoided
the 1997-98 Asian Financial crisis, 1997 ASEAN, 1998 Asian financial crisis, its spread to
Russia, Brazil and the mature markets 70 trillion OTC financial derivatives markets LTCM
failure due to betting on the wrong side of bond spread and current recovery with average
error below 1.5 % correlation above 0.95
Policy impact on sustainable growth, prices stability, financial crisis, risk management:
Senior author Huang US experience for US multinational and Global experience in the
development, implementation of corporate planning, risk management Operation Simulation
Analysis(OSA) during 1965- 1980 and directed hundreds of goal, mission, performance
oriented global strategic management OSA strategic and execution teams, for Taiwan ( 1980
- 1996) and China (1994 - 1998 with Ji) tracking how China peoples banks monetary policy,
financial market supervision, regulation helped China soft landing in 1996, due to 1994
high inflation, currency depreciation, and how China avoided Asian financial crisis during
1997-98. It also applied to US government, financial industry, corporate restructuring,
reengineering achieve billion dollar reduction without staff reduction: on the job
training, TV, radio lectures for 30 millions government , academic, state, private
enterprises, banking, finance industries CEO, CFO, senior executives, fund managers,
traders, investors risk management
presented to central banks governors policy conference, Macao, May 15,1999 Organized by
China People's bank governor Dai
References
1. Strategic China Investment/SCM/CRM logistics maximize WTO profits” to China supply chain, logistics conference, Northern Jiaotung Univ. School of management, Beijin, May 18-20, 2004 www.osawh.com/Chinaerp.html
2 Global/China capital markets asset prices, bubble, financial crisis, corporate governance simulation, risk management” to Pan-Pacific business conference Shanghai Jiaotung Univ.School of Management, Shanghai, May 29-30, 2003 www.osawh.com/GCaptbj.html
3 Asian capital markets asset prices, bubble simulation, risk management” presented to Asian Business Forum sponsored ABS securitization conference, Kuala Lumpur Sept 30. 2002, for global central banks, banking, securities, stock exchange investment banking asset allocation,
4 Asian banking, financial crisis, global recession recovery impact on ABS prices, risk management” to Asian Business Forum ABS securitization conference, Kuala Lumpur Sept 30-Oct. 1 2002, for global central banks, banking, securities, stock exchange investment banking 5 Strategic European and Asian hedging fund risk management” presented to Int’l Business Conference, London, July 11-13, 2002
6 Global/China capital markets asset prices, bubble, corporate governance simulation, risk management” to Global corporate governance conference, Peking Guanhua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing, May 28-29, 2002 www.osawh.com/GCaptbj.html 7 Strategic China oils upstream/downstream ERP/SCM/CRM maximize WTO profits” 2- full day workshop offered to Chinese Petroleum investment, planning managers at Taipei Horward Plaza Hotel, Jan 21-22, 2002 www.osawh.com/Chinaerp.html 8 Strategic China oils upstream/downstream ERP/SCM/CRM maximize WTO profits” full day workshop offered to IBC (Int’l Business Conference) Asia to Exxon, CNOOC, China, Asian oil, gas, Singapore Development bank VP, executives ,Beijing, Nov. 29-30, 2001
9 Strategic cross strait China investment/merger return and risks in post WTO ” lectured to IBC (Int’l Business Conference) Asia to Exxon, CNOOC, China, Asian oil, gas, Singapore Development bank VP, executives at Beijin Kerry Center Hotel, Nov. 29-30, 2001
11 Strategic integrated supply demand chain for oil/chemical industry ”, offered keynote speech to IBC (Int’l Business Conference) Asia to Exxon, BP, Shell, Thailand Petroleum, petrochemicals, Chevron, Texaco, VP, trade managers, IT software VP, Apr 26-27, 2001, Singapore
12. Strategic integrated supply demand chain TQM saves billion dollar SCM cost for oil/chemical industry ”, offered full day workshop to IBC (Int’l Business Conference) Asia to Exxon, BP, Shell, Thailand Petroleum, petrochemicals, Chevron, Texaco, VP, trade managers, Apr 26-27, 2001, 13. Monetary policy impact on Financial , Banking crisis, risk management “ presented to, Academic of Finance , US FED Chicago governors, Mar. 7, 2001 Chicago and 50 aniversary meeting of Midwest Finance meeting , US Fed Cleveland governor, Mar.,2001 Cleveland, Ohio
13 Monetary policy impact on Financial market prices ,e-global currency, e-Investing Strategy and e-Risk management”, presented to Global Finance conference Apr 4-7, 2001, Los Angeles
14.. " Monetary Policy impact on Asian financial crisis, recovery and risk management" presented to 9 th Asian Pacific finance conference, Bangkok, Thailand, July24, 2001 presented to Thailand Prime minister, Asian central bank governors, banking, finance CEO, CFO, academics.
15. " Monetary Policy impact global financial crisis, recovery" speak to Thai prime minister, ASEAN, Taiwan central banks governors
7 th Pacific economic and finance conference , Bangkok, Thailand, June 1, 2000, banking, finance CEO, CFO, academics
16. Monetary Policy Impact on Global Financial Banking Crisis and Risk management’, Invited by NASD, American Futures Association, George Mason , George Washington Univ sponsored Washington Area Finance research Conference, Apr. 30, 1999
16 “Asian Financial and LTC Crisis Impact on Post EURO financial and banking integration performance, strategy” speak to J P Morgan, ECB and University of Rome on Post EURO finance and banking integration strategy conference in Rome Italy, Nov. 24-25, 1998
17 “Asian/Global Financial , Banking Crisis Recovery, pre-warning and Risk management” to China Peoples Bank, Monetary Authority of Macau sponsored Int'l Central Bank Governors Conference on Policy for Sustainable Growth in Macau, on May,1999
18 Global, Financial Crisis impact on Pacific stock and financial derivatives markets and risk hedging” to Pacific Basin Finance and Economic Conference in Taipei( speak to Taiwan Futures Association, Minister of Finance, Taiwan Central bank governors, NTU May 28-29, 1999,
19. European Finance conference on June 3, 1999 speak on Global financial crisis impact on EURO capital markets and session chairman for risks in int'l context , invited by Prof. David Walker, Global Capital Markets Research Center Director of Georgetown Univ. to a panel on emerging markets economy and crisis on June in European finance conference in Barcelona, Spain June,1999 .
20 “ Global financial crisis impact on global government and business risk management strategy” presented to .USDA, dept. agricultural government economics research service conference on Business &Government Strategy, Capital Hilton in Washington DC June 30,1999, speak to the joint global financial crisis session and panel discussion on Global financial crisis impact on Government and business global risk management strategy. Dr. Huang together with World Bank, IMF director, Oxford Economics president, S&P DRI, director , US Agricultural economist, Goldman and Sachs.
21 Financial Crisis Impact on US financial markets prices, risk management,”, Midwest Finance conference Mar.1999
22. Global Financial Crisis Impact on Global Currency Multinational Performance Risk Management" Multinational Finance Toronto, July 1999
23. “Global Financial Crisis Impact on financial markets prices, risk management “ Royal Statistical Society, UK, Warwick, UK, July, 14, 1999
24. " Monetary Policy impact global financial crisis, recovery" and " How China avoided Asian Crisis, achieving growth and stability" speak to ICCG Global financial crisis conference, Bangkok, Thailand, Oct. 22, 1999, speak to Thai prime minister, central bank governors
24a:”Goal, Mission performance oriented OSA teams education and training” American Inst. Chemical Eng. Dallas, TX, Nov 20, 1999
25.” Monetary Policy impact global financial crisis, recovery” to Japan APEC Studies conference Tokyo , Japan, Dec. 15, 1999
26”:Simulation of Asian Financial and LTC Crisis Impact on Global Financial Markets prices performance” Speak to EC2 econometrics Forecast conference in Stockholm Dec19,1998 Swedish school of economics.
27”Asian Financial crisis impact on financial derivatives prices simulation and hedging risk management”, speak to QFM 98, Computational Methods in Financial Derivatives conference, in Sydney, Australia, Dec. 16 , 1998
28” US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Control, Information Systems annual handbook 1991-2003
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html
29 Integrated global refinery, petrochemical strategic management” to INTERPEC CHINA 91, by SINOPEC president, Oct. 1, 1991, Beijin
30 “ Economic Impact on global petrochemicals demand, trades, prices” presented to World Cong. Of Chemical Eng, Tokyo, Oct. 1, 1986
31 OSA applications in Chemical Eng. Education and Training”, presented to Third Chemical Eng. Congress, Tokyo, Sept. 1986
32 “OSA for global petrochemical marketing, sales strategy” Am. Inst. Of Chemical Eng Diamond Jubilee Meeting, Washington DC,Oct. 1983
33”. Improve Process by OSA ,” published on Hydrocarbon Processing, May , 1980( one million copies in 78 countires)