osawh  :Proactive Structural Simulation Monetary, Fiscal, Economic, Policy, QE2 Impact on global Banking, Financial , Debt Crisis and  Capital Markets Asset Pricing: 
Capitalize  on Trillion Dollar Value Macro Investment Strategy and Risks Early Warning in Global Financial Crisis, Recession Recovery and Exit Strategy

Proactive structural solution for  Global Central Bankers Role and Challenges:   QE1/ QE2 impact simulation Proactive structural solution for  Global Central Bankers Role and Policy in Fighting  Unknown, Uncertain future impact on financial crisis, recovery Challenges :   to be presented by Dr. Huang to Hong Kong Economist annual meeting Tiajin, China Dec 19 ,2010 on  Proactive Structural Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on China macro economic, housing price bubble control and global asset prices, growth and prices stability, credit, financial crisis early warning

by Quantitative top down country, industry, company specific macro-financial  decisions modeling  through Proactive Structural Dynamic Financial and commodities future ,housing, equities asset prices bubbles ,mechanism Risks Valuation Operations Simulation Analysis  (OSA)
by OSA proactive structural asset pricing pioneer Dr/Prof.  Warren Huang Global Finance, Capital Markets, Macroeconomic  Integration Proactive Strategic Simulation (two master hands controlling) optimal solution coping with policy tri-lemma problem in global capital markets  growth without asset  prices bubbles Proactive Recession fighting Strategy
Institutional Investors  Wealth Management Corporate Finance Int'l Finance  CPA/CFA/CFO training
Global Strategic Management   Proactive investment, risk management: OSA two master hands controlling global macro  economy , finance, capital market prices for QFII/QDII managers, private, institutional investors  investment  workshops achieve sustainable profit growth
 OSA  
 www.osawh.com  Proactive Structural Simulation of  Global Macroeconomics, Finance, Capital Markets Strategic  Research  Goal, Mission, Performance oriented   Investment Strategy and  Risks Management
Asian private equities, leverage finance acquisition summit  , Feb 16- 17, Hong, Kong  by Euromoney China Derivatives, Summit Credit, Financial Crisis, Recession Risks  Derivatives Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009      by   EUROMONEY  Trillion Dollar Recession Risks Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009   program           China   
China/US 2009 Housing, Financial Crisis Impact on  Recession,, and Recession , Economic Stimulus Impact on  Economy , Capital Markets    Forecast by Dr. Warren Huang
Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar Recession Hedging, Multiclass ( Housing, equities, commodities, Bond) Assets,  FOrex, commodities, oil, metals Derivatives prices mechanism and asset  Allocation Strategy                   by Dr. Warren Huang  website: www.osawh.com    Hyatt Regency, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar24- 25, 2009

 China 568 billon stimulus package 14 trillion bank loan  resulted excessive liquidity hot money speculation in stock price ( double, and housing prices breaking 2007 peak ( almost double) and 1 Q GDP 11.9 % resulted economy overheating in housing, auto  sectors, Feb money supply M1, soared to 39 %, M2 to 25 % forced  Peoples Bank raised bank deposit ratio twice in Feb 2010 to 16.5 % to cool off the housing and stock markets, tightening 2010 loan to 7.5 trillion, cut M1 money supply growth to 20 %, M2 growth from 28  to 17 % 2010 and GDP growth from  2010 1 Q 11.7 % to 8 % 4 Q 2010 to curb inflation below 3 % ( already 3.5 % in Aug),  Despite m2 reduced to 18.5% in Aug and tightening raising down payment to 60 % for second  home loan and stop loan for third home and limit one family to buy one home per family, ban investors speculation finally cut home sales by 50 %.  However, excessive liquidity , wealth gain in housing market speculate on RMB appreciation pushed stock market rebound from 2300 to 3000  and housing price continue to soared 12.6 % i Aug. 2010 forced Peoples Bank raise bank deposit ratio by 0.5 % to 17.5 % and raise interest rateby o.25 % in Oct. 2010 will lead to further tightening control, planning property tax  lead to banking, finance, real estate stocks stock will plunge 30- 50  % Shanghai stock index  will give up their recent gain, and further bear market  correction to 2250-2500 is underway in 2010Hong Kong H  Red Chips  NPL Asset Management  QFII/QDII strategy Supply Chain Logistics  Housing Bubble WTO import/ export pricing
Dr. Warren Huang will offer 4 day strategic crisis, risk  event workkshops in Mumbai, Delhi, India for Indian banking, finance, capital markets, IT industries senior executives Oct 21-24, 2009

Dr. Warren Huang accurately warned  on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into   2009 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, bear market  50- 70 % correction, recession , oil above 140, despite Fed  rate cuts

Dr. Warren Huang who was risk management panelist and  original planned  full day master class workshop lecturer for  Terrapinn China Fund World  2008  conference, offer proactive structural China/global asset pricing, 2008 credit tightening, US subprime meltdown, recession impact on global stock indices, commodities, energy indexing ETF Optimal multiclass asset 1xx/xx  long-short hedging, asset  allocation  strategy  by catching ahead the emerging bull/bear market trend

 Comment by Warren Huang Market Beat Wall Street Journal- November 6, 2008 at 2:46 pm

Wall Street banking, finance investment banks proprietary trading executives still using 30 year classical statistical, probabilistic
financial decision and credit rating method, betting on the wrong side of economy and market prices, ignoring my warning on this blog and March in Pudong China fund worlds 2008 conference that US housing price slump continue into 2009, drag global economy into recession and stock market 50- 70 % correction., trillion dollar loss.
These proprietory will continue betting on the wrong side ot investment in current and future recovery ( speculate banking fiancne, bottoming
out and election, yearend rally to 9600, will give all its gain to 8000- 8500 due to global recession fear details on www.osawh.com/recession.html www.osawh.com/SP500.htm

Comment by Warren Huang , Wall Street Journal Real Time Economics Blog- October 17, 2008 at 10:05 pm

US Sept. consumer confidence plunge to 38, ISM manufacturing purchaser index plunge to 43 and jobless rate to 6.1 % and Dow Jones plunged 40  % third quarter GDP contract 0.3 %core inflation up 2.9 %, warned, predict by me Sept. 2007 on this blog that US  housing slump continue , will entering double dip inflationary recession 3Q 2008 despite rate cuts, stimulus, bail out plan and extends into deeper recession contracting by 2 % in $Q 2008 and 1Q 2009,  resulted by  full impact o business, consumer spending decline due to 6.5 % jobless and 20 % housing slump, 40 % stocks market loss
  The real causes of current mortgage, credit, financial crisis and recession are due to poor financial, monetary policy decision modeling in asset pricing and  risks valuation mechanism, MBS, CDO , the burst of super housing, commodities asset price bubbles caused by 7 year longest expansive excessive money supply, easy credit policy .
Global central banks, financial markets financial decision still rely on 30 year old probabilistic, statistical Capital Market Asset Pricing (CAPM) and macroeconomic modeling, ignoring asset price impact on inflation and financial, housing , MBS, CDO prices.
Predicted by Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of Proactive Global Asset Pricing Mechanism , June 2007 , Beijing, Wall Street Journal Economic, Market Beat
 Blog Aug.2007   and March 5, 2008 Pudong, China Fund World 2008 to 200 global top investment banking, fund managers that Global Housing price bubble burst, prices plunge 30 % into 2009, drag  global economy into recession and stocks bond, oil,  commodities, metals ,Derivative Asset Prices Bubbles Burst with 50 % Price Correction Cause Credit, Financial Crisis and Economic Recession, ( As Dow Jones, SP 500, NASDAQ drag global stock indices plunged more than 50 % into 2002 recession low ,( Dow Jones  after current consolidate in 8000- 9000 will test 7000, NASDAQ test 1250, S&P test 700 low, oil price plunged 50 % from 147 to60，Gas oil from1300 to 600 , corn  from 800 to 350, cotton from 80 to 44 as global economy  enter deep recession by year  end, despite US 700 billion  and ECB 2.3 trillion bail out to stabilize credit crisis

details on www.osawh.com/Fedcrisab.htm  www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/commody.html www.osawh.com/centmaf.html
　

Latest Wall Street Journal Blog by Dr. Warren Huang

The typical bear market rally I have been warning on this blog since last Sept, that it give up all its gain in all its post rate cut rally and
headed lower until housing price slump ended, rate cuts stopped, stock markets completed its bear market correction till summer 2008
CDS spread will continue widening in this uncertain situation in mortgage credit crisis.
details on www.osawh.com/macro.html and www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm and www.osawh.com/fund.htm

Comment by Warren Huang ,Wall Street Journal -Market Beat Blog. March 19, 2008 at 7:55 pm

Market bull speculators using bond issuer upgrade and IBM shares buyback news to survive bear rally.
It discount 26 year record high PPI at 7.4 % and consumer confidence plunged to 75 ( into 60-80) recession
range predicted by me on this blog last Sept. Housing price plunged 8.9 % and continue to slide, despite
aggressive rate cuts, stimulus package.
investors forgot IBM share buy back at 100 in 2001, fail to stop stock price plunge to 80, it will repeat
again, It is premature to speculate any share buyback. This economic recession will follow housing slump for another 6 months.
We are facing tough inflationary recession, not just stagflation as I predicted last Sept on this blog
　

Comment by Warren Huang - February 26, 2008 at 7:22 pm

I warned on this blog last Sept and Jan this year that continued talk of aggressive rate cuts to fight recession,
ignoring soaring will push record oil, commodities price and inflation, drag dollar lower against EURO to 1.50- 1.59.
However, it is supported by soaring US inflation , 10 year bond yield ( will break 4 %) expecting Fed aggressive
rate hikes fighting inflation, following current rate cuts
details can be found on www.osawh.com/currency.html and www.osawh.com/Fedcrisab.htm
and www.osawh.com/centmaf.html

Comment by Warren Huang - February 26, 2008 at 7:30 pm

Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog. Sept. 26, 207
Turning Over Trillions, Daily

Rate hikes, Oil prices Impact on 2007 -08 Asian/China/US /Global Economy, financial, stocks markets
Asia QFII/QDII Optimal Asset Allocation, Portfolio Selection Strategic Wealth Management   Basel II Market, Credit, Operational, interest rate Risks hedging , early warning

 Dr. Warren Huang  30 years   Breakthrough innovation in Proactive Structural Dynamic Global Economic Policy  Systems Simulation:  hedging Monetary macroeconomic policy  Financial Economics  Industrial Economy  Regional Economy  Investment banking, Capital Markets Asset Prices, Global Trade Economics 
Breakthrough Innovation in proactive, structural Global Capital Market Equities Market Research  Prices Valuation Models
Dr. Warren Huang CV   Dr. Warren Huang English publications, speeches
He will be speaking to International Symposium of Financial Engineering and Risk Management Conference ,  June 12, 2007 Peking University, Beijing and
2007 Proactive global strategic mutual fund and wealth management investment strategy and risks early warning
He  will be the full day master class workshop  leader  on Emerging Opportunities and Risks in Strategic China Fund and  Wealth Management for Terrapinns 2007 China Fund and Wealth Management Conference, Oct 2007 at Pudong
 Shangri-La Hotel,
 Dr. Warren Huang predicted  to Asian Business Forum's Beijin workshop to  ExxonMobil, ARAMCO , Merril Lynch, HSBC, VP, Phillips Petroleum CEO, 100 multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin Feb and  Nov. 2005, that Green and Bernanke underestimate wealth effect resulted asset bubbles impact on oil prices and  inflation and  oil prices will be soar to 69 in summer 2005, metal prices to new high in January 2006 and oil prices will hit 80 in summer 2006,  US, CPI to 4.3 % in summer   will raise  rates throughout  summer 2006.,  Fed fund rate will go to 5.5 %  , China raised lending rate Apr. 28 to 5.85 %   gasoline futures will  to 265, stocks,, bond facing correction  give up all2005- 2006 gain in summer 2006. Dow Jones, 10000- 11700, Nasdaq 2100- 2290, S&P 1150-1290
Current oil price plunged 20 % reflecting  China, US seasonal slowdown and rate hike pause lead to US dollar and  stocks rally to new high
(dollar to 119 Yen and Dow Jones to 11940 ) is excessive, over-optimistic over oil prices and inflation and rate outlook.
stock market rally generated wealth effect will push oil prices to 70 again  and inflation higher in winter season and fueling housing market momentum ahead. Dow Jones must retest 11000, NASDAQ retest 2200, SP 1250, soaring US trade deficit will be maintain 65- 71 billion drag US dollar lower ( 110- 115 and 1.28- 1.32) BY YEAR END
Thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary  causes and effects model simulators  tracking , forecasts accurately  months ahead last 20 years global crisis, bull/bear markets
special one time offer contact wh3928@yahoo.com )
First time  shown on this website the most reliable  global central banks monetary policy, daily  open market operations impact on stock indices, currency , wealth management OSA simulation charts (last update Oct. 2002)
OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy impact on last 20 years daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have
E.  US and EURO trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on EURO exchange rate
F. US and  Japan trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on  YEN  exchange rate

The only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset  ( interest rate, currency, commodity, equities, stocks, bond futures, derivatives ) prices market forces mechanism, avoided trillion dollar market loss and billion dollar supply chain cost due to current probabilistic models based , speculation over daily economic, business news, technical charting market momentum based capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to  24 US, European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth  management , futures, derivatives prices forecasts conferences and on this website www.osawh.com  tracking daily results , visited by million global government, central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives universities  since 1998.
  China/Asia economy, capital market asset prices simulation, bubbles early warning, risk control   By  Dr. Warren Huang, Global leader and pioneer in Global capital markets asset prices simulation, asset allocation, portfolio management OSA      wh3928@yahoo.com    USA
Don't Miss This Opportunities  
Breakthrough Innovation in Global central bank monetary policy, macroeconomic control,  economy, finance, capital market asset prices simulation, forecasts by thousands Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation month ahead of last 20
years  emerging global finance, capital  stock, oil, gas, commodities futures market  bull/bear trend US, China rate hike, asset bubble impact on Global Oil, Gas, and downstream Demand, Futures Prices, Derivatives , corporate profit margin, stock prices and associated asset bubble burst risks with 2005  forecasts, Join Dr. Warren Huang's Beijin  pre-conference workshop or his post conference in-house workshop, get  first hand information and OSA  proactive models simulation methodology and forecasts, will  use www.osawh.com and www.osawh.com/riskm.html, and oil, gas price forecast : www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html  and www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html  materials as lectures contents  *( presented to 24 global central banks, financial risk management conferences and visited by millions global banks, banking, finance, 1600 multinationals oil, gas CEO, executives from 78 countries and lectures China, Taiwan, US 15 cities ( Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Taipei, San Francisco ) 30 million TV, radio investors, fund managers, hundreds banking, securities, insurance companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, risks, supply chain procurement, marketing managers since 1985, published thousands Chinese articles 100 million copies on China, Taiwan, US newspapers, investment, economic, finance journals.
Goal and Mission

OSA inviting you to our Global/ China/ Asian Economy and Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation, Bubbles Early warning, Asset allocation, portfolio Investment strategy, Basel II Risk management  in-house executives  workshops, supporting China/ Asian/global QFII/QDII  optimal global asset allocation, portfolio management strategy  banking, finance, enterprises reform :

 What  is the impact of global oil, commodities price bubbles, China/US rate hike on China/Asian/US /global export, economy, capital markets asset prices, asset allocation value  investment strategy?
These workshops will bring you millions global/China  executives  feedback  from thousands of our past workshops , forecasts the what, why  of how , when of  market forces controlling last 20 years global/China  economy, capital market asset prices  by Dr. Huang’s pioneering two master hands.
Over 60 ASEAN, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan QFII, multinationals( Citicorp, UBS, BNP,  ABN, Deutsch Bank, DBS, Bank of Singapore, Motorola, Acer, Texaco, AIG, Ernest Young, Bearingpoint ) companies VP, executives contact for these workshops since Nov. 5, 2003 

Global Capital Markets Asset Prices, Bubbles Simulation, Early Warning OSA 2005 strategic investment/ Basel II risk management lecture/workshops tours 
 (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million , banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983,
Taipei Dec. 4-6 ,  2004 80 email   osawhh@citiz.net , wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation

 Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Management

 Global Economy and Financial Markets Asset Prices Mechanism   Simulation /Forecasts through
  Dr. Huang's when you have two OSA master hands you are in good hands predicted on Euroevents Singapore, Shanghai, Beijin Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets Conference Nov. 2003 that soaring oil commodities, metal prices hit 23 year high early 2004 push US, China inflation to 5 % resulted rate hike after Sept  2004, Global high tech stocks make 30- 50 % correction, Nasdaq testing 1750., Dow test 9750,
OSA for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, mutual  fund  optimal asset allocation equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,  risk hedging  tracking/forecasts month ahead  the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of last 20 years China/Asian/Global financial crisis, asset bubble bursts lecture to 24 China, Taiwan, Asian, US, ECB central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on  www.osawh.com  website  since 1998  .  Over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops tracking his last 20 years results  predicted to China 15 cities TV, radio investors and hundreds banking, securities companies CEO,CFO, fund managers in China 1994-96 macroeconomic control, softlanding and to 20 global central banks governor conference, 1999-2000 on  2000 IT bubble burst plunge 70- 90 % and  mutual fund bubble burst and US global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks mutual fund plunged 50- 70 %  July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks bull markets  rally  March 2003 Dow Jones  from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, India, Russia index almost double and index mutual fund 80 %  2003 March rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization conference Oct. 2002  to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002
He predicted again  2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A  blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003  early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 23 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%

US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation , underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March and Aug.  2004  US trade deficit soared to 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter, China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US , with business  spending up 15 %, consumer confidence above 106 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing inventory built up,  already dropping, oil, soared to 56  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, soaring import and trade deficit drag dollar lower,  more rate hikes are on its way, with 10 yr bond yield up to 4.9 % in summer to cool off the economy. ( despite Jan wholesale price only up 0.2%
Global Capital Markets Asset prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking, finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum.   He lectured Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,  US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite March strong 300,000  new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and  inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and summer lead to serious bond market plunge (US lose  380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July  facing and correction 2004, Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM test 80. Global IPO  will facing 30-50 % correction  as Google plunged from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap  Dow will be traded 9550- 10700, Nasdaq  1650- 2100 , S&P 1000- 1190, Taiwan index post election bubble burst from 7200 to  5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000- 3450, Euro : 1.25- 1.313 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks  follow US stocks  rebound  in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain  China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks  ( including IPO )facing  30-50 % bear market  correction consolidation   

Dr. Huang global strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours  (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
Book Dr. Warren Huang's  China/US credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk  hedging 2004 second half  global investment strategy workshops (  June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin, Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while minimize credit, markets, operational risks    osawhh@sina.com

Dr. Warren Huang lectured  San Francisco Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities Silicon Valley investors workshop on China/US rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center, predicted, recommended  accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their bottom, enjoyed 10 % profit in two days.  

======Dr. Warren Huang  North American China-US  TV radio interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850, recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction, downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks plunged 12 % May 17
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss “Market Trend and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US” and CEOs from five growing public companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)        Time: 9:30-3:10pm  Venue: Crown Plaza Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch  Registration and Information: Please visit www.GCFF.net 

==China stocks, bond, commodity, metals, mutual fund investment strategy, bubbles warning workshops== , reserve  osawhh@citiz.net  
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Proactive strategic investment banking simulation forecast for 2007 global macro -economy, finance, capital market asset prices bubbles , early warning and strategic  Hedging Risks in-house workshop ( select the countries,  subject of your interests )

A  Monetary, Economic , fiscal Policy , WTO impact on Greater China /Asian/ Global Economic Recovery : GDP,  Retails, Trade, unemployment, FDI:   China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore  US,  Western / E. Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
B. China/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact  on China/global Capital Markets, Fund return , risks:
 China   Hong Kong   Taiwan  Singapore    US,  EMU EURO / Eastern Europe,  Russia  Japan,  Korea   
. Inflation, Interest rates, government, corporate bond yield and fixed income fund  forecasts risk s early warning
. China state enterprises reform privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing strategy
·Strategic Corporate Governance, supervision, financial systems monitoring , stock prices bubbles, early warning
·Banking, finance reform, IPO,  Securities, Banking, Insurance , regulation, supervision Basel II risk early warning
. Causes, onset,  recovery, early warning of China/Asian financial, currency, asset bubble crisis and NPL loan assets
  currency, credit, market risk simulation, hedging, plant equipment performance and syndicated loan, securitization
· Strategic Global/China QFII/DFII, for domestic and foreign US/ IPO and ADR, global equities markets listing pricing 
· Equity fund capital markets:  Shanghai, Shenzhen A,B ,Henseng , Blue chips, Red chips, H share, Taiwan  Japan, US, Russia,  global  indices futures, Index fund  , ETF  , derivatives  prices mechanism,  Forecasts, Hedging strategy
. RMB pricing mechanism , major  global currency market  futures, derivatives prices , forecasts, risk hedging
.Global biotech products, markets innovation, investors sentiment impact on IPO, stock prices performances
. IT  post bubble recovery,  housing, auto, steel  bubbles demand, prices, earning, stocks, mutual fund performance
.Oils, metals commodity futures, derivatives  prices, earning, stock prices , mutual fund performance, hedging  risks.
· Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B  listed stocks  corporate earning, stock prices, China fund, derivatives risks hedging
.China/Global oils, petrochemical, fiber/textile corporate early, stocks prices, mutual fund performance, investment strategy.
 China mutual fund  and global  mutual fund performance , investment and distribution strategy.
 China /US /Global Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions, MBO performance, stock prices, investment strategy
· Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed Asset Securitization prices,  defaults risks simulation
·China/US equities and properties housing bubble  wealth effect investment strategy simulation and risks management 
.China /US Debt, equities, money, energy, gold , index  mutual  fund performance, asset allocation risk management
China and US , Global monetary, economic, fiscal policy, WTO impact on Japan, Asian economy, capital markets prices Mutual fund Optimal Asset  Allocation strategy:
US  China Hong Kong  Taiwan   Singapore, Malaysia, Japan   Korea,  Thailand,  India  Eastern Europe/Russia  EURO
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Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO  board members, financial institution CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset,  fund managers, banking, securities, insurance regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, trading managers, traders, investors.

Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion dollar investment opportunities, while avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar loss.

Language:  Mandarin or English

 Reserve your  in-house workshops  osawhh@citiz.net   ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )

5- day Global Oil, Gold, Currency Futures, Option Prices Simulation Forecast Workshop
30 years helping 78 countries multinationals oils and downstream fighting soaring oil, feedstock cost, maximizing sustainable profits and market shares.

Dr. Warren Huang  has 30 years pioneering  Wall Street research  for US major oils,  Taiwan, China government, banking, securities, insurance, properties companies, state , medium enterprises global investment ,supply chain strategy, tracking monetary , economic, fiscal ,WTO policy impact on last 20 years global economy, financial, energy crisis and  daily capital markets asset prices, spend half time wrote thousands articles on daily newspaper, investor journal in Taiwan tracking Taiwan, US, global stock markets listed stocks since 1985 (index from 650 to 12800) and  300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters 100 countries currency export quote strategy OSA, spend half time in China, accurately predicted China  1994 macroeconomic control and 1996 soft-landing and  current credit tightening and  root causes, onset, recovery Asian and global financial, currency, energy crisis and current high tech bubble burst  recovery.
He has been invited to speak to 24 global central banks governors ( China Peoples Bank, US, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks) and financial risk management, Shanghai world economic forum  conferences; offered thousand executives investment strategy workshops to million China, Taiwan, Hong Kong government, banking, securities, insurance, properties cos CEO, CFO, money managers and daily, weekly market commentary for  China, Taiwan 15 cities ( Shanghai, Bejiin, Shenzhen, Taipei, San Francisco Silicon Valley) 30 million  TV, radio  financial executives, VIP  investors since 1994
He has been keynote speaker, offered full day workshops for IBC Asia, Asian Business Forum and EURO-EVENTS conferences in Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, China SINOPEC and World Economic Forum in Beijin, Shanghai,

Dr. Huang’s 20 years global tracking record:, always predicted 3-6 month ahead global financial , global stock indices, currency, energy, commodity futures and housing ,asset bubble burst crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan.
China experience :He offered thousands lectures  to  30 million China nationwide 13 cities TV, radio 30 million investors, VIP trader, asset managers and nationwide national securities news papers and thousands workshops for hundreds nationwide banking, securities, insurance, properties CEO, manager, daily securities news accurately predicted China macro-economic control, credit tightening , Shanghai A traded between 600-800 during 1994-96 and first rate cut, soft landing, March 1996, and warning on Asian, Hong Kong financial crisis. 1997-1998. He accurately predicted on his website and Shanghai workshop March 2003 China A share rebound to 1650 and again in May warned Steel, auto, housing market overheating led to China Peoples Bank credit tightening, raise deposit ratio 1 % in Sept.2003 and 0.5 % again in Apr 2004
Tracking resulted witness by million global government , central banks, banking, finance, insurance,  corporate executives, academics visited our www.osawh.com  website  for the  strategic wealth management , asset allocation, risk management
Goal and Mission, performance oriented  workshops tailored to your need,
Choose your own country/industry/subjects  for  each 2 hour session