Welcome to
The What, Why, How and When in US Fed Monetary,
economic, fiscal policy impact on stocks, bond, commodity, housing assets
prices bubbles macroeconomic, Finance, Capital Markets Operations Simulation
Analysis (OSA) Banking,
Finance, Enterprises Reform Strategy
US Strategic Management:
Proactive US strategic
knowledge economy investment,
market economy, capital market asset prices
demand, prices mechanism, supply chain logistics, competitive
pricing Competitive Intelligence
Decision Operations Simulation Analysis / Forecasts, supporting daily US/Global
Government, Banking, Finance, Business, Investment Decisions
Making two
master hands thousands structural dynamic simulators
provide the what, why, how of Knowledge Management Proactive Decision analysis in
daily
FRB Proactive Monetary , economic, fiscal policy simulation,
forecast and its impact on asset prices simulation
innovative proactive
FRB monetary policy, rate hikes impact
Economy/Capital Markets Asset
Prices, Bubble Simulation,
early warning and sustainable profit, market shares growth strategy.
Bernanke will replace Greenspan as FRB
chairman Feb 2006, He already drop accommodate to (economic growth) and measured
interest rate hikes , miss interpreted, distorted by financial market economists
as the end of rate hike, as last 13 measured rate hikes mislead the markets,
underestimated the inflation and encouraged wealth effect resulted speculation
in housing and construction materials bubbles in oil and natural resources. Oil
prices will challenges 69 in January and metals prices making new high follows
by commodities prices. Gas and electricity cost up 40 % will drive CPI
higher in the month ahead. current rate hikes will continue into the summer, US
dollar and stocks, bond all overvalued, facing correction.
Greenspan agree with Dr. Warren Huang that RMB
revaluation and US raise import tarrif by 27 % will not help manufacturing
cut trade deficit and jobs. and
accurately
predicted Feb 22, 2005 in Beijin Asian Business Forum 70 global banking, finance,
oil companies , QFII CEO, executives US facing inflationary slowdown and rate
hikes continue into final quarter
as oil
prices soared from 45 to 69 , Dow Jones, 10000-
10900, Nasdaq 2000-
2250, S&P 1150-1250
Greenspan agree with Dr. Warren
Huang that RMB revaluation and US raise import tarrif by 27 % will not help
manufacturing cut trade deficit and jobs. and
accurately predicted US facing inflationary slowdown 1Q inflation to
3.2, GDP slowdown to 3.1 %continue into second quarter, Dow Jones, 9750-
10000, Nasdaq 1750- 1920, S&P 1100- 1150
US Finance, Capital market asset prices , investment strategy and strategic
management
Government, banking, finance corporate strategy:
Strategic knowledge economy knowledge management for government, banking,
finance, enterprises reform, change management: tracking,
simulation, integrating, optimize three-part business model of Bossidy and
Charan's Confronting reality, execution: external, industrial demand, prices,
financial market asset prices, revenue, profit growth, and internal reality
operational and human resources on the job training in
Global Strategic
Government, Banking, Finance, Enterprise Reform, Restructuring ,Adaptive
Change Management Systems by Integrating Knowledge Economy into Business Process Operations Improvement, Optimization OSA , Maximize Value Chain Profit
in fighting uncertainty futures and global financial crisis. (
CEO/EMBA workshops
Millions US and global
executives have been benefited by Dr. Warren Huang 's Information Knowledge
based global banking, finance enterprises strategic reform CEO, CFO,
executive workshops/out-sourcing
providing the what, why and how to achieve your corporate goals for sustainable
profit growth through goal, mission, performance oriented, cross
-functional strategic and execution Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) Teams
supported by strategic structural dynamics training simulators to achieve
technical, management innovation for expanded
global market shares supported by Dr. Warren Huang 30 years global experiences
Only
OSA Smart PC and Intelligent
Corporate
Computing can save HP , help it stay ahead of IBM Prices Waterhouse in software
applications and Dell in server, PC application through Strategic
Decision support R&D Innovation
Breakthrough
Leadership in IT industry and Global Central banks monetary ,
economic, finance policy, capital markets asset prices
simulation, financial crisis early warning, banking, finance , Enterprises Business Reform,
Business Process Reengineering, Strategic Change Management Maximize Sustainable Profit, Market Share Growth
OSA help hundreds corporate
reform, downsizing, products simplification and upgrading, eliminate 300
products to 30
and profit creation through products, markets, finance innovation by
improved quality, performance
HP facing tough fight in its IT supermarket stores products. It need OSA
downsizing approach,: OSA Goal,
Mission Performance oriented Problem Solving Technique: Smart PC and intelligent
corporate computing,
creating 1000 % profit for loyal personal and corporate customer surround
you stay ahead of emerging market trend and price war achieve Mission Impossible!:
Quantify unknown, uncertainty future where the conventional job cuts,
eliminate products, divisions failed
===============================================================================================
Announcement :OSA country web pages assistant editor and marketing
opportunities
OSA will expand 40 countries web pages content in local language and English
domain in 2005, looking for
A.Assistant editors for all areas, current college student of all majors,
interested to be training by our
e-Learning mission
impossible, develop your country information knowledge base, web
contents, you will be co-author with Dr. Huang to present your
results in local , international conferences, for future graduate
scholarship, job applications reference.
B. Marketing agent: Local country web pages,
domain, boosting traffic and workshops marketing,
some experience required
Contact osawhh@citiz.net in
Chinese wh3928@yahoo.com in
English
=================================================================================================Global
Predictive Strategic Simulation
Dr.
Warren Huang pioneered
proactive macro
stress testing integrating
central bank monetary policy
into macro stress testing, stay ahead in macroeconomic control, reform
OSA
banking,
finance, investors capitalize opportunities in crisis, maximize customer value
avoided
trillion
dollar
Basel II credit, market, operational risks
achieve sustainable profit growth
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20 yrs
daily global market tracking Capital Market
Banking
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e-Government
Monetary Policy
Asset Bubble Biotech/Healthcare EMBA/CEO Basel
II Risk control Business
Process
Outsourcing
Strategic Alliance OSA
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E-Procurement Supply
chain optimization Marketing/Sales
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Integrated
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4PL Logistics
Integration Simulation
US Strategy:
Economy/Capital Markets Asset Prices,
Bubble Simulation, early warning
and strategic investment banking, supply chain logistics,
value, profit creation for sustainable profit, market share growth:
Greenspan agree with Dr.
Warren Huang that RMB revaluation and US raise import tarrif by 27 % will not
help manufacturing cut trade deficit and jobs. and
accurately predicted US facing inflationary slowdown 1Q inflation to
3.2, GDP slowdown to 3.1 %continue into second quarter, Dow Jones, 9750-
10000, Nasdaq 1750- 1920, S&P 1100- 1150
Dr. Huang accurate predicted Feb 23, in Beijing that oil prices soared to 55 in
March, 60 in Apr. 55-65 in summer, Dow Jones drop from 10980 to 10359, Nasdaq from 2100 to
1970, 10 yr bond yield soared from 4 % to 4.6 %..
GS after Dr. Huang prediction in April 5, speculation to 105 is based on
feeling, without market forces simulation Greenspan trying use market
forces to cool down the prices to 56 is just co-incident.
based on Dr. Huang 30 year oil market market forces simulation tracing
accurately daily prices movement since 1980, 1990 energy crisis, Greenspan only
right about rising price cut demand, but forgot the prime demand market
forces from 49 trillion wealth effect out of housing, equities bubbles and weak
dollar continue driving energy demand from construction metal, cement plastics
20 industrial sectors 5000 products etc beside just gasoline, heating oils.
Soaring Feb consumer spending, manufacturing demand definitely push oil price
above 60, despite sufficient crude oil inventory, ( can easily consumed in the
coming peak gasoline demand season ahead
Beat
Todays Markets Merger/acquisition
performance US hot stocks
,
Global
ADR
US
banks-finance Oil/Gas/Pet
Info-100
Silicon -100
Weekend
Edition IPO
pricing
profit early warning
Beat stock
indice future Beat Forex Currency futures
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures
Housing Bubble Basel
II credit risks
market risks
operational risks control
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
San Francisco Silicon Valley finance radio and global
finance investment seminar May7, 8, 15,2004 and
www.osawh.com
website warning
global
central banks excessive rate, tax cuts, ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences,
Excessive demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal
constructional materials prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
due to US excessive rate, tax cuts, Fed raising rate , too little,
too late , Despite US December WPI and CPI drop due to brief oil prices dip
to 40, (down 30 % from 55)US still facing 3.3 % CPI and 4.3 % WPI
inflation. soaring consumer, business demand in the final quarter 2004 will
further drive oil prices back to 50 in January cold winter and rebound to
55 in March gasoline demand, prices pick US will facing inflation soared to 5 %
spring peaking
holiday demand season .
US, global economists,
market analysts over optimistic over the business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 and
continue into first quarter 2005 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, Oct job
creation of 337000, will repeating March , peaking out as entering peak holiday
season, as December already plunged to 150,000, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 46 trillion dollar housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand,
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, 2005 forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
San Francisco Silicon Valley finance radio and global
finance investment seminar May7, 8, 15,2004 and
www.osawh.com
website warning
global
central banks excessive rate, tax cuts, ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
excessive demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal
constructional materials prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
due to US excessive rate, tax cuts, Fed raising rate , too little,
too late , China delaying rate hike to effectively cut market demand
led to China Sept. 2004 CPI inflation up 5.2 % again and third quarter GDP
growth still at 9.1 % due to increasing business ( up 28 %)and
consumer demand up 14 % ,will facing soaring inflation from current
5.3 % to 6.6 %, US will facing inflation soared to 5 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season .
US Greenspan, global economists,
market analysts over optimistic over oil, commodity weakness and
underestimate inflationary pressure and 10 yr. bond yield too low ,
long interest rate has to go up to 5 % in the month ahead due to excessive business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 and
2005 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, Oct job
creation of 337000, will repeating March ,, 2004 , 2005 growth will be below
112,000 , peaking out as entering peak holiday
season, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 48 trillion dollar housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out in the second quarter at 66 ( already plunged to 56 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of 2004
and repeating in 2005 with US trade deficit
soared to 55- 60 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes
after May, Aug. Sept , Nov 2004 and extending well into summer 2005, profit
, productivity growth , consumer confidence , business spending,
peaking out, economic leading indicators declined for 6 months
,business facing profit squeeze in second half 2004,
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation. US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995
and 2000 and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in 2004, with business spending up 14 %, consumer
confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up, oil,
soared to 56 currently consolidate
in 47-50 cold winter will drive heating oil, and oil price rebound to
55-60 gas to 9.0 and metals to new high in summer 2005 will drive
up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, inflation will be back to 3.5
% in spring, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool
off the economy, 10 year bond yield is too low, will return to 4.3- 5.0 %
Wall Street Market Research OSA Market Tracking,
Forecasts: Global Capital Markets Asset
prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum. He lectured Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month
ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate
is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and
summer lead to serious
bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing
bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out facing correction in the
month ahead,
2005 Oil,
commodity prices forecast
Market speculators using Oil prices plunged from 55 to 40 and back to 56, and Intel
profit , over-optimistic
outlook, Apple profit up 70 % due to i-Pod new product innovation Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and IBM PC
sale to China, Oracle PeopleSoft 10 billion dollar merger facing margin squeeze and
Sprint Nextel 35 billion dollar merger all facing sharp competition, to
speculate blue chips and Nasdaq will give up all its recent gain is
premature ,oil price rebound to 55 in March accurately predict by Dr.
Huang in Beijing Feb 23, 2005 will challenge 60 due to OPEC one million
production cut and winter and summer peak demand, and challenge 55- 60 in summer
2005.
2005 High tech stock performance forecasts
US and global IT ( from chips, PC, to telecommunication, entertaining) demand growth will be slow down to 6 % , facing profit squeeze,
stock prices retreat 30 -50 %, with China
internet stocks bubble burst, plunge 70- 80 % . Dell profit decline continue, facing
profit squeeze, pricing cutting from HP,
Apple sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 35, IBM
test 85. HP profit, stock prices continue drag by PC operation (as warned by Dr.
Huang on this website) speculating on HP CEO change will not improve near term profit, stock
performance, only smart PC can lead
to breakthrough.
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as
Google enjoyed
7 fold earning increase, it has PE of 145, and profit margin of only 12 %, stock
price at 215 is extremely overpriced, repeating Yahoo of 2000,
will plunged
from 215 to 100-120, any attempt using IPO
and PG and Gillette merger
to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
US dollar
weakness continue in 2005:
Soaring
import leading to record US trade deficit of 655 billion in summer will drag US
dollar into new low continue into this year Euro : 1.29- 1.45 , Yen 95- 102,
Global stocks bear market correction into 2005, give up most of 2004 gain
US, Asian and European stocks follow US
stocks rebound currently will gave up all this year gain
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks
( including IPO )facing
30-50 % bear market correction consolidation Dow will be traded 9750- 10900, Nasdaq 1750- 2100 ,
S&P 1060-1200, US 10 year bond yield will be back to 4.4- 4.9 in March
2005. Taiwan index post election
bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 6100, Henseng 12500- 14200, Nikkei 10000-
11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1150- 1300, Shenzhen 2750-
3350, consolidation Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: China started second phase credit tightening, rate
hike series begin.
China finally raised prime rate by 0.27, to cool off the asset bubble, with
structural rate hike, floating loan upper limit from 5.6- 12.5 %, Oct.
28, 2004, accurately predicted by Dr. Huang last Nov. 2003 in
Euro-events Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Asian/China finance, capital
market conference and May 8, 15, 2004 to San Francisco Silicon Valley
Finance radio and Global Finance Forum, Hi tech investment seminar, Silicon
Valley and on this website, visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives.
Global central banks ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
resulted US Fed raising rate , too little, too late, China delaying
rate hike to effectively cut market demand led to China Sept. CPI
inflation up 5.2 % again and 2004 GDP growth still at 9.4 % due to
increasing business ( up 28 %)and consumer demand up 14 % ,will
facing soaring inflation from current 3.9 % to 5.6 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season and summer 2005. Despite China Peoples Bank raised
deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement,
aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control with
Sept. money supply growth at
13.6 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up only 10 %, asset prices, inflation
followed soaring oil price to 55, all time high metal prices coastal cities Beijin,
Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive national housing prices up
14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 38 % for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo,, Guanzhou . retail sale up
13.2, China 2004 GDP up 9.2 % far above 7 % target, medium,
long term loan up 25.4 %, inflation up 4 % . China economy is
far from soft landing, will have very tough year to cut domestic demand and
GDP below 8 % and call the need for further interest
rate hike in summer and raise deposit reserve ratio to cool off the consumer and housing demand in winter
holiday peak and summer season .
As. China Peoples bank issue
100 billion notes to cut 100 billion from the money market avoid overheated
Chinese New Year demand further drive up inflation. soaring China,
US demand pushing China steel, cement,
aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's 915 statement
over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr.
Huang on this website and already retreat to 1150) market is over, continue bear
market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1150-
1300, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound 20 %.
, This supply side tightening
are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating, as China raised key interest rate by 0.27 % and
implement structural rate hikes in late Oct. as predicted by Dr.
Huang to cut off excessive consumer , business demand in housing,
construction materials, auto and retails demand . to cool off soaring
housing and metals prices, and serious energy , electricity , coal shortage, and transportation,
communication bottleneck.
China benefited by lower food price, Jan CPI drop to 1.9 % from Oct.
5.2 %, however rising heating oil, gas , coal, water, service charge ( oil prices will rebound 55
and feedstock price, falling dollar will push US and global inflation in
the winter heating demand drive China Feb inflation to 3.9 %
China has hard time achieve soft landing
in the second half 2005, as China Peoples Bank has to cut money supply
growth below 10 % and GDP below 8 %. and fixed investment growth below 15 % Dr.
Huang also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, BeijingChina Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts, CEO ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
US investment banking strategy
US merger/acquisition
performance OSA forecasts, post merger integration strategy
HP merge Compaq to become no.2 in computer does not help HP profit margin,( HP
printer division enjoyed 8 % profit margin contributed 3.8 billion profit in
2004, while Compaq corporate computing and PC only has 1.0 % profit margin and
facing increasing competition from IBM, HP, Apple in PC and sever markets, rely
on job cuts for cost reduction Despite already saved 3.5 billion )
without OSA value added
simulators to upgrade HPQ software, service, HPQ margin will be dragged by
Compaq, stock prices doubled to 25 are overpriced, facing hard time ahead in
second half 2004, stock prices will be down 50 % to 16-21
US/China
Business Strategy, investment banking,
merger/acquisition performance simulation, investment strategy Feb 8, 2004
US stock market speculating on series M/A news to
new high are not sustainable, repeating year 2000 bubble burst.
Global telecommunication facing excess capacity, sharp competition, pricing
continue.
Procter and Gamble 54 billion merger of Gillette, both in consumer products with
15 % profit margin, will be benefited by expanded global market shares, but
stocks prices already fully priced.
SBC flat earning ,15 billion merger ATT with sales decline will
facing profit margin squeez, even with successful post merger cost reduction.
Global PC fail to upgrade, integrate
OSA strategic simulators to increase up to 1000 % PC value, facing sharp
competition.
IBM PC facing deep loss, HP PC division only enjoy 1 % profit margin drag
HP corporate profit
margin to 3.5 %, Acer change management to achieve sustainable profit growth only
enjoy 3 % profit margin, Dell direct marketing, cost reduction enjoy 7 % margin,
will all facing Lenovo merger IBM PC division price cutting pressure.
China's PC king Lenovo bought US IBM 10 billion billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.)
Oracle enjoyed 23 % profit margin bought Peoples Soft ( 3.4% margin ) in
customer relationships, financial, human resources data management will be drag
by PeopleSoft, and facing competition from SAP and other market players
Oracle stock prices will give up all its recent gain, testing 10- 12
Sprint 35 billion dollar merger Nextel will facing sharp price war in wireless
competition, Nextel margin will be grad by Sprint. stock prices at 24 are over
valued.
Johnson & Johnson 35 billion merger Guidant, 2 billion dollar sales , 400
million earning in heart stent, pace maker,
diversify into therapeutic area. However Guidant is over priced at
72, Johnson may have some room to growth.
US CPI at 3.2 % ,whole sale price up 5 % in Nov, with business
spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 95 ISM at 66 are inflationary,
facing excessive inventory built up, oil
soared to 56 in Oct. currently consolidate
in 40-50 due to mild winter, However cold winter ahead will drive heating oil, and oil price
traded 40- 50 gas to 9.0 and metals to new high in December will
drive up 20 sectors raw materials 5000 products costs and prices, inflation will be back to
3.5
% in winter, as Nov whole sale price up 5 %, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool
off the economy, bond yield will return to 4.0- 4.8 %
Wall Street Market Research OSA Market Tracking,
Forecasts: Global Capital Markets Asset
prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum. He lectured Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month
ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate
is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and
summer lead to serious
bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing
bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares facing and correction 2004,
Market speculators using Oil prices plunged from 55 to 40and Intel optimistic
outlook, Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and IBM PC
sale, Oracle PeopleSoft 10 billion dollar merger facing margin squeeze and
Sprint Nextel 35 billion dollar merger all facing sharp competition, to
speculate blue chips and Nasdaq will give up all its recent gain is premature ,oil
price already rebound to 45 will retest 50 due to OPEC one million production
cut and winter peak demand, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP holiday sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 35, IBM
test 85.
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as Google
will
plunge from 199 to 80-100, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be
followed by sell off bear trap
in post election bubble burst , repeating 2000. Dow will be traded 9550- 10700, Nasdaq 1750- 2100 ,
S&P 1000-1190, Taiwan index post election
bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 5500, Henseng 11500- 13900, Nikkei 10000-
11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1450, Shenzhen 3000-
3450, Euro : 1.30- 1.35 , Yen 100-107, US, Asian and European stocks follow US
stocks rebound currently will gave up all this year gain
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks
( including IPO )facing
30-50 % bear market correction consolidation
China's PC king Lenovo
following Dr. Huang's recommendation in 1989-1990 to China Fudan, Tsinghwa,
Zechiang , Dalian, Hwu-zhon science and tech university school of management and
computer science executives training workshops and keynote speech to state
department and SINOPEC sponsored international conference consulting ,
recommended upstream/downstream integration, globalization, bought US IBM 10 billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, to become No. 3 PC maker, following HP and
DELL, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China
but still needed R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.,
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.), will put pressure Acer, HP and Dell for more price
cutting, competitions. Only Dr. Warren Huang 30 years US
multinational, Taiwan, China, US government, banking, finance, SOE , SME
develop, implementation, consulting , recommended upstream/downstream
integration, globalization, R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.
Taiwan's Acer chairman Shi following upstream/downstream , globalization,
diversification strategy , created own Acer brand, surviving various downstream,
however, fail to diversify into OSA strategic high value added strategic
software and consulting service will facing tough fight after Lenovo merger
after Shi's retirement.
Taiwan's PVC king Formosa Plastics Chairman Y C Wang benefited by global
housing, auto asst bubble boom achieved 31 % profit margin, by following
Dr. Huang Taiwan petrochemical industry business models and strategy
recommendation ( as government, industry consultant in 1972- 85 to Taiwan
government economic affair and petrochemical industry associations on
petrochemical development, upgrade strategy for integrating PVC
upstream/downstream, diversification into fibers, engineering plastics related
business and globalization ( US, Asian, China) and continuing tracking achieve
the causes for all cost reduction.,
However, still needed to work harder on technical, marketing, management R & D
innovation for high value added
products for fighting future economic downturn
( published 20 English articles in US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing,
advanced control, information system
handbook 1980- 2003, 3 million copies circulating to 78 countries and thousands
Chinese articles
on China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, economic, finance, securities, management
journal, 100 million copies since 1983.,invited as keynote speaker to 100 China,
Taiwan, US, Canada, European 46 countries government, central bank governors,
financial risk management, productivity management conference, since 1980
offered thousands executives workshops to top Taiwan, China, US government
officials, senior executives, banking, finance, SOE, SME< multinational CEO,
CFO, senior executives and 15 cities TV, radio, 30 million managers, investors
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters managers since 1983.China's PC king Lenovo
following Dr. Huang's recommendation in 1989-1990 to China Fudan, Tsinghwa,
Zechiang , Dalian, Hwu-zhon science and tech university school of management and
computer science executives training workshops and keynote speech to state
department and SINOPEC sponsored international conference consulting ,
recommended upstream/downstream integration, globalization, bought US IBM 10 billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, to become No. 3 PC maker, following HP and
DELL, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China
but still needed R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.,
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.), will put pressure Acer, HP and Dell for more price
cutting, competitions. Only Dr. Warren Huang 30 years US
multinational, Taiwan, China, US government, banking, finance, SOE , SME
develop, implementation, consulting , recommended upstream/downstream
integration, globalization, R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.
Taiwan's Acer chairman Shi following upstream/downstream , globalization,
diversification strategy , created own Acer brand, surviving various downstream,
however, fail to diversify into OSA strategic high value added strategic
software and consulting service will facing tough fight after Lenovo merger
after Shi's retirement.
Taiwan's PVC king Formosa Plastics Chairman Y C Wang benefited by global
housing, auto asst bubble boom achieved 31 % profit margin, by following
Dr. Huang Taiwan petrochemical industry business models and strategy
recommendation ( as government, industry consultant in 1972- 85 to Taiwan
government economic affair and petrochemical industry associations on
petrochemical development, upgrade strategy for integrating PVC
upstream/downstream, diversification into fibers, engineering plastics related
business and globalization ( US, Asian, China) and continuing tracking achieve
the causes for all cost reduction.,
However, still needed to work harder on technical, marketing, management R & D
innovation for high value added
products for fighting future economic downturn
( published 20 English articles in US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing,
advanced control, information system
handbook 1980- 2003, 3 million copies circulating to 78 countries and thousands
Chinese articles
on China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, economic, finance, securities, management
journal, 100 million copies since 1983.,invited as keynote speaker to 100 China,
Taiwan, US, Canada, European 46 countries government, central bank governors,
financial risk management, productivity management conference, since 1980
offered thousands executives workshops to top Taiwan, China, US government
officials, senior executives, banking, finance, SOE, SME< multinational CEO,
CFO, senior executives and 15 cities TV, radio, 30 million managers, investors
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters managers since 1983
European
Strategy
Leadership Breakthrough: EU 25
countries ECM monetary policy
Economy/Capital
Markets, East-Western European Convergence, banking,
finance, economy integration, growth, prices stability simulation,
forecast, Bubble,
Crisis
Simulation, Basel II Risks early warning :
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO
EU ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control Asian
Pacific Strategy
:Economy/Capital Markets
financial crisis early warning systems
and
strategic investment, supply chain logistics, value, profit creation for
sustainable profit, market share growth:
Japan China
Korea Taiwan Singapore Hong Kong India
Malaysia Thailand
China Strategy: Economy/Capital
Markets Bubble
Simulation, early warning
and strategic investment,
supply chain logistics, value, profit creation for sustainable profit, market
share growth: :
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO China
ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
Strategic
Wealth
Management
Value Investing
Asset Prices bubbles
Dynamic
Asset allocation
interest rate/bond yield Beat stock
indices future
Beat Forex Currency
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures Beat Global ADR Market
Risks Hedging Strategy
Venture Capital Risks control
Structured
Financial Engineering
Asset securitization
Syndicated
Loan
Basel
II Risk control
Strategic Investment Banking: strategic IPO,
pre/post
merger/acquisition performance
e-Personal Life planning Strategy Intelligent Knowledge Management
Strategic e-commerce Value
Chain Optimization
Adaptive enterprises Change Management
Basel
II Risk control
Monetary
macroeconomic policy Industrial finance Industrial
Economy
Regional Economy
Investment banking Globalization Strategy
e-Gov reform strategy
Banking/Finance
Reform Enterprise Reform
e-Biz
Strategy
OSA
models
Process
Improvement
Business Process Optimization
Global
Strategic Solution Consulting Corporate Governance
Global Crisis OSA
Risk Management Basel
II Risk control
Adaptives
e-Learning-Education
Breakthrough
leadership/strategy CEO workshop
Breakthrough
Venture capital strategy CEO workshop
Rose vegetable Garden
Commodity futures
WTO, import/export pricing
Feedback
Annual Memberships Strategic Out-Sourcing
Centers Human resources OSA teams
The
only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators
tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial
crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion
dollar market loss due to current probabilistic models based capital market
asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to US, European, China, Taiwan
, Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth management
conference By
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of two master hands OSA, website:
www.osawh.com email
:
whuang3928@aol.com
/ osawhh@citiz.net
Global
Strategic solution Workshops
:
20 English articles, US patents, millions copies published by US Hydrocarbon
Processing,
advanced control-information system
handbook 1991-2003 and Oil & Gas Journals circulation to 80 countries
:Manufacturing
Process Operations Improvement and Power plant integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM
/Logistics Operations Improvement for cost/quality performances: de-bottleneck,
waste/energy minimization, maximize top grade products, yields, minimize off grade loss,
power blackout
In-depth OSA for your suppliers, your manufacturing
supply chain, marketing competitive pricing process,, your
customers, end-users and your competitors and optimizing your value chain in
fighting uncertain, unpredictable futures.
oil/gas
petrochemical
fibers/
plastics pulp/paper
IT upstream/downstream
Power Plant Optimization
OSA Global Strategic
Competitive Intelligence Simulation/Forecasts, predictive decision tools
maximize US competitive advantage--
Predicted
3 months ahead
last
20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing,
2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
.
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this
website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft
landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, facing sharp competition, price
cutting, entering bear market
consolidation.
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
and again
to Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing
consolidation.
He lectures Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month ahead, investment
opportunities in China
petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR ,
Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning
for asset bubbles in oil,
commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended invested
in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive
China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will
lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise
bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay
above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,
Goal :
Predicting the unpredictable futures and stay month ahead of US and global emerging economic,
financial market price movement , customer demand trend, crisis,
supporting global
government, banking, finance, corporate reform, change management
strategic investment, value added marketing, competitive pricing, supply chain
logistics decisions in global crisis simulation, risks management avoided
trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan, save billon dollar supply chain costs
in maximize sustainable profits, global customer value, and competitive
advantage ,market shares
corporate, personal dream come true
Mission
: Setting up
US cost, quality, profit, customer value, market share, risk as goal, mission, performance oriented
multidisciplinary global strategic,
execution OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis ) teams (business units) , to develop implement and training millions
US/global strategic decision OSA simulators supporting global government,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, executives investors, customers ,
competitors in global strategic investment,
supply chain logistics cost reduction, maximize customer value decision analysis predicting government , economic,
monetary policy WTO impact on economic, business cycles, 20 industrial
sectors 5000 products demand, prices, daily
capital markets asset prices, bubble early warning: interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity properties,
nonperformance loan provide early warning to avoid corporate scandal internal auditing,
global financial, energy crisis resulted trillion dollar market loss and save billion
dollar supply chain costs
shown on this website
the most reliable global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
============================================================================================
Globalization, integration strategic competitive
intelligence decision analysis support
centers:
Supporting daily 40 global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy
impact simulation,
achieving economic growth and financial markets prices stability
predictive control, asset prices simulation, risk management ,
corporate investment, supply chain, CRM , competitors integration strategy. integrate domestic
economy and financial markets into global economy, markets and
trade. It also integrate corporate domestic supplier into global
downstream customers, end users, competitors investment, supply chain, credit risk,
nonperformance loan early warning
Strategic China Out-Sourcing
Centers for China/Global Banking, Financial, corporate Investment, supply chain
logistics decision support:
China, global government, banking, capital markets asset prices, industrial
sectors demand, prices, performance , equities research, business
investment Merger/acquisition, IPO, MBO, supply chain logistics, global trade Operations Simulation Analysis Strategic
centers, integrating China operations into your corporate headquarters daily decision
supported, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution OSA teams units ,
provide internal and external cost, financial accounting audit, avoided accounting scandals
and trillion dollar market loss, saving billion dollar supply chain costs
Global leadership breakthrough,
strategic products, markets, service innovation decisions Operations Simulation
Analysis, sustainable profit optimization CEO/ CFO/CFA executives on the job
training, problem solving in-house workshops
e.-Government Strategy Bilateral, multilateral simulation of US,
greater China and global policy interactions:
A. US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan, S. Korea central banks,
monetary, economic, fiscal policy , WTO bilateral, multilateral interaction impact on
macro-economy, financial markets industrial products demand, prices, properties, asset
bubble , trade simulations
B. Global government economic reform restructuring, productivity improvement, high tech/ VC
program
C. Global WTO trade and competitive pricing, market share strategic simulation.
US/Global Banking, Finance Reform, e-Finance/e-invest/e-risks for Banking,
Finance, Business
A. Strategic banking reform,
nonperformance debt, equities, properties asset management
Tracking, simulating, forecasts the causes, onset, recovery of debt, equities,
properties asset pricing, credit risk simulation and maximize return, investment, recovery
in securitization, syndicated loan
B. Maximize US/global Strategic Banking Performance
Basel II market, credit, operational, interest rate Risk adjusted return Simulation Center
:Tracking, simulation, forecasts of Monetary policy, economic, business, product cycles
impact on interest rate spread,, consumer, business credit demand, quality,
defaults, return on asset, currency, industrial demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices
, corporate credit defaults risks
C. US/Global Capital Market Asset Prices, bubble Simulation
for Strategic US/Global Equities and Investment Fund and wealth
management Research center:
Capital markets, money, equities, bond investment commodity, energy fund and industrial sectors demand, prices, profit , asset prices , bubble burst
simulation, investment fund asset allocation , portfolio selection , risks
hedging maximize return on investment,
minimize market and credit risks
D. Strategic US/Global Business Credit Risk Simulation
Tracking, simulation, forecasts of economic, business, product cycles impact on
industrial demand, prices, profit, corporate performance, credit defaults risks
E. Strategic US/ Global Investment Banking Research Center
Tracking, simulation, forecasts of US/global economic, business, product cycles impact on industrial
demand, prices, profit, corporate credit faults risk, IPO, ADR, foreign listing, pre/post
merger acquisition performance, stock prices, investment strategy
F. Strategic US/Global Retail banking: customer value creation, marketing, competitive
pricing OSA center maximize profit, market shares
Maximize Value Chain Profit
Strategy:
Global Enterprises Reform e-Commerce Business Process
Optimization, Integration
recommended by US Gulf Publishing
Hydrocarbon Processing information systems, advanced control handbook 1991-2003
F.
Strategic Integrated US/Global SRM/ERP/
Supply- Demand Chain/CRM/ERM process optimization Center Integrate upstream suppliers into
downstream industries and end users customers in daily ERP, supply chain, marketing sales
strategy
Strategic China investment, supply chain, M/A center
support corporate think tank decisions
G. Strategic US/Global customer value creation, marketing, competitive pricing OSA center
maximize retail chain profit, market shares
Maximize Value Chain Profit
Strategy
H.
US/Global CEO, CFO, executives decision analysis
Adaptive e-Learning, On the Job problem solving Training:
Thousands
OSA decisions analysis training simulators supported On the Job decision analysis
workshops offered for millions global CEO, VP, senior executives and junior, entry level executives
I. US/Global Financial,
Currency, Energy, Banking, Disaster Crisis, Simulation, early warning systems Risks Control
Tracking, simulate, pre-warning the
root causes, onset, recovery of crisis and risk management
A beautiful mind of game theory and achieving beautiful world's dream by
OSA
=====================================================================================
Nobel Economics prize winner
Prof. John Nash's beuatiful mind believes in rational reasoning for everything:http://almaz.com/nobel/economics/1994b.html
http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7238.html
He was inspired by a course on int'l economics. his Ph.D thesis on Strategic
Equilibrium strategy in noncompetitive game applied to daily personal, financial,
economic politic
Profile/Founder
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of
two master hands controlling Global economic cycles
and Capital Markets Asset Prices Mechanism, Market Forces, Bubble Simulation, early warning
and
Global
Strategic Knowledge Based
Strategic Government, Business Process Demand
Forecasts OSA Optimization Operations Simulation
Analysis OSA
He has over 30 years
pioneering development, implement of global integrated in strategic investment,
supply chain logistics , crisis, risks, business Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)
and optimization ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980 over 80
countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel,
Fluor , Bailey Network Control headquarters corporate finance, information
management and process/products R&D in refinery, petrochemical, power
plant, steel, copper, coal project investment, construction, design, preventive
maintenance, crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US department of
energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information
technology, state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic planning for
10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade,
trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency,
5000 products export pricing quote. offered hundreds risk management
workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities
companies CEO,, CFO, money managers executives, tracking China macro
economic control, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit
margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, investment strategy Asian, global
governments , banking, finance, hundreds state, medium, small
enterprises reform, technical and management innovation change management. Dr.
Warren Huang offered thousands
global government, banking, finance,
enterprises reform CEO, CFO, executive training workshops/ outsourcing
training to millions global executives , providing the what, why and how
of strategic solution to achieve sustainable profit growth through technical and
management innovation.
He
directed hundreds goal, mission,
performance oriented goal, mission, performance oriented cross-functional
government, banking, finance, enterprises reform strategic, execution OSA teams development,
implementing, tracking and optimize the performance, meeting the goal set by our
clients. tracking results have been invited to speak to 100 US, ECB,
China, Taiwan, Asian central bank governors, financial risk management,
government, business strategy conferences
lectured 30 million China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio investors, executives
tracking last 20 year global economy, daily capital market asset prices
during the financial crisis.
He pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, financial market prices offered thousands lectures to
millions global banking, securities,
insurance, properties, state, medium, small enterprises senior executives and China, Taiwan 15
cities TV, radio 30 millions investors, banking, finance executives (pdf
)on tracking
monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on last 25 years global economic
cycles industrial sectors demand, asset prices , bubble, privatization, IPO,
strategic merger/acquisition, listed companies profit , stock prices simulation,
financial market investment
strategy and early warning, risk management (workshops
Chinese,
English) supporting
security, banking, insurance regulation, Sarbanes-Oxley Act on financial
accounting auditing maximize performance, transparency
He
published 32 global strategic business process optimization systems by
US Gulf Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Process Control, Information
Systems handbook, 1991-2003. applied by 1600
multinationals from 72 countries.
He has been editor/columnist and consultant for macro/financial economic
industrial finance, investment forum, energy, information technology, global
strategic management for Taiwan government, banking, finance, industrial,
importer/exporter trade, investment journal, Central, Economic, Commercial Times,
Industrial Economic daily newspapers and China Economic, Financial Times,
Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan Securities daily newspapers, wrote
thousands articles on reform, change management,
investment risk management for US, Taiwan, China government economic, finance, banking,
securities, industrials, journal
weekly economic, finance investment journal, daily newspapers
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters weekly trade journals.
and this website
visited by million global central banks,
central, state, city government,
banking, finance, enterprises
executives.
He trained thousands Chemical Eng industrial economics,
global strategic management students for
Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai universities and lecture China Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan,
Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities on economic management, Chemical
Eng. computer control, financial engineering,
Millions global central banks, government, banking, finance, enterprises, CEO,
CFO, executives visited and supported www.osawh.com website since July 1998 (Partial lists)
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong
Monetary authority, IMF, World Bank, UN, IFC, BIS, OCED, US Dept of energy,
NSF, NASA
,FDA, HUD, GAO, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, SINICA, Taipei, Kaoshiung cities , Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach,
Deutsch Bank, Commerzbank, BNP, DBS, HSBC, , Huanan,
Chiaotung, Eusunbank bank, State Street, Wachiova,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential,
AIG, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J
Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business
Week.
Corporate :
McKinsey, Deloitte, Accenture, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, Toshiba, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Motorola,
Bell global, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco,
ChevronTexaco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORACLE, Boeing, GM,
Benz, Honda, Samsung, Ford),
Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly, Roche, Genentech, Human Genome Science, Weth) , Walmart, JC Penny, Proc.
Gamble
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
U Pensylvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London) and city,
state family education( K12) from 70 countries
===============================
Global Economic, Business
cycles, Asset bubbles burst, Oil, Energy , Currency crisis, recession
FEED FORWARD GROWTH AND PRICES STABILITY CONTROL Financial Markets Return, Asset
Allocation, Strategic Risks OSA
(RIGHT MASTER HAND
Structural, Dynamics simulation
of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economic, business cycles,
achieving growth and prices stability control:
Global Economics and Financial Systems Operations Simulation, Integration: Central Banks Monetary Policy for Sustainable
Growth and Asset Prices Stability Guidance and Control: Policy Impact Simulation Workshops
Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO impact
on Economic,
Business cycles, Asset, Wealth bubbles burst, Oil, energy , Currency crisis,
recession FEED FORWARD GROWTH AND PRICES STABILITY CONTROL Financial Markets
Return, Asset Allocation, Strategic Risks OSA
(RIGHT HAND )
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered two
master hands controlling last 20 years global economy and daily financial market
prices, develop, implemented thousands
structural, dynamics simulation of
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economic, business
cycles, predicted 1- 3 month ahead :achieving growth and prices stability
control
offered thousands
lectures accurately predicted China Peoples Banks monetary policy impact on
1994-96 macro-economic control-soft landing on China daily stock markets to
China 15 cities 30 million investors, national newspapers during 1994-1998 in
China and again predicted China excessive money supply, housing bubble facing
tightening Mar. 2003
Shanghai workshops
Dr. Huang two master hands accurately predicted
2000- 2003: global bull/bear
markets.
USA
China
Hong Kong Taiwan
Thailand
Japan S.
Korea
Singapore
Malaysia Phillipines
Indonesia
Viet-Nan
India UK/EURO
Russia/E. Europe
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
======================================================================================== .
Academic , e-Learning , OSA
training Simulators supported On the Job decision analysis training, :Conference and
TV, radio lectures, workshops offered:
Global
Conferences, in-house banking, finance, fund, corporate executives workshops
Do not miss this Global Capital market asset prices
fund performance simulation, hedging and securitization risks management and post
WTO China upstream/downstream Strategic Investment, M/A, SCM Decision Analysis
Workshops in 2002, tells everything you always wanted to know
about how
to avoid trillion dollars financial market investment, bad loan and save billion
dollar SCM costs, WTO competitive pricing,improved production, quality, global
market shares in one year OSA program
www.osawh.com
Dr. Warren Huang's worshop lectures
A.
China upstream/downstream profit management strategy(investment, ERP/SCM/ CRM) in
fightiing global competitions in WTO, recession , Beijin/Taipei/Hong
Kong/Shanghai/ Singapore( predicted Nov. 2001 in Beijin, Jan
21-22,2002 in Taipei to buy May oil/gas call option up 100 times, and invest in
downsstream petrochemical stocks up 100-300 %
B. Beijin University Finance, Business center sponsored Global finance conference lecture
on "Global
capital markets,
stocks, oils, asset prices simulation, risk management
for corporate governance accounting malpractice in Beijin
May 28-29, 2002 pre-warning predicted Dow Jonesblue chips old economy,
small cap overheat , entering 30-50 % correction
