Chinese (中文)
5 day UK macroeconomics,
currency, equities, housing, commodites prices asset bubbles simulations and markets rIsks, mortgage
crisis early warning workshops
UK suffered 50 % plunge in housing
start in 2008 and High interest rate, strong currency, stock markets price
plunge drag UK London housing price continue to slump through this
year facing mortgage default, credit crisis and recession. Find out cause,
onset,recovery early warning and the what, why, how and timing of recession
fighting, investment strategy
(
presented to
China Peoples Bank, UK, ECB, Fed , 24 global central banks governors, risk management confernces since 1999)
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation
of last 20 years China/US/UK, Asian
Mortgage Defaults Crisis, Macro-economic inflation, unemplyment targeting, Monetary interest rate
policy Impact on mortgage rate, Housing Sales, Pricing,
Equities Prices Bubbles,, Mortgage
Loan Credit rating, Prepayment, Defaults, Recovery Modeling, Bond Spread, credit
derivaitves pricing in Assets Securitization,
Risks Hedging
London, New York, San Francisco in-house workshops
by reservation at your convenient time at yuor office
wh3928@yahoo.com
conducted by Dr.
Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Strategic Management OSA
Preparing for Macroeconomic control, global commodities, housing, equities price bubbles burst, Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default Crisis Early Warning
We will provide
5 -day monetary policy impact on macroeconomic control, inflation,
interest rates, currency, commodities, stocks market , regional housing
prices bubbles, securitization assets credits, performance, mortgage default crisis analysis for your
loan history
Find out breakthrough innovation in proactive structural artificial
intelligence, neural net based expert systems simulation and
extension to Engle's Exponential GARCH dynamic times series estimation
co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of US, UK, China
housing, equities price bubbles, tracking the causes,
onset, recovery, early warning of US Fed , UK central banks monetary interest rate
policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation, un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global
housing, equities
prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major
cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices ,
associated prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment, default,
recovery modeling, RMBS, CDO bond spread, hedging fund strategy,
with 2008 forecast.
Global
central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan and investment
banking, hedging fund managers, markets analysts
ignoring Dr. Warren Huang
warning on Asset Prices Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept.
2002 to Malaysia central banks Asset Based Securitization conference, Singapore, Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events
Asian /US/China Finance, Capital Market
and London European Hedging Fund conferences , China economist annual meeting, Fudan University,
Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic
outlook, capital market housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles
and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004, and
Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market conference,
June 2007 Peking University
Financial Risk Management conference lecture and
www.osawh.com
and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat
blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned
that global central
banks, economists, market analysts underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive
rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive
oil , commodities, metals housing prices bubbles to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, suffered trillion dollar loss
in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch and loan default, ABS downgrade, hedge fund failure 2004-2007.
www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Workshops Goal : OSA forecasts
maximize risks adjusted return in US/UK housing markets investments and default
risks early warning fighting housing market recession, credit
crunch, avoided global banking , housing, equities, commodities, markets billions dollars asset value loss
in economic recession.
Workshops Mission:
Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams,
develop, implement proactive, structural global central banks
monetary policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing
market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism and loan credit rating, prepayment,
default, recovery modeling Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, forecasts
month ahead, of the emerging credit default, recession trend, crisis impact
on global currency, commodities, equities, bond prices
investment strategy and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar housing and global equities
allocation investment and markets default loss,
Workshops
Highlights: The what , why, how and
timing of root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of mortgage default and
global assets allocations in recession crisis, risks early warning..
Credit tightening, rate hike,
Wealth gain on equities, housing prices bubbles speculation
impact on China, US /UK/ Asian economy, consumer housing, commercial, industrial
properties sales, prices
and bubble burst, loan defaults.
5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day UK Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
Day One: , UK Macroeconomic control, US rate cut, inflation,
unemployment, boom and bust cycle OSA, Forecasts
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset prices
bubble , inflation control
and US dollar , EURO, Yen , Pound currency appreciation OSA
* Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and EGARCH Granger co-integrations
of US Fed, UK macroeconomic control rate cuts impact on sub-prime
mortgage default, housing bubble
wealth gain, tracking money supply, Fed fund, mortgage, bond yield
spread
control impact on housing, stock prices bubbles, inflation rate,
un-employment rate.
* Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices, pound impact
on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Pound, Currency appreciation and DFI inflow, excessive
liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily
Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in asset price
speculation.
* Interest rate, credit tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage
default
and mortgage default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession
Day two: Housing Industry Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage
loan default OSA
Morning:
UK monetary policy impact on housing demand and London housing prices
* Bank of England Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on GDP and inflation
* UK housing price bubble control policy and impact on UK housing
supply, demand and London housing prices.
Afternoon:
UK housing bubble burst, Northern Rock sub-prime loan default , stock market crash, economic
recession early warning
* Pound appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, impact on
London area housing sales, and
prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural UK housing personal, corporate loan credit rating,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan ABS, RMBS, loan credit rating,
securitization asset performance,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and induced stock market crash and economic
recession early warning OSA
Day three: Housing, Banking, Prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and
Burst, Market Crash OSA
Morning:
UK monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices, banking, finance,
construction industry performance
*Bank of England Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and cool off the
overheated housing bubbles inflation
* UK housing industry price control policy and impact on China housing
loan demand and prices.
Afternoon:
* Pound appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed
investment impact on
London housing, prices and
banking, housing stock price OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural UK housing personal, corporate loan credit rating,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and banking real estate stock performance early warning OSA
Day four Housing demand impact Oil commodities upstream/downstream demand,
profit , stock prices OSA
Morning:
UK monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand,
stock prices, OSA
* Bank of England Monetary Policy macroeconomic , housing industry control
impact on housing, construction
material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand prices .
* UK housing industry price control policy and impact on UK oil, energy
downstream demand, prices.
Afternoon:
* UK monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock
price
^ UK monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and energy, downstream companies
profit ,stock price OSA
Day five : Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk
integration, crisis early warning OSA
Morning: Country Currency and Interest Rate Risks
* Proactive Structural inflation rate, overnight bank , mortgage
rate, bond yield, spread, credit derivatives default swap OSA forecasts
* Proactive structural currency price mechanism OSA , interest rate spread
and trade balance impact :
Afternoon: Housing mortgage credit default and stock markets crash markets risks
early warning
* Proactive Structural housing price forecast and mortgage credit rating and
default simulation early warning
* UL twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking, asset
management loan credit default
risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit derivatives, hedging, betting on the wrong direction
resulted trillion dollar loss.
Who Should Attend :
Central banks policy research, commercial, investment banking, real estate
mortgage, hedge fund manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO, securitization
managers, insurance managers, mutual fund , SWF fund managers, government
regulation strategic (top management) , execution (managers )
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 3000 plus Dr. Warren Huang round trip air
fares from San Francisco for full day workshop with unlimited attendees
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in betting on the wrong
direction of investment and default
risks, loss, capitalize opportunities in economic slowdown, recession and asset
prices bubbles burst
Reserve by email wh3928@yahoo.com
indicating your favorite time, your office address, and lists of
executives names, title