Taiwan Strategy:
Innovation Breakthrough Leadership for Central Bank Proactive Monetary,
macroeconomic, finance policy, Banking,
Finance, Business Reform, Globalization , Basel II risk management for Sustainable Profit, Market Share Growth
Taiwan Strategic Management:
:Innovation
breakthrough in Proactive Taiwan
strategic knowledge economy investment,
market economy price mechanism, supply chain logistics, competitive
pricing Competitive Intelligence Decision Operations Simulation Analysis / Forecasts,
supporting daily China/Global Government, Banking, Finance, Business,
Reform, Personal Decisions
Making
Do not miss this opportunities
Strategic
Basel II Risks OSA early warning maximize risks adjusted return
for
Basel II Capital Requirement, Risk Management conference sponsored by Asian
Strategy Leadership Institute, Singapore, Apr. 25-26 for China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, Japan, Korea, ASEAN countries banking, finance senior risks,
planning management, fund managers ( Dr. Huang offered thousands lectures to
China, Taiwan, US TV, radio station 30 million investors, hundreds risk
management workshops for hundreds banking, finance CEO, CFO , fund managers.
or reserve his full day in-house workshop email
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com
in- house workshop Apr. 20- 23, or Apr. 28-30 at your office
( he just offered on Feb 23 , Beijing to 70 China, Asian, US, European oil,
gas, banking executives accurately:
Speaker Dr. Warren
Huang accurately predicted on his Beijing Feb 23-25 workshop, keynote
speeches, lectures that oil price will rise to 55 in March. and challenging
60 in spring, driving US China inflation and interest rate , bond yield up,
stocks plunge. soaring US trade deficit drag dollar and Oil price did
soared to 55.2 on March 3, 58 on March 15, China Shanghai A retreat from
1320 to 1239, US Dow ones plunge from 10980 to 10359, Nasdaq from 2100 to
1970, 10 yr bond yield soared from 4 % to 4.6 %..
GS after Dr. Huang prediction in April 5, speculation to 105 is based
on feeling, without market forces simulation Greenspan trying use
market forces to cool down the prices to 56 is just co-incident.
based on Dr. Huang 30 year oil market market forces simulation tracing
accurately daily prices movement since 1980, 1990 energy crisis, Greenspan
only right about rising price cut demand, but forgot the prime demand
market forces from 49 trillion wealth effect out of housing, equities
bubbles and weak dollar continue driving energy demand from construction
metal, cement plastics 20 industrial sectors 5000 products etc beside just
gasoline, heating oils.
Soaring Feb consumer spending, manufacturing demand definitely push oil
price above 60, despite sufficient crude oil inventory, ( can easily
consumed in the coming peak gasoline demand season ahead
Highlights:
* Structural dynamic simulation forecast of monetary,
economic policy impact on daily global finance, capital markets asset prices
Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) avoided trillion dollar markets
non-performance loan.
* Basel II Markets, Credit, Operational, interest rate,
currency risks OSA forecast, risks early warning systems
* Corporate cost and financial accounting systems OSA tracking, governance
scandal early warning, maximize
transparency and performance.
*Cost,
Profit, Risks, Market Shares as goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic (board members, senior executive , risk manager, auditing team)
and execution ( junior executives, risk staff ) OSA teams tracking daily
corporate performance and risks, maximize risk adjusted return
*
Global/Asian equities, bond, oil, metals, commodity futures, derivatives
prices, assets and mortgage backed securitization asset prices simulation,
forecast, structural finance risks hedging OSA. minimize Basel II market
risks.
* Risks OSA forecast
, early
warning,
tracking,
forecasts
daily Basel II three pillars risk management requirement, minimize capital
adequacy requirement in daily risks monitoring, reporting, measurement.
cost: Dr. Huang San Francisco rt air fare, local hotel, lecture fee.
===============================================================================================
Announcement :OSA country web pages assistant editor and marketing
opportunities
OSA will expand 40 countries web pages content in local language and English
domain in 2005, looking for
A. Assistant editors for all areas, current college student of all majors,
interested to be training by our
e-Learning mission
impossible, develop your country information knowledge base, web
contents, you will be co-author with Dr. Huang to present your
results in local , international conferences, for future graduate
scholarship, job applications reference.
B. Marketing agent: Local country web pages,
domain, boosting traffic, workshops marketing,
experience required
C. Strategic partners, join venture profit sharing promotion
Contact osawhh@citiz.net in
Chinese wh3928@yahoo.com in
English
=================================================================================================Global
Proactive Strategic Simulation for
central bank,
banking, finance, investors
stay ahead of macroeconomic control,
OSA
capitalize on opportunities
in crisis, maximize global market shares, in emerging market trends,
avoided
trillion
dollar
Basel II credit, market, operational risks
achieve sustainable profit growth
www.osawh.com
About OSA Products & Services
Workshops
VIP/Corporate membership
20 yrs
daily global market tracking Capital Market
Banking
e-Business
e-Government
Monetary Policy
Asset Bubble Biotech/Healthcare EMBA/CEO Basel
II Risk control Business
Process
Outsourcing
Strategic Alliance OSA
Strategic
Sourcing Strategic
E-Procurement Supply
chain optimization Marketing/Sales
Strategy
Integrated
Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /Logistics
Taiwan
Strategy Leadership Innovation
Breakthrough for
Monetary economic, fiscal
policy impact on
macroeconomic control, Capital Markets asset
prices, bubble Simulation,
Basel II rearly warning systems and
sustainable profit, market share growth
Taiwan stock markets
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO Taiwan
ADR China
ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
China
4PL Logistics debottleneck
Strategic Asian Trade Finance
China become the Asian growth engine since China joined WTO, enjoyed 60 billion
Foreign
direct investment , mostly from Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore.
2003- 2004 China GDP exceeds 9.5 %, with 30 % growth in fixed investment (
mostly from manufacturing and housing) 13 % growth in retail sales, 35 % growth
in import.
Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, India enjoyed 50 % growth, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia
export to China enjoyed 30 % , pulling Asian countries of recession.
Asian stocks following
US stocks speculating year end and January rally, making new high, with
Dow broke 10700 , Nasdaq 2150 were overheated, economic will facing slowdown, as
US housing start plunged 13 %, consumer, business spending will peaking out in
November.
Dr. Huang predicted last week that Nymex crude oil
prices rebound from 40 to 55 due to cold US weather and falling heating oil
inventory
US heading for soaring current account deficit to 177 billion in the
current quarter due to soaring business, consumer spending and oil prices,
dollar depreciation.
However, Asian currencies are overpriced, will facing soaring oil price and
shrinking surplus.
Dr. Warren Huang's two master hands controlling
, predicted global and China, Asian last 25 years ( including Asian Financial crisis,
US asset bubble burst )
macro economy, daily capital market asset prices, 20 industrial sectors
commodity, raw material, 5000 products daily demand, import, export prices
support Asian investment, supply chain logistics, import/export trade strategy
accurately predicted 94-96 and current China macroeconomic control, credit
tightening, rate hike, will drag China
and Asian, US export/ import slowdown next year.
Strategic China Energy
trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum
www.abf.com.sg China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C.Global / China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@citiz.net
:
China/Taiwan Business Strategy, investment
banking, merger/acquisition performance simulation, investment strategy Mar 17, 2004
Global PC still using 30 year old data base
management, fail to upgrade, integrate
OSA information knowledge and strategic simulators to proactive smart PC
and corporate computing, increase up to 1000 % PC value, profit.
IBM PC facing deep loss, HP PC division only enjoy 1 % profit margin drag
HP corporate profit
margin to 3.5 %, Acer change management to achieve sustainable profit growth only
enjoy 3 % profit margin, Dell direct marketing, cost reduction enjoy 7 % margin,
will all facing Lenovo merger IBM PC division price cutting pressure.
China's PC king Lenovo following Dr. Huang's recommendation in 1989-1990 to
China Fudan, Tsinghwa, Zechiang , Dalian, Hwu-zhon science and tech university
school of management and computer science executives training workshops and
keynote speech to state department and SINOPEC sponsored international
conference consulting , recommended upstream/downstream integration,
globalization, bought US IBM 10 billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, to become No. 3 PC maker, following HP and
DELL, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China market share.
but still needed R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high ,
profit added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.,
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.), will put pressure Acer, HP and Dell for more price
cutting, competitions. Only Dr. Warren Huang 30 years US
multinational, Taiwan, China, US government, banking, finance, SOE , SME
develop, implementation, consulting , recommended upstream/downstream
integration, globalization, R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.
Taiwan's Acer chairman Shi following upstream/downstream , globalization,
diversification strategy , created own Acer brand, surviving various downstream,
however, fail to diversify into OSA strategic high value added strategic
software and consulting service will facing tough fight after Lenovo merger
after Shi's retirement.
Taiwan's PVC king Formosa Plastics Chairman Y C Wang benefited by global
housing, auto asst bubble boom achieved 31 % profit margin, by following
Dr. Huang Taiwan petrochemical industry business models and strategy
recommendation ( as government, industry consultant in 1972- 85 to Taiwan
government economic affair and petrochemical industry associations on
petrochemical development, upgrade strategy for integrating PVC
upstream/downstream, diversification into fibers, engineering plastics related
business and globalization ( US, Asian, China) and continuing tracking achieve
the causes for all cost reduction.,
However, still needed to work harder on technical, marketing, management R & D
innovation for high value added
products for fighting future economic downturn
( published 20 English articles in US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing,
advanced control, information system
handbook 1980- 2003, 3 million copies circulating to 78 countries and thousands
Chinese articles
on China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, economic, finance, securities, management
journal, 100 million copies since 1983.,invited as keynote speaker to 100 China,
Taiwan, US, Canada, European 46 countries government, central bank governors,
financial risk management, productivity management conference, since 1980
offered thousands executives workshops to top Taiwan, China, US government
officials, senior executives, banking, finance, SOE, SME< multinational CEO,
CFO, senior executives and 15 cities TV, radio, 30 million managers, investors
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters managers since 1983.
China Strategy:
Monetary economic, fiscal policy impact on macroeconomic control, Capital
Markets Bubble
Simulation, Crisis, Basel II risks early warning systems
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO China
ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
4PL Logistics debottleneck Integration
US Strategy
: Economy/Capital Markets Asset Prices,
Bubble Simulation, Crisis and Basel II risks early warning
:
Beat
Todays Markets
US hot stocks
,
Global
ADR
US
banks-finance Oil/Gas/Pet
Info-100
Silicon -100
Weekend
Edition IPO
pricing
profit early warning
Beat stock
indice future Beat Forex Currency futures
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures
Housing Bubble Basel
II credit risks
market risks
operational risks control
Asian
Pacific Strategy Leadership innovation breakthrough
: Economy/Capital Markets
Asian Financial Crisis and Basel II
Risks Early warning
system
Japan China
Korea Taiwan Singapore Hong Kong India
Malaysia Thailand
Strategic
Wealth
Management
Value Investing
Asset Prices bubbles
Dynamic
Asset allocation
interest rate/bond yield Beat stock
indices future
Beat Forex Currency
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures Beat Global ADR Market
Risks Hedging Strategy
Venture Capital Risks control
Structured
Financial Engineering
Asset securitization
Syndicated
Loan
Basel
II Risk control
Strategic Investment Banking: strategic IPO,
pre/post
merger/acquisition performance
e-Personal Life planning Strategy Intelligent Knowledge Management
Strategic e-commerce Value
Chain Optimization
Adaptive enterprises Change Management
Basel
II Risk control
Monetary
macroeconomic policy Industrial finance Industrial
Economy
Regional Economy
Investment banking Globalization Strategy
e-Gov reform strategy
Banking/Finance
Reform Enterprise Reform
e-Biz
Strategy
OSA
models
Process
Improvement
Business Process Optimization
Global
Strategic Solution Consulting Corporate Governance
Global Crisis OSA
Risk Management Basel
II Risk control
Adaptives
e-Learning-Education
Breakthrough
leadership/strategy CEO workshop
Breakthrough
Venture capital strategy CEO workshop
Rose vegetable Garden
Commodity futures
WTO, import/export pricing
Feedback
Annual Memberships Strategic Out-Sourcing
Centers Human resources OSA teams
The
only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators
tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial
crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion
dollar market loss due to current probabilistic models based capital market
asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to US, European, China, Taiwan
, Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth management
conference By
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of two master hands OSA, website:
www.osawh.com email
:
whuang3928@aol.com
/ osawhh@citiz.net
Global
Strategic solution Workshops
:
20 English articles, US patents, millions copies published by US Hydrocarbon
Processing,
advanced control-information system
handbook 1991-2003 and Oil & Gas Journals circulation to 80 countries
:Manufacturing
Process Operations Improvement and Power plant integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM
/Logistics Operations Improvement for cost/quality performances: de-bottleneck,
waste/energy minimization, maximize top grade products, yields, minimize off grade loss,
power blackout
In-depth OSA for your suppliers, your manufacturing
supply chain, marketing competitive pricing process,, your
customers, end-users and your competitors and optimizing your value chain in
fighting uncertain, unpredictable futures.
oil/gas
petrochemical
fibers/
plastics pulp/paper
IT upstream/downstream
Power Plant Optimization
OSA Taiwan/China/Global
Strategic Competitive Intelligence Simulation/Forecasts, predictive decision
tools maximize China competitive advantage--
Predicted
3 months ahead last
20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing,
2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
.
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this
website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft
landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, facing sharp competition, price
cutting, entering bear market
consolidation.
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
and again
to Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning
China and US economic slowdown will drag Taiwan/global economic growth, stocks facing
consolidation.
He lectures Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month ahead, investment
opportunities in China
petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR ,
Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning
for asset bubbles in oil,
commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended invested
in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive
China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will
lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise
bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay
above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, 2005 forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
San Francisco Silicon Valley finance radio and global
finance investment seminar May7, 8, 15,2004 and
www.osawh.com
website warning
global
central banks excessive rate, tax cuts, ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
excessive demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal
constructional materials prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
due to US excessive rate, tax cuts, Fed raising rate , too little,
too late , China delaying rate hike to effectively cut market demand
led to China Sept. 2004 CPI inflation up 5.2 % again and third quarter GDP
growth still at 9.1 % due to increasing business ( up 28 %)and
consumer demand up 14 % ,will facing soaring inflation from current
5.3 % to 6.6 %, US will facing inflation soared to 5 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season .
US Greenspan, global economists,
market analysts over optimistic over oil, commodity weakness and
underestimate inflationary pressure and 10 yr. bond yield too low ,
long interest rate has to go up to 5 % in the month ahead due to excessive business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 and
2005 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, Oct job
creation of 337000, will repeating March ,, 2004 , 2005 growth will be below
112,000 , peaking out as entering peak holiday
season, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 48 trillion dollar housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out in the second quarter at 66 ( already plunged to 56 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of 2004
and repeating in 2005 with US trade deficit
soared to 55- 60 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes
after May, Aug. Sept , Nov 2004 and extending well into summer 2005, profit
, productivity growth , consumer confidence , business spending,
peaking out, economic leading indicators declined for 6 months
,business facing profit squeeze in second half 2004,
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation. US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995
and 2000 and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in 2004, with business spending up 14 %, consumer
confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up, oil,
soared to 56 currently consolidate
in 47-50 cold winter will drive heating oil, and oil price rebound to
55-60 gas to 9.0 and metals to new high in summer 2005 will drive
up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, inflation will be back to 3.5
% in spring, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool
off the economy, 10 year bond yield is too low, will return to 4.3- 5.0 %
Wall Street Market Research OSA Market Tracking,
Forecasts: Global Capital Markets Asset
prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum. He lectured Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month
ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate
is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and
summer lead to serious
bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing
bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out facing correction in the
month ahead,
2005 Oil,
commodity prices forecast
Market speculators using Oil prices plunged from 55 to 40 and back to 56, and Intel
profit , over-optimistic
outlook, Apple profit up 70 % due to i-Pod new product innovation Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and IBM PC
sale to China, Oracle PeopleSoft 10 billion dollar merger facing margin squeeze and
Sprint Nextel 35 billion dollar merger all facing sharp competition, to
speculate blue chips and Nasdaq will give up all its recent gain is
premature ,oil price rebound to 55 in March accurately predict by Dr.
Huang in Beijing Feb 23, 2005 will challenge 60 due to OPEC one million
production cut and winter and summer peak demand, and challenge 55- 60 in summer
2005.
2005 High tech stock performance forecasts
US and global IT ( from chips, PC, to telecommunication, entertaining) demand growth will be slow down to 6 % , facing profit squeeze,
stock prices retreat 30 -50 %, with China
internet stocks bubble burst, plunge 70- 80 % . Dell profit decline continue, facing
profit squeeze, pricing cutting from HP,
Apple sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 35, IBM
test 85. HP profit, stock prices continue drag by PC operation (as warned by Dr.
Huang on this website) speculating on HP CEO change will not improve near term profit, stock
performance, only smart PC can lead
to breakthrough.
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as
Google enjoyed
7 fold earning increase, it has PE of 145, and profit margin of only 12 %, stock
price at 215 is extremely overpriced, repeating Yahoo of 2000,
will plunged
from 215 to 100-120, any attempt using IPO
and PG and Gillette merger
to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
US dollar
weakness continue in 2005:
Soaring
import leading to record US trade deficit of 655 billion in summer will drag US
dollar into new low continue into this year Euro : 1.29- 1.45 , Yen 95- 102,
Global stocks bear market correction into 2005, give up most of 2004 gain
US, Asian and European stocks follow US
stocks rebound currently will gave up all this year gain
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks
( including IPO )facing
30-50 % bear market correction consolidation Dow will be traded 9750- 10900, Nasdaq 1750- 2100 ,
S&P 1060-1200, US 10 year bond yield will be back to 4.4- 4.9 in March
2005. Taiwan index post election
bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 6100, Henseng 12500- 14200, Nikkei 10000-
11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1150- 1300, Shenzhen 2750-
3350, consolidation Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts:
China started second phase credit tightening, rate
hike series begin.
China finally raised prime rate by 0.27, to cool off the asset bubble, with
structural rate hike, floating loan upper limit from 5.6- 12.5 %, Oct.
28, 2004, accurately predicted by Dr. Huang last Nov. 2003 in
Euro-events Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Asian/China finance, capital
market conference and May 8, 15, 2004 to San Francisco Silicon Valley
Finance radio and Global Finance Forum, Hi tech investment seminar, Silicon
Valley and on this website, visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives.
Global central banks ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
resulted US Fed raising rate , too little, too late, China delaying
rate hike to effectively cut market demand led to China Sept. CPI
inflation up 5.2 % again and 2004 GDP growth still at 9.4 % due to
increasing business ( up 28 %)and consumer demand up 14 % ,will
facing soaring inflation from current 3.9 % to 5.6 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season and summer 2005. Despite China Peoples Bank raised
deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement,
aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control with
Sept. money supply growth at
13.6 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up only 10 %, asset prices, inflation
followed soaring oil price to 55, all time high metal prices coastal cities Beijin,
Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive national housing prices up
14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 38 % for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo,, Guanzhou . retail sale up
13.2, China 2004 GDP up 9.2 % far above 7 % target, medium,
long term loan up 25.4 %, inflation up 4 % . China economy is
far from soft landing, will have very tough year to cut domestic demand and
GDP below 8 % and call the need for further interest
rate hike in summer and raise deposit reserve ratio to cool off the consumer and housing demand in winter
holiday peak and summer season .
As. China Peoples bank issue
100 billion notes to cut 100 billion from the money market avoid overheated
Chinese New Year demand further drive up inflation. soaring China,
US demand pushing China steel, cement,
aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's 915 statement
over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr.
Huang on this website and already retreat to 1150) market is over, continue bear
market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1150-
1300, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound 20 %.
, This supply side tightening
are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating,
as China raised key interest rate by 0.27 % and
implement structural rate hikes in late Oct. as predicted by Dr.
Huang to cut off excessive consumer , business demand in housing,
construction materials, auto and retails demand . to cool off soaring
housing and metals prices, and serious energy , electricity , coal shortage, and transportation,
communication bottleneck.
China benefited by lower food price, Jan CPI drop to 1.9 % from Oct.
5.2 %, however rising heating oil, gas , coal, water, service charge ( oil prices will rebound 55
and feedstock price, falling dollar will push US and global inflation in
the winter heating demand drive China Feb inflation to 3.9 %
China has hard time achieve soft landing
in the second half 2005, as China Peoples Bank has to cut money supply
growth below 10 % and GDP below 8 %. and fixed investment growth below 15 % Dr.
Huang also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, BeijingChina Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts, CEO ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
Goal :
Predicting the unpredictable futures and stay month ahead of Taiwan, China, US and global emerging economic,
financial market price movement , customer demand trend, crisis,
supporting global
government, banking, finance, corporate reform, change management
strategic cross strait economics, investment, value added marketing, competitive pricing, supply chain
logistics decisions in global crisis simulation, risks management avoided
trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan, save billon dollar supply chain costs
in maximize sustainable profits, global customer value, and competitive
advantage ,market shares
corporate, personal dream come true
Mission
: Setting up
strategic cross strait economics, China. Taiwan,
US cost, quality, profit, customer value, market share, risk as goal, mission, performance oriented
multidisciplinary global strategic,
execution OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis ) teams (business units) , to develop implement and training millions
Taiwan, China/US/global strategic decision OSA simulators supporting global government,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, executives investors, customers ,
competitors in global strategic investment,
supply chain logistics cost reduction, maximize customer value decision analysis predicting government , economic,
monetary policy WTO impact on economic, business cycles, 20 industrial
sectors 5000 products demand, prices, daily
capital markets asset prices, bubble early warning: interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity properties,
nonperformance loan provide early warning to avoid corporate scandal internal auditing,
global financial, energy crisis resulted trillion dollar market loss and save billion
dollar supply chain costs
shown on this website
the most reliable global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
============================================================================================
Globalization, integration strategic competitive
intelligence decision analysis support
centers:
Supporting daily 40 global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy
impact simulation,
achieving economic growth and financial markets prices stability
predictive control, asset prices simulation, risk management ,
corporate investment, supply chain, CRM , competitors integration strategy. integrate domestic
economy and financial markets into global economy, markets and
trade. It also integrate corporate domestic supplier into global
downstream customers, end users, competitors investment, supply chain, credit risk,
nonperformance loan early warning
Strategic China Out-Sourcing
Centers for China/Global Banking, Financial, corporate Investment, supply chain
logistics decision support:
China, global government, banking, capital markets asset prices, industrial
sectors demand, prices, performance , equities research, business
investment Merger/acquisition, IPO, MBO, supply chain logistics, global trade Operations Simulation Analysis Strategic
centers, integrating China operations into your corporate headquarters daily decision
supported, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution OSA teams units ,
provide internal and external cost, financial accounting audit, avoided accounting scandals
and trillion dollar market loss, saving billion dollar supply chain costs
China/Global leadership breakthrough,
strategic products, markets, service innovation decisions Operations Simulation
Analysis, sustainable profit optimization CEO/ CFO/CFA executives on the job
training, problem solving in-house workshops
Taiwan e- Government Strategy Bilateral, multilateral simulation of US,
greater China and global policy interactions:
A. US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan, S. Korea central banks,
monetary, economic, fiscal policy , WTO bilateral, multilateral interaction impact on
macro-economy, financial markets industrial products demand, prices, properties, asset
bubble , trade simulations
B. China/Global government economic reform restructuring, productivity improvement, high tech/ VC
program
C. China/Global WTO trade and competitive pricing, market share strategic simulation.
D. What, Why, How, timing of China/Global government strategic Petroleum,
Commodity Reserve procurement, supply chain strategy saves billion dollar costs
and avoided trillion dollar market loss, crisis.
Taiwan Banking, Finance
Strategy: China
/Global Banking, Finance Reform, e-Finance/e-invest/e-risks for Banking,
Finance, Business
A. China/global Strategic banking reform,
nonperformance debt, equities, properties asset management
Tracking, simulating, forecasts the causes, onset, recovery of debt, equities,
properties asset pricing, credit risk simulation and maximize return, investment, recovery
in securitization, syndicated loan
B. Maximize China/global Strategic Banking Performance
Basel II market, credit, operational, interest rate Risk adjusted return Simulation Center
:Tracking, simulation, forecasts of Monetary policy, economic, business, product cycles
impact on interest rate spread,, consumer, business credit demand, quality,
defaults, return on asset, currency, industrial demand, prices, profit margin, stock prices
, corporate credit defaults risks
C. China/Global Capital Market Asset Prices, bubble Simulation
for Strategic US/Global Equities and Investment Fund and wealth
management Research center:
Capital markets, money, equities, bond investment commodity, energy fund and industrial sectors demand, prices, profit , asset prices , bubble burst
simulation, investment fund asset allocation , portfolio selection , risks
hedging maximize return on investment,
minimize market and credit risks
D. Strategic Taiwan/US/Global Business Credit Risk Simulation
Tracking, simulation, forecasts of economic, business, product cycles impact on
industrial demand, prices, profit, corporate performance, credit defaults risks
E. Strategic US/ Global Investment Banking Research Center
Tracking, simulation, forecasts of US/global economic, business, product cycles impact on industrial
demand, prices, profit, corporate credit faults risk, IPO, ADR, foreign listing, pre/post
merger acquisition performance, stock prices, investment strategy
F. Strategic US/Global Retail banking: customer value creation, marketing, competitive
pricing OSA center maximize profit, market shares
Maximize Value Chain Profit
Strategy:
Global Enterprises Reform e-Commerce Business Process
Optimization, Integration
recommended by US Gulf Publishing
Hydrocarbon Processing information systems, advanced control handbook 1991-2003
F.
Strategic Integrated Taiwan/China/ US/Global SRM/ERP/
Supply- Demand Chain/CRM/ERM process optimization Center Integrate upstream suppliers into
downstream industries and end users customers in daily ERP, supply chain, marketing sales
strategy
Strategic
strategic cross strait economics, China investment, supply chain, M/A center
support corporate think tank decisions
G. Strategic
strategic cross strait economics,US/Global customer value creation, marketing, competitive pricing OSA center
maximize retail chain profit, market shares
Maximize Value Chain Profit
Strategy
H. Taiwan/China/Global CEO, CFO, executives decision analysis
Adaptive e-Learning, On the Job problem solving Training:
Thousands
OSA decisions analysis training simulators supported On the Job decision analysis
workshops offered for millions Taiwan/China/global CEO, VP, senior executives and junior, entry level executives
I. China/Taiwan/US/Global Financial,
Currency, Energy, Banking, Disaster Crisis, Simulation, early warning systems Risks Control
Tracking, simulate, pre-warning the
root causes, onset, recovery of crisis and risk management
Taiwan e- Business Strategy: Global Strategic Solution for Cross Strait
China Adaptive Enterprises Reform and Strategic Investment, Supply Chain
Logistics Change Management for sustainable Profit, Market Shares Growth
and Crisis, Risks Early Warning Problem Solving Technique 中文
Intelligent online Information Knowledge based expert systems
predicting the unpredictable futures, support e-Business Strategy Adaptive
enterprises performance optimization management in
daily Business, Investment, supply chain, CRM, CEO/CFO/executives training, WTO trade ,
marketing , process operations improvement
, risk management Decision Analysis
Chinese
(中文首頁 )
Taiwan SOE, SME Business models
for reform, reengineering, strategic change management and
Taiwan e- Biz Strategy
strategic cross strait economics, Value Chain Profit Operations Simulation Analysis and Optimization for Technical, Marketing, Management innovation Fighting
global Recession and Energy,
Financial Crisis since 1980
:
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
32 global strategic
investment, supply chain logistics, strategic marketing OSA management
Systems provide integrated strategic value chain profits optimization,
avoided trillion dollar investment loss, saved billion dollar supply chain
costs; with expanded global market shares published
by US Hydrocarbon Processing advanced
control, information systems handbook 1991-2003
www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html, Dr. Huang directed, implemented hundreds
goal, mission performance oriented strategic, execution
cross-functional OSA teams achieving sustainable profit growth maximize
return of investment,
global market shares.
Visited by million global government, banking, finance, corporate
executives from McKinsey, IBM, HP, Intel, Microsoft, Oracle, Exxon, Chevron Texaco,
Shell, BP, SINOPEC, Aramco, GM, Ford, Benz, Toyota, NEC, Motorola)
Hi-Tech
technology, management innovation, market shares ,stock performance strategy
strategic cross strait economics,
Investment risk OSA, global
corporate privatization, IPO investment, merger/acquisition, strategy, capital
market asset prices simulation, risk management
Cross Strait China investment,
merger/acquisition, strategic alliance return and risks
at
Beijing Kerry center hotel 2001
strategic cross strait economics,
China
upstream/downstream post WTO profit improvement strategy
www.osawh.com/chinaerp.html
strategic cross strait economics,
Manufacturing process plant design, operations improvement
optimal control
series:
Increase product yield, energy conservation, products innovation, online quality
control, improvement, de-bottleneck, trouble shooting, optimal DCS control
strategic cross strait economics, China/Global corporate research center R&D innovation business
process procedures reengineering, strategic change management for sustainable
profit, market share growth
PTA/polyester fibers
process plant design, operations improvement
optimal control
Refinery FCC/ROC /hydrocracker
process operations improvement, optimal control:
Olefin/polyolefin process plant
operations improvement, optimal control:
Pulp and paper mill process
plant operations improvement, optimal control:
strategic cross strait economics, China/Global Strategic Alliance:
technology R&D Production/OEM Marketing/sales Training/
Outsourcing
strategic cross strait economics ,ERP OSA, :
Minimize risk,
Maximize corporate capital, raw material, energy, human resources efficiency
strategic cross strait economics,
CRM OSA:
Maximize profit for
Integrated Upstream/Downstream strategic marketing/sales, customer management
Strategic customer value creation, marketing retail chain
competitive pricing OSA maximize profit, market shares
Maximize Value Chain Profit
Strategy:
Strategic
Human resource Adaptive e-Learning problem solving on the job training OSA
Global Banking/finance CEO / Executives EMBA Breakthrough
Leaderships and Strategic
Investment/ Supply Chain Strategic Change Management , Decision
Analysis Training workshops
Dr. Huang
directed hundreds
:
cost, quality, market share as
goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution OSA team
on the job decision analysis
training workshops
for millions global CEO, CFO, CIO, CKO top management, senior, entry
level staff decision analysis training and
training centers outsourcing
Supply Chain Logistics cost reduction
De-bottlenecking:
Billion
dollar e-Procurement and inventory cost reduction without job cut in one year
OSA program
Strategic knowledge based
integrated BPR, ERP/
SCM Change Management/ full day
workshop and keynote speech on
OSA strategic simulation on SCM
Apr 26-27, 2001 in
Singapore's Supply Chain conference China
Supply Chain Logistics cost reduction
De-bottlenecking
Cross strait China investment
return and risks , full day workshop on Strategic OSA maximize
Taiwan/ China
upstream/Downstream profits
in
global recession, post WTO competition at Beiijin Kerry Center Hotel Nov.
29-30, 2001, for global oil, banking industry, and Taipei Plaza Hotel,
Taipei,Jan 21-22, 2002 for Chinese Petroleum
www.osawh.com/chinaerp.htm
OSA Goal, Mission oriented Problem Solving
OSA Technique: Mission Impossible !
achieve sustainable profit growth with expanded global market shares:
Introducing to you OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's over 30 years experiences in the
development, implementation of OSA(Operations Simulation Analysis) in goal mission control
oriented Problem Solving for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bechtel, Bailey
network control? and applied for achieving predicting the unpredictable in crisis, risks
for corporate restructuring, change management daily decision making analysis
through OSA Goal, Mission oriented Problem Solving Technique avoided trillion dollar
financial market investment loss, saved billion dollar supply chain costs, with improved
quality and market shares
OSA mission impossible-predicting the unpredictable ,managing risks
and uncertainties crisis.
A Business process Operations review, Goal setting, problem scope definition
B Information Knowledge base development : collect full scope (up to last 20 years)
background historical data, information, knowledge, experiences, judgment, theory
and practices
C. OSA decision analysis model building: Apply Artificial Intelligence Fuzzy logic, neural
net , pattern recognition to Built OSA structural, dynamic simulation model tracking the causes and response of
past history,, crisis, risks and problems solving solutions
D. Real Options Operations Simulation Analysis among the possible solutions to the problem for further model
accuracy tracking improvement
E. Dr. Huang directed hundreds goal , mission, performance oriented
mission control, strategic , execution OSA teams implementing strategic solution to daily problem
solving meeting your sustainable profit growth goal
He has lectured over 30 million TV, radio audience in 15 cities China, and Taiwanese, US,
Asian European audiences and thousands executives decision analysis training
workshops for million global CEO,CFO, executives in global financial markets risk management, corporate
reengineering, guidance for thousands chemical engineering, global strategic
management, economics, process design, simulation, control senior,
graduate students in 12 major universities in China, Taiwan on OSA for academic,
research,? career guidance? problem solving, and invited to speak to over
100 international central banks governors, financial management, chemical
engineering, information management, control conference on monetary policy
impact on global financial crisis, risk management on goal, mission performance oriented OSA decision analysis guided OSA teams in
change management for improved productivity and profitability.
A beautiful mind of game theory and achieving beautiful world's dream by
OSA
=====================================================================================
Nobel Economics prize winner
Prof. John Nash's beuatiful mind believes in rational reasoning for everything:http://almaz.com/nobel/economics/1994b.html
http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7238.html
He was inspired by a course on int'l economics. his Ph.D thesis on Strategic
Equilibrium strategy in noncompetitive game applied to daily personal, financial,
economic politic
Profile/Founder
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of
two master hands controlling Global economic cycles
and Capital Markets Asset Prices Mechanism, Market Forces, Bubble Simulation, early warning
and
Global
Strategic Knowledge Based
Strategic Government, Business Process Demand
Forecasts OSA Optimization Operations Simulation
Analysis OSA
He has over 30 years
pioneering development, implement of global integrated in strategic investment,
supply chain logistics , crisis, risks, business Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)
and optimization ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980 over 80
countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel,
Fluor , Bailey Network Control headquarters corporate finance, information
management and process/products R&D in refinery, petrochemical, power
plant, steel, copper, coal project investment, construction, design, preventive
maintenance, crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US department of
energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information
technology, state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic planning for
10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade,
trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency,
5000 products export pricing quote. offered hundreds risk management
workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities
companies CEO,, CFO, money managers executives, tracking China macro
economic control, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit
margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, investment strategy Asian, global
governments , banking, finance, hundreds state, medium, small
enterprises reform, technical and management innovation change management. Dr.
Warren Huang offered thousands
global government, banking, finance,
enterprises reform CEO, CFO, executive training workshops/ outsourcing
training to millions global executives , providing the what, why and how
of strategic solution to achieve sustainable profit growth through technical and
management innovation.
He
directed hundreds goal, mission,
performance oriented goal, mission, performance oriented cross-functional
government, banking, finance, enterprises reform strategic, execution OSA teams development,
implementing, tracking and optimize the performance, meeting the goal set by our
clients. tracking results have been invited to speak to 100 US, ECB,
China, Taiwan, Asian central bank governors, financial risk management,
government, business strategy conferences
lectured 30 million China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio investors, executives
tracking last 20 year global economy, daily capital market asset prices
during the financial crisis.
He pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, financial market prices offered thousands lectures to
millions global banking, securities,
insurance, properties, state, medium, small enterprises senior executives and China, Taiwan 15
cities TV, radio 30 millions investors, banking, finance executives (pdf
)on tracking
monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on last 25 years global economic
cycles industrial sectors demand, asset prices , bubble, privatization, IPO,
strategic merger/acquisition, listed companies profit , stock prices simulation,
financial market investment
strategy and early warning, risk management (workshops
Chinese,
English) supporting
security, banking, insurance regulation, Sarbanes-Oxley Act on financial
accounting auditing maximize performance, transparency
He
published 32 global strategic business process optimization systems by
US Gulf Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Process Control, Information
Systems handbook, 1991-2003. applied by 1600
multinationals from 72 countries.
He has been editor/columnist and consultant for macro/financial economic
industrial finance, investment forum, energy, information technology, global
strategic management for Taiwan government, banking, finance, industrial,
importer/exporter trade, investment journal, Central, Economic, Commercial Times,
Industrial Economic daily newspapers and China Economic, Financial Times,
Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan Securities daily newspapers, wrote
thousands articles on reform, change management,
investment risk management for US, Taiwan, China government economic, finance, banking,
securities, industrials, journal
weekly economic, finance investment journal, daily newspapers
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters weekly trade journals.
and this website
visited by million global central banks,
central, state, city government,
banking, finance, enterprises
executives.
He trained thousands Chemical Eng industrial economics,
global strategic management students for
Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai universities and lecture China Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan,
Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities on economic management, Chemical
Eng. computer control, financial engineering,
Millions global central banks, government, banking, finance, enterprises, CEO,
CFO, executives visited and supported www.osawh.com website since July 1998 (Partial lists)
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, Hong Kong
Monetary authority, IMF, World Bank, UN, IFC, BIS, OCED, US Dept of energy,
NSF, NASA
,FDA, HUD, GAO, Center of Disease Control, State and cities (New York) government, Taiwan Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Finance, Education, Trade, SINICA, Taipei, Kaoshiung cities , Information Technology research Int
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sach,
Deutsch Bank, Commerzbank, BNP, DBS, HSBC, , Huanan,
Chiaotung, Eusunbank bank, State Street, Wachiova,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Bank One, Nomura, Mizuho, Prudential,
AIG, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J
Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business
Week.
Corporate :
McKinsey, Deloitte, Accenture, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, NEC, Toshiba, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Formosa Plastics, Motorola,
Bell global, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco,
ChevronTexaco, Dupont, Dow, Sinopec, Japan Gasoline council, Dupont, Dow, ORACLE, Boeing, GM,
Benz, Honda, Samsung, Ford),
Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Lilly, Roche, Genentech, Human Genome Science, Weth) , Walmart, JC Penny, Proc.
Gamble
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
U Pensylvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London) and city,
state family education( K12) from 70 countries
===============================
Global Economic, Business
cycles, Asset bubbles burst, Oil, Energy , Currency crisis, recession
FEED FORWARD GROWTH AND PRICES STABILITY CONTROL Financial Markets Return, Asset
Allocation, Strategic Risks OSA
(RIGHT MASTER HAND
Structural, Dynamics simulation
of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economic, business cycles,
achieving growth and prices stability control:
Global Economics and Financial Systems Operations Simulation, Integration: Central Banks Monetary Policy for Sustainable
Growth and Asset Prices Stability Guidance and Control: Policy Impact Simulation Workshops
Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO impact
on Economic,
Business cycles, Asset, Wealth bubbles burst, Oil, energy , Currency crisis,
recession FEED FORWARD GROWTH AND PRICES STABILITY CONTROL Financial Markets
Return, Asset Allocation, Strategic Risks OSA
(RIGHT HAND )
Dr. Warren Huang pioneered two
master hands controlling last 20 years global economy and daily financial market
prices, develop, implemented thousands
structural, dynamics simulation of
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global macro economic, business
cycles, predicted 1- 3 month ahead :achieving growth and prices stability
control
offered thousands
lectures accurately predicted China Peoples Banks monetary policy impact on
1994-96 macro-economic control-soft landing on China daily stock markets to
China 15 cities 30 million investors, national newspapers during 1994-1998 in
China and again predicted China excessive money supply, housing bubble facing
tightening Mar. 2003
Shanghai workshops
Dr. Huang two master hands accurately predicted
2000- 2003: global bull/bear
markets.
USA
China
Hong Kong