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S. Korea Central Bank
Monetary, Economic Policy, GDP Growth , Inflation,
Asset Prices OSA( Operations Simulation Analysis ) Performance Guidance and
Control:
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation of
Taiwan Optimal Monetary
,Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on
Inflation, unemployment, GDP, Assets (Stocks, Bond,
Housing, Commodity) Prices Bubbles Identification, inflation, deflation, burst,
recovery, early warning , performance guidance and Control in achieving
optimal growth and price stability
The What, Why, How and
timing in
central banking Optimal Predictive Monetary Policy: Integrated Macro economic Control,
imbalance, Systemic Risks, Impact on 20 industrial sectors demand, supply,
prices and Capital markets Asset Prices market forces mechanism,
Stress Testing Early Warning System
Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of proactive monetary policy presented to China
Peoples bank governor sponsored Asian central bank governors, US Fed Chicago,
Ohio governor, ECB, UK, Taiwan 24 global central bank governors policy and
risks management conferences
Monetary policy Impact on Asian Financial Crisis, Recovery by Dr.
Warren Huang
(Right master hand)
The
only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators
tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial
crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion
dollar market loss due to current probabilistic models based capital market
asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to US, European, China, Taiwan
, Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth management
conference Structural, dynamic Predictive
Monetary policy impact on
S. Korea
economic growth, capital market asset ( equities, bond, housing, commodity) prices,
inflation, currency.
Dr. Huang two master hands warned in March on this website that
Korean economy benefits by Asian growth engine China 10.2 % GDP growth led to
soaring 44 % import demand resulted most Asian countries from
Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, to India enjoyed 50 % export growth high tech, banking,
finance stocks, oil prices, corporate earning soaring more than 80 %
are overpriced will follow China Peoples Bank credit tightening (
raised lending rate 0.28 % Apr. 28, 2006) and housing markets tightening and
US rate hikes resulted slowdown, stocks 10- 20 % correction in summer due to over-optimistic over economic and job recovery,
under estimate soaring oil, commodity prices resulted inflation rate hikes
resulted inflationary slowdown.
Asian stocks plunged 20 % since June as Seoul index down from
1350 to 1200, Henseng down from 17700
to 15300, Nikkei down from 17800 to 14000, Taiwan index plunge from 7500 to
6300 following Dow Jones from 11700 to 10700, Nasdaq from 2380 to 2060 in
phase correction lose all 2006 gain, it will entering second stage
correction lose all 2005 gain after July as oil price soared to 80Global Central Banks Monetary Policy for Sustainable
Growth and Asset Prices Stability Guidance and Control: Policy Impact Simulation Workshops
===============================================================================================
Do not miss these billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum
www.abf.com.sg China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return in investment banking M/A, IPO performance.
C.Global / China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@citiz.net
:Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore Euro-events Asian Finance and
Capital Market conferences
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio
station , and
www.osawh.com
website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer
demand pushing US Oil prices soared above 50, metals prices reaching 23 year high, will follow
economic recovery and not transitory . weak dollar
due to soaring trade deficit, ( 55.3 billion for June, 50 for July ) will drive inflation up 5 %,
bond market slump in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June, Aug , Sept 0.25 % rate hikes China credit tightening,
will follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, global economy facing inflationary slowdown and followed by
stagflation next year with stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30-
50 % correction
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as Google
will plunged
from 195 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate year end election market rebound will be
followed by post election bubble busrt sell off bear trap
( as it did in Taiwan IT post election IT bubble burst ), avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, 2005 forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
San Francisco Silicon Valley finance radio and global
finance investment seminar May7, 8, 15,2004 and
www.osawh.com
website warning
global
central banks excessive rate, tax cuts, ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
excessive demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal
constructional materials prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
due to US excessive rate, tax cuts, Fed raising rate , too little,
too late , China delaying rate hike to effectively cut market demand
led to China Sept. 2004 CPI inflation up 5.2 % again and third quarter GDP
growth still at 9.1 % due to increasing business ( up 28 %)and
consumer demand up 14 % ,will facing soaring inflation from current
5.3 % to 6.6 %, US will facing inflation soared to 5 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season .
US Greenspan, global economists,
market analysts over optimistic over oil, commodity weakness and
underestimate inflationary pressure and 10 yr. bond yield too low ,
long interest rate has to go up to 5 % in the month ahead due to excessive business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 and
2005 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, Oct job
creation of 337000, will repeating March ,, 2004 , 2005 growth will be below
112,000 , peaking out as entering peak holiday
season, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 48 trillion dollar housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out in the second quarter at 66 ( already plunged to 56 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of 2004
and repeating in 2005 with US trade deficit
soared to 55- 60 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes
after May, Aug. Sept , Nov 2004 and extending well into summer 2005, profit
, productivity growth , consumer confidence , business spending,
peaking out, economic leading indicators declined for 6 months
,business facing profit squeeze in second half 2004,
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation. US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995
and 2000 and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in 2004, with business spending up 14 %, consumer
confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up, oil,
soared to 56 currently consolidate
in 47-50 cold winter will drive heating oil, and oil price rebound to
55-60 gas to 9.0 and metals to new high in summer 2005 will drive
up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, inflation will be back to 3.5
% in spring, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool
off the economy, 10 year bond yield is too low, will return to 4.3- 5.0 %
Wall Street Market Research OSA Market Tracking,
Forecasts: Global Capital Markets Asset
prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum. He lectured Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month
ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate
is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000) and inflation outlook may lead to rate hike after May and
summer lead to serious
bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing
bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out facing correction in the
month ahead,
2005 Oil,
commodity prices forecast
Market speculators using Oil prices plunged from 55 to 40 and back to 56, and Intel
profit , over-optimistic
outlook, Apple profit up 70 % due to i-Pod new product innovation Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and IBM PC
sale to China, Oracle PeopleSoft 10 billion dollar merger facing margin squeeze and
Sprint Nextel 35 billion dollar merger all facing sharp competition, to
speculate blue chips and Nasdaq will give up all its recent gain is
premature ,oil price rebound to 55 in March accurately predict by Dr.
Huang in Beijing Feb 23, 2005 will challenge 60 due to OPEC one million
production cut and winter and summer peak demand, and challenge 55- 60 in summer
2005.
2005 High tech stock performance forecasts
US and global IT ( from chips, PC, to telecommunication, entertaining) demand growth will be slow down to 6 % , facing profit squeeze,
stock prices retreat 30 -50 %, with China
internet stocks bubble burst, plunge 70- 80 % . Dell profit decline continue, facing
profit squeeze, pricing cutting from HP,
Apple sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 35, IBM
test 85. HP profit, stock prices continue drag by PC operation (as warned by Dr.
Huang on this website) speculating on HP CEO change will not improve near term profit, stock
performance, only smart PC can lead
to breakthrough.
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as
Google enjoyed
7 fold earning increase, it has PE of 145, and profit margin of only 12 %, stock
price at 215 is extremely overpriced, repeating Yahoo of 2000,
will plunged
from 215 to 100-120, any attempt using IPO
and PG and Gillette merger
to speculate market rebound will be followed by sell off bear trap avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
US dollar
weakness continue in 2005:
Soaring
import leading to record US trade deficit of 655 billion in summer will drag US
dollar into new low continue into this year Euro : 1.29- 1.45 , Yen 95- 102,
Global stocks bear market correction into 2005, give up most of 2004 gain
US, Asian and European stocks follow US
stocks rebound currently will gave up all this year gain
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks
( including IPO )facing
30-50 % bear market correction consolidation Dow will be traded 9750- 10900, Nasdaq 1750- 2100 ,
S&P 1060-1200, US 10 year bond yield will be back to 4.4- 4.9 in March
2005. Taiwan index post election
bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 6100, Henseng 12500- 14200, Nikkei 10000-
11900, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1150- 1300, Shenzhen 2750-
3350, consolidation Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts:
China started second phase credit tightening, rate
hike series begin.
China finally raised prime rate by 0.27, to cool off the asset bubble, with
structural rate hike, floating loan upper limit from 5.6- 12.5 %, Oct.
28, 2004, accurately predicted by Dr. Huang last Nov. 2003 in
Euro-events Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Asian/China finance, capital
market conference and May 8, 15, 2004 to San Francisco Silicon Valley
Finance radio and Global Finance Forum, Hi tech investment seminar, Silicon
Valley and on this website, visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives.
Global central banks ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
resulted US Fed raising rate , too little, too late, China delaying
rate hike to effectively cut market demand led to China Sept. CPI
inflation up 5.2 % again and 2004 GDP growth still at 9.4 % due to
increasing business ( up 28 %)and consumer demand up 14 % ,will
facing soaring inflation from current 3.9 % to 5.6 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season and summer 2005. Despite China Peoples Bank raised
deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement,
aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control with
Sept. money supply growth at
13.6 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up only 10 %, asset prices, inflation
followed soaring oil price to 55, all time high metal prices coastal cities Beijin,
Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive national housing prices up
14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 38 % for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo,, Guanzhou . retail sale up
13.2, China 2004 GDP up 9.2 % far above 7 % target, medium,
long term loan up 25.4 %, inflation up 4 % . China economy is
far from soft landing, will have very tough year to cut domestic demand and
GDP below 8 % and call the need for further interest
rate hike in summer and raise deposit reserve ratio to cool off the consumer and housing demand in winter
holiday peak and summer season .
As. China Peoples bank issue
100 billion notes to cut 100 billion from the money market avoid overheated
Chinese New Year demand further drive up inflation. soaring China,
US demand pushing China steel, cement,
aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's 915 statement
over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr.
Huang on this website and already retreat to 1150) market is over, continue bear
market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1150-
1300, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound 20 %.
, This supply side tightening
are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating,
as China raised key interest rate by 0.27 % and
implement structural rate hikes in late Oct. as predicted by Dr.
Huang to cut off excessive consumer , business demand in housing,
construction materials, auto and retails demand . to cool off soaring
housing and metals prices, and serious energy , electricity , coal shortage, and transportation,
communication bottleneck.
China benefited by lower food price, Jan CPI drop to 1.9 % from Oct.
5.2 %, however rising heating oil, gas , coal, water, service charge ( oil prices will rebound 55
and feedstock price, falling dollar will push US and global inflation in
the winter heating demand drive China Feb inflation to 3.9 %
China has hard time achieve soft landing
in the second half 2005, as China Peoples Bank has to cut money supply
growth below 10 % and GDP below 8 %. and fixed investment growth below 15 % Dr.
Huang also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, BeijingChina Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts, CEO ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
Structural, Dynamics simulation of Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on
last 20 years global macro economic, business cycles, capital market asset
prices, bubbles , financial crisis, boom and busts achieving growth and prices
stability control predicted 1- 3 month ahead, Global financial crisis
since 1980 and
2000 high tech bubble burst and 2001-2003 global market
crash and recovery :
Global Capital Markets Asset
Prices, Bubbles Simulation, Early Warning OSA 2005 strategic investment/ Basel II risk management lecture/workshops tours
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30
million , banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior
executives investors since 1983,
Taipei Nov. 16-20, 2004
80
email
osawhh@citiz.net ,
wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Management
Dr. Warren Huang HAS BEEN INVITED TO
SPEAK TO 24 GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS GOVERNORS CONFERENCE ( FRB, ECB, China
Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, Thailand, Asian ) since 1998 warned that
Global high tech bubble burst will plunge 50-70 % and facing recession. He offered thousands
lectures accurately predicted China Peoples Banks monetary policy impact on
1994-96 macro-economic control-soft landing on China daily stock markets to
China 15 cities 30 million investors, national newspapers during 1994-1998 in
China and again predicted China excessive money supply, housing bubble facing
tightening Mar. 2003
Shanghai workshops
-
========================Special
Announcement==============================
.
join
Dr. Huang's full day workshops provide 2005 forecasts, investment opportunities, risks early warning for 2004,
2005 global economy, capital markets prices, Global
Currencies, ADR shares , mutual fund asset management investment opportunities, global
central banks monetary policy makers, financial, capital markets, CEO,
executives, investors book your strategic workshops
-
email
osawhh@citiz.net ,
wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
All this website recommendation are for investors references, not responsible
for any financial loss,
Dr. Huang has copy right
on it contents, should not be used for any commercial use without approval OSA Global Strategic Simulation/Forecasts, Your most powerful daily predictive
decision tools--
Predicted
3 months ahead last
20 years global currency,energy , financial crisis , 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing,
2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes..
-
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore Euro-events Asian Finance and
Capital Market conferences
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov. 2003 Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, May 8, 15, 2004 to US Silicon Valley investors, radio
station , and
www.osawh.com
website that excessive rate and tax cuts resulted manufacturing and consumer
demand pushing US Oil prices soared above 50, metals prices reaching 23 year high, will follow
economic recovery and not transitory . weak dollar
due to soaring trade deficit, ( 55.3 billion for June, 50 for July ) will drive inflation up 5 %,
bond market slump in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June, Aug , Sept 0.25 % rate hikes China credit tightening,
will follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, global economy facing inflationary slowdown and followed by
stagflation next year with stocks entering bear market consolidation, with 30-
50 % correction
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction as Google
will plunged
from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate year end election market rebound will be
followed by post election bubble busrt sell off bear trap
( as it did in Taiwan IT post election IT bubble burst ), avoided trillion dollar bond, equities, derivative market loss
made trillion dollar oil, commodity derivatives market profit.
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts:
Despite China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting
capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to some
progress macroeconomic control with Aug money supply growth at
14.2 % (below 17 % target), auto sales down 10 %, asset prices, inflation
retreat from May ( benefited by commodities prices down 15 % ).
However Aug. producer, consumer price still up 5.3 % ( coastal cities Beijin,
Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national housing prices up
14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Aug retail sale up
13.2, China first half GDP up 9. 7 % far above 7 % target, medium,
long term loan up 30.4 % repeat 1994, call the need for interest
rate hike in Oct. to cool off the consumer and housing demand.
soaring China steel, cement,
aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices
recent rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement
over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr.
Huang on this website) market is over, continue bear
market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound 20- 40 %.
, This supply side tightening
are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating,
must follow US rate hike in Sept. implement structural rate hikes
to cut off excessive consumer demand in housing, construction materials, auto
and retails demand . any postpone of rate rate hike will further delay soft landing
into second half . 2005,
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning US, global analysts over optimistic over the business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, job
creation, underestimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 45 trillion dollar housing, equities
wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil (over 52) commodities, metals Steel,
Aluminum, copper, platinum ) asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March, May and extending into the rest of 2004. US trade deficit
soared to 50- 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes
after May, Aug. Sept 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence(
already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,
peaking out, facing squeeze in second half 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,
May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter,
( ISM peaking out from 66 to 56 )
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation continue into year end and early next year in post election bubble
burst. (
as GDP slowdown to below 3 %) US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995
and 2000 and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in Aug., with business spending up 10 %, consumer
confidence above 100 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing excessive inventory built up, oil,
soared to 50 and metals to new high, will
drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool
off the economy. (
Global Capital Markets Asset
prices tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang lectured to 50 European, Asian, Malaysian central banks, banking,
finance executives Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002 predicted that oil prices soared
to 43, Dow Jones retest 7500 Nasdaq 1250, March 2003 on Asian Business Forum. He lectured Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events
Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
,
Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and to
China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec.
over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month
ahead, investment opportunities in China
petrochemical
upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and
Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning for asset bubbles
in oil, commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended
invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement
over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening,
accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 %
open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion
from the capital markets, US CPI to 5.1 %, core inflation to 2.7 % in the
summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation,( despite
March strong 300,000 new jobs can not sustainable after June quarter tax rebate
is over ( June job creation already down to 32,000 despite Aug rebound to 112000) and inflation outlook may lead to
series rate hikes after May and
summer lead to serious
bond market plunge (US lose 380 billion dollar, China lose 270 billion) housing
bubble repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July facing and correction 2004,
Market speculators using Dell 29 % profit gain to push Dell and High tech, and
blue chips is premature, Dell will facing pricing cutting from HP in back to
school sales and general economic slowdown, Dell stock will plunge below 30, IBM
test 80.
Global IPO will facing 30-50 % correction in
post election bubble burst as Google plunged
from 135 to 60-80, any attempt using IPO to speculate market rebound will be
followed by sell off bear trap Dow will be traded 9550- 10300, Nasdaq 1750- 2000 , Taiwan index post election
bubble burst from 7200 to 5000- 5500, Henseng 10500- 13500, Nikkei 10000-
11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1250- 1500, Shenzhen 3000-
3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.26 , Yen 105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks follow US
stocks rebound in the third quarter 2004 will gave up all this year gain
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks
( including IPO )facing
30-50 % bear market correction consolidation
Global Rate Hikes Impact , Asset
Prices, Bubble Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investment/supply
chain, Basel II risk control workshops
Shanghai Sept. 17-19,
Taipei Sept 21- 23, Singapore Sept 25-27, Kuala Lumpur Sept 29-30 ,
email
osawhh@citiz.net
for in-house workshops reservation
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30
million government, banking, finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior
executives investors since 1983 by
80 )
Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar
in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset
prices, crisis, bubble early warning
Book Dr. Warren Huang's China/US credit tightening
impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk hedging 2004 second half
global investment strategy workshops ( June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin,
Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China credit
tightening, US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while
minimize credit, markets, operational risks.
Global Economy and Financial Markets Asset Prices
Mechanism Simulation /Forecasts through
OSA
for predictive global
central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market
prices simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, mutual fund optimal asset allocation
equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,
risk hedging
tracking/forecasts month ahead
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset
bubble bursts
lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth
management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website since 1998 .
Over 30 million China,
Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European
executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops
tracking his last 20 years results predicted China 1994-96
macroeconomic control, softlanding and to 20 global central banks governor
conference, 1999-2000 on 2000 IT bubble burst plunge 70- 90 % and mutual fund bubble burst and US
global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks
mutual fund plunged 50- 70 % July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank
executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks bull markets
rally March 2003 Dow Jones from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan
Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, India, Russia index almost
double and index mutual fund 80 % 2003 March rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization
conference Oct. 2002 to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002
He predicted again 2003
Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences,
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2 with
excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers,
identify month ahead, investment
opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A blue chip
petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China
mutual shares up 80 %and
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. 2003 early warning
for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices
doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives
gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China
Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25,
2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half
despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%, US entering second leg economic
recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter
first leg boom bubble corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated
consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser
manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence
reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, repeat 1995 bond market crash and 2000 election bubble and global IT and
blue chips banking shares will peaking out in July
facing and correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1750- 2050 , Taiwan index post
election bubble burst from 7200 to 5300- 6000, Henseng 10500- 12500, Nikkei 10000- 12500, China credit tightening
continue. Shanghai A 1300- 1450, Shenzhen 3100- 3450, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen
105- 110, US, Asian and European stocks follow US stocks rebound in the third quarter 2004
will gave up all this year gain
correction and
blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund
facing correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1850- 2050 , Taiwan index
5360-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, .
Shanghai A 1500- 1650, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,
China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and stocks gave up all this year gain.
Dr. Huang global strategic investment/risk management lecture/workshops tours
(covered thousands lectures, 46 countries since 1980 )
Book Dr. Warren Huang's China/US credit tightening
impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk hedging 2004 second half
global investment strategy workshops ( June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin,
Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while
minimize credit, markets, operational risks.osawhh@citiz.net
Dr. Warren Huang lectured
San Francisco
Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities
Silicon Valley investors
workshop on
China/US rate hike,
soaring oil prices impact on
2004 second half
global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal
daily news center,
predicted, recommended accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and
US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq
did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their
bottom, enjoyed 10 % profit in two days.
======Dr. Warren Huang North American China-US TV radio
interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station
to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech
corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk
management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850,
recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction,
downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks
plunged 12 % May 17
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco
Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment
Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss “Market Trend
and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in US” and CEOs from five growing public
companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.
Date: May 8, 2004 (Saturday)
Time: 9:30-3:10pm Venue: Crown Plaza
Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation
in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch
==China stocks, bond, commodity, metals, mutual fund investment strategy,
bubbles warning workshops== , reserve
osawhh@citiz.net
Thousands causes and effect structural, dynamic proven
predictive OSA
simulators beat daily money, capital, insurance, property markets ( published thousands articles, 30 million copies ( over 10 million
readers ) for reliable tracking, forecasts 3 month ahead of last 20 years
central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on global/China economy,
daily capital market asset prices, bubble early warning, tailor to QFII/QDII
investment needs.
Dr. Huang accurately
predicted last 20 years daily US interest rate, commodities, gold, oil
prices daily capital market prices 4 month ahead and again at
Shanghai University of Finance, Economics, Oct. 25, Euro-event Singapore, Nov. 5,
2003 Asian Finance, capital market
conference on Monetary
policy impact on Asian and China economic outlook, asset prices, applying
his two master hands ( interest rate and trade) currency market forces price
mechanism, wrote 600 articles on trade journal, helping Taiwan central bank and
200,000 importer/exporters daily/weekly NT/ 100 currencies ( US and cross
rates) from NT fixed at 40 to float to 25- 40, covering Yen from 250 to 80
during 1985- 1995 and Asian financial crisis. He warned
that any free float of RMB will lead to China currency crisis and US
runaway inflation import consumer goods will up 50 % to double) and repeat past global financial crisis, bubble burst.
Only Dr. Huang's two master hands ( interest rate and
trade, economic policy ) market forces price mechanism guide through RMB
gradual appreciation widening trading band is the best approach, regardless peg to the dollar or a
basket of currency. and
Dr.
Huang's two OSA master hands you are in good hands
predicted Nov. 2003 that soaring oil commodities, metal prices hit 20 year high
early 2004 push US, China inflation to 3.8 % resulted rate hike after May 2004
OSA for global
central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market
prices simulation, forecasts
, value investing strategy, mutual fund optimal asset allocation
equities, bond, currency investment, portfolio management, wealth management,
risk hedging
tracking/forecasts month ahead
the root causes, onset, spread, recovery of Asian/Global financial crisis, asset
bubble bursts
lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth
management, financial market risk management conferences and
millions global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website since 1998 .
Over 30 million China,
Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, European
executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops
tracking his last 20 years results predicted China 1994-96
macroeconomic control, softlanding and to 20 global central banks governor
conference, 1999-2000 on 2000 IT bubble burst plunge 70- 90 % and mutual fund bubble burst and US
global banking, old economy blue chips , Buffet Berkshire, big cap value stocks
mutual fund plunged 50- 70 % July 2001 to Beijin China Peoples Bank
executives and on this website and predicted US and global stocks rebound March
2003 Dow Jones rebound from 7300 to 10,000, Nasdaq from 1200 to 2200 Japan
Nikkei rebound from 7500 to 12000, , emerging market Taiwan, Russia index almost
double and index mutual fund 80 % 2003 March rebound on Kuala Lumpur Asset Securitization
conference Oct. 2002 to 50 central bank, banking, finance, executives Sep , 2002 again in 2003
Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2 with
excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers,
identify month ahead, investment
opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China blue chip
petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China
mutual shares up 80 %and
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. 2003 early warning
for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices
doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives
gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China
Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25,
2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half
despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%, US entering second leg economic
recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter
first leg boom bubble corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated
consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser
manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence
reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new
job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue
into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst thereafter, second quarter bubble CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to
3.8 %
force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate after
May and summer , overoptimistic over US
economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT and
blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund
facing correction 2004,
Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1850- 2050 , Taiwan index
5560-6400, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, .
Shanghai A 1500- 1650, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115,
China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and stocks gave up all this year
Korea will face rate hikes and slowdown by yearend
USA
Australia
Asian Canada
China
Hong Kong Taiwan
Thailand
Japan S.
Korea
Singapore
Malaysia
Phillipines
Indonesia
Viet-Nan
India UK/EURO
Russia/E. Europe
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
US and global markets global capital markets investment
strategic simulation tailored to your need . please email
wh3928@yahoo.com for reservation
=============
Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, oil
prices impact on S. Korean 2004 Economy, demand, Capital markets prices
Monetary Policy on inflation, GNP and economic indicators for sustainable growth and
asset price stability)
OSA simulation
macro-economics:
Inflation rate = F (Money supply growth rate %, Oil prices, Commodity index, Dollar exchange rate)
GNP = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, Export Growth Rate)
Property prices = F (Money supply growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
NAPM = F( Consumer spending growth rate %, Interest Rate, stock index)
Business, consumer spending = F( Overnite interest rate, money supply
growth, exchange rate)
Stock indices = F( Nasdaq index), Interest rate,
exchange rate
S. Korea central bank (bank of Korea Monetary Policy on
inflation, GNP and economic indicators
Benefited by Asian recovery, soaring US, EURO demand for semiconductor, computer, auto
export, S. Korea economy is fully recovered in 2000, with money supply growth doubled
from it's crisis level, from bubble burst in 1997-98 Asian Crisis,
with GDP growth 14 %, unemployment down from 9 % to 3.5 % soaring trade, current
account balance and Foreign reserve of 11 billions. However corporate debt
(especially the chaebol) debt still running as high as 100 % and 50 % of GNP. Seoul stock
index soared from bottom of 300 to 950, Won exchange appreciate from 2100 to 1320,
inflation down from 7 % to 3. %
Korea facing contraction in the first half 2003 due to 2002 credit tightening
, rate hikes, fight excessive consumer demand in housing and auto and Asian SARS.
It will enjoy 3 % GDP growth in the second half due to strong semiconductors ,
auto export, and lower interest rate at 4.2 %, benefited by US and Asian
economic recovery
However excessive consumer demand already lead to 13 % credit card delinquency
and housing market default, soaring oil, commodity drive inflation at 3.6 %will
follow US rate hike
and slowdown by yearend,
Seoul Stock Index simulation
S. Korea auto, shipbuilding play key role in preventing it drag into recession by
US semiconductors slump, S Korea enjoyed 3.5 % GDP while most Asian
countries drag into recession in 2001.
US recovery in chips , auto demand will further help Korea export and led to
industrial production rebound % and looking for 3. % GDP this year. However, strong Won cutting into Korean export prices, profits
Dr. Huang warned in May 2002 that Seoul index at 950 was overheated will follow global
slowdown, Nasdaq for further correction as semiconductors slowdown ,DRAM prices
plunged from 4.8 to 2) and overheated consumer spending resulted
soaring housing loan demand and credit soared 200 %, facing 10-13 % defaults
rate , and Bank of Korea credit
tightening Seoul will be traded -750- 880
Won currency: US recovery improve Korea's trade surplus Won exchange rate
1100-1140
Asian Markets: will follow US market for
another10 % correction,
S. Korea Housing prices bubble Simulation /Forecasts:
This equation predicted S Korea housing prices doubled in 1995- 1998 as money supply
growth soared form 5 % to 18 %, Seoul index from 300 to 1400,, It plunged 50 % in 1998-99
Asian Financial crisis, as interest rate hike from 5 % to 15 %, Seoul index plunged to
200, and rebound 25 % since 2000 till now, housing loan more than doubled, amount to 70 %
of GDP, overheated, lead to Bank of Korea raising interest twice in 2002. facing deflation and
bubble burst risks
Most active stocks prices OSA/forecasts
Kopsi index :
Seoul Kospi index rebounded to 900 overheated
will be traded 700- 800 will be drag down by Nasdaq correction in the weeks ahead:
Korea ADR shares prices OSA,
asset bubble earning warning,
| Name |
Symbols |
outlook. early warning |
trading range |
| Hyundai Motors |
HYUPP |
price cutting,
competition |
9- 12 |
| Kookmim Bank |
KB |
housing bubble,
credit defaults |
35- 45 |
| Samsung
Electronics |
SAEPP |
price cutting,
competition, demand peaking |
135- 150 |
| SK Telecom |
SKM |
price cutting, competition |
55-70 |
| Honda Motor |
HMC |
price cutting, demand
peaking out |
18- 25 |
OSA pioneer Dr.
Warren Huang
return from Asia, lectured
on Monetary policy impact on Asian capital markets
asset prices, bubble early warning, risk management to Euro-events
Asian finance, capital markets conference Nov. 5, 2003, China, finance, capital
market conference, Nov. 25, 2003, Shanghai, Nov. 27, Beijin, 2003 will offer keynote speech and half day workshop for Wealth Management Conference: March.
23-35, 2004, Grand Hyatt, Singapore. He will speak on
Global strategic
wealth management , asset allocation, and risk hedging , introducing thousands
strategic investment simulators predicted 3 month ahead on global
financial crisis, asset, wealth bubble burst, avoided trillion dollar market,
wealth loss for 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US, European investors since
1985
He will offer in-house strategic wealth management workshops for Beijin,
Shanghai, Hong, Kong, Taipei, Singapore QFII, QDII, VIP investors, traders , banking,
insurance CEO, executives
during Feb- March
reserve
by osawhh@citiz.net
/wh3928@yahoo.com
==== Shanghai/Beijin Euro-events Conference/in-house workshops
Announcement ===========
== China Finance, Capital Market Summit
Conference/in-house workshops ====
You are welcome to join Dr.
Huang lecture to Shanghai lectures to Euro-Events China Finance and
Capital Market SUMMIT conference and booth at 500, Grand ballroom Weihai Rd. , Four
Seasons Hotel, Nov. 25 and Beijin Nov. 27 to 400 China government regulation, banking, finance , QFII, corporate CEO,
CFO, executives on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact
on China economy and capital market asset prices, bubble, simulation, risk
management He
will demonstrate his successful experience in predicting 1994-96 macroeconomic
control soft-landing (offered thousand nationwide TV, radio daily tracking
lecturing and 100 banking, finance companies risk management) and current China
Peoples Bank credit tightening
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
Other Asian countries by reservation
osawhh@citiz.net or
wh3928@yahoo.com
Dr. Warren Huang speak to Shanghai Finance and Economic University
China Finance for sustainable growth Shanghai Oct. 25
and Dec. 20 to Peking
University China economic research center sponsored China economic society
annual meeting at Fudan University
on
Strategic China Banking, Finance,
Enterprises Reform
introducing
OSA simulation models. on-China capital market
asset prices simulation, bubble early warning
Monetary , economic, fiscal policy , foreign investments impact on China
capital market industrial sectors
market forces in market economy,
demand, prices mechanism, profit margin, investment return and risk management
He will offer Shanghai full
day in house CEO/CFO financial
managers China
capital market , banking, finance, reform and capital market asset prices
mechanism
SUMMIT workshops Nov. 28-Dec 18
=== Singapore Asia Finance, Capital Market Summit Conference/in-house workshops ====
Dr.
Huang will speak to Singapore Euro-Events Asian Finance and
Capital Market SUMMIT conference Nov.5 three hundred Asian government regulation, , banking, finance , corporate CEO,
CFO, executives on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on Asian (
China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan )economy
and capital market asset prices, bubble, simulation, risk management
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
with excellent feedback
photos 1, 2, 3
lecture ppt
Other Asian countries by reservation
osawhh@citiz.net or
wh3928@yahoo.com
Dr. Warren Huang spok to Shanghai Finance and Economic University
China Finance for sustainable growth Shanghai Oct. 25 on China capital market
asset prices simulation, bubble early warning
Monetary , economic, fiscal policy , foreign investments impact on China
capital market industrial sectors
market forces in market economy,
demand, prices mechanism, profit margin, investment return and risk management
He will offer Shanghai full day in house CEO/CFO financial
managers China
capital market Banking, Real Estate, Construction materials
auto
asset prices, bubble simulation workshops
first time shown on this website
the most reliable global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts (
last update Oct. 2002), go to in-house workshops for recent update)=============================================================================,
Trillion dollar Nonperformance assets Management, workshops,
sponsored by Peking Univeristy Guahua School of Management, Executive Develpement
Dec 5-6, 2002, Beijin zhoucs@gsm.pku.edu.cn
OSA
maximize nonperformance asset cost performance, value recovery, pre-warning for future NPL
workshops in December in Asia tracking the causes, onset, recovery, prevent of your
debt, equities, properties nonperformance asset email wh3928@yahoo.com
for your in-house workshop reservation
=========================================================
|
Dr. Huang return from Asia,
lectured to Asian Business Forum's European, Asian central banks, stock exchanges,
banking, securities executives on
global nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties asset
prices , credit risk simulation, investment strategy and Asset
Backed Securitization workshops: predicting the
unpredictable futures to minimize bad loan ,shares buy back procurement ,
South Korean Telecom: hurting by global slowdown prices cutting, will be traded
190000-22000 18-20 USD
Samsung electr benefited by chips price rebound will be traded between
450000-510000 won US$ Hyumdai Mot Benefited by US recovery will be
traded between 37500-42000
These deterministic, dynamic simulation of last 20 years global asset
prices, and economy boom and bust of the asset bubble vicious cycle of excessive monetary
policy, low interest rate induced sustained long term bull markets stocks prices gain
caused consumer and business spending in real estate properties pushed soaring housing
prices and rent. And deficit spending (negative saving) in stock markets, pushed the stock
s even higher, until abrupt reverse of consumer and investor confidence --the bubble
burst- plunge of stocks and properties prices as it happened in US, Japan, Taiwan in 1980,
1987, 1990, energy crisis, EURO 1992 currency crisis, 1994 China runaway inflation, 1995
Mexico crisis, 1997-98 ASEAN, Japan, Korea, Russia, Brazil currency crisis, all caused by
overpriced stock prices due to excess monetary policy and high GDP growth
Website : www.osawh.com email: / whuang3928@aol.com Fax 1-510-524-4484
Services: Bubble Burst simulation and prevention Workshops , On the Job Training
program : OSA Strategic, execution teams All supported by simulation charts for training
simulators.
Profile/Founder
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer
of
two master hands controlling Global economic cycles
and Capital Markets Asset Prices Mechanism, Market Forces, Bubble Burst Risks Simulation,
Financial Crisis early warning
and
Global
Strategic Knowledge Based
Strategic Government, Business Process Demand
Forecasts OSA Optimization Operations Simulation
Analysis OSA
over 30 years
pioneering development, implement of global integrated strategic investment,
supply chain logistics , crisis, risks, business Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)
and optimization ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980 over 80
countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel,
Fluor , Bailey Network Control headquarters corporate finance, information
management in refinery, petrochemical, power
plant, steel, copper, coal project investment, construction, design, preventive
maintenance, crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US depart of
energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information
technology, state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic planning for
10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade,
trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency,
5000 products export pricing quote. offered hundreds China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan capital markets daily investment strategy and risk management
workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities
companies CEO,, CFO, money managers executives, tracking China
Peoples Bank monetary, economic policy WTO impact on macro
economic control, daily capital market prices Shanghai, Shenzhen A, B
shares: 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit
margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, investment strategy Asian, global
governments , banking, finance, hundreds state, medium, small
enterprises reform, change management. He also offered hundred workshops
for Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok CEO, CFO,
investment, supply chain executives .
He pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, financial market prices offered thousands lectures to
millions CHina, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea,
ASEAN banking, securities, insurance, properties, state, medium, small
enterprises senior executives and China, Taiwan 15
cities TV, radio 30 millions investors, banking, finance executives
(pdf
)on tracking
monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on last 25 years global economic
cycles industrial sectors demand, asset prices , bubble, privatization, IPO,
strategic merger/acquisition, listed companies profit , stock prices simulation,
financial market investment
strategy and early warning, risk management (workshops
Chinese,
English)
Global , invited to speak to 24
global( US, ECB, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan,
Asian ) central bank
governors, corporate governance, financial crisis, risk management conferences .
supporting
security, banking, insurance regulation, Sarbanes-Oxley Act on financial
accounting auditing maximize performance, transparency
He
published 32 global strategic business process optimization systems by
US Gulf Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Process Control, Information
Systems handbook, 1991-2003. applied by 1600
multinationals from 72 countries.
He has been editor/columnist and consultant for macro/financial economic
industrial finance, investment forum, energy, information technology, global
strategic management for Taiwan government, banking, finance, industrial,
importer/exporter trade, investment journal, Central, Economic, Commercial Times,
Industrial Economic daily newspapers and China Economic, Financial Times,
Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan Securities daily newspapers, wrote
thousands articles on reform, change management,
investment risk management for US, Taiwan, China government economic, finance, banking,
securities, industrials, journal
weekly economic, finance investment journal, daily newspapers
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters weekly trade journals.
and this website
visited by million global central banks,
central, state, city government,
banking, finance, enterprises
executives.
He trained thousands Chemical Eng industrial economics,
global strategic management students for
Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai universities and lecture China Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan,
Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities on economic management, Chemical Eng.
computer control, financial engineering,
Millions global central banks, government, banking, finance, enterprises, CEO,
CFO, executives visited and supported www.osawh.com website since July 1998 (Partial lists)
==========================================================================================
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, IMF, World Bank, UN, OCED,US
Dept of energy, NASA ,
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Merill Lynch, Goldman Sach, State Street,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Mizuho, Prudential, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J Hancock ,
State Farm, Lehman, Bloomberg,
Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business Week
Corporate :
McKinsey, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, Compaq, NEC, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Motorola, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco, Dupont, Dow, ORCL,
Boeing, GM, BMW, Honda, Samsung, Ford), Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Celera, Weth)
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
UPensilvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London from 70
countries