I warned on Wall
Street Journal Blogs before market speculation on Fed rate cut, that any rate
cut will repeat 1998 and 1989 , just delay the already serious housing bubble
burst, will be followed by deeper recession.
Fed 50 point cut on top of Dow Jones stock index near its peak, oil,
commodities prices at its all time high this inflationary pressure situation
is much worse than 1998, 1989, with 7 trillion dollar housing
price gain wealth
speculating in housing and stock market,
it will be very tough for Fed to cool it off, it will blow the bubble bigger,
as coastal area high end housing prices soared 40- 150 % in July. even
Greenspan agree that this house bubble is tough for any central banks
to
manage, China raise 5 time rates, 7 times bank deposit ratio, still fail to
contain the soaring housing and stock price bubble.
both Benanke and market are facing turbulent period ahead.
details can be found onwww.osawh.com/centmaf.html
Comment by Warren Huang - September 24, 2007 at 11:16 am
Where¡¦s the next investment bubble? It could be emerging markets and oil, according to Justin Lahart and Joanna Slater, writing in today¡¦s Wall Street Journal. ¡§Stocks in emerging markets, long less costly than their developed-market counterparts, are becoming pricier,¡¨ they write. ¡§At the end of last month, the stocks that make up the MSCI Emerging Markets index were trading at 17 times their earnings for the prior 12 months.¡¨
Jeff Bailey of the New York Times
reports on Kate Hanni, who was stranded on a flight and has become an
air travel activist. ¡§A successful real estate agent, occasional rock ¡¦n¡¦ roll
singer and mother of two, Ms. Hanni, 47, essentially put her life on hold to
take on the airlines, leaning on her husband to earn more and spend more time
looking after their children so she could battle the lobbying might of the
airlines,¡¨ he
writes.
Andy Mukherjee, writing in Bloomberg News, says the Fed¡¦s rate cut
was the last thing the Far East wanted. ¡§To most Asian policy makers, the
larger-than-expected cut this week in the U.S. Federal Reserve¡¦s target for
overnight interest rates is just the return of an all-too-familiar headache:
unwanted liquidity,¡¨ he
writes.
Shenshen housing prices benefited by 500 % gain in stocks, up 400 %, approaching Hong Kong price.trillion RMB excessive wealth gain continue pushed housing, stock priecs higher, despite China Peoples Bank 5 times rate hikes, 7 times raise bank deposit reserve to remove the excessive liquidity.
Hong Kong Henseng stock index benefited by China investment up 300 % and India stocks and housing bubbles, UK housing bubble ( already suffered by sub-prime troubles )
US rate cuts will further inflate these bubbles, as Heng Seng index up 1000 point follow US Dow Jones big gain on rate cuts These bubbles and plunging dollar will heat up oil price to 90- 100 next year and metal, feedgrain bubbles all follows next year
details can be found on www.osawh.com