osawh
China Strategy OSA
www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/index.html
China Strategy: China Strategic Management OSA(
Operations Simulation Analysis : Leadership Innovation
Breakthrough in Proactive Structural China Peoples Bank Monetary, Economic,
Fiscal Policy, Global QFII/QDII, Banking,
Finance, Enterprises , Energy Policy Reform, and Investment , Globalization Strategy
, Crisis, Risks, Corporate scandals early warning , WTO Global
Multilateral-Bilateral Trade Strategy for Sustainable Profit and Market Shares Growth
About OSA
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Workshops
e-Government
macro-economy
global finance
global financial crisis early warning
Products & Services
China
Strategy:
China Peoples Bank
Monetary, Economic, Fiscal , WTO policy
impact on
Macroeconomic Control, Capital Markets housing, equities asset
price,
Capital Markets Bubble
Simulation, early warning
China housing price
bubble simulation
:
Proactive
Monetary Policy
Global Strategy Strategic
knowledge economy
investment banking
VIP/Corporate membership banking
finance Reform innovation
Strategic wealth management
Financial Engineering Innovation
Macroeconomic Control
Micro Economy demand,prices
China Greenspan
Energy Policy Research
Energy conservation de-bottleneck
Energy financing
workshop
Energy
Crisis/Risks Management
Trade finance workshop
global competitiveness
Technical
R&D innovation
Finance R&D innovations
Investment Banking
e-Business
Proactive
Monetary Policy ABS/MBS
Securitization
trade finance
Asset Price Bubble
corporate scandals
early warning
oil, energy prices forecast
commodity prices
Business
Process Reengineering
Strategic investment
Banking
Capital
Market Forecast
Change
Lifes e-Learning
global stock indices forecast
Global
Derivatives Hedging
Strategic Wealth
management
QFII strategy Proactive
eBiz Strategy Proactive
CFA
Strategic CRM
Value Chain Optimization
20
yrs
global markets tracking
R&Dstrategy
Global Strategic Solution weekly
Global Capital Market Research
Behavior Finance
4 million visitors
news
release
education
reform feedback‘@
Strategic Alliance OSA
Strategic outsourcing
Strategic
E-Procurement Supply
chain optimization Strategic
Marketing Management
Profit added Marketing
Integrated Strategic
SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /
Logistics
Strategic
SCM-logistics
retail chain CRM optimization
retail banking CRM
Global Structural Commodities Finance
Workshops:
Proactive
Strategic Competitive Intelligence Operations Simulation Analysis smart
Chips PC
Proactive Strategic corporate governance
Basel
II risks management
Year
round Rose Garden
OSA Markets Forecast
Economic, Cultural Globalization
Enterprises
Risk Management
CPAexam
Proactive US monetary Policy
Interest rate/bond
stock
indices future
Index fund Gold/metal
futures
ETF
Forex Currency futures
US
hot stocks
Global ADR
US banks-finance
Oil, Gas Price
NasdaqInfo-100
Silicon -100
Weekend Edition
IPO
pricing
profit early warning
Commodity
Futures
energy futures
Gold/metal
futures
Housing Bubble Basel
II credit risks
market risks
Strategic Arbitrage Pricing Shanghai/Shenzhen
A/B/IPO China
small cap
ADR
mutual fund/ commodity/ bond
Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management QFII/QDII strategy Supply
Chain Logistics
Housing
Bubble WTO
import/ export pricing
China Investment Strategy:
Proactive Structural
China Strategic
Investment OSA:
Proactive China strategic
knowledge economy, macroeconomic control impact on investment,
market economy prices mechanism, supply chain logistics, competitive
pricing Competitive Intelligence Decision Operations Simulation Analysis / Forecasts,
supporting daily China/ Global Government, Banking,
Finance, Business, Personal Decisions in
crisis, Basel II risks early warning
What is China Strategy OSA and its achievements
OSA pioneer
Dr. Warren Huang CV
,
extend his Ph.D Thesis Moon landing guidance and
control methodology
by integrating
China
Proactive
Structural Dynamic macro economic control into 20 industrial sectors
microeconomic
supply, demand price mechanism and daily financial markets equities,
bond, currency, commodities, listed stock prices for Strategic
investment banking , capital markets reform, innovative
decisions Operations Simulation
Analysis (OSA) , supported by
goal , mission, performance
tracking, optimization for government ,banking, finance business
fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into
daily capital market
prices,
business performance, capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year
opportunities and crisis , change
personal life, change business and world decision making, achieving sustainable profit, market
shares
growth, making personal, corporate dreams come true.
Strategic Basel II Risks OSA early warning maximize risks adjusted return
for
Basel II Capital Requirement, Risk Management conference sponsored by Asian
Strategy Leadership Institute, Singapore, Apr. 25-26 for China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, Japan, Korea, ASEAN countries banking, finance senior risks,
planning management, fund managers ( Dr. Huang offered thousands lectures to
China, Taiwan, US TV, radio station 30 million investors, hundreds risk
management workshops for hundreds banking, finance CEO, CFO , fund managers.
or reserve his full day in-house workshop email
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com at your office
( he just offered on Feb 23 , Beijing to 70 China, Asian, US, European oil,
gas, banking executives accurately:
Speaker Dr. Warren
Huang accurately predicted on his Beijing Feb 23-25 workshop, keynote
speeches, lectures that oil price will rise to 55 in March. and challenging
60 in spring, 55-65 in summer, driving US China inflation and interest rate , bond yield up,
stocks plunge. soaring US trade deficit drag dollar and Oil price did
soared to 55.2 on March 3, 58 on March 15, China Shanghai A retreat from
1320 to 1050, US Dow ones plunge from 10980 to 10259, Nasdaq from 2100 to
2000, 10 yr bond yield soared from 4 % to 4.6 %..
Highlights:
* Structural dynamic simulation forecast of monetary,
economic policy impact on daily global finance, capital markets asset prices
Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) avoided trillion dollar markets
non-performance loan.
* Basel II Markets, Credit, Operational, interest rate,
currency risks OSA forecast, risks early warning systems
* Corporate cost and financial accounting systems OSA tracking, governance
scandal early warning, maximize
transparency and performance.
*Cost,
Profit, Risks, Market Shares as goal, mission, performance oriented
strategic (board members, senior executive , risk manager, auditing team)
and execution ( junior executives, risk staff ) OSA teams tracking daily
corporate performance and risks, maximize risk adjusted return
*
Global/Asian equities, bond, oil, metals, commodity futures, derivatives
prices, assets and mortgage backed securitization asset prices simulation,
forecast, structural finance risks hedging OSA. minimize Basel II market
risks.
* Risks OSA forecast
, early
warning,
tracking,
forecasts
daily Basel II three pillars risk management requirement, minimize capital
adequacy requirement in daily risks monitoring, reporting, measurement.
cost: Dr. Huang San Francisco rt air fare, local hotel, lecture fee.
OSA
banking,
finance, corporate, investors capitalize opportunities in crisis, maximize global market
shares,
avoided
trillion
dollar
Basel II credit, market, operational risks
achieve sustainable profit growth
www.osawh.com
About OSA Products & Services
Workshops
VIP/Corporate membership
20 yrs
daily global market tracking Capital Market
Banking
e-Business
e-Government
Monetary Policy
Asset Bubble Biotech/Healthcare EMBA/CEO Basel
II Risk control Business
Process
Outsourcing
Strategic Alliance OSA
Strategic
Sourcing Strategic
E-Procurement Supply
chain optimization Marketing/Sales
Strategy
Integrated
Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /Logistics
China Strategy:
China government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics
strategy :Monetary economic, fiscal policy impact on macroeconomic control, Capital
Markets Bubble
Simulation, early warning systems
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO China
ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
4PL Logistics de-bottleneck Integration
corporate governance banking
finance reform China Business Strategy
China RMB pegging policy: China made smart move to switch its pegging to dollar
to unspecified basket of currency, adopt graduate, rational, controllable
floating flexibility, initially appreciate 2 % against the dollar to 8.11 to avoid US government and financial market hot money
speculation pressure
OSA will offer memberships services and strategic investment, supply chain workshops for China/global multinational
banking, finance, oil, gas companies executives. Thousands proactive, structural dynamic strategic simulators providing
US/China energy policy, macro-economic control impact on daily oil, gas, LNG, LPG, petrochemical feedstock,
downstream plastics, fibers import, export, domestic contract, cash prices, power rate market forces mechanism, corporate profit margin, stock
prices, M/A pre/post performance optimization simulation forecast risk management workshop (Bring your problems to the workshop, take home trillion/billion dollar
solutions ready to implement) reserve by osawhh@sina.com.cn , wh3928@yahoo.com
Strategic Asian Trade Finance
China become the growth engine since China joined WTO, enjoyed 60 billion
Foreign
direct investment , mostly from Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore.
2003- 2004 China GDP exceeds 9.5 %, with 30 % growth in fixed investment (
mostly from manufacturing and housing) 13 % growth in retail sales, 35 % growth
in import.
Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, India enjoyed 50 % growth, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia
export to China enjoyed 30 % , pulling Asian countries of recession.
Asian stocks following
US stocks speculating year end and January rally, making new high, with
Dow broke 10700 , Nasdaq 2150 were overheated, economic will facing slowdown, as
US housing start plunged 13 %, consumer, business spending will peaking out in
November.
Dr. Huang predicted last week that Nymex crude oil
prices rebound from 40 to 46.5 due to cold US weather and falling heating oil
inventory
US heading for soaring current account deficit to 177 billion in the
current quarter due to soaring business, consumer spending and oil prices,
dollar depreciation.
However, Asian currencies are overpriced, will facing soaring oil price and
shrinking surplus.
Dr. Warren Huang's two master hands controlling
global and China, Asian last 25 years ( including Asian Financial crisis)
macro economy, daily capital market asset prices, 20 industrial sectors
commodity, raw material, 5000 products daily demand, import, export prices
support Asian investment, supply chain logistics, import/export trade strategy
accurately predicted 94-96 and current China macroeconomic control, credit
tightening, rate hike, will drag China
and Asian, US export/ import slowdown next year.
Strategic China Energy
trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar
global strategic energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock
costs
Dr. Warren Huang will
share with you his 30 years hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy
financing project managers and consulting experiences in his key note
speech and workshop for Asian Business Forum
China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25,
2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy
reform, rates hike impact on oil, gas demand, prices and gas
industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities,
Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and
downstream
demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments
risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG Project financing operation,
markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems workshop
including the causes, onset, spread, recovery,
early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy,
manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking
or reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by
osawhh@sina.com
Announcement :OSA country web pages assistant editor and
marketing opportunities
OSA will expand 40 countries web pages content in local language and English
domain in 2005, looking for
A. Assistant editors for all areas, current college student of all majors,
interested to be training by our
e-Learning mission
impossible, develop your country information knowledge base, web
contents, you will be co-author with Dr. Huang to present your
results in local , international conferences, for future graduate
scholarship, job application
credit references
B. Marketing agent: Local country web pages
design,
domain, boosting traffic and workshops marketing,
some experience required
C. Strategic alliance partner, profit sharing partner
Contact osawhh@sina.com
in Chinese wh3928@yahoo.com
in English:
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts:
China started second phase credit tightening, rate
hike series begin.
China finally raised prime rate by 0.27, to cool off the asset bubble, with
structural rate hike, floating loan upper limit from 5.6- 12.5 %, Oct.
28, 2004, accurately predicted by Dr. Huang last Nov. 2003 in
Euro-events Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Asian/China finance, capital
market conference and May 8, 15, 2004 to San Francisco Silicon Valley
Finance radio and Global Finance Forum, Hi tech investment seminar, Silicon
Valley and on this website, visited by million global central banks,
banking, finance, corporate executives.
Global central banks ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global
conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation,
demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal prices to new high
and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products
resulted US Fed raising rate , too little, too late, China delaying
rate hike to effectively cut market demand led to China Sept. CPI
inflation up 5.2 % again and third quarter GDP growth still at 9.1 % due to
increasing business ( up 28 %)and consumer demand up 14 % ,will
facing soaring inflation from current 5.3 % to 6.6 % in winter peaking
holiday demand season . Despite China Peoples Bank raised
deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement,
aluminum, auto loan lead to some progress macroeconomic control with
Sept. money supply growth at
13.6 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up only 10 %, asset prices, inflation
followed soaring oil price to 55, all time high metal prices coastal cities Beijin,
Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national housing prices up
14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Sept. retail sale up
13.2, China third quarter GDP up 9.1 % far above 7 % target, medium,
long term loan up 28.4 % repeat 1994, call the need for interest
rate hike to cool off the consumer and housing demand in winter
holiday peak season .
soaring China steel, cement,
aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage, stocks prices
recent rebound from 1250 to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement
over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr.
Huang on this website and already retreat to 1300)) market is over, continue bear
market technical rebound ( within 20 % and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed
small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec,
Unicom will lead future rebound 20 %.
, This supply side tightening
are insufficient to cool the uneven economic overheating,
as China raised key interest rate by 0.27 % and
implement structural rate hikes in late Oct. as predicted by Dr.
Huang to cut off excessive consumer , business demand in housing,
construction materials, auto and retails demand . to cool off soaring
housing and metals prices, and serious energy , electricity , coal shortage, and transportation,
communication bottleneck.
China benefited by lower food price, Nov CPI drop to 2.8 % from Oct.
5.2 %, however rising heating oil, gas and feedstock price, falling dollar
will push US and global inflation to new high in the winter heating demand.
China hopefully achieve soft landing
in the second half . 2005, as China Peoples Bank will cut money supply growth
below 10 % and GDP below 8 %. and fixed investment growth below 10 %
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts, CEO ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
China Business Strategy, investment
banking, merger/acquisition performance simulation, investment strategy March 15, 2004
Global PC fail to upgrade, integrate
OSA strategic simulators to increase up to 1000 % PC value, facing sharp
competition.
IBM PC facing deep loss, HP PC division only enjoy 1 % profit margin drag
HP corporate profit
margin to 3.5 %, Acer chage management to achieve sustainable profit growth only
enjoy 3 % profit margin, Dell direct marketing, cost reduction enjoy 7 % margin,
will all facing Lenovo merger IBM PC division price cutting pressure.
China's PC king Lenovo following Dr. Huang's recommendation in 1989-1990 to
China Fudan, Tsinghwa, Zechiang , Dalian, Hwu-zhon science and tech university
school of management and computer science executives training workshops and
keynote speech to state department and SINOPEC sponsored international
conference consulting , recommended upstream/downstream integration,
globalization, bought US IBM 10 billion sales Think
Pad PC for 1.75 billion, to become No. 3 PC maker, following HP and
DELL, will boost Lenovo profit margin and global
market shares, upgrade its technical and management skill, while IBM will
improve its China
but still needed R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.,
marketing potential for other divisional products ( Main frame, server,
and corporate computing.), will put pressure Acer, HP and Dell for more price
cutting, competitions. Only Dr. Warren Huang 30 years US
multinational, Taiwan, China, US government, banking, finance, SOE , SME
develop, implementation, consulting , recommended upstream/downstream
integration, globalization, R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added
value approach integrating OSA strategic
investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can
survive competition, helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian
government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit,
market shares growth.
Taiwan's Acer chairman Shi following upstream/downstream , globalization,
diversification strategy , created own Acer brand, surviving various downstream,
however, fail to diversify into OSA strategic high value added strategic
software and consulting service will facing tough fight after Lenovo merger
after Shi's retirement.
Taiwan's PVC king Formosa Plastics Chairman Y C Wang benefited by global
housing, auto asst bubble boom achieved 31 % profit margin, by following
Dr. Huang Taiwan petrochemical industry business models and strategy
recommendation ( as government, industry consultant in 1972- 85 to Taiwan
government economic affair and petrochemical industry associations on
petrochemical development, upgrade strategy for integrating PVC
upstream/downstream, diversification into fibers, engineering plastics related
business and globalization ( US, Asian, China) and continuing tracking achieve
the causes for all cost reduction.,
However, still needed to work harder on technical, marketing, management R & D
innovation for high value added
products for fighting future economic downturn
( published 20 English articles in US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing,
advanced control, information system
handbook 1980- 2003, 3 million copies circulating to 78 countries and thousands
Chinese articles
on China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, economic, finance, securities, management
journal, 100 million copies since 1983.,invited as keynote speaker to 100 China,
Taiwan, US, Canada, European 46 countries government, central bank governors,
financial risk management, productivity management conference, since 1980
offered thousands executives workshops to top Taiwan, China, US government
officials, senior executives, banking, finance, SOE, SME< multinational CEO,
CFO, senior executives and 15 cities TV, radio, 30 million managers, investors
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters managers since 1983.
European
Strategy
Leadership Breakthrough: EU 25
countries ECM monetary policy
Economy/Capital
Markets, East-Western European Convergence, banking,
finance, economy integration, growth, prices stability simulation,
forecast, Bubble,
Crisis
Simulation, Basel II Risks early warning :
Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO
EU ADR China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
US Strategy
US
government, business,
banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics strategy
Economy/Capital Markets Asset Prices,
Bubble Simulation, early warning systems :
Wall Street
Research
US hot stocks
,
Global
ADR
US
banks-finance Oil/Gas/Pet
Info-100
Silicon -100
Weekend
Edition IPO
pricing
profit early warning
Beat stock
indice future Beat Forex Currency futures
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures
Housing Bubble Basel
II credit risks
market risks
operational risks control
Taiwan
Strategy:
Taiwan government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics
strategy :Monetary economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on macroeconomic control, Capital
Markets Bubble
crisis Simulation, early warning systems
Taiwan capital markets Taiwan ADR
Cross strait China
investment China mutual
fund/ commodity/ bond Hong
Kong H Red Chips
NPL
Asset Management
QFII/QDII strategy
Supply Chain Logistics
Housing Bubble Basel
II Risk control
4PL Logistics debottleneck Integration
Asian
Pacific Strategy
: Asian Pacific
government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics
Economy/Capital Markets
/Capital Markets Asset Prices,
Bubble financial crisis Simulation, early warning systems :
Japan China
Korea Taiwan Singapore Hong Kong India
Malaysia Thailand
Strategic
Wealth
Management
Value Investing
Asset Prices bubbles
Dynamic
Asset allocation
interest rate/bond yield Beat stock
indices future
Beat Forex Currency
Commodity
Futures Oil/energy futures
Gold/metal
futures Beat Global ADR Market
Risks Hedging Strategy
Venture Capital Risks control
Structured
Financial Engineering
Asset securitization
Syndicated
Loan
Basel
II Risk early warning control
Strategic Investment Banking: strategic IPO,
pre/post
merger/acquisition performance
e-Personal Life planning Strategy Intelligent Knowledge Management
Strategic e-commerce Value
Chain Optimization
Adaptive enterprises Change Management
Basel
II Risk control
Monetary
macroeconomic policy Industrial finance Industrial
Economy
Regional Economy
Investment banking Globalization Strategy
e-Gov reform strategy
Banking/Finance
Reform Enterprise Reform
e-Biz
Strategy
OSA
models
Process
Improvement
Business Process Optimization
Global
Strategic Solution Consulting Corporate Governance
Global Crisis OSA
Risk Management Basel
II Risk control
Adaptives
e-Learning-Education
Breakthrough
leadership/strategy CEO workshop
Breakthrough
Venture capital strategy CEO workshop
Rose vegetable Garden
Commodity futures
WTO, import/export pricing
Feedback
Annual Memberships Strategic Out-Sourcing
Centers Human resources OSA teams
The
only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators
tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial
crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion
dollar market loss due to current probabilistic models based capital market
asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to US, European, China, Taiwan
, Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth management
conference By
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of two master hands OSA, website:
www.osawh.com email
:
whuang3928@aol.com
/ osawhh@citiz.net
Global
Strategic solution Workshops
:
20 English articles, US patents, millions copies published by US Hydrocarbon
Processing,
advanced control-information system
handbook 1991-2003 and Oil & Gas Journals circulation to 80 countries
:Manufacturing
Process Operations Improvement and Power plant integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM
/Logistics Operations Improvement for cost/quality performances: de-bottleneck,
waste/energy minimization, maximize top grade products, yields, minimize off grade loss,
power blackout
In-depth OSA for your suppliers, your manufacturing
supply chain, marketing competitive pricing process,, your
customers, end-users and your competitors and optimizing your value chain in
fighting uncertain, unpredictable futures.
oil/gas
petrochemical
fibers/
plastics pulp/paper
IT upstream/downstream
Power Plant Optimization
OSA
China Macro Economic Control,
Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation/Forecasts, predictive decision
tools maximize your China investment, stay ahead in emerging market trend, competitive
intelligence advantage--
Predicted
3 months ahead last
20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing,
2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
.
Dr. Warren Huang CV
accurately
predicted Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this
website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in
May 2004
job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out in the second
quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate
hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft
landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, facing sharp competition, price
cutting, entering bear market
consolidation.
He also predicted Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo, Kuotai securities investors, Beijin China Financial Times, China
macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded
between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very
attractive to QFII in the new Millennium
Global central banks, economist, financial market
, industrial sectors analysts ignoring
,Dr. Huang photo
warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China
Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan
central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand
prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed governors
, Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on IT asset bubble
bursts
and again
to Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing
consolidation.
He lectures Nov.
2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/
photos 1,
2,
3
lecture ppt
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China
finance, capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003
picture
2
and
to
China economists meeting Fudan University,
Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives,
identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles month ahead, investment
opportunities in China
petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR ,
Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 % IPO shares up 150 %
and early warning
for asset bubbles in oil,
commodities prices reaching 23 year peak( recommended invested
in future, derivatives gained 5000 %)
in March 2004, will drive
China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will
lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise
bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay
above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets,
US macroeconomic, inflation control
tracking, forecasts:
Dr. Huang spoke to
Euro-events Singapore
, Shanghai, Beijin Nov.
2003 Asian/China
Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture
to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers
and China Economist annual
meeting Dec. 20 and
www.osawh.com
website and thousands workshops
warning US, global analysts over optimistic over the business and
consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery,
profit growth, bull market rally, job
creation , under- estimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts
, 45 trillion dollar housing, equities
wealth effect resulted excessive
consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as
predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble
reaching 23 year high in March and Aug. 2004 US trade deficit soared
to 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May,
Aug. 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged
to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending, peaking out, facing
squeeze in second half 2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,
May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter,
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market
consolidation. US High tech, finance,
housing, retails, auto share will give up all its 2004 gain plunge 30-50
% and trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995
and 2000 and trillion dollar
profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at 3.2 % in July, with business spending up 10 %, consumer
confidence above 106 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing inventory built up, oil,
soared to 50 new high, will
drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate
hikes are on its way to cool off the economy. (
despite July wholesale price only up 0.1 %
Goal :
Predicting the unpredictable futures and stay month ahead of US and global emerging economic,
financial market price movement , customer demand trend, crisis,
supporting global
government, banking, finance, corporate reform, change management
strategic investment, value added marketing, competitive pricing, supply chain
logistics decisions in global crisis simulation, risks management avoided
trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan, save billon dollar supply chain costs
in maximize sustainable profits, global customer value, and competitive
advantage ,market shares
corporate, personal dream come true
Mission
: Setting up
US cost, quality, profit, customer value, market share, risk as goal, mission, performance oriented
multidisciplinary global strategic,
execution OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis ) teams (business units) , to develop implement and training millions
US/global strategic decision OSA simulators supporting global government,
banking, finance, corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, executives investors, customers ,
competitors in global strategic investment,
supply chain logistics cost reduction, maximize customer value decision analysis predicting government , economic,
monetary policy WTO impact on economic, business cycles, 20 industrial
sectors 5000 products demand, prices, daily
capital markets asset prices, bubble early warning: interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity properties,
nonperformance loan provide early warning to avoid corporate scandal internal auditing,
global financial, energy crisis resulted trillion dollar market loss and save billion
dollar supply chain costs
shown on this website
the most reliable global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts
Hundred
thousands integrated, global structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model
simulators
first time
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month
ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index have been developed, implemented supporting the following goal,
mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/
memberships/
workshops
tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises board members, think tank
and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
============================================================================================
Globalization, integration strategic competitive
intelligence decision analysis support
centers:
Supporting daily 40 global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy
impact simulation,
achieving economic growth and financial markets prices stability
predictive control, asset prices simulation, risk management ,
corporate investment, supply chain, CRM , competitors integration strategy. integrate domestic
economy and financial markets into global economy, markets and
trade. It also integrate corporate domestic supplier into global
downstream customers, end users, competitors investment, supply chain, credit risk,
nonperformance loan early warning
Strategic China Out-Sourcing
Centers for China/Global Banking, Financial, corporate Investment, supply chain
logistics decision support:
China, global government, banking, capital markets asset prices, industrial
sectors demand, prices, performance , equities research, business
investment Merger/acquisition, IPO, MBO, supply chain logistics, global trade Operations Simulation Analysis Strategic
centers, integrating China operations into your corporate headquarters daily decision
supported, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution OSA teams units ,
provide internal and external cost, financial accounting audit, avoided accounting scandals
and trillion dollar market loss, saving billion dollar supply chain costs
China/Global leadership breakthrough,
strategic products, markets, service innovation decisions Operations Simulation
Analysis, sustainable profit optimization CEO/ CFO/CFA executives on the job
training, problem solving in-house workshops
China e- Government Strategy Bilateral, multilateral simulation of US,
greater China and global policy interactions:
A. US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan, S. Korea central banks,
monetary, economic, fiscal policy , WTO bilateral, multilateral interaction impact on
macro-economy, financial markets industrial products demand, prices, properties, asset
bubble , trade simulations
B. China/Global government economic reform restructuring, productivity improvement, high tech/ VC
program
C. China/Global WTO trade and competitive pricing, market share strategic simulation.
D. What, Why, How, timing of China/Global government strategic Petroleum,
Commodity Reserve procurement, supply chain strategy saves billion dollar costs
and avoided trillion dollar market loss, crisis.
China Banking, Finance
Strategy: China
/Global Banking, Finance Reform, e-Finance/e-invest/e-risks for Banking,
Finance, Business
A. China/global Strategic banking reform,
nonperformance debt, equities, properties asset management
Tracking, simulating, forecasts the causes, onset, recovery of debt, equities,
properties asset pricing, credit risk simulation and maximize return, investment, recovery
in securitization, syndicated loan
B. Maximize China/global Strategic Banking Performance
Basel II market, credit, operational, interest rate Risk adjusted return Simulation Center
:Tracking, simulation, forecasts of Monetary policy, economic, business, product cycles
impact on interest rate spread,, consumer, business credit demand, quality,
defaults, return on