osawh  China Strategy  OSA  www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/index.html  
China Strategy: China Strategic Management  OSA( Operations Simulation Analysis : Leadership Innovation Breakthrough in Proactive Structural China Peoples Bank Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, Global QFII/QDII, Banking, Finance,  Enterprises , Energy Policy Reform, and Investment , Globalization Strategy , Crisis, Risks, Corporate scandals early  warning , WTO Global Multilateral-Bilateral  Trade Strategy for Sustainable Profit and  Market Shares Growth
About OSA    Products & Services   Workshops  e-Government    macro-economy  global finance   global financial crisis early warning Products & Services  
China Strategy:
China Peoples Bank Monetary, Economic, Fiscal , WTO  policy impact on Macroeconomic Control, Capital Markets  housing, equities asset price, Capital Markets Bubble Simulation,   early warning
China housing price bubble simulation : China Strategic Investment
  Strategic fund, wealth management  Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO  China small cap   ADR   mutual fund/ commodity/ bond  Hong Kong  blue chips H  Red Chips  NPL Asset Management  QFII/QDII strategy Supply Chain Logistics  Housing Bubble WTO import/ export pricing    QFII/QDII  strategy Supply Chain Logistics  Housing Bubble    ChinaCPA  WTO import/ export pricing

 Proactive Monetary Policy   Global Strategy   Strategic  knowledge economy   investment banking VIP/Corporate membership banking finance Reform innovation  Strategic wealth management   Financial Engineering Innovation Macroeconomic Control   Micro Economy demand,prices  China Greenspan  
Energy Policy Research  Energy conservation de-bottleneck  Energy financing workshop   Energy Crisis/Risks Management  Trade finance workshop   global competitiveness  Technical R&D innovation  Finance R&D innovations  Investment Banking   e-Business     Proactive Monetary Policy  ABS/MBS Securitization trade finance Asset Price Bubble   corporate scandals early warning   oil, energy prices forecascommodity prices  Business Process Reengineering  
Strategic investment Banking  Capital Market Forecast  Change Lifes e-Learning  global stock indices forecast  
 Global Derivatives Hedging  Strategic Wealth management QFII strategy  Proactive
 eBiz Strategy
  Proactive CFA   Strategic CRM  Value Chain Optimization
 20 yrs global markets  tracking  R&Dstrategy
Global Strategic Solution  weekly  Global Capital Market Research    Behavior Finance   4 million v
isitors  news release  education reform  feedback‘@  
 
Strategic Alliance OSA  Strategic outsourcing  Strategic E-Procurement  Supply chain optimization Strategic Marketing Management    Profit added Marketing Integrated Strategic
SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM / Logistics 
 Strategic SCM-logistics    retail  chain CRM optimization  retail banking CRM   Global  Structural Commodities Finance Workshops:
 Proactive  Strategic Competitive Intelligence Operations Simulation Analysis 
smart Chips PC   Proactive Strategic corporate governance  Basel II risks management  
Year round Rose Garden  
OSA Markets Forecast Economic, Cultural Globalization  Enterprises Risk Management   CPAexam
Proactive US monetary Policy  Interest rate/bond    
stock indices future  Index fund  Gold/metal futures  ETF   Forex Currency futures  US hot stocks   Global ADR
 
 US banks-finance Oil, Gas Price  NasdaqInfo-100  Silicon -100  Weekend Edition 
 IPO pricing  profit early warning  Commodity Futures energy futures  Gold/metal futures 
 
Housing Bubble Basel II credit risks  market risks  Strategic Arbitrage Pricing
 Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO China small cap    ADR    mutual fund/ commodity/ bond 
 Hong Kong H  Red Chips
 NPL Asset Management  QFII/QDII strategy Supply Chain Logistics  Housing Bubble WTO import/ export pricing

China Investment Strategy: Proactive Structural China
Strategic Investment  OSA: Proactive China strategic knowledge economy, macroeconomic control impact on  investment, market economy prices mechanism, supply chain logistics, competitive pricing Competitive Intelligence Decision Operations Simulation Analysis / Forecasts, supporting daily China/ Global Government, Banking,
Finance, Business, Personal Decisions in crisis, Basel II risks early warning

What is China Strategy  OSA and  its achievements
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang CV , extend his  Ph.D Thesis Moon landing guidance and control methodology
 by integrating China
Proactive Structural Dynamic macro economic control into 20  industrial sectors microeconomic supply, demand price mechanism and  daily financial markets equities, bond, currency, commodities, listed stock prices for Strategic investment banking , capital markets reform, innovative decisions Operations  Simulation Analysis (OSA) , supported by  goal , mission, performance tracking, optimization for  government ,banking, finance business fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown  futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into daily capital market prices,
 business performance, capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year opportunities and crisis , change
personal life, change business and world decision making, achieving sustainable profit, market shares

growth, making personal, corporate dreams come true.

China government strategy: Proactive China Peoples Bank Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on
Macroeconomic control, inflation, interest rates, capital mar
ket daily  asset prices
China's two Greenspan controlling macroeconomics and industrial asset bubbles control
China investment banking strategy: China Proactive Strategic Banking, Finance   Reform, Innovation
China capital markets pricing strategy: China Capital Markets Reform, Financial Engineering Innovation
China Learning Knowledge  Strategy :Educational Reform and Innovation
China Risk Management Strategy: Proactive Basel II market, credit, operational risks early warning
China Corporate Governance Strategy: Proactive China asset prices simulation, corporate governance scandals early warning
China Supply Chain Strategy:Proactive China strategic supply demand chain logistics

China QFII/QDII Strategy: strategic investment banking and  QFII/QDII investment, and risk management strategy

China Finance and Capital markets Operations Simulation Analysis
www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2
China Competitive Marketing Pricing, Market Share Strategy

Proactive Structural Strategic China Fund and Wealth Management and Crisis Early Warning Workshop 2007 by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang
China Energy Strategy: Proactive Strategic  Energy Policy   
China LNG, Natural Gas strategy and Risk Management
China Oil Market Investment Strategy
China oil/petrochemicals upstream/downstream supply demand chain strategy and Risk Management
China Trade WTO Strategy : WTO/global multilateral and bilateral trade strategy: 
thousands proactive, structural strategic  simulators tracking 100 countries currencies, macroeconomics, 20 industrial sectors commodities, raw material, products  import/export prices for 300,000 import/exporter members since 1986

China -US Textile Agreement reached Nov 12, 2005 was predicted by Dr. Warren Huang on Voice of American Beijing interview Oct.

Dr. Huang was interviewed by voice of America Beijing radio Oct. 10, 2005
VOA: what is your qualification for China-US textile trade.
Dr. Huang: I have over 30 years China/US/Taiwan oil and downstream textile, manufacturing, marketing, trade and consulting to Taiwan 300,000 importers/exporters China/US 5000 products export currency and trade strategy.
VOA: What is your view on the China-US textile talk?
Dr. Huang: I am very optimistic over the outcome of such talk, despite already going six rounds, it indicating both side exercise cautious and will  compromise on both sides on the agreement terms:, dates, growth rate following European Union agreement, will reach full agreement in the next few round of talks.
VOA: What you recommending to US maunfacturer:
Dr. Huang: US textile industry must reorient its future strategy by upgrade its management and technology, integrating into China markets, taking advantage of its low
manufacturing costs, instead of direct confrontation tarrif and RMB appreciation will not solve the problem ( as how Taiwan textile industry survive
Special announcement:   www.osawh.com    global/China finance, capital   market forces mechanism simulation forecasts will be provide by  www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/chinafinance.html     and www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/oilgas.html   through its proactive structural dynamic OSA forecast provide weekly/monthly forecast, update, it accurately predicted Oil price soared to 60, 
and  www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/Chinastock.html    through its proactive structural dynamic OSA forecast provide weekly/monthly China stocks, fund forecast, update and www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/chinastrategy.html for proactive China macroeconomic control,
Be a global government strategic decision leader, capitalize on the emerging market trend, not follower in crisis.
www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/govstrategy.html provide the latest innovation in government economic, finance, banking reform, technology, marketing , global trade, stay months ahead of the emerging market trend, integrating, optimizing economy, business process, into technology innovation  achieve sustainable profit , market share growth without job cuts.
Greenspan agree with Dr. Warren Huang that RMB revaluation and US raise import tarrif by 27 % will not help manufacturing cut trade deficit and jobs.  
======================================================
 China Energy Strategy:
 
Strategic China Energy trade Finance, Investment Strategy conference and Strategic Corporate Governance, Enterprises Energy Risks Management workshop
 
Don't Miss your in-house 2006 China-US macroeconomic control, oil prices, stocks, bond, currency, commodity futures investment and risks early warning workshops opportunities
Dr. Warren  Huang lectured  China/global
oils strategic corporate governance, enterprises risk management conference Nov. 17-18 , 2005 Beijing,   Hotel for China/Global oil ( Phillips Petroleum president, Saudi ARAMCO marketing VP, Exxon-Mobil 30 upstream/downstream, banking, finance,  CEO ,CFO, board members, auditing and management teams, share holders ,investment, supply chain senior executives  proactive decision analysis training provide the latest forecast of global/China oil upstream/downstream future, derivative prices, investment strategy. He predicted that NYMEX will follow US peak heating oil demand rebound from 56 to 65 before X'mas and 69 in January.
 
 
"Proactive Strategic Corporate Governance and Enterprise Risk Management"  
 
* Proactive structural models tracking, simulation of China/global oil, gas upstream/downstream futures, derivatives prices mechanism,  cost, financial, derivatives accounting.
* Proactive structural models tracking  daily corporate operations and governance performance ,scandals risks early warning and training board members, management team, auditing teams meeting Sarbanes- Oxley compliances
* Global strategic investment, joint ventures, M/A,  supply chain, Basel  II  global financial, energy  crisis, credit, market risks simulation, early warning, 
* Profit, market share, risks as goal, mission, performance  oriented strategic governance, risks OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) team( CEO, CFO, board) and execution teams( managers) maximize corporate operations and governance transparency performances.
* Case studies: US Mobil, Enron, Taiwan Chinese, China Aviation Oils

Dr. Warren Huang     BIO Dr. Huang has 30 years experience in  development, implementation  of proactive strategic structural simulators tracking for
 Mobil, Phillips Petroleum,  SINOPEC , Asian Consulting.   He predicted  last 20 years emerging market trend of global  oil, gas upstream/downstream futures,
derivatives , listed stock prices,  financial, energy crisis, corporate  scandals early warning for investment, supply  chain, marketing strategy for multinationals, SOE
board members, executives training . He spoke to global central banks governors, risk management conferences wrote 35 articles for US  Oil & Gas Journal,
Hydrocarbon Processing , Advanced Process  Control , Information System Handbook 1991-2005. Millions global executives visited his website
 www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html .> reserve your in-house workshop Oct- Nov, 2005, your office : osawhh@yahoo.com.cn/   wh3928@yahoo.com Do not miss Dr. Warren Huang Lecture on

Strategic Basel II Risks OSA early warning maximize risks adjusted return

for   Basel II Capital Requirement, Risk Management conference sponsored by Asian Strategy Leadership Institute, Singapore, Apr. 25-26 for China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, ASEAN countries banking, finance senior risks, planning management, fund managers ( Dr. Huang offered thousands lectures to China, Taiwan, US TV, radio station 30 million investors, hundreds risk management workshops for hundreds banking, finance CEO, CFO , fund managers.
or reserve his full day in-house workshop email  wh3928@yahoo.com/ osawhh@sina.com   at your office
( he just offered on Feb 23 , Beijing to 70 China, Asian, US, European oil, gas, banking executives accurately
:
Speaker Dr. Warren Huang accurately predicted on his Beijing Feb 23-25 workshop, keynote speeches, lectures that oil price will rise to 55 in March. and challenging 60 in spring, 55-65 in summer, driving US China inflation and interest rate , bond yield up, stocks plunge.  soaring US trade deficit drag dollar and Oil price did soared to 55.2 on March 3, 58 on March 15, China Shanghai A retreat from 1320 to 1050, US Dow ones plunge from 10980 to 10259, Nasdaq from 2100 to 2000, 10 yr bond yield soared from 4 % to 4.6 %..

Highlights:

* Structural dynamic simulation forecast of monetary, economic policy impact on daily global finance, capital markets asset prices Operation Simulation Analysis (OSA) avoided trillion dollar markets non-performance loan.
* Basel II Markets, Credit, Operational, interest rate, currency risks OSA forecast, risks early warning systems
* Corporate cost and financial accounting systems OSA tracking, governance scandal early warning, maximize
 transparency and performance.
*Cost, Profit, Risks, Market Shares as goal, mission, performance oriented  strategic (board members, senior executive , risk manager, auditing team) and execution ( junior executives, risk staff ) OSA teams tracking daily corporate performance and risks, maximize risk adjusted return
* Global/Asian equities, bond, oil, metals, commodity futures, derivatives prices, assets and mortgage backed securitization asset prices simulation, forecast, structural finance risks hedging OSA. minimize  Basel II  market risks.
* Risks OSA forecast
, early warning, tracking, forecasts daily Basel II three pillars risk management requirement, minimize  capital adequacy  requirement in daily risks monitoring, reporting, measurement.
cost:  Dr. Huang San Francisco rt air fare, local hotel, lecture fee.

OSA   banking, finance, corporate,  investors capitalize opportunities in crisis, maximize global market shares, avoided     
              trillion dollar  Basel II  credit, market, operational risks achieve sustainable profit growth   
 www.osawh.com About OSA   Products & Services Workshops   VIP/Corporate membership 
  20 yrs daily global  market tracking  Capital Market  Banking   e-Business   e-Government  Monetary Policy Asset Bubble   Biotech/Healthcare  EMBA/CEO  Basel II Risk control  Business Process Outsourcing  Strategic Alliance OSA  Strategic Sourcing  Strategic E-Procurement  Supply chain optimization  Marketing/Sales Strategy  Integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /Logistics     
China Strategy: China government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics strategy :Monetary economic, fiscal policy impact on macroeconomic control, Capital Markets 
Bubble Simulation, early warning systems
 Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO   China ADR   China mutual fund/ commodity/ bond  Hong Kong H  Red Chips  NPL Asset Management   QFII/QDII strategy  Supply Chain Logistics   Housing Bubble  Basel II Risk control  4PL Logistics de-bottleneck  Integration   corporate governance banking finance reform China Business Strategy

China RMB pegging policy: China made smart move to switch its pegging to dollar to unspecified basket of currency, adopt graduate, rational, controllable floating flexibility, initially appreciate 2 % against the dollar to 8.11 to avoid US government and financial market hot money speculation pressure

China Energy Policy , Strategy, investment risks, return to 2010 : Don't Miss This Workshop Opportunities in China/ global coal, oil, gas, LNG, LPG , gasoline, fuel oil, petrochemicals, freight, power industry demand, prices, profit margin, investment risks forecast , Speaker Dr. Warren Huang accurately predicted on his Beijing Feb 23-25 workshop, keynote speeche, lectures that oil price will rise to 55 in March.  it did soared to 55.2 on March 3.
OSA will offer memberships services and strategic investment, supply chain workshops for China/global multinational
banking, finance, oil, gas companies executives. Thousands proactive, structural dynamic strategic simulators providing 
US/China energy policy,  macro-economic control impact on daily oil, gas, LNG, LPG, petrochemical feedstock, 
downstream plastics, fibers import, export, domestic contract, cash prices,  power rate market forces mechanism, corporate profit margin, stock
prices, M/A pre/post performance optimization simulation forecast   risk management workshop (Bring your problems to the workshop, take home trillion/billion dollar 
solutions ready to implement)  reserve by osawhh@sina.com.cn , wh3928@yahoo.com 
 Despite China January inflation slowdown to 1.9 %, It still facing over heated housing, auto and fixed business  investment and consumer demand, pushing up oil, commodity, metal prices to new high and inflation to 3.0 % .
China macroeconomic control continue well into this year, restraining power rate hike to 0.01 RMB only to industrial
users, while kept fertilizer and consumer rate unchanged to keep inflation under control. while coal prices already up 50 % 2004, will follow oil prices up another 10 % this year.
Natural gas, LNG, LPG prices will all follow crude oil prices up minimum 10 % this year.
Breakthrough Innovation in global market economy demand, prices market forces mechanism simulation forecasts of global central bank monetary policy, macroeconomic control,  impact on economy, finance, capital market  market forces asset prices mechanism simulation, forecasts by thousands Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation month ahead of last 20 years  emerging global finance, capital  stock, oil, gas, commodities futures market  bull/bear trend US, China rate hike, asset bubble impact on global coal, Oil, Gas, petrochemicals, and freight, downstream power industry Demand, Futures Prices, Derivatives , corporate profit margin, stock prices and associated asset bubble burst risks with 2005  forecasts, Join Dr. Warren Huang's Beijin  pre-conference workshop or his post conference in-house workshop, get  first hand information and OSA  proactive models simulation methodology and forecasts, will  use www.osawh.com and www.osawh.com/riskm.html, and oil, gas prices market forces mechanism simulation  forecast : www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.html  and  www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html  materials as lectures contents  *( presented to 24 global central banks, financial risk management conferences and visited by millions global central banks, retail, investment banking, finance, 1600 multinationals oil, gas CEO, executives from 78 countries and lectures China, Taiwan, US 15 cities ( Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Taipei, San Francisco ) 30 million TV, radio investors, fund managers, hundreds banking, securities, insurance companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, risks, supply chain procurement, marketing managers since 1985, published thousands Chinese articles 100 million copies on China, Taiwan, US newspapers, investment, economic, finance journals.
Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop
Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  coal, energy , freight, power industry solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock costs  and bottleneck
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum
 
www.abf-asia.com/project/1733cc_PTIT.pdf   China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices market forces mechanism and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on global coal,  oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream petrochemicals, power industry demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China coal, oil, gas, LNG , petrochemicals, freight, power industry prices market forces mechanism forecasts, project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop

 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis, supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by osawhh@sina.com
 :

Strategic Asian Trade Finance
China become the growth engine since China joined WTO, enjoyed 60 billion Foreign
direct investment , mostly from Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore.
2003- 2004  China GDP exceeds 9.5 %, with 30 % growth in fixed investment ( mostly from manufacturing and housing) 13 % growth in retail sales, 35 % growth in import.
Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, India enjoyed 50 % growth, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia export to China enjoyed 30 %  , pulling Asian countries  of recession.

Asian stocks following US stocks speculating year end and January  rally, making new high, with Dow broke 10700 , Nasdaq 2150 were overheated, economic will facing slowdown, as US housing start plunged 13 %, consumer, business spending will peaking out in November.

Dr. Huang predicted last week that Nymex crude oil prices rebound from 40 to 46.5 due to cold US weather and falling heating oil inventory
US heading for soaring current account deficit to 177 billion  in the current quarter due to soaring business, consumer spending  and oil prices, dollar depreciation.
However, Asian currencies are overpriced, will facing soaring oil price and shrinking surplus.

Dr. Warren Huang's two master hands controlling global and China, Asian last  25 years ( including Asian Financial crisis) macro economy, daily capital market asset prices, 20 industrial sectors commodity, raw material, 5000 products daily demand, import, export prices support Asian investment, supply chain logistics, import/export trade strategy
accurately predicted 94-96 and current China macroeconomic control, credit tightening, rate hike, will drag China
and Asian, US export/ import slowdown next year.
Strategic China Energy trade Finance conference and Strategic Risks Management workshop

Do not miss these billion dollar  global strategic  energy solution in fighting soaring energy, feedstock costs
Dr. Warren Huang will share with you his 30 years  hundreds multinational , SOE oils, gas energy financing project managers and consulting experiences in his  key note speech  and workshop for Asian Business Forum
  China oil, gas, LNG, LPG conference Feb 24-25, 2005, Beijin on
A. China Economic , energy policy reform, rates hike   impact on  oil, gas demand, prices and gas industry structures
B. Challenges, Opportunities, Risks, return in US/ China macroeconomic control impact on oil, natural gas, LNG, LPG and downstream demand, futures prices market forces mechanism and investments  risk adjusted return
C. Global / China oil, gas, LNG  Project financing operation, markets, credit, policy risks management, early warning systems  workshop

 including the causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of China/global energy crisis,supply bottleneck and policy, manufacturing energy conservation, de-bottlenecking 
or  reserve your full day in-house lectures and workshop by  osawhh@sina.com


Announcement  :OSA  country web pages assistant editor and marketing opportunities 
OSA will expand 40 countries web pages content in local language and English domain  in 2005, looking for

A. Assistant editors for all areas, current college student of all majors, interested to be training by our e-Learning mission
 impossible, develop  your country information knowledge base, web contents
, you will be co-author with Dr. Huang to present your results in local , international conferences, for future graduate  scholarship, job applica
tion credit references

B. Marketing agent: Local country web pages design,  domain, boosting traffic and workshops marketing, some experience required   
C. Strategic alliance partner, profit sharing partner
      Contact 
osawhh@sina.com   in  Chinese  wh3928@yahoo.com  in English:
China Macroeconomic control tracking, forecasts: China started second phase credit tightening, rate hike series begin.
China finally raised prime rate by 0.27, to cool off the asset bubble, with structural rate hike, floating loan upper limit from  5.6- 12.5 %, Oct. 28, 2004, accurately  predicted by  Dr. Huang last Nov. 2003 in Euro-events Singapore, Shanghai, Beijing, Asian/China finance, capital market conference and May 8, 15, 2004 to San Francisco Silicon Valley Finance radio and Global Finance Forum, Hi tech investment seminar, Silicon Valley and on this website, visited by million global central banks, banking, finance, corporate executives.
Global central banks ignoring Dr. Huang's warning on this website and global conferences, underestimated global economic recovery resulted inflation, demand for housing, manufacturing, auto pushed oil, metal prices to new high and rising cost, prices to 5000 upstream /downstream raw materials, products resulted US Fed raising rate , too little, too late, China delaying  rate hike to effectively cut market demand led to China Sept.  CPI inflation up 5.2 % again and third quarter GDP growth still at 9.1 % due to increasing   business ( up 28 %)and consumer demand up 14 % ,will facing soaring inflation  from current 5.3 % to 6.6 % in winter peaking holiday demand season .   Despite  China Peoples Bank raised deposit ratio by 1.5 % and cutting capital investment in steel, cement, aluminum, auto loan lead to  some progress macroeconomic control with Sept. money supply growth at 13.6 % (below 17 % target), auto sales up only  10 %, asset prices, inflation  followed soaring oil price to 55,  all time high metal prices   coastal cities Beijin, Shanghai GDP up 14 %) from year ago, wealth effect, FDI drive Aug national  housing prices up 14.8 % ( 2750 ) and 28 %for coastal cities Shanghai, Ninbo, Sept.  retail sale up 13.2, China  third quarter GDP up 9.1 % far above 7 % target, medium, long term loan up 28.4  % repeat 1994, call the need for interest rate hike   to cool off the consumer and housing demand in winter holiday peak season .
 soaring China steel, cement, aluminum investment (over 120 %), coal, energy shortage,  stocks prices recent rebound from 1250  to 1470 speculating over Premier's statement over stock market stability is overheated ( accurately predicted by Dr. Huang on this website and already retreat to 1300)) market is over, continue bear market technical rebound ( within 20 %  and consolidation, with Shanghai A testing 1250- 1500, IPO and newly listed small cap shares plunge 30-50 % with most testing its IPO price, low prices blue chips shares like Sinopec, Unicom will lead future rebound 20  %. , This supply side tightening are insufficient to cool  the uneven economic overheating,  as China raised key interest rate by 0.27 % and  implement  structural  rate hikes in late Oct. as predicted by Dr. Huang to cut off excessive consumer , business demand in housing, construction materials, auto and retails  demand . to cool off soaring housing and metals prices,  and  serious energy , electricity , coal shortage, and transportation, communication bottleneck. 
China benefited by lower food price, Nov CPI drop to 2.8 %  from Oct. 5.2 %, however rising heating oil, gas and feedstock price, falling dollar will push US and global inflation to new high in the winter heating demand.
China  hopefully achieve soft landing in the second half . 2005, as China Peoples Bank will cut money supply growth below 10 % and GDP below 8 %. and fixed investment growth below 10 %  He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news, Wangguo,  Kuotai  securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium

Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts, CEO  ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts

China Business Strategy, investment banking, merger/acquisition performance simulation, investment strategy March 15, 2004
Global PC fail to upgrade, integrate OSA strategic simulators to increase up to 1000 % PC value, facing sharp competition.
IBM PC facing deep loss, HP  PC division only enjoy 1 % profit margin drag HP corporate profit
margin to 3.5 %, Acer chage management to achieve sustainable profit growth only enjoy 3 % profit margin, Dell direct marketing, cost reduction enjoy 7 % margin, will all facing Lenovo merger IBM PC division price cutting pressure.

China's PC king Lenovo following Dr. Huang's recommendation in 1989-1990 to China Fudan, Tsinghwa, Zechiang , Dalian, Hwu-zhon science and tech university school of management and computer science executives training workshops and keynote speech to state department and SINOPEC sponsored international conference consulting , recommended upstream/downstream integration, globalization, bought US IBM   10 billion sales Think Pad PC   for 1.75 billion, to become No. 3 PC maker, following HP and DELL,  will boost Lenovo profit margin and global market shares, upgrade its technical and management  skill, while IBM will improve its China
but still needed  R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added value approach integrating OSA strategic  investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can survive competition,  helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit, market shares growth
.,
marketing potential for other divisional  products ( Main frame, server, and corporate computing.), will put pressure Acer, HP and Dell for more price cutting, competitions. Only Dr. Warren Huang 30 years US multinational, Taiwan, China, US government, banking, finance, SOE , SME  develop, implementation, consulting , recommended upstream/downstream integration, globalization, R&D , technical, marketing innovation for high added value approach integrating OSA strategic  investment, supply chain logistics simulators adding up to 1000 % value, can survive competition,  helped hundreds US, Taiwan, China, Asian government, multinational, SOE, SME , banking finance achieve sustaining profit, market shares growth
.
Taiwan's Acer chairman Shi following upstream/downstream , globalization, diversification strategy , created own Acer brand, surviving various downstream, however, fail to diversify into  OSA strategic high value added strategic software and consulting service will facing tough fight after Lenovo merger after Shi's retirement.
Taiwan's PVC king Formosa Plastics Chairman Y C Wang benefited by global housing, auto asst bubble boom achieved 31 % profit margin, by following   Dr. Huang Taiwan petrochemical industry business models and strategy recommendation ( as government, industry consultant in 1972- 85 to Taiwan
government economic affair and petrochemical industry associations on petrochemical development, upgrade strategy for integrating PVC upstream/downstream, diversification into fibers, engineering plastics related business and globalization ( US, Asian, China) and continuing tracking achieve the causes for all cost reduction.,
However, still needed to work harder on technical, marketing, management R & D innovation for high value added
products for fighting future economic downturn
( published 20 English articles in US Oil & Gas Journal, Hydrocarbon Processing, advanced control, information system

handbook 1980- 2003, 3 million copies circulating to 78 countries and thousands Chinese articles
on China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, economic, finance, securities, management journal, 100 million copies since 1983.,invited as keynote speaker to 100 China, Taiwan, US, Canada, European 46 countries government, central bank governors, financial risk management, productivity management conference, since 1980
offered thousands executives workshops to top Taiwan, China, US government officials, senior executives, banking, finance, SOE, SME< multinational CEO, CFO, senior executives and 15 cities TV, radio, 30 million managers, investors
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters managers since 1983.


European  Strategy Leadership Breakthrough: EU  25 countries ECM monetary policy Economy/Capital Markets, East-Western European Convergence, banking, finance, economy integration, growth, prices stability  simulation, forecast,  
Bubble, Crisis Simulation, Basel II Risks early warning  :
 Shanghai/Shenzhen A/B/IPO    EU  ADR   China mutual fund/ commodity/ bond  Hong Kong H  Red Chips  NPL Asset Management   QFII/QDII strategy  Supply Chain Logistics   Housing Bubble  Basel II Risk control 
US Strategy US government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics  strategy Economy/Capital Markets Asset Prices, Bubble Simulation, early warning systems :
Wall Street Research  US hot stocks Global ADR  US banks-finance Oil/Gas/Pet  Info-100  Silicon -100  Weekend Edition   IPO pricing  profit early warning Beat stock indice future  Beat Forex Currency futures Commodity Futures Oil/energy futures  Gold/metal futures  Housing Bubble Basel II credit risks  market risks
operational risks control

Taiwan Strategy: Taiwan government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics strategy :Monetary economic, fiscal policy WTO  impact on macroeconomic control, Capital Markets 
Bubble crisis Simulation, early warning systems
Taiwan capital markets  Taiwan ADR   Cross strait China investment  China mutual fund/ commodity/ bond  Hong Kong H  Red Chips  NPL Asset Management   QFII/QDII strategy  Supply Chain Logistics   Housing Bubble  Basel II Risk control  4PL Logistics debottleneck  Integration  
Asian Pacific Strategy : Asian Pacific government, business, banking, finance investment, supply chain logistics Economy/Capital Markets
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The only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global economic, financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion dollar market loss due to current probabilistic models based capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ), presented to US, European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth  management conference
By

Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of two master hands OSA
, website: www.osawh.com  email
: whuang3928@aol.com / osawhh@citiz.net     Global Strategic solution Workshops : 
20 English articles, US patents, millions copies published by US Hydrocarbon Processing,
advanced control-information system handbook 1991-2003 and Oil & Gas Journals circulation to 80 countries :Manufacturing Process  Operations Improvement and Power plant  integrated Strategic SRM/ERP/SCM/CRM /Logistics  Operations Improvement for cost/quality performances: de-bottleneck, waste/energy minimization, maximize top grade products, yields, minimize off grade loss, power blackout
In-depth OSA for your suppliers, your manufacturing supply chain, marketing competitive pricing process,, your customers, end-users and your competitors and optimizing your value chain in fighting uncertain, unpredictable  futures.
oil/gas     petrochemical fibers/  plastics   pulp/paper     IT upstream/downstream  Power Plant Optimization


OSA China Macro Economic Control, Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation/Forecasts, predictive decision tools maximize your China investment, stay ahead in emerging market trend, competitive intelligence advantage--
Predicted  3 months ahead last 20 years global currency, financial crisis 1994-96 and current China macro-economic control, soft-landing, 2000 US IT bubble bursts, 2001 recession and rate cut, current rate hikes...
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 Dr. Warren Huang CV  accurately predicted  Nov. 5, 2003 in Singapore ,Shanghai Euroevents conferences , and this website that US Oil, commodity prices reaching 23 year high, inflation up 5 % in May 2004  job creation, productivity, profit growth peaking out  in the second quarter 2004 Fed June 0.25 % rate hike China credit tightening, follow US rate hike in summer 2004, China macroeconomic control repeat 1994 will achieve soft landing Apr. 2005, Global bull markets are over, facing sharp competition, price cutting, entering bear market consolidation.
 He also predicted  Oct. 1994 to China Wuhan securities news,  Wangguo,  Kuotai  securities investors, Beijin  China Financial Times, China macroeconomic control will be soft-landing 1996, Shanghai A will be traded  between 600- 800 during 1994- 1996 He recommended that China stocks will be very attractive to QFII in the new Millennium

Global central banks, economist, financial market , industrial sectors analysts ignoring ,Dr. Huang photo  warning to ECB, JP Morgan in Rome, China Peoples Bank governor Dai central bank governors conference in Macao, Taiwan central bank governor Asian Pacific conference Taipei, APEC finance Thailand prime minister, ASEAN central bank governors conferences in Bangkok, US Fed  governors , Washington Area, NASD finance conferences 1998-2000 on  IT asset bubble bursts
and again  to Euro-events Singapore  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops warning
China and US economic slowdown will drag global economic growth, stocks facing consolidation.

He lectures Nov. 2003 lectured to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China finance, capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify housing, equities wealth effect bubbles   month ahead, investment opportunities in China petrochemical upstream/downstream, steel, aluminum, telecommunications ADR , Shanghai A and Hong Kong H shares, mutual fund up 80 %  IPO shares up 150 % and early warning for asset bubbles in oil, commodities prices reaching 23  year peak( recommended invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %) in March 2004, will drive China CPI to 5 %, with steel, cement over-invested 170 % and energy shortage will lead to further credit tightening, accurately predicted China Peoples bank raise bank reserve ratio 0.5 % to 7.5 % open market inter-bank rate (Chibor)must stay above 3.% to remove 110 billion from the capital markets, 
 

US macroeconomic, inflation control  tracking, forecasts: Dr. Huang spoke to Euro-events Singapore , Shanghai, Beijin Nov.  2003  Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences lecture to 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers and  China Economist annual meeting Dec. 20 and www.osawh.com  website and thousands workshops  warning  US, global analysts over optimistic  over the business and consumer spending twin growth engine will drive second half 2004 economic recovery, profit growth, bull market rally, job creation , under- estimated on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts , 45 trillion dollar  housing, equities wealth effect resulted excessive consumer, business demand, NAPM peaking out at 66 ( already plunged to 58 as predicted ) driving soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high in March and Aug.  2004  US trade deficit soared to 55 billion and inflation, facing credit tightening, rate hikes after May, Aug. 2004, profit , productivity growth , consumer confidence( already plunged to 98 from 106 as predicted) , business spending,  peaking out, facing  squeeze in  second half  2004, Job creation peaking out at March 370,000,  May 230,000, June 80,000, July only 32,000 , despite Aug 112,000, stock prices peaking out in the second quarter,
China and US, Global stocks bull markets are over, entering bear market consolidation.   US High tech, finance, housing, retails, auto share will give up  all its 2004 gain plunge  30-50 % and  trillion dollar loss in bond and stock markets repeating 1995 and 2000  and trillion dollar profits in oil, commodity futures investments
US inflation rate at  3.2 % in July, with business  spending up 10 %, consumer confidence above 106 ISM at 66 are inflationary, facing inventory built up,  oil,
soared to 50  new high, will drive up 20 sectors 5000 products costs and prices, more rate hikes are on its way to cool off the economy. ( despite July wholesale price only up 0.1 %
Goal :
Predicting the unpredictable futures and stay month ahead of US and global  emerging economic, financial market price movement , customer demand trend,  crisis, supporting global government, banking, finance, corporate  reform, change management  strategic investment, value added marketing, competitive pricing, supply chain logistics decisions  in  global crisis simulation, risks management avoided trillion dollar market loss, NPL loan, save billon dollar supply chain costs in maximize sustainable profits, global customer value, and competitive advantage ,market shares corporate, personal dream come true        
Mission :
Setting up US cost, quality, profit, customer value, market share, risk as goal, mission, performance oriented multidisciplinary global strategic, execution OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis ) teams (business units) , to develop implement  and training millions US/global strategic decision OSA simulators supporting global government, banking, finance, corporate CEO, CFO, CIO, executives investors, customers , competitors in global strategic investment, supply chain logistics cost  reduction, maximize customer value  decision analysis  predicting government , economic, monetary policy WTO impact on economic, business cycles,  20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, daily capital markets asset prices, bubble early warning: interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity properties, nonperformance loan provide  early warning to avoid corporate scandal internal auditing, global financial, energy crisis resulted trillion dollar market loss and save billion dollar supply chain costs
shown on this website the  most reliable  global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts 

Hundred thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary model simulators
first time 
 
CLick for Sample OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy on daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index
have been developed, implemented supporting the following  goal, mission, performance oriented  outsourcing strategic centers corporate/ memberships/ workshops   tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises  board members, think tank and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
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Globalization, integration strategic competitive intelligence decision analysis support centers:
Supporting daily  40 global central banks monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact simulation,  achieving economic growth and  financial markets prices stability predictive control, asset prices simulation, risk   management , corporate investment, supply chain, CRM , competitors integration strategy. integrate domestic  economy and financial   markets into global economy, markets and trade. It also integrate corporate domestic supplier into global  downstream customers, end users, competitors investment, supply chain, credit risk, nonperformance  loan early warning
Strategic China Out-Sourcing Centers for China/Global Banking, Financial, corporate Investment, supply chain logistics decision support:
China, global government, banking, capital markets asset prices, industrial sectors demand, prices, performance , equities  research, business investment Merger/acquisition, IPO, MBO,  supply chain logistics, global trade Operations Simulation Analysis Strategic centers, integrating China operations into your corporate headquarters daily decision supported, goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, execution OSA teams units , provide internal and external cost, financial accounting audit, avoided accounting scandals and trillion dollar market loss, saving billion dollar supply chain costs
China/Global leadership breakthrough, strategic products, markets, service innovation decisions Operations Simulation Analysis, sustainable profit optimization CEO/ CFO/CFA executives on the job training, problem solving in-house workshops

China e- Government Strategy Bilateral, multilateral simulation of US, greater China and global  policy interactions:
A. US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan, S. Korea  central banks, monetary, economic, fiscal policy , WTO bilateral, multilateral interaction  impact on macro-economy, financial markets industrial products demand, prices, properties, asset bubble , trade  simulations
B. China/Global government economic reform restructuring, productivity improvement, high tech/ VC program
C. China/Global WTO trade and competitive pricing, market share strategic simulation.
D. What, Why, How, timing of China/Global government strategic Petroleum, Commodity Reserve procurement, supply chain strategy saves billion dollar costs and avoided trillion dollar market loss, crisis.

China  Banking, Finance Strategy: China /Global Banking, Finance Reform, e-Finance/e-invest/e-risks for Banking, Finance,  Business
A. China/global Strategic banking reform, nonperformance debt, equities, properties asset  management Tracking, simulating, forecasts the c
auses, onset, recovery of debt, equities,   properties asset pricing, credit risk simulation and maximize return, investment, recovery in securitization, syndicated loan
B. Maximize China/global Strategic Banking Performance Basel II market, credit, operational, interest rate Risk adjusted return Simulation Center :Tracking, simulation, forecasts of Monetary policy, economic, business, product cycles impact on interest rate spread,, consumer, business  credit demand, quality, defaults, return on