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Proactive  two master hands Optimal  monetary, policy, macro  economic control and , industrial economic asset prices control simulation
of  How  China's  Greenspan implementing monetary policy macroeconomic control and industrial economic housing bubble planning  achieve sustainable growth , deflate the bubble, avoided financial crisis
     

presented to China People's governor and Asian, US, ECB central bank governors policy conferences 1999- 2005    By Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of OSA global strategic management

US Fed Greenspan and Bernanke has been following 30 year old monetary policy, rely heavily on using interest rate as instrument to manage macroeconomic control- growth and prices stability, fail to identify the industrial sectors  asset supply, demand, prices bubble, leading to last 20 years asset bubble burst, 13 rate cut to recovery the IT asset bubble burst, Nasdaq plunged 80 % from 5100 to 1100, while making 15 rate hikes, in 2 years, with money supply growth stay at 8 %, long term mortgage and only up 1 % , inflation back to 4 %, , without industrial control,  still feeding the  housing bubble,, construction material, metals, oil prices  making new high . 
China's Greenspan ex-premier and Peoples bank governor Zhu Rongyi raised interest 25 % in 1994  to cut money supply growth from 33 % to 15 % in 3 years, cut inflation from 35 % to 6 %, achieved soft-landing GDP growth of 7 %, rate back to 10 %, stock market entering bull market in 1996 and achieved state enterprises reform.
While the current Greenspan: China Peoples Bank governor Zhou Xiao zhuan monetary policy supported by Premier Wen Gia-Bao with 5 year housing, auto, construction material control economic policy two master hands cut metal, auto, housing demand, prices from 150 % to 15 %, cut money supply growth from 2004's 24 % to 15 %, cut inflation form 6 % to 1.2 % in 2005, switch from dollar pegging to basket of money, avoided drastic appreciation resulted currency crisis
All tracked, simulated, forecasted by Dr. Warren Huang pioneering work of two mater hands controlling inflation and asset bubbles  only and most reliable structural dynamic deterministic decision simulators tracking, forecasts months ahead last 20 years global monetary, economic policy impact on macroeconomic control and industrial economic, financial crisis, asset bubble, and daily capital market asset prices avoided trillion dollar market loss 20 industrial sectors supply demand, asset prices mechanism  tracking, forecasts how China peoples bank implementing macro and industrial economic control two master hands effectively deflating the bubbles. ,presented to 24 US, European, China, Taiwan , Asian central bank governors, financial risks and wealth  management, derivatives prices hedging conferences
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due to current probabilistic models based capital market asset prices and risks models ( CAPM ),

  Whuang3928@aol.com   osawhh@citiz.net  Fax : 1-510-524-4484(  San Francisco, USA)

 Bernanke   overoptimistic over US inflation, it will not in check with one rate hike, as last 15 measured rate hikes mislead the markets, underestimated the oil prices impact on inflation and encouraged wealth effect resulted speculation in housing and construction, soaring consumer confidence, demand ( 5 %), business demand at 15 %, money supply growth at 8 %, with 53 trillion wealth effect, drive materials bubbles in oil and natural resources making new high in the summer. Dr. Warren Huang predicted to Asian Business Forum's multinational oil, banking CEO, executives in Beijin Nov. 2005 that oil prices will soar to 69, metal prices to new high in January, US will raise rates throughout  summer 2006.  Oil prices did challenges 69 twice  in January and metals prices making new high follows by commodities prices. Gas and electricity cost up 40 % will be soared to 82 in summer, gasoline futures to 265,  metals , commodity continue making new high , drive  CPI to 4.3 % in March and  higher in the month ahead. US  Fed fund rate 10 yr. bond yield will go to 5.5 %, stocks, bond facing correction ahead.Due to current Capital Market Asset Prices Models (CAPM ) based on statistical probability expected return estimate and risk premium fail to predict dynamic market forces impact on asset prices, which lead to global central banks, economist, financial and industrial market analysts over-optimistic over yearend and 2005 US job creation, consumer, business demand, global economic growth and IT  demand, ignoring Dr. Warren Huang  structural dynamic capital markets asset  demand, prices market forces mechanism accurately predicts month ahead last 20 years global capital markets asset prices in financial crisis,  He warned to 24 global central banks governors conferences 1999 on  IT asset bubble bursts and again to Singapore, Shanghai Euro-events s Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/   photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture  2lectures on Asian/China Finance, Capital Market Conferences, Nov. 2003 to 2000 Asian central banks, QFII, banking,  fund managers,  and www.osawh.com website and thousands workshops underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer housing, auto, business demand, soaring oil, commodities, metals asset prices bubble reaching 23 year high ( are not transitory and inflation. facing credit tightening, rate hikes, repeating 2000, doing too little too late again
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Global Rate Hikes Impact , Asset Prices, Bubble Simulation, Early Warning OSA strategic investment/supply chain, Basel II risk control  workshops

 Shanghai  Sept. 14-18,  Taipei  Sept 21- 23, Singapore Sept 25-27, Kuala Lumpur Sept 29-30 ,     email   osawhh@citiz.net  for in-house workshops reservation

 (covered thousands lectures, 46 countries capital cities 30 million government, banking,  finance corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, senior executives  investors since 1983  by  80 )

 Speaker, Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global leader, scholar in Global Strategic Investment , Risks Management
Pioneer, two maaster hands controlling global economy, capital market asset prices, crisis, bubble early warning

 The causes (formation )of Asset Bubbles: Monetary policy, interest rate, currency impact on asset prices
Thousands structural dynamic deterministic CAPM simulators tracking, simulate excessive monetary, economic, fiscal policy
( interest rate and tax cuts) and WTO trade policy,  DFI hot money, stimulate excessive consumer, business demand resulted last 20 year global soaring asset demand, prices  and equities, properties wealth effect (increased spending, demand due to unrealized asset value gain) led to  fictitious demand,  over capacity, inventory, investment , debt )and excessive US dollar depreciation (50 % again EURO) led to   soaring oil, commodities , asset  prices bubbles ( equities and housing prices doubled) resulted asset ( properties, equities wealth effect, energy, IT , auto, steel) upward price spiral, inflationary pressure and associated financial accounting misreporting scandals.

 Asset Bubbles Bursts: US housing wealth tripled  50 15 trillion since 1996, the bubble inflated by excessive rate and tax cuts will leading to bubble burst next year , if without series rate hike to deflate the bubble before then.
US currency depreciation further feeding the raw material, commodities price bubble ( like current situation, oil, metal, cotton, soybean futures prices doubled, Chicago commodities index reaching 19 year high of 270) commodities and inflation, forcing central banks tightening credits ( Dr. Warren Huang accurately predicted on Nov. 5, 2003 Euro-events Asian Finance, Capital Market conference that US Fed will have to raise interest  rate hike before May 2004 cut assets demand and prices, excessive business, consumer credit default ( Greenspan announced Jan 2004 warned about asset bubbles and need for rate hike
Dr. Huang accurately predicted Nov. 1998 in Rome ECB conference on post EURO banking, finance integration strategy and May 1999 China central bank governor Asian central banks governors conference that Oil and IT bubble burst  will led US Fed to series rate hike June , 1999  resulted billion dollars inventory costs and corporate profit, stock prices plunge 50- 90 %,  massive job cuts, led to asset bubble burst, trillion dollar equities, properties market loss, NPL loan and wealth loss.
Post Bubble recovery : central banks rate cuts, increased money  market money injection, public construction, tax cuts, investment credit to stimulate consumer, business spending, and creating job,  generating properties, equities wealth effect to increase fictitious demand
Asset bubbles and corporate scandals early warning OSA: Dr. Warren Huang pioneering two master hands controlling, forecasts 3 to 6 months ahead  the causes, onset, burst, recovery , early warning of last 20 years  global economy, capital market asset bubble, prices, wealth effect by thousands structural, dynamics simulator tracking , forecasts accurately the causes, formation, inflation, deflation, burst, recovery of last 20 years US, European, China, Taiwan, Asian asset ( properties, equities wealth effect, energy, IT )bubbles and early warning for Asset  wealth effect bubble burst resulted trillion dollar market loss, Nonperformance Debt, Equities, Properties Operations Simulations Analysis, Default  Risks Simulation, Prevention, Corporate Governance Accounting Scandals  Early Warning 

Operations Simulation Analysis of monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global economy, capital markets asset prices, bubbles, early warning, tracking the causes, onset, recovery, early warning of asset bubbles  presented to 24 global central bank governors, financial risks management, OPEC Petroleum Ministers conferences since 1988
20 years daily global capital markets, asset prices, wealth management bubble early warning  workshops tracking

Book Dr. Warren Huang's  China/US credit tightening impact on global recovery, capital market asset prices, risk  hedging 2004 second half  global investment strategy workshops (  June Taipei, Shanghai, Beijin, Hong Kong tour )getting ahead of the emerging trend, capitalize on China , US rate hike impact on global economy and capital markets, while minimize credit, markets, operational risks.osawhh@citiz.net

Dr. Warren Huang lectured 
San Francisco Nexusdirect.net Huaxin securities Silicon Valley investors
workshop on China/US rate hike, soaring oil prices impact on 2004 second half global asset allocation, investment strategy, May 15, 2004 at World Journal daily news center, predicted, recommended  accurately buy China Unicom, CNOOC ADR shares and US Silicon Valley high tech, biotech, as Nasdaq plunge below 1875, The Nasdaq did plunged to 1865 May 17, Monday, investors bought these share at their bottom, enjoyed 20  % profit .  

======Dr. Warren Huang  North American China-US  TV radio interview, investment seminar Lecture =====
Dr. Huang had half hour interview by Silicon Valley Financial TV, Radio station to speak on China/US credit tightening impact on economy and high tech/biotech corporate performance, stock prices, Global ADR asset allocation and risk management. accurately predicted Dow broke 10,000, Nasdaq broke 1900 to 1850, recommended to buy CHina ADR, US high tech share completed 30- 50 % correction, downgrade India high tech share. US Nasdaq plunged to 1875, May 10, India stocks plunged 12 % May 17
Global Chinese Finance Forum San Francisco Silicon Valley High Tech/Biotech Investment Seminar 2004
An excellent opportunity to meet with Dr. Warren Huang to discuss Ą§Market Trend and Outlook for Chinese Theme Stocks in USĄ¨ and CEOs from five growing public companies to learn their current projects and growth potentials.

Date:
May 8, 2004 (Saturday)        Time: 9:30-3:10pm  Venue: Crown Plaza Hotel, 777 Bellew Drive, Milpitas Format: Presentation in Chinese and English, Booths, Q&A, Lunch
 

Registration and Information: Please visit www.GCFF.net 

=China stocks, bond, commodity, metals, mutual fund investment strategy, bubbles warning workshops== , reserve  osawhh@citiz.net 
When you have Dr. Huang's two OSA master hands you are in good hands
for global central banks macro-economic control , prices stability and capital market prices simulation, forecasts , value investing strategy, wealth management,  risk hedging  That's what he has been lecture to 24 global central bank governors, wealth management, financial market risk management conferences and millions global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, executives on this website  since 1998 ,  over 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US , ASEAN, Europ- ean executives, investors on TV, radio programs and thousands workshops since 1985 and again in 2003 to Euro-events Singapore
http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/  with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt  , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences,  www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003 he was excellently received  picture  2  and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. over 2000 QFII/QDII executives, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A shares and early warning for asset bubbles in commodities prices reaching 19 year peak, will drive US CPI to 2.6 %, core inflation to 1.7 % in the summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook  serious housing bubble will lead to rate hike, despite high unemployment in the election year and global IT and blue chips banking shares  facing and correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq  1900- 2090 , Taiwan index  6000- 7000, Henseng 12500- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 11500, China credit tightening continue. Shanghai A 1600- 1750, Shenzhen 3500- 4100, Euro : 1.18- 1.29 , Yen 105- 112
 
==Global Capital Market Asset Bubble, Prices, Wealth Effect Mechanism Operations Simulation Analysis Models =

======== Special Strategic
 Wealth Management conference/workshops Announcement =================== Strategic Wealth Management Pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will offer keynote speech and half day workshop for Wealth Management Conference: March. 23-35, 2004, Grand Hyatt, Singapore. He will speak on Global strategic wealth management , asset allocation, and risk hedging , asset prices, wealth effect bubble early warning, introducing thousands strategic investment simulators predicted 3 month ahead  on global financial crisis, asset, wealth bubble burst, avoided trillion dollar market, wealth loss for 30 million China, Taiwan, Asian, US, European investors since 1985
He will offer in-house strategic wealth management workshops for Beijin, Shanghai, Hong, Kong, Taipei, Singapore QFII, QDII, VIP investors, traders , banking, insurance CEO, executives during Feb- March
reserve by osawhh@citiz.net  /wh3928@yahoo.com
first time  shown on this website the  most reliable  global stock indices , currency OSA simulation charts 
OSA Simulation Charts tracking forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy on last 20 years daily
A. Consumer spending, Fed Fund rate, Dollar exchange rate impact on Dow Jones Index
B. Japan money supply growth, Yen exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on Tokyo Nikkei index
C. EU  money supply growth, EURO exchange rate, Dow Jones impact on German DAX index
D. Hong Kong money supply growth, interbank rate, Dow Jones impact on Henseng index
have   E.  US and EURO trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on EURO exchange rate
F. US and  Japan trade deficit/surplus, interest rate spread impact on  YEN  exchange rate

Hundred thousands integrated, global  structural, dynamics, deterministic proprietary  model simulators been developed, implemented supporting the following  goal, mission, performance oriented outsourcing strategic centers corporate/ memberships/ workshops   tailored to global government, enterprises, banking, finances enterprises  board members, think tank and executives in integrating into the global markets decision needs:
presented by Dr. Warren Huang to 20 Global central bank governors conferences 1999- 2002 and Global Finance Conference on Global Corporate Governance at Peking University , May 29 2002, Beijin and Asian Finance, Business Forum, on Asset Backed Securitization conference, Kula Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002
 ========= Shanghai  Conference/in-house workshops Announcement ==============
Dr. Warren Huang will speak to Shanghai Finance and Economic University China Finance for sustainable growth Shanghai Oct. 25 on China capital market asset prices simulation, bubble early warning Monetary , economic, fiscal policy , foreign investments impact on China  capital market  industrial sectors market  forces in market economy,  demand, prices mechanism, profit margin, investment return and risk management 
He will offer Shanghai  full day in house CEO/CFO financial managers  China capital market Banking, Real Estate, Construction materials  auto asset prices, bubble simulation workshops  March , 2004

====== Singapore Asia Euro-Events  Conference/in-house workshops Announcement =======

Dr. Huang will speak to Singapore Euro-Events Asian Finance and Capital Market conference Nov.5
three hundred Asian government regulation, , banking, finance , corporate CEO, CFO, executives on Monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on Asian economy and capital market asset prices, bubble, simulation, risk management

He will offer  full day in house CEO/CFO workshops in Singapore March 26-27, 2004
Other Asian countries Nov. 28- Dec 18 by reservation  osawhh@citiz.net   or  wh3928@yahoo.com
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Excessive money supply, fiscal, economic policy lead to 7 year global IT expansion resulted high tech, equities, properties excessive, fictitious demand asset prices bubble bursts, followed by interest rate hikes, plunging consumer, business demand, manufacturing oversupply, plunging profits and stock prices and trillion dollar nonperformance in Japan, China, Taiwan banking industry, Trillion dollar loss in US, global IT industry and mounting home and auto loan defaults, credit card delinquency in Hong Kong, US, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia , lead to huge write-off loss and to maintain Basle's 's capital ratio.
China Asset management is working on 430 billion , Japan is working on 430 billion bad loan, Taiwan banks write off 0.3 trillion bad loan last year and 0.2 trillion the first half this year.
Asset Management bought the bad loan working hard to recover the loan loss through auction, securitization all facing tough time in current turbulent financial markets. while the existing banking industry sold the old bad loan to asset management co or write off the old loan are facing new bad loan.
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will organize NPL asset management workshops for global banking industry offer his 30 years experience in tracking, simulate monetary, economic, fiscal policy tracking , simulate the causes, onset, recovery of these bad loan and maximize the recovery, providing the pre-warning, risk hedging to prevention future bad loan happening.
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Goal: Provide competitive  nonperformance asset bid/auction pricing to maximize asset return, price recovery at minimum asset procurement costs and default risks
Mission: Structural dynamic deterministic simulators developed out of extensive historic information knowledge base, tracking, forecast monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on macro-economy, financial market prices, debt, equities, properties  asset prices, provide good timing and competitive  aution pricing  to minimize procurement  costs, market loss, default risks, maximize asset  investment return,  sells recovery ratio,
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Dr. Huang  lectured to Peking University Global Corporate Governance May 28, 2002 , Beijin, and to  Asian Business Forum's Asset Backed Securitization Conference, Kuala Lumpur, Sept. 30, 2002   He warned that US and global stocks overheated, facing final stage bottoming correction in early 2003 to European, Asian central banks, stock exchanges, banking, securities executives o
n global trillion dollar nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties  asset prices , credit risk simulation, investment strategy and  Asset Backed Securitization workshops: predicting the unpredictable futures to  minimize bad loan ,shares buy back  procurement , investment costs and credit defaults risks  due to corporate scandal and global economic, cycle, financial crisis integration, interaction  impact on interest, currency, industrial demand, prices,  the causes, onset, history , recovery of  of nonperformance  asset bubble bursts, default maximize  investment return,  auction  resell , syndicated loan  value recovery, workshops by  thousands proprietary OSA simulation charts supporting daily financial engineering, structural  finance application to Global Capital Markets Asset Management, Credit defaults risks control on this website
He will offer   in-house Asian Economy and  Capital Market Asset Prices, Bubble Simulation,
Forecsts , investment strategy, early warning risk management  workshops in Asia   reserve :email  
wh3928@yahoo.com =======================================================================================Dr. Warren Huang accurately predicted on May 28-29, 2002 Peking University global finance conference Beijin that Dow Jones blue chips, old economy stocks, Asian, European stocks, mutual fund overheated, ready for 30 % correction. but China Shanghai A  oversold at 1450 will rebound to 1730
He demonstrated OSA simulators for tracking, simulate, forecast the root causes, onset, recovery of global nonperformance loan, credit defaults( Bubble Burst impact on ENRON, WCOM, Guanxia stock prices, credit rating and  Taiwan banks nonperformance loan, banks performance, stock prices, and Citigroup, JP Morgan nonperformance loan, stock prices simulation, Intel, CISCO, Taiwan Semiconductors P4, DRAM prices, stock prices and Japan high tech, auto, banking prices in government shares buy strategy for workshop reservation   wh3928@yahoo.com
China's Hurong Asset Management has bought 407 billion nonperformance loan debt, equities, properties asset, will be recovered by auction, securitization
www.CHAMC.com.cn
Bank of Japan just announced to buy 50 billion  dollars stocks hold by top 10 banks bad loan. to support the sagging market and banks capital requirement
S. Korea is marching on successful by Korean assent management company to securitize auto, credit loan solving banks bad  loan.        www.kamco.or.kr
Hong Kong's Mortgage Corp www.hkmc.org.hk  and Malaysia Harnahart Corp are securitize mortgage to solve bank properties loan (following US Fannie Mae )
Taiwan bad  loan account to 12 % of toal loan in properties and equites, debt. The government also have stock market  stabilization fund, operated in the past to buy high quality share at Taiwan at 5000, 4500, 3500. Hong Kong also have stabilization fund buy share at Henseng index around 7000-9000 during the Asian crisis.
However, all these measure require reliable asset pricing decision tools for the timing and investment strategy during the global market slump

These Global  Capital Markets, Nonperformance  Debt, Equities, Properties  Asset Pricing Operations Simulations Analysis, provide reliable simulation of the root, onset, recovery,  pre-warning of Default  Risks
Dr. Warren Huang's speech  to Asian Business Forum on  Asset backed securitization(ABS)  simulation, risk management strategy
What is wrong with  Wall Street and global financial market?,
Why markets crash 30 % ? Where is the bottom ?  What Wall Street need ?
How  to predict the unpredicted global financial markets
?
Two master hands controlling global capital market, asset prices, bubble bursts risks
You will find out all the answers in Dr. Warren Huang's speech prediction  on Global capital market asset prices, risk simulation in Beijin for Peking University's global finance confernce on corporate governance May 28-29,2002 and the following webpages


Lectures/Workshops for Beijin University business and finance center organized Global Finance, Corporate Governance conference  May 28,2002 and to Guanhua school of management faculty and graduates for EMBA, CFA, business, financial research center  and other in-house workshops by appointment
           Dr. Warren Huang, Founder OSA Global Investing/ Int'l Operations Analysis
                     website: www.osawh.com  email  wh3928@yahoo.com 
                      presented to Global Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation
                       9:00 AM- 10:30 AM May 28, 2002, Global Finance Conference
                     at Fragrance Hill Hotel, Beijin sponsored by Peking University
 2:00 PM-5:PM, May 29 Guanhua School of Business, Business and Finance Research Center Beijin,

                                                                       Abstract

This work is part of author's 30 years global investment strategic risk management dynamics OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) experience. Which have been developed, implemented out of last 25 years global economic and daily financial markets stable, under stress crisis , bubble bursts data. These deterministic, state variable, artificial intelligence neural net based simulators have been tracking, predicted global central bank monetary , economic, fiscal policy  impact on last 25 years global inflation, major economic indicators, interest rates, currency, stocks, (right master hand) bond, commodities futures and derivatives, housing properties old and new economy oils, IT upstream/ downstream  20 industrial demand, prices associated macro economics imbalance bubble bursts , 20  industrial sectors 5000 products supply, demand, commodity prices, old and new economy corporate earning, stock prices(left master hands), trillion dollar financial markets trading loses, properties markets nonperformance loan, defaults. Predicted the root causes, onset, recovery of 1980, 1990 energy crisis, economic recession, 1987 stock markets crash, 1992 European currency, 1997-98 Asian , Russia, South American, LTCM financial crisis and current recession and recovery, market crash Wall street , stock prices plunge , loan default risks with average error below 1.5 %,correlation constant above 0.95 (detailed can be found on www.osawh.com  
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Global Capital Market Asset Prices, Bubbles Bursts Simulation, Early Warning Application to Global Economic , capital markets outlooks, risks and return  In-House Workshops
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Ą@ ĄP A. US, Asian, European Economic Recovery, Capital Market  Asset Prices Outlook, Risks, Return
ĄP Asian/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO impact on Economic Recovery
ĄPAsian/Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy, WTO Impact Asian Capital Markets return and risks:
  Greater China, Asian/ASEAN  interest rates, Debt Capital Market  Forecasts
ĄPGreater China  Equity Capital markets prices, asset bubble, wealth management Forecasts
ĄPGreater China, Properties Markets demand, prices asset bubble, wealth management forecasts
Strategic pre/post Mergers & Acquisitions performance, stock prices, investment strategy
ĄP Assets ( Auto, credit cards ) and Mortgage Backed Asset Securitisation prices,  defaults risks simulation
ĄP Structural financial engineering,  trading operations simulation, Credit Derivatives, Hedging risks strategy
  Privatization and IPO performance, stock pricing strategy
ĄP Credit Derivatives pricing and defaults hedging
ĄP Asian, Asian countries daily  currency markets pricing mechanism, operations simulation, risks hedging
ĄP Structured Financial engineering products for risk hedging
ĄP Strategic Corporate Governance financial systems monitoring maximize profits  and  transparency
ĄP Securities, Banking, Insurance market regulation, supervision early warning system
ĄP The root causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of global financial, currency , asset bubble  and nonperformance loan crisis  early    warning for risk management  management
ĄP QFII/DFII, IPO and ADR, global equities markets listing pricing simulation, forecasts

Recent tracking results  simulation forecast of 2000 bubble burst and 2001-2003 recovery
 Dr Warren Huang, pioneer of OSA presented the following dynamics simulation results in his panel session May 28.,2002, OSA simulation charts will be demonstrated in the workshops  in-House workshops reservation by selecting your region/country and subject of interests in one to two full day workshops  wh3928@yahoo.com 
 Dr Warren Huang, pioneer of OSA presented the following dynamics simulation results in his panel session May 28.,2002, Beijin Univeristy global finance corporate governance conference and Asian Business Forum Asset Backed Securitization Conference, Kuala Lumpur Sept 30, 2002
OSA simulation charts ( if requested )will be demonstrated in  all Dr. Huang's  workshops

1.Strategic Corporate Governance Reform Accounting  Scandals Early Warning  OSA
 on hign-tech, energy , power prices bubble burst impact on earning, stock prices, credit rating and nonperformance loan
China's Guangxia (0557) and US Enron Earning, Stocks Prices bubble bursts pre-warning simulation
2. Banking Reform:  Root Causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning of global NPL loan

Monetary Policy high tech bubble burst impact on impact on US, China FDI capital flow, Banking nonperformance loan  Credit risks , Mutual fund performance, earning, stocks prices
Citigroup, JP Morgan
3. Asset prices, bubbles, Securitization  risk simulation:
Asian Property loan demand/ prices, bubble burst  auto loan demand, sales, credit demand, Delinquency ,the root causes, onset, recovery of nonperformance delinquency/ ABS performance rating, stock prices
US mortgage rate, Housing prices, refinancing, impact on Fannie Mae sales, earning, stocks prices
US auto interest free finance, sales, Big three stock prices, US loan , credit card delinquency OSA
China,  Hong Kong   Taiwan  Hong Kong  Singapore  Japan 
J. P. Morgan, Pudong / Mingshen Banks JF China Fund  Hua-an fund and gloobal mutual fund performance, investment strategy
4. Global Equities Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation:
Monetary Policy, Global Interest rate , Currency impact on Stock Index Futures Prices Simulation
Dow Jones/Nasdaq/ Japan Nikkei index/  Hong Kong Henseng Index/ Taiwan Stock Index futures Prices  London Financial Times, DAX index 
5. Enterprises privatization, Strategic IPO , ADR share prices simulation
Monetary Policy, Hi -Tech, Oils prices bubble impact on China IPO, ADR shares prices simulation
China software king Yunyue , Mingshin bank IPO and China Offshore Oil  ADR stock prices Simulation
6 China, Asian, Global housing properties, asset prices simulation
.Monetary Policy, Interest rate Wealth effect impact on US ,China, Japan, Hong Kong Housing Prices
7 Global IT upstream/downstream demand, prices , sales, earning, stock prices simulation .Monetary Policy, Interest , currency  impact on US NAPM, products innovation cycles impact on semiconductor B/B, DRAM, Intel P4  demand, spot prices and bubble bursts 
6.  Root causes, on set, recovery of global financial crisis impact on capital market prices simulation :
Monetary , economic, fiscal  Policy impact on the EURO, ASEAN, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, Korea Interest rate , Currency, stock indices before, during ,after the Asian, EURO, Russia, US recession, South American financial crisis 
8. Strategic  Global Pre/post merger/acquisition performance, stocks prices Simulation: Monetary Policy, global economic, business cycle impact on  US  J P Morgan Exxon-Mobil   M/A Simulation
9.
Monetary Policy, Interest rate ,Currency, Export impact on US , CHina GNP, Stock Index Futures Prices    US quarterly GNP Growth Rate?  NY Dow Jones and Nasdaq  Index     Future
10 Global Commodity, crude oil prices simulation:
.Interest rate, trade impact on currency futures, option Consumer demand on crude oil futures,
11: Structural financial products, derivatives, options prices simulation
 Japan Yen exchange rate future and  NYMEX Wtex crude oil   Future and call option price
12 Global currency futures operation  pricing mechanism and forecasts
13 Global stock indices futures operation  pricing mechanism and forecasts
Dr Warren Huang, pioneer of OSA, has his Ph.D in Chemical Engineering, Operations Resaerch from Polytrechnic Institute of New York with thesis   extending APPLO moonlanding  tracking of  Nonlinear adaptive Kalman filtering  to applications to Chemical reactors control and econometric forecasting,
Hhas over 30 years develope, implement 32 global strategic knowledge management supported   investment, supply chain simulation systems supporting US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bailey Network Control, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel, FLuor, Kaiser board members, corproate/plant think tanks and Taiwan, CHina, economic planning, ministry of economic, finance, trade council, state and medium, small enterprises reengineerinig, change management  investment,supply chain strategy  daily strategic decisions.
He has offered regular lectures to Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou, Shenzhen, Taipei, San Francisco 15 cities TV, Radio, newspaper 30 million banking, finance money, fund managers, investors and thousands on the job training workshops for China, Taiwan 100 banking, securities companies CEO, fund, money managers, traders, investors, and  trained 1000 Taiwan's Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai university Chemical Engineering, economics, global strategic management senior,, graduate students, and lectured CHina's Tsinghua, Peking, Fudan,, Zechiang, Dalian, East China, Hua-Chun science, TEch economic management, Finance, chemical engineering, computer control faculty, students,   avoided trillion dollar market loss since 1990. He has been invited to speak to 30 global central bank governor   financial risk management conferences on global banking, financial crisis, capital markets asset bubble simulation, risk manage ment since 1998. He offer consulting service t

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Corporate risks management annual  memberships available  for global central bankers, financial institutions,hedging fund managers, investment banking Corporate CEO, CFO, financial, procurement, marketing manager,traders, investors, investment and risk management  decision supports and senior, entry level staff on the job training. 

Contact :   Whuang3928@aol.com     osawhh@citiz.net  Fax : 1-510-524-4484(  San Francisco, USA)
                  No part of this page can be copied without consent of Dr. Warren Huang's approval
                
Copyright 2003   www.osawh.com  / Dr. Warren Huang

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