Chinese (中文)
BRIC GDP,inflation,
currency , oil, financial, IT sectors, component stocks , BRIC ETF return, prices
simulation, asset allocation , asset bubbles burst crisis systemic risks
early warning strategy workshop
Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into
Quantitative Simulation Models
(
presented to
China Peoples Bank, 24 global central banks governors, China oil markets,
strategic wealth management , risk management confernces , workshop since 1999)
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation
of last 20 years Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into
Quantitative Simulation Models for
US, BRIC Energy, Currency,Banking, Finance
Mortgage Defaults Crisis, Macro-economic inflation, unemplyment targeting, Monetary interest rate
policy Impact on global oil, banking mortgage rate, IT and housing
demand, pricing,
Equities Prices Bubbles,, Mortgage
Loan Credit Rating, Prepayment, Defaults, Recovery Modeling, Bond Spread in Assets Securitization,
Risks Hedging
Hong Kong, Beijin, Shanghai, Taipei in-house workshops
by reservation at your convenient time at yuor office
wh3928@yahoo.com
conducted by Dr.
Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Strategic Management OSA
Preparing for Macroeconomic control, rate cuts, global commodities, housing, equities price bubbles burst, Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default Crisis Early Warning
Select your country, we will provide
5 -day monetary policy impact on US and BRIC countries macroeconomic control, inflation,
interest rates, currency, oil, IT, commodities industries, stocks market , regional housing
prices bubbles, securitization CDO assets credits, performance, mortgage default
crisis analysis for your historical data
Dr. Warren Huang will be the master
class workshop lecturer for Terrapinn Fund World China 2008 conference, Shanghai
Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6, 2008 to offer one day China/global ETF fund ,
BRIC, 1xx/xx optimal long-short strategy,asset pricing, asset allocation risks early warning
Find out breakthrough innovation in
Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into
Quantitative Simulation Models
by proactive structural dynamic, deterministic artificial
intelligence, neural net based expert systems macro, financial, industrial
pricing econometrics integration, simulation and
extension to Engle's Exponential GARCH dynamic times series estimation
co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of US/BRIC
housing, equities, currency, commodities price bubbles, tracking the causes,
onset, recovery, early warning of US/
BRIC, global central banks monetary interest rate
policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation, un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global
housing, equities
, currencies, oil, commodities prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major
cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices ,
associated prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment, default,
recovery modeling, ABS, CRE, RMBS, CDO bond spread, hedging fund strategy.
Global
central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan and commercial, investment
banking , hedging fund managers, markets quantitative analysts
ignoring Dr. Warren Huang
warning on Asset Prices Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept.
2002 to Malaysia central banks Asset Based Securitization conference, Singapore, Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events
Asian /US/China Finance, Capital Market
conferences and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University,
Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on
Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic
outlook, capital market housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles
and workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004, and
Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market Investment Strategy conference,
June 2007 Peking University
Financial Risk Management conference lecture,
www.osawh.com
and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat
blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned
underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive
rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive
oil , commodities, metals housing prices bubbles to 23 year high and
soaring inflation, excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, suffered trillion dollar loss
in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch and loan default, ABS,
RMBS, CDO asset credit and performance downgrade, hedge fund failure 2004-2007.
www.osawh.com/ABS.html
Workshops Goal : OSA forecasts
maximize risks adjusted return in US/ BRIC housing markets and ABS investments , default
risks early warning fighting housing market recession, credit
crunch, avoided global banking , housing, equities, commodities, markets
trillion dollars asset downgrade, value loss
in economic recession.
Workshops Mission:
Setup goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams,
develop, implement proactive, structural global central banks
monetary policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing
market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism and loan and ABS assets,
credit rating, prepayment, default, recovery modeling Operations
Simulation Analysis (OSA) strategic investment, forecasts
month ahead, of the emerging credit default, recession trend,
crisis impact on global currency, commodities, equities, bond prices
investment strategy and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar
housing and global equities allocation investment and markets default
loss.
Workshops
Highlights:
Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into
Quantitative Simulation Models
:The what , why, how and
timing of root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of equities, housing,
oil, commodities bubble burst, mortgage default crisis,
tracking Goldman Sach GBRIX, GBRAX, GBRCX, StateStreet BRIC 40 , Bank of New
York, Dow Jones BRIC 50 index country , industrial sectors performances, bubble bursts risks and regulation AB for ABS RMBS, CDO pooled asset credit rating and performance, default, global assets allocations,
with 2008 forecast.
5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day BRIC Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day BRIC Macroeconomic, Housing , ETF equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
Day One: BRIC Macroeconomic control, Country Risks, boom and bust cycle OSA, Forecasts
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma: Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset prices
bubble , inflation control
and RMB currency appreciation OSA
* Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and EGARCH Granger co-integrations
of BRIC central bank macroeconomic control removing excessive liquidity due to
Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 indices futures,India, Russia, Brazil stock indices , stocks, housing bubble
wealth gain tracking money supply, interest rate, currency and housing industry
control impact on housing, stock prices bubbles, fixed investment,
inflation , un-employment rate and inflation rate
* Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices, currency, fixed investment impact
on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma:Currency appreciation Sovereign Wealth Fund,(SWF) Asset
Allocation, risks and DFI inflow, excessive
liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily currency and
Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in currency
carry traded asset price
speculation.20 industrial sectors demand, prices and stocks investment asset
allocation performances, risks in SWF investment , Currency appreciation and DFI inflow, excessive
liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily currency, and
Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in asset price
speculation.
* Interest rate, credit tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage
default
and mortgage default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession
Day two: Housing Industry Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage
loan, CRE, RMBS, default OSA
Morning:
BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices
*BRIC central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and cool off the
overheated economy and inflation
*BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on China regional housing
supply, demand and prices.
Afternoon:
BRIC housing bubble burst, loan default , stock market crash, economic
recession early warning
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed
investment impact on
BRIC coastal area housing sales, and
prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate, ABS, RMBS, loan credit rating,
securitization asset performance,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and induced stock market crash and economic
recession early warning OSA
Day three: Excessive liquidity, housing prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and
Burst, Market Crash OSA
Morning:
BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices, banking, finance,
construction industry performance
*BRIC Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control
impact on removing excessive asset market liquidity and banking, finance
stock price performance
* BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on housing
loan, construction industry demand and prices.
Afternoon:
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble,
fixed investment impact on BRIC coastal area housing, prices , Shanghai stock
index, Russia Traded Stock index, Brazil, India stock indices future, price OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate loan credit rating,
prepayment, sub-prime and high end
mortgage loan default and banking real estate stock performance early warning OSA
Day four: Housing demand impact on oil commodities upstream/downstream demand,
profit, stock prices OSA
Morning:
US,BRIC monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand,
stock prices, OSA
*US, BRIC Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic , housing industry control
impact on housing, construction
material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand , prices .
* BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on oil, energy
downstream demand, prices.
Afternoon:
*BRIC monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock
price
^ BRIC monetary policy, fixed
investment impact on housing demand and energy, downstream companies
profit , stock price OSA
Day five : Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk
integration, crisis early warning OSA
morning:
BRIC country macro-econometric inflation, currency systemic risk.
* BRIC Central Banks monetary policy, housing industry price control impact on
GDP, inflation and price bubbles
* BRIC monetary policy interest rate, trade impact on currency price
mechanism, hot money speculation .
Afternoon:
BRIC IT industries demand, price performance, equities, housing price bubbles burst associated market risks, and loan
default crisis
* BRIC housing and IT industries equities price bubbles bursts and housing, equities, futures market
price risks early warning
*BRIC twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking, asset
management loan credit default
risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit derivatives, hedging, betting on the wrong direction
resulted trillion dollar loss.
Who Should Attend : Central
banks policy research, commercial, investment banking, real estate mortgage,Goldman
Sach, State Street, Dow Jones BRIC ETF fund managers, Oil, banking, finance, IT industries analysts, hedge fund
manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO, securitization
managers, insurance managers, mutual fund , SWF fund managers, government
regulation strategic (top management) , execution (managers )
Workshop Costs/ Benefits :USD 3000 per day plus Dr. Warren Huang round trip air
fares from San Francisco for full day workshop with unlimited attendees
Workshop recommendation will save billion dollars in betting on the wrong
direction of investment and default
risks, loss, capitalize opportunities in economic slowdown, recession and asset
prices bubbles burst
Reserve by email wh3928@yahoo.com
indicating your favorite time, your office address, and lists of
executives names, title