Proactive structural financial engineering models maximize ABS, MBS, CDO securitization ,return minimize Basel II credit, interest rate, mortgage bond, hedging risks simulation, early warning, default, recovery modeling workshop

Global Strategic Management   Proactive financial engineering decision OSA quantitative ABS, MBS, CDO asset prices models forecast, early warning the cause, onset, recovery of debt, equities, properties loan defaults , minimize Basel II credit risk capital requirement , maximize
OSA   risks adjusted return, profit for thousands global banking, finance, SOE, SME companies
中文(Chinese)

He has developed, implemented thousands structural dynamic, deterministic equities, housing, bond, commodities, derivatives asset prices models ( by nonlinear regression expert systems and financial econometrics GARCH models tracking/forecast (with correlation constant up to 0.99, maximum error 3.5 %) last 20 years structural finance for 20 industrial sectors synthetic CDO asset cash flow, credit defaults risks, maximize risks adjusted return and early warning for Basel II Credit , interest rate, market, business cycles, corporate scandal risks resulted defaults , trillion dollar market loss.
He has offered thousands lectures, workshops for global banking, securities, insurance, ABS, MBS, CDO CEO, senior executives, legal, accounting managers daily strategic investment, risk analysis in US, Canada, South America, 15 cities in China, Taiwan, Tokyo, Seoul, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur , Bangkok, London, Paris, Rome, Zurich, Lyon, Brussels, Barcelona, Prague   46 countries
Million global central banks, banking, finance, corporate CEO, CFO, fund managers, executives visited his website
www.osawh.com since 1998.
OSA founder Dr. Warren Huang CV patents , publications and copyrights
US Patents:       Received 2 US patents on OSA for oil/gas/LPG cracking furnace controls
Polarized US housing markets: Despite US housing markets bubbles burst, entering recession housing starts and sales plunge 40 % since Jan 2006, billions dollars sub-prime and hedge fund defaults in July 2007.
However high priced Jumbo mortgage and housing in New York City and major US financial districts and IT cities ( San Francisco, Silicone Valley ) benefited by investment banking stock prices tripled fat 26 billion bonus and IT bubble ( Goggle and Apple stock price up 500 % HP up 400 % times lead to housing prices soared 40 % June 2007, continue bowing the bubble nearing burst ( more than tripled from 2002)
Proactive, Structural US/China/Global Monetary Policy and Wealth Effect impact on US housing and equities prices bubbles identification, burst, recovery and    burst, crisis early warning simulation ( Proactive artificial Intelligence neural net based multivariate nonlinear regression models and Proactive structural VAR( Vector Auto-Regressive ) and Exponential GARCH (Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Hetroskedastic ) financial econometrics models tracking forecast months, years ahead of last 20 years US/China/Global asset bubble burst history with correlation constant of 0.99 , maximum error below 4 %, presented to 24 global central banks governors,( China, US Fed, ECB, Asian) risk management conferences and in Peking University, China, 2007 June 16
Dr. Warren Huang thousands proactive structural dynamic simulators tracking, forecast China/US/Global US Fed ignoring 55 trillion housing and equities wealth gain resulted housing bubbles burst , sub-prime loan and hedging fund default and jumbo loan high prices housing continue inflating the price bubbles up 40 % in US, 70 % in China, Shenzhen will result further housing bubbles burst markets recession drag down equities market and bubble bursts lead to eventual US economic recession next year
Global copy rights : 2 million copies circulation to 78 Western, Eastern European, North , South American, Asian Pacific countries, : 32 global strategic investment, supply chain, value chain optimization management systems for 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products raw material, products demand, prices, profits, cash flow, stock prices simulation/forecast: www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html : Improve Process by OSA, 14 articles published by US Oils & Gas Journal and Hydrocarbon Processing and advanced control and information systems handbook, 1991-2003, 1600 top multinationals investment, supply chain executives from Western, Eastern European, North , South American, Asian Pacific countries contacted for global strategic investment , supply chain Basel risks management

Taiwan and China copyrights:   100,000,000 copies circulated in Taiwan for Dr. Warren Huang over 1,000 articles on Taiwan's government central daily, economics, commercial times, industrial economics , Pacific times daily newspaper weekly investors foresight, investors intelligence, global economics, new economics, import/export trade journals, industrial finance for Taiwan Communication Bank, Petrochemical industry, legislative Yuan Economic and finance committee Financial Economic Today and Financial Economics

China copyrights
million copies 10 papers for China Economics Daily, China Financial Times China securities news, Shanghai securities news, Shenzhen securities news, Wuhan securities news
Academic Positions
He served professor in chemical engineering, operations research, industrial economics, global strategic management at National Taiwan University, Tsinghua, Tunghai University,
by Dr. Warren Huang, CV Founder, pioneer of OSA Global Strategic Management ,
OSA Int'l Operations Analysis 　

Workshop Program:

Why OSA for strategic ABS and MBS , CDO, Jumbo and Sub-prime Mortgage Loan Default modeling:,

Current CDO structuring, rating, cash flow modeling have been based on Monte Carlo, probabilistic estimate models, fails to predict ahead the fast changing business cycles interest rate and it's impact on cash flow, credit and loan default risks.

your choice from
US, Japan, China, Korean, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia entire portfolio   assets, credits, transactions prices and defaults risks simulation, securitization strategic, bubble early warning risk control lectures, workshop in US, Asia.

What this Strategic Synthetic CDO , ABS, MBS OSA workshop can help you:
Provide Free OSA (Operations Simulation Analysis) strategic structural finance models analysis tracking 20 industrial sectors,     products ABS, MBS ( jumbo and sub-prime loan), Synthetic CDO cash flow and collateral performances, Basel II credit, defaults, interest rate, currency risks and integrating into market, corporate scandals operational risks resulted defaults risk simulation forecasts , early warning out of your historical data

Goal

Maximize ABS, MBS, CDO investors, structurer, managers risk adjusted profit, rate of return, cost performance, price, minimize credit , interest rate, business cycle risks in the entire asset allocation, portfolio and integration into Basel II market risks and operational corporate governance scandals risks, liquidity, interest rate risks resulted defaults early warning.

Mission

How OSA maximize MBS, ABS, CDO return and minimize risks Cost, Profit, Quality, Risks, Market shares as goal, mission performance oriented strategic, execution CDO asset allocation, Basel II credit, interest rate, business cycles, liquidity , defaults risks control OSA teams, develop, implement structural dynamic deterministic decision Operations Simulation Analysis quantitative models (OSA) ;supported synthetic CDO, nonperformance asset management, developed out of extensive historic entire portfolio, CDO assets information knowledge base, tracking, forecast one to three months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on your macro-economy business cycles, financial market interest rate, bond, currency, commodity futures, derivatives, 20 industrial sectors demand, loan, bond prices, CDO cash flow , profits performance, debt, equities, properties asset bubble burst properties, credit card demand, receivables, transactions, defaults and securitization prices, credit and portfolio, asset prices, risks simulation, the causes, onset, recovery, prevention of your past and current debt, equities, properties nonperformance loan assets. These expert systems will provide the what, why, how, and timing of CDO asset allocation, investment return and risks simulation/forecast, early warning

Workshop Program Schedule will be conducted in Chinese or English )
Highlights:

A. Proactive structural dynamics, deterministic models tracking US, China/Asian, UK/EURO , natinal or regional 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products MBS, ABS,CDO asset pricing and structuring, mortgage , credit risks simulation
B. Operations Simulation Analysis( OSA) of Synthetic CDO, ABS, MBS, cash flow and asset , debt prices, credit defaults risks and recovery rate models simulation forecasts
C. Financial accounting tracking on and off balance sheet OSA tracking, bubble, scandals defaults early warning, Sarbanes-Oxley Corporate Governance implementation, application to ENRON, WCOM and China Guanxia
D. CDO asset equities prices , cost performance improvement OSA, optimal asset allocation.
E. MBS, ABS, OSA for CDO of alternative investment performance risks and return for commodity and emerging markets, hedging
    fund investment and risks management
F. Strategic and execution CDO risks and return Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) teams providing on the job training and performance tracking, improvement, Basel II credit, market, interest rate, operational risks monitoring, early warning, control for CDO managers market asset prices
simulation, Basel II risks management presented to Asian Business Forum Asset Backed Securitization and
Euro-event Asian/China Finance , Capital Market conference Singapore, Shanghai, Beijin, Nov. 2003

will be supported by thousands structural dynamic strategic global macro-economy and capital

Your expert lecturer Dr. Warren Huang CV
Profile/Founder Dr. Warren HuangCV Pioneer of two master hands controlling Global economic cycles and Capital Markets , 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products, commodity, energy Asset Prices Mechanism, Market Forces, Bubble , Banking Nonperformance Loan Crisis Simulation, early warning and Global Strategic Knowledge Based Strategic Government, Business Process Demand Forecasts OSA Optimization Operations Simulation Analysis OSA, integrating monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy into banking and daily financial market asset prices, associated Basel II credit, market, operational risks.
He has over 30 years pioneering development, implement of global integrated strategic investment, supply chain logistics , crisis, risks (Operational, credit, markets ), business process Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA) and optimization ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980 over 80 countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Stauffer Chemicals, Bechtel, Fluor , Bailey Network Control headquarters corporate finance, information management in refinery, petrochemical, power plant, steel, copper, coal project investment, construction, design, preventive maintenance, safety, accidents, loss prevention crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US department of energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information technology, state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals, China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic planning for 10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade, trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency, 5000 products export pricing quote. offered hundreds risks management workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities companies CEO,, CFO, money managers executives and keynote speaker for CHina SINOPEC
president organized INTERPEC ( China International Petrochemical conference) to speak on Strategic Change Management for Global refinery, petrochemicals integration, optimization and nationwide executives on tracking China macro economic control, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, investment strategy Asian, global governments , banking, finance, hundreds state, medium, small enterprises reform, change management. He also offered hundred workshops for Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok CEO, CFO, investment, supply chain executives .
OSA pioneer of two master hands controlling global macro economy and daily capital market asset prices Dr. Warren Huang has develop, implemented thousands structural, dynamic causes and effect, response simulators tracking, simulate, forecast, accurately predicted months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on the root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of last 20 years global macroeconomic control, daily capital market asset prices, asset allocation, market, credit, operational risk control, avoided trillion dollar market loss, invited to speak to 24 (China Peoples Bank, US, Taiwan, ECB, Asian central banks) and financial, credit, markets, operational risk management, Shanghai world economic forum conferences; global central banks governors, IMF, BIS financial risks management, econometric, wealth management conferences to speak on "Simulation, early warning of last 20 years Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery, Market, Credit, Operational Risk Management for financial markets speculation bubble   since 1998, offered thousand executives investment strategy, risk management workshops to million US, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Asian, European government, banking, securities, insurance, properties cos CEO, CFO, money managers and daily, weekly China/global financial markets commentary for China, Taiwan , US 15 cities (published 20 English articles on US Oils & Gas Journals and US Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced control and information systems handbook 1991-2003 , for 1600 multinational from 78 countries, tracking ,simulate, forecast market forces demand, prices mechanism, market, credit, operational risks for oil, petrochemicals, upstream/downstream, end users 20 industrial sectors, 5000 products : www.osawh.com/hp2001h.html , and thousands Chinese articles for China, Taiwan, US daily newspapers, investment, economic, finance, trade journals supporting 15 cities, TV, radio station 30 million banking, finance, fund managers, investors global asset allocation, risks and profit control optimization
A Single Simulation Chart tells you 20 years story about the causes, effect, response of operations risks, disaster, financial crisis resulted loss and early warning for predictive operational, credit, market risks control, minimize Basel II capital requirement, while maximize sustainable profit through simulation of global central banks monetary policy, external (oil prices, currency) shocks impact on financial markets interest rate, currency, stocks, bond, commodity, and it's derivatives prices turbulence resulted huge trading loss (Baring, LTCM ,and corporate scandals of ENRON, WCOM) currency crisis resulted stock market plunge and banking, country default, corporate credit default, nonperformance loan) risks and forecasts one month ahead, have been presented to 50 int'l government, central banks policy, banking, finance , risk management, restructuring conferences
These structural, deterministic, forward-looking dynamic Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) of monetary policy, multiple shocks impact on global macro, financial, trade, industrial economics tracking accurately US, European, ASEAN, Asian, Russia, South America, Mexico energy, currency, financial and banking crisis, country default credit risks, one month ahead since 1980 with average error below 1.5 %, correlation constants above 0.95 ( all without statistics probability inputs in existing VaR models )
Dr. Warren Huang has 30 years pioneering Wall Street research ( develop, two master hands, thousands structural, dynamic global economy, financial markets Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA) out of last 20 years daily US, Asian, European Wall Street Journals, Business Week, London Financial Times, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong economics, financial times newspapers market news, economist, market analyst, investment bankers analysis, investors psychology information knowledge base for US major oils, Taiwan, China government, banking, securities, insurance, properties companies, state , medium enterprises global investment ,supply chain and market risks control strategy.

He has been keynote speaker, offered full day workshops for IBC European Hedging fund management conference , London, IBC Asia, Asian Business Forum and EURO-EVENTS conferences in Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Beijin, Shanghai, North American investment seminar, and securities, asset management companies in   San Francisco applying his two master hands simulators tracking monetary , economic, WTO policy impact on last 20 years and current   global economy daily capital markets asset prices, 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters 100 countries currency export prices quote, commodity, raw materials import strategy OSA, accurately predicted root causes, onset, recovery of   1987 global stocks crash, 1980, 90, 2000 and current energy crisis, 1992 European currency crisis, China 1989, 1994 macroeconomic control and 1996 soft-landing , 1997-98 Asian Financial, Russia currency crisis, 2000 US, global IT bubble burst, recession , recovery and current China credit tightening

Dr. Huang’s 20 years global tracking record:, always predicted 3-6 month ahead last 20 years global financial, currency crisis , stock indices, currency, energy, commodity futures and asset bubble burst crisis, avoided trillion dollar market loss and NPL loan. Minimize Basel II loss, risk capital requirement
Dr. Warren Huang, OSA pioneer of two master hands thousands structural dynamic quantitative models simulators tracking, forecasts controlling global macro economy, business cycles and daily capital market interest rates, currency, asset prices Dr. Warren Huang has develop, implemented thousands structural, dynamic causes and effect, response simulators tracking, simulate, forecast, accurately predicted months ahead monetary, economic, fiscal, WTO policy impact on global economic, business cycles, the root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of last 20 years global macroeconomic control, daily capital market asset prices, asset allocation, interest rates, business cycles, liquidity, market, credit, operational risk control, avoided trillion dollar market loss, offered thousands investment strategy and risk management for thousands US, Taiwan, China, Asian central banks, banking, securities, SOE, SME companies CEO, CFO, fund managers, trade, risks managers and 30 million China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio banking, finance, executives, investors tracking daily stocks , currency, bond commodities prices , investment strategy, risks control, invited to speak to ECB, FRB, UK, China Peoples Bank, Taiwan, Asian 24 global central banks governors, IMF, BIS financial risks management, econometric, wealth management conferences to speak on "Asset Prices Simulation, forecasts, early warning for last 20 years Global Financial, Banking Crisis, Recovery, economic, business cycles, interest, currency , liquidity , Market, Credit, Operational Risk Management for financial markets speculation bubble   since 1998,

He predicted again 2003 Nov. 2003 to Euro-events Singapore http://www.euro-events.com/conf/afcm2003/ with excellent feedback photos 1, 2, 3 lecture ppt , Shanghai, Beijin Nov. Asian/China Finance, Capital Markets conferences, www.euro-events.com/conf/cfcm2003   picture 2 with excellent feedback from 2000 QFII, QDII mutual fund managers, identify month ahead, investment opportunities in China ADR Hong Kong H shares, China A blue chip petrochemicals, SNP, telecommunication Unicom A shares and value investing China mutual shares up 80 %and and to China economists meeting Fudan University, Shanghai , Dec. 2003 early warning for asset bubbles in energy, metals commodities prices doubled, reaching 19 year peak, ( invested in future, derivatives gained 5000 %, mutual fund up 80 %) will drive China inflation to 4 %, China Peoples banks further credit tightening and rate hike( raised deposit ratio to 7.5 % Apr. 25, 2004)will drive GDP to 7 % in the second half despite first Quarter GDP of 9.4%, US entering second leg economic recovery due to excessive rate, tax cut , following last year third quarter first leg boom bubble corporate earning soared 76 % with overheated consumer over 100), investor confidence ( exceeds 1987) and ISM purchaser manager index over 66. while current quarter bubble with business confidence reaching 10 year high, consumer confidence will challenge 100 again, 370,000 new job created, soared consumer demand, housing start, durable orders will continue into third quarter and peaking out , bubble burst thereafter, second quarter bubble CPI to 3.2 %, core inflation to 3.8 % force China will follow Greenspan raise interest rate after May and summer , overoptimistic over US economic recovery and job creation, inflation outlook, Global IT shares facing 30- 50 % correction and blue chips banking shares and its mutual fund facing correction 2004, Dow will be traded 9750- 10500, Nasdaq 1850- 2050 , Taiwan index 5360-5900, Henseng 11000- 14000, Nikkei 10000- 12500, . Shanghai A 1500- 1650, Shenzhen 3300- 3800, Euro : 1.18- 1.25 , Yen 108- 115, China slowdown will drag US, Asian and European recovery and stocks gave up all this year gain

Who should attend:
Listed domestic, global multinationals, SOE, SME companies. IPO board members, CEO, CFO, managing directors, asset, fund managers, banking, securities underwriting, trading managers, insurance Basel II risk managers, auditors, regulators, investment bankers, equities, currency, bond, commodity futures, traders, investors., global banking, securities, insurance, ABS, MBS, CDO CEO, senior executives, legal, accounting managers daily strategic investment, risk analysis

Costs and Benefits: Dr. Huang’s round trip San Francisco Air fare, hotel plus lecture fee
workshop will tell you the what, why and how, timing to capitalize on trillion dollar market risks investment opportunities, while minimize market, credit, operational risks associated Basel II capital requirement avoided chasing the markets resulted trillion dollar loss in global banking, financial crisis, asset bubble bursts. Maximize sustainable profit, market shares during global crisis.

Language: Mandarin or English

Reserve your   in-house workshops   osawhh@citiz.net     ( Chinese)    or wh3928@yahoo.com   ( English )
Services: Workshops , On the Job Training program : OSA Strategic, execution teams
All supported by simulation charts for training simulators.