osawh.com
Welcome to Global
Nonperformance ( Equities, Housing Mortgage, Debt Assets) Management, Syndicated Loan demand, Asset
Recovery Prices
Mechanism, and Securitization, return and risks, ABS rating performance simulation, Asset
Price Bubble
Bursts, Accounting Scandals Early-Warning
For Global central banks, banking, securities, insurance, enterprises daily strategic risk analysis
Profile/Founder
Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer
of
two master hands controlling Global economic cycles
and Capital Markets Asset Prices Mechanism, nonperformance loan default ,
recovering models Market Forces, Bubble Simulation, early warning
and
Global
Strategic Knowledge Forecasts OSA Optimization Operations Simulation
Analysis OSA
He has over 30 years
pioneering development, implement of global integrated strategic
investment nonperformance assets, mortgage loan prepayment, default, recovering
modeling , crisis, risks, Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)
and ( patented in US " Improve Process by OSA" 1980
over 80 countries) for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bechtel, Kaiser,
Fluor headquarters corporate finance, information
management in refinery, petrochemical, power
plant, steel, copper, coal project investment, construction, design, preventive
maintenance, crisis, risk management and strategic consulting to US depart of
energy, Taiwan ministry of economic affairs energy policy, information
technology, state enterprises ( Chinese Petroleum, China Petrochemicals,
China Steel, Aluminum, Reform, change management, and economic planning for
10 public construction projects planning, performance tracking and upgrade,
trade promotion councils, and 300,000 importer/exporter 100 countries currency,
5000 products export pricing quote. offered hundreds risk management
workshops for China ministry of finance nationwide 100 banking, securities
companies CEO,, CFO, money managers executives, tracking China macro
economic control, impact on housing, 20 industrial sectors 5000 products demand, prices, profit
margin, listed stocks IPO, merger/acquisition reform, nonperformance mortgage
loan prepayment, defaults, recvoering, investment strategy Asian, global
governments, banking, finance, hundreds state, medium, small
enterprises reform, change management. He also offered hundred workshops
for Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok CEO, CFO,
investment, supply chain executives .
He pioneered two master hands controlling last 20 years global
economy, financial market prices offered thousands lectures to
millions global banking, securities,
insurance, properties, state, medium, small enterprises senior executives and China, Taiwan 15
cities TV, radio 30 millions investors, banking, finance executives
(pdf
) on tracking
monetary, economic, fiscal policy WTO impact on last 25 years global economic
cycles industrial sectors demand, asset prices , bubble, privatization, IPO,
strategic merger/acquisition, listed companies profit , stock prices simulation,
financial market investment
strategy and early warning, risk management (workshops
Chinese,
English)
Global , invited to speak to 24
global( US, ECB, China, Taiwan,
Asian ) central bank
governors, corporate governance, financial crisis, risk management conferences .
supporting
security, banking, insurance regulation, Sarbanes-Oxley Act on financial
accounting auditing maximize performance, transparency
He
published 32 global strategic business process optimization systems by
US Gulf Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing Advanced Process Control, Information
Systems handbook, 1991-2003. applied by 1600
multinationals from 72 countries.
He has been editor/columnist and consultant for macro/financial economic
industrial finance, investment forum, energy, information technology, global
strategic management for Taiwan government, banking, finance, industrial,
importer/exporter trade, investment journal, Central, Economic, Commercial Times,
Industrial Economic daily newspapers and China Economic, Financial Times,
Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Wuhan Securities daily newspapers, wrote
thousands articles on reform, change management,
investment risk management for US, Taiwan, China government economic, finance, banking,
securities, industrials, journal
weekly economic, finance investment journal, daily newspapers
and Taiwan 300,000 importer/exporters weekly trade journals.
and this website
visited by million global central banks,
central, state, city government,
banking, finance, enterprises
executives.
He trained thousands Chemical Eng industrial economics,
global strategic management students for
Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai universities and lecture China Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan,
Jiaotung, Zechiang, Dalian universities on economic management, Chemical Eng.
computer control, financial engineering, develop implemented
global
currencies and export pricing strategy for Taiwan 300,000 importer/ exporters
100 countries currency and pricing strategy.
Millions global central banks, government, banking, finance, enterprises, CEO,
CFO, executives visited and supported www.osawh.com website since July 1998 (Partial lists)
==========================================================================================
Global central banks,
government agency:
FRB, ECB, China Peoples banks, State department, IMF, World Bank, UN, OCED,US
Dept of energy, NASA , Center of Disease Control, State and cities government,
Taiwan Ministry of Economic Affairs, Finance,
Global Banking, finance, insurance:
JP Morgan, Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Merrial Lynch, Goldman Sach, State Street,
Fidelity, Bank of
America, Wells Fargo, Mizuho, Prudential, ManuLife, Cathy Life ,CNA, J Hancock , Lehman, Bloomberg,
Dow Jones. Reuter, Wall Street Journal, Business Week
Corporate :
McKinsey, Ernest Young, KPMG, IBM, HP, Compaq, NEC, CISCO, Intel, AMD, Nokia, Taiwan
Semiconductors, UMC, Honhai, Motorola, Exxon-Mobil, BP, Shell, Aramco, Dupont, Dow, ORCL,
Boeing, GM, BMW, Honda, Samsung, Ford), Merck, Amgen, Johnson, Celera, Weth)
Academic/Education:
Northwestern, Michigan, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Princeton, UC Berkeley,
NYU, George Washington, Rutgers, UCSF, UCSD,
UPensilvania, Columbia, Chicago, Cornell, Cambridge, London) from 70 countries
Excessive money supply lead to 7
year global expansion resulted high tech, properties asset bubble bursts,
manufacturing oversupply, plunging profits and stock prices and trillion dollar nonperformance in Japan, China, Taiwan banking industry and mounting home and auto loan
defaults, credit card delinquency in Hong Kong, US, Korea, Singpaore, Malaysia , lead
to huge write-off loss and to maintain Basle's 's capital ratio.
China Asset management is working on 430 billion , Japan is working on 430 billion bad
loan, Taiwan banks write off 2.3 trillion bad loan last year and 0.2 trillion the first
half this year.
Asset Management bought the bad loan working hard to recover the loan loss through
auction, securitization all facing tough time in current turbulent financial markets.
while the existing banking industry sold the old bad loan to asset management co or write
off the old loan are facing new bad loan.
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang will organize workshops for global
banking industry offer his 30 years experience in tracking, simulating.:monetary,
economic, fiscal policy tracking , simulate the causes, onset, recovery of these bad loan
and maximize the recovery, providing the pre-warning, risk hedging to prevention future
bad loan happening.
The current global ABS underling collateral syndicated asset( home equities,
auto, loan, credit cards) and syndicated loan ( process plant equipments, power
plant ) recovedprices credit risk rating systems are based on qualitative
interview on past financial, business, economic, probabilistics, sales, profit,
credit rating information , failed to simulate, tracking , predict the global
economic, business, product cycle impact on loan demand, industrial demand, prices,
profits impact on syndicated loan recovery prices, securities credit performance,
resulted chasing the markets.
click www.wsj.com for syndicated loan deal making
click www.Moodys.com for Moody credit rating
click www.standardandpoors.com for
Standard and Poors credit rating
While OSA ABS rating , credit syndicated
loan demand, recovery prices simulation have been based on
OSA
pioneer Dr. Huang extensive experiences in the development,
implementation of 32 information knowledge based expert
global strategic management systems simulators support think
tank and board members corporate structural finance , financial engineering, risk control
decision analysis for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bailey Network
Controls,refiner, petrochemical, It upstream/downstream, mineral, food, drug , power
plant design, equipment cost estimation, plant construction, operations simulation,
control for Bechtel, Fluor, Stauffer Chemicals, Kaiser , and China, Taiwan , ASEAN,
Asian, South America, European government, banking, finance, oil & IT
upstream,downstream industries importer/exporters strategy consulting. ,
recommended by US Gulf Publishing, Hydrocarbon Process- ing
1991-2001 MIS , advanced control handbook.to upgrade 80
countries 1400 multinationals,( Exxon, BP, IBM, Shell, SINOPEC) SOE, medium, small
enterprises data base to strategic decision analysis , maximize old, new economy profits,
These simulators have been integrated into OSA two master hands controlling global
economic, business, product cycles ad financial market simulation
provide forward looking, leading the market 1 to 3 month through structured,
deterministic, dynamic simuation of global monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on
global economy, consumer, business spending, interest rate, currency, commodity, financial
futures, industrial sectors demand, prices, corporate sales, profit, cash flow, debt,
stock and underling collateral syndicaed asset demand prices for plant
equipment, auto, home equities, credit card demand, defaults simulation,
forecasts, avoided chasinig the markets resulted asset bubble bursts, trillioon dollar
loss.
.==== first time on this
website the most reliable stock indices, currency OSA simulation charts === Global Capital Markets Asset, Commodity, Financial Futures, Derivatives
Prices ,
The Causes, Onset,
recovery of Global Financial Crisis, Recession, Risk Control
CLick for OSA Simulation excel Charts tracking last
25 year , forecasts 1-3 month ahead monetary policy, global financial crisis,
recession, recovery, on daily global indices, currency futures prices
A. Dow Jones Index
B. Tokyo Nikkei C. Hong Kong Henseng D. EURO Germn
DAX
E. Shanghai A. Index F. Taiwan Stock Index G. Singapore ST index, H. Kuala
Lumpur I. Yen
additial simulation charts will
be used for decision analysis training simulatros on all Dr. Warren Huang's conference,
Asian
in-house workshops Sept. 20-Oct.15, 2002 Reserve :email
wh3928@yahoo.
How to predict the unpredicted global financial markets asset prices, ABS performance?
What is wrong with Wall Street and global financial
market?,
Global securitization bubble burst, credit defaults?
Why markets crash 30 % ? Where is the bottom ? What Wall Strret ABS need ?
Two master hands controlling
global capital market, asset prices, ABS performance rating, securitization bubble bursts
risks
2000-2003 global market
tracking record
Syndicated Loan, demand,
Asset prices, ABS, MBS performanace rating OSA Forecasts (one to 3 month ahead)
Dr. Huang accurately predicted in Jan 2000 on www.sina.com
and www.osawh.com that US and global high tech
(chips, PC, internet, tecommunication, biotech ) bubble burst for 50-90 % correction
and default, and warned Oct. 2000 that global energy secotors bubble burst , ENRON
and other oil upstream/downstream for 50- 90 % correcton facing default. and Nov. 30,
2001, in Beijin, Jan 21-22 in Taipei workshops and May 28-29 Peking
University global finance corporate governance conferences that US and global financial
markets overheated , US dollar overvalued, due to over optimistic over US 2002 recovery,
old economy Dow blue chips, small cap, semiconductors, consumer, retails and related
mutual fund, ABS, MBS overpriced bubble bursts, ready for 30-50 % correction, price
compression. Global stocks, fund started give up all it's gain in May as US dollar plunged
due to 37 billion trade deficit and WCOM scandals, plunged investor, consumer confidence.
Syndicated Loan, prices OSA
According to WAll Street Journal Aug. 27 C5, articles on Syndicated Lona,Demand, prices,
Deals and Deals making: Equities Firms examine energy-power plant.
The analysts overoptimistic over 2001 and 2002 second half recovery,made all
time high 100 billion syndicated loan in July 2001 and May 2002 ignoring Dr.
Huang warning about US recession, bubble burst July 2001 in Beijin to China
Peopels Banks financial staff and May 2002 in Beijin lectured to Peking University
global corporate governance.
OSA simulation of syndicated
loan demand, prices performance shown western wireless suffered badly by over capacity,
competition, huge loss with 55 % prices recovery, while Tesoro petroleum enjoyed 90 %
prices recovery due to tight US refinery capacity, ( 96 %) but suffered loss due to
soaring oil prices
Levi Strauss benefited by strong retail sales and profit have the top prices recovery at
99 %
S&P ABS rating indicating that US and gloabal synthetics ABS, syndicated loan asset
prices and CDO rating downgrade in the second quarter due to deteriorating
underlining asset performances., global stocks, fund plunged 30 % click for SP ABS rating
http://www.standardandpoors.com/ResourceCenter/Reference/StructuredFinance/articles/071202_Global.html
click for Moodys ABS credit rating
http://www.moodys.com/moodys/cust/loadBusLine.asp?busLineId=100000000029&BusLine.x=14&BusLine.y=4
You will find out all the answers in OSA simiulators on Dr.
Warren Huang's speech prediction on Global capital market asset prices, risk
simulation in Beijin for Peking University's global finance confernce on corporate
governance May 28-29,2002 and the speech for Asian Business Forum on Asian ABS
securitization conference in the following webpage, reserve your in-house workshops,
paper presented to
Asset Securitization conference by Asian Business Forum Sept 30-Oct 1, Kual
Lumpur
ASIAN CAPITAL MARKET ASSET, SECURITIES PRICES SIMULATION, INVESTMENT STRATEGY
By Warren Huang, Ph.D Founder & CEO
Global Investing/OSA International Opeartions Analysis Website www.osawh.com
in-House workshops reservation
wh3928@yahoo.com
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy and wealth effect impact on US,
Asian credit demand,/defaults
Property loan and syndicated loan demand/ prices,bubble burst auto loan
demand, sales, credit demand, nonperformance delinquency/ ABS performance rating,
stock prices
US China, Hong Kong Taiwan Hong Kong Singapore
Japan
Syndicated loan( Process plant equipment, power plant price recovery / ABS performance
rating
US China, Hong Kong Taiwan Hong Kong Singapore
Japan
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on daily Asian currency,
stock indices futures prices
China, Taiwan ,Hong Kong, Singapore, Bangkok, Austria ,Kuala
Lumpur, Tokyo, Seoul
Simulation of economic, business, product cycle impact on Asian IT
, oils upstream/downstream demand, products prices,
profitability,stock /mutual fund prices,ABS performance rating, return, risks:
China Taiwan Singapore Japan Korea Australia
Malaysia
Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on daily global oils,
gas, commodities, natural resources futures upstream/downstrem demand, prices , power
plant, utility investment ABS performance rating
Simulation of economic, business, product cycle impact on Asian pre
and post Merger/Acquisition , performance, IPO and ADR , prices, ABS prices
performance rating
:China Taiwan Hong Kong Singapore Malaysia
RISK MANAGEMENT THROUGH Early WARNING FOR US, ASIAN FINANCIAL CRISIS, RECESSION AND ACCOUNTING
MALPRACTICE IN ASSET BACKED SECURITISATION PERFORMANCE RATING
Warren Huang, Ph.D Founder & CEO
Global Investing/OSA International Opeartions Analysis website:
www.osawh.com
in-House workshops reservation
wh3928@yahoo.com
Simulation /forecast of US/Asian
Monetary , economic, fiscal policy impact on the root causes, onset, recovery of
US, Asian
financial crisis, Equities, Housing Bubbles Bursts, Loan Default, economic
recession
Asian interest rate, currency, stock indices futures, options,
derivatives prices , bubble burst RELATED ABS performance rating simulation and risk
hedging strategy
Asian oils, gas, agricultural commodity, food prices future,
options prices , ABS performance rating simulation, risks hedging
Economic, business product cycle impact on corporate syndicated loan sales,
profit margin, asset, stocks, option, warrant price
simulation
forecasts for pre -warning for accounting malpractice: Enron, WCOM and others Asian
scandal, and ABS asset bubble burst pre-warning cases studies,
Asset prices bubble burst Early warning for M/A, IPO, ASSET SECURITIZATION, ABS performance
rating,
He will be glad to offer your
in-house workshops provide global capital markets asset prices, ABS performance rating
simulation, investment, risks management investment strategic simulation tailored to
your need . please email
wh3928@yahoo.com for
reservation
Two master hands controlling global financial markets, asset
prices, bubbles
Lectures/Workshops for Beijin
Univsersity business and finance center organized Global Finance, Corporate Governance
conference May 28,2002 and to Guanhua school of management faculty and graduates for
EMBA, CFA, business, financial research center and other in-house workshops by
appointment
Dr. Warren Huang, Founder OSA
Global Investing/ Int'l Operations Analysis
website: www.osawh.com email
wh3928@yahoo.com
presented to Global Capital Market Asset Prices Simulation
9:00 AM- 10:30 AM May 28, 2002, Global Finance Conference
at Fragrance Hill Hotel, Beijin sponsored by Peking University
2:00 PM-5:PM, May 29 Guanhua
School of Business, Peking University, Beijin,
in-House workshops reservation
wh3928@yahoo.com
Dr Warren Huang, pioneer of OSA presented the following
dynamics simulation results in his panel session May 28.,2002, OSA simulation charts will
be demonstrated in the workshops
1.Accounting Mal-practices Pre-Warning on hign-tech, energy prices
bubble burst impact on earning, stock prices
China's Guangxia (0557) and US Enron Earning, Stocks Prices bubble bursts pre-warning
simulation
7. Monetary Policy, trade impact on US, China FDI capital flow,
Banking Credit risks , Mutual fund performance, earning, stocks
prices
J. P. Morgan, Pudong / Mingshen Banks JF China Fund Hua-an fund and gloobal mutual
fund performance, investment strategy
5. Monetary Policy, Global Interest rate , Currency impact on
Stock Index Futures Prices Simulation
2.Monetary Policy, Hi -Tech, Oils prices bubble impact on China IPO, ADR
shares prices simulation
China software king Yunyue , Mingshin bank IPO and China Offshore Oil ADR stock
prices Simulation
3.Monetary Policy,Interest rate Wealth effect impact on US,China,
Japan, Hong Kong Housing Prices
4..Monetary Policy, Interest , currency impact on US NAPM,
products innovation cycles impacton semiconductor B/B, DRAM, Intel P4 demand,
spot prices and bubble bursts
5. Monetary Policy, Global Interest rate , Currency impact on
Stock Index Futures Prices stock market crash, crisis Simulation
Dow Jones/Nasdaq/ Japan Nikkei index/ Hong Kong Henseng Index/ Taiwan Stock Index
futures Prices London Financial Times, DAX index
6. Monetary , economic, fiscal Policy impact on the root
causes, on set, recovery of global financial crisis simulation : EURO, ASEAN,
Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, Korea Interest rate , Currency, stock indices before, during
,after the Asian, EURO, Russia, US recession, South American financial crisis
8. Monetary Policy, global economic, business cycle impact on Global
Pre/post merger/acquisition performance, stocks prices US J P Morgan Exxon-Mobil
Simulation
9. Monetary Policy,?Interest rate ,?Currency, Export impact on US , CHina GNP, Stock Index
Futures Prices US quarterly GNP Growth Rate? NY Dow Jones and Nasdaq
Index Future
10.Interest rate, trade impact on currency futures, option Consumer
demand on crude oil futures, options Japan Yen exchange rate future and NYMEX Wtex
crude oil Future and call option prices
Dr Warren
Huang, pioneer of two master hands control global economy, financial market prices
OSA, has his Ph.D in
Chemical Engineering, Operations Research from Polytrechnic Institute of New York with
thesis extending APPLO moonlanding tracking of Nonlinear adaptive Kalman
filtering to applications to Chemical reactors control and econometric forecasting,
He has over 30 years develope, implement 32 global strategic knowledge management
supported investment, supply chain simulation systems ( recommended by US Gulf
Publishing Hydrocarbon Processing advanced control, information systems handbook 1991-2001
)supporting US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum, Bailey Network Control, Stauffer
Chemicals, Bechtel, FLuor, Kaiser board members, corporate/plant think tanks and Taiwan,
CHina, economic planning, ministry of economic, finance, banking and finance, trade
council, state and medium, small enterprises reengineering, change management
investment,supply chain strategy daily strategic decisions analysis.
He has offered regular lectures to Beijin, Shanghai, Guanzhou, Shenzhen, Taipei, San
Francisco 15 cities TV, Radio, newspaper 30 million banking, finance money, fund managers,
investors and thousands on the job training workshops for China, Taiwan 100 banking,
securities companies CEO, fund, money managers, traders, investors, and trained 1000
Taiwan's Taiwan, Tsinghua, Tunghai university Chemical Engineering, economics, global
strategic management senior,, graduate students, and lectured CHina's Tsinghua, Peking,
Fudan,, Zechiang, Dalian, East China, Hua-Chun science, TEch economic management, Finance,
chemical engineering, computer control faculty, students, avoided trillion dollar
market loss since 1990. He has been invited to speak to 30 global central bank governor
financial risk management conferences on global banking, financial crisis, capital
markets asset bubble simulation, risk manage ment since 1998. He offer consulting service
to 300,000 Taiwan importer/exporters 100 countries currencies, export price quote,
commodity prices .
He will be glad to offer your in-house workshops
provide global capital markets ,asset prices investment strategic simulation tailored to
your need . please email
wh3928@yahoo.com for
reservation
.
Click here for Corporate
risks management annual memberships available
for global central bankers, financial institutions,hedging fund managers, investment
banking Corporate CEO, CFO, financial, procurement, marketing manager, traders, investors,
investment and risk management decision supports and senior, entry level staff on
the job training.
¡@
¡@