Chinese (中文)
What , Why, How and Timing of Praoctive Structural Strategic Global
 
Optimal long- short strategy for 2008 1xx/ xx  Fund ,  Ultra Short Equities,Currency, Commodity Multi-Asset Pricing and  Allocation   Workshop
 Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models predicted years, month ahead of the emerging market trend of global developed, emerging economy, housing, commodities, equities, bond asset prices bubbles  boom and bust cycles, Interest rate, inflation, currency , oil, financial, housing mortgage default, IT sectors, component stocks ,  ETF  maximize fund risk adjusted return, prices simulation, asset allocation , Equities ,asset bubbles burst  crisis systemic risks early warning strategy , avoided trillion dollar market loss.  
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presented to China Peoples Bank, 24 global central banks governors,  China oil markets, strategic wealth management , risk management confernces , workshop since 1999)
 
Proactive Structural Dynamic Simulation of last 20 years 
Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models for  US, BRIC Energy, Currency,Banking, Finance  Mortgage Defaults Crisis,  Macro-economic inflation, unemplyment targeting, Monetary  interest  rate  policy Impact on global oil, banking mortgage rate, IT and  housing demand, pricing, Equities Prices Bubbles,, Mortgage Loan Credit Rating, Prepayment, Defaults, Recovery Modeling, Bond Spread in Assets Securitization, Risks Hedging 
             
         
                           Hong Kong,  Beijin, Shanghai, Taipei   in-house workshops
                by reservation  at your convenient time at yuor office wh3928@yahoo.com                          
                conducted  by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer, Global Strategic Management OSA

   Preparing for Macroeconomic control,  rate cuts, global commodities, housing, equities price bubbles burst, Housing Market Credit Crunch, Mortgage Default    Crisis Early Warning  

Comment by Warren Huang -Wall Street Journal Market Beat  February 8, 2008 at 12:20 pm
This is the market for those who applying proactive structural dynamic tracking of global macro-economy and daily financial market prices: the what , why exactly the markets is going on, the market forces price mechanism and how to identify and take advantage of the emerging bear/bull market trend supported optimal asset allocation and long-short strategy. As most global ETF fund losing money including emerging market BRIC. Index fund.
Only the Ultra short financial, housing and gold fund gain more than 20 %
Trillion dollar recession hedge by me
As I warned last June , 2007 Peking University, Beijing International Financial Engineering Risk Management Conference and on this blog last Sept before Fed rate cuts
that rate cuts, can not stop US housing price slump continue into 2008 summer, drag US into recession, US and global stocks into bear market correction, with banking, finance, housing, shares down 50 %, IT, oil, retail and high fliers GOOG, AAPL, PTR shares down 30 % Any Hedge fund follow my advice could make trillion dollar in 2007.
details can be found on my one day full day workshop Mar.6, Pudong, Shanghai, China world fund 2008
www.osawh.com/fund2008.htm and
www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm

Select your country, we will provide 5 -day  monetary policy impact on US, European  and Asian /US/BRIC , emerging markets macroeconomic control, inflation, interest rates, currency, oil, IT, finance, commodities industries,  stocks market , regional housing prices bubbles, securitization CDO assets credits simulation, and what , why, how and timing years, month ahead of the emerging bull, bear market trend maximize 1xx/xx equities optimal long/short strategy maximize risks adjusted return performance, mortgage default crisis recession impact analysis for your fund historical data

Find out breakthrough innovation in
 Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models by proactive structural dynamic, deterministic artificial intelligence, neural net based expert systems macro, financial, industrial pricing econometrics  integration, simulation  and extension to Engle's Exponential GARCH  dynamic times series estimation co-integration into Granger Causes and Casualty analysis of US/BRIC , optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx housing, equities, currency, commodities price bubbles, tracking the causes, onset, recovery, early warning of US/ BRIC, global central banks monetary  interest rate policy impact on macroeconomic control inflation, un-employment, housing mortgage crisis, global  housing, equities , currencies, oil, commodities prices, mortgage rate, nationwide major cities, counties, trenches housing, demand, new and existing housing prices , associated  prime, and sub-prime loan credit rating, pre- payment,  default, recovery modeling, ABS, CRE,  RMBS, CDO  bond spread, hedging fund strategy.

Global central banks, economist, banking, financial, mortgage loan and commercial, investment banking , hedging fund managers,  markets quantitative analysts ignoring Dr. Warren Huang warning on Asset Prices Bubbles at Kula Lumpur, Sept. 2002 to Malaysia central banks Asset Based Securitization  conference,  Singapore,  Nov. 5, Nov 25, 2003 Shanghai Euro-events Asian /US/China Finance, Capital Market  conferences  and China economist annual meeting, Fudan University, Shanghai lecture Dec. 2003 on Monetary Policy impact on US/Asian/China economic outlook, capital market housing, stocks, commodities, debt asset prices bubbles  and  workshops in San Francisco Silicon Valley , US, May 8, 15 , 2004,  and Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2005 in Beijin China Oil Market Investment Strategy  conference, June 2007 Peking University Financial Risk Management conference lecture, www.osawh.com  and on Wall Street Journal energy blog, real time economy blog and market beat blog since Aug 2, 2007 warned statistical quantitative and fundamental analysts underestimated again on the impact of US dollar depreciation, excessive rate, tax cuts resulted soaring consumer , housing, auto, business demand drive oil , commodities, metals  housing  prices bubbles burst to 23 year high and soaring inflation,  excessive wealth gain resulted excess liquidity, facing credit tightening, rate hikes, widening bond spread, drag into economic recession and global bear market correction, banking, financaaial, housing, IT and high fliers sectors stock price facing 30- 60 % correction suffered trillion dollar loss in bond and stock, housing markets will facing credit crunch  and loan default, ABS, RMBS, CDO asset credit and performance downgrade, hedge fund failure  2004-2007. www.osawh.com/ABS.html
 
Workshops Goal :  OSA  forecasts years, month ahead of emerging  bull/bear market trend  maximize  risks adjusted return in US/ European, Asian, BRIC emerging markets  housing markets and ABS investments , default risks early warning fighting  housing market recession, credit crunch, optimal long short strategy, avoided global banking , housing, equities, commodities,  markets  trillion dollars asset downgrade, value loss in economic recession due to quantitative and fundamental analysts, betting on the wrong side of investments.. 
Workshops Mission: Setup  goal, mission, performance oriented strategic, executive OSA teams, develop, implement proactive, structural  global central banks monetary policy guidance and control in macro, financial, housing market economy market forces demand, prices mechanism and loan and ABS assets, credit rating, prepayment, default, recovery  modeling Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA)  strategic investment,   forecasts month ahead, of the emerging bear and bull market trend  credit default, recession  trend, crisis impact on global currency, commodities, equities, bond, industrial sectors, stock prices performances for optimal long-short, ultra short strategy  and risks hedging early warning, avoided trillion dollar housing and global equities allocation investment  and markets default  loss.

Workshops
Highlights:  Integrating Fundamentals Analysis into Quantitative Simulation Models :The what , why, how and timing of root causes, onset, recovery, early warning of equities, housing, oil, commodities bubble burst, mortgage default crisis, tracking  Goldman Sach GBRIX, GBRAX, GBRCX, StateStreet BRIC 40 ,GXC, Optimal long-Short  Strategy for 1xx/xx ETF fund , Ultra short financial, real estate, Bank of New York BEE, Dow Jones BRIC 50 index country , industrial sectors performances, bubble bursts risks and regulation AB for ABS RMBS, CDO pooled asset credit rating and performance, default, global assets allocations, with 2008 forecast.
 
5 day 1xx/xx equities fund long-short strategy asset allocation and portfolio selections over 40 countries workshop
 5 Day China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning workshops
5 Day  US  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day  BRIC  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning workshop
5 Day  BRIC  Macroeconomic, Housing , ETF equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning

Day One:  US/ Asian, BRIC Macroeconomic control, Country Risks, boom and bust cycle OSA, 2008 Forecasts
morning:
Monetary Policy Trilemma:  Macroeconomic growth overheating, asset prices bubble , inflation control
and RMB currency appreciation OSA

 
 * Proactive Structural dynamic OSA and EGARCH Granger co-integrati
ons of US/Asian  BRIC central bank macroeconomic control removing excessive liquidity due to Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 indices futures,India, Russia, Brazil stock indices , stocks, housing  bubble wealth  gain tracking money supply, interest rate, currency and housing industry control  impact on housing, stock prices bubbles, fixed investment, inflation , un-employment rate and inflation rate
 * Monetary policy, commodities, oil prices,  currency, fixed investment impact on inflation rate, GDP, interest rates
Afternoon:
Monetary Policy Trilemma:Currency appreciation Sovereign Wealth Fund,(SWF) Equities, Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Asset Pricing Mechanism Simulation and Multi -Asset Class  Allocation, risks and DFI inflow, excessive liquidity, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xx
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily  currency and  Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in  currency carry traded asset price speculation.20 industrial sectors demand, prices and stocks investment asset allocation performances, risks in SWF investment , Currency appreciation and DFI inflow, excessive liquidity
* Interest rate and trade balance impact on daily currency,  and  Yen, EURO, Pound exchange rates and currency carry trade DFI in asset price speculation.
* Interest rate, credit tightening impact on asset prices bubble, mortgage default
and mortgage default impact on inflation, GDP, unemployment, recession

Day two: Housing Industry  Price Bubble Growth , Control and Burst, mortgage loan, CRE, RMBS,  default OSA, optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx
Morning:
BRIC  monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices
*BRIC central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control impact on removing excessive asset  market liquidity and cool off the overheated economy and inflation
*BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on China regional housing supply, demand and prices.
Afternoon:
BRIC housing bubble burst, loan default , stock market crash, economic recession early warning
* BRIC currency appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed investment impact on
 BRIC coastal area housing sales, and prices OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate, ABS, RMBS,  loan credit rating, securitization asset performance, prepayment, sub-prime and high end  mortgage loan default  and induced stock market crash and economic recession early warning  OSA 

Day three: Excessive liquidity, housing prices Impact on Stock Price Bubble Growth and Burst, Market Crash OSA
Morning:
US/Asian,BRIC monetary policy impact on housing demand and prices, banking, finance, construction industry performance and optimal long/short strategy, ultra short  for 1xx/xx
*US, Asian, BRIC Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic control 
impact on removing excessive asset  market liquidity and banking, finance stock price performance
* US, Asian, BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on  housing loan, construction industry demand and  prices.
Afternoon:
* BRIC currency  appreciation, monetary policy, stock markets price bubble, fixed investment impact on  BRIC coastal area housing, prices ,US, Asian stock indices, Shanghai stock index, Russia Traded Stock index, Brazil, India stock indices future,  price OSA forecast
^ Proactive structural BRIC housing personal, corporate loan credit rating, prepayment, sub-prime and high end  mortgage loan default and banking real estate stock performance early warning  OSA 
Day four: Housing demand impact on global oil commodities upstream/downstream demand, profit, stock prices OSA, optimal long/short strategy for 1xx/xxEquities, Commodities, Housing, Bond , Currency Asset Pricing Mechanism Simulation and Multi -Asset Class  Allocation, risk
  Morning:
US,BRIC monetary policy impact on construction material, energy, metal demand, stock  prices, OSA
*US, BRIC  Asian Central Bank Monetary Policy macroeconomic , housing industry control impact on housing, construction material , steel, gold, copper, aluminum metal demand , prices .
* BRIC housing industry price control policy and impact on oil, energy downstream demand, prices.
Afternoon:
*Asian BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment impact on housing demand and steel, metals companies profit ,stock price
^ BRIC monetary policy, fixed investment impact on housing demand and  energy, downstream companies profit , stock price OSA
Day five : Proactive macroeconomic systemic risks and credit, market risk integration, crisis early warning  OSA
morning:
US, Asian BRIC country macro-econometric inflation, currency systemic risk.
* BRIC Central Banks monetary policy, housing industry price control impact on GDP, inflation and price bubbles
* BRIC monetary policy interest rate, trade impact on  currency price mechanism, hot money speculation  .
Afternoon:
BRIC IT industries demand, price performance, equities, housing price bubbles burst associated market risks, and loan default crisis
* BRIC , optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx, housing and IT industries equities price bubbles bursts and housing, equities, futures market price risks early warning
*BRIC twin bubbles burst impact on commercial and investment banking, asset management loan credit default risks and ABS, RMBS, CDO credit derivatives, hedging,  betting on the wrong direction resulted trillion dollar loss.
  
Who Should Attend : Central banks policy research, commercial, investment banking, real estate mortgage, Goldman Sach, State Street, Dow Jones BRIC ETF fund managers,  optimal long/short , ultra short strategy for 1xx/xx Oil, banking, finance, commodities, IT industries analysts, hedge fund manager mortgage bond structural finance ABS, RMBS, CDO, securitization , 1xx/xx ETF money managers, insurance managers, mutual fund , SWF fund managers, government regulation strategic (top management) , execution (managers )  

Workshop Costs/ Benefits lecture fee  plus Dr. Warren Huang round trip air fares from San Francisco  for full day workshop with unlimited attendees 
Workshop recommendation tracking the emerging bear/bull market trend, will make billion dollar profit by optimal long short strategy save billion dollars in betting on the wrong direction of investment and default risks, loss, capitalize opportunities in economic slowdown, recession and asset prices bubbles burst  
Reserve by email  wh3928@yahoo.com  indicating your  favorite  time, your office address, and lists of executives names, title