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Dr. Warren Huang Wall Street Journal
Street daily Economy, Energy, Market OSA Blog :
www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/blog1
Do not miss this proactive
structural price mechanism based strategic
financial modeling and risks valuation, simulation for investment ,
trillion dollar recession hedging strategy
workshops series by
OSA proactive solution pioneer
Dr.Warren Huang
Millions of global /China top fund managers and investment management teams bring their management/s operating problems into our strategic fund allocation and
wealth management workshops. take home billion dollar proactive structural solution, avoided trillion dollar housing, stock market loss due betting on the
wrong side of interest rates and bull/bear market trend, ready to implement
Dr. Warren Huang
(黃華南博士)accurately warned
on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump
continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession
and US, global stock indices bear market correction, oil above 110,
Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge funddespite
Fed rate cuts
He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference
that China overheated
housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US
housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 3000- 4000 till summer 2008
US Stocks plunge in correction to housing market slump, ECB hold interest rate cut, Dollar gain strength Oil prices , inflation worry continue
Comment by - May 7, 2008 at 7:37 pm
Dr. Warren Huang
was
risk management panelist
and full day masterclass workshop lecturer for
Terrapinn China Fund World 2008
conference,
Shanghai Pudong Shangri-La hotel, March 6 offer Proactive structural
China/global asset
pricing, 2008 credit
tightening
recession impact on BRIC,Optimal
1x0/x0 long-short hedging, asset allocation
strategy
for in-house
workshop reservation :
wh3928@yahoo.com/
osawhh@sina.com
Dr. Huang speaking to Tianjin Nankai
University Global corporate governance on Monetary, economic, fiscal
policy, macroeconomic, housing industry , excessive liquidity control impact on Shanghai Shenzhen 300
index future price bubble and housing bubble forecast for China
corporate governance scandals Nov. 3, 2007
He will also offer the following workshops to the banking, finance,
real estate industries.
5 Day 2008 China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day 2008 US Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Crisis Early Warning
5 Day 2008 UK Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control and Default
Cri3928sis Early Warning
Wall Street
Journal Market beat Blog comment by Dr. Warren Huang Sept. 19, 2007
Fed is pleasing every one in the Wall Street
and global capital and housing markets by offering surprise
half point cut,
even Greenspan in 2001 dare not to do it when the oil price was only
19 dollar and gold price below 400.
Dow Jones shot up 350 points heading for record 14000 again ,
certainly will boost the housing prices ( July housing price already
up 5 %),and It cut mortgage rate and lending cost by half point. bail out the sub-prime rate reset cost, will temporarily cut
mortgage default rate ( according to my housing prices and default
rate model)
but it will led to dollar plunge to new low 1.40 , it will hit 1.50
sometime next year,
Oil price already celebrating the rate cut, by shooting to 82.4 all
time high and heading for 85-90, gold already 735, soybean at 945,
wheat to 870., eventually will spread into core inflation.
As Fed job only focus on inflation ( core inflation rate exclude
energy and food price) and unemployment
it ignore housing, stocks, commodities asset prices bubbles.
But sooner or later, the current stocks prices will not be
sustainable, start to plunge, it will drag the housing prices, and
led to
more default, the burst of next housing bubble, can not be solved by
any rate cuts
Greenspan was much luckier than Benanke, he could go ahead with full
steam rate cut, but we will be facing inflationary recession ahead
detail can be found on
www.osawh.com/riskm.html
Comment by Warren Huang - September 18, 2007 at
5:55 pm
Dr. Huang predicted on Wall Street energy, economic, market beat
blog July oil price soared to 80, Dow Jones plunged
to12600 and global stocks plunged 20 %
Dr. Huang accurately predicted on this web page
since June 2007 and lecture to Peking University , China int'l
financial
engineering risk management conference that US and global
housing bubbles bubble burst, billions dollar loan mortgage and hedging fund default betting on the wrong side of interest
rates resulted global stock indices are extremely overpriced,
will
follow US Dow Jones, NASDAQ for 10- 20 % correction due to soaring oil, metal
prices, inflation and continue rate hikes
into 2007 slowdown, housing bubbles sub-prime and jumbo mortgage
credit crunch, default risks will give up all 2006 gain
in current correction, US money supply growth already doubled to 6.2 %
from last year 3.5%, due to housing, stock market
wealth gain, recent US Fed 0.5 % discount rate cut and
ECB pumped 400 billion dollar into the banking systems will further
inflate the stocks, housing, oil, commodities asset bubble and highly
inflationary and continue into second
stage correction with US dollar plunge( give up all 2006 gain) US/China 2007 Housing, Equities Price Bubbles
Overheating, inflation, Currency Trilemma OSA:
5 -Day Workshop :
Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold,
Metals and Housing, Equities Bubbles
impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,
Derivatives Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation, Forecast, ETF
Risks Hedging
, Investment Strategy
5 Day CEO , CFO, traders, fund managers in-house Workshop
What is Global Strategic OSA for government, banking,
finance, business performance and its achievements
OSA pioneer
Dr. Warren Huang CV
,
extend his Ph.D Thesis Moon landing guidance and
control methodology"
Nonlinear Adaptive Kalman Filtering and Stochastic control of 4
variable differential equations reactor system"
to integrating
Proactive
Structural Dynamic macro economic control into industrial sectors
microeconomic
supply, demand price mechanism and daily capital markets asset prices for
government, banking, finance,
business strategic
decisions Operations Simulation
Analysis (OSA) , supported by
goal , mission, performance
tracking,
optimization, achieving optimal monetary policy, growth, prices
stability and sustainable profit,
market share growth
It helps 80 countries government ,banking, finance business
fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into
daily capital market
prices,
business performance, capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year
opportunities and crisis , change
personal life, change business and world decision making making personal, corporate dreams come true
Dr. Warren Huang CV
Dr. Warren Huang English
publications, speeches
Education
reform innovation, Proactive decision analysis changes life,
organization and change the world
Global Energy Strategy
New generation MBA /CPA/ CFA
Life Education year round rose garden
Proactive Structural Dynamic Asset Price
Basel II Risks Management
Credit risks
market risks
Operational risks
Millions executives , institutional, HNW investors from 60 countries
bring their management/personal
investment problem to our strategic workshops, take home billion
dollars proactive strategic solution ready
to implement , telling you the what , why , how and
timing of fighting this year unknown, uncertain markets
and capitalize the
emerging markets trend opportunities, risks
Dr. Warren Huang
Partial lists of English Workshops Papers
Dr. Warren Huang has been
keynote speakers for top 100 global central banks governors, financial crisis
and risk management , conferences and session chairman and master class
workshops leaders in Asian
Finance, Capital markets, Oil upstream/downstream strategy in 1998-2006,
He offered thousands lectures, commentary for China 15 cities, Taipei, San
Francisco, TV, radio 30 million institutional, HNW investors
on China/Global strategic fund, wealth management, asset allocation since 1994.
Warren
Huang latest update for www.osawh.com / www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com web pages on proactive structural for
global banking, finance, enterprises strategic investment, supply chain demand
chain applications visited by 4 million global executives since 1998
contact;
wh3928@yahoo.com /
osawhh@sina.com
2007
endless
success stories of creative innovative
breakthrough problem solving
by
global vision, expertise in multinationals proactive
strategic management
Dr. Huang extend his PhD. Thesis moon landing guidance control, problem solving fighting the unknown, uncertain futures in proactive structural global strategic investment banking, supply
chain, risk management and process operations optimal control during his 30 years development, implementation thousands proactive global asset( equities, housing, bond, commodities) prices mechanism decision simulators for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum China, Taiwan government, hundreds state enterprises, banking, finance, capital markets reform, change management and thousands CEO/executives strategic change management training workshops. He predicted months, years ahead of last 20 years Asian, US, European financial, energy equities, housing prices bubbles burst crisis, through tracking central banks monetary, fiscal, economic policy impact on macro-economic control, daily interest rate, currency, stock indices, ( right master hands) and 20 industrial sectors market demand, commodities futures, derivatives prices ( left master ) . Patented in US Oil & Gas Journal, 1980-83, advanced control and information handbook, 1991-2005
Stock market plunged 206, finally give up its recent gain on banking, finance, IT shares despite mounting write down and loss in mortgage loan default.
It is not because of oil price soared to record level ( It is used to it , even gain on oil shares performances.)
Bullish speculators speculate the worst of credit crisis is over, in led to over 30 -50 % gain in these share, will loss most of its gain in a bear trap, as housing price slump will continue, soaring oil, commodities price, foreclosure, job cut drag consumer confidence to deep recession level. Betting on the interest rate and banking, finance, housing market rebound will repeat last summer trillion dollar loss, facing double dip inflationary recession in Feds ending rate cuts cycle.10 year bond yield will repeat last summer break 4 %
It is premature to speculate ECB will cuts rate before summer at current oil, commodities prices and inflation level.
So dollar has limited speculation room as rising oil price, inflation. But Fed is not to switch to rate hike cycle before housing price slump ends.
details on www.osawh.coom/Fedcrisab.html www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/riskm.html