中文 Chinese  About OSA   Proactive Structural Dynamic  Global Business Strategy Vision, Innovative leadership in Decisions Analysis, capitalize the emerging global market trend , crisis, risks early warning Proactive Strategic Workshops  Global Financial Basel II Risks Management : Crisis, Recession Economic Stimulus Impact Proactive structural Global monetary, QE economic  fiscal, macroprudential policy impact on assets bubble boom, bust, fighting the unknown, uncertain future in strategic asset allocation, optimal marketing timing, portfolio selection  for Proactive structural financial regulatory reform

2012-13  
EURO recession, China slowdown  QE3, monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact  , Daily Dollar, Oil, Gold, Metals and Downstream Stocks Index Futures,   Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation,  Forecast, Risks Hedging 5 Day in-house Workshop   

                                                                                          reserve  wh3928@yahoo.com

 Proactive Structural high frequency GARCH , Granger Casualty Simulation of Monetary, QE3, Economic, Fiscal ,  policy , Double Dip Recession , EURO Debt Recession Crisis Impact on Daily  Global Asset Prices Bubbles boom , bust  Speculation   Inflation  bond yield Currency  Stock indices  oil  Commodity Gold price   Metal  Market
 
Housing Prices

OSA
 Proactive Structural Real Time Operations   Simulation Analysis (OSA)  of the Causes, and Consequences of last 30 years Global Debt, Financial crisis prevention   5 day workshops 2012- 13 Strategic Oil, Commodity, equities, housing,  asset prices asset allocation, market timing distressed asset investment strategy for SWF,  PE, LBO,  Pension
Credit Financial Crisis 2008-2012   US and EURO  Debt Crisis  US Subprime Crisis   Currency Crisis,   Energy Crisis   Asian Financial Crisis    1987 Stock market Crash  2012 flash crash
 Mortgage Default Crisis   
  Financial crisis  Recession Strategy    Sitemap   
Monetary QE2, QE3 Economic, Fiscal   Policy  Impact Simulation 2012- 13  forecast : presented by Dr. Huang to Hong Kong Economist annual meeting Tianjin, China Dec 19 ,2010 on  Proactive Structural Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on China macro economic, housing price bubble control and global asset prices, growth and prices stability, credit, financial crisis , risks early warning
 Proactive financial  decision modeling
 bankstress macrostress  Global  Financial Crisis, Risks Management  
 Proactive Financial Regulatory Reform Proactive, Structural Crisis OSA Fund Asset Allocation QE2, QE3  strategy: workshops  China  Hong Kong  Taiwan  US   ECB   Japan   Korea   Singapore India

Proactive structural solution for  
Global Central Bankers Role and Policy in Fighting  Unknown, Uncertain future impact on financial crisis, double dip recession risks recovery Challenges :   presented by Dr. Warren  Huang to Hong Kong Economist annual meeting Tiajin, China Dec 19 ,2010 on  Proactive Structural Monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on China macro economic, housing price bubble control and global asset prices, growth and prices stability,Global credit, financial crisis  double dip recession risks early warning
 We are repeating 2007 early this summer, May- July  peak demand,  as tax cuts, QE2 and prolonged Iran turmoil, support  to 99 as price peaking out  in late summer, bubble burst , drag by EURO debt crisis resulted recession, China, US slowdown  , Oil  price will plunge  to 70 -80

Review of QE1 ( 2008- 2010 )  http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/10/qe1-timeline.html       and QE2 http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/10/qe1-timeline.html    
 QE2 review    first half 2011 GDP, CPI  http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Growth-anemic-debt-fight-rb-274254989.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=1&asset=&ccode= 
http://www.financial-planning.com/news/barclays-schroders-janney-montgomery-2673008-1.html
Our Proactive structural macro, financial housing bubble simulation forecast predicted last year that QE2 will only help boost commodity , stock prices by 30 %, CPI triple, and hurt real economy GDP. will not help lift housing market and GDP   to avoid double dip,   GDP plunge below 1 % this  year. Global Exit strategy and Housing debt  bubble burst crisis  lead US economy to slow in the second half 2011, below 1%, follow Euro debt crisis, and China,  Asian slowdown,  US Fiscal Cliff, job creation slowdown
 , Dow Jones to test 11000- 12000 SP test 1100- 1250, NASDAQ test 2750-3000

Nobel idea and 30 years implementation of  proactive structural economic financial decision analysis modeling innovation breakthrough in Asset Prices Bubble Impact on Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy 
 and  Monetary policy quantitative Easing impact simulation:  Macro Economic  Inflation rate, Interest Rate GDP Growth, Prices Stability and Asset , liquidity, debt Price Bubble Control and Financial Market Asset Prices  mechanism   predicting the causes, onset, recovery, early warning Global Financial Crisis, Recession Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)   through  Proactive Strategic Economic Systems Integration Simulation  (PEIS)   for  US Fed Optimal proactive structural  monetary   economic, fiscal policy  tri-lemma (Growth,  Inflation,  asset prices bubble, Recession, unemployment, Mortgage and debt bubble crisis, Financial  Systems Stability Risks Early Warning ,  Regulation, Dollar ) IMF  Surveillance,  and reliable macro stress test and bank stress test OSA  by    strategic solution workshop
US and global central banks ignored assets ( housing, energy, commodity, bond, IT ) prices bubbles, excess liquidity, debt bubble burst impact on inflation , interest rate policy setting  resulted financial crisis and recessions and again have not learn lessons from last 30 year asset prices bubbles impact on debt, liquidity bubble crisis monetary, inflation, interest rate policy due to following 30 year old probability, statistical models based  asset prices theory  (CAPM )   interest rate setting based  on conventional CPI, GDP, unemployment, ignoring asset prices bubble

 Beware of  excessive liquidity QE3, , from stimulus, bailout resulted equities, oil, gold , commodity , housing , debt  asset price bubble burst due to China housing price bubble and inflation control , US Fiscal cliff crisis related downgrade and Asian exit strategy rate   lead to weakness in business and consumer demand resulted double  dip recession, while complicated by excessive liquidity bubble resulted  global sovereign debt bubble burst crisis  from US downgrade, PIIGS (Greece, Spain, UK, Portugece  se , Italy)) resulted commodity prices bubble lead to inflationary pressure and credit tightening in exit strategy.
      2012- 13  currency, oil, gasoline, heating oil, Natural gas prices forecast:
US dollar steady in current  narrow range against  major currency  despite QE3,  credit downgrade only depreciate against Asian currency with good trade surplus.
EURO drag by PIIGS deep recession, soaring budget deficit, supported by strong trade surplus  traded 1.20- 1.28   pound at 1.58- 1.64
Japan supported by trade surplus due to  weak import, Yen traded 75- 80
China RMB will stay  in narrow range 6.30- 6.450  due to poor export growth, manufacturing slowdown due to   EURO recession, GDP plunge to 7.5 %
Australia 0.95- 0.99,   Singapore 1.120- 1.25  Taiwan NT 29.5- 30.5  Won 1025- 1100  Indonesia  8300- 8500  India 42.5- 45   Malaysia  3.00- 3.20   Thailand 28.5- 30
China housing price bubble and inflation control,  in 2012- 13 to reduce GDP from 12 % to 7.5 %, M2 money supply growth from 28 to 13.5 % in 2012 and US  QE2, recession recovery  fighting facing double dip recession, with near zero interest rte till 2014 , fiscal cliff will cut oil demand and  lead to oil price peaking out in summer facing bubble burst 2012- 13  Oil price will be peaking out 86- 99- due to Irainina tension 85- 99 2012, abd plunge below 80- 85 Iranian tension ease off de to EURO recession, China, US slowdown 2012- 13 Gasoline price will be   255-310 in  4 Q,   2012 early 2013
heating oil price will be 270- 311   in 4Q   2012-13
Natural   price will be rebound from 2.5-3.50   in 4Q   2012-13
Gold price will be rebound from 1550- 1750 in 3 Q,  1500- 1850  in 4Q   2012- 13 due to and US fiscal cliff recession 
 
Review of QE1 ( 2008- 2010 )  http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/10/qe1-timeline.html
and QE2 http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/10/qe1-timeline.html    QE2 review   1Q 11 US GDP
http://www.financial-planning.com/news/barclays-schroders-janney-montgomery-2673008-1.html
 

 
Proactive Structural Dynamic Demand Side  Oil Price Simulation 
 

Phase I  monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices  Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks   impact on  Recession and
Phase II Global recession impact on banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors demand, prices slump and operating loss
with US facing -3.5 % , Japan -7.5 %, Euro -4 %. UK, -4 %,China 7 %, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, -4 %, Taiwan, Singapore - 7 %drag housing price slump, credit, financial crisis, default despite V-shape US and global stock  market  over 50- 100 % rebound  in late summer 2009,   L shape slow recession recovery drag stock market into double dip correction into 2011

Phase III  post recession recovery :
China/US global economic stimulus impact on domestic business investment, consumer demand, GDP, export and housing, stock, commodities, metals market prices.
 recession recovery.
despite V-shape US and global stock  market  over 50- 100 % rebound  in late summer 2009,  
Asian economic rebound lead by China due to excessive liquidity resulted housing, stock market bubbles, forced China into Macro- housing market price control, credit tightening reduce GDP from 12 % to 7.5 % by 2012 yearend and Asian  slowdown, EURO debt crisis cut government spend, drag into recession, lead to Japan  drag by excessive personal, business, government debt,  and strong Yen facing double dip recession While US record housing prices  bubble  burst , housing prices plunged over 30 %   unemployment at 8.1  % ,mounting personal, business, government debt and plunging confidence continue into 2012-13, facing trilemma of inflation/deflation with CPI  at 1- 3 % and double dip in housing slump and  slowdown( GDP below 2 % . L
shape slow recession recovery drag stock market into double dip correction into 2013
, Global GDP drag to 3.0 %
 Economic systems value investing   macro investing  Banking finance reform   20 year global economy, financial market tracking  record    Global Strategic Management Proactive Asset Pricing and risks valuation  Asset bubble burst causes    Asset price   bubble burst impact on recession , CPI,   Billion dollar Supply chain cost reduction  Currency   oil  Commodity Gold/Metal  DowJones/SP500/NASDAQ Market Today    Trillion dollar crisis, recession risks early warning  Global Stock indices Housing Prices  Real Estate Valuation  Mortgage Credit Default Crisis  Global financial crisis early warning  Inflation  interest rate  Financial Systemic Stability  Minsky Framework  Global Strategic Wealth Management
Global Credit, Financial Crisis Impact Simulation  Macroeconomic Stress Testing
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Proactive Basel II Risks Basel II workshop  Proactive Basel III Risks
Basel III workshop
Nobel idea and 30 years implementation of  proactive structural decision analysis modeling innovation breakthrough in Global Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy      in  Macro Economic Growth, Prices Stability and Liquidity, Debt , Asset Price Bubble Control and Financial Market Asset Prices  mechanism   predicting the causes, onset, recovery, early warning Global Financial Crisis, Debt, Liquidity, Asset Price Bubble Burst,  Double Dip Recession Recovery  Operations Simulations Analysis (OSA)
Proactive structural economic systems integration, OSA
   Macroeconomic Simulation  Recession Fighting  Strategy  US hot stocks  Integrated Investment-Supply Chain Logistics Strategy  Banking finance reform   Financial crisis    Financial  Systemic Risk  Financial System Regulation Reform  Financial Surveillance  Investment Banking  Proactive Basel II Risks Recession Strategy Dow Jones/SP500/NASDAQ  US hot stocks  Supply Chain Strategy  Economic systems  Banking finance reform   Strategic ETF Arbitrage  Behavior Finance
US economic stimuls
US bank bailout US TARP Risk Regulation  Distress/Toxic Asset Pricing   US Recession Recovery
    US stock market
China economic stimulus China economic stimulus impact on economy and asset pricing
Do not miss these trillion dollar investment ,  Billion dollar supply chain cost reduction   Trillion dollar hedging , risk early warning opportunities
Proactive Structural Analysis of Housing, Debt, Liquidity, Financial Crisis, Exit Strategy  in India: Financial Crisis, Asset Pricing, Risks Valuation Forecast, and Early Warning  financing and  Basel II financial risks management 4 Days workshops in India Delhi and Mumbai Oct. 21- 24, 2009  for Banking, Finance, Manufacturing senior executives by Proactive Structural Crisis, Financial and Enterprises Risk Valuation pioneer Dr. Warren Huang     workshop program   your country and  in house crisis, risk management workshop
5-Day 2012- 13 Global financial, Euro Debt  crisis, recession recovery , QE2 impact on Capital Markets Forex, Oil, Metals, Commodities, Stocks, Bond, strategic investment, risk early warning workshops 

5- Day 2012-13  Proactive structural US/China Monetary, Economic stimulus , fiscal bail out , QE2 policy impact on credit  financial crisis,  recession and C
urrency, gold, oil, metals, housing , stock indices price mechanism, investment strategy and risk early warning workshops
  
2009 economic recession recovery impact on credit, financial crisis, global stock market  prices, investment risks
workshops
5- Day
 
2012-13  multi-asset class price mechanism, industrial demand, prices mechanism, multiclass asset allocation, fund risk management  workshops
5- Day Proactive Structural Strategic Oil, IT industries upstream/downstream trillion investment, billion dollar supply chain cost reduction workshops series
5- Day Proactive Structural Global Government, banking, finance , enterprises bankruptcy, reorganization, restructuring , strategic change management OSA program workshop
 
Global Industrial Finance
   energy finance trade finance structural commodity finance housing finance
Global Industrial Economic  Global Business Strategic Management  Integrated Investment-Supply Chain Logistics strategy  Integrated Supply Demand Chain Cost Reduction, Market Share Strategy:  
China Arbitrage Asset Price Bubbles Asian  Arbitrage Asset Price Bubbles  Strategic ETF Arbitrage  Behavior Finance  
trillion dollar  hedge strategy  Proactive China Risk Management M/A Deal CEO/CFO workshops  online Education Global Strategic Research Centers  Global Commodity Trade Finance    e-biz   e-Government  Finance Basel II Risks Market Risk Credit Risk  Operational Risk Interest rate Risk Currency Risk Equities Risk  Bond Risks Mortgage Bond Crisis Early Warning Opening Bell Forecast China/Global ADR  Asian Finance  Proactive Asset Management  Proactive structural China Fund 2008   Proactive ETF  20 years  tracking currency, oil, commodities, gold price Stem cell innovations
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 Sovereign Wealth Fund  Global Strategic Management Global Capital Market   Global Economic Systems   US recession Policy  Trilemma   www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/index.html   Global Strategic Solution Financial Engineering   US inflationary recession   oil  price mechanism 
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US Financial System Regulation Reform  US/China Mortgage Loan Default Risks Workshops  UK/EU Mortgage Default Risks Workshops
Banking Finance Reform
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Proactive Structural Strategic Solution: Forecast months ahead  last 20 years US/global  Housing mortgage default, Credit, Financial Crisis Operations Simulation Analysis , The Causes, onset, spread, recovery, early warning , and consequences through Monetary, Economic, Fiscal Policy Impact on Economic Recession, Real Time Financial Market Prices Mechanism and Systemic Instability Basel II credit, Market, Operational  Risks Early Warning 

Healthcare: Rose Garden Aging and Cancer prevention Stem Cell


Proactive structural economic systems integration, OSA   Macroeconomic Simulation  Recession Strategy

US stocks investors and economist are overoptimistic about US 1 Q GDP growth at 3.2 %, April PMI at 60, and rebound in housing and retail sales 2010  all due to housing stimulus credit soon to expire in April, and tax rebate resulted consumer spending rebound at 6 % will peaking out after May, Greece, euro area debt crisis drag GDP growth to 1 % , dollar appreciation from 1.5 to 1.26 euro will further slowdown US export growth in the second half  , China credit tightening slow GDP to 7 % by yearend , India, Austria, Korea interest rate hikes will slow down GDP growth , leading to US export decline related  while any further exit strategy, credit tightening, inflationary control, rate hikes will lead to economic growth  double dip to below  2.5 % by yearend . US stocks are extremely overpriced , subject to 20- 30 % correction
Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P stock index forecasts
Dow Junes will be return to consolidate in 9000- 9900 soon , NASDAQ test 2000- 2200, S&P test 1000- 1100 and may test in second financial crisis dip triggered by Greek and PIGS countries debt crisis, China/Asian slowdown,

By top down two master hands controlling global asset prices  mechanism pioneer  Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士) Pioneer, proactive structural dynamic global inflation, macro economy, daily financial markets interest rates, currency, stock, bond, derivatives, housing, commodities, oil asset pricing and risks valuation markets fundamentals price mechanism, accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 and Mar 5, 2008 masterclass  workshop China fund world 2008, Pudong, China  to Goldman Sach managing directors JPM, UBS and 150 China QDII/QFII fund managers that  US Fed aggressive rate cuts drag dollar to 1.53-1.65 EURO, 95- 108 Yen, economic stimulus boost consumer spending on gasoline and jet fuel summer, demand, driving gasoline , heating oil to 415, oil price to 121-145, commodity price double, will peak out as US dollar rebound follow Fed ending rate cuts cycle , can not stop sub-prime crisis spreading, regional  housing price slump 30-50 %  and credit crisis, crunch crisis continue through  2009 drag economy into 2009 double dip deep recession resulted trillion housing and stock market loss and US, global stock indices bear market  50 - 70 % correction , Dow Jones test 6500-7000-  NASDAQ PLUNGE testing  1250- 1500 and high fliers (GOOG, PTR, AAPL) , IT, retail stocks facing  correction,    with banking, finance, housing share price plunge 70- 90   %, dollar making to new low 90 Yen,   commodity prices doubled,  and bubble burst plunge 50 % in recession widening bond , CDS spread and failure in MBS/CDO, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge fund and government steps rescue Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac bail out,  despite Fed rate cuts . He also warned top global QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Banking housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump 30- 50 %, US  - 6.1 GDP contraction, and -10 to - 20 % contraction for Asian countries deep recession, bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing  1700  rebound to 3450 in  2009 overheated in the first half  due to 568 billion economic stimulus, increased money supply from 15 % to 28 %, fixed investment from 22 to 35 %., oil price rebound from 33 to 82 summer 2009, and plunge to 55, due to soaring jobless rate and falling housing price resulted deep recession continue through  first half 2009.
China Peoples bank start seriously on housing price bubble deflation control Aug 2009 fail to contain housing prices up 100 % 2009 lead to 2010 raising bank deposit rate twice and money market operation removing one trillion excessive liquidity
US Fed injected trillion dollars into banking, finance and housing market stimulus  leading to stock market 60 % V- shape rebound from March 2009 low, and  global stock price bubble appears again ( with China, Russia, Taiwan, China , Hong Kong over 100 % gain, most serious) , followed by housing price bubble ( 30- 100 % gain)  speculating recession recovery due to overoptimistic over economic  recovery  by China/US stimulus package.
China 568 billon stimulus package 14 trillion bank loan  resulted excessive liquidity hot money speculation in stock price ( double, and housing prices breaking 2007 peak ( almost double) and 4 Q GDP 10.7 % resulted economy overheating in housing, auto  sectors, March money supply M1, soared to 39 %, M2 to 22.5 % forced  Peoples Bank raised bank deposit ratio twice in May 2010 to 16.5 % to cool off the housing and stock markets, tightening 2010 loan to 7.5 trillion, cut M1 money supply growth to 20 %, M2 growth from 28  to 17 % 2010 and GDP growth from  2010 1 Q 11.7 % to 8 % 4 Q 2010 to curb inflation below 3 % ( already 2.5 % ) and tightening raising down payment to 60 % for second  home loan and stop loan for third home and ban investors speculation finally cut home sales by 50 % and housing price start decline, and profit decline, lead to banking, finance, real estate stocks stock plunge 30 % Shanghai stock index drop from 3450 to 2800 ( almost 20 %) and further correction to 2500 is underway in 2010
US  trillion dollars bail out and housing, auto stimulus lead to excessive liquidity bubble, in stock markets  speculation and huge banking, financial sectors profits, bonus( soared 65 %)
lead budget 14 trillion deficit  debt bubble reaching 11 % of GDP and 4 Q GDP at 5.7 % , PMI at 56 , 1Q 2010 GDP at 3.2 %, PMI at 59 are inflationary inflation rate already soared to 3 %. and prepare for crisis exit strategy, tightening liquidity( remove trillion dollar excessive liquidity from capital markets in the second quarter 2010) to deflate the liquidity, Debt, Asset  bubble before it burst.

              Strategic PGFCR  :       Proactive Global Housing, Credit,  Financial Crisis, Recession Operations Simulation) Forecast, complete coverage of  years, months, ahead of lat 30 years and current housing, equities, commodities , MBS, ABS asset prices bubbles formation, boom and bust, early warning of  derivatives hedging resulted financial crisis, avoided betting on the wrong side of investment resulted  trillion dollar loss, deep recession and its impact through global macro, financial, industrial, trade economy integration and impact on daily capital market asset price mechanisms  Do not miss Dr. Warren Huang lectures, panelist speakers in Feb, 2009 Hong Kong Provate equities Merger/Acquisition financing summit  on Monetary, regulary ,economic stimulus policy impact on China/US distressed asset Acquisition and financing
and  in March   2009  and on monetary, econoic stimulus policy impact  on    China/US economic, financial  market , forex,  currency  commodities, equities derivatives price mechanism and  Trillion Dollar Recession Hedge, supply chain cost reduction  Optimal long-short ,ultra short strategy
Phase I  monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices  Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks   impact on  Recession and
Phase II Global recession impact on banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors demand, prices slump and operating loss

for June  on Peking Univ. Int. financial risk management  conference, Beijing , June and  Sept 2007 on Wall Street Journal market beat blog that US housing price slump 30 %  continue into 2009, drag economic into deep  recession, global stocks into bear market 50- 70 % correction
, commodities, energy, raw material, products 50- 70 % correction
Phase III China/US global economic stimulus impact on domestic business investment, consumer demand, GDP, export and housing, stock, commodities, metals market prices., recession recovery.

Comment by Warren Huang  Wall Street Journal Market Beat- November 17, 2008 at 4:50 pm
Based on my 30 years proactive structural simulation of last 30 years global monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on inflation, interest rateas, currency, commodities, equities, bond, housing asset prices, It correlation constant ot 0.95, error of 3.5 %,
accurately predicted last 30 years asset price boom and bust, and current US housing prices bubble burst resulted equities, commodity, oil, asset price 50- 70 % plunge, asset bubble burst, drag economy into recession details on www.osawh.com/recession.html www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/commody.html www.osawh.com/SP500.htm

by Proactive Structural Dynamic Optimal monetary , economic, fiscal, trade policy , capital markets integration, Operation Simulation Analysis ( OSA ): Chinese (中文)

Phase I  Bubble Burst Causes ,  monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices  Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks   impact on  Recession and
Phase II Bubbles Burst Impact on Recession and Recession Impact  on  Crisis: Global Bubble Burst and recession impact on banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors  assets demand, prices slump and operating loss

Phase III China/US global economic stimulus impact on domestic business investment, consumer demand, GDP, export and housing, stock, commodities, metals market prices., recession recovery.

http://www.forbes.com/2009/06/09/recession-economy-cities-business-beltway-recovery-cities_slide_12.html?partner=yahoo  US best ,worst cities for recession recovery

Final Phase Economic Stimulus Exit Strategy: the what , why, how and timing of removing excess liquidity, debt bubble prevent bubble burst, and credit tightening and rate hikes against double dip  inflationary recession
Optimal proactive structural Global and  US Fed and Global central banks Monetary Policy, achieving sustainable GDP and Capital Market Growth, and Currency,  price stability without  Inflation,  Asset Prices bubble OSA( Operations Simulation Analysis ) Performance Guidance and Control: Integrating last 30 years global  housing, commodities, oil, equities asset prices and consumer prices into monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on GDP  and  prices stability , proactive optimal control, presented top
24 global central banks governor policy, financial risk management , macro- financial econometric conferences

Comment by Warren Huang Wall Street Journal Market Beat- Blog  January 23, 2009 at 2:23 pm
We have been through Phase I monetary, economic, fiscal policy impact on Global Housing, Equities, Commodities, Bond, Derivatives Asset Prices Bubble Burst Mechanism and Sub-prime on Daily Prices Dynamics , Subprime, mortgage, Credit crisis, Financial , Systemic Risks impact on Recession which causes housing price down 19 %,trillions dollar financial market loss, bankruptcy of Lehman, AIG Fannie Mae Freddie, Merrill Lynch and Citigroup with deep recession -6.2 % GDP in 4 Q 2008 and -5.7% for 1 Q 2009  and 8.9 %% unemployment and now we in  Phase II Global deep recession ( Japan -15 % GDP, China 6.1 %, Korea -4.3 %, Taiwan -8.4 %, German -8.2%, UK -7.4 %, Singapore - 19 %, EURO 4.3 %, Brazil -13.6 %, Russia - 6 %)impact on Global banking, credit, financial crisis and industrial sectors demand, prices slump, export slump, and operating loss with jobless rate at 9.5% and business, consumer spending plunged over 2 %, despite 2 Q GDP shrink to -1 % pushed Dow to 9400 , SP to new high 1019 will drag stock price for 20 % with Dow Jones retest  7000-8000 lows in W shape  more summer correction resulted widening mortgage,( as April foreclosure  soared to 12 %, housing price down 32 % from 2006 peak, credit card, business loan loss will drag Bank of America 16 billion dollar loss even JP Morgan and more banking, financials into widening loss
despite money supply growth double, to 8 % stock market two month rally 50%, 8 trillion dollar bail out stimulus give some improvement in housing sales rebound, ISM index, tax rebate only provide partial support to consumer sentiment,( still down)  but not enough for raise consumer spending, retail spending , home buyer 8000 tax credit and lower interest rate payment cannot stop soaring foreclosure rate to 12 %, with 11 month unsold inventory. capital, liquidity still stay in banking finance system, with improved profit and stock prices after bail out and removing toxic asset,
Real economy and manufacturing still in deep recession, excess capacity with record 67 % utilization, falling demand and prices and profit plunge continue into next week as unemployment rate soared to 10 %by yearend.. with 2 Q still facing -1 %  GDP contraction, -2 % for the second half   this year, while China only has 7.2 % GDP growth first half and 8.5 % for the second half due to export decline , despite 568 billion economic stimulus, 33 % growth in fixed investment, 13 % in retail sales ,with 50 % money still in banking, finance, stock market ( up 80 %) fail to enter real economy
The rest of Asian economy facing similar situation following US, China stocks rally with over 40 % growth, even the economy still in deep recession, with 50 % decline in export for Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong  These huge Asian stock market bubble will follow US/China market for summer  W  shape correction , housing market continue to burst, with housing price down 50 % details on http://www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm http://www.osawh.com/recession.html  http://www.osawh.com/macro.html http://www.osawh.com/SP500.htm
     US GDP shrink -6.2 % 4 Q 2008 and -5.7 %  1Q2009,
-1.0 % 2 Q 2009,  suffering deflation risks2009.  http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Economy-shrinks-at-38-percent-apf-14207818.html
China 4Q GDP plunged from 12 % to 6.8 % will extend to first half around7.2%, gradually pick up second half to 8 % 2009
China  Banking housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, drag China GDP plunged to 6.8 % 4Q 2008,will test 6 % first half 2009  and stay above 8 % second half 2009 due to and China 568 billion infrastructure and 10 industrial sector stimulus  program maintain 2009 GDP at  7.5 % and stabilize stock markets, Shanghai traded 1600-3500  through  09     until economy softlanding
China is suffering from housing market overheating, with 300 % gain in housing prices still  up only down 1.5 % March 2009 , F  after   China peoples Bank cut 2 % rate fighting global economic recession, after  6  rate hikes, 16 bank deposit rat hike to 17.5 %. China  raise  its M2 money supply growth    28%   to maintain 2009 GDP of 8 %, with fixed investment up 35 %, consumer sales up 15 %, GDP at 7.9% in , export down 25%, PPI down 6 %2Q 2009

China   357 billion USD economic stimulus  , with excessive liquidity ( money supply growth  doubled from 15 % to 28 % in  June )with banking loan growth of 7 trillion in the first half 2009 already leading to stock market  ( up from 1660 to 3200) and housing price bubble, Beijing housing prices up 30 % in the first half 2009 , leading to credit tightening in second mortgage with first down payment raised to 40 %
lHousing bubbles in Yantze, Pearl River , Beijing Bohai delta, Shenzhen with housing price up 160-500 % auto demand  up 80 %  benefited by heavy foreign capital inflow  and 500 % stock price gain in 2007,  despite credit tightening stock prices plunged 75 %,housing price only down 1.2 % 2009, 

very close to Dr. Warren Huang panelist lecture prediction to  global investment banking, derivatives market fund managers on
Asian private equities, leverage finance acquisition on distressed assets summit  , Feb 16- 17, Hong, Kong     by Euromoney
China Forex, Energy, Metal Derivatives, Summit Credit, Financial Crisis, Recession Risks  Derivatives Hedging  2009  Conference, Pudong, China, March, 2009      by   EUROMONEY

predicted Dow Jones rebound from 6500 to 94 00 in bear market rebound, US economic L shape recovery , China Shanghai index rebound in Nov. 2008  due to  Economic stimulus  Proactive Structural Trillion Dollar Recession Hedging, supply chain cost reduction,Multiclass Asset, Derivatives Allocation Strategy    
               by Dr. Warren Huang  website: www.osawh.com   Hyatt Regency, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar24- 25, 2009
and
Global/China multiclass (Oil, commodity, Equities, Bond, Housing Asset pricing and allocation    by
World Renown Proactive Structural Asset Pricing pioneer  Dr. Warren Huang
 Post-
Conference Master Class Strategic Multi-class Asset Allocation Workshop, Terrapinn                  Chinese
   Proactive Structural Multiclass Asset Prices Mechanism and  China/Global  Fund World,  Asset Allocation  2008,- 2009
 
                 by Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer OSA Global Strategic Management     
Proactive Recession Strategy   
                                           
Shangri-La Hotel, Pudong, Shanghai, Mar 4- 6, 2008

                                  
Reservation  
for your in house workshop   osawhh@sina.com/  wh3928@yahoo.com

 warned on Yahoo finance blog and Wall Street Journal market beat blog earlier last year the Housing market slump drag economic into deep recession continue into 2009 , resulted trillion dollar banking, finance mortgage, investment loss, plunging consumer spending, ISM index plunge below 36, will drag IT industry sales and earning , stock price 50- 70 % bear matket correction. Recent market rally over 20 %, with renewed speculation over strong IT, high tech are extremely overpriced, ignored sales, earning plunge 50 % through 2009. NASDAQ MUST PLUNGE TO 1150- 1200 TEST RECESSION LOW in the month ahead. details on www.osawh.com/macro.html www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm  www.osawh.com/SP500.htm

 Predicted by Dr. Warren Huang, pioneer of Proactive Global Asset Pricing Mechanism , June 2007 , Beijing, Wall Street Journal Economic, Market Beat
 Blog Aug.2007 that
US and Global Housing price bubble burst, prices plunge 30 % into 2009 rate cuts, bail out, provide banks, finance excess liquidity will not, can nto stop housing price slump and recession, (US 4Q 2008 GDP contract 6.2 % jobless rate at 8.1 % Feb 2009 continue into 1 Q 2009 . with Arr2009 20 city Schiller  price index down 32% from 2006 peak http://www.slideshare.net/hblodget/october-case-shiller-home-price-index-presentation ), drag US and  global economy into 1980 style deep double dip recession  stocks bond, oil,  commodities, metals ,Derivative Asset Prices Bubbles Burst with 50 -70 % Price Correction Cause Credit, Financial Crisis and Economic Recession, ( As Dow Jones, SP 500, NASDAQ drag global stock indices plunged more than 50 % into 2002 recession low ,( Dow Jones    test 6000- 7000, NASDAQ test 1100- 1250, S&P test 550-  700 low, oil price plunged 50 -70 % from 147 to 30,Gas oil from 1300 to 500 , corn  from 800 to 350, cotton from 80 to 44 )as Fed INDICATE that global economy  enter deep recession through 2009, despite rate cuts to zero, US700 billion and ECB 2.3 trillion bail out fail to 
stabilize credit crisis , there is no economic recovery till late 2009,   with US trillions dollar mortgage MBS, bail out  and infrastructure job creation program. US spend 8 trillion banking, finance bailout, 1.2 trillion buying MBS, T-Bond to cut mortgage rate below 5 %, one trillion buy toxic asset, 1.2 trillion onbuy fighting crisis , recession  pointed out by Nobel prize winner Krugman  http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/106403/The-8-Trillion-Bailout
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/05/opinion/05krugman.html?_r=2 , hopefully OBAMA/s 775 billion dollar economic stimulus plan to create 4 million jobs in the next two years  will pull economy out of recession and cutting mounting job loss  http://change.gov/agenda/economy_agenda/

Dr. Warren Huang, Pioneer of proactive structural simulation of Global Housing, Credit, Financial Crisis, Recession , causes, onset, recovery, early warning and impact on Economy, housing, equities, currency, commodity, asset and derivative prices , predicted year, month ahead of crisis and recession capitalized on trillion dollar recession supply chain costs , investment profit while avoided trillion dollar loss in housing MBS, CMBS, CDO, CDS investment and hedging loss
He will be the keynote speaker on 2009 US recession, credit, financial crisis , capital markets outlook and China Economic, capital market outlook responding to Infrastructure Program to boost domestic demand in fight

 Dr. Warren Huang (黃華南博士) Pioneer, proactive structural dynamic global inflation, macro economy, daily financial markets interest rates, currency, stock, bond, derivatives, housing, commodities, oil asset pricing and risks valuation markets fundamentals price mechanism, accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 and Mar 5, 2008 masterclass  workshop China fund world 2008, Pudong, China  to Goldman Sach managing directors JPM, UBS and 150 China QDII/QFII fund managers that  US Fed aggressive rate cuts drag dollar to 1.53-1.65 EURO, 95- 108 Yen, economic stimulus boost consumer spending on gasoline and jet fuel summer, demand, driving gasoline , heating oil to 415, oil price to 121-145, commodity price double, will peak out as US dollar rebound follow Fed ending rate cuts cycle , can not stop sub-prime crisis spreading, regional  housing price slump 30-50 %  and credit crisis, crunch crisis continue through  2009 drag economy into 2009 repeating 1980  double dip  inflationary recession resulted trillion housing and stock market loss and US, global stock indices  and oil, commodities , metals price bubble burst bear market  50-70  % , Dow Jones test 6000- 7000  NASDAQ PLUNGE testing  1100-1250-  and high fliers (GOOG, PTR, AAPL) , IT, retail stocks facing  50-- 70 % correction,    with banking, finance, housing share price plunge 70- 90   %, dollar making to new low 85- 90 Yen,   commodity prices doubled,  and bubble burst plunge 50-70 % % in recession widening bond , CDS spread and failure in MBS/CDO, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge fund and government steps rescue, Lehman bankruptcy,  Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac AIG bail out,  despite Fed rate cuts . , oil price plunge from 147 to 40, copper plunged from 350 to 115, corn from 600 to 350,  He also warned top global QFII management on Peking  Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Banking housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, and China 568 billion infrastructure program maintain 2009 GDP at 8 % and stabilize stock markets, Shanghai traded 1500- 2100 through 2008- 09  early 2009  until economy softlanding
China is suffering from housing market overheating, with 300 % gain in housing prices still  up , FIXED investment up 26 %, consumer spending still up 16   GDP still up, CPI plunged 1.5% , PPI plunged 4.5% in Feb 2009 , suffering deflation first half 2009.
China  Banking housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession, bear market correction, drag China GDP plunged to 6.8 % 4Q 2008,will test 6 % first half 2009  and stay above 8 % second half 2009 due to and China 568 billion infrastructure and 10 industrial sector stimulus  program maintain 2009 GDP at  7.5 % and stabilize stock markets, Shanghai traded 1500- 2100 through  09     until economy softlanding  rate cut
China is suffering from housing market overheating, with 300 % gain in housing prices only down 1.2%   China peoples Bank cut 2 % rate after  6  rate hikes, 16 bank deposit rat hike to 17.5 %. China  raise  its M2 money supply growth   from  15 %to  25 % Apr 2009 and rate cuts to
maintain GDP at 8 %and 10 industrial sector stimulus  program maintain 2009 GDP at  7.5 % and stabilize stock markets, Shanghai traded 1500- 2800 through  09     until economy softlanding

Do not miss this proactive structural price mechanism based strategic financial modeling and risks valuation, simulation for  investment , trillion dollar recession hedging strategy workshops series by OSA  proactive solution pioneer  Dr.Warren Huang millions of global /China top fund managers and investment management teams bring their management/s operating problems into our strategic fund allocation and  wealth management workshops. take home billion dollar proactive structural solution, avoided trillion dollar housing, stock market loss due betting on the wrong side of interest rates and bull/bear market trend, ready to implement 
Dr./Prof.  Warren Huang    黃華南  博士Founder OSA Global Strategic Management, San Francisco, USA Pioneer, Proactive Structural China/Global Trade Finance Strategy will be offering
 

Master Class Proactive structural simulation forecast of S&P 500 index futures and component stocks investment workshop
US/China 2008 Housing, Oil, Commodities, Equities Price Bubbles Overheating, inflation, Currency Trilemma OSA:    
5 -Day Workshop : Global Interest rate, Dollar, Stock Indices, Oil, Gold, Metals and Housing, Equities Bubbles price Forecast , Long-Short strategy
 impact on Stocks Prices, Futures,  Derivatives  Prices Market Forces Mechanism Simulation,  Forecast, ETF  Risks Hedging , Investment Strategy

 5 Day Global Oil, Metal, Agricultural Commodity Market Prices Forecasts and Strategic Structural Trade Finance SCF Supply Chain and Value Chain Optimization , Basel lI Risks Management Masterclass workshop,              in-house at your office at your convenient time

 Worshop Goal:  structured to provide the latest proactive structural commodity market pricing mechanism simulation and quantitative, fundamental strategic investment decision tool for global import/export and  real time daily commodity, raw material  trading, capitalize  on the emerging NY, Chicago, China energy, metal, feed grain commodity markets pricing , real time trading strategy and Basel II financing credit default, markets price, operational risks early warning management maximize value chain profit at minimum risks
Workshop Mission:
•Provide  proactive structural China/global  trade and commodity markets, finance price mechanism, analyze, forecast, capitalize on the emerging commodities ( oil, energy,  metals, feed grain price bull/bear market trend, risks trend   achieve sustainable profit , while minimize risks• Provide the What, Why, How and timing of your China/global strategic commodity trade financing to minimize supply chain costs, maximize value chain profits website  www.osawh.com   email   osawhh@sina.com  /     wh3928@yahoo.com

Over 30 years OSA Global Proactive Structural Strategic Import/Export Trade and Real Time Commodity Pricing,  Finance Basel II  Risks Systems Simulation and Strategic Restructure, Reengineering Management for WTO multilateral, bilateral trade impact analysis and global competitive pricing and market shares value chain optimization, risks management  WTO trade negotiation strategy, 

 
He will  offer the following workshops to the banking, finance, real estate industries.

5- Day Financial Crisis Events in India  ---- Proactive Structural analysis Indian Housing bubbles early warning in Global Recession Recovery  workshop
5 Day CEO , CFO, traders, fund managers Proactive Structural Oil. Commodity, Currency, Housing Multi-Class Asset Pricing, Allocation Long-Short Strategy in-house Workshop
 2009  Proactive Structural Asian ( India, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Vietnam )/China/US/European  QFII Strategic Investment Banking/Capital Markets Research and Decisions  Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA) Workshops
5 Day 2011 China Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning

5 Day 2011  US  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Crisis Early Warning
5 Day  2011 EURO, UK  Macroeconomic, Housing , equities bubble control  and Default Cri3928sis Early Warning 


US Stocks plunge in correction to housing market slump, ECB  hold interest rate cut, Dollar gain strength due to drop in March trade deficit by 5 billion and  Oil prices  , inflation worry continue
     Comment by Warren Huang on Wall Street Journal Market Beat Blog - May 7, 2008 at  7:37 pm

Stock market plunged 206, finally give up its recent gain on banking, finance, IT shares despite mounting write down and loss in mortgage loan default.
It is not because of oil price soared to record level ( It is used to it , even gain on oil shares performances.)
Bullish speculators speculate the worst of credit crisis is over, in led to over 30 -50 % gain in these share, will loss most of its gain in a bear trap, as housing price slump will continue, soaring oil, commodities price, foreclosure, job cut drag consumer confidence to deep recession level. Betting on the interest rate and banking, finance, housing market rebound will repeat last summer trillion dollar loss, facing double dip inflationary recession in Feds ending rate cuts cycle.10 year bond yield will repeat last summer break 4 %   It is premature to speculate ECB will cuts rate before summer at current oil, commodities prices and inflation level.
So dollar has limited speculation room as rising oil price, inflation. But Fed is not to switch to rate hike cycle before housing price slump ends.
details on www.osawh.coom/Fedcrisab.html www.osawh.com/mortdefa.htm www.osawh.com/riskm.html 

Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog comment by Dr. Warren Huang Sept. 19, 2007
Fed is pleasing every one in the Wall Street and global capital and housing markets by offering surprise half point cut, even Greenspan in 2001 dare not to do it when the oil price was only 19 dollar and gold price below 400.
Dow Jones shot up 350 points heading for record 14000 again , certainly will boost the housing prices ( July housing price already up 5 %),and It cut mortgage rate and lending cost by half point.
bail out the sub-prime rate reset cost, will temporarily cut mortgage default rate ( according to my housing prices and default rate model)
but it will led to dollar plunge to new low 1.40 , it will hit 1.50 sometime next year,
Oil price already celebrating the rate cut, by shooting to 82.4 all time high and heading for 85-90, gold already 735, soybean at 945, wheat to 870., eventually will spread into core inflation.
As Fed job only focus on inflation ( core inflation rate exclude energy and food price) and unemployment it ignore housing, stocks, commodities asset prices bubbles.
But sooner or later, the current stocks prices will not be sustainable, start to plunge, it will drag the housing prices, and led tomore default, the burst of next housing bubble, can not be solved by any rate cuts
Greenspan was much luckier than Benanke, he could go ahead with full steam rate cut, but we will be facing inflationary recession ahead
detail can be found on www.osawh.com/riskm.html
Comment by Warren Huang - September 18, 2007 at 5:55 pm

Dr. Huang predicted on Wall Street energy, economic, market beat blog July oil price soared to 80, Dow Jones plunged to12600 and global stocks plunged 20 %
 Dr. Huang accurately predicted on this web page since June 2007  and lecture to Peking University , China int'l financial engineering risk management conference  that US and global housing bubbles bubble burst, billions dollar loan mortgage and hedging fund  default betting on the wrong side of interest rates resulted  global stock indices are extremely overpriced, will follow US Dow Jones, NASDAQ for 10- 20 % correction due to soaring oil, metal prices, inflation and continue rate hikes
 into 2007 slowdown, housing bubbles  sub-prime and jumbo mortgage credit crunch, default risks will give up all 2006 gain  in current correction, US money supply growth already doubled to 6.2 % from last year 3.5%, due to housing, stock market wealth gain, recent US  Fed  0.5 % discount rate cut and ECB pumped 400 billion dollar into the banking systems will further  inflate the stocks, housing, oil, commodities asset bubble and highly inflationary and continue into second stage correction with US dollar plunge( give up all 2006 gain) 

What is  Global Strategic  OSA for government, banking, finance, business performance and  its achievements
OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang CV , extend his  Ph.D Thesis Moon landing guidance and control methodology "Nonlinear Adaptive Kalman Filtering and Stochastic control of 4 variable differential equations reactor system"to integrating Proactive Structural Dynamic macro economic control into industrial sectors microeconomic supply, demand price mechanism and  daily  capital markets asset prices for government, banking, finance, business  strategic decisions Operations  Simulation Analysis (OSA) , supported by  goal , mission, performance tracking, optimization, achieving optimal monetary policy, growth, prices stability and sustainable profit, market share growthIt helps 80 countries government ,banking, finance business fighting last 20 years uncertain, unknown  futures
Thousands decision simulators integrating monetary, economic policy into daily capital market prices, business performance, capitalize years, months ahead of last 20 year opportunities and crisis , change personal life, change business and world decision making  making personal, corporate dreams come true 

Dr. Warren Huang CV   Dr. Warren Huang English publications, speeches    Education reform innovation, Proactive decision analysis changes life, organization and change the world
Global Energy Strategy New generation MBA /CPA/ CFA  Life Education  year round rose garden
Proactive Structural Dynamic Asset Price  Basel II Risks Management  Credit risks market risks Operational risks

He  warned  Dec 13, 2006 on Taiwan University Int'l Finance conference, Taipei to Asian Merrill Lynch, Deutch Bank,  AIG managing directors, Cathy Life VP and editor, Journal of finance, int'l scholars that  US/China housing,  equities bubbles resulted record, oil, metal prices, rate hikes and stock markets correction 2007,due to inflationary slowdown 30 million US, China, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio  institutional, HNW  investors,  and managers, government, banking, finance, multinational CEO, VP, executives benefited by OSA pioneer Dr. Warren Huang's proactive asset prices simulation since 1986

4 millions executives , institutional, HNW investors from 60 countries bring their management/personal investment problem to our strategic workshops, take home billion dollars proactive strategic solution ready to implement , telling you the what , why , how and timing of fighting this year unknown, uncertain markets and capitalize the emerging markets trend opportunities, risks  
Dr. Warren Huang      Partial lists of  English Workshops Papers
Dr. Warren Huang has been keynote speakers for top 100 global central banks governors, financial crisis and risk management , conferences and session chairman and master class workshops leaders in Asian Finance, Capital markets, Oil upstream/downstream strategy  in 1998-2006, He offered thousands lectures, commentary for China 15 cities, Taipei, San Francisco, TV, radio 30 million institutional, HNW investors on China/Global strategic fund, wealth management, asset allocation since 1994.
  rren Huang  latest update for www.osawh.comwww.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com     web pages on proactive structural for    global banking, finance, enterprises strategic investment, supply chain demand chain applications visited by 4 million global executives since 1998                        contact;  wh3928@yahoo.com   / osawhh@sina.com

2008 年中美宏觀產業調控對利率匯率股指能源金屬期貨金融房產上市公司股價 及衍生工具價格預測投資避險策略五日研討會 舊金山台北上海 

World renowned global proactive strategic investment, supply chain. risks management decision Operations Simulation Analysis (OSA ) pioneer, Dr. Warren Huang achieved impossible mission in  integrating  moon landing guidance control problem solving into in two masters hands controlling unknown,  uncertain future in global macro-economy, daily financial market  prices, business performances, maximize risks  adjusted return"
 
CEO/CFO Proactive Global Structural Strategic
Decisions Simulation of Macro-FInancial -Industrial Impact Workshop             

文本框: www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/index.html     
 OSAglobalstrategicmanagement.comManagement

  Endless success stories of creative innovative breakthrough Proactive structural solution to government, multinationals, banking, finance, SOE, SME Global Strategic Investment, Risks Early Warning,  Supply Demand Chain, provide timely decision fighting unknown, uncertain future due to global monetary, economic, fiscal policy on daily global asset prices bubble resulted financial, debt crisis, while maximize risk adjusted return in investment opportunities
www.osawh.com
 
 

OSA   Operations Simulations Analysis
 

Comment to Wall Street Journal Daily real time economics, Market Beat, Energy, Deal,Real Estate Development Blogs   
www.osaglobalstrategicmanagement.com/blog1  

Dr. Huang extend his PhD. Thesis   moon landing guidance control, problem solving fighting the unknown, uncertain futures in proactive structural global strategic investment banking, supply  chain, risk management and process operations optimal control during his 30 years development, implementation thousands proactive global asset( equities, housing, bond, commodities)  prices mechanism decision simulators for US Mobil, AMOCO, Phillips Petroleum China, Taiwan government, hundreds state  enterprises, banking, finance, capital markets reform, change management and thousands CEO/executives  strategic change management  training workshops.  He predicted months, years ahead of last 20 years Asian, US, European financial, energy equities, housing prices bubbles burst crisis, through tracking central banks monetary, fiscal, economic policy impact on macro-economic control, daily interest rate, currency, stock indices, ( right master hands)  and 20 industrial sectors market demand, commodities futures, derivatives  prices  ( left master ) . Patented in US Oil & Gas Journal, 1980-83, advanced control and information handbook, 1991-2005  
Thousands articles published to 80 countries, invited to speak to 50 countries central bank governors, financial investment, risks management and chemical engineering, information management conferences. with  4 millions global executives visited his www.osawh.com website since 1998
.
He warned months ahead on numerous conference,  his website and  thousands of published articles about 1990, 2000, 2003 global asset bubbles
 prices overheating and thousands interview, lectures for China, Taiwan, US 15 cities TV, radio fund managers, investors tracking 1994 in China,  on  China runaway inflation, macro economic
 control and 2000  in US on  IT bubbles burst and 2003 in Singapore, Shanghai,  San Francisco,  on China,US housing bubble overheating resulted 17 rate hikes, China A  shares bear markets and 2006 bull markets overheating.
He predicted to hundreds multinational oil, banking, finance CEO in Beijing
 China Natural gas, ( Feb 2005) Oil market (Nov. 2005) conferences 2005 that oil prices soared from  56 to 78, record
 metals prices in 2006 and again Dec, 2006  to Taipei financial executives that oil prices soared from 50 to 65 2007,  US facing inflationary slowdown drag global housing, stock markets  correction 2007.
He taught thousand Taiwan, Tsinghwa, Tunghai university students industrial economics, global strategic management, chemical engineering
 process design, control tracking 100 countries ma
cro-economic, interest, currency, and process optimization. 
 He also lectured Peking, Tsinghua, Fudan, Zhejiang, Shanghai Finance and Economics, Huazhong Science, Tech universities
 economic
 management, financial engineering, capital markets reform innovation
 His goal, mission, performance oriented online adaptive education has trained numerous new generation  China/Tawain / US CPA/CFA/CFA for
undergraduates and senior executives, integrating proactive  global strategic financial decision a
nalysis into financial, cost, derivatives accounting,
investment banking,  global economy, business, equities, derivatives  research
4 million global government, banking, finance, enterprises executives, academic visitors